athe_red @athe_red Twitter profile | Pikagi

Pikagi

athe_red

@athe_red

1,834

Followers

790

Following

628

Media

7,876

Statuses

I make maps of French elections. Also a history nerd. Je fais des cartes des élections en France. Médiéviste repenti, normie de gauche. 🏳️‍🌈🇫🇷🇬🇧

Languedoc, France

Joined November 2017

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

Pinned Tweet

@athe_red

athe_red

8 months

One of the most varied dpts in France, Bouches-du-Rhône unsurprisingly has a contrasted political landscape. -Le Pen did best in small towns, the Marseille suburbs and industrial areas -Mélenchon in cities (Marseille especially) -Macron around Aix and in some wealthy areas

Tweet media one

4

15

117

Last Seen Profiles

@grantsmithtexas

@ViliusB420

@35_Mjk

@Amirali762

@rff22

@tanishi960227

@Tyren_PolleyJR

@hemlocksounds

@mg60822

@jesshgn

@PyperAime

@Xeb9pNFxWymOZ0I

@Antsomi365

@SteveG_97

@GlasgowDomina

@KrisDattili

@Batmansnubben

@MoCoinvasion

@alhussiny1400

@ExpoRecruits

@domlaila619

@STK4daChi

@macaronneko1

@Btsbreaks

@XX_MAYOI_XX

@JamesDJackson15

@shimachi__

@LAPAURADELBUl0

@foreverkbg

@JefreeyNuts

@Tloteanidi

@George_harrap

@Coach_B_Natkin

@terfenjoyer

@FCBfutbolsala

@_CocoteTonggo_

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@greg_price11 She was specifically asked to explain it in the simplest terms possible, but don't let that get in the way of whatever point you're trying to make

177

27

1K

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@ElectsWorld Holy shit Putin you gave the French president a positive approval rating

2

16

578

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

What happens if you take just the left of Macron votes and the right of Macron votes? Massive urban/rural polarisation, that's what happens.

Tweet media one

18

62

467

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@IndieWire "Hey fellow queers you HAVE to be cute and tender, you're not allowed to be rough sexy or just not confirm with my views about what you should be like."

1

14

369

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@biglyradder The bar is literally "don't make children homeless" but apparently that's too high

0

9

337

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

If your name is "Le Pen" you probably voted for Macron

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

6

29

330

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@cheer_wine Literally "kids are groomed into being gay" but progressive or whatever

10

2

304

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

WTF???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

Tweet media one

7

7

321

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@lavern_spicer -Far left -Groyper pick one

0

0

281

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

100% in: 🔴 Elise Leboucher, 50,2% ⚫️ Marie-Caroline Le Pen, 49,8%

4

25

271

@athe_red

athe_red

3 years

@shaun_vids Well, there I was crying on all my dates trying to turn them on

0

3

244

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@treenis69 @cheer_wine Me being "born this way" is not some "temporary political rhetoric"

2

0

214

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@turdfergthird @IANCOGNEATO Not sure if this is a joke but this is because of protests after a group of Kurdish people were murdered by a self-described racist

2

3

183

@athe_red

athe_red

6 months

1974 was the closest presidential election in French history. Giscard d'Estaing, a center-right pro-EU reformist, narrowly defeated Mitterrand, a socialist also supported by the communist party.

Tweet media one

11

22

191

@athe_red

athe_red

2 months

An update on my ratings, about 1/4 in Ranges out of 144 seats: ⚫️ RN- 73-40 🟡 Ens! 63-23 🔴 FP 53-23 Reminder that this is an unpredictable election, and that we're very early in the campaign. The question isn't "will I be wrong," it's "how wrong will I be, and where?"

Tweet media one

9

9

194

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@yothisaintavibe Begging people to realize that speaking multiple languages is not only possible, it's been (and still is) the norm in many societies

0

8

168

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@adriaeln What I love about Notre Dame conspiracies is that their premice is always "the government is covering it up because they don't want to offend Muslims (who obviously did it)"... ...which is like the exact opposite of what every French government would do in that situation

0

6

173

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@nikicaga Republicans all move to Florida and make every swing state safe D

2

0

165

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@twinkologian Same with white gays and homophobia

2

9

156

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

I've seen enough. With that latest drop out of Naples, Gio Baideno overtakes Donaldo Trumpo and carries the crucial swing state of Italy by a razor thin margin

Tweet media one

@Mill226

Mill

1 year

Democrati vs Repubblicani

Tweet media one

6

9

180

9

4

159

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@cheer_wine I may be stupid but I was 100% born queer and will not stand for progressives bringing back that kind of rhetoric

2

0

159

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

Attention: les chiffres du ministère de l'intérieur (E! en tête de 0.11) ne comptent pas les candidats LFI ou autres à l'outremer comme NUPES, alors qu'il le font pour ceux d'E!. Si on les compte, NUPES est en tête de 0.29 C'est justifiable, mais ça fausse un peu le tableau

5

77

159

@athe_red

athe_red

2 months

Taking another break. So far, out of 392 seats : ⚫️ RN et alliés: 197-82 🔴 Front Populaire: 146-52 🟡 Ensemble pour la république: 163-46 🔵 Les Républicains (non RN): 55-36 🟣 LIOT, DVD, DVG, Reg, etc...: 16-12 Hourly reminder that this is an unpredictable election

Tweet media one

8

5

161

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

Zemmour might have the worst visibility/votes ratio in recent history. For those not in France, it's hard to overstate how dominant Zemmour was. On tv, online, in the press, in everyone's narratives... A look at his campaign, and a few reasons why it failed/x

4

24

149

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@CSMFHT Fun fact you can instantly tell who will win an ancient battle by checking who has the smallest army

2

4

147

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@treenis69 @cheer_wine The narrative that "born this way" is just a rhetorical tool is also extremely damaging and retroactively justifies plenty of old school homophobic/transphobic rhetoric.

2

0

145

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

RN overperforms ⬇️ "OMG the RN are going to win" ⬇️ RN underperforms ⬇️ "Yay the RN is defeated" (you are here) ⬇️ RN overperforms

3

22

151

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

I'm still hoping to do the overseas and Corsica later, but here it is: the 2022 presidential election, by EPCI

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

6

24

142

@athe_red

athe_red

2 months

With 289 seats done, I'm calling it a night. I'll continue tomorrow, here's my current ratings (including a few changes based on comments I got). Once again, we're early in the campaign of an unpredictable election: things will change, and things will be wrong!

Tweet media one

13

8

151

@athe_red

athe_red

7 months

In 1965, Charles de Gaulle won the Seine departement by 5%, doing best in the city of Paris. Socialist challenger François Mitterrand did best in the suburbs.

Tweet media one

7

22

140

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

Corrèze-1, 92%: 🔴 Hollande 37,7% ⚫️ Pouget 30,6% 🔵 Dubois 28,8%

6

10

148

@athe_red

athe_red

9 months

@nikicaga Judging by right-wing twitter, every European country has on average 3,4 massive revolutions a year against their socialist regime, and the media never talks about it

2

0

141

@athe_red

athe_red

11 months

The old mining bassin stands out

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

@athe_red

athe_red

11 months

In 2022, incumbent E. Macron defeated M. Le Pen by a 5.5 million vote margin, a little over half his 2017 landslide. Macron carried just under 48% of communes, but netted huge margins out of cities, suburbs, and the west, and remained competitive in much of rural France.

Tweet media one

6

17

123

9

9

137

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

My first attempt at a map using QGIS: round 1 of the 2022 presidential election, by commune

Tweet media one

8

22

135

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@nikicaga Austin, my favorite city in Appalachia

0

0

127

@athe_red

athe_red

11 months

In 2022, incumbent E. Macron defeated M. Le Pen by a 5.5 million vote margin, a little over half his 2017 landslide. Macron carried just under 48% of communes, but netted huge margins out of cities, suburbs, and the west, and remained competitive in much of rural France.

Tweet media one

6

17

123

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

This is an RN incumbent losing in an RN stronghold

1

1

130

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@CentipedeMouse @PopulismUpdates People just clicking at random because they neither know nor care

2

0

124

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

In 1981 and 2012, socialist challengers (Mitterrand and Hollande) defeated right-wing incumbents (Giscard d'Estaing and Sarkozy) by almost idential margins (3.52 and 3.28%). Here's how every departement shifted between 1981 and 2012

Tweet media one

6

15

123

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

In Haute-Savoie, the NFP are leading the popular vote without carrying a single constituency (they're finishing 2nd everywhere and LR-RN are counted separately)

Tweet media one

4

7

127

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@EuropeElects A lot of people are using this to say joining NUPES was a bad idea... ...but without the alliance they'd have lost even more seats

2

1

122

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@micah_erfan

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@yothisaintavibe Begging people to realize that speaking multiple languages is not only possible, it's been (and still is) the norm in many societies

0

8

168

1

3

121

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@SocDoneLeft "Yes but some people really act like they want a trophy..." Call me a hack but I would give every single fascist a trophy if that's what it took for them to stop being fascists

2

5

118

@athe_red

athe_red

4 years

@CopingMAGA When you win so hard that you end up losing

0

0

102

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@EmeraldCastle @keiztrat @image_origins It's not scientific but the comparison with astrology doesn't work. MBTI just puts people into categories based on their actual traits, astrology randomly assigns traits based on their birthdate

1

0

112

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@spectatorindex "If you join the alliance meant to stop us from hurting you, we will hurt you"

2

5

111

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@GoodReddit Guy who gets aroused when money loses value

1

1

109

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@nikicaga The average 17th century European almost never thought about brown people. When they did it wasn't exactly the nicest thoughts, but even if you were in government or working in a colonial industry that only happened max a few times a year.

1

0

99

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@nikicaga reject modernity (having a wife and being a father) embrace tradition (being a hot buff guy with no wife and no kids)

2

3

105

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@Soy_cracker @biggestjoel If it had been told by an actual Spartan they wouldn't have mocked the Athenians for being gay, and if anything would have bragged about being even gayer

3

0

97

@athe_red

athe_red

17 days

Marie-Caroline Le Pen, another member of the famous dynasty, ran for deputy earlier this month in Sarthe's 4th district, François Fillon's old seat. She ultimately lost by a 225 vote margin to LFI-NFP incumbent Élise Leboucher.

Tweet media one

3

8

106

@athe_red

athe_red

2 months

Least cursed corsican election map

Tweet media one

5

5

106

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@Jose13NEO @TreVolte @Queereon @FalKoopa_ That's mostly because historians are very cautious people who hate being speculative, but I think part of it is also that people really hate the idea of colored statues and want them to look ugly. We have actual roman paintings that have survived and they're far more nuanced

1

1

100

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

And here it is! Round one of the 2017 presidential election, by commune

Tweet media one

9

25

98

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

De Fournas caught national attention a while back when he told LFI deputy Bilongo to "go back to Africa" (Bilongo got re-elected round 1)

2

0

102

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

In Ruffin's district, the Ensemble! candidate is withdrawing and endorsing him.

@AlbaneBlt

Albane Branlant

1 month

« Je ne confonds pas adversaire politique et ennemi de la République. » Ce soir, j’annonce retirer ma candidature au profit de François Ruffin pour faire barrage au Rassemblement national.

3K

7K

53K

2

5

100

@athe_red

athe_red

8 months

Macron easily carried Loire-Atlantique in 2022, finding success throughout the departement, but getting his best results in the northern suburbs of Nantes. Mélenchon came second, carrying the city of Nantes and its southern suburbs.

Tweet media one

4

5

95

@athe_red

athe_red

2 months

I tried to calculate what the resuts by département might look like. Based on current polling, 2019 results, and the 2017-2022 trend (for RN, RE and LFI). Quite a shocking map, but the kind of results you'd expect when one party has a +15% lead nationwide.

Tweet media one

9

10

97

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

The 2019 European parliament election, by National Assembly district.

Tweet media one

7

20

88

@athe_red

athe_red

26 days

One of the biggest upsets on Sunday 7th was the defeat of RN incumbent Grégoire de Fournas to socialist Pascale Got, who had represented the seat between 2007 and 2017. De Fournas had finished first in round 1, and he was seen as a heavy favorite.

Tweet media one

6

16

93

@athe_red

athe_red

2 months

The results in Île-de-France sure are something: RN 18,8% LFI 18,6% PS 15,8% RE 15,5% LR 8,8% EELV 7,0% R! 5,7%

3

0

89

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

On a beaucoup parlé de la 1ere circonscription du Vaucluse, et souvent de manière contradictoires. Victoire RN assurée ou rare perte un soir de victoire ? Défaite du FP par sa division, sa radicalité, un malheureux parachutage, ou basculement choc ? Petit profil de la circo.

Tweet media one

7

15

88

@athe_red

athe_red

30 days

Yesterday, the NFP flipped Vaucluse-1, an urban, largely working class district, won by the RN in 2022.

Tweet media one

2

11

90

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

Leaked results from the overseas departements

Tweet media one

2

6

75

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@Speeding_max @LillianBelle2 They still think they're a major party. Also many in LR are closer to Le Pen and Zemmour than Macron.

1

0

77

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

...and if your name is "Macron" you probably voted for Le Pen

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

3

3

79

@athe_red

athe_red

26 days

Une des circonscriptions les plus à droite de France, la 8e des Alpes Maritimes a placé le RN largement en tête au 1er tour, devant la sortante LR Alexandra Martin. Martin finit toutefois par l'emporter au 2nd tour, bénéficiant de bons reports de voix.

Tweet media one

4

7

82

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@BadMedicalTakes In contrast, king Louis XVI was famous for being very attractive

1

0

76

@athe_red

athe_red

3 years

@varadmehta Per this same poll, 52% of PA thinks he's doing at least a "fair job" Wording is everything.

2

2

71

@athe_red

athe_red

8 months

> Gets elected president > Consistently has under 20% approval rating > Doesn't run for re-election, remains undefeated > Becomes 3rd most popular politician in the country > Refuses to elaborate further

Tweet media one

3

4

78

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@FreeTradeShill -Very little media coverage before round 1. Le Pen always does poorly when she's in the spotlight. -With Zemmour out of the picture, Le Pen is once again the most far-right candidate -Polls underestimated the left and overestimated the right in round 1, adjusting for that

0

0

73

@athe_red

athe_red

10 months

The 1981 election was a 4-way race, with the right and left both having two major candidates. UDF incumbent Giscard d'Estaing and PS François Mitterrand qualified for the runoff, leading to a rematch of the 1974 election.

Tweet media one

2

9

77

@athe_red

athe_red

30 days

Vaucluse-1 was seen as the left's best opportunity to flip a RN seat... with the left predictably running divided. Despite that, the official NFP candidate Arnault qualified for the runoff, which he would go on to win 55% to 45%

Tweet media one

3

11

76

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@nikicaga "X is bad, we shouldn't play God" has to be the most annoying argument ever.

3

1

67

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

Right now, Marine Le Pen is probably in the strongest position of her politial career. But 6 months ago, it looked like her career may be over. What happened? Let's find out. 1/

1

13

72

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@PopulismUpdates To hold the senate in 2024 dems have to: -hold the senate this midterm, ideally get to 51 -hold all their swing state incumbents (AZ, MI, NV, PA, WI) -win 2 of the following: MT, OH, TX, WV (3 if they only get 50 seats this midterm)

6

4

71

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

In round 1 of the 2012 presidential race, challenger François Hollande and incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy qualified for the runoff, which Hollande would go on to win. 2012 was also saw Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon run for president for the first time.

Tweet media one

4

15

67

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@ciamlurran @PopulismUpdates "Turns out it wasn't a prophecy, just a suggestion"

0

0

66

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

Who came first in the first round of the legislative elections? tl;dr! it's messy but NUPES won by 0.29 using the less biased metric 1/8

1

14

70

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@EligeMemes Fwiw I'd read the name as meaning "the death of the Jews" rather than "death to Jews", though both translations are correct.

3

0

62

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@SpecialPuppy1 Macron's re-election platform (raising pension age, conditionning benefits on activity) is super unpopular among left-wing voters, who are increasingly less likely to see him as the "lesser evil". Also Zemmour has made Le Pen look more moderate.

2

3

63

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@baseballot Welp, american democracy was nice when it lasted

8

1

65

@athe_red

athe_red

9 months

A bastion of the right, Alpes-Maritimes saw Le Pen come first and was Zemmour's best departement, though he didn't cary any precints. Macron put up a solid performance, strongly improving relative to 2017.

Tweet media one

4

4

65

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@KenGardner11 Setting aside how fucked up the situation is, this has to be one of the funnies cycles ever. The libs actually welcomed them, but everyone already had their "libs are the real racist" tweets pre-written so decided to post them anyway

3

1

65

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

@Nassreddin2002 2036: former PM Keir Starmer making a surprise comeback in snap election where Reform are expected to win big

0

1

68

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@JackQuinnLAC -anti immigration (Mayotte has massive immigration from the Comores) -muslim, very conservative -nationalist tendency because of the Comores claiming the island

0

0

64

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

Éric Zemmour, when asked about his poor performance among working class voters, replied that they were "illiterate".

@2022Elections

Législatives 2024 🇫🇷

2 years

🔴⚡️ Interrogé sur l'incapacité de Reconquête à parler à un électorat populaire, Éric Zemmour rétorque : « Les classes populaires sont analphabètes. »

151

352

727

3

4

59

@athe_red

athe_red

3 years

@PopulismUpdates Fun fact, they legally changed their last name from Bonaparte to Napoléon to avoid every single male in the family being called Napoléon

1

1

63

@athe_red

athe_red

9 months

Hérault is a land of contrasts. Le Pen narrowly carried the departement thanks to her strong margins along the mediterranean, while Mélenchon won Montpellier by a landslide, and also carried the mountains of the north. Macron, meanwhile did best in the suburbs of Montpellier.

Tweet media one

5

9

63

@athe_red

athe_red

8 months

Once a left-leaning "swing departement", Aisne went for Le Pen by a landslide in 2022, being her strongest departement as in 2017. She got her best results in rural precincts of the north, but St Quentin, the biggest urban center (56K inhabitants), put her in first place.

Tweet media one

1

3

65

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@bowserhunt2004 Wisconsin and later Michigan flipping are the last things I remember before falling to sleep I think I spent +30 consecutive hours awake that day

1

0

63

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

@Sigmamale2212 @EuropeElects Rn were present in 77% of seats NFP in only 44% of seats That's why

1

0

64

@athe_red

athe_red

4 months

@Itsatraaaaaap @MKVRiscy Okay but the current consznsus among food historians is that French Fries actually were invented in France, not Belgium.

3

1

64

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

Elections in the 1960s be like

@FrenchHist

The French History Podcast 🇲🇫

1 year

Which cheek French people typically kiss. Credit @MathieuAvanzi

Tweet media one

19

50

515

4

3

62

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@DsMetros "You only care about Ukraine because it's european" *is completely ignorant about non-european countries and has zero intentions of changing that*

0

2

58

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@nikicaga You support Morocco because you hate what France did to the Sahara I support Morocco because I like what France did to the Sahara and am glad Morocco is continuing our proud tradition of colonialism We are not the same

1

2

59

@athe_red

athe_red

1 year

@JoePostingg Sounds like the title of a 1930s pseudo-scientific pamphlet written by a nazi collaborator

1

0

55

@athe_red

athe_red

1 month

Remember Bourdouleix, the RN candidate who dropped out, then got back in, claiming it was to bait the left into staying in the race ? Yeah, that predictably didn't work

Tweet media one

2

13

61

@athe_red

athe_red

2 years

@JoePostingg I'm pretty sure every single major piece of media that helped raise awareness towards a marginalized group ends up being reread as bigotted towards that group

2

0

60