Locked-Up Capital @lockedupcap Twitter profile

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

14 days

Being late 30s is weird bc there’s a mixture of people who took risks and made it, people who took risks and didn’t, and people who followed a prescribed path

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

14 days

And of course people who are in the midst of taking risks.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Me for the next two weeks:

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@lockedupcap

3 years

The secrets of millionaires revealed:

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@lockedupcap

2 years

“Thoma Bravo, a private equity firm, just took out a software company at 12x forward sales. Today, you can buy a lot of software companies at roughly half that multiple, and they are growing faster with better fundamentals than the asset acquired by Thoma Bravo.” - @GavinSBaker

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@lockedupcap

2 years

What is a young but capital intensive public company building a massive moat today (e.g. what $TSLA, $AMZN, and $NFLX were 10-20 years ago)?

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@lockedupcap

3 years

PE associates be like

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@lockedupcap

14 days

@Hot_Fire_LLC Think so but I guess my point is at this stage of life I think the differences become most apparent for the first time

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@lockedupcap

3 years

That feeling when you thought value was making a comeback but it was just a 6x levered family office blowing up

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

Here's my public portfolio heading into the new year: AMT 17.0% AMZN 12.7% GLIBA 10.3% GOOGL 8.6% JD 8.3% MA 5.4% SBAC 4.6% MCO 4.3% BABA 4.3% TDG 4.1% SHOP 3.8% HEI/A 3.4% TCEHY 3.3% NIHD 3.2% ROP 2.9% NFLX 1.3% BOMN 0.9% ZS 0.7% SPOT 0.6% SMAR 0.4%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Here's my portfolio heading into Q3: SHOP 19.6% COUP 13.7% AYX 13.6% AMT 12.3% SBAC 6.4% MA 6.3% TDG 4.4% CDLX 3.7% TTD 3.2% AMZN 2.9% SMAR 2.7% CELH 2.7% HEI/A 2.6% ZS 2.0% CRWD 1.7% Cash 2.1% Crazy year/quarter

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Here's my public portfolio heading into Q3: AMZN 12.6% GLIBA 10.9% AMT 10.4% MA 7.3% COUP 6.8% SBAC 6.2% TDG 5.6% HEI/A 5.4% SHOP 4.7% BABA 4.6% NOW 4.1% ROP 3.9% TCEHY 3.7% CRWD 3.2% TTD 2.3% SMAR 2.1% JD 1.8% NFLX 1.7% AYX 1.6% ZS 1.2%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

14 days

@valuedrift Definitely

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@lockedupcap

4 years

Bought a car on $CVNA today. Was my first time ever buying a car. Took 20 minutes to do from bed. Super easy. Gets delivered in 6 days.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Anybody familiar with $CELH? It checks a lot of my potential multibagger criteria ($300mm mkt cap, high margin + high growth, high insider ownership - including Li Ka Shing, high quality business - remember $MNST is the best performing stock of the last 20 years).

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Here’s my portfolio heading into the new year: AMT 15.5% AMZN 13.2% COUP 11.0% AYX 9.9% MA 9.0% SHOP 7.9% TDG 7.5% HEI/A 7.4% SBAC 7.3% SMAR 4.3% TTD 2.9% ZS 2.3% CRWD 1.8% Ended 2019 up 50%, with a more concentrated portfolio.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

$CVNA seems like a massively asymmetric opportunity here. You have a relatively high growth, n of 1 company trading as a levered equity stub. Usually levered equity stubs are special situations companies in mature/declining industries. If things turn this could 10x vs 1x downside

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Here's my portfolio heading into Q4: AMT 14.0% AMZN 11.7% AYX 9.0% COUP 8.6% MA 7.7% HEI/A 7.5% SHOP 7.0% SBAC 6.9% TDG6.6% NOW 3.8% ROP3.8% ZS 3.3% CRWD 3.0% TTD 2.0% TWLO 2.0% SMAR 1.6% ZM 1.3%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

10 bagger confirmed

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Anybody familiar with $CELH? It checks a lot of my potential multibagger criteria ($300mm mkt cap, high margin + high growth, high insider ownership - including Li Ka Shing, high quality business - remember $MNST is the best performing stock of the last 20 years).

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Chuck Akre putting cash to work

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Here's my public portfolio heading into Q2: AMZN 12.6% GLIBA 11.4% JD 10.8% AMT 10.6% MA 7.0% GOOGL 6.0% SBAC 5.8% SHOP 5.8% TDG 5.7% HEI/A 4.8% TCEHY 3.9% ROP 3.8% MCO 3.3% COUP 2.4% SMAR 1.8% NFLX 1.8% BABA 1.4% ZS 1.2%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Old school Bluegrass vs Puru would be a fintwit cage match for the ages

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

In 2019 I had spun a business out of a larger investment firm with two other partners. We did not have committed capital and were doing deals on a deal-by-deal basis (fundless sponsor). I had become a quality and growth oriented investor while my two older partners were

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Here's my portfolio heading into Q2: AMT 16.6% SHOP 13.7% AYX 12.6% COUP 11.1% SBAC 9.3% MA 8.2% TDG 6.5% SMAR 3.6% AMZN 3.3% HEI/A 3.3% CDLX 2.9% TTD 2.4% ZS 1.7% CELH 1.6% CRWD 1.6% Cash 1.7%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

1 year

Can’t believe I’m not retired at the moment 😢

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Anybody familiar with $CELH? It checks a lot of my potential multibagger criteria ($300mm mkt cap, high margin + high growth, high insider ownership - including Li Ka Shing, high quality business - remember $MNST is the best performing stock of the last 20 years).

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Just retweeting this, 11 months and 7x later

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Anybody familiar with $CELH? It checks a lot of my potential multibagger criteria ($300mm mkt cap, high margin + high growth, high insider ownership - including Li Ka Shing, high quality business - remember $MNST is the best performing stock of the last 20 years).

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

1 year

For those not paying attention, this RE developer stole >$50mm of crowdfunded equity for a deal, it all disappeared, and turns out he spent $12mm of it YOLO'ing into First Republic stock when it blew up. The story is simply too good.

Nightingale's Elie Schwartz used $12M of investor funds to buy First Republic stocks, options

Nightingale CEO Elie Schwartz allegedly gambled with investor money and lost. Schwartz, the man behind the troubled real estate investment firm, diverted $12 million in crowdsourced investor funds in...

therealdeal.com

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Here's my portfolio heading into Q4: SHOP 20.5% COUP 13.2% AYX 9.2% AMT 9.1% SBAC 6.7% MA 5.7% TDG 4.6% TTD 4.0% AVLR 3.7% CDLX 3.7% AMZN 3.2% BABA 3.0% HEI/A 2.8% SMAR 2.6% ZS 2.5% CRWD 2.3% FSLY 1.9% CVNA 1.3%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Exactly, Oil is a terrible business @Mrs_Skilling

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

If we're guessing which fund might be blowing up today and blowing out of $CHTR and $TDG, my money's on Stockbridge. Top position is $TDG, $CHTR is #2 including LBRDK, $BKNG is #4 , MPLX is #6 .

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

Got a $SPOT pre-sale concert ticket offer for a band I really like and immediately booked tix. Dont go to concerts much or follow tour schedules but this was a band I've been wanting to see. Would never have otherwise been on the ball to get tix.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

13 days

@BowTiedBull Yep, just think that’s when it becomes really apparent for the first time. Obviously it probably continues from there

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Portfolio heading into 2021:

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

My 2010s: •Got out out of IB and into PE ⚖️ •Traded some stonks 📉 •Married up 👰🏼 •Evolved from being a value hardass 💪 •Became a compounder bro 😂📈 •Got a dog 🐶 •Started a business 😬 •Studied SaaS and growth stonks 🙏 •Loved my fam❤️ •Try to build 💪 friendships

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Today's post on no code software by @scuttleblurb was extremely well done and informative $SMAR

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Someone sent me the attached and asked for my thoughts. My response below. Discuss.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

What are some high quality bombed out names that have the potential to increase dramatically in a recovery? I'm debating trading in some names that have held up ($AMT, $SBAC, $AMZN) for some that could 2-3x quickly. Would love to find something particularly juicy that could 10x.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

$CVNA a triple. This tweet was basically on the low. $ROKU closing in.

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Names that could triple+: $ROKU $CVNA $CDLX $LYFT $WORK

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

3 years

Portfolio heading into Q2: SHOP 27.5% COUP 11.0% TWLO 7.2% NET 6.0% CDLX 5.2% PINS 5.2% SE 4.8% TTD 4.5% AVLR 3.5% CELH 3.3% ZM 3.3% CRWD 2.8% CVNA 2.8% U 2.7% ZS 2.7% FSLY 2.5% ATVCU 2.3% SFIX 1.7% SNOW 1.2%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

Shoutout to Cliff Sosin for increasing his $CVNA stake by 60% in the quarter

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

GS upgraded $AMT to $270 and $SBAC to $280 thread:

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

@patrick_oshag Pocket

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

time on two very non consensus and under the radar investments. Unfortunate I couldn’t convince others - an equally if not more important part of the job. I’m happy to share my write ups with people who are serious.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

If I can't make money in the stocks at least I'm gonna enjoy the food $TCEHY $JD $BABA

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

@quantian1 @StockJabber Just wait until he learns about tobacco companies

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@lockedupcap

6 years

Writing a quarterly letter saying you were up >20% in 2018 but not a single mention of your positions = 🤔

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

Amazing reading Barron's articles on 5G and a big aerospace/defense interview with an A&D analyst, yet no mention of towers $SBAC $AMT (5G) or parts suppliers $TDG $HEI (A&D); probably best ways to play these themes via ultra high quality companies

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Might need to go further south before we get there. Names I think can 2x: $AYX $TWLO $HEI/HEI.A $TTD $CRWD $CELH $CRM $WDAY $PLAN $DDOG $ALGN $SHOP

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

In private markets, GoPuff and SpacEx are obvious choices

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

3 years

I liked Brattle, learned a lot from him early on...and apparently we are the same age. Never met him other than Twitter. Sorry to see.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

New $SMAR position at Abdiel (7%), Light Street (~3%), Whale Rock added hard (now 4th largest position) cc @MinionCapital

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

I've been losing money on my shorts for 5 years and all I got was this Real Vision bottle of wine and the chance to shake Kyle Bass' hand once

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

BAML on $TDG "Given the excess cash on hand from a recent debt deal ($27/share), we expect TDG to announce more strategic M&A or an additional special dividend by the end of CY19. We reiterate our Buy rating and increase our PO to $670 from $600."

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Just did a major repositioning. Sold all $GLIBA, added $AYX, $AMT, $HEI.A, $SHOP, $ZS and bought a little $ZM

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

RIP to everyone who thought they were buying netflix with a reasonable looking p/e multiple on Josh Brown's advice $DIS

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

My entire feed last night and this am is $DIS "contrarians" celebrating how smart they are...good luck

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Names that could triple+: $ROKU $CVNA $CDLX $LYFT $WORK

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

This is also just incredibly impressive:

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

No one’s talking about $MO anymore? Where the value guys at?

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Some personal news: I'm launching a hedge fund called Yuge Momo Stonks Only that's 200% net long $LK. That's it

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Ouch "Thinking that Joker was not going to be a huge winner, Warner Bros. $T sold a substantial share of the movie to outside investors during development...the film is the #1 R-rated movie of all time with a $788M gross and counting, it wishes that it could roll back the clock"

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

7 years

HEICO $HEI with very solid beat (19% N.I., 11% sales, 16% op income growth for full year), strong guidance (10-12% growth for FY 18 sales and N.I., $290mm OCF); main weakness is Q4 FSG margin and guide, ETG margin and '18 guide very strong

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Saw a preview of Buffett’s 2020 shareholder letter. Some highlights: 1) Always buy any corrections in $SHOP 2) Me love leverage long time like TransDigm 3) Charlie and I talk a lot about how buying Chinese momo stocks is exactly like See’s candy 4) Big Stonks Only

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

This was a good trade

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

7 years

Feel like buying warrants of social capital SPAC could be a good Lotto ticket type play

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Thread of my "market tuition" and investment mistakes I made as a young, "deep value" investor. Luckily dollar amounts were relatively small. Ordered by most amusing to me. Made plenty of other middling "value" investments that went marginally up or down in these years.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

Outside capital. Much harder to do this with a publicly traded stock. Luckily I also bought some for myself. Liquid Death is up at least 14x since then and $CELH is up 24x. Both in 3 years. I have investment memos on both that I put together and trade confirms. Right place, right

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 months

I currently find myself working in real estate private credit. Easily the worst job I’ve ever had other than being an IB analyst. Selling a commodity product to a commodity product. Have to review 20-30 identical projects/week. Throw out random pricing to see what hits.

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@lockedupcap

6 years

@BluegrassCap Learned too much from you, please keep sharing your insights

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

@JerryCap He's one of the smartest people I've ever met

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

3 years

Portfolio heading into Q3: SHOP 31.5% CDLX 12.5% COUP 9.8% TWLO 8.9% NET 6.0% SE 5.1% TTD 4.6% ZM 3.4% CRWD 3.3% PINS 3.2% ZS 2.9% CVNA 2.8% FSLY 1.9% SFIX 1.8% U 1.2% ATVCU 0.9%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Pretty much nailed $SE and $LK turned out to have fraud 😂. You win some, you lose some. What will be 2021's momo stock(s)?

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Anyone else think $SE and $LK could be 2020’s $ROKU? I.e. yuge momo stocks

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

. @washingtonpost It’s unethical for you to publish this without a disclaimer/acknowledgement that Scott Gottlieb serves on the board of Pfizer, and thus serves to benefit from their smoking cessation drug, Chantix, which causes severe side effects including suicidal thoughts

Scott Gottlieb, MD

@ScottGottliebMD

5 years

My op ed in @washingtonpost If you mix flavors for individual customers in adult vape store that could be permissible under enforcement discretion; if you mass produce flavored pods for secondary sale that should be swept from the market pending FDA review

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Big Things Coming, aka I'm dropping this limited edition, street-style shirt at 10:44pm EST tonight

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

Current Stock Portfolio: SHOP 28.6% NET 11.2% CRWD 10.9% TTD 10.2% TWLO 8.2% ZS 8.2% CDLX 6.2% DDOG 4.8% COIN 3.1% CVNA 2.7% U 2.7% SE 1.7% UPST 0.8% BILL 0.7%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

Finally updating my portfolio for Q3: SHOP 23.6% CVNA 18.6% CRWD 17.5% TTD 13.0% ZS 10.2% NET 9.3% DDOG 6.0% COIN 1.8%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

3 years

Value investors will literally write a letter about how Tencent is a superapp* instead of going to therapy.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

7 years

$TDG CFO out for personal reasons

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

@patrick_oshag Akre Capital Management January 2017 interview in Value Investor Insight

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

If I ever have a wife whose income can swing it, I’m not telling anyone, but there will be signs.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Enjoying learning new skills

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

Did anyone else find Ozark s3 overrated? I have one episode to go, but have found it boring with long episodes, character tropes a little tired, Wendy is a hateable character, too much focus on Ben sideshow. Overall can barely focus on it, maybe just distracted?

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

Can anyone point me to a good write up on $W Wayfair? I'm guessing it's something along the lines of building a hard-to-replicate infrastructure with shift to online penetration like Carvana, but it hasn't been articulated to me.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

3 years

Portfolio heading into Q4: SHOP 40.4% TWLO 10.0% COUP 9.4% NET 7.4% TTD 5.8% CDLX 5.5% CRWD 4.5% ZS 4.9% SE 3.8% CVNA 3.8% U 1.9% SFIX 1.6% ATVCW 0.9%

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

I remember a month ago when e-commerce businesses were going to stop paying their subscription revenues for their literal lifeline during a pandemic 😂 $SHOP

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

And the biggest balls go to... Abdiel still the realest tho

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

$SBAC bought back 2% of its shares outstanding in Q4...watch out $CHTR!

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

$CELH up more than 3x from initial tweet

Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

4 years

$CELH is up more than 2x from here...execution continues

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

6 years

Surprised by how much I've enjoyed Formula 1 on Netflix. I hate reality TV but the show is so well done and exciting. Makes me want to watch the sport more.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Capital Group buying shares of JUUL at $50 billion value

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@lockedupcap

6 years

@RampCapitalLLC Blade runner, minority report, children of men, district 9

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

2 years

$CVNA Shorts: It's a terrible business it loses money on every car it sells Also $CVNA Shorts: Management is going to steal it in bankruptcy!

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@lockedupcap

1 year

@BluegrassCap

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@lockedupcap

7 years

$NVR out with new $300mm buyback authorization

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@lockedupcap

4 years

Incredibly interesting deck contemplating the future of energy and potential disruption of legacy power sources h/t @EricMarkowitz

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Great letter @MarceloPLima

Ivan Maljkovic

@ivan_brussels

5 years

Heller House Opportunity Fund - letter to investors $SHOP $WORK $ROKU

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@lockedupcap

5 years

You love to see it "Alteryx Shares Tick Higher Following Spruce Point Tweet 'We are LONG shares of Alteryx...It is our understanding that one factor driving today's selling...is a belief Spruce Point is planning...' A Short, 'Categorically false'"

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

5 years

Still wild to me that of the 10 Formula 1 teams worldwide, Red Bull owns 2, one of which is a perennial top 3 contender. Reminder of how profitable beverage/energy drink companies can be and why $MNST was the best performing stock of the last 20 years.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

3 years

Have a 4.5 month old. Figured it’s probably time to get life insurance. Signed up for 20 yr term life on Lemonade $LMND in 5 minutes. Premiums total to 1% of face over the term (5 bps/yr). Super easy.

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

7 years

Barron's interviews 34 yo fund mgr who charges 5.5% front end load and 0.99% expense ratio for generic value partners fund LP with 100 holdings (largest 1.2%) *Italian chef kiss emoji*

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Locked-Up Capital

@lockedupcap

7 years

@ReformedBroker I go with the VIP dinner package at the times sq olive garden

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