The most overlooked part of the 2008 Great Financial Crisis was its cause.
Sure, The Big Short is one of your favorite movies, so you know it had to do with credit rating agencies assigning AAA and AA ratings to subprime mortgages.
But do you know why they were doing that?
Go to the gym, eat protein, pray the rosary, and stop voting for Democrats so that you'll be able to look and think like RFK Jr when you're 70 years old
Alright, hear me out.
What if we just built more housing?
No, I don’t mean “what if we reform permitting and slowly work to improve the system”
I mean just BUILD MORE HOUSING
All we need is one based landowner to give the middle finger and just BUILD
What are the NIMBYs
In response to the Savings and Loan Crisis of the late 80s-early 90s, Congress passed regulatory and capital legislation in favor of Fannie Mae, a government sponsored entity (GSE) created in 1938 to support lenders who were struggling through The Great Depression.
They lied.
So began a decades long, still enduring misinformation campaign designed by lobbyists to paint the people behind the programs that helped Americans as the bad guys and the private lenders that profited from their reduction in market share as the good guys.
As a response, lobbyists hired by private market lenders started initiatives to encourage competition between Fannie Mae and private lending markets.
This is where it all began.
Hundreds of claims that Fannie Mae execs cooked the books to trigger payouts for themselves on tax payer dimes can be found in one simple Google search.
Yet, if you read opinions from the judge in the class action lawsuit filed against them, you'll hear a very different story.
The new legislation paved the way for Fannie Mae to thrive. Downpayment requirements were tied to interest rate and credit risks. If they kept risk low (a benefit to taxpayers) they could offer attractive prices on their mortgages with low down payments.
Over almost nine years, 67 MILLION pages of documents were reviewed by courts and 158 witnesses bore testimony. In the end, no evidence emerged to support claims of wrong doing.
But I digress, let's get back on track: private lenders didn't like competing with Fannie Mae.
This was stellar news for Americans, but private lenders were NOT onboard. They now had to compete with a GSE offering more attractive terms. How could they? Profits were squandered.
To take market share from Fannie Mae, private lenders had to overcome reality, and who better to help them than lobbyists?
Record volumes of low-cost, fixed rate loans were being sold to buyers at minimal risk to tax payers.
So how did they bypass reality to get their way?
This topic is dear to my heart. My family was one of the 6 million that lost their home during the crisis (ARM, in our case.)
I believe it's important to understand how we got here so we can ensure it doesn't happen again.
Enter: subprime mortgages, the private market offering designed to compete with Fannie Mae.
When Fannie issued mortgage backed securities (MBS), they'd receive AAA or AA ratings because the loans were guaranteed by the GSE.
Subprime mortgages came with no such guarantee.
Recall the support private lenders had from The Federal Reserve and the Treasury.
Both organizations pushed for and successfully obtained AAA and AA ratings for private-label MBS.
Did you ever notice this metaphor The Big Short? The credit agent is "turning a blind eye."
My favorite people exist at the intersection of being brutally realistic about the state of the world, and relentlessly optimistic about where it’s going
While I study and occasionally write about residential real estate in my free time, I spend the majority of my time working to improve financial outcomes for working class Americans – families like my own.
Alright, hear me out.
What if we just built more housing?
No, I don’t mean “what if we reform permitting and slowly work to improve the system”
I mean just BUILD MORE HOUSING
All we need is one based landowner to give the middle finger and just BUILD
What are the NIMBYs
Importantly, Fannie's competition had support from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury, with whom they shared ideological beliefs about free-market principles.
They planned to restrict Fannie Mae by raising their cost of capital and developing new private mortgage products.
But alas, the most profitable mortgages for private lenders to finance were the lowest-quality mortgages.
Lenders loved selling them.
Subsequently, the REAL credit quality of MBS fell precipitously.
Few noticed.
My company Roots Homes makes it easy to find and buy homes with assumable interest rates as low as 2%.
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Home prices peaked in 2006, one year after home sales peaked.
Another year later, at the end of 2007, defaults on private-label MBS were so high that the market was shut down entirely, and thus, the GFC began.
We raised $700 million for our last company, built a relationship with the SEC, and partnered with Walgreens — all before MVP.
We’re raising for our next company in January. The Department of Justice is leading the round. Let us know if you want allocation.
ahead of the $open earnings call tomorrow, a story 🧵
the house across the street from me in Las Vegas has been for sale for a while.
out of curiosity, i checked the
@Zillow
price history.
I likely said this at 20. Now at nearly 30, here are my top 5 tips for your 20s:
1. Set your threshold for suffering high. If you’re lucky, you’ll face unimaginable trials. The more it hurts, the better. Your worst experience can become your greatest blessing.
HE SAID YES. 💍 WE’RE CO-FOUNDERS. 💚
@sambarsness
slid into my DMs last year and we started working together the next day.
in practice, he’s been my co-founder for a while now. this formality was long overdue.
words can’t express how happy i am to make it official!
I know a founder who is building something insane in fintech (I can’t wait to use it!) They’re shipping and acquiring customers at a wildly impressive rate. Team is small & grinds for 10-12 hours 6-7 days a week, big focus on recovery & health during off-hours. Looking to grow
It’s a big day for
@RootsHomes_
. Since late last year, we’ve been quietly onboarding early customers. Today, we’re excited to announce $2.2mm in funding to accelerate the growth of our mission: to make homeownership easy for Millennials and Gen-Z.
🧵⬇️
Forever grateful for my ex, who, when I was 21 and bragged about what I had achieved despite my young age, told me to knock it off and stop associating success with youth. He reminded me that I wouldn’t be young forever and that such a mindset would be disastrous as I get older.
I’m a big fan of the high-T culture a lot of male, American-dynamism-adjacent founders are exuding lately.
Much of our best technology was built by guys who could barely do 10 push ups. I can’t wait to see what the men who deadlift 300+lbs do.
Ralph Lauren’s son David Lauren married a woman named Lauren Bush (her uncle is George W) and she took his last name so now her name is Lauren Lauren. What the hell.
3. Spend every minute you can with people you love, and spend as much of the remainder of your time as possible totally alone. That’s how you really get to know yourself.
do not make this sexist. this is not sexist. Elizabeth Holmes knowingly perpetrated human suffering by allowing medical misdiagnosis. these things are not the same.
Elizabeth Holmes, founder of Theranos, lost investors $1 billion. She faces up to 20 years in prison.
Adam Neumann, founder of WeWork, lost investors $11 billion. He then raised $350 million for his next startup.
Pictured: two girlies eagerly waiting to see the Falcon 9 rocket launch
Not pictured: me crying when I saw it while the Apollo 13 (movie) launch music played loudly in my mind
Do you ever think about how China might actually invade Taiwan because it doesn’t matter if they disrupt the supply chain and can’t get the “best” GPUs when their electricity generation doubles every decade and they can just brute force 1 TW of compute because AI training is
POV you spend all of friday night shilling your start up in facebook groups with strong customer potential and by the time the sun rises with its sublime morning glow your waitlist value has increased by $83k
being in ODX is like catching a star when you play Mario Kart — for a period of time I’m running around nearly unencumbered by anything negative that comes my way because of the support I have all around me.
cannot recommend
@beondeck
enough.
@BeccaLizz
Children should be protected by society at all costs, including inconveniences that ensure they remain beside the adult(s) who care for them.
Roots makes dreams come true.
Patricia and I met in a Facebook group last month. today, we looked at houses for her family of six. they found their dream home!
@RootsHomes_
is buying it for them.
they’ll build equity with each monthly payment.
I went through TSA with:
- a bitcoin miner
- a sandwich bag full of creatine
- a 24,000 mAh battery
- a water bottle
Guess which one they stopped me for
when i was just 16, i had a random encounter at a juice bar that led to me meeting someone who changed my life forever. he took a chance on me, a bright eyed and ambitious kid with absolutely no direction, and gave me the opportunity of a lifetime.
me 1 year ago: creating efficiencies so I can work <5 hours/day
me now: creating efficiencies so I can work >10 hours/day
what changed? working for someone vs. working to build things I’m passionate about
I’m doing so many things that I LOVE and I want more time!
Do I know anyone in SF who highly values:
-working hard
-getting quality sleep
-pushing physical limits w/ exercise
-laughing so hard you cry
-spending time with dogs
who also needs a roommate starting in the next few weeks or months?
Asking for me 🤪
Opendoor is currently sitting on $342mm of inventory in Vegas ALONE.
based on county records, they acquired $296mm in assets from April - July but only sold $172mm in the same period.
considering how hard Vegas is being hit in this dip, i’d say this is… not good for $open.
Hot take: pointing to “generational trauma” is victim-coded and lame
“My view of life/relationships are bad because of my family history”
Vs
I am the daughter of peasants who sailed from England and pioneered the west against all odds without dying. Anything is possible
As a teenager, I was terrible to her.
Bitter and sad about losing my dad, I took it out on her in unimaginably mean ways.
I’ll probably never forgive myself for that, but she forgave me a long time ago, because that’s just who she is.
Her love knows no bounds. I’m so lucky. ❤️
My family lost the house I grew up in to foreclosure in 2008.
I don’t talk about this a lot but what I’m building
@RootsHomes_
is deeply personal.
I’ve been renting for > 1/2 my life. I’m so tired of traditional renting. The next lease I sign will be an equity earning one. 🚀
Interested in being a first 5 hire at a start up going after a $2.2 TRILLION market? Excited about being a part of building the future of rent?
🚨ROOTS IS HIRING🚨
Whatever your skillset is, DM me and tell me about you, your passions, and how you could help!
🚨Big news for Las Vegas!🚨
is now live with more than 800 homes to choose from! As a Roots member, you’ll build equity every month. No downpayment. No long-term commitment.
Pay rent. Build equity.🏡💸
Find your dream home today!
⬇️⬇️⬇️