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@kurtosiscapital

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Ivory Towers, Money Flowers

https://t.co/9oZSPY1lhV
Joined December 2020
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
5 months
Have been presented with an opportunity that will require Kurtosis to be less active in the public for the next couple of months. Will be here chatting and posting occasionally, and will return in a major way as we build out our team. If you follow the markets from an
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$PLTR Tell me I actually just watched Karp pop a Zyn and spin a book on his finger mid-interview 🤣🫰
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
@sashayanshin sorry to hear about your wife's boyfriend? or son's dad? idk man just hope all is well with whatever familial arrangements you have going on here
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI So, what's up with the news? Should we be worried about #SOFI ? What should investors know? SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SoFi) announced a proposal to issue $750 million of convertible senior notes due in 2029, aimed at qualified institutional buyers, with an option to issue an
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI WHO IS ANTHONY NOTO? If you don't know, please watch this piece on American Patriot, Exalted Leader, and CEO of @SoFi , @anthonynoto - A true bootstrapping in America 🫡🇺🇸
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Monte Carlo DCF suggests SoFi Technologies may be 3x undervalued (Simulated Mean Fair Price: $20.70) Most are familiar with traditional Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation methods. The main issue with this approach, however, is that one incorrect assumption in the model
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
Alright, it's time for the $SOFI Deep Dive: SoFi's originally aimed solely to provide more affordable options for education funding, a mission rooted in its original name, Social Finance Inc. The company's pilot program at Stanford, where 40 alumni loaned about $2 million to
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
Why is the TITAN contract a big deal for $PLTR? Palantir Technologies Inc. #PLTR has been awarded a significant contract by the Army Contracting Command – Aberdeen Proving Ground to develop and deliver the Tactical Intelligence Targeting Access Node (TITAN) ground station
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Important points from CNBC interview with CEO Anthony Noto: - We did this deal from a position of strength (convertible notes) - Not only is it increasing book value by 8%-10%, but we also increase our capital ratio to 17.3% from 15.3%. We only need 10.5% so we have a
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Yeah, this is totally a company I would bet against... not! 🤣💯🫡
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Underreported note that Gallileo ( $SOFI subsidiary) services Robinhood's $HOOD checking and savings accounts. Unless something has changed that I am not aware of, this ought to be mutually beneficial.
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@nsdqKade
kade 🇺🇸
@nsdqKade
7 months
@kurtosiscapital Every debit account they open is through $SoFi’s Galileo 😁 it’s a win win
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Perhaps the most compelling item to come from the news last week was the proof that SoFi's management team is well-connected, trusted, and able to efficiently and effectively negotiate with whales on Wall St. Don't underestimate how important this is for a Bank.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
Is $PYPL Undervalued? My take looking forward in 2024 and beyond: Valuation Metrics and Market Perception: PayPal currently trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 16x, significantly lower than the broader market (S&P currently at ~24x), signaling a stark undervaluation by the
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
@MarioNawfal Andrew Tate somehow a respected military strategist now?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
My $SOFI position is now around 1/3 the size of my $PLTR and $PYPL positions. Full transparency, I sold $HOOD to capitalize on the current #SOFI prices. Bullish on $HOOD, but can't ignore the opportunity in $SOFI and don't want to pull margin for it. Will aim to build $SOFI
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI ADDING ANOTHER 1.5K HERE TODAY — HOW ARE THEY STILL SLEEPING ON THIS COMPANY?!?!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$CELH Idk what you stock boffins are on about — these things do not taste good. 🤷🏼‍♂️
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
The $SOFI offering has been priced! #SOFI just posted update that gives pricing for the deal: Interest Rate and Maturity: The notes will carry an interest rate of 1.25% per annum, with interest payable semi-annually. This relatively low interest rate reflects the secured senior
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI So, what's up with the news? Should we be worried about #SOFI ? What should investors know? SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SoFi) announced a proposal to issue $750 million of convertible senior notes due in 2029, aimed at qualified institutional buyers, with an option to issue an
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
I've been asked why I am so confident and optimistic about @PalantirTech and their products. The short answer: I was lucky to serve in the world's greatest military and will always bet on this great country and its defenders. 🇺🇸 The long answer: I defer to $PLTR's Alex Karp
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI today feels like $PLTR in January 2023…
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$PLTR Why the Oracle $ORCL deal may be bigger than you think: Many of the world's largest companies across various industries rely on Oracle Database and its ecosystem for their critical operations. Some examples: Financial Services and Banking: JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo,
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Give me a new CTO and I am comfortable doubling my position this year
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Current holdings going into the week: Up 214% on $PLTR, 3.4% on $SOFI, and basically flat on $PYPL. Cheers all!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI dips to $7.00, meanwhile: Q4 '23 First Profitable Quarter: Annual Growth: ~1.3 Price to Book: Yeah sure, I'll buy some more here 🤣💯 Wall St. is the new dumb money, man.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI slurped up another 1500 shares Not investment advice
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI So you invest in SoFi... But do you know who runs the Company? Let's dive into the executive team: Anthony J. Noto - Chief Executive Officer Tenure: 5 years | Age: 55 Education: B.S. Mech. Eng. + MBA - Noto held previous roles at Social Finance, Twitter, Goldman Sachs,
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Jim Simons and Renaissance Technologies own a lot of Palantir. $PLTR It's their 4th largest holding (43.59M shares) For context, the best-performing fund in Renaissance Technologies is the Medallion Fund – reputed as most profitable fund ever. Presumably, it has made over 100
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Bernstein sees a bull case for PayPal $PYPL with a price target potentially over $100, as the stock appears attractive with an 8% FCF yield, 15.5x 2025 PE With cash being ~20% of market cap and plans to buy back ~8% of its stock this year, “prospects look promising. Initiatives
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$PLTR So, what did we learn today? What investors need to know: Tight on the heels of the news of the TITAN award yesterday, #PLTR hosted the third AIPCon today. We saw some amazing proofs of concept, deployment, and value here. First, one of my favorites from Alex Karp today
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
Alright, it's time for the $SOFI Deep Dive. Publishing in 10 min.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$PLTR I have slowly become just as bullish on Shyam as I am on Karp. The guy is a spectacle of hard work and creative thinking
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
I will never sell my stake in $PLTR It’s not even an investment solely in the company any more - it’s an investment in a better and more prosperous America - and world! 🇺🇸🌎
@ssankar
Shyam Sankar
@ssankar
6 months
. @Columbia . @Yale . @Harvard . @Penn . @MIT . WTF. This passover, mark your door with a new symbol of protection. Join the fellowship. Fight for right with your l33t coding skills. Hag Sameach
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Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
I rarely post in-depth technicals, but this action in $SOFI technicals was too exciting to neglect!! We see here that SoFi currently has a Golden Arches signal, and also we are sitting on a Big Mac support - which is key. I can EASILY see this being HUGE for the stock, and IM
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
Thought it might be fun to see $SOFI short interest plotted against price 👀 I'll let you make your own judgements here!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$PLTR Guys, you're kidding me - right?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI Let's play a game: Out of all of these companies, which one would you prefer to buy today? (5-yr CAGR Metrics)
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI additional note from the convertible notes offering: "SoFi has been advised that, in connection with establishing their initial hedges of the capped call transactions, the option counterparties or their respective affiliates expect to enter into various derivative
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI I don't mind fees that align with industry standards - but an inactivity fee? Unsatisfactory, not needed, and not normal. Wondering if @anthonynoto had eyes on this?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Galileo (SoFi Subsidiary) expanding BNPL Product. Est 900M+ users by 2027
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Breaks into $ARKF top 10 holdings as @CathieDWood has been loading up on shares during the recent decline in price:
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI It was time. 1,500 more shares in the main account today. Looking forward to ER. Not financial advice.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$PLTR Maybe I’m just being sanguine here, but I just don’t see Karp blatantly telling Columbia U students to go to N Korea and then not hitting numbers on Monday 🤣🤷🏼‍♂️
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI Reports Earnings on Monday before market open, and the expected move based options pricing is around (plus/minus) $1.15 per share. Let's talk about the expected move for next week, what it means, and two methods of estimating it: When trying to predict how much a stock
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
@GrindeOptions If implied volatility is high, yes these returns are possible but pushes you inside of one standard deviation risk often. If implied volatility is low (like now) I don’t think even the best in the biz are pulling off 72% without risking the farm
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI SoFi's corporate entity network:
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
Reminder that $PLTR is sitting on $1B of approved buybacks…
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Damn I like this CEO!!! @DataDInvesting
@anthonynoto
Anthony Noto
@anthonynoto
7 months
We 👂 you
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI continuing to decline in price. Adding my second tranche early here at ~$7.50, another 1350 shares. Not investment advice! #SOFI
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
@StockMKTNewz I have a feeling this is BS especially the 20% part - that is a magnitude of layoff that doesn't happen except in extreme circumstances really
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Seems to be exploring tax filing solutions for their customers. This could be an incredible value-add for the business and provide top/bottom beats on guidance if the rollout is smooth in 2024-2025. Intuit currently has 90M consumers using their tax-filing tools...
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI is bumping referral bonus to $100, still sitting at. 4.6% APY - are they making a new push here to acquire customers?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI whatchu doing there hun? Above $8 I see?!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI guiding for "$95M to $105M GAAP net income or GAAP EPS of $0.07 to $0.08" (from earnings report) End of 2023 had 962,691,936 shares outstanding so with no additional shares added the ~$100M GAAP net income would yield closer to $0.10 GAAP EPS. To get to midrange $0.075 we
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
A $SOFI $HOOD CEO CALL TO ACTION: We propose VLAD @vladtenev and TONY @anthonynoto go face-to-face in the OCTAGON THIS AUGUST. WINNING CEO (AND FIRM) will receive all respective rights and privileges associated with being the “TOP FINTECH” and also “TOP FINTECH CEO” @danawhite
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Looking to load another tranche below $7.00 💯 (Not financial advice, do your own research!)
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$PLTR - this is so damn awesome. Talk about stellar leadership, total dad vibes here. Congrats, @amitisinvesting !
@amitisinvesting
amit
@amitisinvesting
6 months
After Karp’s talk was over, within seconds he walked up to me, made all these fancy people wait in a line to talk to him, and said “Thank you, I really appreciate you.” I told him he’s running the most interesting company on planet earth and it’s been an honor to watch them
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI CEO Anthony Noto @anthonynoto was kind to provide some insight on the inactivity fee, see below for my SoFi followers:
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Again, this is exactly my favorite thing to see while I build a position 💯🫡 #BTFD
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Adding some funds to my main acct to pick up another 1,500 $SOFI shares below $8. Will post updated positions tomorrow.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Will report Q1 2024 Earnings on Apr 29, 2024 DROP YOUR EXPECTATIONS BELOW! (and Hi, Jackie!)
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI SoFi's Galileo acts as Sponsor Bank for Rapid Finance - my thoughts: SoFi Technologies, Inc., in partnership with Galileo Financial Technologies and Rapid Finance, has introduced a new financial product aimed at aiding small businesses. The Rapid Access Mastercard, a
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Historically, it's a bad idea to bet against Noto.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
4 months
I bought 1,111 $SOFI shares today. Not financial advice: lose money on your own ideas mkay
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$PYPL Breaking $60.00 today
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Kyle Peterson From Needham rating $SOFI: “We view SOFI as a long-term winner in the digital lending/neobank space, largely due to its focus on prime and super-prime consumers and possession of a full banking license, which we believe provides the company superior unit economics
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
5 months
$HOOD I see absolutely no compelling argument for owning $COIN after today
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI holding strong above $7.50 - Are we likely to see sub $7 again? Or are we in the clear from here?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
@theficouple Horrible take! - make the right moves early and let them go to the best school they can be accepted into. Forcing them to pay 40% will only demotivate them and remove time they could be developing intellectually and enjoying the short time they get to spend as adolescents.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
My first $PLTR purchases were in October 2021, at $24/share! When the share price declined to sub $7, I chose to follow my own thesis and kept accumulating - bringing my cost basis to $8.50. You’re not always right, and sometimes your entry is shitty - but it pays to follow
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
BUT the bears said rate cuts will ruin SoFi 😭😭😭🤣🤣🤣 $SOFI
@KyleWhiteGOAT
stock goat
@KyleWhiteGOAT
7 months
$SOFI +3.5% Fed hinted at 3 Rate cuts in 2024, sofi liked that news
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Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
@EZebroni Looks pretty possible to me buddy
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Exactly the sentiment I like to see when I’m loading up on a stock 💯
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
$SOFI Today was a gift for people aiming to add to their position.
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Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$PLTR framed for the office 🫡💯
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Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
The temptation is there to unload a bit of $PLTR to dip-buy others like $SOFI, $PYPL, but every time I consider I remind myself how massive Palantir may become - so I'm not f*ing leaving!!!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
It's incredibly rare for me to BUY options, but given the IVR on $SOFI at 11.3, I picked up some $5 LEAPs today - 297 DTE. Not financial advice, do your own research!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
@StockMKTNewz he brought the chain out for this one 💯
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Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI institutional short-sellers: "Hey, these guys report on Monday right?" - "Shoot you're right, totally forgot that Tony guy likes to beat expectations, lets cover it"
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Thank you to the market for 1k more $SoFi shares below $7.50 💯 Not financial advice, do your own research!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
I think that $SOFI should either A) cancel this fee and opt for email reminders B) bump fee to 36-48 months, 6 months doesn’t align with the inactivity argument being used here. Customers first guys, it’s important.
@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI I don't mind fees that align with industry standards - but an inactivity fee? Unsatisfactory, not needed, and not normal. Wondering if @anthonynoto had eyes on this?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI Last change grabs at a slice of the Monday Pie?
@amitisinvesting
amit
@amitisinvesting
6 months
$SOFI AFTER HOURS BREAKS $8
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI I was not expecting member growth to be this strong. Love to see it! "New member additions were nearly 622,000 in the quarter, and total members reached over 8.1 million by quarter-end, up nearly 2.5 million, or 44%, from the prior year period."
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Yeah, looks like they will talk on air Wednesday!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
I do expect Noto to take him up on the idea and go on air to explain. That being said, Cramer knows this sort of deal well and is being a bit disingenuous here $SOFI
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
8 months
Does $PLTR trade the same way $NVDA does? Investors have proposed the idea that hardware sales from Nvidia should translate into software sales for Palantir, and many have noted the correlation of price action between the two in recent times. For example, after #NVDA 's earnings
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
Everyone knows the quote: "Be fearful when others are greedy, be greedy when others are fearful" and love to say it all the time. Let me tell you - days like today are the ones where you figure out what type of investor you really are. 💯 $TSLA $SOFI $PYPL $PLTR $RKLB
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI Gave everything a quick burn-through. Pretty happy with this guys. Full grabs of the ER below:
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI updated Price vs Short Interest: I'll let you make your own judgements here! #SOFI 👀
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
I do expect Noto to take him up on the idea and go on air to explain. That being said, Cramer knows this sort of deal well and is being a bit disingenuous here $SOFI
@EverythingSOFI
Everything SOFI
@EverythingSOFI
7 months
Looks like most people still don’t understand the $SOFI convertible notes deal. Will @anthonynoto return to @jimcramer @CNBC to provide some clarification? 🙏
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$PLTR can’t decide where it wants to trade going into Q1 earnings report. My personal opinion: The street has no grasp on the momentum of this firm. 🤷🏼‍♂️
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
WHAT JUST HAPPENED $SOFI $PYPL
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
For once I have a larger position on than @HolySmokas , but doubt it will last long! 😅 $SOFI
@HolySmokas
Jeremy Lefebvre
@HolySmokas
7 months
Sofi shareholders this is an update on how many $Sofi shares I own. I am up to 3,500 thus far. I really like Sofi stock under $10
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
The FOMO is rich today $PLTR $PYPL $SOFI $HOOD 💯
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
@MarioNawfal MAYBE, just MAYBE, healthy people have more s*x...?
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
You guys go nuts over Karp memes and I love it 😅💯
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Love to see it. Gobbling shares like the cookie monster.
@KyleWhiteGOAT
stock goat
@KyleWhiteGOAT
7 months
$SOFI lost over 2.5 billion dollars in stock value on a 800 million dollar convertible note, let that sink in, no guidance change as well, no Bitcoin exposure during this Bitcoin correction, selling overblown dramatically
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
4 months
@seanpk If u have been alive for 41 years, your biological age is 41 buddy. Get the midlife crisis over already and just be you my man!!!
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI On Chad Borton leaving: amicable terms, duties covered, no dispute or disagreement - so: I do not really care about this 🤠
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
7 months
$SOFI Reminder, Q1 2024 ER on Mon, April 29. Drop your expectations 👇👇👇
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
6 months
$SOFI Comes from four main things IMO: - Excellent internal leadership - Excellent brand marketing driving awareness - Reasonably good customer support (excellent for a bank) - Outlier incentive offerings and transfer of federal incentives to consumers
@DataDInvesting
Data Driven Investing
@DataDInvesting
6 months
This is pretty incredible. @Forbes just ranked $SOFI as the 5th best bank in the United States. They only became a bank two years ago. That's some excellent progress.
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@kurtosiscapital
Kurtosis
@kurtosiscapital
4 months
$SOFI what u doin my love 🥲
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