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Sahan Research

@SahanResearch

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Pathfinders in Policy and Practice

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Joined February 2013
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 month
Our editorial last Friday on the possibility of negotiations between Somalia's federal government and Al-Shabaab in The Somali Wire. To read more editorials like the one below, contact info @sahanresearch .net for more details.
@RAbdiAnalyst
Rashid Abdi
1 month
Somalia is embarked on a fraught path towards negotiations with Al-Shabaab brokered by Qatar. In this commentary in The Somali Wire, Matt Bryden looks at what a settlement with AS might look like, who wins, who loses. Best analysis you will read on this topic for a long time.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
Well deserved recognition Prof @RAbdiAnalyst . Those privileged enough to know the man truly appreciate and respect what you stand for and defend. Kudos
@RAbdiAnalyst
Rashid Abdi
2 years
Ethiopian trolls call me "terrorist". Rest of the world gives me accolades for "defending human progress and civilisation" and thought leadership on counter-terrorism. Thanks to the Arab League, University of Naif, and the Kenyan National Counter-terrorism Centre (NCTC).
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
7 months
#Ethiopian PM Abiy Ahmed is expected to visit Berbera this week to finalise the MoU between Ethiopia and #Somaliland over port access and recognition. Demeke Mekonnen, Deputy PM, has already arrived in Hargeisa. Abiy will be the first sitting Ethiopian leader to visit Somaliland
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
This feature of the Ethiopia Cable titled “The Gambler” is a must read. To become a subscriber contact dailybulletin @Sahanresearch .net
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
“Sanctions should be reimposed on Issaias Afwerki’s regime” Says a new cover by @TheEconomist ⁩. Fearless reporting by one of most reputable outlets.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
H.E Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is once again the president of Somalia. The disastrous Farmajo era has come to an end.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
Tigrayan Forces Parade captured Ethiopian Soldiers Through the Regional Capital Mek’ele as reported by ⁦ @nytimes ⁩ ⁦⁦ @declanwalsh ⁩ 👉🏽
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Fano militants robbed a convoy carrying essential medical supplies on its way to Mekelle on the 21st in Kobo, Amhara region.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
Sahan categorically and comprehensively rejects yesterday's verdict of the Banaadir regional court; we don't need to break any laws in the course of our research and we have never done so. Full statement below.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
Mercenaries or militias? Governments in the Horn of Africa are weighing their options.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
What does Fano stand for? A deeper dive into the myriad origins of today's Fano, the militia fighting the Federal Government of Ethiopia in the Amhara region. To read more editorials such as these, subscribe to our daily publications-- #Amhara #Fano
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
Latest Editorial of the Somali wire.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
Sahan congratulates H.E. President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud on his electoral victory and the people of Somalia for having voted for change. #somalia
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
10 months
Kenyan President William Ruto has appointed Abdiweli Muhamed Hussain as High Commissioner to Hargeisa, Somaliland. This move signals a positive step in cooperation between #Kenya and #Somaliland , which has been striving for international recognition for over three decades.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
The Sheba leather factory in Tigray has been completely destroyed due to the war according to an assessment done by the Confederation of Ethiopian Trade Unions. The factory employed 1200 people whose current status is unknown.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
NISA murders Ikran Tahlil, a whistleblower to ensure her silence. #justiceforIkran ⁦⁦ @BBCWorld ⁩ ⁦ @AlJazeera ⁩ ⁦ @nytimes ⁩ ⁦⁦ @washingtonpost
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
7 months
After 10 years, #Egypt has officially withdrawn from Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam tripartite negotiations. The move follows months of stalemate and worsening relations with #Ethiopia .
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
5 months
Does the new Turkey-Somalia maritime security pact radically change the rationale for Somaliland and Ethiopia's MoU? Most likely not for several reasons. Principal among them are the close bilateral ties between Ethiopia and Turkey.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
4 months
Two British Conservative MPs have travelled to #Somaliland , where they pledged support for its independence. The Government of Somaliland regards itself as the successor state to British Somaliland.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
4 months
Our editorial yesterday on the passage of the revisions to Chapters 1-4 of #Somalia ’s Provisional Constitution and why it is not the historic success that some have claimed it is.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
4 months
Former Somali President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo's driver has reportedly defected to Al-Shabaab after selling a bulletproof car and fleeing to Jubaland. Just a few months ago, another driver to a former speaker of parliament also joined the militant group.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Resettlement is taking place in various areas of Amhara region, in occupied Western Tigray. 16,000 households have been transported from Gojam, Armachoho and Northern Gonder.The purpose is reportedly to change the demographics of the controversial territory writes @tigraitv
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Earlier this week we wrote about the outbreak of armed clashes in Laas Aanood, the drivers and potential solutions.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
9 months
In today's Somali Wire piece, we shed light on how the Somali government's discrimination against minority communities, like the Bantu, and selective justice undermine the fight against Al-Shabaab.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
“The insurgency in Oromia predates the conflict in Tigray… The new Oromo discontent is impelled by a profound sense of betrayal & disaffection with the Abiy admin.” An important piece on the ongoing conflict in Oromia. Today's editorial in the Ethiopia Cable.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
Today Editorial of the Somaliwire recognizes the achievements of the late GREAT ⁦ @engyarisow ⁩ while also touching on the adoption of extremist agendas as a norm in Somalia.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Fano is an Amhara nationalist militia, responsible for displacing thousands of civilians across Tigray, Oromia, and Benishangul-Gumuz. Repeated attempts to disband the decentralised militia have so far failed, with the group maintaining a popular base among the Amhara
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Join us for an intensive training seminar on Somalia, with a series of uniquely informed, in-depth presentations on the root causes, structural influences, and proximal drivers of the 🇸🇴 crisis, with ample opportunity for questions and discussions with our experts. Link in bio
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Save your spot today for our 2-day intensive and interactive training seminar on Somalia. Examine Somalia’s trajectory from the colonial period through independence into state collapse and civil war, emphasising on today's challenges in an international context. Link in bio
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
7 months
#Ethiopia has dismissed the #Arab League statement criticising its MoU with Somaliland, calling in "an attempt to interfere with the internal affairs & sovereignty of Ethiopia." Insists that the Arab League serves the "interest of few."
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
According to the Tigray Interim Administration, Eritrean forces remain entrenched in several woredas and kebeles. The new administration said that it could not take full control of the region while Eritrean and Fano forces continue to occupy a substantial part of Tigray.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
Proud of our 500th issue of the Somali Wire, covering the importance of tax reform in Somalia.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Ethiopia's Council of Ministers have announced an immediate State of Emergency in the #Amhara region following deadly clashes between Fano militants and security forces. Reports of heavy weapons use, blocked internet access, and significant violence across the region.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
We’re pleased to announce the first training event for diplomats and senior leaders in November. See below for more details.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 months
Tensions between the regional South West administration and #Mogadishu are further likely to increase as a result of this push for the ENDF to withdraw. Particularly considering that the Somali National Army does not have the capacity to fill the vacuum of the withdrawing forces.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 months
Fascinating session on starvation as a weapon of war by Alex de Waal at Sahan’s Training Seminar on Sudan.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
8 months
Our take on the UNSC lifting of the arms embargo in Somalia in yesterday's Somali Wire editorial. Subscribe today to our publications here--
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
4 months
Sahan is pleased to announce our upcoming Training Seminar on Sudan on the 11-12 June. Speakers will include Prof. Alex de Waal and Prof. Rashid Abdi. Register your interest via this link:
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
Today we celebrate Mashujaa day with all Kenyans.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
8 months
Despite calls for reinstatement, the #Ethiopian federal government has decided not to restore hundreds of Tigrayan police officers removed during the #Tigray conflict. Human Rights First Ethiopia has revealed that 730 federal police and 540 Addis Ababa police remain sidelined.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
Watch Sahan Research’s Strategic Advisor Matt Bryden speak to @AJEnglish on the ceasefire in Tigray. Link to full interview 👉🏼
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Sahan Research
1 month
In a widely expected move, Jubaland's regional parliament has voted to extend presidential terms and remove the two-term limit, allowing incumbent Ahmed Madoobe to run again. Madoobe has led Jubaland since its formation in 2013.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
The Ethiopian parliament has removed the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) from the list of terrorist entities.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
8 months
The #Tigray Interim Administration has rejected federal calls for a referendum to resolve the ongoing occupation of western Tigray by #Amhara forces. Well over a million Tigrayans have been displaced from western Tigray since 2020 and remain unable to return to their homes.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Somali forces carry out operations in Ruun Nirgood in Middle Shabelle. This follows President @HassanSMohamud ’s visit to the area.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
6 months
#Tigray 's Irob district official says that despite the Pretoria agreement between Tigray and #Ethiopia , #Eritrea 's army still occupies 60% of the district. The road to #Adigrat remains closed by the Eritrean army. This comes amid a punishing drought and limited international aid
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 month
Talks between senior Ethiopian and Somali officials have begun in Ankara today as mediators seek to cool diplomatic tensions over the Ethiopia-Somaliland MoU. Villa Somalia is purportedly preparing to offer the use of Hobyo Port if Addis withdraws from the MoU.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 months
Day Two at Sahan Training Seminar on Sudan. Alex de Waal, Kholood Khair, and Jonas Horner discussing the lessons of previous peace tracks for today’s armed conflict. Emphasis on the importance of ‘defining the problem,’ listening to the Sudanese, and unifying mediation.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
10 months
United Nations Security Council announces a one-month delay to withdrawal of 3,000 African Union forces while negotiations happen between AU and Government of Somalia.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 months
Somaliland President Muse Bihi Abdi has said that the Ethiopia-SL MoU would “allow Somaliland to support international efforts to secure freedom of navigation in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea.” Vessels have come under repeated attacks from Yemeni Houthi rebels in recent months
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
8 months
In the latest incident in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, a UK-owned ship has been hit by rocket fire. The unnamed Bahamas-flagged vessel was “struck by a rocket” while sailing off Yemen’s western coast, the maritime security firm Ambrey has said.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
intv-ken-Matt Bryden14-271221 | Al Jazeera Media View. Watch Sahan Research’s Strategic Advisor on ⁦ @AlJazeera ⁩ as he unpacks the ongoing political situation in Somalia.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
8 months
#ATMIS has announced that it will now withdraw 3,000 soldiers from Somalia and hand over ten Forward Operating Bases to Somalia's security forces by 2023's end. The delay in September followed major losses to the Somali National Army in August.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 years
Somalia’s armed forces court sentenced 3 traditional elders to a 5yr sentence after the defendants met and reached an agreement with Al-Shabaab. This sentencing is the first of its kind against such dealings with AS, another effort by the FGS to tighten the noose around AS.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
2 months
Friends, colleagues, and Excellencies at the re-launch meeting of the Sahan and IGAD ‘Countering-Improvised Explosive Devices’ project at the US Embassy in Nairobi. Great turnout and support for a sensitive and important project that developed a regional C-IED strategy.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
11 months
Burundian African Union forces handed over a Forward Operating Base to Somali forces on Sunday. The transition marks the beginning of the 2nd round of the drawdown of @ATMIS_Somalia , which will withdraw 3,000 #AU peacekeepers by the end of September.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
6 months
Drought and hunger are worsening in #Ethiopia 's Afar region. At least 330,000 are in need of emergency food aid, while the Ethiopian Disaster Risk Management Commission has said that over 50k quintals of food aid will be needed in the next two months.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Talks between the Ethiopian government and the Oromo Liberation Army have begun in Zanzibar, according to an IGAD spokesperson. Negotiations facilitated by the Norwegian and Kenyan governments are aimed at resolving the Oromia conflict peacefully.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
6 months
Read below our editorial today on the constitutional review process in Somalia and the apparent lack of scrutiny. To read more editorials like this- subscribe to our publications here:
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Sahan Research
3 months
The US suspends food rations to Danab, Somali special forces unit, due to corruption scandal. Fuel support may also be halted pending further investigations.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
8 months
The #UN Security Council is due to vote on lifting Somalia's arms embargo. The council is expected to adopt two British-drafted resolutions today, diplomats have said. One to fully remove the arms embargo on #Somalia and another to reimpose an arms embargo on Al Shabaab.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
11 months
The Federal Government of #Somalia has formally written to the UN Security Council requesting a three-month “technical pause” in the drawdown of 3,000 AU forces. The government reportedly cited recent military setbacks in central Somalia and logistical setbacks as the cause.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Civil and military leaders of the TPLF have been released from prison. Among those confirmed to have been released are Keria Ibrahim, Dr. Abraham Keste, and Dr. Addisalem Balema, all members of the TPLF Executive Committee.
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1 year
Ethio-Djibouti public diplomacy consultation forum is underway in Addis Ababa, bringing together hundreds of delegation members. Discussions focus on migration, climate change, Ethiopia's Green Legacy initiative, and responses to climate-induced impact. #Ethiopia #Djibouti
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5 months
The 2024 Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Community has warned that despite the Pretoria agreement that ended a two-year war in Ethiopia, the "unresolved territorial issues could lead to a resumption of conflict." Eritrean and Amhara forces occupy a swathe of Tigray.
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1 year
Welcome to our new periodic podcast ‘Pathfinders!’ In the first episode, Lynn Fredriksson and Rashid Abdi discuss Somalia’s security situation ahead of the federal governments offensive against Al-Shabaab. Click below to listen!
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Today's Somali Wire Editorial on the encroachment of Al-Shabaab on Forward Operating Bases in Somalia. Subscribe here:
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6 months
Tigray's Interim Administration in #Ethiopia has insisted that there is no agreement to hold a referendum to re-determine its borders with the neighbouring Amhara region. Well, over a million people have been displaced from Western Tigray, and Amhara forces occupy the region.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
11 months
Police have arrested 7 bishops leading the “Oromia Orthodox Synod” in #Bishoftu . This comes amid widening religious rifts within the ancient Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahedo Synod. The Orthodox Church in Tigray split earlier this year and has anointed its own bishops #Ethiopia #EOTC
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Sahan Research
11 months
A senior Al-Shabaab leader, Nur Abdullahi, has surrendered to the Somali National Army Forces. He was the former senior commander of AS in the Mudug region. The federal government has extended amnesty to Al-Shabaab defectors amid its ongoing offensive campaign #Mudug #Somalia
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
10 months
South West State opposition politicians have met with Mukhtar Mohamed, the #Ethiopian Ambassador to #Somalia in Mogadishu. They reportedly discussed the upcoming regional presidential elections and concerns over SWS President Laftagareen's potential use of force.
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Sahan Research
4 months
Catriona Laing, the United Nations Special Representative of the Secretary-General for #Somalia , will be leaving her post on 21 May 2024, having served just one year in post. The reasons for her departure are confirmed, but the announcement comes amid tensions with #Mogadishu .
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Sahan Research
2 months
Acting mapping on Sudan with Kholood Khair and Jonas Horner this morning at Sahan’s Training Seminar.
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Sahan Research
11 months
Puntland President Said Abdullahi Deni arrived in #Nairobi two nights ago after a 50-day absence, mainly in the #UAE . He plans to meet with UNSOM head and South West President Laftgareen. The regional presidents are facing significant internal opposition over electoral processes.
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7 months
#Somalia 's controversial NISA director, Mahad Salad, is expected to step down in the coming days and run for president of #Galmudug . The regional presidential election is expected in the coming weeks, with current President QoorQoor ramping up preparations.
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5 months
Want to read a daily analysis of Somalia and the Horn of Africa? Subscribe to our publications at for a one-month free trial. Our topics cover governance, security, elections, economics, and humanitarian crises, among others, in this tumultuous period.
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@SahanResearch
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6 months
Turkey and Djibouti have signed three defence cooperation agreements this week. This follows the Turkey-Somalia defence pact that was ratified by the federal parliament and ministers yesterday. Rising tensions and competing alliances on the Red Sea continue unabated.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
3 years
Today's editorial on Sahan’s Ethiopia Cable focuses on the unconscious bias in reporting by international media on the need for more critical reporting on Tigray's existential struggle against the Ethiopian government's attempts to bombard and starve its people into submission.
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9 months
#Somalia 's President Hassan Sheikh convened a special cabinet meeting to address Somalia's devastating flood crisis. With more than 31 lives lost and hundreds of thousands displaced, urgent assistance is crucial.
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1 year
Somalia’s @SNAForce killed 23 Al-Shabaab in an anti-terror operations in remote villages in #Kismayo , these include the deaths of 2 senior AS leaders namely, Ahmed Ali Farah and Gedi Warfa.
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7 months
#Qatar Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al-Thani has met with Somalia's Acting Foreign Minister Ali Mohamed Omar. Their meeting comes amid spiralling tensions between UAE-backed #Ethiopia and Somalia.
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5 months
#Somalia and #Qatar have signed another agreement, this time on legal cooperation. Relations between the two countries have rapidly deepened in recent months, particularly since the appointment of Somalia's former MoIS, Doodishe, as ambassador.
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3 years
@AbdiwahabSheik7 An academic should not be so concerned with a simple think tank and it’s daily affairs. Unless $$$ paid for trolling Sahan and others is worth soiling oneself.
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1 year
PM Abiy Ahmed approved Getachew Reda's appointment as interim leader of the Tigrayan administration. Getachew, as a member of the TPLF Executive Committee was the ubiquitous spokesperson of the Tigray resistance and the principal negotiator and signatory of the Pretoria Agreement
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Sahan Research
11 months
The SNA has seen a significant setback in its offensive against Al-Shabaab in central Somalia. Meanwhile, ATMIS plans to withdraw a further 3,000 forces next month. With Operation Black Lion also in flux, there are serious concerns about the country’s offensives in coming months
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9 months
Political tensions continue in #Puntland over election disputes as Deni faces accusations of manipulating a term extension. Following the UN envoys visit to Garowe, however, Deni is now seeking talks with HSM in a bid to heal the rift between Puntland and Mogadishu.
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1 year
The head of security in Tigray Eastern Zone has said the AU’s Monitoring, Verification and Compliance Mission was denied entry to Zalambesa and Dewhan towns on 11 May. The MVCM was to verify Eritrean force presence in the area but was denied passage by Eritrean forces.
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5 months
Sudan's military leader General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan has suggested that he is willing to listen to the African Union's solutions to the armed conflict in Sudan if the country was reinstated as a member of the AU. The AU suspended Sudan in October 2021 following a coup.
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1 year
Somali President, @HassanSMohamud set to have high level talk with leaders of 🇸🇴’s federal states. The NCC is to be held in Baidoa on 14th March. Reaching consensus on election is reported to be high on the list of priorities & agenda.
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1 year
The Somali government and the AU peace committee are discussing an extension to ATMIS in Somalia. This plan suggests that ATMIS could remain in Somalia for up to two more years rather than withdraw by the end of 2024 per the current timeline.
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9 months
At least one person has been shot and killed, and several others wounded after rival forces exchanged fire in #Puntland ’s #Garowe on Tuesday. Details of the clashes are unclear, but the violence comes amid an escalating electoral dispute in #Somalia 's regional state.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
1 year
Introducing our comprehensive publication, your go-to source for valuable insights and news from Somalia and Ethiopia. Offering a unique blend of thought-provoking opinion pieces and summaries of significant news stories from local sources.
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@SahanResearch
Sahan Research
11 months
Cholera outbreak in #Ethiopia escalates as #UN reports nearly 400 new cases in a week World Health Organisation’s latest figures reveal over 20,000 cases of cholera and 271 deaths.
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1 year
Puntland Security forces announced to have arrested several individuals linked to ISIS / Da'esh in Amano, Bulidhidin District in Bari region. The suspects include a Sudanese national, and were reportedly planning attacks in Somalia. #terrorism
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