SEBI Registered Investment Advisor. Unapologetic short term value seeker. Assume vested interest when I post about stock markets. E-Mail: invest
@ritwikrai
.com
As an advisor, your greatest gift is not your intelligence. Your greatest gift is if you get clients who trust you. You will be as good as your clients allow you to be.
I am gifted. 🙂
@UnSubtleDesi
Anam Ali is a a force of nature that will serve as a bridge in these times of polarization. While she sings only for Congress, committed RW guys like
@Iyervval
and
@rahulroushan
are becoming slaves to her melody.
Indian magazines/TV channels should cover the phenomenon.
@amitsurg
Constituent Assembly debates (Chairman)on why India has been called a "Union of States"
"Though the country and people maybe divided into different states for convenience of administration the country is one integral whole, its people a single people"
Ambedkar anticipated Gandhi.
@PChidambaram_IN
@KartiPC
The “mystery”. Unless you are speaking of stuff that can be traded and is “liquid”, you don’t buy things just because the (new) price is lower. You buy as much as you can afford (assuming prudence). Get tutored by
@Iyervval
on the specific subject here:
@tanvi_madan
You say above that people "prioritize" indegenization over security. Either (a) there are a lot of people saying security doesn't matter, indigenization does; or (b) you've assumed that indigenization automatically implies weaker security. I don't see evidence of (a)...+
@spignal
Why only post-war global order? You should also take credit for pre-war global order — Europe has “devised” the global order for centuries.
Jaishankar has begun to ask you “Who gave you the right to do “devise global order?”
Has started saying “take your order and…”
Manu Joseph has many good habits, but I could see that he has one bad habit: unconditional buying into the “idea of AAP” as the party with monopoly over truth and honesty, despite evidence to the contrary. Such behaviour happens mostly because of an ulterior motive.+
@JethmalaniM
Hindenburg took stuff from Mahua. Mahua took stuff from people like Dalal, or Mukherjee. None of it mattered. That report was practically shrugged off by the market on day zero.
It began to matter only when some very powerful ppl in finance ENDORSED IT. +
@greatbong
I don’t know what’s the truth here, but surely Randeep Hooda’s movie is not the first to make a connection between Khudiram Bose and Savarkar. (Below from May 2022 article in Pioneer).
@EconomicTimes
@DrDeepakKrishn1
Isn't it odd then, that some of the hardest working people you have met are doctors?
And the hardest working doctors must actually be the smartest of the lot.
I think the reason Bollywood is failing is that they have developed industry structure and content philosophy on premises that their audience will transition to western way of being, while a counter-trend has started in real life.
#PVR
+
@tanvi_madan
Debating those trade-offs should not make one anti national, agree. But who called anyone anti-national for debating those trade-offs? I am afraid you are creating a straw man.
@ByRakeshSimha
14:00-15:00 is very interesting: Rishi Kapoor reminds Amitabh Bachchan that he had to take a written test before he could act in his first Hindi movie.
@GemsOfBollywood
@x_rahulraj
You are taking your voters for granted when you don't do what you have been voted in for. I at least haven't voted for them to win Fair Play Awards at all costs.
Politics is the art of the possible. They are doing what it takes.
Taken for granted? Quite the contrary, in my case.
@arindam___paul
@ImAnjishnu
It's nice to let everyone who couldn't afford Hotstar to watch IPL, but I doubt it creates any opportunity for anyone except viewer.
Newspapers tried this decades ago. The advertisers would say: why would I want to pay for a reader who can't afford a newspaper?
@tanvi_madan
Maybe. Maybe you should provide some references too, for it seems like you are referring to a commonly held belief of “prioritising” indigenisation over security, which you have no evidence of.
Will love to learn, if you can point out instances of ppl asking for prioritisation.
@sahil_vi
He is a contrarian who has read lots of books and come to a realization that to be contrarian means to hold the view that you can't consistently beat the market. Ergo, he is not just any contrarian, he is a contrarian's contrarian.
@tanvi_madan
Agree, I have over-simplified in that sentence. But tell us who are the people you are referring too, who are saying India should trade-off security for indigenisation?
@tanvi_madan
You are referring to a former navy chief, and his thoughts about what should be the tone of the debate.
Not about what weapons we should have. About the tone of debate. Former navy chief should decide what tone of debate India should have.
Wow. Talk about expertise.
@divya_16_
Modiji 80 crs logon ko langar parcel karte hain aaj ki date mein. Punjab se hi wo anaaj khareedte hain inflated bhaav mein, aur gareebon mein baant dete hain free mein. Kuchh bolte nahin hain, modest hain.😀
@vikramsampath
@TheLallantop
@saurabhtop
1:05
“Mujhe jo lag raha hai, jo Sampath ka reasoned argument hai, wo thoda thoda us line or jaa raha hai, isliye mujhe thodi pareshaani jo rahi hai.”
What a compliment, when they hate your position, but can’t dismiss, can’t disprove it.
Vikram Sampath, intellectual Kshatriya.👌
@KartikeyaTanna
When one reads it, it's almost as if Ambedkar fully anticipated this day would come when someone like Gandhi will abuse the article.
He says "The Drafting Committe thought that it was better to make it clear at the outset rather than leave it to speculation or dispute".
@chandrachurg
Reading this page from
@vikramsampath
's book, I would have thought he qualified to be called an inspiration for Bose and most revolutionaries, by way of his book if not by his activities.
@somnath1978
"Can't you just stay poor? Why should you have fantasies of consuming as much as the western guys? Don't you see that if you consume as much as us, the planet will collapse?"
Wow. Chutzpah.
@ShamikaRavi
Our female labor participation, on the other hand, has fallen sharply. Somewhere around 2005, it looks like we made some big mistakes in policy, then persisted. 😷
@somnath1978
Oh, this paragraph and what it tells about the writer.
I hear what he is saying: "Whatever gave you the right to think you can be as well off? Just because the goras did it, you think you have a right to do it, too? Justice is about serving the strong, don't you know?"
@AmritHallan
@centerofright
Good to see that people are connecting to their religion as a community.
I have a little complain though. I find the bhajans are mostly sung on Bollywood song tunes, that steals all taste from the music.
It's an opportunity for some real talent to show up, in bhajans and all.
Really, it's high time the ragging period for
#TV18Broadcast
ended.
Mr Market, please take note; I think it deserves a digit more but not awarding it 20x Fy22 (Rs 70) is gross and visible injustice. Aapko log seriously nahin lengey baad mein. 😑
(Disc: Invested, not a recco).
@tavleen_singh
Ma’am, please also correct Wikipedia (see below). Also, could you please elaborate on the matter here, so we see what your big point was?
After a somewhat modest decline in the small cap indices in the past few sessions, many have begun to worry if this whole rally is going to fizzle out like the 2017 rally. I think it should cool off (say another 5-10%) but I don't have expect a 2018 style meltdown. (Thread)
Various people make bullish commentaries on gold all the time. I don't remember the last time someone timed it as well with as much conviction. With "Gold Liya" reminder toppings.
Hats off,
@sidd1307
. 👏
@sidd1307
The tragic part is: many of them do not know they are speculators. Many just think that buying into a monopoly business or into a stock that rises up every year/ month, they have done the “safe” thing.
@Saiarav
I read two stories in
@thecaravanindiaon
@DrSJaishankar
, and on
@sgurumurthy
. It feels like the writer has been instructed to not let a page go without mentioning "Tamil Brahmin". Ironically, the piece on Gurumurthy at one point suggests he thinks about caste all the time.
So, after all the price action today,
#ZeeEntertainment
, with TTM PAT of roughly 1000 crs has a market cap of 24K crs, and
#TV18Broadcast
with TTM PAT of c. 500 crs has a market cap of 6-7K crs. I wouldn't be betting on Zee at this point, except as a benchmark.
@Capeeyush91
Morjim used to be a Russian joint until a few years ago, and adjoining area was an Israeli hotspot. Not sure if it should be representative, given current circumstances.
@ajitdatta
Because Vivek Agnihotri's next 🎬 is Delhi Files.
People should not be upset with Kejriwal about this. No man should be asked to dig his own grave.
Rare generic advice:
Concentrate, please. Objective is not to minimize tax outgo. Objective is to maximize post tax returns.
Frame the objective right, first.
India samajhne aaya tha. Delhi gaya. Phir bol raha hai bahut insane hai.
Ekaad call nahin karna tha? Aur handle ka naam hai
@HayekAndKeynes
. Saala naam mein hi contradiction hai. Agar tere ko Hayek aur Keynes ek saath chalta hai, toh India samajh aana chahiye.
I don't usually like to speculate too far into the future, but sometimes one just can't help make that aakaashvaani: "In 5 years time (or earlier) everyone will scratch their heads over why they didn't just buy a basket of TV news broadcasters." Truly bizarre, their valuations.
@kaushikcbasu
I find it odd that you are an influential voice, have all credentials, have all tools to demolish a bad idea but all that you have written is a tweet that could just as well have come from a politician.
If it's a bad idea, please expose it with rigour. Many would like to learn.
@Tushar15_
I am not a sympathy vote theorist, but I believe that by his own actions as well as by accidents (incl those in which he has reportedly invited foreign powers to help overthrow BJP), RG has positioned himself ahead of any other leader for a pan-India anti-Modi at all costs ppl.
Nice article in today's Mint by
@somnath1978
. Brings in the much needed nuance in discussion on matters related to derivatives and small-cap participation of the retail investor.
@wrmead
"How these statements by top leaders to a foreign journalist will percolate down to the grass roots is impossible to predict."
No. Not impossible to predict. Voters are told the same things, election after election, that has been "disclosed" to you by top leaders. +
@mehrotra_saket
@caswapnilkabra
@vijayshekhar
Of course. My reading is that he had come to the studio more in a mood of being congratulated, and perhaps unprepared to answer for a 15% drop, and unprepared for Macquarie to be raining on his parade.
And for public vote to be against him at that moment.
We had sent a presentation to investors for
#Venkys
in the midst of the bird flu scare. The stock is up 18% today, and some might want to learn a bit about the co. 🙂
We have sent a presentation on
#Venkys
to clients and the investor community at large, that deals with our long-term and shorr-term views on the stock, including in the context of bird flu. The followings are some highlights:
A heavily indebted company that several believe has no future pays a(nother) of thousand crores to the DoT. The ultimate insider is paying bills in thousands of crores. Seller beware, one should say. Caveat venditor.
#vodafoneidea
Our letter to investors mid way through Absolute Return Portfolio Vol 8. (Pg 3 only for subs)
I know some purists will be like "Wow, you are a geo-politics expert?". I am not, but I don't have access to geo-politics experts, but I have assumptions. 😊
@Ajay_Bagga
There is some good news and some ordinary in the source (below): central banks have been buying for some time now, and the buying is coming mostly from EMs is I think ordinary news. Big CBs need to get involved for big rally else demand will meet supply.
@sidd1307
The most adorable quality of quality investors (or at least, most of them) is they don't even know they are a herd. They actually think they have free will.
#Britannia
has witnessed 20%/28% sales growth in April/May. Remember that time, when people used to say "The economy is so bad, people aren't even buying biscuits"?
Act of God, for biscuit companies.
@nrockstars
So, as an example of how we "stalk our stocks", and how we think, see the below communication on
#TV18Broadcast
:
(Not a recommendation at CMP)
@IndiaSpeaksPR
The "South vs North" is a created divide. It's like saying UP is different from Bihar because Bihar never voted in a BJP govt.
Important thing is: those who are creating this fake division know this. And we should know them. And remember them. +
Minority opinion:
#Saregama
(earnings, therefore stock) party will be on until normalcy returns, until theatres and malls open fully; until expenses of these music acquisitions start hitting the P&L and Saregama begins to spend heavily on A&P.
@Chellaney
If I know things right, Nehru’s justification on Akamai Chin was met with this response from a bald parliamentarian: “मेरे सर पे बाल नहीं है, तो क्या सर क़लम करवा दूँ?”
@sidd1307
That has held true for 2 quarters now, during which small cap indices have risen c. 25%.
Therefore a question also worth asking is: do you think the promoters are any better than you at figuring out what price their stock will sell at, 6 months hence?
@AbhishBanerj
Yeah. I remember my boss 2013-14, "sab log vote karna is baar, naukri bachaane ke liye vote hai". And we all holding stock market jobs knew he was right.
2014 was the first time I registered as a voter.
@AnamAliPrayer
@Iyervval
@Aabhas24
This is HUGE,
@Iyervval
, especially since such a determined person as Anam Ali had already said she would only lend a melody to the Congress.
@AnamAliPrayer
Maharashtra Day is coming on May 1; couldn't you also sing a song for Maharashtra? Maybe a song for misal pav?
@sidd1307
Often, the poor are poor because they have no ambition, they are happy with subsistence (chart).
I disagree about inheritance tax, and fear you are in the state of mind that PV was when he asked for a LTCG.😐
Let people work hard. And hand over their earnings to whom they choose.
#TV18Broadcast
trading at 15X TTM earnings. It's a shame, although I would not call it unjust, given the complete lack of communication from the management. You are just not able to arrive at a valuation of (TV18 stake in) Viacom18 anymore.
@DivaJain2
I actually went down to Good Luck Chowk in Pune every Friday to buy the Asian Age for Shourie's column.
He has actually transformed a lot of people. Doesn't matter what views he holds now, he has taught so many how this should be done. 🫡
Quite a screen. Green shoots for the end of dark ages in equity research and discovery. The tyranny of the gangs of "quality" may be coming to an end. Jai Ho.
#ITC
bulls come in a couple of varieties: there is the "other FMCG" bull, the "tukde-tukde gang" bull and the rarest of rare is the 🚬 bull (may also be called the valuation bull). (1/n)
Really, it's high time the ragging period for
#TV18Broadcast
ended.
Mr Market, please take note; I think it deserves a digit more but not awarding it 20x Fy22 (Rs 70) is gross and visible injustice. Aapko log seriously nahin lengey baad mein. 😑
(Disc: Invested, not a recco).
The market seems to have checked out all that, and then checked into hotels, casinos, trains, suitcases, even airlines (despite crude) 🙂.
Can't say all rational, but look, it's been a long time. A little tipsiness is fine.
If the third wave does not manifest, we are looking at a super bumper year-end season of shopping, travel and indulgence.
Check out airline ticket rates and hotel bookings for Dec Jan period to see what I mean!
#GoCoronaGo
What an earnings print from
#Venkys
for 3Q. 💯 Crs PAT for the quarter. Market cap: 2500 crs. Below is the note we sent to our clients/ investor contacts, after the bird flu fears broke out.
We have sent a presentation on
#Venkys
to clients and the investor community at large, that deals with our long-term and shorr-term views on the stock, including in the context of bird flu. The followings are some highlights:
@swapan55
Party: India is not a nation, it is a Union of States
Party's Philosopher: Not only a Union of States, it is a Union of Nations and even Continents
#Titan
conference call : management gives some interesting ideas:
1. Reverse flow could happen from equity/ MF to jewellery, given store of value demand
2. As weddings could possibly become smaller, that part of wedding budget could flow to "stree-dhan".
Happy to announce the arrival of Alpha Alpha, a product that seeks to find great short-term opportunities WITHIN good long term opportunities. Our first stock in the series is
#Venkys
India. For the full note, write to: invest
@ritwikrai
.com
@wrmead
Instead, I think it's difficult to predict how readers of your newspaper will react to this balanced view, which has involved some preparation. Both pro/anti BJP guys will be like: "Hey, what happened to the
@WSJ
all of a sudden?"
One can just put a red dot when MNREGA was launched and see how it has destroyed LFPR.
Modi knew it and he said it once, too. But didn't do anything to correct it is also a fact.
Worst part is if you read Basu's tweet carefully, he doesn't directly blame present govt
He gives data for 2020, leaves out data for previous years and hopes people blame Modi.
He is an intellectual fraud who depends on other people's ignorance to push fake narrative
Starting this course for my children. The objective is to teach them quality Hindi as well as Mahabharat. Tough job ahead, as I am the teacher. Tougher still as I am myself just about ok at both.
@RupakChatto
IMO, an MPs house should look stately; it should look like power resides there. I wouldn't vote to shift MPs to living in a 2BHK, sometimes hosting powerful people, and feeling like an ordinary person.
Appearances are important, too.
@suryakane
@KanwalSibal
Irony is that his 2008 warning was not heeded by every major newspaper of his time. He never "thought about it" then.
But to be fair, everyone has a right to "mature", to start listening to the most thoughtful guys - the major newspapers. 😅
We have sent a presentation on
#Venkys
to clients and the investor community at large, that deals with our long-term and shorr-term views on the stock, including in the context of bird flu. The followings are some highlights:
First quote of a 🧵. If you don’t think such a beginning should end up as an investment idea, read no further.
Hey, you know Mark Twain was something of an investor who lost a lot of money in start up ideas?
This thread won’t be about a startup. 🙂 1/n