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Northeast Weather Associates

@WestchesterWX

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Auto Consultant | Weather and Tech Nerd | Skiing, Tennis, Cars, Technology, Investing. #NYY #BillsMafia #NYR .

New York City, NY
Joined November 2014
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
For all those comparing this to #Sandy …let me just remind you….sandy was MASSIVE.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
12z Euro with an absolute 💣of a system 1st week of February...problem is NO cold air in sight...all rain. How pathetic! It's peak winter from a climatological standpoint and still can't get snow. Might be the new norm? If this was snow, would be a BEAST. Another wasted opp.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Anyone think this comes further west?
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
⚠️I think Boston may end up with 3' of snow...unbelievable and jealous to say the least!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Who is ready to stay up late and track the upcoming snowstorm potential??? This is so exciting!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Picture perfect...📸 This one deserves to go in the textbooks even if it doesn't happen. You want to know how we can get an I-95 Blizzard? Well my friends...the 12z GFS is exactly how.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
....❄️ Thoughts?
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
This winter is just becoming so sad...I get all excited for a potential storm 4-5 days out and track it like crazy only to have it vanish a day or two later. Stayed up late for no reason it seems these past few weeks. So much for a good pattern! Will we ever get something?
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
And another one for the textbooks...I mean WOW. This thing looks absolutely terrifying...a 960mb BLIZZARD from North Carolina all the way up I-95 to Maine...WOW!!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Some absolutely MASSIVE hits for the entire Northeast on the latest run of the 12z GEFS ENS...WOW!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Oh boy...Twitter is going to break yet again...18z GFS with an absolute BOMB...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
Simply cannot remember a time in my 21 years where I have gone to bed to moderate to heavy snow falling from a single snowstorm two nights in a row. I live for this kind of stuff. Truly a storm to remember in the nyc metro area. I’m ready for another one!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
JUST FOR LAUGHS
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I'd keep an 👀 on the Tuesday/Wednesday timeframe of next week...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
🚨And the trend continues...welcome to the party 12z EURO. Still early in the game...plenty of time to go! If we can get our system a bit slower coming in and get a full phase, we might be in for something big.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Looks to me like 18Z GFS will cave...it'll be significantly closer to other guidance...wow!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
It’s beautiful ❄️
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
💣Uhh......
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
💣 ALERT!!! 00Z CMC SHOWING A BOMB JUST 156 HOURS OUT!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
@NorEasterNick It looks further west...significantly so...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
❄️WHAT A HUGE ONE RUN DIFFERENCE FROM THE GFS. CLEAR CAVE TO THE EURO/UKIE/CMC. 12z vs. 18z GFS below (SNOWFALL). CLEAR SHIFT SOUTH...WEAKER STORM...COLDER STORM.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Could we get this, but a little bit further north and west please????
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
❄️ Just got this picture from my family...taken in Ludlow, VT right at the base of @OkemoMountain ....44” and still going strong. Unbelievable! @NWSBurlington @JimCantore @AmyFreeze7 @AccuRayno
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
Can the JMA please be right for once? This is the latest run of the JMA for our "potential" Friday storm...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I'd literally laugh so hard if there was a massive NW trend on the Friday/Saturday system starting at 00z tonight. Very VERY unlikely...but would just be so funny 😂
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
10 months
❄️Yes...I know it's the NAM, but WOW! You want to know how the NYC metro area gets a big time snowstorm? The NAM is exactly how... For illustrative purposes only and will likely not happen like this, but interesting to note!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
⚠️BOMBS AWAY!!!!! Courtesy of the 00z GFS. Remember…this is NOT a forecast. Signal is certainly there though.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
I’ll leave you with this…goodnight!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Like I said...I would keep an eye on the 1/25-1/26 timeframe in the Northeast...👀 Latest 12z CMC shown below. NOT a forecast.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
...I mean can the 00z UKMET PPLLEEAAASSSEEE be correct? I mean what an excellent track for a big snowstorm for the PHIL-NYC-BOS region...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Not going to sleep now! This will be a HUGE EURO run! If it holds serve, it would be every model vs. GFS. It's just SO hard to discount GFS given consistency this year. Maybe GFS not good at handling these types of systems as we really haven't had setup like this yet this year?
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
KEEP COMING WEST! KEEP COMING WEST!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
PLEASE!!! Part 3 haha!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
⚠️Latest run of the GFS model wants to absolutely clobber our area with storm after storm. Bring it on! Lots to track. Snow map shows our area getting over 30" in the next 16 days! Not a forecast, but certainly some fun times ahead.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
❄️Everyone settle down...grab a beer or a white claw if that's what you prefer and just enjoy the snow...still got PLENTY of snow headed our way. We will analyze totals and discuss what went on with the track of the storm once it's all over. Until then....ENJOY!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
☃️CMC joins the snow train! Trending in the right direction today for our coastal folks. Take a look at the evolution on the latest run of the CMC. Not too excited yet, but something to keep an eye on! If we can get the trough negative a bit quicker and amplify it...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
Ugh I don’t want this storm to end for me!!!!! It’s just been such a special storm. Snow started 24 hours ago and it’s been snowing moderately for at least 20 out of the 24 hours and most of it has been extremely heavy....unbelievable....NYC metro special!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
00Z UKMET HAS NEARLY 15" OF SNOW IN NYC AT 10:1 RATIO'S...ARE YOU KIDDING ME??? WENT FROM 1.1" AT 12Z TO 15" AT 00Z. WOW!!!!! REMINDER...THAT'S ONLY 10:1 RATIOS...I COULD SEE 12-15:1 RATIOS GIVEN COLD AIR. JUST ONE MODEL RUN AND NOT A FORECAST.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Are you ok 12z GFS??? GFS continuing to show a 💣 of a storm off of the east coast around the 1/14-1/15 timeframe. Doesn't look to be a major threat to the northeast yet, but if this thing shifts west...man oh man...watch out!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
🚨Can CLEARLY see the trend on the GFS over the last few runs...further south with our vort...trend continues! Keep an eye on this.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
🚨CURRENT THINKING: NYC: 6-12” PHIL: 3-7” HARTFORD: 10-20” BOS: 20-36” iso. 40” with BLIZZARD CONDITIONS Sharp cutoff to the west. BOS looks primed for this one. Very jealous of them. Enjoy it! Could be a historic blizzard for eastern SNE.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
WHY CAN’T THIS THING JUST RIDE UP THE COAST!!! PLEASE!!!! High is in a solid place…I mean what else do we gotta do to get this to come up the coast.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
❄️As @AccuRayno always says...track the ULL...that'll tell you where you have the potential for a a few inches of snow. Images below are taken from the latest 12z run of the EURO. Things can and will change. Only think I am concerned about here is the lack of cold air.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
⚠️BREAKING NEWS: 18Z NAM GIVES EVERYONE FROM DC to BOSTON 0.00" of SNOW.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
10 months
Not trying to be a negative Nancy here, but we keep pushing things another 7 days. Based on the climate we are in...I don't believe this winter will be one to remember anywhere along the east coast. I expect a similar outcome to last winter (hopefully I am wrong).
@jmelmed23
jared
10 months
Not much winter expected next 7 days or so but after that all bets off. If you’re a fan of winter you gotta be at least hopeful of an upcoming pattern change. However no guarantees but definitely encouraging sings.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
P14 anyone? 😂
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
@NsfwWx I just have a weird feeling about this one...idk why...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I’m telling you guys…get these two pieces of energy closer together and we got something on our hands. Something to track for sure!
@Eweather13
eweather
3 years
The most interesting thing on the 18z GFS is not the 959mb bomb cyclone next weekend….it’s this….Tuesday night. Keep an eye on it. It’s got a much better chance right now at 111 hours than the eye candy next weekend.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Not sure why I feel this way, but I think there's going to be a lot of surprises with this storm. Some people will get a lot more than forecasted and some a lot less...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
HOLY SH**💣
@Lclimateguy
ᅠLiam
2 years
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
❄️Obviously take with a grain of salt as we are still not close enough to the potential event, but wow…todays run of the UKMET and EURO were fascinating and impressive. Sub 970mb low stalling off the coast? INSANITY. Just wish we had a bit more cold air to work with.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
Anyone have any reports of what’s going on inside these bands? Reaching the ground yet? @NWS_MountHolly
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
AHAHAHAHAHAHAHA 00Z EURO!!! LOCK IT IN!!!!! NOW!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
7 years
Just got accepted to my dream school, Universtity Of Rochester! Can’t believe it!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
00Z JMA RIGHT ON BENCHMARK. WOW!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
I mean it’s still just dumping snow. So nice to be in the jackpot area for two storms in a row now! Reporting 6.5” of snow in Hastings On Hudson, NY as of 11:41 AM. @NWSNewYorkNY @StormTeam4NY
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I THINK THE 00z GFS LOST ITS FRICKIN MIND!!!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
PLEASE!!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
@NWSNewYorkNY people are going to be caught off guard here…
@Eweather13
eweather
9 months
Hi res RGEM now has the most south and east of I84. Add a touch north of there for fluff factor…drop totals a bit south for low ratio wet snow. But quite the shift today. A bit surprised there’s not even a winter storm watch for coastal CT.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
@nynjpaweather BRING IT WEST
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Uhhh ICON also coming in MUCH further west it seems…
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
LOL…YOU GOOD CMC? 💣 Bringing a 963mb low right into SNE? I’ll take it! WOW!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
BOSTON IS GOING TO GET PUKED ON…ENJOY IT!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Don't give up all hope (yet) snow lovers in the Northeast! The latest run of the CMC is printing out a fairly snowy picture 144 hours from now. We shall see if this one actually materializes. @AccuRayno did say to watch the Tuesday-Thursday timeframe of next week.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
I really miss @crankywxguy analysis....could really use someone to explain what’s going on with the surface right now vs. what models are showing and how things are actually playing out!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Me on twitter right now...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 months
🔎Clear differences between the latest run of the GFS (18z) and EURO (12z). Euro really amplifies the trough...consolidates it and goes boom...GFS progressive and never really consolidates. A drawn out piece of energy. I favor something in the middle at this time.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
If I were @NWSNewYorkNY I would seriously consider extending those blizzard warnings further into NYC metro and coast of CT…winds already picking up…
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
This storm certainly has a larger precipitation shield than most models projected tbh.....hmmmm......not saying that means anything, but I could see a 5-10” forecast verifying.....stay tuned!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Let's not forget about our Thursday system (minor). Most models have brought the snow a bit further to the north and west and have actually trended slightly stronger with the wave. Previous GFS run on the left...latest on the right!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
And here is the projected snowfall for next weekend from the ECMWF...just for giggles lol. NOT A FORECAST.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
Wow...the 00z run of the CMC was very close to a pretty big storm for NYC metro on Friday...definitely a shift south from 12z.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
6 years
@adamlevine What you did last night was absolutely unprofessional and you have lost my support as a coach on #TheVoice2018 . #FireAdamLevine
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
PLEASE CAN WE HAVE ANOTHER MONSTER LIKE THIS? 💣🌨️ NAME THAT STORM! SHOULD BE PRETTY EASY.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I'll take an order of the 06z GFS please!💣 CMC also has a VERY similar storm for this timeframe. Something to keep an eye on...👀
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
10 months
I know it's the NAM, but HOLY NAM... 💣
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
Best northeast snowstorms often come in patterns that aren’t conductive for east coast snows…remember we have a lot of things changing in the atmosphere which often can yield a major storm! Read northeast snowstorms by Paul J. Kocin!
@TrackerSacker
StormTrackerSacher
2 years
Pattern is not particularly favorable for an eastern winter storm later next week and yet models continue to show one with varying solutions on track and intensity which of course yields a variety of results. This storm needs to be monitored for snow and ice on the northwest
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
CMC WAYYYY WEST
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Absolutely ripping snow right now in Rochester, NY. Visibility must be less than a 1/4 mile! Some of the heaviest stuff we’ve seen all winter and it’s almost April 1st!❄️ @NWSBUFFALO
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Bro…this shit is absolutely insane…my mind is blown right now. What a shit show of a forecast. Still have all day tomorrow and all day Friday….
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
Anyone else continuously refreshing Twitter??? Like I can't stop!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
6 years
I am living up in Rochester for school and boy let me tell you...a snowstorm up here is just beautiful...I mean this is truly a classic snowstorm. Must have at least 18" with another 4-6" on the way. Happy I am not on the 95 corridor for once!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I CANT SLEEP!!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
10 months
I mean this is just CRAZY. Each year you need to go 100 miles further north for snow!
@capecodweather
Phil Burt - CapeCodWeather.Net ⛈️❄️🌪️🌬️🌊
10 months
Storm heading SE of Nantucket in the final days of December... and rain all the way to the Canadian border.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
7 years
WOW NAM!!!! Looks like 6”+ line gets into NYC!!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
2 years
PLEASE!!!!!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
8 months
❄️☃️WOOF! Harrisburg, PA getting a NICE band of snow. Expect 3-5”+ there. Will be interesting to see if that makes it to the nyc metro!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
7 years
Very excited to announce that I will be attending The University Of Rochester as a member of the Class Of 2022!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
Also....is it just me or does Weather Twitter seem oddly quiet right now...
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 years
What an amazing snowstorm this was. Can't believe NYC number 1 snowstorm for most snow.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
6 years
Everyone follow @NsfwWx and @nynjpaweather . Very good at showing also sides of storm! Really passionate guys.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
9 years
Also to go from hearing 3-6" for me to blizzard warning and 25-28" was just crazy and amazing. Nobody ever thought NYC would be jackpot.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
This just cannot be right...
@OTN_Weather
OTN Weather
3 years
RAP LOOKS GOOD!! im on the same page
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
I'LL TAKE THE 12Z CMC PLEASE! WOW! 32" OVER MY HOUSE...WHAT A FRIGGIN RUN! REMEMBER...NOT A FORECAST.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
2” of snow here in Hastings On Hudson, NY as of 10:30 PM. Sleet beginning to mix in and flakes getting a lot bigger. Expect a changeover to plain rain soon. @NWSNewYorkNY @nynjpaweather @AccuRayno @NBCNewYork
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Can't wait for the "oh it's east!" or "oh it's west!" to start for this 12Z EURO run.
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
Man oh man this is going to be a close call for NYC metro…
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
I know it’s coming to an end soon and all good things must come to an end (or not lol), but man oh man I’m going to miss this beast....it’s been real. I’ve just been getting pummeled by band after band of heavy snow. Closing in on 19” at this point. ❄️
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
3 years
00z GFS not quite there, but HUGE signs of improvement and definitely a step towards the ECMWF. That's a fairly significant one run change from the GFS!
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@WestchesterWX
Northeast Weather Associates
4 years
As I said earlier....this storm is NOT going to produce widespread 20-30"+ amounts as the models are suggesting. The hardest hit areas could see isolated amounts of that magnitude, but it certainly will not be widespread.
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