My 16 year old son was denied entry to Arlington National Cemetery today because he didnโt have ID on him. Was going to see my grandfather who was in Battle of the Bulge. The reasons given for why ID required to visit the dead @ cemetery with three foot walls were flimsy as hell.
Iโm guessing the idea that youโd have to show a govt ID to visit a military cemetery would have been repulsive to the people like my grandfather who fought for our freedom.
@POTUS
is displaying real courage by sticking with a decision that remains prudential given the realities about Afghanistan and the United States.ย Biden is showing the requisite realist spine that America needs at this moment.ย And for that he should be praised, not damned.
George Kennan, the father of containment, suggesting in 1997 that NATO expansion would be: "the most fateful error of American foreign policy in the entire post-Cold War era."
What could have caused a year without a U.S. combat death in
#Afghanistan
? And what could end that streak?
Thank you to the Trump administration, especially
@US4AfghanPeace
โIf weโre going to attack, Iโm going to call you ahead of time. Itโs not going to be a surprise,โ Milley said.
Li took the chairman at his word, the authors write in the book, โPeril,โ which is set to be released next week.
If you read the Axios piece and think the generals and bureaucrats are the good guys, you should rethink your commitment to democratic rule and liberal civil-military relations.....
If
@realDonaldTrump
delivers on this, it will be a huge win for the national interest. Given the normal incentives to maintain the status quo and some important elite opposition, it would also show political courage even as a majority of Americans right now support getting out.
Dream answer would be: "Not the job of U.S. troops to protect human rights around the world. Job is to secure America's homeland, protect the conditions of our economic security, and maintain our liberal democratic system here at home,"
Today is the 10th anniversary of US & NATO military intervention in Libya. It was an underrated failure. Arms & refugees flew out, terrorists & mercenaries flew in, neighboring countries destabilized, and a civil war ensued abetted by other powers. Libya is a failed state today.
Politico reports on a letter signed by over 60 foreign policy experts. It argues that "At NATO's summit, the alliance should not move Ukraine toward membership."
I am proud to be among this august group of signers.
When a negotiated settlement of the war comes, guessing that more than a few analysts here in US will be quite disappointed and will vehemently criticize the deal. But they will underestimate the value of peace to Ukrainians (which is easy to do from the safety of MD/VA/DC etc).
On North Korea: Context matters. U.S.-North Korean relations are in a better place than they have been historically and certainly better than 2017 when there was talk of conflict. Good to see that we are meeting and talking rather than fighting. Diplomacy > war with NK. 1/
People seemed to be shocked that states like Russia & Germany follow their national interests. So they resort to saying they are irrational or (in case of Germany) are being treasonous to the West. The post-Cold War era really warped minds of many. Or rather infantilized them.
โTheir (Ukraineโs) defense is our defense.โ Absurd claim by Rep. Adam Schiff just now. Deep engagement in Ukraine-Russia conflicts would actually make us less safe. We can want good things for Ukraine without making bad geopolitical arguments.
Best chance of avoiding Putin using tactical nuke & then having to deal w/ a lot of very bad choices is to make sure Ukrainians arenโt in position to push ๐ท๐บ into bad corner with no escape. Too risky to not stop that situation. This is how sober adults think about world as it is.
America is not made more secure or prosperous by committing itself to an alliance with Finland. In fact, it increases the odds that weโd be drawn into an unnecessary war. These factors should be dispositive enough to oppose NATO enlargement to Finland.
Apropos of my earlier comment about our foreign wars coming home and increased militarism: The heart of our nation's capitol being referred to as a Green Zone!
The Secret Service has established a what it is calling a "Green Zone" in the heart of Washington, D.C., with National Guard to check reasons for entry.
The unprecedented influx of arms to Ukraine is prompting fears that powerful weapons could fall into the hands of Western adversaries or reemerge in faraway conflicts 1/
Note that
@GovRonDeSantis
brings up the danger of escalation here as well. This concern is waved away by many pushing deeper US involvement, but it is a critical danger and the governor was smart to reference it.
WATCH: Gov. Ron DeSantis says U.S. has no "interest" on getting involved in "proxy war," slams "blank checks" from Biden admin to Ukraine
"What is the strategic objective? [...] Just saying it's an open-ended blank check [to Ukraine] is unacceptable."
Great to see
@aier
โs
@peter_c_earle
representing on
@TuckerCarlson
Tonight. Talking about Sri Lanka and ESG, the latter a key issue for our new โDefending Freedom, Combatting Collectivismโ initiative.
Worth remembering it was moderate Republican, General, and President Eisenhower who warned of danger of military-industrial complex. Not exactly a tin foil hat conspiracy theorist.
This is a big win for Realism and Restraint in American foreign policy. Senator Vance has been a strong voice for more prudentialism in our approach to the world.
Consider the sources.....and recall Iraq War is among the biggest foreign policy debacles in American history. Both were strong advocates (and then add Libya on top of that for HRC).
The current conservative reckoning will not achieve any modicum of success philosophically or politically if it simply leads to a return of Conservative, Inc. 2012 or even worse the failed Bush-Cheney years. There is a reason people rejected those options. 1/2
ESPN should stay out of politics, either way. Most people just want to watch sports, enjoy the games, & be distracted from other things in life. Plus there is the issue of whether sports announcers have any special competence to wade into political issues in a thoughtful fashion.
Pleased to report I will be joining the American Institute for Economic Research as its next president. I look forward to leading
@aier
& working with its team of scholars/staff to develop/promote ideas of individual freedom, free markets, & sound money.
Neither Trump nor Biden lost Afghanistan. It was architects of expanded war aims that could not be realized that lost it - over a decade ago. But fortunately, we won war we needed to fight & are properly withdrawing from a fight we had no business attempting & that can't be won.
Call me crazy, but I think people are seriously underestimating the dangers of retired senior military officers getting deeply enmeshed in our politics (especially when they trade on that status). 1/
Realists donโt apologize for putting interests of their country first. They understand when statesmen/women of other states do too. We follow ethic of responsibility. And we also believe a US that isnโt trying futilely to create heaven on earth will be on net good for world too.
@MZHemingway
- "Americans want a strong military but one that is extremely cautious about getting involved in war. And when war is called for, Americans want a clear strategy, particular outcomes that are being sought, & an exit strategy that is...1/2
Itโs a mistake to think this is all about Putin. Russia has interests vis-a-vis Ukraine & NATO that are deeper than the preferences of a โgreat/evil man of history.โ Put down the freshmen Stoessinger text and think at multiple levels of analysis (which includes looking at Putin).
@jaketapper
I wasnโt aware of any alleged โruse" and believe the report to be false. It also doesn't fit with President Trump's sense of where things needed to go in terms of AFG policy and other reporting on the subject.
This whole social construction of reality thing has reached new levels of ridiculousness on campus.
Questions on new student inventory at my sonโs college:
โDo you identify as a first generation college student?โ
โDo you identify as a member of the military?โ
Identify?!?
Pleased to share our first foreign policy TV ad calling for the withdrawal of US military forces from Afghanistan. Time to end endless wars.
#realism
#restraint
โ57 percent of veterans surveyed said they feel the United States should be less engaged in military conflicts overseas, an increase of about 9 percent from last year. Only 7 percent said they think the country should be more involved.โ
Given that so many people denounced the idea that NATO enlargement - de jure and de facto - was a key cause of the crisis/conflict, the Russians sure do bring it up a lot and seem to prioritize it in their demandsโฆ.
The Kremlin has announced its demands for ending the war in Ukraine:
-Ukraine must change its constitution to guarantee it won't join any "blocs", i.e. NATO + EU.
-Must recognise Crimea as part of Russia.
-Must recognise the eastern separatist regions as independent.
โI was completely inside (the whale); it was completely black,โ Packard said.
If you haven't subscribed to the
@capecodtimes
, today would be the day
Sean Penn brings his Oscar statuette to President Zelenskyy saying: โIโll feel much better knowing there is piece of me hereโ. โUntil we win,โ - Zelenskyy responds.
If
@realDonaldTrump
wants a SECDEF who is also skeptical about forever wars in the Middle East, Senator Jim Webb would be as strong a fit as anyone qualified to lead the Pentagon.
Rhetorical question: Why is it that so few people are asking what is the reason it is so โhardโ to withdraw from Afghanistan by May 1 according to our signed agreement from Feb 2020?
Should war kick off as expected, I believe very strongly that war could have been averted and Ukrainians would have been better off if realist advice followed (esp early). This would have meant a very pointed closing of the NATO door and real limits on US/West engagement w/ UKR.
Letโs not confuse neoconservatism with classical liberalism. The ideas and actions promoted by guys like Kristol and Fukuyama have done far more to hurt the cause of classical liberalism than to support it.
@robkhenderson
Iโm pretty confident that we will best the Chinese as long as we donโt score too many own-goals (like Iraq was, identity politics is, and debt/stagflation part deux could be). China has a lot of problems that create a ceiling on its future.
If president announced removal of all troops from Afghanistan within the year, 51% of Americans would support that decision. Less than one quarter of respondents, 22%, would oppose such a decision while the remaining 27% were unsure how they would feel.
The blue and yellow flags could be coming down in less than 24 hours across the Super Zip codes in favor of a different cause here at home. Ask the Afghans about the attention span of our elites.
Donโt let people fool you. Thereโd be little threat of war over Ukraine if US had taken NATO membership off table & not started acting (& talking) as if it were de facto ally. Mistake upon mistake -often well-intentioned- got us here. Sad thing is result will be bad 4 Ukrainians.
Not exactly the most gracious partner, especially after nearly 2500 of our best gave the ultimate sacrifice in Afghanistan, U.S. spent more than trillion dollars, and nearly a million American troops/diplomats spent their precious time/energy in that country over last 20 years.
This would put the lie to the argument made during the Afghanistan debate that we canโt do effective CT operations without a substantial military presence on the ground in AFG.
President Biden will speak at 7:30 p.m. ET on "a successful counterterrorism operation" against an al Qaeda target in Afghanistan, the White House says
I am sick of this nonsense. I am sick of the attitude of this class of young, inexperienced members of the academic salon class, the standard reply of whom is to shirk our national and international duties, and not to pay some respect to the success we & our allies have enjoyed.
Dunking on Ken Waltz is so easy for many IR-types. But they underrate just how alive he was as a thinker and how valuable his work was even when wrong to progress in the discipline. Study him or suffer. Ditto for many other giants in the field: Morgenthau, Huntington, etc.
McConell on
@FoxNewsSunday
says when the US gives โolder equipment to the Ukrainians, we are rebuilding our industrial base in this country.โ He says there are jobs being created in 38 states, which rebuilds the โindustrial complex for the more serious big power threat in Asia.โ
Celebrated some good things w/ a family dinner at Bamian Restaurant in Falls Church, VA. 1 of 2 best
#Afghan
places Iโve been to in US. Food was high-quality, very fresh vegetables, & nice private booths. Recommend bowlawnee & kadu (pumpkin dish). But everything was fantastic.
Letter from generals, admirals, and diplomats:
"A war with Iran, either by choice or miscalculation, would produce dramatic repercussions in an already destabilized Middle East and drag the United States into another armed conflict at immense...cost."
Republicans should back an honest to goodness withdrawal from Afghanistan - and insist that Biden be kept at his word and achieves it. Ending our endless war there was the policy of President Trump (R) and something he thought was in our national interest first, second, & third.
My newest, in the
@DailyCaller
:
โThe purpose of American power is not charity or social engineering but protecting our interests โ and our interests in Afghanistan donโt demand a permanent troop presence in the midst of a costly civil war.โ
To paraphrase Duke professor Peter Feaver, civilian leaders like Trump have a right to make legal calls - even if subordinates disagree with those calls and think they are wrong. And they should faithfully execute legal orders or resign.
It's become quite clear during Russo-Ukrainian War that good many members of foreign policy establishment didn't learn a damn thing during the dumpster fire of last 20 years of US FP. Same idealistic assumptions and moral fervor, lack of prudence, + messianism & manicheanism, etc
US credibility suffered so much after Vietnam War withdrawal that within a decade it was the 80s recovery, morning in America, and then onto winning the Cold War and unipolarity as the worldโs only superpower for 4 decades.
And for those who don't like the slow boring involved in changing legal culture, legal scholarship, judicial nominations, think tank work, etc, note that this work is now going to have a much bigger and lasting impact on reining in the administrative state than memes, own the
@GovRonDeSantis
is correct here. Appreciate his realistic appraisal vs. the threat inflation we see from so many other politicians. Plus the domino theory is no more correct now than it was during the Cold War.
DeSantis downplays the threat Russia poses to other countries: "I think it's important to point out, I mean, you know, the fear of Russia going into NATO countries and all that, and steamrolling, that has not even come close to happening."
As the late 1990s & early 2000s recede further and further into history, I hope the next generation of national security scholars and appointees are well-educated about the people, groups, and activities that got us into the mess of the Middle East and our biggest debacle: Iraq
@JJSchroden
It was essentially determined shortly after 9/11 - and the WMD claim was used by people who knew the right questions to ask but didnโt to justify their support (given how thin the rationale was). A massive collective failure of intelligentsia in DC to go along with the tides. 1/2
Bam!
Do people who aren't in the social change world really want a world in which you have to go along with whatever social/political cause your employer picks as a condition of employment?
The modern equivalent of the company store! No thanks.
Trying to hire people who will help execute on Presidentโs policy preferences is a virtue, not a vice. During Trump admin, it was doubly so when permanent bureaucracy opposed FP prefs & many politicals proved barriers to change. John McEntee should be praised for it, not scorned.
2/ Conservative thought leaders need to conduct an honest autopsy of what has gone wrong. And Iโm not seeing that happening broadly enough. The โTrump bad,โ โDems are socialists,โ & โPopulists are dangerousโ takes we see so often arenโt going to cut it.
Show math on how US foreign policy towards Syria, Iraq, and Ukraine โdeliversโ for the American people. Seems more likely to waste their tax dollars, generate hostility towards them, and compromise their safety. But go on selling that this supports anything but elite theories.
In 2021,
@SecBlinken
outlined how the Department will deliver on a foreign policy for the American people. Our diplomats and global workforce answered that call to serve. In 2022, we will continue making progress on that promise and leading with diplomacy.
The point about libertarianism being a movement for progressive cultural change is pure poppycock. One can be libertarian & have very traditional views on ethics & culture. Indeed, there are certain values that have met test of time that are necessary foundations of free society.
If Russia invades Ukraine, Americans and citizens of our NATO allies need to remember that there is no seamless web of interests. We can be saddened by the bloodshed and horrors of war. We should plead for peace. But our interests will still dictate that we stay out. 1/
One of worst things you can falsely accuse someone of is being a traitor. Yet influential people toss this charge around like itโs nothing. Itโs despicable. And it certainly shouldnโt be directed at someone who simply doesnโt want to go to war to defend another people/country.
What does "competence" mean? Is it divorced from outcomes one helps drive, especially the big ones? The right degrees? The right jobs? Can anyone affiliated with the worst decisions of the last 20 years (Iraq, Libya, AFG nation-building) truly be said to be competent?
Taking the prospect of nuclear conflict seriously is no vice. The risk of millions dying is something to be sober about. My view that we should be careful about providing the kind of aid that could create escalatory trouble for us is actually U.S. policy right now. So mainstream.
Serious question for
#miltwitter
and
@mcdesch
: Since when did the VP, a pure civilian and outside of the chain of command, rate a military salute? Iโd be curious when this tradition started.
Kamala ignores questions after reading a very brief statement directly from her binder.
She hasn't taken a single question โ no interviews nor press conferences โ since she forced Biden off the ballot.
Truth:
@JonahDispatch
writes "I keep hearing people say or imply that libertarians and free market โfundamentalistsโ have been running the show in Washington. I honestly have no idea what theyโre talking aboutโand neither do any libertarians I know."
Time to redeploy those troops permanently - and out of the country. U.S. national security interests do not require troop presence in Syria. So why keep them in harm's way where they can be targeted or get into trouble with the Syrian govt and/or its allies?
U.S. military tipped off to attack on base housing American troops in Syria last week and moved them prior to the drone strike: U.S. officials. Bomb fragments later found where U.S. troops sleep. U.S. officials blame Iran for launching 5 drones. No U.S. troops killed or injured.