David Hood @Thoughtfulnz Twitter profile | Pikagi

Pikagi

David Hood

@Thoughtfulnz

7,195

Followers

95

Following

8,750

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46,844

Statuses

For discussion see same username elsewhere in nonMeta places. data, Aotearoa New Zealand Author NZ covid status page

New Zealand

Joined July 2014

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

8 months

ASMR isn't a hard idea. Take death rates (as obviously more living people naturally have more deaths) by age (as obviously older people have more deaths) and apply them to a standard population (as obviously you should compare the same amount of each). Best practice for 250 years

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

Majestic Princess Cruise Ship: Left New Zealand Nov 8 with 180 known Covid cases. Arrived Sydney Nov 11 with 800 known Covid cases.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

How I am feeling, at a gut level: NZ is on a roof The US & UK (I know, not everyone) are down on the street chanting "Jump,Jump,Jump". NZ, having just see what happened to AU when it jumped a moment ago, decides to make a controlled descent by taking the stairs. US/UK frustrated

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I think there is a very urgent moral obligiation for the NZ Government to take on supporting Tonga- we are the largest country that can help that would not be introducing Omicron on top of other problems.

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David Hood

4 years

There have been 232 unsuccessful attempts by coronavirus to enter New Zealand since November 18th. Thank you border workers. Thank you people staying home when sick. Thank you people with symptoms getting tested. Thank you people recording their movements.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I was inspired to make this

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

5 years

@LaCourseParker I am reminded of this photo of the New Zealand Prime Minister and senior Ministers (right) in negotiations with their Australian counterparts (left). Source:

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I wish to suggest a my vaccine pass enhancement

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

As New Zealand is one of the first countries to see in the New Year, the duty falls on us to warn everyone else if 2021 is a trap.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Tonight it is a year since NZ emerged blinking from level 4 lockdown, craving food we didn't have to cook ourselves. Since then, the border's stopped around 800 covid incursions, & our community actions have stopped the couple of hundred cases past the border escalating. Go Us

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David Hood

1 month

With all my years handling all kinds of New Zealand data, let me make it quite clear I have never seen data even remotely close to the claim the Prime Minister made in hid 16th Aug press conference that "88% of Maori kids at year eight are unable to read"

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

5 years

Experimenting with the graph2ppt() function from the R package "export" which exports ggplot to powerpoint as a vector drawing, !A VECTOR DRAWING!, so maintains full quality. kind of needs theme sizing in between what I was using for print and what I was using for bitmap

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I just did a count up, and since the start of April 2020, New Zealanders have been able to live their lives with an openness and a relaxation based on 410 days of zero covid cases in the community. So to keep that freedom, and save lives, we are sharing in staying home for a bit

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

So New Zealand now, 48 hours in, has the likely patient zero, most of the cases in-between identified, and the security that cases that develop right now will do so in isolation. That's how it's done.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

5 years

@heavyredaction Well, let's be honest. What are the odds of Marx and Engels not having a podcast if such had existed.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Help, I’m being oppressed

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

It is just 1 day, but it is a day of very simple maths. NZ 12+ is a shade over 96% vaxed, rounding down in the unvaxed favour that is 96% vaxed, 4% unvaxed. On a day when 4 unvaxed were hospitalised, if vaccines did nothing, there would be 96 unvaxed hospitalised. There were 2

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

With one full year of covid testing in New Zealand, let's take a moment to acknowledge the awesomely conscientious Pacifica community.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

Whoa. OMG. Whoa. I just checked the weekly mortality on the covid-19 stats nz dashboard. Even without population adjusting, deaths this winter have been like a summer. There has been no seasonal death rise this year in NZ. !!!!!!!!!!

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Of yesterdays 140 cases, 107 were fully isolated for the time they were infectious. Contact Tracing should be congratulated on that ratio.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Just to brighten peoples' day

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

NSW. 1 detected case to 500 cumulative was 24 days NZ. 1 detected case to 500 cumulative was 12 days All the evidence is that we are doing a better job of finding cases than NSW was doing in June, so front loading for less later. But fuck me I am glad we didn't delay repsonse

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

If you want to know what being done with covid looks like, Australia and New Zealand have diverged a bit recently. With 5 times the population of NZ, Australia has 20 times the number of people in ICU that NZ does.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

1 year

Isolation is not about protecting you, it is about protecting the 15 to 30 people in the chain of follow on infections you are causing

@antihobbes

antihobbes

1 year

Luxon on AM, disagreeing with mandatory isolation, says when he had Covid a couple weeks back he was sick for two days and could have easily gone to work the next -- and individuals should be able to make that call

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

The vaccine conspiracists are getting quite excited by the rise in mortality New Zealand had in the middle of 2021 (the year people were first getting vaccinated). We have traditionally called that rise, which occurs in every year, "Winter"

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Silliest Troll for a while, now blocked, accused me of "You're just stating facts"

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

1 year

@DrJMarine @AshBloomfield Well, as a person of New Zealand, here are excess deaths, GDP growth since first Quarter 2020, Employment growth, and national public debt. The main cost is people get annoyed when we don't resemble their imaginary view of NZ.

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David Hood

3 years

I think what best fits the evidence is that it is functional contact tracing. But that contact tracing is only functional because MiQ has stopped more than 700 introductions of Omicron, so contract tracing is chasing 1 linked virus family rather than 700+ unrelated outbreaks.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

Unless you've Melbourne loved ones, you probably don't really get the difference between the Victoria and Auckland outbreaks. And the degree to which NZ learned and went hard and early again. So here's daily cases from outbreak detection to week after lockdown (inc. border cases)

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

Did Michelle Boag declare any conflicts of interest when appearing on The Panel? Something like "I am criticising the government's handling of patient information while also being the source of the leak"

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

If anyone wanted to survey NZ about the protest demands, rather than a vibe of being unhappy at the moment, the question "Do you agree covid positive people should be able to enter rest homes at will" is a required condition of removing every health regulation of the covid era.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

1 year

I will share an ear worm from my current door notice for the weekend

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

If you are watching the NZ covid numbers for early warning signs of change. Todays reported numbers of 4322 new cases are a massive jump for the day of reporting (up more than 1500 since last week) and enough to cause a noticeable jump in the seven day trend.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I'll be restarting daily graphs later today. Cases by DHB so people can see the local trajectory. Contact tracing effectiveness so we can see when that is going to be impaired & we need to shift risk assessments. Cases by vax status, expecting to see a rise in vaxed then unvaxed

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Since entering lockdown on March 25th 2020, New Zealand has had 365 doughnut days of no new local cases. (I hadn't been tracking this to announce the year, I just got curious and looked and it happened to be 365)

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I added doubling rate guidelines to make it clear how amazing low the growth of Omicron is here. It is not mobility restrictions- we are still far more mobile than most places It's not vax, other places are more vaxed, It's not summer, see Australia, It's def. not prior infection

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

For those outside of Auckland, since April 2020 New Zealand's "permanent lockdown"/"lockdown forever", as mal(in)formed critics describe it, has consisted of 461 days of not being in even the slightest of lockdowns (neither at Level 4 nor Level 3)

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

A brief covid response rant. Yes, we know omicron is highly infectious, and we know we can't stamp it out, and we know that restrictions have costs. BUT JAPAN WITH ITS CLEAN AIR POLICIES IS SITTING RIGHT THERE AND WE COULD BE LEARNING FROM IT. I just needed to get that out.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

We are better at cricket than England because we are an remote island with low population density.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

The extra people dead (NZ pop), if New Zealand had a to-date pandemic experience like: Taiwan ~ 4800 Norway ~ 6000 Sweden ~ 7200 U.K. ~ 14400 US ~ 19500 South Africa ~ 30000 Apologies to those who want magic pandemic solutions or a bunch more deaths.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

Covid deaths vs Road toll

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

It's my birthday, and my main thought is- there has not been a covid infection in 250km of me for more than 18 months. Sure, that will change, but in the past year when I and my loved ones needed hospitals it was much easier to get care. So, thanks for that present, community.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

So, rhetorically, what would be the cost of re-importing NZ cheese.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

@ballerdele @jukey_ @miaxmon New Zealand had the same number of cases and they were multiplying at the same exponential rate as the UK, it was lockdown that took us off the exponential track two weeks before the UK. However, NZ's lockdown was also stronger and better supported by people.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I wish to stress, as someone in the South Island, I am going to the supermarket to buy toilet paper because we happen to be nearly out rather than any apocalyptic stockpiling.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Taiwan Doughnut Day, I repeat, Doughnut Day. From a peak of 723 new cases a day, Taiwan has ground it down to 0

@tzemingdynasty

Tze Ming Mok

@tzemingdynasty

3 years

FUCK YEAH TAIWAN, A COUNTRY

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Days without cases shows the excellence of the border workers. Days until zero cases shows the excellence of us. Be excellent, and make that second a low number.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

1 year

NZ Twitter is not what it was, as the world changes around it. But go you beautifully caring people.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

I was there, the basic strategy was: Get to the good spot first with a lot of locals. Party and ignore (do not engage) with the other lot, other than to deny them the premier ground and quiet to spread their ideas unopposed. So it makes clear they are a small fringe, unwelcome.

@MontagueShane

Shane Montague 🇮🇪🇳🇿🇪🇺

2 years

At the anti-fascist rally - we significantly outnumber the VFF crowd - another Dunner stunner 😀

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

News Flash: Two days of covid cases (126 over two days) is almost exactly twice as much as one days covid cases (62 cases announced on the 24th- the day before the two days worth of figures) ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

I say this as someone who is on record on Twitter here as having used the public data to pick changes in covid trends a good ten days before widespread consensus. Only providing week averages, not releasing the daily counts, is appalling and damages the ability to spot change

@minhealthnz

Ministry of Health - Manatū Hauora

2 years

2/3 As signaled in yesterday's announcement, reporting will now move to weekly. Today is the last day we will publish the daily 1pm update, case numbers and other COVID-19 related data. The weekly figures will include 7 day averages for case numbers, deaths and hospitalisations.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

RAT tests are free, Your rellies lives matter, To make Christmas safer, Here's the URL on a platter

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I feel like so many people followed me this afternoon after I said I'll be restarting the daily graphs (after folk retweeted that) I should say Welcome. I post a lot about NZ data, ...a lot (not just covid stuff) But I'm happy to talk things out if people want discuss what I post

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

I just don't think local people grasp how freakishly unusual it has been until now (and I am not saying it has changed), at a world level, to have had no active covid within more than 300 km, for more than 650 days.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

In the past 7 days zero vaccinated people have been hospitalised. This is, arguably, infinitely better than the 16 unvaccinated people. (also 1 child and 4 partially vaxed)

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

I'm sorry Tasmania, but we needed a decoy so we could hide properly

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

While I couldn't be bothered making the full animation, I just wanted to say...

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

Pre-vaccine 2020: 1 hospitalisation per 22 cases, 1 ICU per 78 cases, 1 Death per 83 cases. Widespread vaccine 2022: 1 hospitalisation per 98 cases, 1 ICU per 20029 cases, 1 Death per 904 cases. And lies people tell that thousands died from the vaccine are just that- lies...

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

In 1997, New Zealand introduced free influenza vaccination to all New Zealanders aged 65 years and older. Vaccines work.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

NZ cases up 17% since last Monday's number. NZ hospitalisations up 27% since last Monday's number

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

To arrest large suspects, New Zealand Police officers combine together Voltron style to form a single mega-copper capable of arresting small kaiju.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

We found 7 people down the back of a couch. 130,002

@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Time to look down the back of the couch for any spare vaccinated people. (or, in reality, delayed reporting locations)

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

1 year

Given news of this platforms actions over the last 24 hours, I am no longer willing to be a reason people check into this site to be informed. This will be the last covid update I post here. You can check current status at & I am willing to talk elsewhere

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Don't just scan (because most of the people who read me understand scanning), scan in a manner public enough that others around take the hint. Scan in a manner to remind those for whom it is not a habit.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

@KimmyLouA The point is this is new information about rate of growth of current variants in enclosed settings. But if you see no point to new knowledge, and see it so strongly that you need to comment on it. I don't think we have a lot in common about figuring out new knowledge.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 months

Louder, for the people at the back, contact tracing and physical isolation procedures can lead to disease eradication.

@Rural_News

Rural News

4 months

In case you missed it: for the second time in the history of the programme to eradicate Mycoplasma bovis from New Zealand, the country currently has zero confirmed cases.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

A personal intention of mine is to ongoingly describe the NZ lockdown as comprehensive rather than "strict" since it depended on cooperation, just to do my personal bit to make it that tiny bit harder for it to be used as an example for authoritarian wannabes.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

1 year

I got so sick of cookers saying "NZ's huge excess mortality since vaccines were rolled out" (when they mean the widespread covid period within that) that I did the numbers and maybe the only person to have worked out that even for the non-2020 26 months of vaccine, excess is -3%

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

@jburnmurdoch I think this is BANANA ("build absolutely nothing anywhere near anything") more than NIMBY

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

And a hearty and sincerely fuck you and your lies to the antivaxers who scared parents with claims that there was mass death among the young with covid vaccinations. With around 85% of 12-17 year olds having at least 1 dose 2022 was the lowest death year for under-20s by far.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

With the previous many months of daily covid updates needing a reformat anyway, it is a fairly radical update and new thread now. Biggest change is the webpage current reference at to give people not on Twitter a place to check the current status graphs.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

6 years

Because I use them a lot in #rstats , in Rstudio - Global Options - Code - Editing - Snippets, I have a usual_suspects snippet which adds all my common libraries. Type usu, do the tab complete for usual_suspects, and get all the code

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

If we stop this South African strain outbreak with nobody infected in the community (the place of infection past quarantine), other countries are going to find us completely insufferable.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Back in July, the survey asking people about vaccine intentions expected, based on survey responses, NZ to top out at 79% of adults.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

A general announcement: I'm about to block SaneSceptic and all followers. He is calling me a "brainwashed excuse for a human" and deliberately trying to create a pile-on. So I'm keeping my Twitter account usable. If you follow us both you've about 2 hours to choose.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

6 years

Philosophically, should "Made in NZ" tags carry littler "Made in NZ" tags, and so on and so forth down to the quantum level?

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

For the benefit of those new to Twitter, or returning after a long absence and not familiar with modern features: - Covid is real, and a threat - Vaccines are a critical, effective tool in fighting covid - Getting vaccinated is doing the right thing for those around you

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

@NZStuff The New South Wales excess deaths was up 30% on the the baseline used by the Australia Statistics Bureau in January, up 18% in February (Australia does not yet have numbers for March on). I'm sure one can have a marvellous, marvellous holiday if you ignore the dying locals.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

@dook42_domini @neilhimself Vaccine has been easier to obtain for countries where people died by the score than countries where 1 person has died since September 2020. So anyone making a "should have vaccinated before widespread supplies" argument needs to say which who should have died for NZ to vaccinate

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

In the last 3 days Auckland had 40 cases, 37 epidemiologically linked by 9am(?) the following day. In deeply sad contrast for controlling things, in the last 3 days NSW had 3445 cases, 284 of which are linked by today.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Of the accounts who tweeted/retweeted/liked the convoynz2022 or convoy2022nz hashtags in the week I collected data for a little while back, and expressed an easily analysed opinion, 94.2% of accounts disapproved of the convoy. This is before I geolocate the accounts.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Are people mentally prepared for about five days of "is it peaking?", "is it really peaking?", "but what about missed cases", etc Because that is the next stage, for the discourse at least.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

I did the age standardised conversions from Hong Kong's unvaccinated population (high enough to be useful for comparison) to the NZ (same omicron niavity) pop. And had NZ been unvaxed, covid deaths would have been about 26,000 in 2022. For 2022 NZ covid deaths were about 2,300

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

New Zealand still has negative all cause mortality in the years following the arrival of Peanut Slab icecream bars

@jacobjakemo

Jake Morrison

2 years

Three years ago today:

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David Hood

4 years

She is citing a 97% false positive rate, so likely has been watching covid denial videos on Facebook. In the 102 days NZ had no covid last winter, we ran more than 500000 covid tests and none were positive. That is 0% false positive.

Woman kept in managed isolation after refusing Covid-19 test

An Australian woman who's being kept in managed isolation for refusing to get a Covid-19 test says she just wants more information before agreeing.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

6 years

If the government gets too tyrannical, someone will just throw another dildo at it. That'll fix it. That's where the US went wrong, banning dildos in many states so all they were left to resist tyranny with were guns.

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David Hood

3 years

...that having covid in the community is a much better match to the prevalence of anxiety than being locked-down getting rid of said pandemic. Yes, lockdowns are hard and people should get more support. But don't abuse the data to make unjustified claims. (all angry tweets made)

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David Hood

11 months

The rapid increase in covid in NZ wastewater seems to match a rapid increase in cases reported at the start of the week. Heads up everyone

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David Hood

3 years

@ellsammie @sternbergh @everywhereist It is generally accepted you can get a sense of how many cases you might be missing based on how many tests you do for each positive test. For most of this year, including this outbreak, New Zealand does around 1000 negative tests to find positive test. The US is doing around 14

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

4 years

Given the kind of testing numbers I'd estimate to be announced tomorrow, tomorrow we will likely have tested 3% of the country in the last week. But that will likely be the peak of this outbreak. That is just an unbelievable pace of work, and scaling up of resources.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

Honestly, the urban density of New Zealand is comparable to the United States. We are not evenly spaced out over the country. And now we cross to the Minister of Health making an important covid announcement.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

3 years

If I have one prediction for covid in NZ in the next little while, it is a prediction of a bunch of scaremongering opinion pieces on the Monday superseded by contrary data later the same day they are published.

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@Thoughtfulnz

David Hood

2 years

As you are reading this, so likely following me, you a relatively safe from the "block this account and all their followers" script action I am taking on a regular basis to be able to actually discuss the covid situation here without swamping by accounts trying to own the libs.

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David Hood

3 years

I also see from the 1pm Media Release that, following a couple of days of covid detected in waste water in Wellsford, they now have a household with cases located. Go science.

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David Hood

4 years

Hey everyone in NZ, He's changed the y axis! Let's make him change it again.

@jburnmurdoch

John Burn-Murdoch

4 years

Daily new cases: • Feels increasingly safe to say daily confirmed infections in US have peaked, though descent from peak is slow • New cases falling in four countries that acted early: New Zealand, Australia, Norway, Austria (also 👋 Greece) All charts:

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David Hood

6 years

Folks, I think I've figured out why Economists think Business Confidence is a useful lead for the economy. Because in every region in the world with OECD data, _except_ NZ, it is. NZ business confidence OTOH, bears no relationship. 1 = perfect, 0 = none, -1 perfect negative

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David Hood

1 year

I like spreadsheets and I cannot lie You other kiwis can't deny

@NewshubPolitics

Newshub Politics

@NewshubPolitics

1 year

Willis says Kiwis don't want spreadsheets, as pressure mounts for Nats to release foreign buyer tax costings

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19

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David Hood

3 years

Cummulative omicron cases stopped in NZ border Quarantine 16 Dec 1 17 Dec 4 18 Dec 8 19 Dec 13 20 Dec 22

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David Hood

2 years

I have stolen the cypto that were in the game and which you were probably farming with slum labour Forgive me they were transferable so launderable and so funged

@rezendi

Jon Evans

2 years

You have to admit, "impoverished pariah nuclear state funds itself by hacking decentralized Internet money intended for a video game wherein gold farming is sharecropped out to Filipino & Venezuelan slums" is an _extremely_ @GreatDismal story

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437

0

60

153

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David Hood

1 year

25% of crime is committed by 3 Marmosets in a trench coat.

@ColeyTangerina

Coley

@ColeyTangerina

1 year

You guys I am CRYING

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712

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David Hood

2 years

This evening I felt like looking up a crisis management graph with a selection of countries with easy to tell apart lines that are reasonably current.

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