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Amrit Vignesh Profile
Amrit Vignesh

@avsportsanalyst

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Explaining sports with numbers, not myths 📈📊 | Sports Analytics Enthusiast | Certified Ball Knower | ORFE @Princeton '28 | @CS_Eval Analytics Intern

Sanford, Florida, USA
Joined November 2023
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
I am glad to announce that I will be committing to @Princeton as part of the Class of 2028! Thanks to everyone who has gotten me to this point and I cannot wait for an exciting four years in the beautiful city of Princeton, New Jersey! @ApplyPrinceton #college #commitment
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
5 months
I made a ShinyApp relating to how "true" of a fan you are based on distance to teams you support! ShinyApp link: GitHub link: Please repost for reach, thank you! (Below is based on where I grew up - Lawrenceville, NJ)
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Was a great experience at the @sabr analytics conference this weekend! Was able to talk to professionals and view great research! Thanks to @vincegennaro , @scott_bush , and @scarter19 for making this possible! #baseball #sports #analytics #sabermetrics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Glad to announce that my paper on quantifying NFL QB aggressiveness has been published in the @Wharton Sports Analytics Journal #sportsanalytics #research #datascience #statistics #journal
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
If you want to start making projects in sports analytics, no matter what sport, gotta check out by @mfbanalytics with tutorials from @tejfbanalytics and @arjunmenon100 . Genuinely great and informative #football #sports #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
AYOE: Air Yards Over Expected Filtered to QBs With 100+ Pass Attempts In 2023 From Week 1 to 11; Trained Data from 2014 - 2020; Tested Data from 2021 - 2023 Essential Part Of This Is That The Receiver Skill Is Accounted For #sportsanalytics #footballanalytics #nfl Details ↓
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Officially graduated yesterday night from Seminole High School in Sanford, FL 🎓
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
Not sports related but glad to receive valedictorian of my school! #academics #school #valedictorian
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
NBA FGPOE (Field Goal Points Per Game Over Expected) Trained Data from 2021 - 2023 to Test 2024 So Far. XGBoost With Situational Factors. Tells A Lot About Scoring Efficiency. #basketball #sportsanalytics #nba #datascience #statistics Please repost Details ↓
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
@CDCarter13 Volume merchant
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Forgot to post here but I am glad to join @CS_Eval this summer as an AIDP Analytics Intern! Thanks to @jstack05 , @codingtyty , and the rest of the team for the opportunity! #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
@JustATh27580793 @KevinCole___ Not every yardage play is equally weighted in EPA
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
3 months
Thought it would be cool to make a decisions video on YouTube so you can check out my very poorly edited college decisions video on YouTube here: #college #decisions #reactions #school #education
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
9 months
After November 3, we see Luka Doncic leading the pack for the NBA MVP award as he has led the Mavericks to a 4-2 record with great base and advanced statistics! This model is based on training data from 1980 - 2023 with the correlation between statistics and the award reception.
@Hofflytics
Hofflytics
9 months
Our new @Hofflytics Predictive Analyst, @amrit_vignesh has forecasted his current #NBA MVP award winner! Leading the pack is #Mavericks Luka Doncic (+430) and trailing right behind him is #Nuggets Nikola Jokic! (+340)
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
@tejfbanalytics Screenshot directly from the R table is crazy
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Was happy to present at the OSU Sports Analytics Conference earlier today by @OhioState ! Thanks to @RyanRuddy6 , @JohnDDraper , and other members of the team once again!
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Happy to be presenting at the 2024 OSU sports analytics conference, thanks to @RyanRuddy6 ! #sports #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
Thought it would be fun to make a reverse MVP ranking. Players considered played at least (65/82) of the max games played by a team player with at least 20 minutes in them #nba #basketball #sportsanalytics #datasci #stats
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
Visualization of 2023 QBs with >= 250 Pass Attempts Between Their Efficiency (EPA/Play) and Aggressiveness (aDOT Over Expected) aDOT over Expected itself incorporates receiving epa for targeted receiver so the negative relationship makes sense #nfl #football #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
@buckweaver
Jacob Pomrenke
4 months
Always great to see our former @sabr interns return to present their own research at #SABRanalytics . Congrats to @reece_ca1vin on a terrific presentation today on optimizing lineups with ball tracking data!
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
16 days
Upset we waived him
@_analyKnicks
Knicks Analytics
16 days
If the Knicks can afford him, Paul Reed suddenly becomes an excellent young backup center option. He fits into what the Knicks ostensibly want from their centers on both ends, >95th %ile in OReb rate each of his 4 seasons, and an 99th %ile rim deterrer. #NewYorkForever
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
It's funny to see how the people who hate on analytics in sports don't know anything about how it works. "It doesn't consider context" - yes it does. Analytics people understand that it isn't perfect - it also has become the one to target as a result of hindsight bias #sports
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
1 month
Generating Adjusted EPA/Play's (Offense + Defense) For 2023 NFL Season And Creating a Strength of Schedule Ranking Out of It Write-ups will be available soon through LinkedIn and Medium below #nfl #football #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
17 days
Creating a Deviation From Expected Pitch (DFEP) Metric For 2024 MLB Qualified Pitchers Based On Situational Factors To Identify Unpredictable and Predictable Pitchers Write-Up On The Links Below ⬇️ #mlb #baseball #sportsanalytics #sabermetrics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Creating an Expected Points Metric in the NFL Using a Markov Chain and Comparing to the XGBoost Metric Based in the NFLVerse Library. GitHub and Other Write Ups In the Thread Soon #nfl #football #footballanalytics #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Looking at FC Barcelona midfield playstyles using advanced clustering techniques over Messi's span there #soccer #football #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
3 months
Determining Pitch Arsenal Versatility and Comparing to Pitch Quality/Proficiency #baseball #mlb #sportsanalytics #sabermetrics #baseballanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
3 months
Looking at a new "expected points" metric in the NHL This includes also looking at individual progressions through the season. Write up will be in the LinkedIn link below which I will post as soon as possible #hockey #nhl #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Along with @VarunRaman2205 , we created an "Analytical Big Board" rating for 2024 NFL Draft QB prospects. Methodology and reason for why some of these might seem crazy in the thread #football #nfl #cfb #college #analytics #sports #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
There is a misconception about statistics in sports. You MUST pair the statistics with context when evaluating an entity in sports. You also do need to add the factor of "eye test" even though it has a subjective nature. #statistics #sportsanalytics #sports #datascience
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Predicted vs Actual NBA Positions Trained Data From 2015 to 2021, Tested from 2022 to 2024. Used Primary Position Only. Few Interesting but Not Surprising Results Outlined in Details #basketball #nba #basketballanalytics #sportsanalytics Please repost and details below ↓
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
3 months
uconn won yeah maybe because they have four top 15 players #marchmadness #college #basketball #sports #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Was a great experience!
@MWSprtAnalytics
MW Sports Analytics
8 months
Now we've got @avballknowledge presenting on predicting the @NBA MVP winner at #MSAM23 .
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
Clustering NFL QBs On Stylistic Traits Solely and Analyzing Change Between 5 Years You can see this for more QBs in the github below #football #nfl #sportsanalytics #sports #datascience #statistics #football
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
@KevinCole___ My model giving hilarious results
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
29 days
Creating Progressive Playmaking Values For Passing and Carrying For EURO 2024 (After 2 Games For Each Team In The Group Stage) Write-up on LinkedIn and Medium below ⬇️ #football #soccer #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics #euro2024
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Was an unbelievable experience at the CMU Sports Analytics Conference headed by Carnegie Mellon University Statistics & Data Science, @Stat_Ron , @stat_sam , others. Was able to talk to the most successful gambler of all time, Bill Benter. #sportsanalytics #cmsac
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Big moves by @ericeager_
@josephperson
Joe Person
2 months
Panthers plan to hire SumerSports VP Eric Eager in an analytics role, per league source. Eager worked for Pro Football Focus prior to SumerSports, a startup in 2022 (that also employs Thomas Dimitroff) aimed at helping NFL teams in player acquisition and roster management.
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
1 month
Creating Offensive & Defensive Ratings for NBA Draft Prospects From College Using PORPAG & D-PORPAG By Bart Torvik Write-Up In LinkedIn and Medium Below ⬇️ #sportsanalytics #sports #basketball #cbb #nba #nbadraft #datascience #statistics #college
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
these rookies with no headshots really taking over the NL #mlb #baseball #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
3 months
A little late, but you can land your bets on Luka winning MVP and Hughes winning the Norris Trophy #nba #basketball #nhl #hockey #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
15 days
I have somewhat of an idea of evaluating offensive line analytically without using tracking data. In short, it involves using a non-tracking version of RYOE and looking at trades and signings to see how RYOE changes as a result. Detailed version⬇️ #nfl #football #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
And also my Least Valuable Player 🤣 (if they meet the MVP voting requirements) #nba #basketball #mvp #sports #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
16 days
I need to do more hitting analytics in baseball but I feel like all the unique ideas are on the pitching side #baseball #sabermetrics #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Graduating today so wanted to show off the grad cap (my whole personality is sports quite clearly) #graduation #sports
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
NHL TOE (Turnovers Over Expected) Used XGBoost Incorporating Usage And Giving Probability Of Turnovers. If there is a way to get transparent NHL headshots, please let me know #sportsanalytics #nhl #hockey #datascience #statistics #hockeyanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
Dream job when I’m older
@ZachDrapkin
Zach Drapkin
2 months
Our group at the @Eagles is hiring a Senior Quantitative Analyst! Apply here:
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
2023 Formula One TSOE (Turn Speed Over Expected) in KM/H with Turn Situational Factors Just want to preface possible lack of accuracy (you cannot directly associate turns with telemetry data) Thanks to @BrotoFFCasanova and @pbulsink for f1dataR #f1 #formulaone #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
As we approach the end of the season, let's see how my old MVP model pans out #nba #mvp #basketball #sports #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
9 months
@MWSprtAnalytics
MW Sports Analytics
9 months
OUR SCHEDULE IS AVAILABLE! We are BEYOND EXCITED to share the program for #MSAM2023 and once you decide you LOVE the schedule of talks/posters, be sure to register at .
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
This really helped me in understanding Markov Chains and its applications better
@reece_ca1vin
Reece Calvin
4 months
Last week I got to present my work on lineup simulations at the @SABR analytics conference. If anyone wants to check it out, here’s a link the repo.
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
My NBA MVP model as of now vs Basketball Reference #basketball #nba #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
Clustering NBA Players Based on Shot Tendencies And Looking at Progression from 2015 to 2024: GitHub that will be commented below shortly has all players eligible (top 100 in attempts per year) #basketball #nba #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics #basketballanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
16 days
Read a lot about this model and it’s amazing! It also seems to be done with free data from FBRef which is even better
@de_cayton
Donald Cayton
22 days
For anyone interested in what goes into the MBAPPE model, I'm going to echo the about section here! MBAPPE (Multi-League Bayesian Adjusted Penalized Plus-Minus Estimate) is a Bayesian RAPM with SPM prior. What is that? Thread Below📝 (1/10)
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
16 days
I made a plot to show the general relationship between pitcher predictability and proficiency! It does represent the ideal of less predictability translating to more proficiency but its not a strong relationship. #baseball #sabermetrics #sportsanalytics #mlb
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
17 days
Creating a Deviation From Expected Pitch (DFEP) Metric For 2024 MLB Qualified Pitchers Based On Situational Factors To Identify Unpredictable and Predictable Pitchers Write-Up On The Links Below ⬇️ #mlb #baseball #sportsanalytics #sabermetrics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
For reference, this model prioritizes wins a lot becuase I used PCA (principal component analysis) to reduce the dimensionality of most of the metrics into one value except things like wins #football #nfl #americanfootball #sportsanalytics
@Hofflytics
Hofflytics
8 months
Our predictive analyst @avsportsanalyst , has updated his #NFL  MVP award rankings… As it stands, #Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts took over 1st place followed by #Lions Jared Goff, and #Chiefs Patrick Mahomes… this model is based off “basic” advanced statistics from 2007!
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Was glad to present two today!
@MWSprtAnalytics
MW Sports Analytics
8 months
A research group (including @potsy ) from @SyracuseU and @UofNorthGeorgia talking on "Formula One vs. IndyCar: Determining the World's Fastest Auto Racing Format" at #MSAM23 .
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
To be fair, footy statistics suck in terms of fully capturing impact. Clearly did not capture foden’s impact on city (or maybe my boy Cole Palmer was robbed) #premierleague #soccer #football #analytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
Happy to have been accepted to present a poster at the UConn Sports Analytics Symposium led by @bmacGTPM , @statsinthewild0 , and @jyanstat ! #sports #sportsanalytics #nfl #football #UCSAS
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
The way to go: Look at the stats Then see if the eye test justifies them If not, then don’t rely on that stat purely #sports #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
@NathanG1904 @ftblnl @4lex_mcfc It’s essentially based on values on a pitch which is generated based on past data. So essentially, if you move from one section of pitch to another through a pass or carry you’re generating a higher probability of the sequence ending in a goal
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
5 months
Predicted positions for 2022/23 & 2023/24 Premier League Players. Two out-of-position players include Matt Doherty (predicted CF as a RB) and Tino Livramento (predicted LW as a RB) #football #soccer #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
2023 IPL Win Probability Added Insights Calling for improvements in this model (currently uses simple factors with ball-by-ball data with 80:20 split) #ipl #cricketanalytics #cricket #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
@JFreshHockey Probably a little affected by the fact Barkov is him
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
13 days
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
According to by @kmedved , Anthony Edwards is predicted to have the largest amount of years remaining. #nba #basketball #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Was great to partake in this podcast!
@AsaArnold4
Asa
4 months
Episode 15 is out now! Joined by a rising star in the analytics community @avsportsanalyst check out the episode for a great conversation discussing the new free agency signings, analytics in new sports, and a fun Baker Mayfield debate!
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
25 days
Creating GOPV for NHL Goalies: Goalie OverPerformance Value Basically represents a linear bayesian adjustment based on strength of offensive team faced of the ratio between goals against and xG against Write-Up On LinkedIn + Medium Below⬇️ #hockey #nhl #sportsanalytics #data
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
5 months
Similarity metric describing how similar players on the "most used" lineup per NBA team are to each other as a whole team The GitHub will have a plots folder where you can analyze the visualization for all NBA teams #nba #basketball #sports #sportsanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
For reference, the teams and players I support are: NFL: Eagles NBA: 76ers and KD MLB: Phillies NHL: Flyers Footy: Chelsea/Barca and Messi Cricket: India/CSK Tennis: Djokovic F1: Bottas However, sports analytics is all about objectivity so no bias #sportsanalytics #sports
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Glad to announce that I have successfully completed my @OrlandoCitySC internship as a soccer analyst intern! #PrideOfOrlando #soccer #socceranalytics #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
His rise to the league is unbelievable, leading in so many advanced statistics. Think I will need to update my MVP model because he has to be up there probably top 3
@UsherNBA
Brett Usher
8 months
Hali is averaging 25-4-12 Shooting 52/46/92 He ranks 1st in APG, AST% 4th in PER, 9th in TS%, eFG% 4th in WS, 1st in oWS, 3rd in WS/48 3rd in BPM, 1st in oBPM, 5th in VORP 4th in EPM, 1st in oEPM +21.6 on/off diff. In terms of statistical ridiculousness, he’s guard Jokic
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
NBA PLAYOFFS UPSETS FROM 2019 to 2023 (EXCLUDING 2020)! #nba #basketball #sports #analytics #playoffs #upsets
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Updated one of my old award prediction models for the Naismith Player of the Year in college basketball just before the start of March Madness! #college #basketball #cbb #sports #analytics #datascience #statistics #marchmadness #naismith
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
Validating the deserved Jayden Daniels Heisman win, will elaborate on more details below #cfb #collegefootball #statistics #sportsanalytics #footballanalytics #datascience
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
2 months
In relation to my most recent post, you can view my full graduation speech here: #graduation #highschool #valedictorian #speech
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
@tejfbanalytics nflfastR is so detailed it’s crazy, compared to like nbastatR for nba and a lot of the other sport databases
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
@ASchatzNFL Manning in the 04-06 stretch is the best 3-year peak of all time (with 04 being the best peak)
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
14 days
@mplsoccer_dev At least for in game penalties, its supposed to be an advantage because they got fouled in the penalty box. But if it changes for penalty shootouts could be interesting
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Glad to be working with Praful Upadhyay, @jaredmarko1 , and Koi Stephanos on the #NFLBigDataBowl 2024 submission! #football #nfl #footballanalytics #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
1 month
This 2024 Celtics team was just amazing all-around. As a Sixers fan I am absolutely gutted but from what I have been hearing analytics helped the team immensely so I am all in
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
@greerreNFL its fine we know tua relies on hill consistently
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
I was glad to present at the Princeton Wintersession for the workshop "R U Ready For Some Football? Computationally Modeling the NFL?" Follow Up Post will include Video Presentation Link + Findings #football #nfl #footballanalytics #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Those who are putting the blame on Josh Allen are delusional football fans (credit to @SumerSports @ericeager @tejfbanalytics ) #football #nfl #sportsanalytics #footballanalytics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
27 days
love to see the analytics win
@SunnyMehtaX
Sunny Mehta
27 days
Incredible night!
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
Two different NFL QB-MVP models. One uses pure statistical inputs with CJ predicted as MVP, while the other condenses most of the statistics using principal component analysis (prioritizing wins) and has Hurts as MVP. #football #nfl #sportsanalytics #footballanalytics #datasci
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
6 months
Big 5 Leagues GCAOE (Goal-Creating Actions Over Expected) Based On Passing, Progression, Defense Advanced Stats Shoutout to @analyticsavi for some inspiration on using FBRef data with his Blocks Over Expected Model #football #soccer #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
As the 2024 version of the Indian Premier League starts soon, just wanted to repost my results for my Win Probability Added model to measure impact in last year's IPL! (Credit to @TAlbTree for the headshot + logo data) #cricket #ipl #analytics #sports
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
@KingZero___ @UsherNBA It’s an XGBoost model so I use a lot of factors like type of shot, distance, position on court, time left, etc.
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
I analyzed midfielder performance in the 2022-23 season for the Big 5 Leagues comparative to all other midfielders in five different categories using PCA. I showed 5 midfielders from each league for demonstration, thread is below, Prem first #football #sportsanalytics #soccer
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
4 months
Some of my thoughts for anyone entering the college application process! #college #admissions #applications #decisions #highschool #advice
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
What a game, Michigan vs Washington going to be great
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
8 months
@Hoops_Nerd And yeah, eye test shouldn’t be used when you’re making sports analytics projects it’s more about using it when you evaluate players if you do it for fun
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
7 months
2023-24 CBB Naismith Basketball Player of the Year Award Probability Used cbbdata in R by @andreweatherman Logistic Regression with Naismith Stats, Using Team Strength Stats, More Details Below #cbb #collegebasketball #sportsanalytics #datascience #statistics
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@avsportsanalyst
Amrit Vignesh
13 days
New study between smiling for a headshot and performance in the upcoming season will really change analytics
@TJStats
Thomas Nestico
13 days
Introducing SMILE+ This was a silly project which I had a blast doing, and helped me learn a lot about computer vision Check out my article covering my methodology and code on Medium
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