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Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc Profile
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc

@bgilliam1982

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894
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Learning by writing โ€ฆ

Chapel Hill, NC
Joined November 2016
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
4 years
@ajamubaraka Welcome to the Robespierre phase of the woke revolution.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
9 months
There's no reason to be long ETH right now - which will probably turn out to be the reason to have been long ETH.
@RyanSAdams
RYAN SฮžAN ADAMS - rsa.eth ๐Ÿฆ„
9 months
Read this in blockworks newsletter today I'm actually gobsmacked at the negative sentiment on Ethereum as we end the year. I never anticipated ETH would be viewed as non-consensus underdog again, yet here we are. Long ETH 2024.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
The overwhelming consensus within crypto seems to be that ETH will inevitably flippen BTC. The recent debate on rollups makes me think that will be difficult. A short ๐Ÿงต
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
The world wants dollars and crypto is the best way to provide them.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
A few of the many, many quotable takes from @Permissionless ๐Ÿ‘‡
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
WSJ on Terra: "As often happens in unregulated, untested parts of the markets, the pitch was too good to be true." ok, fine. Now do SPACs, spec-tech, China ADRs, CDS, CDOs, oil futures ETFs ...
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
At least someone in crypto is having a good week @MakerDAO $DAI
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Every stock is fundamentally worth the present value of its future dividend payments. Is this what gives crypto value, too? @Uniswap โ€™s fee switch might help us find out ๐Ÿงต
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
"Companies run by everyone" is a lousy use case for DAOs.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Fun fact from @AcquiredFM : Bezos made his first $1 billion not from Amazon but from his $250,000 seed investment in Google.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
7 years
@kerstinwsutton @UNC @UNC_Basketball @Jalek05 Jalek stuck with UNC when we were down, hopefully we can do the same for him
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
7 months
How much did I enjoy my free review copy of @cdixon 's Read Write Own? So much I've ordered a paid Kindle copy, too (and if you knew how cheap I am youโ€™d know what high praise that is). Find out why here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
A financial paradox: Markets are efficient, but only because people think that theyโ€™re not. Hereโ€™s why and (maybe) what to do about it. ๐Ÿงต
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
My TradFi view of the problems with not-so-decentralized DAO governance:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Judge Torres has declared that XRP tokens are not inherently investment contracts and that is great news for crypto. But is her opinion likely to stand? A look back at the history of state securities law suggests the powers that be may not let it. A short ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿ‘‡
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
With the Nasdaq 100 having its best-ever first half of a year, things are starting to feel bubbly, which, per George Soros, might mean itโ€™s time to โ€œrush in and buy.โ€ But how do we know weโ€™d be buying the start of a bubble and not the end of a rally? A short ๐Ÿงต
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
A few of the many hot takes, quotable quotes, and great lines overheard at #dasnyc ๐Ÿงต1/n
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
In case you had the misfortune of being somewhere other than Austin last week. here are some of the most quotable quotes from @Permissionless ... a long (but quick) ๐Ÿงต ๐Ÿ‘‡
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
WSJ has downgraded $COIN to meme stock status ... ouch
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
5 months
@swmartin19 @CoinbaseWallet @arbitrum @Optimism Why is ethereum even an option, ha .. I guess if you're buying a car or something
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
6 months
All memecoins are wildly undervalued
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
The collapse of $LUNA / $UST feels to me like the death of an elderly grandparent: shocking, but not surprising.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
but I learned this morning that crypto natives like @hasufl have a lot of concrete ideas on DAOs that I think could genuinely re-invent governance:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
3 years
I'm old enough to remember when international payments was the #1 Bitcoin bull case
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
8 months
I learned a lot from @blockworksres data on MakerDAO - all helpfully delivered in the form of pictures. My take on the only normal valuation in crypto:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
11 months
Does SBF belong on Mt. Fraudmore with Madoff, Ponzi, and Lay? Or among the lesser lights like Holmes, Shkreli, and Belfort? His place in history will be determined over the next 6 weeks, starting here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
โ€œYour job as a DeFi person is not to give people 5% returns instead of 3% returns. Your job as a DeFi person is to make sure people donโ€™t get negative 100% returns.โ€ @VitalikButerin
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
"I personally love bear markets because it reduces the noise. We should celebrate bear markets" @StaniKulechov @AaveAave @LensProtocol
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Howard Schultz wanted to bring Italian coffee culture to America but we demanded Frappuccinos, so that's what we got. Is it time for crypto to give the people what they want? Subscribe to find out:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
TLDR from #Permissionless2 : Crypto is still building, still big-thinking, and still entertaining. Get the not-too-long-to-read version here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
11 months
Their central bank can't stop printing money so Argentines are slowly adopting the US dollar. Could that turn out to be a case of out the fire and into a frying pan? The bull case for dollarization: The bear case for dollars:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
โ€œScarcity doesnโ€™t create value. Utility does.โ€ @EatSleepCrypto
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
3 years
Crypto is passing a test that TradFi might have failed. $MIM $UST $LUNA $TIME
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
"Tell me what company you keep and I'll tell you what you are." - Don Quixote
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
8 months
Do Americans have a constitutional right to dangerous money-like assets such as BTC, ETH & USDC? The US gov't deems cryptography a "munition" and many deem cryptocurrency a munition of financial self-defense so why not? The 2nd Amendment case for crypto:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
6 months
ticket and hotel prices conveniently at an all-time low (in BTC terms)
@Permissionless
Permissionless
6 months
INTRODUCING: Permissionless III The event for crypto natives. October 9-11 | Salt Lake City, Utah ๐Ÿœ๏ธ๐ŸŒต
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
If two people in a canoe are paddling in different directions, do you tell one person to stop or tell the other person to paddle twice as hard? The direction of the US economy may depend on the answer:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Today's note asks how much crypto can fit in a duffel bag, how watchable a crypto-version of Ozark would be, and how much financial privacy is too much. Subscribe here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
@aeyakovenko is always a great interview and this one is the best I've heard, great stuff
@Lightspeedpodhq
Lightspeed
1 year
Are L1 tokens just an anti-spam mechanism or something more? Links to the full episode with @aeyakovenko โ†“
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
10 months
Why own Bitcoin when the Fed has stopped printing money and started un-printing it? Because IOUs are money, too, and the Treasury is handing out more and more of them. The Lloyd Christmas bull-case for crypto:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Me and @MattFiebach at #DASLONDON in a couple of weeks.
@litcapital
litquidity
2 years
Americans traveling to England this fall with a weak Pound
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
FOMC day is my chance to pretend to be a macro expert (a welcome break from pretending to be a crypto expert), so yesterday I explained why, in my expert opinion, โ€œrisk-free assetsโ€ should be rebranded as "risk-free liabilities." Have a short read here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
no, Sam, it's not.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Could PayPal scramble the worlds of tech and banking? If so, crypto may be on a slippery slope to a Glass-Steagall moment. Subscribe to hear why that would be a good thing:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
In todayโ€™s note I break new ground in the field of behavioral finance by asking whether we should take investment advice from rich people if it wasn't investing that made them rich. Subscribe to get the answer in your inbox!
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Getting quoted in an article about Kim Kardashian is definitely a career highlight. Thanks for the shout-out, @SchreckReports . I might declare victory and retire now. via @politico
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
4 months
Could crypto swing an election? My attempt to write about crypto and politics without making ANYONE mad at me. Have a short read on single-issue voting and the Persuadeables (TM) and let me know how I did.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
10 months
Big-tech is buying its own services by investing in AI startups and the US government is creating demand for its debt by incurring debt. Is this a new age of Mรถbius finance? If so, crypto is ahead of the curve:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
"You could almost say that in a DAO corruption is encouraged because there really is no consequence for doing it. That's, like, the definition of a DAO." @RuneKek on @ReveriePod
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Congratulations to @MikeIppolito_ for being this year's only DOUBLE Newsletter Award recipient @Permissionless . A rare honor.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Hamster racing, ever meme-ier memecoins, Telegram trading bots ... has crypto lost its way? Or is it all part of the grand plan? Subscribe to find out in tonight's newsletter:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
I fully expect today's note to someday be cited in a Supreme Court ruling. Subscribe to find out why we should stop debating the Howey Test and start debating the Forman Test:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Crypto has a lot of problems, but, contra WSJ, insider trading is not one of them.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
10 months
The two hottest topics in decentralized, anti-establishment crypto are centralized real-world assets and the very establishment Blackrock ETF. Is TradFi coming to cryptoโ€™s rescue? Find out whether Larry Fink might be the hero we need now:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
I can't wait for inflation to be over so the Fed can get back to fighting climate change.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Modular blockchains. Not really sure what they are but I'll be citing this tweet to prove I was early.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
I'll accept hack, but "random" is harsh.
@HammerToe
Matt Hamilton
2 years
Quite impressive that the SEC seem to be doing so badly in their case against Ripple that when random newsletter hack @bgilliam1982 wrote his newsletter today for @blockworks that he actually thinks *Ripple* sued the *SEC*. ๐Ÿคฆโ€โ™‚๏ธ
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Today's note recounts some of TradFi's greatest-ever TAMs, the magic financial metric where the only constraint is your imagination. And then imagines an even bigger one for crypto. Subscribe to hear the first-ever TAM that starts with a Q:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
3 months
@Permissionless preview: I spoke to @BlockchainAssn 's @KMSmithDC to get a big-picture view of where we are now with crypto regulation and where weโ€™re hoping to go - and came away more optimistic that regulated crypto will still be cypherpunk crypto:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Classic stock market.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
6 months
the overlap of this Venn diagram is bigger than I expected
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
5 months
@JasonYanowitz @swmartin19 @blockworksres I might fake resign just to see if my Blockworks obit is any good
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
"No one ever woke up and said 'my life sucks because itโ€™s not decentralized'." @tayvano_
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
This week's mailbag asks whether the crypto industry and/or bitcoin is going to make it, if FDV is a good metric, whether crypto is moving to Asia, and why people still use USDT. Answer key: yes, maybe, sort of, probably, just because. Full answers:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
This week's macro note discusses whether Nvidia bulls are as early as pumpkin spice in August or as late as Halloween pumpkins in November Subscribe and ... well, you still won't know. But you'll have some easy-on-the-eyes charts to finish your week with
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Gresham's law explains why, if you pay with cash in the US, you might still get a 1966 half-dollar coin in return as change, but never a 1964 one. Could it also explain why Tether dollars have so outnumbered Circle dollars? Subscribe to find out:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Mo money, mo problems: The root of crypto's 2022 annus horribilis has been too much money and not enough to do with it.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
"Probably the coolest AI-intersection-with-crypto product in the world.โ€ @aeyakovenko on @Hivemapper
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Today's note reveals how an SAT word can improve your betting returns, with helpful examples of what not to do from SBF and Michael Egorov. Subscribe here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
3 years
$OHM is 91% off its highs and STILL trading 70% above Treasury value - because when the token falls, the Treasury falls, too.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
8 months
news sold and my faith in the efficient markets hypothesis restored
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
4/ But on closer inspection, itโ€™s obvious Ethereum is far from a finished product. Hereโ€™s a highly informed Twitter squabble over whether rollups really do scale Ethereum or inherit its security.
@_prestwich
James Prestwich
1 year
Rollup debate is politicized b/c once you accept that RUs != bridges, you have to admit: - RUs do not scale Ethereum - Ethereum may not be ideal DA - RUs do not "settle to" or "inherit security from" Ethereum Ethereum may be Rollup-centric, but Rollups are not Ethereum-centric
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Reminder: the only thing in your cold storage is a private key. The crypto it unlocks is never in your possession.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
This week's mailbag answers whether the moment DeFi is having is more Lehman or LTCM, what Defcon level we're at, and what to do when you sleepwalk into millions of dollars. Subscribe to get my boomer take on the latest crypto crisis:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Your house is no more likely to go on-chain than it is to float away under a bunch of balloons. Does that make crypto's "real-world assets" a fake-news narrative? Find out here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
"We shall answer their demands for a gold standard by saying to them, you shall not press down upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns. You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold." William Jennings Bryan on monetary policy
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Finance was more fun and maybe more effective in the 1990s - possibly for a lack of compliance. Could DeFi bring the good times back? Subscribe to hear the case for DKYC (don't know your customer) finance:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Tired: First-mover advantage. Wired: Fast-mover advantage. AI will make it tougher for founders to get to the S&P 500, but easier to make a quick buck. Will crypto founders have the fastest-mover advantage?
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
He maybe could have mentioned this yesterday? Or other any day over the last 6 years? Ha.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
This week's mailbag answers the big questions of how decentralized DeFi is and how valuable crypto might be. TLDR: It's in the eye of the beholder. (But it's really not too long, so DO read here: )
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
Yesterday's note ponders the consequences of being a non-profit with a known end date to donations (like Bitcoin!). And asks whether blockspace will ever be as popular as Thin Mints. Have a (short) read here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
I read the SEC complaint on Coinbase insiders so you don't have to. It was pretty entertaining, actually. But not very bullish for crypto.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
This is actually proof-of-concept for stables: $DAI $USDT $BUSD all holding peg despite large redemptions.
@ChrisBloomstran
Christopher Bloomstran
2 years
โ€œHow did you go bankrupt?โ€ Bill asked. โ€œTwo ways,โ€ Mike said. โ€œGradually, then suddenly.โ€ Redemptions. You are going to find out how few reserves actually exist. Commercial paper? Treasuries? #Terra #Tether #DAI #Binance #ponzi
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
11 months
Is profligate government spending a BEAR case for Bitcoin? If the Fed offsets it with higher real rates, it may be. Why "R-star" is the new metric bitcoiners should be watching:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
3 years
Public policy proposal: At least one person in the nuclear chain of command should be required by law to be under the age of 30.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
4 years
@tylercowen Tyler, just FYI, it looks like your account has been hacked by a statist. You may want to change your password.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
A needed reminder that financial fraud is not required to be crypto-related.
@HindenburgRes
Hindenburg Research
2 years
NEW FROM US: Adani Group โ€“ How The Worldโ€™s 3rd Richest Man Is Pulling The Largest Con In Corporate History (1/x)
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
In today's note I disagree with yesterday's note by making the case that the crypto industry's best attribute may be it inefficiency. I like to think the same about myself:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
3 years
Second best ever name change to Meta. $FB $MVRS @Blockworks_
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@Blockworks_
Blockworks
3 years
JUST IN: Facebook's new name is Meta This is the new logo. "Facebook" will invest $10 billion into the metaverse.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
4 months
@dweekly $25 for the knowledge and $400 for the credential... sounds about right @bryan_caplan ?
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
The trending theme of "de-dollarization" is a new bull case for Bitcoin ... if it ever happens.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
This week's mailbag discusses baseball cards, the financialization of people, how to list yourself on Uniswap, and what we'd trade without Binance and Tether (our friends, of course).
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
2 years
Don't Let Me Down ... read the newsletter:
@Blockworks_
Blockworks
2 years
What do the Beatles and the SEC have in common? Subscribe to our newsletter to find out.
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
9 months
Wall Streetโ€™s vision of "tokenization" buoyed cryptoโ€™s spirits in the depths of winter, but now that crypto has thawed and tokenization is getting real, itโ€™s time to agree on what the word actually means. @blockworksDAS London 2024 preview:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
11 months
One large group of people was not at all surprised that SBF ended up on trial for fraud: His original partners at Alameda. From Going Infinite, here's some of the eerily prescient red flags they were waving ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ‘‡ (1/10)
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
11 months
Crypto (protocols built on the Internet) is to banking what the Web (also protocols built on the Internet) is to the telegraph. Find out why here:
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@bgilliam1982
Byron Gilliam ๐ŸŸช e/acc
1 year
This week's charts are preceded by a discussion of goats: Messi, Swift, and ... the US economy? Subscribe to end your week with some (mostly) good-news:
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