Prof. Brenda Shaffer specializes in international energy, Middle East, Azerbaijan, Caucasus, Caspian energy, and the East-Med. Passion-mountain gorillas
Devastating news coming from former Nagorno-Karabakh oblast today.
Military actions of Azerbaijan must be immediately halted to allow for a genuine dialogue between Baku and Karabakh Armenians.
American media and think tanks:
✔️Ukraine fights to expel Russian troops from its territory= Slava Ukraini
✔️Georgia fights to expel Russian troops from its territory= Go Georgia
✔️Azerbaijan fights to expel 10k of Armenia's (Russia's ally) troops from its territory that are
Reports that Azerbaijani forces have entered parts of Nagorno Karabakh and launched drone strikes on the region’s self-defense forces are extremely concerning. I call on Azerbaijani forces to withdraw back to their initial positions and immediately cease their unprovoked attacks.
Amazing footage from the
#Azerbaijan
-
#Iran
border. Ethnic
#Azerbaijanis
from the Iran side are cheering
#Azerbaijani
soldiers that recaptured the lands in the border area. This reminds me of the scenes in Dec. 1989-Jan. 1990, when Azerbaijanis in
#USSR
and
#Iran
met at border.
@nytimes
: “By 1994, Armenia had made major territorial gains, driving nearly a million Azerbaijanis from their homes”. This was one of the largest transfers of population post WW II and hardly reported on in the world.
#Azerbaijan
Azərbaycanın tarix və mədəniyyəti sahəsində 30 ilə yaxın tədqiqatlar aparırdım. Xudafərin körpüsündə dayanmaq mənim arzum idi. Bu gün arzum nəhayət ki, həyata keçdi.
Could you imagine a US Sec. of State
@SecBlinken
calling up
#Ukraine
and asking Kiev not to conduct military operations against terrorists operating from Crimea or Donetsk? The US upholds the principle of territorial integrity, except in the case of
#Azerbaijan
.
I spoke to Azerbaijani President Aliyev today and urged him to immediately cease military actions in Nagorno-Karabakh. It is crucial for Azerbaijan to deescalate the situation to promote a peaceful resolution of the conflict.
Second
#Armenia
-Azerbaijan War started July 12th, with Armenia's attacks in Tovuz, aiming to capture the heights over
#Azerbaijan
's energy and transport corridor to the West. Per Def. Min. Tonoyan's strategy of "New Wars, for New Territories." Sept. 27, was phase two of the war
Today is Birthday Anniversary of the National Hero of
#Azerbaijan
, Major General
#PoladHashimov
who was martyred while protecting
#territorialintegrity
of 🇦🇿 against military provocation of
#Armenia
on July 14, 2020. Rest in peace, our Hero! Karabakh is Azerbaijan!
Last days of Dec. 1989,
#Azerbaijanis
met at the
#Iran
-USSR border at the Araz River, pulling down border posts. Renewing direct ties that had been cut by the USSR.
Beshdeli village of Zangilan, Garabulag and Moshmakhat villages of Khojaly, Atagut and Tsakuri of Khojavend. Long live Azerbaijan’s Armed Forces! Karabakh is Azerbaijan!
@camanpour
@ZMnatsakanyan
There was never a question of unification or not. NK since the war was under complete control of Yerevan. Had less autonomy than a US state. Armenia borrowed the Russian playbook of setting up independent "Abkhazia" "South Ossetia" to avoid responsbility for occupation. See:
#Armenia
DM resigns: His doctrine of "New wars, for new territories" led the full war between Armenia and
#Azerbaijan
. The war began on July 12 (and not Sept. 27 as often reported) when accord. to Tonoyan's doctrine, Armenia opened a new front with Azerb.
#NATO
members were up in arms over Turkey's acquisition of Russia's S-400 air defense system (justifiably). Turkey was sanctioned by the US for this. But, NATO and Washington are ok with NATO member
#France
selling an air defense system to a member of
#Russia
's treaty alliance
Three flags side by side at Xocali airport:
#Russia
#Armenia
and
#Karabakh
Armenians. Russia has kept this conflict alive to promote its interests. It is telling that Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova all support
#Azerbaijan
in the conflict. They know how Russia works to foster
#Iran
is on a killing spree. In the last two weeks, over 60 people executed in Iran, including a Swedish citizen of
#Ahwazi
origin Habib Chaab. This weekend, the attempt on the life of
@AhmadObali
in California. Obali leads a TV station that broadcasts from Chicago to Iran.
Important to note on recent outbreak of conflict between
#Azerbaijan
and
#Armenia
. The battles are not at the border with the occupied territories, including
#NagornoKarabakh
, rather at several points at the international borders between Armenia and Azerbaijan.Not an accident.
Hey
@VivekGRamaswamy
you might want to replace your foreign policy interns:
Armenia= home to 3 Russian bases and an ally of Iran.
Azerbaijan= ally of Israel and security partner of the USA.
Despite Armenia's close ties with
#Iran
and
#Russia
, it gets support from Washington
It’s pathetic that the “good vs. evil” crowd who waxes eloquent about Russia-Ukraine has *absolutely nothing* to say about Azerbaijan-Armenia. The reason why is the same reason for everything else in D.C.: special interests. Azerbaijan & Ukraine have exceptionally powerful
Why are both sides of the Iran-Azerbaijan border called
#Azerbaijan
?
If you are following the crash of the
#helicopter
of
#Iran
President
#Raisi
, you likely noticed that both sides of the border area are called Azerbaijan. In 1828, the Russian and Iranian empires divided
Iran is closely monitoring the alarming violence in Nagorno-Karabakh. We call for an immediate end to hostilities and urge dialogue to resolve differences.
Our neighbors are our priority and we are ready to provide good offices to enable talks.
Our region needs peace now.
Kuzey Azerbaycan sınırında #İran askeri manevrasına katılmak zorunda kalan
#G
üneyAzerbaycan'lı Türk asker, kalbinin
#Azerbaycan
'la olduğunu Bozkurt işaretiyle gösteriyor. Çoğunluğu Türk olan İran ordusu, Türk ülkelerle savaşamaz.
@LukeDCoffey
An additional loser is the “conflict resolution industry” that each year received millions of dollars in public funds to write papers, recommend policy, and hold meetings, yet contributed little to resolving the conflict.
#Azerbaijan
#Armenia
#Karabakh
Does this apply also to Ukraine? Should Ukraine not use force to expel Russian troops from its territory? If Kiev succeeds militarily to reassert its control of Crimea, will you make sure that the rights of the Russians there are respected?
Azerbaijan bears the responsibility to ensure full respect for the rights & security of Karabakh Armenians
The use of force to resolve disputes is not acceptable
We note the announcements of a ceasefire and expect the cessation of hostilities to hold
#Armenia
committed to withdraw its forces and settlers by today from
#Kalbajar
, but did not fulfill. Kalbajar had no Armenian community before the war, only settlers. Compare press coverage of setters in Kalbajar with settlers in the West Bank and Gaza:
Speaker Pelosi heads a Congressional delegation to a country that hosts 3 Russian military bases, has a mutual defense pact with Russia and Moscow controls its air space
@SpeakerPelosi
Our distinguished Congressional delegation members
@RepAnnaEshoo
,
@RepSpeier
and
@FrankPallone
have been proud and longtime champions of Armenia and we look forward to productive meetings to strengthen our partnership with the Republic of Armenia.
For anyone who thinks that
#Islamic
solidarity has anything to do with
#Iran
foreign policy, see its support for
#Armenia
in the conflict with Shia-majority
#Azerbaijan
. In early 1990s, Armenia evicted over 800,000 Azerbaijanis from their homes
Ethnic
#Azerbaijanis
in
#Iran
plan to hold demonstrations in multiple cities in Iran on Saturday calling for Iran to close its border crossing with
#Armenia
and stop supplies to Armenia's military. Arrests of activists are likely in coming days.
@amnesty
@AmnestyIran
@hrw
Exceptional message of
@RTErdogan
#Turkey
: recites at
#Azerbaijan
military victory parade classic Azerbaijani/Turkish poem on the separation of the two parts of the
#Azerbaijani
people symbolized by the
#Araz
River, which is the border between
#Iran
and the Rep. of Azerb.
رجب طیب #اردوغان در سخنرانی جشن رژه مشترک ارتشهای #آذربایجان و #ترکیه در شهر باکو، شعری در وصف جدایی دو آذربایجان خواند و به رود «#آراز» به عنوان سمبل این جدایی ملت آذربایجان اشاره کرد.
به امید روزی که آراز نه سمبل جدایی و فراغ ملت آذربایجان، بلکه نماد وحدت و وصال آن ملت باشد.
My interview
#Israel
's
@kan_english
on the
#Armenia
--
#Azerbaijan
conflict."800,000 Azerbaijanis are evicted from their homes. They wait patiently and trust that international law and international institutions will do their job. They don't use terror. And, what happens? Nothing."
In press on the fighting betw.
#Azerbaijan
and
#Armenia
some have referred to
#Karabakh
as a separate entity. This is false. Armenia uses the Russian playbook as in Donbas, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia to try to avert responsibility for occupation.
#Armenia
's forces shot rockets at the
#BTC
oil pipeline in
#Azerbaijan
. Reportedly, no damage, but Armenia is likely to continue to try to disrupt the pipeline
#OOTT
. Major source of oil to Turkey, Italy and
#Israel
.
Doğu Azərbaycan əyalətinin Sarab şəhərində Qarabağın azad edilməsi üçün qoyun qurban kəsən mədəni fəallar həbs edilərək naməlum yerə köçürüldülər.
#Qaraba
ğ
#sarab
#Iran
#do
ğu_azərbaycan
#h
əbs
Armenians have a country- the Republic of Armenia. It is not a right to grab a chunk of a neighboring state, wherever there is a diaspora community. Should Europe attempt to create in the continent special status and corridors from states to co-ethnics in neighboring countries?
It is time to reach a comprehensive 🕊peace agreement that guarantees the rights and security of the Armenian population of
#NagornoKarabakh
and settles its status, taking into account the will of their people✊🏽. The
#EU
should step up its involvement to reach such a final deal.
The
#Chernobyl
disaster took place 35 years ago. Dangers still remain from Soviet era reactors. The
#Armenia
#nuclear
power plant
#Metsamor
is one of the last operating without a containment vessel. Metsamor is located in a major seismic zone
@eu_eeas
Armenia’s Metsamor nuclear power plant is in an earthquake zone, has no containment unit, and was supposed to have closed long ago. Besides, Armenia can meet its energy needs without Metsamor’s output.
Dec. 12th marks the fall of the 1945-46
#Azerbaijani
Republic in
#Iran
. During this short period, established schools in the Azerbaijani language, gave women suffrage and established a university in
#Tabriz
.
My new article on the war between
#Armenia
and
#Azerbaijan
in
#Israel
's
@globesnews
"Who is David and who is Goliath?" Clear that Azerbaijan is David. Not only do geopolitical interests bind Israel and Azerbaijan, but also moral considerations.
You have been clear
@vonderleyen
that you support the principle of territorial integrity, as is clear in
#Ukraine
. So, why are you discussing
#Karabakh
with the PM of
#Armenia
, when it is is region of
#Azerbaijan
? Did you also discuss the three
#Russia
bases in Armenia, and
Good meeting with Armenian PM Nikol Pashinyan.
The EU stands with Armenia. We condemn Azerbaijan’s military operation in Nagorno-Karabakh.
We are providing immediate support and will work to strengthen our bilateral ties.
Can
#Azerbaijan
also fight against the occupation of its territories or only Christians--
#Georgia
,
#Ukraine
- have the right to territorial integrity?
Russian plans to build a naval base in occupied Abkhazia are a grave violation of Georgia's sovereignty.
We will always reject Russian occupation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia and are committed to supporting Georgia in the reforms necessary to advance on its Euro Atlantic path.
I enjoyed speaking with
@bbcpersian
on the unfolding crisis
#Iran
-
#Caucasus
. Iran fears a peace agreement between
#Armenia
and
#Azerbaijan
. Iran would lose its leverage over the two states, if the conflict ended. Coop between Turkey and Armenia would also emerge. Iran fears this
آیا ایران برای تنشزدایی و دفاع از منافعش باید نیروی نظامی دائمی در مناطق مرزی با جمهوری آذربایجان مستقرکند؟ آیا چنین سیاستی میتواند به کاهش تنش کمک کند؟
گفتگو با برندا شفر، مشاور ارشد انرژی و سیاست خارجی حوزه قفقاز جنوبی، دریای خزر و دریای سیاه در موسسه دفاع از دموکراسی
I see many references to
#Novruz
#Nowruz
holiday as “Persian new year.” In fact Iran is a multi-ethnic country- more than half of Iran’s population is not Persian and Novruz is celebrated by many nations in Central Asia & the Caucasus
#IranIsMoreThanPersia
Mr. Ambassador, maybe you noticed while serving in
#Azerbaijan
those million refugees living in tents, railroad cars, schools after Armenia evicted them from their homes in Shusha and other places? The occupiers then destroyed all the homes and filled area with mines.
A warm welcome to Yerevan to
@PowerUSAID
. The visit at this critical time demonstrates U.S. support for Armenia’s democracy, sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity and the urgency to address the humanitarian crisis in Nagorno-Karabakh.
Today is the 17th anniversary of the Khordad uprising of
#Azerbaijanis
in a dozen cities in
#Iran
. The trigger to the mass demonstrations was publication of a cartoon depicting Azerbs. as cockroaches. 20 demonstrators were killed and hundreds arrested.
#IranIsMoreThanPersia
Meanwhile, Azerbaijanis in Iran are still campaigning. This time next to the symbolic Khudafarin bridge, just on the other side of Jabrayil rayon with the slogan "We are not pro-Azerbaijan, we are Azerbaijan"
Did
@guardian
publish such sympathetic articles when the
#Israeli
settlers left the
#Gaza
Strip? Gaza also had an ancient synagogue. The Armenian population in
#Kelbajar
were settlers that came after the war, now returning to their country.
#Aghdam
: "Under Armenian control, the mosque was used for years as a stable for cattle and swine, a defilement that deeply angered Azerbaijanis"
#Azerbaijan
#Armenia
On the
#Azerbaijan
side of the border with
#Iran
, written on hillside “öncə vətən” (motherland first). Ethnic Azerbaijanis populate the provinces on the Iranian side of the border.
Pleased to share a new
@FDD
publication on ethnic politics in
#Iran
. The study is part of a larger new book project on ethnic minorities in
#Iran
.
#IranEthnicGroups
30,000 Armenians live in
#Azerbaijan
in regions outside
#Karabakh
. I visited a community in
#Ganja
, whose apartment building was severely damaged by an Armenian missile targeting the city, during the 2020 war.
Let’s hope for an enduring peace & a normalization between Azerbaijan & Armenia. This would benefit the whole region.
Now that Baku rightly has full sovereignty over its territory it must go the extra mile to guarantee rights of ethnic Armenians: integration and reconciliation.
Israelis know that geopolitical interests bind
#Israel
and
#Azerbaijan
. But
#Armenia
's representatives claim that morality should bind Isr. to Armenia. It is just the opposite. 800,000 Azerb. refugees did not use terror to call attention to their expulsion by Arm. Easy to support
Azerbaijan has enjoyed relative impunity for its violent conquest of Nagorno-Karabakh.
The world’s democracies must show there are consequences for such atrocities, lest they empower Eurasia's emerging autocratic order.
More from
#NationsInTransit
2024:
The “runner up” to Raisi in presidential elections in
#Iran
was invalidated votes. Among those cast that were invalidated were for Turkey President
@RTErdogan
and Azerbaijan President
@azpresident
@LukeDCoffey
@TheEconomist
I actually saw it with my own eyes, when I visited Ağdam, under Armenia's occupation. Trucks and cars with Iranian license plates were in Ağdam, people would negotiate deals with Armenians and then strip houses of windows, doors, door frames.