Hein Htet @htet2k2 Twitter profile

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

A somewhat lengthy thread🧵 on Myawaddy, the fall that wasn’t (but could still be).

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

At around 12:45 Hrs on 29 Feb, a Myanmar Air Force jet crashed, likely due to technical malfunction in Salin Township, Magway Region. The specific craft is likely a MiG-29B, given the distinctive livery and the tail code 2721 (2701 to 2736 for the Myanmar Air Force are MiG-29).

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

After almost a month of relentless attacks, the Arakan Army (AA) has seized much of Paletwa, including the main town, the first urban centre to be captured by the group (with the small exception of Pauktaw, which was temporarily held). Some ideas 🧵

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

NB 2: Beware the portrayal of pivotal events solely from the perspective of SAC v resistance, even if many dislike the former. The reality is that this conflict has many moving parts, with the number of stakeholders in Myawaddy particularly transcending this usual dichotomy.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

4 months

Poignant point for Myanmar too. Some events and trends not fully explainable in simple terms to a wide audience, but its reductionist to characterise them as "complicated". The nuances and driving forces are there, they just defy understanding in the conventional sense.

Emma Leslie

@Emmacambodia

4 months

Conflicts are not as much complicated as dynamic. They appear complex to ‘outsiders’. To the ‘insider’ root causes ate obvious & manifest in a myriad of ways, over & over again. Let’s start saying ‘dynamic’ & seek to understand, rather than complicated’ & give up.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

NB: Before opening a discussion about the impact of an event, better to crosscheck if it actually happened. I am surprised that not many thought to ask the community of exiled Myanmar journalists just adjacent in Mae Sot. A few questions might have been enough to clear things.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

1/ On 11 Apr, a month after launching their offensive, Karen coalition forces finally managed to expel the junta from Thingannyinaung, 10 km W. of Myawaddy. While significant, this prompted a flurry of extremely poor reporting, about an apparent “fall”. Let’s take a closer look.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

Some of my own notes on the recent Nay Pyi Taw drone attacks 🧵

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

13/ Myawaddy, however, should not detract from the progress made elsewhere. In last few days, another battalion base has fallen in Hpapun, and KNLA Brigades 4 and 7, which were previously non-committal, appear to be more engaged, although this must be judged over the longer term.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

3/ Meanwhile, KNU & PDF stuck mainly to Thingannyinaung. While the cited reason of not wanting to see Myawaddy destroyed by airstrikes is indeed valid, one theory I propose is that they may have been deceived by the former BGF into believing that it would be a neutral custodian.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

9/ Overall, much depends on the battles unfolding along the Dawna mountain passes. While the rugged terrain favours the defenders, who have already managed to repel several advance units, the SAC has deployed a large force, a significant armoured contingent and heavy firepower.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

8/ Myawaddy may not have “fallen” in the conventional sense, but that doesn’t mean the junta is off the hook either. If their reinforcement convoy is neutralised, it opens up another opportunity for Karen forces, and the BGF may not want to prop up an untenable junta position.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

2/ When the dust cleared, the only armed actors in the city were in fact the remaining soldiers who had retreated to the 2nd Friendship Bridge just on the Thai border, as well as the other “neutral” Karen groups, with hundreds of men from the ex-Border Guard Force (BGF) alone.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@nicholas6284 Reports say this is the aftermath of an ambush on a 78-man column sent to clear the area around Laukkaing. They seem to have rested for the night (hence the row position), before they were hit by MNDAA teams with thermal imaging/night vision.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

10/ A junta counter-drone campaign, a mimic of PDF tactics, has also been particularly effective. Several people have told me of higher than reported resistance casualties, as well as dozens incapacitated by the alleged use of chemical weapons (though this remains unconfirmed).

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

4/ In reality, ex-BGF chief Saw Chit Thu had been playing both sides. On the one hand, he maintained contact with the military, with reported talks between him and the SAC Vice C-in-C, as well as messaging toward the KNU that we was working toward the common Karen good.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

5/ They have played a larger role than realized. The 600 regime troops which had "surrendered" on 5 April had in actuality conceded to the BGF rather than the KNU, with the former taking them into custody before returning some of them, as confirmed by Saw Chit Thu himself.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

On 7 March, a ceremony was held in Brigade 7 area to honour KNU ex-chair Padoh Mutu Say Poe. Reps from major Karen armed groups were in attendance, with a notable invitee being Saw Chit Thu, the head of the BGF. Some notes below.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

7/ Another tell: when Karen forces wheeled around to face the massive relief force, the ex-BGF facilitated the SAC's reoccupation of some areas. While framed as a tactical decision, it is likely that their hand was forced by the BGF, with whom they could not make an enemy.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

An excellent primer (as usual by the excellent @EdithMirante ) on the history of armoured vehicles in Myanmar. Especially relevant as Operation 1027 sees Brotherhood Alliance forces incapacitate, or even seize, at least a dozen pieces of SAC armour. Some additions of mine 🧵

Edith Mirante

@EdithMirante

9 months

1. This History Thread is about tanks & other armored vehicles in Burma (Myanmar.) This costly equipment was obtained by successive military regimes but rarely deployed. Since Feb. 2021 coup some of it has been destroyed, captured by revolutionary forces. #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

6/ Karen forces attempted to bypass the deadlock on 19 Apr, when they finally entered the town to attack the remaining junta soldiers, assaulting them for 36 hours before finally giving up. Until then, this may have been the last chance for them to seize Myawaddy fully.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

1/ I would argue that Paletwa is a much more sober benchmark of the Myanmar military’s current prospects than northern Shan. They were ready at least two weeks before the opening of hostilities and had spent years strengthening their defences.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

12/ There are also rumours of a possible negotiated settlement in which the SAC and BGF would retain Myawaddy and the KNU would be given operational freedom along the Asia Highway and the right to toll it - though there is internal discord among the resistance on this issue.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

4 months

"Oversimplified categorization can also risk portraying Myanmar as a unified sovereign structure while overlooking the diverse interests, relative autonomies, and self-determination that EAOs have long enjoyed in parts of the country".

Mapping Territorial Control in Post-Coup Myanmar: Flawed by Design?

Attempts to map the areas controlled by the military junta and its various opponents frequently obscure more than they reveal.

thediplomat.com

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

6/ After capturing much of Maungdaw’s borders with Bangladesh in the last round of fighting in 2022, the AA now controls a key gateway to India, whose Kaladan Multi-Modal Project now depends on the cooperation of a burgeoning mini-state.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

2/ In other words, although conditions were less than ideal, with the water level of the Kaladan lower than usual and the Navy unable to provide credible fire support, the SAC still failed to stop the rolling assaults.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

11/ Another decider will be who the ex-BGF ultimately backs. While they initially seemed outwardly genuine to transition into a neutral Kayin National Army (KNA), business interests (an alleged junta threat to their scam hub and HQ) appear to have tipped the balance, for now.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

3/ It can be credibly argued that the AA could not have achieved these successes without great sacrifice. The losses and the cost of the material are probably high. However, take Mee Wa for example. In 2020, the group had thrown everything at this infamous hilltop stronghold...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

5/ Now it is possible, with AA leadership willing, and able, to accept high cost for definite long-term gain.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@Nrg8000 @Kim_Jolliffe @kokomdy @nicholas6284 @MThibu @chelle_yesudas @XunlingAu May I present to you another alternative: the sacred eugenia. Well known as a protest symbol + welcoming sign for any victorious homecoming conflict actor in MM. Mohinga is a bad omen, the peacock too affil with Burman dynasties/NLD; Rice, Ne Win's socialist govt flag.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

Yes, this is a repost, for those that have seen the original version of the thread, which I fixed because I wrote that Paletwa was in Rakhine, not Chin. That's a whole other conversation to be had.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

1/ A short thread dissecting some of the more premature claims of towns taken by the wider resistance, addressing Taze, Mone, and Pinlebu...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

4/ ...reportedly losing hundreds, although the attempt ultimately failed. The position was now taken in just four days. Previously, none of these well-fortified posts in Paletwa could be taken, even at great sacrifice.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

1/ As intense fighting rages for control of Laukkaing, a delegation from the Thai military met the SAC Chair four days ago, tabling "plans to jointly eradicate online gambling and online fraud near Myawady" on their shared border. A thread 🧵

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@Nrg8000 The "900" claim is for the whole township, the base can't accomodate that many. A ground source tells me it was just over 200. TNLA also lost close to 50 dead/150 wounded taking it, and in the end only succeeded after convincing the garrison to withdraw, which they did, to Muse.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@Nrg8000 Thank you for this excellent thread. While I agree with some points, I have to point out that the capture of Khampat was made possible with assistance from the KIA, and also the Myanmar chapter of the Kuki National Army, so the "no support" point is somewhat of a headscratcher.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

11 months

@Nrg8000 The Brotherhood Alliance has made rapid gains, but they've only really gained Chinshwehaw in terms of major towns in the North. The dice is still rolling for them to consolidate gains, though the Tatmadaw's capacity to beat them back seems limited right now.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@nicholas6284 130,000 deduction is interest from a loan secured with his status as a member of the security forces. Not that uncommon to see from a civil staff pay slip (his loan must have been sizable, interest on these borrowings are quite small).

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

8/ PDFs have also proven to be highly adaptable, and nowhere is this key strength more evident than in the leaps that have been made in the field of drone warfare. The payloads continue to grow, and the military must constantly keep pace with its countermeasures.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

7 months

@krackhauer It was not the NMSP, its a splinter group with some of their leaders NSMP (Anti-Dictatorship). NMSP just met the SAC in NPT yesterday...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

1/ Up against drones able to drop bunker-busting levels of explosives, and other heavy weapons, the image of armoured vehicles as symbols of technical superiority over the ethnic armies has been shattered, with several MT-LBsh, PTL-02, and BTR-3U destroyed and/or captured...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

4 months

A great read to understand an often understated aspect of the militias working with the SAC. Several major groups as well as dozens of smaller units (growing in number) help manage some of its many fronts.

Morgan Michaels

@morgmichaels

4 months

Good snapshot of the complex landscape in Myawaddy. The episode there reflects a wider trend in which militias have helped the regime to narrowly hold on or, in some cases, reverse its losses. 🧵

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

7/ As an addendum, recent seizures of arms from SAC has also yielded several caches of Carl Gustav recoilless rifle and heat ammunitions. If these are used in the future or even sold to the PDF, any SAC armour going forward is likely toast. To put into context...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

6/ The effects of the BGF's split from the SAC are slowly becoming clearer. It is unclear whether the BGF intends to "rejoin" the KNU, given Saw Chit Thu's deep, problematic ties to the cyberscamming industry - which implicates even KNU leadership, as highlighted previously.

Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

1/ As intense fighting rages for control of Laukkaing, a delegation from the Thai military met the SAC Chair four days ago, tabling "plans to jointly eradicate online gambling and online fraud near Myawady" on their shared border. A thread 🧵

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

3 months

One of the rare times I see Thuwanna Stadium this packed. There was even a crazy black market popping up for tickets, with prices over 4x retail. A nice distraction from all the doom & gloom. Well played to Samurai Blue.

Cape Diamond

@cape_diamond

3 months

World Cup 2026 Qualifiers in Yangon, Myanmar. FT: Myanmar 🇲🇲 (0-5) 🇯🇵 Japan

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

7 months

@TheChindwin That's not what the statement says. They did not explicitly say any sudden anti-junta stand, its just a rehash of usual policy points.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

10/ To sum, these are my thoughts on what the NPT drone strikes do not mean, and what they do mean. Although nothing concrete emerged this time around, the slow and gradual threat to Nay Pyi Taw and its associated psychological X factor will be a trend to watch.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

1/ A subtle detail: Saw Chit Thu's personal security detail now sporting new patches very similar to the alleged new Kayin National Army (KNA) logo, indicating their departure from SAC command to a "neutral organization". If I see correctly, this confirms a long-awaited rumour.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

The TNLA has released a video confirming the capture of Brigader-General Min Min Tun, the head of the Light Infantry Division (LID) 101, who was taken prisoner during the storming of Namhsan.

၁၀၂၇ စစ်ဆင်ရေးတွင် ဖမ်းဆီးရမိသည့် တပ်မ(၁၀၁) တပ်မမှူး ဗိုလ်မှူးချုပ်...

null

www.youtube.com

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@dwavila3 My opinion? Not very possible in the short-term. There's another dirt road winding through the mountains from Matupi, but the main outpost controlling that road was taken lasy month by the CDF-Mindat, an AA-trained group (see the overarching strategy here)

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@mattyrdubs Curious to see the TNLA claim that the SAC attacked their position in Kyaukme town, when in actuality this is (or was) an SAC outpost, at least before 1027.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

NB: The somewhat misleading claim that these are “kamikaze” drones may conjure up images of battlefields from other countries, but in reality they are relatively simple RC drones. They have no real warhead and cannot have carried more than a few kilogrammes of explosives.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@nicholas6284 BA series used to be issued in small numbers and mostly only to militia units under the ultranationlist monk Warthawa. The fact that 50+ guns were captured from a mainly Pyusawhti column means Tat is being pressured to issue more and rely more on them.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

3/ mobile bunkers, rather than being as infantry support vehicles. Fixed in place, with limited avenue to manoevur manoeuvre, they have been sitting ducks for BHA drone teams, and not being used at their full potential, like back in 2009...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

6/ Another argument is that the PDF can now up the pressure on the NPT. However, this ignores the fact that it was a complex and, frankly, arduous 5-month endeavour that even required the use of equipment provided by Project Dragonfly - a fundraising campaign from 2 years ago.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@dwavila3 Plus, with the main outposts controlling the road to Paletwa fallen, any counter-offensive will be hard-going, and may need resources that might be better devoted to other untenable positions in northern Rakhine instead. Just my two cents.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

9/ On a strategic level, these drones have given the Myanmar resistance the ability to nullify the military’s long-held strategy of holding large swathes of territory from isolated posts.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

4 months

@jamesstout Refuted as fake news by local press

Mandalay Free Press - MFP

ထီးချိုင့်မှာ ရှရှား ကြေးစားတပ်ဖွဲ့ဝင် ဖမ်းမိတယ်ဆိုတာ မဟုတ်မှန်၊ မနေ့က ထီးချိုင့်မှာ တိုက်ပွဲ မဖြစ်သလို စစ်အုပ်စုကို ဖမ်းမိတာလည်း မရှိ၊ AN/MFP ၊ မေ-၈ စစ်ကိုင်းတိုင်း၊ ကသာခရိုင်၊...

www.facebook.com

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

7/ Therefore, expectations of a repeat of 4 March on a large scale and at regular intervals should be tempered. This is not to discount, however, the symbolic value in threatening the very nerve centre of the SAC.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

7 months

A reminder of how important it should be for accountability to go both ways. To be clear, there is no equivalency between the level of violence perpetrated by the junta and the resistance, but that still shouldn't excuse acts like these.

Myanmar Now

@Myanmar_Now_Eng

7 months

Resistance sources say the leaders of Launglon People’s Defence Team used local farms as ‘killing fields’ and acted on unsubstantiated allegations against the victims #Myanmar

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

5/ Although there is still some isolated reports of cooperation in defence capacity elsewhere, the BGF as a whole seems to be stepping away. A complete divorce may impact overall SAC operability in the Southeast, though relations built up over a decade may not go away easily.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

3/ A salient point is that although FPV footages of previous resistance drone attacks are widely available, no such evidence has been forthcoming this time.

Asia Intel

@Asia_Intel

5 months

Anti-junta fighters using FPV drones near Kawkareik (Karen/Kayin State). First use could date back to December 2023. (Pilots need practice, but a noteworthy development in the conflict) Warning : the video sound is very loud Source :

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

2/ Several officers at the War Office were also said to have been hit, although even Zin Yaw, a CDM captain known for pro-resistance commentary, remarked this as “highly unlikely”. No news emerged of the attempt on the SAC chairman’s house.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

1/ A main topic was the alleged damage and casualties. However, apart from some egregious reports, evidence remains scant. The runway of Aye Lar Airbase, one of the three targets, was allegedly hit, although a resident told media that the drones did not reach the target.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

4/ This development also coincides with an offensive by the KNLA-backed Cobra Column against the Myawaddy trading zone. A key element in the opposition's recent successes has been that the BGF reportedly provided no military support, or at least I have not heard about it.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@Nrg8000 239 too. The entire garrison was authorized to surrender, and are being evacuated, either to Lashio or Kyaington.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@Nrg8000 Would like to know if the news about Taze really confirmed? Some residents and media saying fighting is still ongoing. We already had a false alert from Taze Town earlier this week, can I have the source?

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

Irrawaddy quoting a source close to the Brotherhood Alliance say that yesterday's China-brokered talks with the SAC yielded "no result", and lasted only 10 minutes. Though the TNLA has denied being a part of the talks, the article also says that "secretaries"....

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

2/ Also present was the controversial ex-defence chief Saw Roger Khin, who is alleged to be involved in KK Park together with the BGF and Chinese criminal elements. Although he appears to have been relieved of his official duties, he does not appear to have been ostracized.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@kokomdy @ragheeb40 @Nrg8000 Around or a little over two TOCs (basically six or so battalions) moved to Paletwa in 2019, with their main task being to conduct regular patrol duties along the Kaladan, freeing up LID 11 and 22. Their contingent is so large that they have a proper forward operating HQ.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

8/ the first tank loss in the Russia - Ukraine war, a T-90M (beyond even that of the military's best MBT, the T-72) was attributed to a Carl Gustav. All around, the SAC's armoured corps have not been faring well in the current context, to put it mildly. END.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

This marks the first time a Myanmar military general is taken prisoner since the Battle of Meiktila in 1949, when Northern regional commander Maung Maung was captured by the Karen National Defence Organization (KNDO).

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@Nrg8000 After some hubbub the fuel situation has indeed gotten better, lines are shortening, at least in Yangon. The "shortage" began last weekend when the SAC's petrol price regulation committee did not update their prices to match real prices, so stations just did not sell at a loss.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@jamesstout This is in Pang Hseng near the border with China, raised by the MNDAA

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@Nrg8000 Thank you for this good overview, but I don't seem to recall the fall of Pinlebu nor Thein Za Yat?

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

7 months

@Nrg8000 I read the article, and I don't personally get the feeling that it was trying to draw equivalency (you're right, there isn't) - just a warning on more open minds needed on opposition wrongdoings too.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

4/ Some have claimed the jammers were ineffective, but examine closer: of the 28 or so drones dispatched, the military has recovered at least 15 downed wrecks. There is nothing to suggest that all 13 unaccounted for drones reached their target.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

@Nrg8000 Yes, some of the garrison from Pinlebu surrendered after the large shock that was Kawlin, but they went out the town to do it, so it was never occupied, I was told.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

@krackhauer RFA mentioned that this is a BGF convoy, likely sent to cool any spillover of the fighting

RFA Burmese

မြဝတီမြို့စောင့်တပ်ကို KNLA ပူးပေါင်းတပ်တွေ တိုက်ခိုက်၊ စစ်ကောင်စီ လေယာဉ်နဲ့ဗုံးကြဲ ~~~ ■ မြဝတီမြို့က စစ်ကောင်စီတပ်ကို ကရင်လွတ်မြောက်ရေးတပ်မတော် (KNLA) နဲ့ မဟာမိတ်တပ်တွေ ပူးပေါင်းပြီး ဧပြီလ ၉ ရက်...

www.facebook.com

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

4/ This tactic created the false impression that the town had "fallen", when it fact the assault was beaten back in hours by a combination of air support and reinforcements by helicopter...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@LostWeapons Its not that they announced that they can "join up". The spokesman's literal words are that every 16 y/old and above in MNDAA territory has no choice, i.e., forced recruitment.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@Nrg8000 And not to mention that the SAC counter-offensive force has reached the doorstep of the town itself. The 35 or so children were kidnapped from here. PDF in the town can offer quite a lot of resistance, so let's see if the SAC can actually pull this off.

Miracle Center AG · 5.0★(1) · Church of Christ

Q4RR+J6G, Khampat, Myanmar (Burma)

www.google.com

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

/6... On the other hand, the SAC has seemingly sat on its laurels, and (apart from their Air Force) have not upgraded the level of firepower arrayed against the tripartite alliance. Most telling has been that, even with some warning ahead that Operation 1027 would come...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@teeeapot They control the formal economy. It doesn't begin or end at EV cars sadly. Anything you buy goes to their tax revenue. The money you put in your account, the bank uses it to buy bonds from the military-controlled central bank. Everyone is contributing.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

10/ When in fact, the opposition is continuing to do a good job at what it does best: slowly bleeding the military. END

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

8/ Regardless, every actor profiting from this vicious trade in Myawaddy must be watching current developments in northern Shan with interest, and perhaps worry - given that there are also rumours that the Kokang syndicates wanted by China have moved operations there. END.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@HsanLoatheCoup If I'm not mistaken, she is a former staffer from the Chinese Embassy in Yangon, which is why this comment picked up quite a bit of steam. But she's also known for making a lot of off the rails comments, who knows.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@leighhmitchell @EuroChamMyanmar Timely, relevant and well-researched piece at a time when most are calling to put thousands of women out of an income.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

5 months

5/ Since many of them were shot down by jammers rather than kinetic fire, their ultimate fate will be difficult to determine. Even the NUG was tame in its account, giving only vague details of the possible impact in their statement.

Ministry of Defence

@mod_nug

5 months

Today, drones struck Naypyitaw, SAC's HQ (Ka Ka-Army) & Alar Air Base. Preliminary reports indicate casualties. PDF's Special Forces & Shar Htoo Waw's Kloud Drone and Lethal Prop teams led the coordinated attacks.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

3 months

"Thai generals in the area had, on occasion, instructed him to drive truckloads of military weapons across the border to supply the rebel groups – and while his own motivations were ideological, he was keenly aware that theirs were purely financial."

In Southeast Asia, the Authorities Are the Biggest Gun Dealers in Town

The region is home to a thriving and massively profitable black market trade in small arms, many of them sourced from official military stockpiles.

thediplomat.com

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

8 months

Multiple reports say that the Laukkaing Regional Operations Command, the last remaining holdout in the city, has begun a negotiated withdrawal. An evacuation process for the remaining soldiers + families has purportedly begun (what appears to be a clip of it below by Shan News).

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

3/ Which was not completely true. SAC forces in the town, learning from the mistake at Kawlin, began to bolt for the police station as their last redoubt as soon as the attacks began...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@mattyrdubs There were no MLRS in the pictures of the arms seized by the MNDAA, they probably moved it.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

2/ These vehicles are mainly stationed at the more important bases, with at least 2-3 of them attached to tactical forts (i.e., Kunlong, 105 Mile). In many of the cases, we could see a weakness of SAC armour doctrine (or lack thereof), in that many of them seem to be used as...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@Miyhnea Of course, they would still be better overseers of the Laukkaing territories than the extremely violent and criminal Tatmadaw-backed Kokang BGF. Many in those places still remember the semblance of peace during the last MNDAA rule from 1989 - 2009.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@hmarston4 Large contingents of KIA and AA had to assist the PDF in the fight over a period of four days to finally flush out a small garrison in Northeast Sagaing. Let's see first if the lowland Southern Sagaing PDFs can catch up.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

/5 ...MNDAA bunkers and fortified positions in past wars. And therein lies the edge the BHA has over the Myanmar military in current context. Over the past years, they have learned, planned, and have greatly increased the firepower they are able to bring to the field...

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

10 months

@nicholas6284 Let's see the crash site for confirmation of the aircraft type (or if the crash is real). Early take but most probably the airframe failed. Not surprised, given that the older K-8W's are flying a daily rate of 3 - 6 sorties a day in Kayah.

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

9 months

@leighhmitchell @meemalee Amel Thar Pyote is such a staple. An amazing dish, enjoy!

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Hein Htet

@htet2k2

6 months

3/ I am not sure if the KNU HQ presided over the event, the organizers were named as Brigade 7 officials, as well as the Unity Committee of Karen Armed Groups (UCKAG), formed in 2012 to reunite all Karen armies Although not fondly remembered, Mutu laid this foundation.

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