TheLobbyistGuy @TheLobbyistGuy Twitter profile | Pikagi

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TheLobbyistGuy

@TheLobbyistGuy

1,014

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Following

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Bringing AI to K Street with @LobbyMaticAI

Washington DC

https://t.co/Nm3hbjBhlO

Joined June 2011

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@TheLobbyistGuy

TheLobbyistGuy

@TheLobbyistGuy

2 months

Politico Pro and BGOV are lousy products. @LobbyMaticAI was made by lobbyists, for lobbyists. Our capabilities are unmatched. See for yourself. Book a demo today at -

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LobbyMatic - AI Automation Platform for Lobbyists

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@TheLobbyistGuy

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@TheLobbyistGuy

1 year

@ScottAdamsSays And guess what? Those who do escape are stained with purple for days. Like dye packs at the bank. Makes for easy ID of bad guys.

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2 months

I see that the inflation Reduction Act is back on normie timelines again. The original budget estimate for the IRA was $369 billion, but recent projections suggest it could cost closer to $820 billion. Here's how that happened... 🧵

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10 days

@hamptonism Chinese researchers also cured diabetes like 5 times in the last year

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7 months

@deedydas If people cared, they wouldn’t use the products. I don’t.

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10 days

@JoshuaSteinman The babysitting apps in DC are filled with foreign spies as well. They end up with a literal key to the castle.

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11 days

@deedydas Natural gas pipeline welders in West Virginia are regularly making $280K

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11 days

@ScottAdamsSays Who publishes the "neck and neck" polls? The media. How do they make money? Advertising. Without close polls, political ad spending would be much lower.

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3 months

@burkov Tool calling, multi-agent swarms, RAG, context window loading, mixtures of models per the sub-task, etc etc. all mitigate this core weakness of LLMs to a great degree. Thus enabling them to be harnessed for tremendous benefit.

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10 days

@CoKeynesian And even if someone steels the blueprints, a top to bottom culture of quality control is required. Hence why China has had so much trouble with their military jet engine programs, often turning to Russia.

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15 days

@yashar Meanwhile, KSM has never been tried, much less sentenced, for that heinous act.

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7 months

@GaryMarcus Massive degradation in coding. The more “alignment” they do, the worse the performance gets.

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10 months

@burkov Everyone is curve fitting to these benchmarks that don’t represent reality when the models are used for actual work.

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5 months

@deedydas They give a whole new definition to sticky software. Unless your card goes down, they don't stop charging.

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19 days

@TurnerNovak @growing_daniel Bring in a new head of customer success who is more "hands on"

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11 days

@deedydas These people should be celebrated. They keep the lights on in America and are met with relative thanklessness.

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1 month

@MurrayHillBro22 - Gratitude journals - Constantly changing assortment of supplements and tinctures - Highlights in hair for no reason - “Luxury apartment” decorated in flat grey and pink - Netflix - More Netflix - Birth control pill (doesn’t actually take it) - Tri-Delt - A couple

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1 year

@lindynap I've known many people who have gotten a raise from $120K to $135K, then ended up working 10-20 additional hours per week, under much greater pressure. It amounts to working overtime, but only being paid minimum wage for the overtime hours.

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7 months

@AnthropicAI Why does Anthropic insist that their product needs to be totally harmless in all circumstances? The car manufacturer understands that the car could be used to run someone over. But they don’t limit the car’s speed to 3 mph. Why infantilize all users in the name of

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1 year

@AJA_Cortes There’s very little reality to any of this social media coping fantasy. My neighborhood has among the highest median incomes in the county and most all of the cars are worth $100K+ sticker. Even the “low key” ones.

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1 month

@Robotbeat Meanwhile

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10 days

@dkardonsky_ The truly viral AI gf app will: - Drag and drop archive of all texts with actual gf - Intake link to her IG and LinkedIn Clone actual GF minus any negative qualities… Then use an iMessage API, etc to make virtual comms indistinguishable from the real one, except better

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11 days

@VladTheInflator The money was already taxed, as income, before it went into the investment.

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1 month

@burkov Hallucinations can be solved if you use LLMs properly: As a computational substrate to process text, rather than a database of factual information.

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1 year

@BowTiedEffer So many cope comments. I know dozens of people with incomes over $500K/year, and live in a neighborhood full of them. The absolute lowest spec car I see is a Volvo XC-90 speced to $70K+. And most of the cars are north of $100K MSRP. With 3-4 in the driveway. Get real.

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26 days

@JamesSurowiecki This would also presumably subsidize wealthy people living in fire-prone California locales like Malibu

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6 months

@IAmDougLewis @svpino f(x)=max(0,x) outputs x for positive inputs and 0 for negative ones. Its efficiency, sparsity, and ability to address the vanishing gradient problem have made it foundational in the training deep networks, leading to scaling breakthroughs in AI.

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6 months

@itsandrewgao gpt2-chatbot is extremely censored. Which, while terribly unfortunate, lends credence to the idea that it comes from the likes of OpenAI. Rando model publishers don’t go through the trouble to censor their models to the extent that the creators of gpt2-chatbot have.

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2 months

@AlecStapp This thread goes through some of the individual stories of the Top 10 test scorers from India in a given year. Even more impressive than the raw stats.

@deedydas

Deedy

3 months

What are the top 10 ranks from IITJEE, the hardest exam in India, 1998 doing today? Abhinav Kumar, rank 1, didn't even go to IIT. — IMO Gold medalist — went to MIT to do 3 majors — PhD at Harvard — MIT Professor in Math — Probably made $100M+ at Renaissance Tech 1/10

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5 months

@deedydas Try to cancel your Jetbrains subscription and watch what happens.

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10 days

@jeffmason1 @KamalaHarris @joerogan @nanditab1 @VP

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7 months

@Anthony_Bonato Thankfully, both are useful when pricing financial derivatives.

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@TheLobbyistGuy

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2 months

Many of the Inflation Reduction Act tax credits are uncapped. There is no overall budget assigned to certain IRA tax credits. There's also no expiration. While some credits expire after say, 10 years, other IRA credits only expire after certain emissions targets are reached.

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7 months

@GaryMarcus Even if AGI arrived tomorrow, it would still be the case that only a vanishingly small percentage of people would put it towards any productive use. Most internet traffic is porn, retail shopping and cat videos. Why would AI be any different?

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10 days

@levelsio @SpaceX MBAs don’t bend the odds

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7 months

@deedydas So he wants to be in the “friend zone?”

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3 months

@bindureddy You are the queen of AI clickbait

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17 days

@netcapgirl I wish that Elon would buy LinkedIn and then just turn it off

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2 months

This confidentiality, which governs many of the most significant portions of the Inflation Reduction Act, makes it very difficult for the public, and even Congress, to monitor its implementation. And there's another complicating feature: Transferability.

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11 months

@annaarthoe More useful than most of the software put out by the 30 Under 30 crowd

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8 months

@soft_fox_lad Did gemini write that bizzare White House press release?

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7 months

@max_zadeh @deedydas I don’t use FB or Nflx products

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17 days

@rohitdotmittal Most founders are now some kind of blend between astroturfed brand ambassador and online influencer.

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9 months

@bindureddy Sad

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1 year

@shawngorham Everyone's been asking this question for the last 18 months or so, and I still haven't heard a good answer.

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8 months

@nikitabier Corollary to this: The person who is very eager to avail themselves to making introductions usually doesn’t have any useful introductions to make.

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@TheLobbyistGuy

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1 year

@tanayj Have any of the VC’s investing in Anthropic ever bothered to try their product? I’d guess not. Because their AI is worthless. It’s like FTX all over again.

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1 month

@trbrtc The iCom radios seem incredibly durable. I guess they really are "bombproof"

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2 months

The IRA makes heavy use of as-of-right tax credits. What does that mean? These credits allow companies to directly claim tax credits if they meet certain pre-defined eligibility criteria, bypassing any application or selection process.

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8 months

@realGeorgeHotz @ultradereks Interviewed a dev who was at Oracle for 10 years. He couldn’t tell me the difference between async and threading. Tech has gotten WAY too big for its own good.

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6 months

@bryancsk Everybody who signs up leaves with a degree. Including people with zero aptitude for software development.

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2 months

Unlike traditional grant programs (e.g. CHIPS+ Act), the IRA's tax credit approach prioritizes velocity, rather than exclusion of foreign entities. The rationale behind this was that solar panels, etc. are just far more commoditized than our most sensitive microprocessor

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2 months

Transferability allows companies to sell their tax credits to unrelated third parties for cash, tax-free. There is no requirement that companies disclose any details of these transfer transactions. You can read more about the specific structures of these transactions here:

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2 months

*One exception: In certain circumstances, the Chairs of House Ways & Means, Senate Finance CMTE + Joint Committee on Taxation can request and receive tax return information.

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2 months

Explaining the situation

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3 months

This research paper from Google Deepmind cost a staggering ~$12.9M in compute power That's per an estimate from Singapore-based ML researcher Sherman Chann:

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10 months

@Jason And this has undoubtedly paid dividends. Likely in ways that have often been unexpected.

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10 months

@NWischoff You're spot on. Lobbying firms from other countries have reached out to us at @LobbyMaticAI about using our software to help them launch a DC presence much more quickly than would be possible otherwise.

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1 year

@sweatystartup One of those loans is guaranteed by the government, and the other is not. Simple as that.

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1 month

@netcapgirl Definitely looks like something I’d pay Oracle $70M for

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2 months

@Jason I only buy a new iPhone when the battery in the old one wares out. I haven’t noticed any difference between them in 5 years.

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6 months

@GaryMarcus Verizon’s customer support call center was using a chatbot to try to get my TV running. It was worthless.

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20 days

@netcapgirl Best possible outcome tbh

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2 months

These as-of-right tax credits another major feature: total confidentiality. Who files for these credits? Who receives them? How much do they receive? All of that is subject to the same ironclad confidentiality rules that shield your own personal tax returns—even from

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7 months

@burkov It seems to be like they have some kind of load-balancing mechanism that dynamically quantizes the model. That (or something like it) is the only reasonable explanation for the wildly varying performance of GPT-4.

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1 month

@yashar It’s a tradition that dates back to at least WW1. Don’t count on it going away any time soon.

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3 months

@deedydas Very true in the private sector. But try telling that to CoS’ on Capitol Hill. Very different story there.

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1 year

@debarghya_das Canada's problem is that they've essentially legalized fraud, which leads to startups there being uninvestable

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1 year

@BowTiedEffer Exactly. Why go through the trouble of becoming rich just to go through the trouble of driving an old car?

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3 months

@aidan_mclau And all the click-bait X accounts will rave about it in ALL CAPS.

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10 days

@VladTheInflator My money is safe on the blockchain, with FTX.

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9 months

@StephNass They both look as though they were drafted in a templating software and don’t covey in a nuanced way why that particular VC is distinctly positioned to invest in their unique opportunity. They just position it as yet another SaaS co with upper mid-level metrics. Both emails

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7 months

@mattshumer_ For many normal people, handing them a chatbot would be like handing them a DOS terminal. Chatbots will not be the prevailing UX that delivers the power of LLMs to non-tech professionals. That’s why our app is heavily point-and-click.

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10 months

@hello__caitlin Obvious move to get kids on the product.

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1 month

@yacineMTB It really is easy. Hence why thousands of midwits pass it each year.

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15 days

@ConstanceGorton @yashar To be fair - I don’t think that their plan was to free him

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10 months

@snoopy_dot_jpg And insults your motherboard

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2 months

This thread doesn't even scratch the surface on all the pros and cons of different aspects of the Inflation Reduction Act, but hopefully you learned something.

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3 months

In light of recent events, the TSA doesn’t look so bad anymore.

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7 months

@alexalbert__ The best LLM users are people with a very fine-grained understanding of the English language.

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9 days

@deedydas The tough part with compilers is that there is no way to build incrementally cooler things from day 1 to keep yourself interested. Compiler engineers are a different breed.

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Understanding Compiler Optimization - Chandler Carruth - Opening...

Understanding Compiler OptimizationChandler CarruthOpening Keynote Meeting C++ 2015Slides: https://meetingcpp.com/files/mcpp/2015/talks/meetingcxx_2015-under...

www.youtube.com

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1 year

@Jason My dad’s entire polisci undergrad + law school was a total of like $6,500 (used books included). Early-mid 80’s.

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@brickywhat Seems like, on the whole, people in SF are getting exactly what they voted for. Am I wrong?

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14 days

@jasonlk The takeaway is that having extreme high crime is a choice. It’s a policy decision. If people got tough (a la anti-gang campaigns in the 90’s) — it could be over in a hurry.

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6 months

@abacaj One interesting finding: Llama-3-8B Q8 significantly outperforms Llama-3-70B Q4.

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3 months

@jjen_abel I'll add: You're actually having fun with it. And that joy/enthusiasm is contagious.

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12 days

@burkov When used optimally, LLM’s are useful as a computational substrate to process volumes of otherwise verified text data. They are really not good at being databases of factual information.

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1 year

Hypersonic missiles have proven to be not very effective in Ukraine. There’s likely to be major cuts to hypersonics in the final NDAA that’s set to pass before August.

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14 days

@jasonlk San Franciscans are getting what they voted for. We should be happy for them.

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18 days

@WillManidis @thesamparr One day you’re a boring guy who manages a teachers pension fund in Omaha. You invest in one of these funds. Next thing you know, you’re hanging out with the people from TV in Davos.

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2 months

So... How is the Inflation Reduction Act working out? The short answer is that no one really knows, exactly. Not yet at least. One thing we know for sure: The IRA has meant a surge of business for K Street, with thousands of companies vying to influence regulations around

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@Cernovich Happens all the time. DoD recently discovered they had bought a bunch of completely counterfeit Cisco switches and routers. “The devices were also identified in combat and non-combat operations of the U.S. Navy, U.S. Air Force, and U.S. Army, such as platforms supporting the

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@TheLobbyistGuy

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2 months

P.S. - If you're a lobbyist who needs to keep up with what's sure to be a frenetic tax policy season in 2025, there is no better tool than @LobbyMaticAI Learn more: -

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LobbyMatic - AI Automation Platform for Lobbyists

Supercharge your lobbying firm with our cutting-edge AI-powered platform. Automate tedious tasks, track legislative activity, analyze bills, and engage with stakeholders. Your new AI lobbying engine...

www.lobbymatic.com

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7 months

Why does Anthropic insist that their product needs to be totally harmless in all circumstances? The car manufacturer understands that the car could be used to run someone over. But they don’t limit the car’s speed to 3 mph. Why infantilize all users in the name of

@AnthropicAI

Anthropic

7 months

New Anthropic research paper: Many-shot jailbreaking. We study a long-context jailbreaking technique that is effective on most large language models, including those developed by Anthropic and many of our peers. Read our blog post and the paper here:

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@AnthropicAI Unfortunately, Claude is too censored for this You have ablated many of the chemistry-related circuits necessary to do anything useful in the medical field All in the name of preventing a “how to make [fill in the blank] illicit drug” screenshot from going viral

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2 months

The IRS rulemakings on the implementation of the Inflation Reduction Act have been at the center of hundreds of millions of dollars worth of lobbying in recent years. For example: carmakers jousted over Section 30D, which had major implications for EV tax credits. Ultimately,

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9 months

@jayvas I blame the VC's. Most of these companies were farcical on day one.

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2 months

As you might imagine, the mining industry was seriously engaged on IRA Section 30D as well, given the location of lithium deposits around the world.

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6 months

@jjen_abel @thisischarlied Very much the case with us

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1 month

@rexsalisbury The historically low amount of competition for tradesman has terrible consequences.

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3 months

@KTmBoyle Politicians are cut from a different cloth. Normal people who haven’t been in their midst can’t even begin to grasp the concept.

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