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Sammy J

@sammyj_19

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VP Corp Dev @ C21 / #MSOgang Founding Member & Chief Data Officer / #cannabis comp table nerd

Joined December 2013
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
Proud of this achievement, especially given all the industry headwinds. To be able have no financed debt after paying off $30M principle, ~ the size of our current MC, with 15Qs of +FCF, without the need for a capital raise in 4yrs, is certainly a first for a cannabis pubco:
@junglejava1
jungle.java
1 year
C21 Investments Announces Full Repayment of $30 Million Senior Secured Note Debt Retirement Eliminates $6 Million in Annual Principal Repayment Obligation $CXXI $CXXIF
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
Since the beginning of 2021, the three largest ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis companies, Curaleaf, Trulieve, and Green Thumb, have combined to pay $785 million in Income Taxes, yet the govt does not protect their employees by allowing them to bank like every other industry. It's time, @SenSchumer .
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
28 days
S3 โœ…๏ธ A3 โœ…๏ธ SAFE โœ…๏ธ Decriminalize/Justice โœ…๏ธ Test & Regulate โœ…๏ธ Wow. ๐Ÿคฏ
@TrumpDailyPosts
Donald J. Trump Posts From His Truth Social
28 days
As I have previously stated, I believe it is time to end needless arrests and incarcerations of adults for small amounts of marijuana for personal use. We must also implement smart regulations, while providing access for adults, to safe, tested product. As a Floridian, I will be
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
1/ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #Cannabis : The Impact of 280E: $GTII / $GTBIF Shoutout to @Bkov9 for his great shareholder letter which provided a generic tax comparison between cannabis & non-cannabis industries. Below is Green Thumb's equivalent based on their year-end financial data. Source: Sedar
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
Public NA #Cannabis : ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธvs.๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Market Opportunity: -2020 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ&๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆCannabis Sales -2030 Projected Markets -Big 5 $MSOS / LPs Market Cap -Last Q Big 5 Cannabis Sales Annualized -Last Q Big 5 aEBITDA Annualized -2022 Big 5 EV/Revenue -2022 Big 5 EV/EBITDA cc: @todd_harrison @timseymour
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Big news today on the ongoing lawsuit around the FOIA redaction of the HHS letter to the DEA: Thanks to Matt Zorn & @admindotlaw for their relentless pursuit of this disclosure:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
Big news for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis with potentially very positive implications for legal Operators: Statehouse (formerly Harborside) just had its legacy IRS 280E bill reduced from $22.1M to $5.8M with payment schedule of only $50k per month for the next 116 months:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. Revised Cannabis Sales Chart: Top 36 Public Companies in revenue, with minimum $40M CAD ($30M USD) annualized last reported quarter. Added Gross Margins & adjusted EBITDA columns. Sorted by adjusted Operating Income.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
11 months
1/ Perhaps flying under the radar today is this article on Dem lawmakers urging the Treasury / FinCEN for updated guidance on legal cannabis businesses. As we know, an update would be triggered in the event of SAFE(R)'s passing, but is now being requested irrespective of reform:
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@PunchbowlNews
Punchbowl News
11 months
Democratic lawmakers are urging the Treasury Department to revise โ€œout-of-date guidanceโ€ related to state-legal marijuana businesses and the Bank Secrecy Act. @BrendanPedersen with the letter they wrote to Treasury officials:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 month
"...first of all, medical marijuana has been amazing. Iโ€™ve had friends and Iโ€™ve had others and doctors telling me that itโ€™s been absolutely amazing, the medical marijuana" - @realDonaldTrump $MSOS
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
@natsfert @yongecity Assuming an interception on the hail mary, from this day forward, @SenSchumer , @SenBooker , & @SenSherrodBrown should be invoiced for every robbery of a legal cannabis store, as well as funeral expenses should there be any further tragedies. A $25B legal cash industry is insanity.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
For all that question where the HHS rescheduling recommendation landed due to it being redacted, here is a member of Congress stating today in his letter to the DEA that it was indeed Schedule III: ๐Ÿ‘€
@RepCohen
Steve Cohen
9 months
๐ŸšจBIG NEWS: @DEAHQ has FINALLY begun its review on softening federal #marijuana regulation. #Cannabis shouldn't be a Schedule 1 drugโ€”more like Schedule 420. I've pressed the DEA on this for years (most recently in July, QT'd ๐Ÿ‘‡) & I'm weighing back in today. Full letter here:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Update: $MSOS short interest increased +22% to record biweekly levels for the start of '24 at 21.3M shares: Shoutout to @Th1902D for the heads up
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Update: $MSOS short interest increased 6% to 17.5M for the final biweekly '23 update:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
FWIW, most recent $MSOS short interest at 16.5M shares, still floating near its all-time high short interest:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
1/ The Impact of 280E: How Schedule III Affects The Bottom Line: This ๐Ÿงต will attempt to illustrate 280E tax overage for cannabis vs. standard corporate tax. Applied is a hypothetical lens on the past 3yrs to show the impact on profitability for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $MSOS. Ch.1: $GTII / $GTBIF:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
Remarkable line of questioning here highlighting the incongruence of federal/state law as well as the absurdity of Schedule 1 classification:
@RepMattGaetz
Rep. Matt Gaetz
1 year
BREAKING: DEA Administrator Milgram Commits to Pushing @HHSgov to Get A Schedule 1 Marijuana Determination ๐Ÿ‘‡
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
$BTC $68.8k to $34.3k since Nov. 10th. -50% in 10 wks & $1T wiped out in crypto. Arguable store of value/inflation hedge/intrinsic value. All๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis now $30B valuation for $100B CPG sales starting to normalize/migrate from illicit. Markets can get it wrong until they don't.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
๐Ÿ‘€ SAFE(R) co-sponsor GOP Senator to @donmurphy12a : " You'll be happy... Just be patient"
@donmurphy12a
Don Murphy
8 months
#SAFEBanking co-sponsor: โ€œYouโ€™ll be happy, just be patient.โ€ A swing and a miss from SAM and usual suspects Prohibition Pete(s). And On Location with @mpadvisorshares . Have a great weekend Twitter Friends.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
6 years
1. Here's the updated chart, w 6 new cos., $VFF, $LABS, $NRTH, $HVT, $META, & $CLIQ. Also, added a rank change column. $CXXI $MJAR $TGIF $PLTH $TRUL $SNN $MMEN $PLUS $CNNX $TRST $HIP $FIRE $OH $IAN $CWEB $OGI $CURA $APHA $HEXO $GTII $ACRG $HARV $CL $GGB $ACB $WEED $TLRY $CRON
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Final tally on what is likely the best day for $MSOS's underlying basket in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ on a ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธholiday: Intrinsic Value = $8.81 (closed Fri. $8.20) US$23M notional traded 9 underlyings up double digits:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
@ShardiB2 Instrinsic value of $MSOS's basket is currently trading in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ @ $8.72 (closed Fri. $8.20/$8.28 AHs) on US$17M notional traded. So, if that carries over to tomorrow, then it would indeed equate to ~+13% on $MSOX. This doesn't even factor potential buying stateside or any inflows.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
"President Joe Biden ordered a review of federal marijuana policy in October 2022, and a formal decision from the DEA is expected soon, potentially in the coming weeks, according to two people with knowledge of plans." - @NBCNews
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€
@todd_harrison
Todd Harrison
8 months
Adrian is the former staffer who helped write SAFE. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis ๐ŸŒฟ
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
1. Public ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธCannabis Operators Peer Comp Table: Cash Flow from Operations (trailing twelve months) $VRNOF $GTBIF $TCNNF $TRSSF $CRLBF $MRMD $CXXIF $AYRWF $TLLTF $CNTMF $VEXTF $JUSHF $PLNHF $HBORF $SHWZ $FFNTF $SLGWF $LOWLF $GAEGF $FLOOF $GDNSF $HRVSF $CCHWF $ACRHF $RWBYF $CURLF
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. Updated Cannabis Sales Chart: Top 36 Revenue Generating Public Companies, with a minimum $40M CAD ($30M USD) Annualized Cannabis Sales as of Last Reported Quarter. Includes Gross Margins, adjusted EBITDA, & sorted by adjusted Operating Income.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
6 months
๐Ÿ‘€On ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธcannabis: Dr. Ebeigbe (DEA) "...we're in the process of writing that recommendation." Interviewer: "Does the public comment period play at all in this?" Dr. Ebeigbe [smiling]: "That is an unknown right now. That is an absolute unknown right now." H/T @DTRTcannabis ๐Ÿ™
@DEAHQ
DEA HQ
6 months
๐ŸŽ™๏ธ WATCH #DEACampus podcast Prevention Profiles: Take Five! w/ guest Dr. Buki Ebeigbe, a DEA Diversion Control Division pharmacologist. Discover insights into the Controlled Substances Act, common misperceptions, and her journey into DEA. Tune in now:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
"As President, I will...decriminalize marijuana and automatically expunge prior marijuana convictions. I'm Joe Biden and that's my commitment to you..." One year later... Tick tock, @JoeBiden . Cc: @SenWarren
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
1 in every ~1000 Americans is a legal #cannabis employee - one of the fastest growing ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธindustries. Yet, many are denied access to bank accounts, loans, insurance... Their safety is at risk while handling $20B+ in cash transacted this year at legal dispensaries. @RepPerlmutter
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Noteworthy out of today's Senate session on fentanyl that cannabis was omitted from the chart on federal mandatory mininum sentencing for Schedule I&II drugs:
@PotMom2012
Pot Mom
9 months
What drug is missing? ๐Ÿค” #FreeThePlant
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
As happy as I am for our industry/investors on this monumental news, on a personal level this ๐Ÿ‘‡ is remarkable , as someone who suffers greatly from permanent neuropathic pain/spinal injury from getting hit on the hwy yrs ago & needing narcotics to get out of bed. Gamechanger.
@_chrisroberts
Chris Roberts
9 months
you know, i think this is really more than most honest marijuana legalization advocates would have hoped for: HHS includes what the National Academies found way back in 2017: pretty serious evidence for cannabis's efficacy in pain management
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
Anybody know of an industry right now with the potential to infuse $billions in deposits into the federal banking industry?? Asking for a friend... #SAFEBanking
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 months
Missing the news in Jamaica but congrats everyone. FWIW, same thing happened when I was on family vacation with HHS in August. I need to vacation more clearly. Also, reminder, not all benefit from S3 the same on OCF. Eg. $CXXIF 275% effective tax rate whereas some don't book 280E
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
1. Public ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Cannabis Operators Peer Comp Table: TTM Cash Flow & YTD Share Price Performance Includes all 16 #potstocks in NYSE-listed $MSOS: $TCNNF $GTBIF $AYRWF $CXXIF $PLNHF $TRSSF $VEXTF $VREOF $JUSHF $CURLF $FFNTF $INDXF $CRLBF $CCHWF $HRVSF $ACRHF $VFF $CGC $ACB etc.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
11 months
Wow GTI... @Bkov9 just throwing it down. Cannabis bellwether/best-in-class just raised the bar, yet again. Imagine what these numbers/beats can look like when 280E falls off, cost of capital recedes, and canna pubcos can go on offense without both hands tied behind their back.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
๐Ÿ‘€Update: $MSOS short interest has increased +10.5% to another record biweekly level of 23.6M shares as of Jan. 31st:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Update: $MSOS short interest increased +22% to record biweekly levels for the start of '24 at 21.3M shares: Shoutout to @Th1902D for the heads up
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. My two cent rant: Today is the end of tax loss selling for #potstocks . If one is to consider investing in the sector on the potential of a bottom here like last Dec. 27/28th, it's time to consider who actually runs a viable business currently. (cont'd @AllStreetsWolf 's point).
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
If you want a taste of the liquidity difference for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธOperators once uplisted: $TLRY has traded over $200M... Since 4pm alone. Approaching $1B on the day $SNDL has traded 75M shares... Since 4pm alone. 350M+ volume on the day Or a good year for some MSOS on the CSE. One day.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 days
The CBO scored/published SAFE Banking yesterday. Remains to be seen if this practical step is an indication they're finally ready to move on this bill. As we all know by now, safe harbor for financial institutions remains a massive hurdle for our $MSOS sector: h/t @MangoneDavid
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
1/ Random thoughts: Like I've stated for some time, you'll now see why $MSOS is the engine of the sector Everyone that cried at the ETF should now thank their lucky stars for its inflows / arb Down to 10-15 investible cos. at most, so capital/Inflows have fewer places to go
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Wow, US$8M notional traded now for the Canadian listings of the $MSOS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ underlying basket, which never happens on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธholidays. To put into perspective, there are days when that is the total notional with the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธmarkets open. IMO, this isn't just ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆretail:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
FWIW, $3.5M notional traded opening 30min vs. <$500k the entire day on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThanksgiving. Still peanuts but a relative win.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
As we breach noon, US$12M notional now traded in $MSOS's underlying basket for their Canadian listings:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
Wow, US$8M notional traded now for the Canadian listings of the $MSOS ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ underlying basket, which never happens on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธholidays. To put into perspective, there are days when that is the total notional with the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธmarkets open. IMO, this isn't just ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆretail:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
EVs of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis thru 3/12/21 in USD($0.80): $CURLF $11.58B $GTBIF $7.60B $VRNOF $6.59B $TCNNF $6.23B $CRBLF $5.56B $TRSSF $3.04B $AYRWF $2.32B $CCHWF $2.28B $HRVSF $1.75B $JUSHF $1.46B $PLNHF $1.17B $ACRHF $1.03B $FFNTF $910M $VREOF $433M $INDXF $389M $CXXIF $179M Source:BMO
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. I never fully appreciated how geographically biased investing in the cannabis sector is & how it colours our viewpoint. Cannabis isn't dead as an investment. Canada got it wrong, due to greedy suits & ineffective gov't, but the U.S. hasn't even started. It's 2015 on that side.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
Perfectly stated, @JSchultz44 . The FDA science/research is binding. Any article that claims that they're waffling over this due to potent strains has prohibitionist hit piece written all over it. Consider the source and the politics of the outlet.
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@JSchultz44
Jeff Schultz
7 months
This WSJ article is a straight up hit piece. How do I know? Because I know the DEA has EXTREMELY limited discretion in the rescheduling decision especially with the HHS rec for S3. The DEAโ€™s role is strictly and exclusively limited to determining whether the move would violate
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€
@Johnschroyer
John Schroyer
8 months
Source out of Washington D.C. says marijuana rescheduling is "imminent." No wonder there's been so many senators calling for de-scheduling this week. If they know it won't happen, it's a safe political play, and they position themselves in front of the issue for November.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 months
Proud of the fact that we are the only public cannabis operator that has generated 5 straight years of +OCF / +FCF. With all the headwinds and absurd effective tax rates. New dispensary expected to come online this month. ๐Ÿ™ $CXXI $CXXIF $MSOS
@junglejava1
jungle.java
5 months
C21 Investments Announces Preliminary Year-End Results A 5th Consecutive Year of Positive Free Cash Flow $CXXI $CXXIF $MSOS
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. $CXXI Q3 Financialsโ€™ Highlights & chart update: $10.6M USD revenue ($14M CAD, $56M CAD annualized, MC $70M CAD, 1.25x sales) $1.2M USD Operating Income ($1.6M CAD, $6.4M CAD annualized), now 2nd to $TRUL for US Operators
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
All you need to know about how disjointed cannabis stocks still are can be summed up by: $ACB +60% today on 250M traded, a ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆLP & terrible operator that gets no benefit from ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ rescheduling vs. $TSND red on 300k traded, who will benefit greatly from ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒreform Long way to go.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
IMO, there are 15-20 truly investable public ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis operators (16 in $MSOS) now. Verano, Gage etc. will factor too but there are more institutions wringing compliance depts. ready to charge the space. Then there's RHers/traders who can/will only touch big board liquidity.1/4
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $MSOS profitability vs.๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆLPs big board effect: Last Q annualized totals: Top 9 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธMSOs (in USD): $45.6B EV $3.4B Revs $1.0B aEBITDA Top 9 Big Board ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆLPs (in CAD): $55B EV $1.7B revs ($484M) aEBITDA Price 02/15/21, sorted by EV, with '21 & '22 multiples Source: BMO, SEDAR
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. @BenjaminA_Smith & I were chatting cheap paper yesterday & the need for coverage on this in the sector. I mentioned I would give it a go by doing a series. I will try to address one cannabis company's paper each day moving forward. To start, let's go with what I know -- $CXXI.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
$30M senior debt paid off โœ…๏ธ Cultivation expansion โœ…๏ธ Retail expansion commenced โœ…๏ธ
@junglejava1
jungle.java
7 months
C21 Announces Agreement for the Acquisition of Cannabis Dispensary in Reno, Nevada and Private Placement of Convertible Debenture Units A 6,500 square-foot purpose-built additional retail channel for the Company's expanded cultivation $CXXI $CXXIF
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
A lot of the volatility we are seeing the past two days is simply from the $MJUS rebalance. It is creating negative arb and balloon squeezes in specific names... in other words, this volatility is artificial & temporary like we've seen in the past. Follow @boldux for updates.
@boldux
Boldux
8 months
$MJUS continued rebalancing as of yesterday (2/12) with a -1.4% outflow. Plus, $MJ sold off 1M shares of $MJUS as part of rebalancing (no outflows) New positions: $AAWH $SHWZ $IXHL Cash: $4.3M #MSOGang #potstocks $MSOS $WEED $GTBIF $CURLF $TCNNF $VRNOF
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
In 3min. only it seems crystal clear to everyone and yet @donmurphy12a still has to waste his youth on such a no-brainer piece of legislation to make a growing industry with 400k workers SAFER. Thank you, @RepDaveJoyce for your tireless effort. ๐Ÿ™
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
1. Great note out this morning from Craig-Hallum on ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis operators. Interesting to see their Tier breakdown: Tier 1: $CURLF $GTBIF $TCNNF $TRSSF $CRLBF $CCHWF $AYRWF Tier 2: $VREOF $FFNTF $CXXIF $HRVSF $JUSHF $PLNHF Source: Craig-Hallum (w permission)
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
My updated chart w 37 top cannabis cos. in sales & valuation ranking: $TRUL $CXXI $HALO $META $PLTH $OGI $SNN $LABS $DYME $VFF $MJAR $VREO $CWEB $TER $IIPR $FAF $ZENA $FIRE $TRST $TILT $TIUM $GTII $OH $IAN $CURA $GGB $CL $HARV $MMEN $CCHW $GWPH $ACRG $HEXO $TLRY $ACB $APHA $WEED
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
6 years
Here is the updated chart as of Friday's close, with $GGB & $CNNX added by request, as well as updated $MMEN revs: $WEED $ACB $APHA $CXXI $OGI $TRST $TLRY $HEXO $FIRE $CRON $HIP $TRUL $GTII $CURA $CWEB $ACRG.U $CL $HARV $IAN $OH $MJAR $TGIF $PLTH $SNN $PLUS CC: @st0ckm0nster 1/6
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 months
A few reminders: 99.9% of $MSOS underlying MCs didn't trade yesterday. This isn't capitulation/retail panic - This is sell programs into no bid. Algos/arb have no conscience. There's no fundamental support. Need bids for that. Doesn't make it less painful...Just context, FWIW.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿ‘‡ Nobody gets the games hedge funds play better than BB. This had short & distort written all over it: -The "waffling over science" premise is false (FDA science/research is binding) -There wasn't a single current admin source (DEA/HHS/WH), as they all declined comment.
@BettingBruiser
Betting Bruiser
7 months
I guess the WSJ article about the DEA being a little skittish to reschedule did the damage to $MSOS today -7% The mediaโ€™s main sources for stories derive from hedge funds & political wonks Hard to tell which one is the driving force behind this story & its salacious headline
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
6 years
I'll be taking a break from here for a bit. Too many nasty people with malicious intentions. I only wanted to share my DD on what I still think are value plays in a bloated sector. Have to protect myself & the anonymity of twitter makes it impossible to know who you can trust.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
As @RepPerlmutter states, #SAFEBanking is an urgent bipartisan issue needed to reduce public safety risk in communities, support small businesses, & protect the financial system. You want to #BuildBackBetter ? How about protecting legal employees at work:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
โ€œAmericans have made it clear that Congress should resolve the ongoing conflict between state and federal law on cannabis banking issues by passing legislation that will enhance public safety, tax collection and transparency,โ€ said Nichols.
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@ABABankers
American Bankers Association
7 months
New today - ABA unveils consumer survey data on debit cards, overdraft and other banking issues in play in Washington. Learn more:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
Dear $MJUS, You need to have your heads examined. Sincerely, People who don't recklessly dump good cos. into no bid just to buy up the offer on bad ones
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
1. Even if you discount my verbose rant yesterday, supporting my OCF/Operating Income thesis/chart is 2019 performance. Here's the correlation between Operating Income & SP past 12 months: Green on my chart: 1. $TRUL 52% 2. $VLNS 129% 3. $LABS 125% 4. $PLTH 80% 5. $CXXI 23%
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
Live shot of @Bkov9 warming up for the conference call:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
@todd_harrison These generic comps are fine to understand the ~2x in profit on rescheduling but wait til you see the breakdown I'm working on of everyone for a 280E vs. Non-280E profit difference. Eg. When we go from 275% effective tax rate to 21% (no NV state income tax).
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
Agreed. As much as I hesitate to sound bullish given the PTSD everyone has from too many sector rug pulls, this is the single biggest catalyst in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ #cannabis to-date given its path to 280E repeal. IMO, $MSOS's tracking basket likely outperforms as was the case in past bull runs.
@MeridaCap
Merida Capital Holdings
1 year
This is going to sound crazy coming from us, since we are peak skeptics on the political process, but stocks should actually be up much more on this reco from HHS. Not in any way opining on timing etc, but just saying directionally, moves should be steep. Even poorly run ETFs
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
One Prohibitionist Turtle down ๐Ÿข...
@seungminkim
Seung Min Kim
7 months
WASHINGTON (AP) โ€” Mitch McConnell will step down as the Senate's Republican leader in November, ending a record run in the powerful post.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
For those who deliberate on SAFE's importance, this is just one of the impacts the delay in passing this bipartisan, bicameral reform has had on the industry. Taxation without representation (banking, insurance etc.) is the plight of the industry. Do your job, @SenateBanking .
@JasonGWild
Jason Wild
1 year
Bad news and good news. @Citibank just closed my personal bank accounts and all my Citi credit cards including my Costco Mastercard ๐Ÿ˜ค after having me as a Citigold client for the last 25 years. They said they think I may be involved in cannabis. The good news is that @Citibank
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธCannabis Comp Table: Cash Flow from Operations Updated Q2: $VEXTF $TLLTF $JUSHF $PLNHF $SLGWF $CNTMF $GAEGF Merged: $TCNFF + $HRVSF $VRNOF $GTBIF $TRSSF $MRMD $CRLBF $CXXIF $AYRWF $HBORF $SHWZ $LOWLF $FFNTF $FLOOF $GDNSF $CCHWF $RWBYF $ACRHF $CURLF Price thru Aug 27
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
10 months
How it feels being invested in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ cannabis with conviction -- unequivocally hostage to federal reform -- while watching everything else make new highs:
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@iancassel
Ian Cassel
10 months
You can borrow someone elseโ€™s stock ideas, but you canโ€™t borrow their conviction. Conviction can only be obtained by trusting your own research over that of others. Conviction is necessary because at multiple points with every multibagger it's going to be you against the world.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 months
Hopefully S3 makes this far overdue, necessary piece easier to cross the finish line once & for all.
@ABABankers
American Bankers Association
5 months
ABA Statement: SAFER Banking Act Still Needed, Even if Administration Moves to Reclassify Cannabis Read more:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
Investing in #Cannabis : Big 5 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธMSOs (60% of $MSOS ETF): $CURLF $GTBIF $TCNNF $VRNOF $CRLBF ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธTotals: EV/TTM Sales $4.5B = 4.6x EV/EBITDA $1.5B = 13.9x vs. Big 5 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆLPs (35% of $MJ ETF): $TLRY $CGC $SNDL $CRON $ACB ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆTotals: EV/TTM Sales* $1.4B = 9.3x EV/EBITDA ($543M) = 100.2x
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
Just a quick #cannabis comp table as companion to the popular graphic that @S_Andreoni put together, with updates to LPs who reported fins last week as well as added adj. EBITDA column. Note: Cannabis Sales ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ $CURLF $GTBIF $CRLBF $TCNNF ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ $WEED/ $CGC $TLRY $APHA $CRON $ACB
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
2/ The idea that the market is "telling" us something about reform timing when the entire flush this wk has been on <1% of the sector's MC is simply ridiculous. The market isn't telling us a thing, other than what we already know -- a deficient market awaiting material change.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
6 years
Here are some upcoming catalysts for $CXXI: 1. US ticker: US registration statement is effective. US banks with licenses in Canada/CSE can trade shares (eg. TD Ameritrade). Call your broker. Company is awaiting SEC paperwork to file with FINRA for active US ticker. 1/7
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
Nice to see $TLRY's better execution but trading AHs ~900x $2.2M EBITDA posted, whereas $TCNNF trades ~25x $67.5M EBITDA last Q. Also, US$41M in cannabis sales + US$53M in $APHA's cannabis sales isn't "the world's largest cannabis company based on pro forma revenue"... It's 6th.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
Beacon out today with their Q2 Cash Flow Report, including 29 cos w $CXXIF's & $MMNNF's Q2 results: "...we view the leaders on OCF margins as (in order) $VEXT, $CXXI and $TRUL. Net of working capital, the leaders on CFO margins were $CXXI, $VEXT and $VRNO " $VEXTF $TCNNF $VRNOF
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
6 months
FWIW, this OLC legal opinion would be binding.
@V_arrell
Anthony Varrell
6 months
My sources tell me the OLC legal opinion requested by the HHS is done and ready to be published. Itโ€™s also validating the HHS recommendation and in our favor regarding rescheduling. $MSOS
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
@jthum9101 Share unlocks: $HARV 217M started May 15th but structure unknown. $TRUL 75.5M July 25th. $VREO 48M in 1/3rd tranches Sept/Dec/Mar. $CURA 371M Oct. 20th. $MMEN 375M starting Nov 25th in increments over 12 months. $CL 205M Dec 3rd/June 3rd. I'll look to put out a full list soon.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
Here is one of the more comprehensive & succinct theses I've come across on the catalysts ahead for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธcannabis, by the investment advisory firm, ICANIVEST:
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
Wow! To all the bashers that were so certain a $CXXI PP was coming in 20% lower, how about 20% higher! Didn't see that coming. C21 continues to execute deals with shareholder value in mind. No doubt this relatively small dilution will set things up well for upcoming expansion.
@WallBayHoweSt
Steven Feldman
5 years
News: C21 Investments$CXXI.c closes $7.71-million private placement @ $1.38/unit
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
@iancassel @junglejava1 Have you heard the one about a $100B๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธindustry by '30 stuck on illiquid/foreign exchanges w no institutional access/custody issues, legislative hurdles, suffocating algos/naked shorts, predatory lending/antiquated tax regime, w ~20 investable names, a dozen already CF+ despiteโฌ†๏ธ?
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
8 months
Thanks for having me on, TDR! Always a pleasure to chat about the sector, even on the not-so-fun red days. ๐Ÿ™
@TheDalesReport
The Dales Report
8 months
MSOS Stock Analysis & Key Industry Catalysts Ahead | Trade To Black
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
7 months
What a beat by the bellwether... Congrats on leading the way, @Bkov9 !! ๐Ÿค›๐Ÿ‘
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
1. Agree with @JSchultz44 's read on this ๐Ÿ‘‡, although the timing here by JPM seems suspect at best, as most of the custody/compliance issues came to a head much earlier this year with CS, BAML, Wasatch etc. FWIW, I've done some sleuthing on this and will share what I can...
@JSchultz44
Jeff Schultz
3 years
@WeedStreet420 How I read this: โ€œweโ€™re asking for updated, clear FinCEN guidance and an updated Cole Memo once #SAFEBanking passes, and we need to ask with clean handsโ€
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
10 months
Skate to where the puck is going, so they say... Unless politicians are too inept to reform antiquated, incongruent federal law with the state-led green wave, leaving no custody for 99% of capital to enter. In that case, you've skated to purgatory, where 18 of us still believe:
@carlquintanilla
Carl Quintanilla
10 months
TD COWEN: โ€œ.. Legal Cannabis Now a Formidable Competitor to Alcohol. .. over the next 5 years, the cannabis category will add 18 mm past-month consumers, while alcohol will lose 2 mm .. as consumers increasingly embrace cannabis and temper their alcohol consumption.โ€ $MSOS
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
Globe & Mail article yesterday picked $CXXI as 1 of 6 US cannabis cos. to invest in, noting Silver State acquisition (4x cash flow) as a coup. They should have mentioned Sparks is the most profitable dispensary on the planet ($11.2M USD EBITDA in '18).๐Ÿ‘‡
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
1/ $SAM $4.3B MC 18% YoY Growth TTM EBIT=$57Mโžก๏ธ80x EV/EBIT TTM Cash Flow=$56M $27M Cash $GTBIF $3.8B MC 48% YoY Growth TTM EBIT=$215Mโžก๏ธ18x EV/EBIT TTM Cash Flow=$147M AFTER $125M 280E provisions $230M Cash Oh, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis is poised to 2x sales from $25B in '21 to ~$50B in '26.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
9 months
"But donโ€™t miss the broader significance. As far as weโ€™re aware, this is the first time the DEA has publicly acknowledged any review is ongoing. A DEA spokesperson told Bloomberg back in August that the agency would initiate its review after receiving the HHS recommendation."
@todd_harrison
Todd Harrison
9 months
DEA REVIEWING MARIJUANA'S CLASSIFICATION: PUNCHBOWL ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis ๐ŸŒฟ
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
Officially an oil extraction co. now, $CXXI can begin to showcase how their subsidiaries are more than the sum of their parts. Hopefully you didn't believe know-it-all bashers that Swell wouldn't close.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
Hardest principle to practice is to let winners run (assuming fundies/thesis intact). ๐Ÿง๐Ÿงต๐Ÿ‘‡ by JW on riding strength, esp. for the asymmetrical ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis in 1st inning w its catalysts still on deck (SAFE, uplist, repeal of 280e etc.) If you don't mind a bumpy ride... #MSOGang
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@JasonGWild
Jason Wild
4 years
@jimcramer Iโ€™m a big fan of William Oโ€™Neal (IBD) and his research indicates that the stocks that have the best relative strength, are the best ones to buy going forward.(as long as fundamentals are good) To IBD doubling or tripling is a qualifier not a disqualifier. Bottom of the 1st here!
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
"The bill may include wording that could reassure banks that they can work with cannabis companies on basic things like bank accounts and loans, and propose removing the tax known as 280E that has kept many companies from profitability."
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
5 years
I just got off the phone with OTC Markets and they confirmed that $CXXI now has an active US ticker, $CXXIF. These things usually take a day or so for your broker to have it live for trading online. GL
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
1 year
$MSOS >$10 strong premarket on >1M vol. ๐Ÿ‘€๐Ÿ‘€
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
Live shot of JPM's clients watching ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis ๐ŸŒฟ this week:
@mayortoby
Toby Channabis ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒฟ
3 years
All these fundamental catalysts are still on deck. $MSOS +20% move in a week is an anthill compared to the mountain of Growth + Multiple Expansion that we'll see. $CURLF $GTBIF $TCNNF $CRLBF $VRNOF $TRSSF $AYRWF $MSOS
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
Winner of the best ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #cannabis analyst note title goes to Craig-Hallum: "Smoke 'Em If You've Got 'Em. The Time To Act Is Now As Congress Prepares Legalization Bill" "we believe there's significant upside in Tier 2 Operators... $VREOF, $FFNTF, $CXXIF, $HARVF, $JUSHF, & $PLTHF"
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
3 years
In Mar. '22, after 3.5yrs of failure operating in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆcannabis, $TLRY's CEO, with NO current ๐Ÿฅฆoperations in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ, is asked about U.S. federal reform by @cnbc , instead of an actual MSO's CEO. Like asking @Bkov9 about growing potted mums in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆgreenhouses. Because we're still early.
@WeedStreet420
WeedStreet420
3 years
Lawmakers should listen to constituents who want legal marijuana, says Tilray CEO $TLRY Irwin Simon, Tilray chairman and CEO, joins โ€˜Closing Bellโ€™ to discusses the likelihood of the SAFE Act being passed through Congress and what that means for investors.
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
4 years
Top 10 in Cash Flow generated last quarter for public ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ&๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ #cannabis + current CF trading multiple (EV/CFO annualized): 1 $CL 92x 2 $AYR 35x 3 $GTII 188x 4 $PLTH 121x 5 $CXXI 15x 6 $APHA 663x 7 $HITI 21x 8 $TIUM 42x 9 $HARV 449x 10 $MRMD 80x Sources(CAD): EV: BMO CFO:๐Ÿ‘‡+SEDAR
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@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
$MSOS impressive strength yet again today. Size buyer sweeping up creating constant +arb but today even more pronounced triggering buy programs on tracking basket to close IV arb. "CIBC" algo worked hard this week to suppress the basket in ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ but being forced to flip long today.
@sammyj_19
Sammy J
2 years
@Rony_Ferrari All I know is $MSOS has had a sophisticated buyer of size for wks now. Not moving price but making a big bet here. Constant slight +arb for 2wks. Haven't seen that in 2yrs. Reason the basket has had < than avg. vol. is they're keeping the range tight, so not much MM arb trading.
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