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Strider Elass Profile
Strider Elass

@StriderElass

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497
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Senior Economist at First Trust Portfolios. Love Jesus, family, investing, real estate, soccer and golf very much.

San Diego, CA
Joined April 2009
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
Coumo "Our way worked in New York" Seriously?!?! I don't want any part of that way...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
The Domestic Box office (movie theaters) brought in a whopping $5,179 for the week of Mar 20-26. Down 100% from $204,193,406 the same week a year ago... These numbers are just incredible.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
1 year
What we have in Washington D.C. is not a revenue problem its a spending problem! If the government confiscated the net worth of the Forbes 400 richest (which was $4.0 trillion in 2022) that would only run the government for a little over 7 months. (1/5)
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
The 2017-2018 flu season was one of the worst in recent history. 643 kids 0-17 died from it. 94 kids aged 0-17 have died with or from COVID-19 and yet we have shut down most schools. Why didn't this matter in 2017-2018? Or maybe we were just more rational...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
I’ll just leave this here...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
The 7-day moving average for COVID-19 deaths is down to 635. Besides the last few days, this is the lowest since June 27th of last year. WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT THIS?!?!?! If we break under 600 it'll be the lowest since April 1st 2020. Basically when the pandemic began!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
1 year
History is full of economic and societal collapses. The Incan and Roman societies disappeared, the Ottoman Empire fell apart, the United Kingdom saw the pound lose its reserve currency status. So, anyone who says the US, and the dollar, couldn’t face the same fate doesn’t pay
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
9 months
F1 track in Vegas. Going to be awesome!!! @F1 #Formula1 #f1lasvegas
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
So far 331 people in Chicago have been murdered this year. That brings the total to 2,952 since 2018. That’s more US deaths than occurred in the War in Afghanistan where 2,461 tragically died over a 20 year period! What is Lori Lightfoot doing?
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
New CDC Infection Fatality Rates 0-19 years: 0.003% 20-49 years: 0.02% 50-69 years: 0.5% 70+ years: 5.4% If these are accurate, at any of these age ranges, you have a higher risk of dying in a given year from all other causes than from COVID-19.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Schools need to be fully open next year. When will we start following the data?!?!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
It took: 34 years for a Chickenpox vaccine 15 years for a HPV vaccine 9 years for a Measles vaccine 7 years for a Polio vaccine 4 years for a Mumps vaccine but only 11 MONTHS for a COVID-19 vaccine Incredible how far we have come in a year when you really think about it!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
8 months
YTD through the end of October, the S&P 500 was up 10.66% with the Magnificent 7 (MSFT, NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, META, TSLA) making up more than 100% of the YTD return, meaning the other 493 companies combined were DOWN for the year. Then November happened... the S&P 500 rose
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
1 year
If Dems were able to raise the top marginal rate to 100% instead of 37% today, and the 39.6% they're hoping, that would impact 922,362 filers based on the latest data we have which is through the 2020 tax year. That would just bring in an extra $580.7 billion, and that’s if
@jimiuorio
jim iuorio
1 year
This is an amazing level of economic ignorance. Mind blowing…
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Great news! 73.1% of those 65 and older have had at least one covid-19 vaccine. 49.8% have been fully vaccinated! This group of people make up 16.3% of US population but have been over 80% of Covid-19 deaths
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
1 year
In California, 4.3% of tax payers, or only 783,982 returns pay 68.3% of personal income taxes. It seems like these are the people you would want to hold on to! Yet, every policy that comes out is to the opposite! This is how you ruin a state. The beauty and weather of
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Been in meetings all day. I see the S&P 500 was up 0.28%. Pretty uneventful day…
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
“I don’t want to punish anyone’s success; I’m a capitalist,” President Biden said in a speech Thursday. “All I’m asking is, pay your fair share.”
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
Gundlach said we were in a bear market December 17th 2018 after the S&P 500 was already down 11%. That's all I heard for weeks. Then, he doubled down again in March. So far listening to him has only cost you 23.1%, and that's not including dividends! @ScottWapnerCNBC
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
435 companies in the S&P 500 have now reported earnings for Q4. 75.6% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are up 28.3% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 19.8% YOY at start. So far, revenues are up 15.6% YOY. Great numbers.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
@LoriPow73 rounded...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
This is embarrassing. She moves on so fast once she realizes she has no idea.
@CalebJHull
Caleb Hull
5 years
Maxine Waters appears to not know that the government nationalized students loans 10 years ago despite chairing a committee that regulates the banks...?
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
"Make no mistake, inflation is largely the fault of Putin.” - President Biden Has the president looked at the data? CPI YOY Sep '21 +5.4% Oct '21 +6.2% Nov '21 +6.8% Dec '21 +7.1% Jan '22 +7.5% Feb '22 +7.9% Mar '22 +8.5%
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Daily reminder that Milton Friedman was right.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
If we reported the fatality rate for the flu in the US like we are the coronavirus (deaths/postive tests) it would be 7 times worse than the coronavirus! What matters though is the total people that have have been infected... take look at the chart below.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
On Jan 9 '22 there was a record 109 containerships waiting to be unloaded at the ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles. This number has improved, down to 41 waiting today. Pre-pandemic normal there were 0-1 waiting so still have a long way to go but slowly improving.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Earnings update: 458/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q1 (90.2% of market cap). 77.3% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are +9.2% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 5.2% YOY at start. Revenues are +12.9%. Another solid quarter!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Earnings update: 437/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q1 (88.1% of market cap). 78.5% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are +9.3% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 5.2% YOY at start. Revenues are +12.9%. Another solid quarter!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
I don’t get why you suspended @wesbury for this @twitter … 1. There have been more COVID deaths in 2021 than in 2020. 2. So far it seems omicron strain is much more mild. 3. the Great Reset is a title of a book by Klaus Schwab. What’s the problem??
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Earnings update: 330/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q1 (79.0% of market cap). 80% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are +8.2% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 5.2% YOY at start. Revenues are +12.3%. Another solid quarter so far.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
With 203 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 having reported for Q4. 81.3% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are only down 0.3% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating -8.8% YOY at the start. Revenues are up 0.9% from a year ago. $spx #earnings
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
457/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q2 (91.3% of market cap). 75.5% have surprised to the upside. Earnings so far are +7.7% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 4.1% YOY at start. Revenues so far are +13.5% YOY. What recession?!?
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Biden just said they are releasing with other countries 60 million barrels of strategic oil reserves to lower gas prices. Does he realize that’s not even one day of world oil consumption?!? The world consumes around 97 million barrels a day.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Something to be thankful for! 487 companies in the S&P 500 have now reported earnings for Q3. 81.5% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are up 40.9% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 28.4% YOY at start. So far, revenues are up 17.3% YOY. Happy Thanksgiving!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
"Make no mistake, inflation is largely the fault of Putin.” - President Biden Has the president looked at the data? CPI YOY Sep '21 +5.4% Oct '21 +6.2% Nov '21 +6.8% Dec '21 +7.0% Jan '22 +7.5% Feb '22 +7.9%
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
Real me­dian house­hold in­come hit $65,084 (in 2019 $) for the 12 mo. end­ing in July. The high­est ever and +$4,144, or 6.8%, since Mr. Trump took of­fice. From the end of the re­ces­sion in June 2009 through Jan­uary 2017—it rose only about $1,000.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
If Putin is code word for Money Supply, then yes the growth in Putin is what's driving prices higher.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
In 2018, there were 1.7 million workers making at or below the fed minimum wage. that is out of a total of 140.1 million wage and salary workers. So only 1.22% of total workers were making federal minimum wage or below. The lowest since at least 1979 (as far back as the data go).
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
'20 Powell - Inflation is transitory '21 Q1 Powell - Inflation is transitory, trust us '21 Q2 Powell - Inflation is transitory, no really, trust us '21 Q3 Powell - Inflation is transitory, really, really! Current Powell - there are many definitions of transitory
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
UPDATE: 490 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q2. Earnings are up 2.1% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating -2.9% YOY at the start. Just like Q1, earnings will ended up positive. The much feared earnings recession is not real. $spx #earnings
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
1 year
In 2022 Government revenue hit 19.2% of GDP, the 2nd highest reading behind 2000 (19.8%) going back all the way to 1950. The big difference: 2000 saw a $236 billion surplus. 2022 saw a $1.38 trillion deficit! Government spending is the issue plain and simple!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Hearing that masks are working in California... When will it end? Do they believe people are that ignorant?!?! People look at the DATA!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
Gundlach said we were in a bear market December 17th after the S&P 500 was already down 11%. That's all I heard for weeks. Then, he doubled down again in March. So far listening to him has only cost you 19.4%, and that's not including dividends!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
"For the time is coming when people will not endure sound teaching, but having itching ears they will accumulate for themselves teachers to suit their own passions, and will turn away from listening to the truth and wander off into myths." 2 Timothy 4:3-4
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
An ugly day for markets but more solid earnings. 135/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q1 (28.7% of market cap). 79.3% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are +7.4% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 5.2% YOY at start. Revenues are +11.5%
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
It’s time to open schools. If we are afraid of COVID-19 deaths for school-aged kids, we should be terrified of flu and pneumonia deaths! If we don’t close for flu and pneumonia why for COVID-19? Data is from the CDC and covers the period from 2/1/2020 to 7/15/2020.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Final Q4 '21 Earnings tweet: 498 companies in the S&P 500 have reported earnings for Q4. 75.3% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are up 28.9% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 19.8% YOY at start. revenues are up 16.1% YOY. Another very strong quarter!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
1 year
Just read a Washington times article titled “Biden to hike payments for good-credit homebuyers to subsidize high-risk mortgages” thought there is no way this is true. So went to the FHFA. It’s true… what is happening?!?! @wesbury @BobStein_FT Link to the FHFA release below:
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
The max drawdown for the S&P 500 this year has been 5.2% but it has been a much different story for the stocks within the index: 93% saw > 10% drawdown 38% saw > 20% drawdown 11% saw > 30% drawdown 4% saw > 40% drawdown 1% saw > 50% drawdown
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
At the airport right now... 6ft distance floor stickers being removed. More progress! Love to see it.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
9 months
As of 10/26 the S&P 500 index total return YTD is 9.17% Here are the contributions to that return: MSFT: 2.07 NVDA: 1.95 AAPL: 1.78 GOOG: 1.16 META: 1.14 AMZN: 0.97 TSLA: 0.67 The other 493 companies: -0.57 These 7 companies now account for the entire YTD gain.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
Currently, there are only 2 states (GA, MS) that have more than 20% of their inpatient hospital beds occupied by COVID-19 patients. There are currently 25 states that have less than 5% of their inpatient hospital beds occupied by COVID-19.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Why is no one talking about this? As of 5/24/21, The 7-day moving average for COVID-19 deaths was 457, the lowest since 3/30/20. Deaths on a 7-day moving average over the entire pandemic have only been lower 29 other days, all in March of '20 when the virus first took off.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Her Majesty, the Queen was incredibly kind to me and my sister when I was just a kid. She allowed us to come around the barrier and give her flowers. It’s a memory I’ll never forget and something she definitely didn’t have to do. She served her country with dignity and grace!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
9 months
As of 11/3 the S&P 500 index total return YTD is 15.01% Here are the contributions to that return: MSFT: 2.69 NVDA: 2.35 AAPL: 2.26 GOOG: 1.55 AMZN: 1.52 META: 1.35 TSLA: 0.80 The other 493 companies: 2.49
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
this is incredible...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Just because the Fed is going to start hiking does not mean that equities are doomed... Take a look over the past few decades.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Earnings update: 40/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q2 (11.2% of market cap). 65.0% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are +4.2% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 4.1% YOY at start. Revenues so far are +10.0% YOY.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
UPDATE: 327 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q2. Earnings are up 3.4% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating -2.9% YOY. Just like Q1, earnings will end up positive. And again, the much feared earnings recession is not real. $spx #earnings
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Biden proposing a capital gains tax of 39.6% is old news. He ran on this and it's not likely to happen. The REAL news today is that 116 companies for the S&P 500 have reported earnings for Q1 and 75% have beat expectations with earnings up 50.45% YOY.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Today, the average Millennial household, at age 32, has a net worth of $196,000. Back when Gen Xers were age 32, they had an inflation-adjusted $158,000. Our MMO today: Respect Millennials!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
Nailed the 36,000 call! Forecasted it 5 years ago to happen in 4-5 years. And here we are. What a run…
@wesbury
Brian Wesbury
3 years
All I can say is that this Wesbury 101 aged well. From December 6, 2016…Get Ready for Dow 36,000!!!!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
10 months
Supposing the Democrats successfully increased the top marginal tax rate from the current 37% to an extraordinary 100%, this policy change would impact 922,362 taxpayers based on the most recent data available, extending through the 2020 tax year. Such a change would generate
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
11 pm in St Andrews Scotland
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
The state of Texas produces more oil on a daily basis today than the entire United States produced on a daily basis in 2008! Texas would be the 4th biggest oil producing country today if it were its own country. Capitalism at work. #texas #oil
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
437/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported so far in Q3 (89.6% of market cap). 70.3% have surprised to the upside. Earnings so far are +4.4% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 2.6% YOY at start. Revenues so far are +10.8% YOY.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
This would be almost comical if not so devious. Newsom ordered the lockdown on CA December 3rd due to 2,147 Covid-19 patients in the ICU. Crushed business again. Now there are 4,542 in the ICU but it’s OK to open back up. What has changed besides Dems now in control? I’m serious?
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
9 months
The top 1% is comprised of roughly 1.6 million income tax returns, and make 22% of total adjusted gross income, but they shoulder a significant 42.3% of the overall federal income tax burden. Conversely, the bottom half, consisting of nearly 79 million income tax returns, makes
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
6 years
WOW! Initial claims for unemployment insurance fell to 199,000 last week. Lowest in 49 years! No sign of recession.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Out of the 143 people on my flight today, 15 were wearing masks. No flight attendants and no pilots wearing them.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
Microsoft, Apple, Google, and Amazon are all over $1 trillion. What do their initials spell?!? #MAGA looks like @realDonaldTrump knew this would happen!! 😂
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
It's important not to let your political views impact your long term financial decisions. Every election I hear "If my candidate does not win, I'm out of the market!" If you only invested during periods when your party was in office, you would have missed out on major returns.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
474 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q1. Earnings are up 0.7% from a year ago. Overall consensus is was estimating -4.1% YOY at the beginning of the quarter. Much better than thought. $spx #earnings
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
100 years ago everyone owned a horse and only the rich had cars. Today everyone has cars and only the rich own horses.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
If “Putin” is code word for Money Supply, then yes the growth in Putin is what's driving prices higher.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
357/500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q2 (79.8% of market cap). 75.1% have surprised to the upside. Earnings so far are +7.3% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 4.1% YOY at start. Revenues so far are +12.8% YOY. What recession?!?
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
The excitement from #bitcoin believers about BTC becoming more widely able to transact with is so strange to me. If you could buy a car today for $47,000 or 1 BTC why would you ever choose BTC if you thought BTC was going higher? You’d want to only transact in dollars.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
What we’re supposed to be investing for is not the near-term prices of stocks, but the long-term values of companies. This is the first step in escaping the maelstrom of hysterical noise that threatens to engulf us in sheer terror at times like this. - Nick Murray
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
California doctors say they've seen more deaths from suicide than coronavirus since lockdowns
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
One chart that summarizes 2020 perfectly. The week of March 15th-21st was maximum interest in Coronavirus in the USA via Google Trends. The S&P 500 bottomed that following Monday, March 23rd. As fear continues to abate, the market continues to rip higher.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
"You cannot subsidize irresponsibility and expect people to become more responsible." -Thomas Sowell
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
It’s amazing how everyone thinks they know know to spend Elon’s money better than @elonmusk does himself! Government feels the exact same about yours!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
286 companies in the S&P 500 have now reported earnings for Q4. 75.5% have surprised to the upside. Earnings are up 26.6% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating 19.8% YOY at start. So far, revenues are up 14.9% YOY. Great numbers.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
We probably hit peak inflation in March at 8.5% YOY. I don’t think that matters. The issue is we have persistent high inflation that could last for years to come. We are forecasting 6% this year and 5% for next...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
Citi came out and said oil will collapse to $65 per barrel! JPM thinks it could go to $380 per barrel! I’ll forecast it falls somewhere in between
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
So far 218 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported for Q2. Earnings are up 4.8% from a year ago. Overall, consensus was estimating -2.9% YOY. We think just like Q1, earnings will end up positive. And again, the much feared earnings recession is not real. $spx #earnings
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
2 years
COVID-19 cases bottomed Mar 19 at 26,752 on a 7-day moving average. they have continued to grow since then, now at 74,712 on a 7-day moving average. But NO ONE IS TALKING ABOUT THIS. I think that is a positive sign that although its still here, media has moved on. Great news.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
6 years
President @realDonaldTrump is not far off pace of his goal to add 10 million jobs in 4 years. 23 months in, the economy has added 4,567,000 jobs, only 225,000 behind the projection!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
3 years
👇👇👇👇
@KoenSwinkels
Koen
3 years
Read this. You won't regret it.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
It is really fascinating to me that the flu is basically non-existent this year... I wonder what was going on in 2015-16 too?
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
O’Hare airport is absolutely packed! People are traveling...
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
1 of 3 In 2019 Americans consumed an average of 389,680,000 gallons of gas every day. so, a one cent decline in the price of gas saves consumers $3.9 million per day, and $1.424 billion per year.
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
5 years
Smart move Japan... @wesbury
@CNBCi
CNBC International
5 years
Japan ends longstanding trade restrictions on American beef, setting stage for exports to grow
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
6 years
On this day in 1998, The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 513 points, what was then its second-worst point drop ever. The front page of the New York Post screamed, "KISS YOUR ASSETS GOODBYE!" By year end, the Dow was 22% higher. @WSJ
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
My grandpa is the most incredible person I’ve ever known. He has been battling COVID-19 and pneumonia in the hospital. Looking at some of his stuff and found 100s of notes just like this one. “Yes! I noticed... treat everybody like they are lonely...” this is how he’s lived
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
This could be huge news!
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
6 years
So far 315 of the 500 companies in the S&P 500 have reported now for Q2, earnings are up 23.2% from a year ago. Overall consensus is estimating +21.7% YOY in Q2! consensus keeps moving higher as more companies report! $spx #EarningsSeason
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@StriderElass
Strider Elass
4 years
This stimulus package passed by the house makes me sick to my stomach. The damage it will cause to the economy will be felt for years. Extending federal unemployment payments of $600 a week till January 31st will cause unemployment to stay VERY high. Huge incentive to not work.
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