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Logan

@logan_matthews9

3,089
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504
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32
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660
Statuses

sports bettor. prev crawley town. jfb

Joined October 2018
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
2022 World Cup Preview Thread
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
going to start a thread of people who never watched, played, or understand this sport explaining how to “fix” it for the US
@DavisMattek
Davis Mattek
2 years
I will only say this once during this WC: If the US gave up the pay to play structure for youth teams and incentivized young people to play soccer the way European and South American countries do, we could be the best country on Earth at soccer. They won’t, it’s depressing
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
ben the bettor getting stiffed 10k for a betting contest he won against an OF girl/tout is really the best way to cap the year on gambling twitter, let’s shut it down for december
@CourtsSports0
Courtney
2 years
@BenTheBettor TLDR but I told you before this, I’m not doing crypto. I told you Venmo/PayPal. I’m also busy lmfao I don’t answer to you at your pace. Have been on Twitter once today. I was going to pay you, but now I’m not. Guess that’s karma for always being a piece of garbage to everybody ✌️
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@JoeyKnish22 favorite part of the thread was him thinking mybookie has quants in the back setting their third division armenian soccer lines
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@capjack2000 @spanky @GamblingDrama @sporttrade_app lmaoooo you really thought you had something here
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 months
update: account was re-opened. huge thanks to @DaveMasonBOL and @BetOnlineBurns for reaching out and helping to fix seems like a couple CS people got bad info and passed it onto me. have never had an issue with bol until now so would still give them full confidence going forward
@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 months
can @DaveMasonBOL @BetOnlineBurns or anybody else assist in getting an account unlocked at sportsbetting? i was told it’s permanent, they are confiscating the ~25k, and was not given a reason why
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @TheFoodSnobFrog @AdamBjorn2 @spanky @sporttrade_app @BallysAC convenient conclusion to come to as a board member/investor in the project if winning bettors can be removed from the platform, it really isn’t operating like a true exchange. end of discussion
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @SahrTrading @PlusEVAnalytics "i dont think anyone who starts a business is in it for the money" is a real thing you typed out and sent into the world
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@capjack2000 personally shocked this is the conclusion you came to
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love a good tout war when none of the touts win
@NelsonAdcock
Nelson Adcock
1 year
@JBC69 @CalvinAndHobo @RunPureSports Interesting response. I don't consider mine a shot, your response without a doubt was. When i look at your results for the last year in golf I don't see "win everyday". Weird
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
28 days
@RASPicks dont hundreds of people watch those? the only conclusion i can come to if a book would willing take mid-six figures on a side is they dont think the action is sharp
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
23 days
@local_leaks you pay - you just do it $100 a week and every monday say you’ll have it all by friday and respond to no messages in between
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Masters Day 4. 10/10 Go Rahmbo
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @DanKaps @SahrTrading @PlusEVAnalytics believe it or not - you and i (and other sports bettors) are not the standard for jobs. a vast, vast majority of people wish they didnt have to work, and they do so strictly to survive you sound like an out-of-touch trust fund baby with all of your comments today. log off
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody shocking you went from "all touts are bad" to "well only some bad" do you find your opinion on whether a specific tout is good or not is driven by if its you?
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
me bleeding money during the sentry/sony/amex stretch for the third year running
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@JoeyKnish22 man of the library walked so these people could run
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
can we get pika or someone of his ilk on @BetTheProcess this week? if we can get jack to come on too we'd really have a stew going
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
10 months
@bronerp4p @BetTheProcess someone should form a non profit to actually represent bettors maybe they’ll pivot and turn it into a tout service when they realize they don’t actually care about helping bettors though - who knows?
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@Ben_Cary_
Ben Cary
2 years
Imagine if the best athletes in the US played soccer at an early age and played it throughout their lives, USA would be unstoppable.
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
8 months
@RASPicks great timing for this. im sure nothing has happened recently that would push anti-tout sentiment
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
11 months
@AdamBjorn2 @UnabatedSports i think it is such a lazy response to say “anyone criticizing people online must be unhappy.” in fact, ive seen you call BS on numerous things on here. does that mean you are miserable? or is it maybe possible that unabated has some issues that people are rightly pointing out?
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if you are going to concede a 4 foot putt to win the entire event, why even show up today?
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @PlusEVAnalytics CJ is some of what's wrong about the industry. He cares about bettors and goes out of his way to help them for his own financial gain. Because of that, people question his motivations over a tweet about a company he has some sort of relationship with. CJ is a shill FIFY
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@AlexMonahan100 @JoeyKnish22 @pikkitsports up 1.6m yet still showing $200 bets at bovada classic example of somebody telling on themselves hope those affiliate deals are keeping the lights on buddy
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
quintessential nate silver here
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@callcustservice big fan of “benders” being on the list but not “having a child”
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@PlusEVAnalytics @RufusPeabody @thebeaglebets @spanky @Livedogluke how many people need to tell you you’re wrong before you believe it?
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 months
can @DaveMasonBOL @BetOnlineBurns or anybody else assist in getting an account unlocked at sportsbetting? i was told it’s permanent, they are confiscating the ~25k, and was not given a reason why
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@ShipTheJustice are you telling me the video of him selling his kids xmas presents to try win back everything he lost isnt good gambling content?
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
11 months
@SharpClarkeNFL lol what a tweet
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
awesome to see @UnabatedSports adding a feature which has a limited number of subscribers and tells you exactly what to bet. just need to add a CANCEL for head fakes and the transformation to selling picks is complete
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@capjack2000 @rxgamble @UnabatedSports its as simple as betting off market numbers at a 58% hit rate when do we get the unabated click bait ad of "sportsbook HATE him for this one weird trick to make $135/hour"
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
one is a license to print money, one is a giant fucking grind with numerous pitfalls and external factors that can ruin an always diminishing edge
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@JoeyKnish22
Joey Knish
1 year
Also fuck USMNT homer @logan_matthews9
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“im not a hater but your info is 100% useless” i know you think you are a martyr here but its the exact same thing i (and others) do to you. we tell you that you are wrong because we think we know better, just like you think you know better than josh gl on twitter dot com today
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
11 months
@RufusPeabody really no nice enough way for trolls to die imo
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
5 months
@dennycaps1 @goldenpants013 made a million but has to shill $87 subscriptions
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@Livedogluke really couldn’t believe she said “i was going to pay you, but now im not.” somehow losing a betting competition to the guy who couldn’t beat a turtle only the second most embarrassing thing she’s done this week
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
That said, I’ll go through some power rankings and discuss the group scenarios and share my numbers that may or may not be usable in the market, but that are probably decent enough for your pool with your friends Finally, as a trendy American, I’ll be referring to it as football
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@RufusPeabody @spanky people who don’t risk real dollars will continue to tell us all the things we are doing wrong and how much better they can do it until we all get the sweet embrace of death
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@PlusEVAnalytics the only certainty is it won’t be as valuable as if it was built by someone who actually understands the market
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
🫡
@JoeyKnish22
Joey Knish
2 years
Blind slappy patriot homers like @logan_matthews9 will tell you they’ll fancy US vs Iran. Don’t buy it. We wont score. Iran advances. USA OUT.
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@TheFoodSnobFrog @PlusEVAnalytics @sprotzbettor @bronerp4p @CirclesOffHQ @Pinnacle @GeorgeTsilfidis @TheHammerHQ - say dumb shit - get mad when people correct you - play victim just another day online for plus ev
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
8 months
@JoeyKnish22 that qt is an all timer (though im admittedly biased)
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@KirkEvans0 everything about this tweet is wrong
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@Trevor_Darnell certainly can’t compare to a… *checks notes*… former risk manager at south point? i think somebody might be overstating their role in the sports betting world and it’s not diggs
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @TheFoodSnobFrog @AdamBjorn2 @spanky @sporttrade_app @BallysAC finally, only one of us has a brand, and its the one selling multiple subscription services, deteriorating others edges in the process, and a podcast where you tout companies you have a financial stake in
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@dlGgSyeTaGaiN saying capt jack knows more about sports betting than you <<<<<<
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@spanky @spankodds how about an expanded soccer menu sir
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @_Spraguer @GamblingDrama it was such a great question you didnt even answer it
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @capjack2000 @jeffma @BetTheProcess sigh, what is this? do you not even respond to fair criticism anymore? sad that you have gone complete tout at this point. look forward to noted btp guest capt jack to come on and talk about how this actually isnt a big deal at all
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @TheFoodSnobFrog @AdamBjorn2 @spanky @sporttrade_app @BallysAC jfc lot to unpack here first off, you are quite literally the most condescending person i know. i cant even try to have a normal conversation with you anymore so i dont. youve gone full tout - even blocking people that call you out on takes you would have mocked a few years ago
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
3 months
@ngreenberg can you find a post where he talks about a loss/big loss and doesn't also mention how much he's won? ill wait
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
4 months
guaranteed promotion in two years - absolutely never in doubt for even a second up the fucking reds
@crawleytown
Crawley Town FC
4 months
❤️ REDS ARE GOING UP OLE OLE! #TownTeamTogether 🔴
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
5 months
personal record 6 calcuttas in the books for the masters. ranking possible winners scottie adam scott bryson someone who isnt very good at golf rahm/rory .... spieth someone who was good like 10 months ago (cantlay, zalatoris, morikawa) aberg brooks
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
11 months
@cfargis might need you to show your work on this one
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
5 months
another successful major in the books (despite bryson and aberg’s best efforts!) if you have a noteworthy calcutta for the next major (or basically any major sporting event) plz dm
@logan_matthews9
Logan
5 months
personal record 6 calcuttas in the books for the masters. ranking possible winners scottie adam scott bryson someone who isnt very good at golf rahm/rory .... spieth someone who was good like 10 months ago (cantlay, zalatoris, morikawa) aberg brooks
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@robpizzola Not sure how to tell you this Rob, but I think your brother is about to murder you
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@RASPicks i, for one, am shocked that touts affecting people’s ability to earn is being negatively received
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
patrick reed and nate silver becoming less likeable seemed like impossible things to wake up to
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@SharpClarkeNFL
SharpClarke 🔪
1 year
This academic paper explains more thoroughly why I don’t regress my numbers to the market, why I don’t use Kelly staking, and how a good origination model benefits from decorrelation with the market. Really good read.
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@ZeusODea @CirclesOff @Pinnacle @TheHammerHQ @robpizzola @PlusEVAnalytics bet sizing doesnt really matter - you can be v sharp and bet v little however, if you were in the industry for a long time, charging people thousands to learn about betting from you, at this point you should probably have a decent roll and bet size
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@KirkEvans0 @AnalyticsCapper really crazy how someone can pretend to be sharp, gain a following, and then scam people! impossible to predict that better not call anyone out though, wouldnt want to be accused of being a troll online
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
Not since MLS is Back arrived post COVID with 9am EST matches has the sport been more in the center of the betting world. The WC is not-so-arguably the most popular sporting event in the world and takes over for the next four weeks
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
Let’s lead with the most important fact - this is an extremely mature and liquid market. Pinny will inevitably take six figures a side as we get closer to kickoff, and you can get five figures on any future. This is not an event you can whip up an ELO model and think you’ll win
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
And that's it! We get in just before kickoff. If you are looking for a TLDR of my opinion vs market, I would say: High on: Netherlands, Senegal, Ghana Low on: Brazil (to win), Iran, Canada Lots of Ecuador steam coming in. Anecdotal, but steam crushed at the Euros
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
27 days
@Handicappadonna @aallssuupp @JeffreyBenson12 @d_feustel how about i just blast into main markets and you can catch the crumbs i leave you with your scrapers and api
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@daviddaman2 @HeHateMe2_0 @Norm_Benning david switching to "im actually a good guy" after hurling middle school insults in a thread about how he owes 10/10 no notes
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
3 months
@DataGolf tbf he did not specify it was amazingly positive
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
8 months
@SharpClarkeNFL nice, love to see a tout free rolling himself
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@AlexMonahan100 @natescottt_ @JoeyKnish22 i dont think comparing our profit is going to go the way you think it is
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
any chance i can get the NO side of this one @DaveMasonBOL ?
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
5 months
@goldenpants013 @giantsbadgers @ProfessorShine i think if you win over an 800 bet sample size you wouldn’t sell that ability for $90 month and would instead get rich yourself but ive been wrong before
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@PlusEVAnalytics lol these were both genuine questions you elected to ignore it’s fine man, you know you’re wrong (or want to just pretend you are right for some reason) and just paint me as a troll. best of luck on those $50 baseball win totals and suing caesars
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
11 months
@PaulTenorio motivation to spend relies on teams spending well. yes, paying >30 year olds 8 figures to not do much isn’t a great business model. but just look at lafc as the example of what spending wisely looks like
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
26 days
@chattim3 @chinamaniac @jjss64 its up there with his "i win 60% at golf MUs without even trying" bit but definitely below his "im a winning sports bettor" bit
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@JoeyKnish22 the never before seen good knish usmnt take
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@AlexMonahan100 @chickenratdog1 @natescottt_ @JoeyKnish22 "help people" while charging them 79/month and getting a percentage of their losses when the click sportsbook links on your site? there are literally youtube videos of me betting 6 figures with people. my face, sitting in my kitchen, betting more than you have in your life
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
8 months
@RASPicks @spanky @upnorthguy20 @mike47859570 do you ever play stuff you didnt give to subs? or does ras only bet stuff they give out (not front running it though im sure)? the mental gymnastics to compare you pocketing 7 figures on a once-in-a-lifetime losing streak to spanky having some accounts that lose is something
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@PlusEVAnalytics @bronerp4p @NecessaryPaper at least we agree that your class won’t help anyone have a sustainable edge. should put that on the flyer
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @TheFoodSnobFrog @AdamBjorn2 @spanky @sporttrade_app @BallysAC i dont care to get into a battle of semantics: this is a short-coming in sporttrade. no amount of tweets saying they did nothing wrong will protect your advisor shares from that
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @DuncanSports its the distinction to only you, but fair enough just to summarize: you bet your golf numbers yourself these bets have market impact after the market impact, you then sell them to people but you believe they have value still? and not only that, but people should PAY for them
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
5 months
@goldenpants013 @giantsbadgers @ProfessorShine i know the highest ev play is getting to go h2h until you tap out like other golf touts before you
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@JeffreyBenson12 @TheVicMonte wholesome interaction here, did not see that ending coming
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@storm_pig @sprotzbettor time for roofy to make another poll about how jack has actually helped so many people cant believe i wasted my cancel on kiv
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @capjack2000 @jeffma @BetTheProcess "I suspect that could happen if lots of people discover and bet the same vulnerability" what a concept!
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@SubtleAlterity @Quantum_Sport its this kind of level headed thinking that made him lose his entire bankroll last playoffs
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
9 months
as long as aberg doesnt shoot a 48 today, i think im going to win money on one of these events for the first time ever
@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
me bleeding money during the sentry/sony/amex stretch for the third year running
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@RufusPeabody @d_feustel @12Xpert @norealcappers the idea of a -110/-110 close just means there’s no value on either side at that number (in theory). fair number is therefore somewhere between those two id rather be on the side that someone bet at -102 and moved the market
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@RufusPeabody @Livedogluke @UnabatedSports a fundamental problem, you say? the entire nature of the "edges" that unabated finds is that they are all basically line errors - sometimes they are just more egregious like this one
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@KirkEvans0 the idea that someone would associate action network with successful betting is the only insane thing here
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@logan_matthews9
Logan
2 years
@ZeusODea on quite the roll of terrible takes
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