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$SPY YOU WILL NOT LIKE THIS POST
Here is a screenshot of all $SPY flow from 3:49 to 4:05.
90% of this flow is significantly bearish. If this upsets you, don't play $SPY. If this helps you, I will continue to analyze this flow.
As it stands here, big money is positioned
$SPY FLOW
Most of you won't like this post, but $SPY flow has shifted. Pages upon pages of these $SPY 10/18 550Ps bought at and above ask.
Big money could be buying these in smaller orders to fly under the radar. We caught it.
It's going to be fun to see how this plays out!
$SPY FLOW UPDATED
Absolutely nothing but bearish flow into extended session close today.
Several bearish spread orders with a MASSIVE sold call order. 21.7m in one option order leaning bearish.
These are all 10/18 exp so there is time for this downside to play out.
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Warning ⚠️ This could change your life trading names like $SPY, $QQQ, $AAPL, $TSLA etc
$SMCI News broken down for 10 year olds.
⬇️⬇️⬇️
$SMCI operates a lemonade stand. Sales weren't doing so hot, but they really needed investors.
Instead of filing poor earnings, $SMCI bought some of their own lemonade with the company's money. Then, they put that same lemonade
$IWM Oh. My.
Look at the size of these call orders that came into close.
Wow. Roughly 40m leaning long on $IWM with EXTREMELY short term expiration. This move is going to happen soon!
$TSLA Bulls, Good News.
Significant repeat call flow into close on Friday. $10 ITM bought calls totaling 1m.
$TSLA's robotaxi event is coming up on 10/10. Buy the rumor sell the news.
It's amusing to see how much hate comes when posting bearish flow on $SPY and $QQQ.
The orders must be fake? We apologize that big money isn't following your $2,000 play in $SPY Calls.
Simply just reading the flow and pushing it on X for FREE.
$SPY FLOW
Most of you won't like this post, but $SPY flow has shifted. Pages upon pages of these $SPY 10/18 550Ps bought at and above ask.
Big money could be buying these in smaller orders to fly under the radar. We caught it.
It's going to be fun to see how this plays out!
$SPY FLOW
Not a single bullish order. Not one.
Puts being bought at and above ask in relatively largest quantities. Calls being sold to bid indicating a bearish bias.
$SPY AFTER HOURS FLOW
5.4m on 12/20 PUTS
I'm sorry, but if you aren't using some kind of flow tool to see what is coming in, you need to start.
Big money has a strong bias heading into tomorrow. That bias is downside.
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$SPY $QQQ $VIX
Whales were accumulating $TSLA 260 & 250 calls for December & January Expiration last week
$TSLA 12/15 260c @ 1.40 - 1.50
$TSLA 1/19 250C @ 4.00 - 6.00
Over $7,000,000 in premium were put into these
Price is currently at $214
$IWM FLOW
It's going to be a cold fall with both $SPY and $IWM flow lining up to the downside.
Big money has some not so good expectations for the upcoming rate cut.
$SPY FLOW UPDATED
Absolutely nothing but bearish flow into extended session close today.
Several bearish spread orders with a MASSIVE sold call order. 21.7m in one option order leaning bearish.
These are all 10/18 exp so there is time for this downside to play out.
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Indicator 🏆 $SPY
$SPY FLOW
Most of you won't like this post, but $SPY flow has shifted. Pages upon pages of these $SPY 10/18 550Ps bought at and above ask.
Big money could be buying these in smaller orders to fly under the radar. We caught it.
It's going to be fun to see how this plays out!
$SPY UPDATED FLOW
Unfortunately, most of you are not going to like this post.
More $SPY puts being loaded, with two orders being above ask. This is an aggressive buy.
550s and 560s for 10/31 expiration are getting hit hard.
$SPY UPDATED FLOW
For all the people this flow is pissing off... we are just reading what comes in. No bias here.
$SPY is bearish on big money orders, get over it.
The first bought $SPY call comes in a sea of sold calls (bearish).
$QQQ FLOW
You won't like this. A bear just doubled down on their bearish $QQQ position.
105.3m roll into a 222.5m naked put position.
Could today have been one of the largest bear traps to date, or is this whale cooked?
Whales are HAMMERING the buy button on $COIN calls
Power hour saw over $5,000,000 in premium go into calls before the closing bell today... interesting
These contracts are quite expensive but take a look at the $COIN 4/25 290's @ 1.20 (looks intriguing)
Someone knows something
$BABA 12/19 165 Calls @ 1.52 have been loaded..
165 is an interesting strike price to put $152,000 into
Someone knows something...
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$QQQ FLOW
This post is simply here to show you, we have no bias.
"You zoomed in on the bearish flow for views, show the other legs of the order". Here you go.
$QQQ, $SPY, $IWM, and $TLT all have significant bearish flow with almost no bullish flow.
Big money is about to
$SMCI IS SCREWED
No arguments can be made here. Not one.
$SMCI is in a world of legal issues and flow is NOTHING but puts. Nothing.
Here is the closing flow and largest flow. Not a single call order in there.
$SPY FLOW
You probably won't like this if you're long.
9m bearish position ordered right at the start of power hour.
This position is targeting $SPY between 530 and 570 for quite awhile.
$IWM, $SPY, $QQQ After Hours Flow
Viewing after hour market flow to indicate the following session's open has decent success rate (65%-70%).
Looks like big money is anticipating a gap down into Monday's open.
$QQQ AFTER HOURS FLOW
8.0m on downside!
This is as bearish as it gets for flow. Calls sold at and below bid in extremely large quantities with a 2.7m bought put to boot.
$QQQ AFTER HOURS FLOW
A small gap up into tomorrow would make sense with the after hours flow present on $QQQ.
Don't be fooled though, big money bias is still significantly bearish.
$TSLA Flow and Technicals
$TSLA bulls will like this. The quoted tweet shows closing flow from Friday on $TSLA.
Lets take a look at the Technicals. It looks like we're seeing pullback to 232 or a rip straight to the 10/10 robotaxi event.
What do you think?
$TSLA Bulls, Good News.
Significant repeat call flow into close on Friday. $10 ITM bought calls totaling 1m.
$TSLA's robotaxi event is coming up on 10/10. Buy the rumor sell the news.
$VIX up 22% while $SPY is down 1.3% from ATH?
There has been a tremendous amount of hate for posting bearish market flow recently.
This is what comes when the market is trading at a nearly extreme greed state.
The truth is, market flow has been bearish and the vast majority
$QQQ Wow.
190m in put premium rolled to 250m at a higher strike.
This is the second time in a week we've received this absolutely insane size of an order.
What do you think it means?
$SPY Oh. My.
104m on 03/21 exp PUTS
They rolled from a 59m bearish order to over 163m.
Someone just loaded the F****** boat with $SPY puts. Bull trap? Bear trap?
$SPY BULLS
I know you won't like this, sorry, but big money is expecting another gap down into open tomorrow.
After hours flow has about a 65-70% success rate in prediction the following day's open. Not great, not terrible.
Combined with $VIX sold puts, hmm...
$SPY UPDATED
Big money has been loading puts all morning.
To be frank, there was no significant flow to validate this move to ATH this morning.
$SPY is now red on the day. A $3.50 pivot from high of day, putting most of these big money contracts up 15%-20%
$SPY FLOW UPDATED
Absolutely nothing but bearish flow into extended session close today.
Several bearish spread orders with a MASSIVE sold call order. 21.7m in one option order leaning bearish.
These are all 10/18 exp so there is time for this downside to play out.
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$SPY $QQQ $IWM
All three indices closed with a messy 1D candle today.
Either direction going into tomorrow should have a volatile move. These indecision candles break aggressively.
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$SPY AFTER HOURS FLOW
No significant direction here short term. Longer term big money is targeting 533-537.
The larger orders are November 15th expiration, implying a multi-month cycle down is in the works.
This lines up with the 12/20 expiration cons we've been reading.
$SPY After Hours Flow
11.9m IN BOUGHT CALLS AT 4:14 P.M.
Not only is the premium large, the expiration is only 10/18. This is an aggressive, short term, upside order.
$SPY 10/31 560 P
This whale bought 2070 contracts at 8.13 for 1.7m in premium.
These contracts are now sitting at 10.00, for $187 gain per contract, total gain of $387,090.
These puts were bought, and posted here, right around 10:10 this morning.
$TSLA BULLS
Big money is just non-stop hammering upside on $TSLA.
Closing at 250.00 on the dot today, $TSLA is gaining increasing market sentiment as hype for the 10/10 robotaxi event builds.
$TSLA FLOW
Possibly hundreds of orders on $TSLA all within the 500k-800k range.
Although the strike price is $10, this is essentially the same as big money buying shares, extremely bullish if they exercise.
Big money sometimes does this to fix a balance sheet and show they
$QQQ $SPY
Bearish flow lined up this time. If the flow doesn't line up with your personal positions, sorry.
Big money is still in their further dated puts.
$SPY FLOW
$SPY's top flow today all came in AH. This flow is likely getting ready for the ex-dividend date so this data means little to nothing.
$QQQ data is bearish, $IWM data is bearish. 2/3 good enough?
$SPY Returns after the first rate cut.
This macro chart illustrates the returns on $SPY 3, 6, and 12 months post FED pivot.
How do you think $SPY / $QQQ will react in this cycle.
Take a look ⬇️
$SPY October Price Action.
Coming into the second week of October, there is a track record of 5/5 to close this week red with an average return of -2.0%.
2004: -1.0%
2008: -19.97%
2012: -2.22%
2016: -0.89%
2020: -3.90%
This is not including the 2008 outlier of a -20% week,
$SPY FLOW
$SPY is being held within a range today, no question about that.
More sold calls, more bought puts. There are some scattered sold puts in there but for the most part we're bearish on big money.
$IWM After Hours Flow:
Significant cash secured puts being rolled into close. This supports the excessive call flow order from today.
$IWM and small caps in general are probably going to have a good quarter coming up.
$SPY UPDATED
Pages of sold calls flying in, so lets break it down.
Rather than short $SPY via puts or shorted shares, big money is taking a deep ITM sold Call position.
They are using their shares to capitalize on downside via collecting premium. As long as $SPY goes down,
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$AAPL WHALES ARE HITTING THE TAPE WITH CALLS
Friday we saw some very aggressive orders coming in before the market closed. I would assume we continue up
Looks like these call buyers are looking for $200+
for all your data
$SPY POWER HOUR FLOW
Very small call flow in comparison to what we've received all morning and all day Friday.
These are likely hedges, not the other way around.
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$SPY UPDATED FLOW
Some very small bought calls, 40-100k in premium.
However, these are overshadowed by the bearish spread opened just above it.
3.5m on sold calls, 2.6m on bought calls.
You can tell this position is bearish as there is more premium on the sold calls than
$SMCI Who Remembers This Post?
Since everyone wants to tag the developing flow that is currently down, heres $SMCI heading back to $200.
DOJ violation and a late 10k filing. Flow knew.
$SMCI This isn't good.
200 to 1,200 in a year, 1,200 to 200 just as fast?
A late filing builds fear, fear leads to a rapid decline in price. Big money flow supports that.
A 10k filing should be on time, no matter what.
$AVGO CLOSING FLOW
Wildly bullish flow on $AVGO to close out today's trading session.
These are short dated expiration to boot, meaning $AVGO is likely going to have an aggressive move tomorrow or Friday. Watch out for this one
$VIX AFTER HOURS FLOW
$SPY bulls are not going to like this. 3.5m in 11/20 exp ATM calls for $VIX.
This should mean downside for $SPY and $QQQ. However, $VIX can move up off volatility increase alone while $SPY can also push.
$NVDA BEARISH!!!
We've been saying it for the past two weeks now. Not a single significant long call buy in two weeks.
7.8m in sold calls right at lunch with several 400k+ orders to follow.
Big money does not want upside on $NVDA.
$IWM FLOW = BEARISH
Yet again, $IWM is bearish just as $SPY, $QQQ, and $TLT are bearish.
$IWM, in this one screenshot, has about 7m leaning bearish. That is an extremely large order for such short dated options.
Call flow is still heavily outweighing puts today
Market is pretty red on the morning, but this call flow being 3x higher than put flow makes me believe this downside could be temporary... $SPY