KICT 19:32 CDT
#KSwx
Very ripply V around Wichita right now. I would not want to fly in or out of there right now. Looks like gravity waves. Waves are helping to mix strong winds down ... 42 knot / 48 mph gust at KICT airport with 51° temp and 48° dewpoint.
I can't just play around with this and make a cute little call like I'm pretending to be a ref. I mean, this is how people get killed. I hope this young lady is OK. Seriously, folks, when thunder roars get your butt indoors!
Don't mess with Magdalena Torres Martinez.
(she gets up and walks away from this ... by a miracle of God she didn't actually get run over by a wheel)
BLOCK by the way, feet not set, amazing effort though.
New Job Announcement:
I am thrilled to report that have joined the South Carolina Department of Natural Resources as the State Climatology office's Severe Weather Liaison. I can't express how happy I am to be home again in SC and serving the people of the Palmetto State!
Looking at Krakatoa/Krakatau this evening ... the volcano is at time ejecting material with such force that even at the top of the troposphere the material is spreading out in all directions. This is causing a bowing structure where this works against the upper level wind.
I haven't seen anyone else post a radar cross section of
#Michael
, so here ya go. This is roughly along a radial outward from KEVX. This is 1733Z,12:33 p.m. CDT. Note the stadium effect in the eye, though it's skewed because the plot is ~40 miles wide but only ~10 miles tall.
@CallSaul505575
@HeavensFX
It wasn't a cheap shot. It was just a block. The QB was going to try and stop the interception return and he just got shut down with a shove.
The defender did nothing wrong and the penalty changed the outcome of the game.
It's Sunday and my Facebook feed is full of posts about tornado watches and warnings and damage reports that occurred on Friday. Most of that, I didn't see on Friday. Facebook is pretty much useless for relaying severe weather information.
@OHIOSZN_
@JordanMatthew21
@Mvega2424
@HeavensFX
If this block is illegal, then all blocks are illegal. Your front side can't be a blind side because you're not watching where you're going. Getting blown up is what happens in this game when you're not paying attention to where you're going.
@ChrisJacksonSC
This opinion shouldn't be unpopular. Of course they're a rival on the field, but they were good neighbors to us when we were getting beat up by the weather and we should return the favor.
@FTFonFS1
Jordan, folks.
James doesn't belong in this conversation.
Jordan:
Six titles in 15 seasons (more in fewer)
Six time Finals MVP
Six time league MVP
Didn't cheat
Wasn't a drama queen
Inspired people to watch his sport instead of turn people away
Jordan, folks.
Hey,
#SCwx
... and the rest of y'all for that matter ... here's a word of caution about the freezing rain maps I'm seeing circulating this afternoon:
These plots are not actual ice accretion. It's QPF falling as freezing rain. Accretion would be less; ~50-75% of this.
@BigBird
Unfortunately,
@CountVonCount
will be no help, except to tell you that you have two arms, two legs and one beak. That is, if he can take a break from whatever he's counted 4,272 of so far.
I bet
@weatherdak
will get a kick out of this: GOES-16 is showing off its higher resolution IR capabilities tonight. It sees warmer heat islands in the Midwest, where temperatures are near 0°F. Lakes, rivers and cities stand out because they are warmer! (Image from UW RealEarth).
Despite the rain, Meowstache the State House Kitty is guarding the east side of the State House grounds against rodents, pesky squirrels, and other pests. He's the hardest-working mouser in South Carolina!
#SCwx
Meet
#Debby
. Not little. Also, not expected to be much of a troublemaker, staying out over the middle of the North Atlantic and dissipating in a few days.
Big snow is on the way to the western Carolinas. Potentially historic. Melting will be slow with refreezing at night behind the storm. Be prepared to be snowed in for a while (3+ days) if you live in a rural area.
Hey, y’all…please join me in wishing my grandson AJ a happy 0th birthday. He arrived just past noon Friday. Mom and baby are fine, and my gray hair count has not noticeably increased.
Hey
@CoachSBeamer
, my daughter-in-law says he’s a 5-star PK for your recruiting class of ’42.
This critter 91L is looking pretty robust this afternoon. There's a strong chance it becomes a depression or storm as early as tonight. South Florida and the Keys will get a soaking from it tonight and tomorrow along with some locally gusty wind.
#FLwx
The 51st anniversary has rolled around.
#SCwx
SC's Granddaddy of Them All snowstorm began on this date back in 1973.
It was a few days before my first birthday, so I don't remember it. It didn't snow all that much (3-6") around Rock Hill, anyway.
NO CALL
Because that looks like pretty much every time I ever saw Kelly Tripucka drive the lane. Tripucka got the hell beat out of him every time. No whistle.
Krakatoa/Krakatau continues to belch away today. The plume is getting way up high into the atmosphere, leading to cloud top temperatures as cold as about -82°C (-116°F).
@FoodPornPhotos
$19.50 last time I was there for a burger, small fry and a drink. Sure, it's really good, you get a lot of fries, and you walk out stuffed, but it's not worth almost $20.
Convection has really lit up around
#98L
this evening. There is still some shear from NE wind aloft (outflow from
#Fiona
) but it's even firing around the low-level swirl. Should be game on with this pretty soon. Once it gets better defined, the models should perform better.
The tropical advisory of the season has been issued for PTC 1. It's likely that all wind, rain and surge impacts stay south of SC Sunday as it, likely TS Alex by then, passes by to our south. However, seas and surf along our coast will get rough starting later Sunday.
#SCwx
Potential Tropical Cyclone
#One
Advisory 1: Heavy Rainfall to Spread Over Portions of Cuba, the Florida Keys, And Southern Florida On Friday and Saturday With Flooding Possible.
Definitely the highest I've seen it in a year and two weeks here. Another half a foot of rise and it'll be under the deck I'm standing on. Would have to come up 3 feet to come into my apartment, though.
@NWSColumbia
It's not typical for an Alberta Clipper storm to bring snow to
#SCwx
. Usually the storm doesn't dive far enough south or there's not enough available moisture for much precip. But, the weather pattern will be favorable this weekend, so it's a reasonable possibility this time.
The 'favorable weather pattern' is found at the jet stream level. The key for
#SCwx
is the PNA, which has been strongly negative and bringing a strong upper ridge to the Southeast, keeping SC unseasonably warm. But, it has turned positive, allowing a turn to colder and stormier.
<sarcasm>Yeah, today's players are better than x years ago.</sarcasm>
Maravich would have been at home in L. A. in '84. And '94, '04 ... pick your 'n4.
Freezing rain threat has shifted more to the northwest and now affects I-85 in the Upstate.
#SCwx
Be ready for (potentially lengthy) power outages all across the Upstate!
1-6 inches of snow predicted tomorrow? Can you imagine if any other profession allowed itself a similar range?
"Your plane will depart tomorrow between 1 and 6."
"We've bought you a dress between size 1 and 6."
"Best to limit your daily wine intake to between 1 glass and 6."
#dadgum
(sorry for the double tag,
@NWSGSP
)
Here's your weird of the day.
@NWSGSP
, y'all might find this interesting. This is looking north from my parents' house right now. They're about 10 miles south of Lake Lure. Looks like some sort of lenticular.
Pics from the ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ of the ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ ▓ in downtown Columbia as the shelf cloud approached from the south.
@NWSColumbia
E40-45 mph gusts here at the office as that shelf moved overhead.
Severe storms will continue to move from Colorado into the Midwest tomorrow bringing damaging winds, hail, and possible tornadoes. Be sure to keep an eye on the weather tomorrow:
Here are all the warnings which were issued by
@NWSGSP
and
@NWSColumbia
yesterday in
#SCwx
. Both offices were busy but GSP was slammed; they had a ton of warnings in Georgia and NC, too.
Disturbing rainfall forecast from WPC. 20+ inches of rain is more than the southern part of the Lowcountry had in 2015, by a wide margin.
The 16" forecast around Charleston isn't all that far behind what fell in the 2015 event.
Some things could still change but it's looking
Please remember that the model forecast snow and ice accumulation graphics that you see posted (even from ensembles) are guidance, not a forecast, and unlikely to be correct at this range. Even averaging them all together is still, at best, an educated guess.
The GFS says we're not far off from seeing some flakes Saturday morning on Grandfather Mountain. Wouldn't that be fun if we ended up with snow on Mitchell and Grandfather while a subtropical storm was moving into SC? Long odds for both, I guess, but we can dream.
UKMET (not pictured): meh
KMA: no snow
ICON (German global model): slower but we're sleddin'
NAVGEM: What storm?
Canadian ensemble mean snowfall: meh
EPS mean snowfall: meh
Some EPS members have decent to heavy snow in SC. A few absolutely crush NC but we miss out.
#SCwx
This just sunk in to me today:
For the first time in more than 20 years, I am actually looking forward to fall and winter.
I can't believe I'm saying this, but I've actually had enough of heat and humidity for a while.
New forecast track from NHC: slower. Not good.
It's looking increasingly likely that TD4, Debby-to-be, will find weak steering currents while moving through SC. A slow-moving or stalling storm will generate a vast amount of rain. Sure, we need rain, but not this much. Flooding