a few months can change everything, went from not being very good at pandas and knowing nothing about systematic trading strategies to running a 2+ sharpe on multiple alphas as an intern
hmm. can mean-reversion be mean-reverting? just tinkering a bit with mean-reversion in futures spreads; using simple EMA & +1/-1 std line
monkey brain within me wants to model a sine-curve but there's some nuance here...looks like the mean reversion time is mean-reverting.
was reading
@quant_arb
's ranked long-short post & he was talking a lot about how these "alphas" one has are just formulas (to get alpha score, quantile-parition then long/short). surely there has to be some automated discovery system for these.
a key lesson of growing up is accepting that life is not fair but i don’t think ill ever be able to fully process this reality
at the end of the day EV is probabilistic, irrespective of if you’ve done the work and more, checked everything, thought beyond, etc
also a trivial lesson learnt so late by me, make one big backtesting engine for everything. used to code up each alpha then backtest it etc, too much room for error. also it’s so nice to have all the statistics and graphs in front of you whenever you’re thinking about a strat
anyone have any tips for falling asleep?
had a 5-6 hour sleep schedule during exams and can’t seem to get out of it now that i’ve finished them.
got magnesium, try to go on a run an hour before bed, mind just is too active/conscious when i’m in bed
i think the most important thing i’ve learned this year is to choose to be a winner rather than revel in not being one; choose brightness over darkness; choose freshness over dullness. these are all conscious choices we make everyday
absolutely fucking love it when you have a strat idea/intuition about why xyz insert market phenomenon is something we can profit off of, quickly write a dirty signal, backtest it and it has edge
high EV thing i've learned from one of the world's best PMs this week: think in levels.
whenever you have a thought or "implication" idea, assume that's level 1 depth of thought. now extrapolate (non-pedantically) to l2, l3, etc
@BlackSwan_ptf
of course it's cope and i know better to believe that hard work + diligence is enough - things can be very idio - but this is the ev optimal mindset from my view, all the other things aren't in your control
acc gonna end all this shit. been working all day on some visualization tool and the second i present to the big man everything goes to shit and errors. he’s like just “just fix it and we’ll try it tomorrow because right now I can’t say anything”
holy fuck, just hit 1k followers. started this account a few months ago during exam season to just tweet random thoughts, met so many amazing people along the way
@tailwiinder
over the past few months i've picked up the habit of saying "that's life" with exponentially larger frequency than i ever used to and it's improved my outlook on so many things
@quantymacro
thought i got ghosted from this firm after final round, no response to any emails sent to HR, 2 weeks later, recruiters “can we call for 15 mins within the next hour” and gives me an offer
quant is more of a philosophical endeavour than i once thought. every strategy always has an “underlying philosophy” which characterizes it…, e.g. EMH, density of a forecasting problem, idea of convexity/non-linearity etc
need to find ways to recover properly, right now in just an in-between state of constant thinking about what i need to do while making myself do “restful things”. i don’t think laying in bed would be any better though
it's so crazy how i can feel so young and like i have the rest of eternity to try things out yet like the world's ending in a few years and i need to get to where i want to go now
so weird how you can want something for so long but the second you get it, doesn’t feel as important or as special anymore.
curse of the hedonic treadmill
great lesson my friend taught me; be very careful in being overhedged. an obvious thought - more often than not, unless you're super sure about your idio - hedging downside comes at the cost of upside.
in my culture we have a saying, "it's fine to eat little, but eat well" - i feel like this applies to everything; better to spend time with yourself than people who make it <=0 EV better
acc gonna end all this shit. been working all day on some visualization tool and the second i present to the big man everything goes to shit and errors. he’s like just “just fix it and we’ll try it tomorrow because right now I can’t say anything”
when you commit to one thing, it's so crazy how quickly things and you can change. looking back at messages from high school and it seems like another life - happy it's unrecognizable
i think every one who wants to get into quant should do some sort of competitive problem solving / oly / advanced reading on their own.
learning the frame of mind one needs to have to approach solving problems you have no clue initially how to solve is priceless
the feeling when you learn from the past, incorporate the lessons, go the extra mile, go further, think at another level - abstract, transform, project - and fucking smash it
always +ev to wake up earlier; biggest psyop i've fed myself is that i can work effectively during the night. 1 hr of work at 5am = 4 hours of work at night
so much fucking systematic alpha in just taking a walk, thinking about what is beyond the surface level in terms of what's "arb'd out", then seeing how you can exploit that
interesting thought and maybe obvious realization: every dataset is different and in a lot of markets information is close to symmetric. the edge lies in juicing out all the signal from the dataset better than your adversary so you can respond a) quicker b) stronger