Dan Gibson Profile
Dan Gibson

@_dpgibson

3,258
Followers
165
Following
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Media
1,259
Statuses

Sylebra Capital Founder and CIO

San Francisco, CA
Joined November 2013
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Have to confess, I spent time going through Arkk models instead of real work today. Absolutely hilarious if you need a break. $zm model my favourite, 63% ahead of co’s topline guide for FY23. Only need to beat guide by 122% in 2h to get there. Where are these inflows from?
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
10 months
No one expected $pct to be easy, we have cash and time to achieve our goals. Lot of good things happened in the outage, will get through these hiccups and keep pushing forward. Tech isn’t where we are struggling, teething through mechanical issues which will be sorted.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
Exciting day for $pct team. Nice for others to be able to see the process and how well it works.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
18 days
@Mike_Taylor1972 Figuring out the timing of early stage tech is the hardest part. Now the fun part begins. $pct
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
Very proud day. $pct
@PureCycleTech
PureCycleTech
1 year
We are proud to announce that our Ironton facility has successfully transformed post-industrial recycled material into PureCycle’s ultra-pure recycled resin. More:
Tweet media one
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 months
@Rody80000 @Mike_Taylor1972 Think we are making solid progress, new 8k feed rate is a big deal and the q3 targets also shows commercial production at scale. No more commissioning to do, hard long slog is going to be behind us and that will be a big deal.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
Cool little video out from $pct. Seeing all that trash just highlights how important the mission is here. Super excited to start attacking the plastics problem.
@PureCycleTech
PureCycleTech
1 year
In the premiere of "Inside PureCycle," CEO Dustin Olson showcases our feedstock warehouse, operational PreP lines and more. Stay tuned, because every Friday we'll be sharing videos from our Ironton facility on the new "Inside PureCycle" series. 🎦
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
Chatgpt numbers look awful, good thing the tech market isn’t being held up by AI hope.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Proud of sylebra team navigating a tricky ‘22 and landing solidly in the black. Setup into ‘23 looks favourable. Lot of catalysts this year which hopefully drives more idiosyncratic returns.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@agnostoxxx Man, I bet she is levered on tilt with puts at the moment 😂
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Really struggling to understand how markets are not under more pressure here. Consumer data deteriorating, banking crisis building while commercial real estate is sinking. Talk to companies, trends are not good and stocks are expensive.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Pretty excited to welcome Dan Coombs to $pct board. Strong operator and a near perfect fit having run Lyondell’s manufacturing biz. Amazing that he actually has a background in super critical fluids and new plant scaling. Home stretch to Ironton coming. 👍💪
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
18 days
@Seawolfcap Momentum is building operationally
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
16 days
@turtlespeed2020 The language was overly complex and confusing in the original documentation, the pref is just redeemed in cash now. Pretty simple. To be clear though, the original language was written with the intention of it being a cash security and not stock. So no net change on our end.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
This market makes less and less sense every day. Stock digesting news seems completely broken. Running neutral a waste of time. #ponzi
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
11 months
@Kruker8 The report alleges fraud, obviously very serious charge. I was in ironton for the pellets in June, those pellets made their way through the entire recycling process. Saw it with my own eyes. Those allegations are baseless.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
Pretty much sums up all you need to know about shorting stocks in ‘23
@NoContextHumans
Out of Context Human Race
1 year
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@JM2020v @Mike_Taylor1972 Sylebra hasn’t sold any stock. Short report had no impact on our views, nothing in there we were not aware of or are worried about.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Anyone kidding themselves that NFTs are the future, it is time to revisit that thesis. Decentralands weekend sale is absolute comedy. sold 55k virtual plots. ~1 month worth of new us homes sold. gas fees nearly equal to land price. This is the future? 😂
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
11 months
@Alex__Pitti @Mike_Taylor1972 Anything relevant or specific you want to add to the conversation? Other than just shouting loud noises.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
So much opportunity on the short side today, not sure how there is this much stupid happening with massive risk factors everywhere.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@agnostoxxx I still can’t wrap my head around the divergence between individual equities and indices. Still seems like a lot of downside if look at index level but then at company level some real carnage.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
$pct concluding this SEC investigation a positive here. Should help some with our debt pricing.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Filing error yesterday, didn’t sell any $PCT, still holding strong 💪
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Feels like a dangerous setup in equities at the moment. while Nasdaq down ~15% on the year, just seems like more downside skew overall. Multiples have compressed but earnings revisions likely to be the next shoe to drop. Only thing certain is that vol will be high.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Mike_Taylor1972 @BomsteinRick Can someone pls explain to me how this is not market manipulation? Huge option buy to then sell large block of stock for an insider. If that isn’t manipulation, what is? Just so that the rest of us know what the rules are.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@polaris97 @jkaynyc We are excited about these management changes, this is a natural transition from founders to operational executives. Dustin and Coombs are the guys to bring ironton online and scale this business. All very positive.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
@Daves10Ks Ironton showcase day. Had ~120 investors on site for a plant tour. Should be able to find webcast of the event online.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@imspencerhawke @Mike_Taylor1972 @JM2020v Our ownership % of the overall company is already 15%, we don’t want to create issues with liquidity
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Nice to see a $3bn deal hit the tape for $frey this morning. Potential this nidec deal takes up 50% of giga arctic capacity. Not a company many people are paying attention to.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Almost sad to think how broken these markets are. $bbby traded $8.8bn today. slightly behind what Volkswagen in ‘08 squeeze when it was briefly the worlds largest company. Insiders buying large out of the money options? Stinks of manipulation. Not involved but concerning.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
@Sell_Calls @Mike_Taylor1972 If regulations come that make using recycled content more favourable, economics will increase even further.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
9 days
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Tyler_Okland_MD @DatadoorIO Hard to wrap your head around that operational performance and a stock this devastated. Will be tougher in 2h but future is bright here!
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
PPI coming in hot, consumer coming in weak. Not great for the macro setup.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Man this vol is wild. Just make sure you take that into account when sizing things.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Ugly week in markets last week but starting to see some stock divergence. Solid prints out of $pags and $estc. Short book doing what it should. So much macro noise but stock level moves making a bit more sense. Not bullish on the market but like this book a lot.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
8 months
@turtlespeed2020 @PureCycleTech Thanks for the feedback, we will work on addressing these where possible
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 months
@Rody80000 @PureCycleTech @Mike_Taylor1972 The focus post outage was really runtime and reliability, this shows a plant operating at ~50% uptime. To me that is an encouraging number and shows a tremendous amount of progress. Think confidence in cp2 being resolved soon also very encouraging removing another bottleneck.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Wow what a day. Carnage like this is probably healthy, means we can find a bottom sooner. Once we get a reset in expectations we can start building from there.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
4 months
@Rody80000 @Andrei_Lebesgue @biotechfan20 @no_privacy @Mike_Taylor1972 @turtlespeed2020 @Archie_155 I think coming out of the outage we are clearly running much better. I am feeling good about the changes made. Now just need to show ongoing progress with uptime. $pct
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
One company I think people are sleeping on is $open. Hated the idea when I heard an initial pitch but after digging in, this has the ability to be a 10x+. Massive TAM, strong adoption trends, improving unit economics and great category expansion. Q1 will beat massively.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@CNBC Sounds like good news for tech stocks 💥🎉
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
11 months
Awfully big moves for a messy CPI number that I struggle to have any confidence in.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
Pretty excited about the new $PCT board additions. A ton of strong operational experience being added to help continue pushing this company forward.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@LancasJosh @rabois @PythiaR @BearForce_Won @John_Hempton @HighyieldHarry Keith doesn’t need my help, his resume and accomplishments speak for themselves. Proven founder, operator and investor. No one attacking him has any real world credibility. Kinda the problem with Twitter, everyone thinks theyre hot shit on here.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
16 days
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
4 months
@Rody80000 @Andrei_Lebesgue @biotechfan20 @no_privacy @Mike_Taylor1972 @turtlespeed2020 @Archie_155 It’s a very early stage company in a market that is loathe for risk at the moment. Just need to deliver ironton and the stock will take care of itself.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@saylor Curious how miners helped the grid. Don’t they simply just consume power?
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
This market is making me dizzy, down 2%, up 2%, around and around we go. Just can’t find any direction. Normally a choppy tape leads to healthy alpha from stock picking but dispersions continue to be low. Expecting some fireworks in q1 earnings season though. Buckle up.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@imspencerhawke @Mike_Taylor1972 @JM2020v Thought q2 highlighted strong execution and a roadmap for bringing on capacity on time, on budget and with reduced risk. I’d buy more if i could
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Given how much focus there is on reducing our environmental footprint, this really bothers me. Little to no value added to society for all of this power consumption.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
@no_privacy Will be interesting to see where short interest is after the ironton day
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Tyler_Okland_MD Sorry but if phoenix is such a disaster and bottom is already in for margins there? Why is this such an issue? Phoenix is one market, atlanta here is doing fine. This actually reads bullish to me cause it shows how quickly the model responds and recovers. $open
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
If you aren’t in an absolute rage by your short book you are probably shorting the wrong stuff. Hopefully we are closer to the end of this nonsense.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
5 months
Can someone pls explain to me why semi earnings don’t matter? At some point do they ever matter? We just anchor back to pandemic tightness as basis for everything?!
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Chinese magacap stocks trading like reverse merger frauds from 2011. This market is wild.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Mike_Taylor1972 Insane how squeezy first few weeks have been. Apparently only issue for all the low quality companies was inflation.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
Fed has just completely lost the plot. 🤡
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Goyal_Vivek Wonder where you can find an early stage s-curve story with massive TAM and lots of adjacencies? Market ripe for disruption??!🧐 $open
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
16 days
@MidwestHedgie You did not read it properly, but that’s ok. Cash should be simple enough for you to understand in every scenario now.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@GerberKawasaki Can’t tell if this is a joke, how does the govt. using fiscal stimulus for EVs bring inflation down?🧐
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@GNWZ02 @_indifferentia_ @Mike_Taylor1972 As we have spent more time in the market my original concerns on feedstock continue to disappear. There is plenty of it and we will have a robust and structured system to collect and process at scale. Won’t be a bottleneck for the business growth. $pct
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@dragonagerogue @JoeMZiegler @Mike_Taylor1972 They spent a lot of time on site vetting the tech and process. They have real capital behind it, as do a lot of other sophisticated, institutional investors. Momentum is strong. $pct
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
Inflation is hot, yet market doesn’t care. Confused…
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@riskbreaker13 Gonna be very proud when we are taking billions of pounds of plastic annually out of the world and recycling it. Headed there, lot of wood to chop to deliver but gonna get there. $pct
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
No one has any idea what is priced into stocks in this market. All that seems clear is that vol will continue to run hot.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Looking at the mess in Europe and now California really makes me nervous about energy policy decisions and their impact. While different underlying problems, both got their the same way.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
11 months
@turtlespeed2020 @Mike_Taylor1972 Pet is heavily recycled already, lot less need for incremental supply. PP is very limited in recycled material and what is, is generally low quality. 👍
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
10 months
@netfuturevalue seems oversold, pricing in like 90% chance of failure but not gonna find any buyers in this tape
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Only thing that seems apparent in this market sell off is that there are no real buyers for TMT. Short covering mostly but no real risk being added on long side. Great prints met with varying degrees of negative reactions largely.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@John_Hempton @JimBobCooterWVU @MacroGrowth @dsquareddigest @corranito1 @steventlive @rabois @TidefallCapital @ThomaTrevor @PythiaR @LancasJosh @BearForce_Won @HighyieldHarry @thomasrice_au @Tyler_Okland_MD You literally didn’t even know what $pct did. You thought they were a bio material player. Shows how quality your research process is. Why no one wants to engage with you, you’re just a troll.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@epstein_nathan Sylebra is very excited, month of deep diligence underwriting pipe and our work came back very bullish. Everything we are seeing is as good or better than originally expected. Tech is doing well and we are seeing strong market adoption of the pricing/product. $pct
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
@no_privacy @realcorycortez Many alternative sources of cash outside the line of credit. Would agree that is an expensive option but there are other cheaper options available. Can resell the bonds we just bought back. That should raise meaningful amounts of cash.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@LancasJosh @blainehodder @GrandTokamak @JimBobCooterWVU @TristonRamos_ @winsteadscap @ShitFund Obviously I am bullish I own 30mm+ shares here. I enjoy hearing bear points cause I am constantly looking for what we might be missing. I just don’t hear anything that worries me from bears. All of these points have already been vetted. $open
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
5 months
@FordWealth @Mike_Taylor1972 Basically some guys just reading a report they were given. Painful to watch though…
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Great start to earnings season as $nflx and $cvna dumpster fires set the tone in an already ugly tape. 🔥🔥
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Guess everyone isn’t an inflation expert. Amazing how wild this market is swinging daily.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Glad somebody with some clout is calling bullshit on this.
@JeffBezos
Jeff Bezos
2 years
Ouch. Inflation is far too important a problem for the White House to keep making statements like this. It’s either straight ahead misdirection or a deep misunderstanding of basic market dynamics.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 months
@Rody80000 @Mike_Taylor1972 Clear that a lot of people are still betting this tech won’t work. Pretty simple, we just need to deliver on production and the stock will take care of itself.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Mike_Taylor1972 @CharlieBritish5 @LordOTBachelor @BomsteinRick Mike got any good books I can read? Oh or I can follow some influencers on Twitter? Maybe that will teach me how to generate this alpha on the short side.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@sindreflogstad @Mike_Taylor1972 @deccalanecap Spac meltdown has been total carnage. Nothing seems to hold up in this environment. We haven’t sold anything, just waiting for ironton to come online and prove the tech
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Mike_Taylor1972 Very exciting year
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@DatadoorIO Tracking data looks good!
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Worth a read. shocking how misunderstood GPU usage in AI is at the moment in the market.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
3 years
@Prendy2211 @imspencerhawke @Mike_Taylor1972 @JM2020v $PCT margins are expected to be very high, our view is that the case management provided, high 50s EBITDA is certainly very achievable but we see a lot of scenarios where margins are better. PP pricing is up a lot since and green premium at these volume levels is conservative
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
Not sure why but certainly can relate.
Why is making money shorting stocks so much more satisfying than making money buying them?
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
@GNWZ02 @private_dataguy @ComebackCap Noted, will advise they talk about capacity plans maybe on q2 call.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Helvedboi @anothercohen I own 4% of $open, our models are properly calibrated for unit economics of biz. 20% is annual, they hold homes for ~3 months. They dynamically price homes with expected change in prices included in offers, so they’re insulated from changes naturally. Limited inventory risk.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@rabois @HighyieldHarry SMID cap tech from beginning of november '21 looks like death almost across the board. The spac index is down 63% on the year. $OPEN has slightly underperformed that. No duration in this market. people just trading open based on rates. Annoying but is what it is.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
10 months
@ESGhound @Andywuinv Ramping from prototype to production, what the connection is. Dont see the connection to Apple.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
1 year
@private_dataguy @ComebackCap Not going to sell the company with this kinda opportunity in front of us.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Mike_Taylor1972 @Sell_Calls Not negative news but wasn’t even something we were paying attention to. Class action shareholder lawsuits are everywhere, rarely do they matter.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
7 months
@StevenShadduck @_triangulate_ @no_privacy That was a convert which has arb holders shorting stock on the deal. Selling straight debt will not require hedging as arbs are not involved.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
10 months
@netfuturevalue All the focus is on ironton
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
2 years
@Mike_Taylor1972 Haha another day another apple dodge on bad news. If I owned a stock that had demand weakness, down 1% would not be the reaction.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
11 months
@SteveStevensRad @FordWealth @GNWZ02 @fade_bears @holdyourwinners @WernerVonBurner @Mike_Taylor1972 @no_privacy Screen changers work very quickly and automate that step, speed of screen change will be plenty to keep beads from clogging it. Instead of running a few hours or less we should be able to run without an interruption.
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@_dpgibson
Dan Gibson
11 months
@no_privacy Doesn’t smell like anything, which is actually better than virgin
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