henry @henrynbadraft Twitter profile | Pikagi

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henry

@henrynbadraft

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NBA Draft | historical trends are the best way to predict the future | young production = high ceiling

Joined July 2021

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 month

2024 NBA DRAFT BIG BOARD 4.0 My final board for this year, I'm extremely happy with where I have these guys right now. Really my first year getting fully into the draft so I appreciate the love! MAKE SURE TO ASK ANYTHING YOU WANT! I'm always going to answer no matter what!

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

2024 NBA Draft Big Board 3.0 MAJOR changes to every single player. These top 39 are my NBA-level prospects currently. ASK AWAY. I love answering questions and I'm going to make sure I answer everyone.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@TitusDukeg @TheLuckyCoyne @TheRealist0n3 @BengalYouTube @AngelMe15045216 bro the conversation was about draft prospects???

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

Big Board 1.0 Some pretty controversial takes but ask away.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

Thread: Deep Dive on my #1 Prospect Reed Sheppard: Statistically one of the best shooters in CBB history as a freshman, Reed has textbook shot form, something you'd show your children to model their own shot after. He is currently shooting a scorching 55% from 3 & 63% on ATB 3s.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

HERE IT IS FINALLY: MY 2024 NBA DRAFT MODEL RESULTS! I have the 2024 expected VORP/year results as well as the 2008-2023 draft years and their expected vs actual VORP/year. Enjoy and leave any questions down below in the replies, I'll answer for SURE!

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HenryNBADraft's Draft Model

2024 Model Expected VORP/Year,Player,Age On Draft Day,Team 2.68,Zach Edey,22.13,Purdue 2.366,Donovan Clingan,20.35,Connecticut 1.776,Reed Sheppard,20.02,Kentucky 1.664,Devin Carter,22.29,Providence...

docs.google.com

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

MY LATEST PROJECT: The model leverages the college statistics of NBA prospects and predicts their expected VORP (Value Over Replacement Player) per year in the NBA, based on 15 years of NCAA data (per @andreweatherman ). FEEL FREE TO ASK QUESTIONS ON HOW IT WORKS, PROSPECTS, ETC!

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@zebster114 am i missing something? seems like coby white is clearly below these guys??? mostly just a scorer who isnt really that amazing at anything else?

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@jacklnemeth @JorBorDorVor3 @statmuse yeah wemby wasn’t good enough to get shai a top 10 player on his team lmao

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@PlayoffBoundNYK bro it’s not biased lol he’s just saying are you kidding me 😂😂😂 like becuase kat is going crazy in a god way

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 month

@zebster114 zeb i hope you're okay. you drafted harrison barnes at #1 .

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@Three_Cone jovic is giannis 2.0

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@joe_cuervo @NicholasFlo123 @LegionHoops nah its not bad but its genuinely an awful trade for the hawks lol

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@henrynbadraft

henry

17 days

@R3TROFLOW real ones had him #1 since jan 😃🩷

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@juryverdicts @DraftExpress thank god your comments are satire

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

Big Board 2.0 Probably even more controversial than my first, these top 44 are my NBA-level prospects rn. Ask about anything, I'll reply to every comment with real explanations.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

9 months

@zebulunalford_ hawks over mavs is criminal sorry

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

@BlockedByBamba NGL what are you talking about? lively had insanely good productivity metrics , PPG is not production only. Being able to contribute to winning on a high level while barely scoring may have even helped his case, bronny was not productive or contributed to winning sadly.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@NFLRookieWatxh having one less than mac jones shows why he deserves the hate lol

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@henrynbadraft

henry

7 months

@brayknowball i know we're used to this by now, but if you really look at this, it's insane. this is his rookie season. the worst he will ever be. he's probably going to average 30 13 5 5 2 in a season lol

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@henrynbadraft

henry

25 days

Just watch this and take note. He plays summer league in 2 days.

@realscene_china

insider rockets

@realscene_china

25 days

China vs Australia Hansen Yang Highlights 7pts 10rebs 4 blocks @Barlowe500 There are bunch of NBA players in Australia team

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@GlobalScouting_ how do you cover the nba draft and not know basic info about the prospects

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 month

@JonRothstein byu lowkey got a squad

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@zebster114 you guys need to bench dejounte clint and bogi immediately otherwise this season is a total waste

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@NFLRookieWatxh nfl’s best WR trio??? 😭😭💀💀

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@TitusDukeg @TheLuckyCoyne @TheRealist0n3 @BengalYouTube @AngelMe15045216 bro if ur saying no one is saying he will be good in the nfl, that means he is not a good draft prospect lol jayden daniels is on a different level

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@zebulunalford_ yall got fleeced but jalen johnson MIP season is definitely incoming tho

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@henrynbadraft

henry

9 months

@HeatvsHaters @IraHeatBeat pls dont tell me u dont think this is corny

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@ToxiCity12mo @NoCeilingsNBA lmao “bonafide bucket getter” till he shoots sub 40% for half the season as a 6’10 player with horrible defense and horrible passing

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@UsherNBA All-NBA by 24

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@DraftExpress wait why is he lowkey stroking that thing like crazy… Cling Kong may be the one.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@WfromDeBall him vs edey is like z-bo vs yao

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@drewkerr17 @brayknowball Man that must mean Kenrich Williams owns wemby since he beat him too! 😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

This three point shooting is not to be understated, as defenses are now aware of his high percentages, and even in high coverage during conference play, he has started to increase his %, as of Jan 22, 2024. His current TS% of 76% puts him at the highest of all drafted players.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@NoCeilingsNBA @JaraceW @UHCougarMBK @UHCougars @paigeotto_ Pacers, Mavs, honestly even Houston

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@CoreyTulaba brice can average 25+ ppg at his peak legit, idk what the defense will be but the playmaking had significantly improved already

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

Notable prospects this year include: Cody Williams (-0.242) Ajay Mitchell (-0.548) Kevin McCullar Jr. (-0.428) Justin Edwards (-0.774) Kyshawn George (-0.334) Cam Christie (-0.426) Notable prospects bordering: Dalton Knecht (-0.126) Ja’Kobe Walter (-0.03) Tristan Da SIlva (-0.02)

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@TheHoopCentral 8 steals is crazy bro is definitely top 5 talent in this draft

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@xknowsball i'm actually a lot higher on this draft than most, i think the nba is at it's highest skill level and the prospects coming out of the draft are consistently better and better. people just have no solidified top prospects so they don't know what to do. will be many steals here fs

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@CoreyTulaba 89% ft i think he’s going to be getting better and better at this ngl

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@tw_wham @NBA_University lol herb clears

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@henrynbadraft

henry

20 days

@draftpoint2024 24th on my board, absolute steal, grizzlies got another one

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@brayknowball “brogdon doesn’t impact winning”

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@henrynbadraft

henry

17 days

@MittyNBA nah he not a good POA defender so he can’t possibly translate defensive playmaking to the league 😂

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@BiasedHouston so funny how he said we got a lot of guards after mentioning amen tho

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@henrynbadraft

henry

9 months

@nullniloc @ButtCrackSports she fumbled him dummy

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@bipolarclefan @bostonburning @Precision85 yeah exactly he just needs to get better at everything in the entire fucking game! not like he has horrendous shot selection, body weight, passing skills, efficiency, defense, and athleticism!

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@henrynbadraft

henry

7 months

@NoCeilingsNBA get him out there along hali

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@riprocketfizz @dl0burner sadly this is 2 years ago

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@EDBlaugrana @CRTLND_CEO @LegionHoops difference is the shots he’s taking. he’s shooting 5 a game whenever and wherever he wants bc he’s their top guy and they could care less if he shoots bad threes, pop definitely won’t be letting him do that, i’d be surprised if he takes more than 2 threes a game, so shoots better

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@DudeLaker @supadupaweedman @Daviniooo @crucifyguy @GrandGucciKai @el_budget tht is currently averaging 11 and 4 on better defense than all these guys and he is 23 years old, has like 10 years left in the NBA of course they’re going to do that lmao dumbass

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@henrynbadraft

henry

10 months

@Duffal0 @TuaisH1M @_KaeTheDon @AshhanKashif @KamSaucy2x @statmuse yes…?

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@henrynbadraft

henry

7 months

@bjpf_ hes so cute with these giggles

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@henrynbadraft

henry

10 months

@MrOGhimself @JVSwaps @sixringsofsteeI jrue ant jmac kat gobert? hello? lol 3 all-defensive team caliber players and all of them except gobert can shoot and score at will

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@drewkerr17 @brayknowball eat my ass

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@DraftExpress cason wallace???

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

I’ve been working on this machine-learning model on R for a while now, and I’m constantly improving it. I expect it to get more and more accurate as the sample size increases, and as I change the formula accordingly. All of the stats used are taken from .

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T-Rank - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@redcooteay topic +18, djurisic -32

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@tw_wham @NBA_University well ur a nets fan so.. im speaking as a fan of neither unbiased opinion that herb is more valuable

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

Also shooting 79% on Close 2s, 44% on Far 2s, and 83% from FT, so he can really score anywhere. This efficiency is unprecedented, and there are few drafted freshmen or even sophomores that have come close to these percentages on this volume of 3s.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

Using my model, I’ve determined a “cutoff” rate for prospects that are extremely unlikely to become good NBA players. There are only 3 prospects since 2008 who have been under -0.16 expected VORP/year and became >0.2 VORP/Year players (above average), as you can see in the graph.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@JalenJSzn it's over for you ngl

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@henrynbadraft

henry

9 months

@actionxander @TheDunkCentral @GQMagazine nah they switched to nonbinary technically trans means a transition to anything different

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@CoreyTulaba wow the passing looks really excellent despite all the misses. also impressed by offball buckets that's probably a big area of importance for him. i really think his shooting is going to come around he looks so fluid doing it

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@EliiiDC4L @mikejiggy56 @CantGuardGSW @NFL you implied it as a 50 yard pass is nothing unless theyre not wide open

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@NoCeilingsNBA holland - youngest and most production in worst situation buzelis - all around guy that improved heavily on D but shot and ft holding him back risacher - the cold streak might be a regression to norm based on the past knecht - doesnt do enough at his age for me except score

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@henrynbadraft

henry

9 months

@sixringsofsteeI trae in the running for least improved

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@Swingtharock @jtakuz ive talked about this w this guy already. these people fall in love with athletic nba looking guys like the blazers fanbase did w scoot and then been trashing him for months bc hes ass right now. reed literally does everything on both ends of the court but let’s take an athlete😂

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@henrynbadraft

henry

7 months

@BJDunkster @NBA_University wrong raptor

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@NoCeilingsNBA @CoreyTulaba TOP 2 AND HES NOT 2. IVE HAD HIM #1 FOR MONTHS LOOK AT ME NOW

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

Of course, shooting is not the only positive in his game, but it is by far the most important one if he wants to succeed in the NBA. His IQ is also off the charts for a freshmen, both on defense and offense. He almost always knows when to make the right Reed (lol) on the floor.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@goldenstateover @luvzach__ @DraftExpress but cody doing his shit on super low attempts + not rebounding at all for a forward or playmaking means he should be top 5?

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@sponhourm hes clearly gonna be good in nba spacing

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@wstgoat7 @NBA_University big names, happens here with draymond too

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

@draftpoint2024 that georgia jersey fire as fuck, Reed Sheppard gonna be this soon

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

@w_a_morris devvinnnnn booookaaaaa

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@henrynbadraft

henry

7 months

@phx_n_lac @BallsackSports bro im fucking crying what is this outro

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

@100guaranteed @andreweatherman Zach Edey, with an expected VORP per year of 2.784, which puts him in between James Harden and Lonzo Ball at EIGHTH all time since 2008!

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@henrynbadraft

henry

3 months

@redcooteay tyreke evans

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@henrynbadraft

henry

11 months

@FlowLifer @gucci_kane_ @ClutchPoints such a homophobic loser

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@juerter @trellreloaded whats weong eith jaylon tyson

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@GlobalScouting_ atp i dont think edwards is projected first anymore lol😅

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@zebster114 reed fucking sheppard. learn the name

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

For a 6'3 guard, his defensive metrics are extremely surprising at first, with a 2.9 BLK% and a 5.0 STL%, but once you watch his games you can tell how intelligent he is on that end. Loves to disturb passing lanes for steals and strip ball-handlers, poking and prodding all game.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 year

@diegovane_ @NBA_University ?

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@henrynbadraft

henry

1 month

@criggsNBA im curious on why you have alex sarr under devin carter. shooting leap only happened this year, older junior, as well as not an amazing playmaker

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@henrynbadraft

henry

4 months

@NoCeilingsNBA best center in the draft, grizzlies would be the best fit of any prospect in the entire draft tbh

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

He loves to combine both offense and defense, using his defensive IQ to get steals and offensive IQ to make quick transition passes to his running teammates. His playmaking vision is underutilized in Kentucky's offense, with a 24 AST% and a 3 AST/TO ratio, he can definitely pass.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@MavsStan41 @HoopSocialDraft hornets 4-0 in the grant era.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

@FearTheBrown @andreweatherman i'll be posting the entire list of NCAA players currently in the draft by around next week, as well as the database of predicted and actual VORP since 2008, once I fix up some things.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

His defense is even more surprising when you start to see him guarding bigger guards and wings, and even contesting bigs regularly, at his average size. His strength and frame allow him to not be pushed around, like many other smaller guards at his age, and he has great footwork.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

2 months

@NoCeilingsNBA this is actually insane, fuck the shooting drills i know he can shoot, but taller than DARON HOLMES and MATAS BUZELIS is nasty work. smith is that guy.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

9 months

@ficknoog @iiabuz @hierro_98 @LeqionHoops lol what a loser

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@henrynbadraft

henry

6 months

@elitetakes_ genuinely all of draft twitter had brandon miller below scoot it’s crazy

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@Wemby_Muse its crazythis is a below avg game for him

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@henrynbadraft

henry

5 months

@GlobalScouting_ completely correct. this is why i have him #1 . these people talking about “low ceiling” HES A FRESHMAN!!! DOING THIS!!! most insane 3pt shooting season for a freshman ever and he has no statistical faults to discredit that. led a comeback all by himself.

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@henrynbadraft

henry

8 months

@phxlly_dxme @Flawlesslikeeli @zebulunalford_ yeah, SF/PF vs SG/SF. Different roles

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