Mr. Peanut Bettor Profile
Mr. Peanut Bettor

@mr_peanutbettor

820
Followers
545
Following
35
Media
1,351
Statuses

Joined July 2022
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
@ScottBarrettDFB @RAanalytics @SethWalder Yeah, I often talk shit using top mph. Very normal football guy talk.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
3 months
@RichHomieFlom I hope he is able to feed his family. Amount of people worried about this 100 millionaire taking less money is almost as weird as being worried about the billionaire’s tax bill. Before you talk about the precedent this sets the BRI split is the same. This has basically no imp.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
7 months
@the_transit_guy If your takeaway is that students have gotten this much smarter every year because the GPA has gone up then you could level this trend line by enrolling.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
29 days
@mlombardiNFL You’re never gonna believe how many points they give you for a touchdown
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
Getting 10% CLV obviously means the bet still has a 40% chance to lose. However, I view it as basically 98% win. And when it loses, I will treat it like a historic injustice.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
6 months
@bballbreakdown Mo Wagner with dirty play at the top of the clip. “WHY DO THE CAVS HATE MO WAGNER!?” Let’s hope we can figure this one out.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
9 months
@4WhomJBellTolls That’s not the rule. The ref has the latitude to give him a touchdown.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
9 months
@HoopsReference If twitter is deciding whether he plays or sits, then he and the organization are to blame.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
@_talkswithtj Chelsea Gray is a baller, but Chris Paul has had an unquestionably better career. James Harden also has been better than Plum. Getting compared to a top-5ish player of all time at their position is not an insult….
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
@MitchSchwartz71 Holy shit Mitchell you are so smart!!! Congrats!
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
10 months
@Crocky209 @_willcompton Not sure Riley Cooper can get playing time for the black team, but it's still good roster depth.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
7 months
@LedgieSports If you think this a super explosive finish from a good NBA athlete you’ve watched to many pistons games brother.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
7 months
@Sam_Vecenie Obviously game has changed at NCAA level, but Tim Duncan didn’t win at Wake and was 5th in MVP voting the following year.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
12 days
Bettors when talking about being limited vs exploiting a software glitch.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
"Can we not hit these so god damn early," as I get mad at people betting on days I used to bet at. Important to remember, no matter when you bet, anyone hitting limits lower than you is a broke loser. People betting after you, well what do they expect, that's not your concern.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
The look he gives you when you price an NFL alt win total with a binomial distribution instead of a beta-binomial.
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@UnabatedSports
Unabated
1 month
It's everything you ever wanted to know about statistics, data and sports betting. We've got @PlusEVAnalytics rolling in for a live AMA in the Discord on Sept. 25. Get ready. ➡️
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
22 days
@dlGgSyeTaGaiN @FezzikSports Please make sure to mention “fezzik is clearly sharp and I do think he wins long term” before pointing out one of his various scams. That’s a basic requirement of gambling twitter I thought.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 days
@d_feustel This is of all the games that start at 9….. I didn’t get 20-1 on first score of a single game?
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
Money has been pouring in on dogs all morning like this is some type of Hattian restaurant.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
When everyone is waiting for 7.5 line to turn 7, you probably should just take the 7.5. Believe it or not, the rest of the market also understands key numbers.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
@propdude7 “It looks like you used a bot on this market. You bet 30 times at $50 a pop.” That’s where you’re wrong bucko, I manually bet this market over and over again while watching TV hoping you wouldn’t notice. Nowhere in terms of service does it outlaw extreme grit and work ethic
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 days
@sprotzbettor @dlGgSyeTaGaiN @norealcappers @d_feustel Newest version of answer key actually shuts down when you have an edge deemed too large. You just have to click “American book that doesn’t pay me to consult” though and it works.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
19 days
WOW @JeffreyBenson12 and Circa sports trying to erase Mr. PB's CLV with insider trading gimicks. Doesn't seem profitable given limits at the time, but who knows how deep this conspiracy goes. Someone tell @ManOfTheLibrary we have proof the game is rigged!
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 months
@Benstonium They said the lineman made an illegal call. This clip shows absolutely nothing about that.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
10 months
@TaylorLewan77 What if they’re trying to go through the process as a sexual assault victim, but then you call and threaten them?
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
13 days
@Matthew_Trench Some people use their account only for gambling. I use my other accounts to fight climate change, help the working class, fight misinformation, and protect free speech. However, this account fights to ensure Spanky can bet 100K with bots into Turkish soccer at <3% hold.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 years
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
A little less time worrying about books limiting you and a little more time jamming some kiosks would do everyone some good.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 year
@maxmcc11 The suns owner refused to give up the ball then got in a player's space. I think a technical was warranted, but if they ejected him from a critical playoff game for that, it would be historically lame.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
3 months
I love the idea that Rex is so horny he puts a hot chick golfing as his 2nd best sports photo all time, BUT even the hottest girl can’t surpass Muhammad Ali.
@Rex_Beyers
Rex Beyers
3 months
@PaigeSpiranac This is probably one of the top 2 sports photographs of all time, only behind Muhammad Ali taunting Sonny Liston...
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
29 days
The self exclusion tweet was dumb, but I really doubt it did anyone any harm. Obviously fair to criticize, but the 1000th quote tweet for someone to show their followers how responsible they are, might have been grandstanding.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
@vegastbone @d_feustel So, you know exactly what you can do with them?
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
19 days
@thebeaglebets @ASFleischman I am not saying they deserve a longer sentence by any means, but I don't think it's petty vandalism. It's probably the most severe version possible.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
19 days
This is so true 💯. Those who know, KNOW!!! I cheer against my bets since every bet that wins is a wasted opportunity to learn more and motivate myself to grind HARDER 😤😤😤 I had a great week in CFB and have been furious ever since. Hope to catch some more Ls Saturday. 🙌🙌
@stoic_boy1
stoic boy
20 days
i love losing bets. every loss makes me stronger. every loss sharpens my mind. every loss makes me mentally tough, and i get to inspire the world by how i handle losing bets.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
24 days
Tried to explain to a group of more traditional fans why it was smart the Browns went for two. Convinced one person. 9 others think I am an idiot. Sometimes you’re better off just shutting up.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
25 days
“Are we sure Will Howard is better than Kyle McCord?”- people who don’t know ball.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
Sorry, but Carson Steele will be out of the league in 2 years. Owning a Crocodile would be a huge positive for a wide receiver. My fullback should own livestock and maybe a well behaved German Shepherd.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
Listening to a podcast and @_Collin1 exclaims, “I have a DIME at WVU -4! And I might not even look to get out of it.” This is a man giving advice on which Thursday lines to take lol. 10/10 no notes.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
23 days
@capjack2000 Yeah, some people are picking a job that is more fun but pays less. The group of people picking that is people without a family to support. Seems like a rational response rather than something to shit on.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
6 months
@mfarrellsports When will hall of famer Deion Sanders learn the steps to success is a question I often ask myself.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
27 days
Sharps already on it.
@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
27 days
NFL drives lasting longer should make Wong teasers more valuable even beyond just the value added from lower game total. Less drives should also make negative money alts better than currently priced. Not sure if enough to overcome vig, but probably worth looking into
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
3 months
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
15 days
“And now they have official sportsbook partners like Fanduel and draftkings” - Incoming Pete Rose takes from the dumbest person you’ve ever met.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
For all the talk about Fanduels props being sharp (kinda true). I think their derivatives are way sharper.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
@TheTailgateTent @RASPicks Wow, pretty crazy that this statement just so happens to make all 3 of you guys money. Hard to disagree with for sure!
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
Karl Anthony Towns when he has already committed several dumbass fouls earlier in the game
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
10 months
@grpwins Pretty soon everyone will be using them. Kids in school might start using them to write notes even. You truly are an inspiration George.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
30 days
Thought a line would be gone by time I woke up this morning so I hit at Circa and BM last night. Moved less on my action than normal, and this morning they were already back to original number
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
You should be able to message the sportsbook trader to talk shit. Guy undermoves on a bet that gets huge CLV I want to chirp at them like Draymond.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
Agreed. If Kyrie wins the title, can we even say Hitler quotes are bad anymore?
@danorlovsky7
Dan Orlovsky
5 months
I’m not an NBA super fan but man the public narrative that seems to have been said/spread about Kyrie and hoops and certainly his character/personality over the past few seasons isn’t what we’re watching at all.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
4 months
@jaredleesmith Good work Jared. They’re the same volatility as any other binomial distribution but good storytelling like this will help you give shit plays consistently.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
28 days
Imagine working for basketball reference and you think you’re creating a fun tool that people can use to compare players. Instead it will be co-opted by the Twitter idiots to make the dumbest cases you’ve ever heard.
@KinnickNorth23
Kinnick North
28 days
If you say A'ja is the unanimous MVP, that's fine. But if you also say that Caitlin isn't in the conversation, you're delusional....
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
23 days
Can someone please explain why the 50th best team in the country is not ranked in the top 25? Please I am very confused as to what is going on?
@Buffaloed777
Buffaloed
23 days
@BrianHowell33 ⁩ Can you explain this please?
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
26 days
Best @_Collin1 quotes latest pod: "Line automatically goes towards SP+, people are not even doing their own handicap." Limits are 20K right now. "Market screaming FSU will win this game. If you believe in the market take FSU" - Market never tells you to take current number.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
23 days
@capjack2000 Except it’s not reality. It’s a major projection to say all these people picked their job to try to be cool and eventually will realize how to budget properly. Maybe they picked it because working in a job around sports is more fun than an insurance company.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
That decision didn’t cost them 15% win prob and it’s pretty disingenuous to say it did. If Florida threw an interception the next play we wouldn’t have said the punt helped them gain win prob. We can’t just use analytics selectively to bash easy targets.
@ESPN_BillC
Bill Connelly
2 months
Miami is dominating, then wastes a timeout before punting on fourth-and-1 and giving up a long TD run. Just lighting 15% win probability on fire.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
29 days
@Paulie927 @mlombardiNFL Wow, almost like there is more to this equation than FG=3 and points are good? Maybe we should assign probability to the outcomes and decide what’s best based on that
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
Bill - "I've always said the presidency is like cooking a good meal. You have your veal parm, some asparagus, a nice wine. At the end, ya know, Biden was kinda losing it. He was like, 'here's some dog.' Wait, what!?" Kamala - awkward laugh Russillo: "So your tax plan"
@awfulannouncing
Awful Announcing
1 month
Kamala Harris ally wants her to do interviews with Bill Simmons, Paul Finebaum
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
Bet enough, and a million lines move against you. Usually I can understand why whether it is disagreement on pace, QB quality, etc. However, I have no idea why the hell this LSU/South Carolina game is down to 5.5. Unless it is a headfake, I am really missing something.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
3 months
@PlusEVAnalytics The government deciding what any company can or cannot say is a first amendment violation, yes. Mind blowing fact.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 months
@drafticipation @DreamerDK56 @zacharycneel Then they’ll have one third of LSUs losses
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 days
Already down, so figured I'd share. Southpoint has first team to score Saturday. I think SMU at 20-1 is way undervalued. Limits are $100 but you can re-bet and they haven't moved all day so either they're not keeping an eye on it or really don't respect my opinion.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
10 days
Saying “Turning a two score game into a two score game” when you make the score 16 after 13, is a sign you are an analytics fraud. Framing: Scoring two touchdowns And Scoring two touchdowns Converting two extra points Winning in overtime As the same is dumb.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
28 days
@HoodxBear You either lose a hero or win long enough to start loser engagement bait content.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
The bet was Colorado/NDSU under 60.5. We aren’t through the first quarter and it’s now projected to lose.
@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
Getting 10% CLV obviously means the bet still has a 40% chance to lose. However, I view it as basically 98% win. And when it loses, I will treat it like a historic injustice.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
14 days
@RossTuckerPod If you count the settlement payments I would say DeShaun Watson is probably spending just as much if not more.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
9 days
@dlGgSyeTaGaiN Fezzik is clearly a sharp guy and I do think he wins* but this is poetry.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 months
@htowncritic Good point. This is obviously a very serious take.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
I am not offended by Pat McAfee. I am not mad he got a lot of money from ESPN, he built a quality show that a lot of people liked. I just do not get it from an entertainment perspective. He's worse than offensive. He's boring.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
21 days
The real answer is not insulting a 21 year old kid or even blame the NIL for not making their payments. The answer is to set up a system where there is no weird gray legal area and handshake deal nonsense. You know where this doesn’t happen…. The NFL
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
4 months
@undercleavage @StoolGreenie Ya, honestly, I am wrong when comparing it to half court offense only. Don't think comparing the regular season number to playoffs half-court rating is correct, but I fucked up when comparing it to O-Rating instead of Half Court O-Rating. I was wrong there.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
4 months
The comments on this are insane. I think it’s okay to make fun of a logo without thinking that causes irreparable damage to women’s sports. If you can only say positive things about a sport/league the conversations are going to be boring as hell (and eventually non-existent).
@RyderReally
Lesley Ryder 🇵🇷
4 months
A’ja Wilson is not too pleased with Just Women’s Sports. One of their shows, “Expert Adjacent” aired a segment lampooning the logo of two-time WNBA champion and MVP’s new signature shoe. The post from JWS has since been deleted from social media.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
Yeah, sick humble brag, I know. Not everyone can crush week 1 extra games a few days out like me.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
@losing_bettor @JeffreyBenson12 @Dylan_Hagan_ Surely if he has built a model he knows man of library is right and sports are rigged. Circa doesn't want that info discussed by employees.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
@Rex_Beyers It’s a liquid market. If you don’t have the money to change the line you can’t call it a joke of a line.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
@Rex_Beyers @JeffreyBenson12 @grpwins We need more people to follow you Rex. People are missing out on insanely horny tweets followed by horrible sports opinions.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
10 months
@Hitman428 If he got down all he needed/could, it's not unreasonable to tell his followers to get as much as possible down before it gets taken off the board. Working for pregame and being mad someone gave away picks is certainly a choice.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
27 days
NFL drives lasting longer should make Wong teasers more valuable even beyond just the value added from lower game total. Less drives should also make negative money alts better than currently priced. Not sure if enough to overcome vig, but probably worth looking into
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
8 months
@GBpickem This is not correct at all.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
13 days
@propdude7 @ me next time or you will be competing for ROY of the cemetery
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
3 months
Look at this note…. @herhoopstats actually has some interesting stats especially for NCAAW but this is beyond embarrassing. Pathetic @drmataya
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
12 days
@TShoeIndex A spread sheet? No fucking way.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
@Handicappadonna @JeffreyBenson12 @d_feustel @logan_matthews9 Very sharp. When pricing first quarters I actually have an input based on Nvida stock price. Probably how I am somehow able to defeat the army of Stephen Hawking geniuses employed by Fanduel.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
3 months
The worst part about betting CFB is that, because the data isn’t structured, it involves listening to idiotic podcast hosts discuss their shit handicapping because how else can I efficiently learn about SMU’s returning talent.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
4 months
You guys want to debate bearding being unethical DURING PRIDE MONTH? Makes me sick.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
@YouGetNoCLV Is this supposed to be a gotcha? Is a bad week of results proof of I need to buy a pick package?
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
23 days
@capjack2000 If someone said you picked your job for it’s “cool factor” and would eventually need to quit because you can’t pay your student loans, would you take that as a compliment?
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
@grpwins George, when you started lightly harassing women online, no one said anything, hoping you would give up. You’re approaching stalker territory. Please spend more time reviewing last years standings and less making 69 jokes.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
Cover 3 summer school and pods like this are more helpful for anyone originating than “gambling focused” podcasts. Get information from people with specialized knowledge and figure out how to use it to better
@Timothy_Rosy
Timothy Rosario
2 months
Mountain West preview from @BudElliott3 on @Cover3Podcast was frickin awesome. @TMcHargue16 was great as well. Check it out
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
4th down decisions are 1% of a coach’s job, but because its the 1% we feel comfortable evaluating we treat it like it’s 99%.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 days
Limits are $100 but they didn’t move because I’m a moron who didn’t check to see if Muhammad Ali was being honored.
@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
11 days
Already down, so figured I'd share. Southpoint has first team to score Saturday. I think SMU at 20-1 is way undervalued. Limits are $100 but you can re-bet and they haven't moved all day so either they're not keeping an eye on it or really don't respect my opinion.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
26 days
@joel_norris7 @_Collin1 It’s not get through, I am a fan. I admire the confidence despite not knowing what he’s talking about. I aspire to it.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 months
If you can’t move the line yourself, you can’t call it stupid.
@CFBWatcher
College Football Watcher
2 months
If you’re not hammering the Notre Dame ML at plus money vs Texas A&M in 10 days, then I don’t know what you’re doing. Notre Dame is going to win this game, and it wouldn’t surprise me if they do so by multiple scores.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 month
The Aces dropping the A'ja news right as all the NFL kicks off and books are busy taking games off the board/shifting to live. They're truly Vegas' team.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
12 days
I have no idea how you fix it. Probably can’t. But players are faking injuries at egregious levels in CFB
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
7 months
@ethankinneyy @JimPeteHoops @espn Good point. This definitely isn’t someone making a mistake. It’s a giant conspiracy to show the wrong record on a random sport center to promote laker superiority. You got it figured out.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
1 year
@WarriorsMuse This is the most useless, cherry-picked stat of all-time.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
5 months
Kyrie seems like a decent guy, don’t think he’s anti-Semitic, but to question his reliability after Brooklyn was 1000% fair and to suggest this was “narrative” is insane.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
22 days
@KirkEvans0 @walls_edward @adamchernoff What you said is worse than any personal attack. Criticizing a man’s podcast is as harmful or more than insulting his family. Plz apologize or put out a daily podcast at least 6 hours.
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@mr_peanutbettor
Mr. Peanut Bettor
2 years
@theEdgyBettor @TimF75 Having high juice on alts and dealing two different numbers are very different
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