Tim Köhler @TimothyKohler Twitter profile

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Tim Köhler

1 month

It’s official! So grateful for the opportunity, and to my wife, closest friends and family, and colleagues for their unwavering support. #PhDone #PhinisheD #UCTGrad2024

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 months

Officially completed my PhD journey! 🎓 Super excited, relieved & grateful for the opportunity. Too many people to thank, but special thanks to my supervisor @HaroonBhorat , the examiners, my @DPRU_UCT colleagues, my wife, & my closest family and friends. #PhDone #PhinisheD 🎉

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 months

🚨New working paper!🚨 We estimate the labour market effects of South Africa’s🇿🇦 Social Relief of Distress (SRD) grant, the country’s first unconditional cash transfer explicitly targeted to the unemployed. @HaroonBhorat @DPRU_UCT 📄: 🧵below 1/n

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Some personal news. This weekend I got engaged to my best friend. Confident that I’m the luckiest guy in the world ☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

12 days

Very grateful to be in Ithaca 🇺🇸 for the @Cornell Conference on Development Economics and Law. A very kind and welcoming community in a beautiful small town!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

8 months

A good week. After nearly 4 years, PhD thesis: submitted! 😮‍💨

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

7 months

A new DiD paper by one of the leaders in the field on a new, *very* widely applicable estimator! Covers staggered timing, binary/discrete/continuous & absorbing/non-absorbing treatments. Just tried out the very fast accompanying Stata command. Thank you @CdeChaisemartin + co!

Clément de Chaisemartin

@CdeChaisemartin

8 months

Time to celebrate! “DID estimators of intertemporal effects” accepted at @restatjournal , and very very fast did_multiplegt_dyn Stata & R commands available from SSC & CRAN, thanks to Mélitine Malézieux @fe_knau @diegociccia1 & @DSDoulo ! Celebratory thread!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Exciting personal news! After a few revisions, my first 'sole-authored' paper just got accepted for journal publication! 🎉 You hear such hair-raising experiences of some authors with their reviewers, so I'm so grateful for the 2 incredibly helpful anonymous reviewers involved 😌

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

Two weeks ago today, I married my best friend (Köhler & Mihalopoulos, 2023) ❤️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Some exciting news 😌 Thrilled to share my 1st journal publication, published in Development Southern Africa. I show that ⬇️ class sizes are only associated with ⬆️ learner outcomes in *wealthier* public high schools in SA. Why? Thread below! Full paper:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

So very happy to hear that the R350 SRD grant has been extended, and expanded so unemployed CSG caregivers are now eligible. Will likely improve the grant's unequal gender distribution (~35% of recipients = women). So many fantastic researchers have contributed to this outcome!

Cyril Ramaphosa 🇿🇦

@CyrilRamaphosa

3 years

To support those who have no means of supporting themselves, we are reinstating the Social Relief of Distress Grant to provide a monthly payment of R350 until the end of March 2022. This has been made possible by the slight improvement we have seen in our revenue collection.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

Never gets old. #EconTwitter

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

24 days

R&R!🎉

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

It’s finally arrived! Among the first in SA🇿🇦? Thanks for a truly great resource @causalinf . Loki approves.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

Grateful for the opportunity on @eNCA this morning to chat about our recent paper on the labour market effects of SA’s🇿🇦 SRD grant - an unconditional cash transfer targeted at the unemployed. Full paper here for those interested: @DPRU_UCT @AFD_en

eNCA

@eNCA

2 years

Many argue the wide range of social grants is turning South Africa into a welfare state. New research from UCT has found it may increase the chances of finding work. #DStv403 #eNCA

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

🚨New working paper🚨 Do wage subsidies save jobs during a crisis in developing countries? An updated version of our @UNUWIDER paper ( @HaroonBhorat @robhill93 ) on SA’s🇿🇦 TERS policy Our findings imply it saved 2.7mil jobs in Apr/May ‘20; cost = ZAR13 195pm per job saved. 🧵⬇️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Manuscript rejected! Not so great news, but sharing because it’s important to remember it’s part of the research process so one should hear about them as much as they hear about successes. The good news: some valuable feedback from the reviewers! ☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

🚨New working paper!🚨 Can cash transfers to the unemployed support economic activity? Evidence from South Africa🇿🇦 w/ @HaroonBhorat & David de Villiers ( @DPRU_UCT ) Full paper here: Supported by @AFD_en @PresidencyZA @capacity4dev @EUinSA 🧵⬇️ 1/n

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

🎉 Paper accepted to present at @cerdi AFEDEV’s 2022 International Conference in Development Economics in June/July in Clermont-Ferrand, France! 🇫🇷 I’ve never been to central France before, so I’m really looking forward to it.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Not bad at all.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Who says signing up for a PhD program isn’t optimal during a global pandemic? Grateful for this opportunity at @UCT_news under @HaroonBhorat , while continuing my work at @DPRU_UCT 🙌

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

@nickhedley Hi Nick. Just in case you’re not aware, the QES stats you’re referencing exclude the agricultural industry and entire informal sector, so this tweet may be a bit misleading. Refer to the QLFS for total employment estimates, the latest of which (2023Q1) = 16.2mil 👍

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

6 months

Truly an honour to receive this award in Francis’ name together with my @DPRU_UCT co-authors @HaroonBhorat @robhill93 & Ben Stanwix! This work was part of my PhD thesis, but benefited tremendously from feedback from many. Thank you to @DataFirstAtUCT @SALDRU1 & the adjudicators!

DataFirst

@DataFirstAtUCT

6 months

Congratulations to the winners of the Francis Wilson Memorial Prize for Data-Driven Research! @TimothyKohler for best peer-reviewed article and Dr @Emma_J_Whitelaw for best dissertation. 👏

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

🚨New working paper🚨 We estimate the causal effect of 🇿🇦’s lockdown & in doing so we isolate the pure lockdown effect from other related factors We find a ➖ effect & find the lockdown itself accounted for 26% of all 2.2mil jobs lost. i.e. most job loss due to other factors...

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

🚨Excited to see our paper (w/ @HaroonBhorat @robhill93 Ben Stanwix) on the heterogenous job loss effects of SA's🇿🇦 lockdown by stringency + employment formality now published (OA) in the Journal for Labour Market Research. 🧵below! Available here:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

7 months

Grateful to be in beautiful Oxford🇬🇧 for the #OxCSAE2024 @Oxford_CSAE conference!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

How does education vary across the wage distribution in SA🇿🇦? We know higher earners tend to have higher educ qualifications, but to what extent? In 2019, 66% of the richest 10% of earners had post-secondary educ, whereas 60% of the poorest HALF of earners had less than matric.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

6 months

New @UNUWIDER working paper w/ @HaroonBhorat on the labour market effects of ongoing power outages (loadshedding, LS) in SA🇿🇦 Highlights - ⬇️employment, working hours, earnings - Largely no effects for low LS levels, but high levels = particularly costly

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

It’s been such a great week in Lahore, Pakistan🇵🇰 participating at the #ADE2023 hosted by @Lahore_School @CREB_Pak @Innovate_Centre @IGC_Pakistan @CDPRPak . And great to meet both @DaveEvansPhD & @danilaserra_eco ! Highly recommend looking out for the conference next year.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

7 days

So happy to be in Cairo 🇪🇬 for the 2024 #Jobs4Dev Conference, hosted by @JPAL_MENA at @AUC and organised by @UNUWIDER @ILO_Research @WorldBank @DPRU_UCT and the rest of the NJD partners.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

A fantastic 2 days in Stellenbosch🇿🇦 participating in the 3rd @UPTuks / @StellenboschUni PhD Economics Workshop supported by @econrsa @resepgroup . Great to spend time with former, current & new colleagues/peers. + an @EricHanushek keynote! Thanks @RichardFreund13 for the 📷☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

It’s a strange time to be announcing good news, but I just received my first ever (conditional) journal acceptance! 🎉 R&R’s for the win. #EconTwitter #AcademicTwitter

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Fantastic paper and DiD/event study application by @smillerdegnan @LaurawherryR , first read in @causalinf ’s Mixtape! 🙌 Medicaid expansions significantly reduced mortality in the US - saving an estimated 5 000 lives per year!

QJE

@QJEHarvard

4 years

Recently accepted by #QJE : “Medicaid and Mortality: New Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data,” by Miller ( @smilleralert ), Johnson, and Wherry ( @LaurawherryR ):

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

I’m grateful to be in beautiful Paris🇫🇷 for the 2023 International Conference on Development Economics #ICDE next week, hosted at @PSEinfo by @AFEDEV_asso @AFD_en @CEPREMAP @CNRS .

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

We’re all just adding interesting articles we come across to our reading lists + never having time to get to them, right?

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

In all countries, the top 5% own more wealth than the bottom 80%. But only in SA🇿🇦 and 5 other countries (!) does the top 0.001% own more wealth than the bottom 80%. SA’s extent of extreme inequality is well documented but the figures below add a compelling global perspective.

Ruben Mathisen

@rubenbmathisen

3 years

Final map ( #5 ), and the group at the top is now as small as the data allow. Bottom 80% vs. 1/100,000 of the population. In 6 countries, the latter group owns more wealth than the former.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Thanks to @eNCA for having me and my bright yellow beanie. Jokes aside, great to have a space to share our @NIDS_CRAM findings on vaccine hesitancy in SA ☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

When I’m not coding away in @Stata , you can find me in the water! Spoilt myself a few months ago to this locally made beauty. Finally picked her up this morning. Wishing everyone a great and safe festive break ☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 months

Join us in Cairo🇪🇬 in October for the #Jobs4Dev Conference! Submit your paper on jobs challenges in LMICs before 13 June. NB: some funding available for researchers from LICs to cover travel costs! @DPRU_UCT @WorldBank @ilo @UNUWIDER More info here:

UNU-WIDER : 2024 Jobs and Development Conference

www.wider.unu.edu

UNU-WIDER

@UNUWIDER

5 months

📢 Call for Papers! Share your research at the Jobs and Development Conference in Cairo, Egypt. Contribute to key discussions on jobs challenges in low- and middle-income countries. Submit your papers by June 13! 👉 #LaborEconomics @WorldBank @ilo

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 years

This week, the graduation ceremony for my Masters degree would've taken place at @StellenboschUni . Understandably the ceremony was cancelled. I'm grateful, however, to have had 2 opps to celebrate: one virtual, and one surprise in my lounge. Happy Non-Graduation Day to my peers!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

How has job loss + recovery in SA🇿🇦 varied by level of formal education? Clear that job loss = worst for those with lower levels. Employment among those with primary school or less ⬇️24% initially + not really recovered, while those with tertiary educ ⬇️4% + recovered.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

I’m grateful to be in Kigali, Rwanda 🇷🇼 for the Working Group on African Political Economy (WGAPE) Annual Meeting hosted by @CEGA_UC @Cornell at the @Uni_Rwanda . A beautiful country with incredibly friendly people.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

A truly wonderful hike this morning up Woody’s Ravine, @TableMountainNP .

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

@joshbudlender This is unbelievable. I haven’t read the paper yet, but do you know if the water cutoff was scheduled to happen in absence of evaluation?

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

On top of Chapman’s Peak earlier this afternoon, brewing a cup of fantastic locally roasted beans. Cape Town showing off in all sorts of ways today.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

It was a pleasure to present this work at a seminar for @resepgroup at @StellenboschUni this afternoon. Always grateful for helpful feedback ☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Decided to finally invest some time into learning R. Does #EconTwitter have any advice on favourite microeconometric packages? @causalinf @economeager @andrewheiss

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

🚨New woring paper!🚨 We analyse how the task content of employment in South Africa🇿🇦 has evolved post-apartheid, & highlight a pattern of relative *de-routinisation* through a relative ⬇️ of routine manual jobs & ⬆️ of non-routine cognitive analytical jobs.

DPRU_UCT

@DPRU_UCT

1 year

📰Recently published: SARChI-ID (UJ) working paper by @HaroonBhorat , François Steenkamp, @Monnakgotla_J , @robhill93 & @TimothyKohler analyses the evolution of the task content of employment in the formal private sector labour market in South Africa 🇿🇦

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

From tomorrow over the next month I’m off to Gothenburg🇸🇪, Paris🇫🇷, and Geneva🇨🇭 to present some work and participate in a few conferences, with some honeymoon time in Greece🇬🇷 in between! If you’re attending the NCDE @uniofgothenburg , ICDE @PSEinfo , or RDW @ilo , let’s meet up!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

Such an incredible hike in the Jonkershoek valley yesterday. Grateful to have access to these beautiful mountains.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

This year, SA's🇿🇦social grant amounts have not kept up with inflation, and have thus⬇️in real terms. For the last decade grants have mostly kept up with inflation. In contrast, this year the CSG only⬆️by R10 (the lowest increase in 10 years), therefore⬇️by 1.4% in real terms...

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

@JonathanColmer One of my favourites during the covid period 🤷‍♂️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 years

Great @SALDRU1 seminar today by @amorygethin ( @WIL_inequality , Paris) on wealth #inequality in SA. Using several data sources and approaches, they show little change in the post-apartheid era. Regardless of source, in 2017 the richest 10% owned *at least* 85% of wealth.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

This week, my friend + colleague @robhill93 will be presenting at the 2021 Jobs and Development Conference on our work on the effects of the pandemic on gender wage inequality in SA🇿🇦 Register: #jobs4dev @iza_event @WBG_Jobs @DPRU_UCT @ICRIER @UNUWIDER

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

Happy to have presented our new paper on the labour market effects of SA’s🇿🇦 SRD grant, funded by @AFD_en @PresidencyZA @capacity4dev @EUinSA Main finding: Small but significant ⬆️ effect on employment, driven by formal wage employment. 🧵soon! Paper:

Anda David

@Anda__David

2 years

@TimothyKohler looks at whether the #SRD grant acted also as a source of labor maket recovery and the answer is YES - it increased the employment probability

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 month

A privilege to be back in Genève🇨🇭 to present at the @RareVoicesEcon Conference this week. Such a supportive, kind group of scholars. Thank you to @GVAGrad @UNIGEnews @heclausanne for having me! And as always, so great to see my friend (and freshly minted Dr) @anrisakaki again!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 years

In South Africa, growth in earnings has not been pro-poor in the relative sense in recent years. Using the latest PALMS data, I show that from 2010 to 2017, the earnings of the richest 10% ⬆️ by 13% each year on average, while the poorest 90% ⬇️ by 2%. #econtwitter #inequality

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

The @NIDS_CRAM papers + data have officially been released! For 1 of the 13 papers @HaroonBhorat and I investigated whether social grants have been successfully targeted at the most vulnerable during SA's lockdown (paper here: ). Thread + links below (1/n).

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 months

Happy to be visiting Accra, Ghana🇬🇭 for the first time! Everyone is super welcoming and the food is fantastic, what’s not to love?

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

A cosy Friday night in. Really grateful to @jondr44 for providing a super useful and enlightening virtual workshop on advanced difference-in-differences methods yesterday. Thanks to @causalinf for organizing! 👏

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

Is OB decomposition identical to Kitagawa decomposition? Should both always be referenced together? Great new paper by Oaxaca + Sierminska, showing that they are only identical under very specific circumstances, with OB essentially being a more generalized version of Kitagawa.

Cléo Chassonnery-Zaïgouche

@CleoCZ

1 year

Oaxaca-Blinder Meets Kitagawa: What is the Link? by Ronald L. Oaxaca & Eva Sierminska including "the citation history of the two methods and examples of "misuses" of the naming convention when the methods are not equivalent"

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Happy to share our (w/ my colleague and friend @robhill93 ) new article on SA's🇿🇦 TERS policy, arguably the country's most NB labour market policy during the pandemic, now published in Development Southern Africa. I'll post a🧵of our main findings soon!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

🚨New WP alert! w/ @Ronelle_B , Cobus Burger, Darren Conyngham. We've worked on this for > 2 years, phew! We use a regression discontinuity design on panel data of SA🇿🇦 adults to estimate the effects of a blood pressure-related warning. Full paper here:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

Grateful to be in beautiful Gothenburg🇸🇪 for the Nordic Conference in Development Economics ( #NCDE ) this week, beginning today!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 months

Back in Stellenbosch🇿🇦 for @resepgroup ’s Conference on Quantitative Education Research. Presented some work with Gabi Wills on the changing role of educational attainment on labour market outcomes in SA. Great community of thoughtful academics, practitioners, and policymakers!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

6 years

Finally! Just got my hands on #ConfrontingInequality with contributions by @MurrayLeibbrand @roccozizzamia @SchotteSimone @ThuliMadonsela3 and more!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

27 days

Happy to have been in JHB today to discuss some of our work on social protection coverage gaps among the working-age population in SA🇿🇦 @DPRU_UCT

Department of Employment and Labour

@deptoflabour

27 days

Launch of the LMIS.Stat and Dissemination Research Report held today, 18 September 2024 in Boksburg.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Just came across a great, accessible handbook on inequality measures and measurement, with Stata examples included! From @ARUA_ACEIR @VimalRanchhod . @Lungstagram this might interest you!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

The inheritance of advantage and disadvantage. The inequality of, not outcomes, but opportunity. These results suggest that in SA 🇿🇦 it would take *9 generations* for those born into the poorest 10% of families to “climb up the ladder” + reach the country’s average income level

Nick Hedley

@nickhedley

4 years

Income mobility = “the American dream”. In other words, the American dream is much easier achieved in other developed countries.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

🚨New working paper! With @HaroonBhorat @robhill93 we estimate the causal effects of SA's arguably most NB labour market policy during Covid (the TERS) on job retention Overall, we find large positive effects, with larger effects for lower-wage workers.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

Good to be back in Cape Town at work today after a really great time in both Rwanda and France. I wanted to again express my gratitude to @CEGA_UC @UCBerkeley and @AFEDEV_asso @cerdi @UCAuvergne for hosting me.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

I’ve been accepted to participate in a conference in Kigali, Rwanda🇷🇼 in June! I’ve long wanted to visit and am so grateful and excited. Does anyone here have any specific must-see/do’s while I’m there?

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

@RemyLevin I found this review of the lit by @jondr44 @pedrohcgs et al (2022) really useful. Additionally, they include references to code/software for application:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

@PhumlaniMMajozi Phumlani, it’s clear that you’re not familiar with the empirical evidence on labour market effects of minimum wages, which largely show that MWs tend to significantly ⬆️ wages for low-wage workers, with little to zero effects on employment. Happy to refer you to the literature ☺️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Grateful to have been included on @BusinessDayTV this morning speaking about the latest @NIDS_CRAM findings, alongside three researchers I've long admired @NicSpaull @Mpumi_NLM @rezadaniels 😌 For those interested in the interview:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

As promised, a🧵of a new @DPRU_UCT working paper w/ @HaroonBhorat . We use previously unavailable, representative, worker-level data to provide the first estimates of wage inequality & its drivers in South Africa🇿🇦 from 2019-2022. Full paper here: 1/n

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

I’m grateful to be in Genève🇨🇭 to present at the @ILO_Research ’s 8th Regulating for Decent Work Conference #RDW2023 , beginning today.

ILO Research

@ILO_Research

1 year

📢🌐 Join us at the 8th Regulating for Decent Work Conference on July 10-12, 2023 Together, let's explore transformative policies and innovative institutions to address the labour and social consequences of interconnected crises. More info 👉 #RDW2023

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 years

Submitted my Master’s thesis today! What a time.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

As part of the @NIDS_CRAM Wave 3 launch, I’m grateful to have done some work with fantastic co-authors (Brendan, @carmensuechrlop @Ronelle_B @LauraRossouw , René) on trends in Covid risk-perceptions, preventive behavior, and ‘Covid fatigue’ in SA🇿🇦 Paper:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

Statistically, employment in SA🇿🇦 has returned to the pre-pandemic level! The QLFS is sample-based, so all population estimates have uncertainty which we can reflect w/ confidence intervals. The microdata shows that 2022Q4 (15.9mil) = statistically similar to 2020Q1 (16.4mil).

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

1 year

I’m in Lahore, Pakistan🇵🇰 for the International Conference on Applied Development Economics #ADE2023 , starting tomorrow! Thank you to the organizers for having me. @TheLahoreSchool @CREB_Pak @Innovate_Centre @IGC_Pakistan @CDPRPak

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Excited to be presenting in a poster session today in @UNUWIDER ’s 2021 Development Conference. A really fantastic line-up of incredible speakers and themes! @DPRU_UCT

UNU-WIDER

@UNUWIDER

3 years

The day has finally come - our #WIDERDevConf2021 is here! You can still register even after the event has started, there's three days of great content - you don't want to miss this. 🤩💻

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Special #COVID19 grant being extended for 3 more months. NB source of relief for vulnerable households, and its reach in such a short amount of time was impressive. @HaroonBhorat + I document this and more in our @dailymaverick here: #EconomicRecoveryPlan

The new Covid-19 Social Relief of Distress grant: Understanding who it reached

Estimates from the National Income Dynamics Study – Coronavirus Rapid Mobile Survey (NIDS-CRAM) survey indicate that the Covid-19 grant reached 4.3 million people as of the time of the survey. This...

www.dailymaverick.co.za

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Tomorrow at 12:00, we are launching the results of the National Income Dynamics Study (NIDS) Coronavirus Rapid Mobile Survey (CRAM). The largest non-medical COVID-19 research project in SA! List of papers included below. Register to attend here:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

@Mikhail_Moosa Essential info, thanks Mikhail ☺️ I also feel like the DA’s msg here implies grants + jobs = mutually exclusive, when obvs they aren’t. Many recipients are employed. Eg in 2017, 2.9mil of 7.2mil CSG caregivers were employed. Social protection plays an NB role in the labour market

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

In a new @DPRU_UCT policy brief, @HaroonBhorat , Grace Baskaran, and I document coverage and expenditure dynamics of SA’s special COVID-19 grant, making use of admin data provided by @TreasuryRSA . A short thread below for those interested. Link:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

@Emma_J_Whitelaw @jmwooldridge Emma my friend, I have no comment on this - I'm just here to celebrate THE Wooldridge responding to your metrics query, on Twitter! I love it.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 years

Exciting news for last year’s work! Very grateful and humbled to have been awarded the Economic Society of South Africa’s ( #ESSA ) Founder’s Medal for best Honours thesis in SA for the 2018/19 year. To a hopefully fruitful career in research!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

As a dissemination of our @NIDS_CRAM Wave 2 paper, @HaroonBhorat and I wrote an op-ed for @dailymaverick on the distribution of the new COVID-19 grant in SA. Until now, we haven’t had the data to analyse whether - similar to other grants - it is pro-poor. More below ☺️

Daily Maverick

@dailymaverick

4 years

NIDS-CRAM OP-ED: The new Covid-19 Social Relief of Distress grant: Understanding who it reached

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

Working on the @NIDS_CRAM was definitely a privilege and highlight this year. Thank you to @NicSpaull and the team for sending such a sweet (pun intended) gift in the mail today!

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14

Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Here’s a throwback. Before pursuing economics, I was a devoted muso. In 2014, the band I was in even somehow managed to get a slot playing at @oppikoppi (see below). I can’t even remember how that happened. What a time!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

I have to show off this incredible @babylonstoren gift package I just received in the mail from @Ronelle_B and @carmensuechrlop . I don’t know what to say, besides from: You two are the best! ❤️

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

We’re launching the results of the @NIDS_CRAM Wave 4 next week! I’m grateful to have co-authored a paper analysing vaccine hesitancy in SA with @Ronelle_B @abuttenheim et al (not on Twitter). Register below if you’re interested in attending the webinar launch ☺️

NIDS-CRAM

@NIDS_CRAM

3 years

*NIDS-CRAM WAVE 4* These are the 12 NIDS-CRAM Wave 4 Working Papers we'll be releasing at our 12 May 10am WEBINAR LAUNCH. To join us register here:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

4 years

What's happened to hourly wages in SA🇿🇦 over the last decade (pre-C19)? For most workers, real wages have been constant (ie nominal wages have just kept up with inflation)... whereas the ave worker amongst the richest 10% earned R212 in 2010, ⬆️to R317 in 2015 &⬇️R220 in 2019.

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

Finally got a chance to read @ihsaanbassier ’s recent JDE paper on firms & inequality in SA🇿🇦. What a great piece! Many NB findings, but overall points to firms accounting for ~20% of overall income inequality in SA - huge & likely even *under*estimated!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

2nd dose done! ✅ Thank you to the really wonderful staff at the CTICC.

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15

Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

Very happy and grateful to have just received my 1st dose at the CTICC. Everyone there was super friendly and efficient, the atmosphere really was wonderful.

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15

Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

5 years

Happy to have gotten the opportunity today to present to @resepgroup at @StellenboschUni my paper on how the relationship between class size and educ outcomes in SA secondary schools depends on where learners find themselves in the system. Grateful for lots of useful comments!

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

3 years

@paulgp Agreed! Implementing it is just as exciting - I believe @friosavila has some great content online on it. @robhill93 and I use it to examine how the pandemic in the short run affected gender wage inequality across the distribution in SA🇿🇦:

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Tim Köhler

@TimothyKohler

2 years

We have a new @DPRU_UCT policy brief out (w/ @HaroonBhorat & Ben Stanwix). Originally prep’d for The Presidency, we consider the data quality of the QLFS - SA’s🇿🇦 official source of labour market statistics - during the pandemic, focusing on non-response.

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