Matthew Bryza Profile
Matthew Bryza

@BryzaMatthew

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Statuses

Ex-White House & State Dept. Eurasia, Ambassador to Azerbaijan; Jamestown Fdtn. Board; Managing Partner in Istanbul for Straife (pol. risk and corp. strategy)

Istanbul, Turkey
Joined December 2012
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
UN's basic rule of peacekeeping: no neighbors (and no parties) to a conflict due to their inherent bias. #Russia has pushed for years to insert its peacekeepers into #NagornoKarabakh . Previous leaders of #Armenia opposed this, as did/do leaders of #Azerbaijan .
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
Dear #Georgia , Now is your chance to remind the world that #Putin just violated international law in #Ukraine just as he did by invading you and recognizing the independence of #SouthOssetia and #Abkhazia in 2008. We We
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@LukeDCoffey Absolutely. No peacekeepers should ever be provided by a neighbor of or party to a conflict. We #MinskGroup Co-Chairs also agreed no Co-Chair country should provide peacekeepers for the #NK conflict, either.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Grassroots fury in #Azerbaijan over perceived military provocation by #Armenia that resulted in several Azerbaijani deaths on July 12. #MinskGroup needs to investigate and call it like it is or risk military situation spinning out of control.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
9 months
As repeatedly noted, the end of Armenian troops and a separatist political authority in Azerbaijan's Karabakh region removed the last obstacle to the peace treaty sought by both Armenian Prime Minister Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Aliyev.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@LukeDCoffey Excellent proposal @LukeDCoffey . Ganja's role in #Azerbaijan 's history, economic potential, and strategic location merit a continuous presence there by the U.S. Mission to Azerbaijan.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
How replacing decades-old "land for peace" formula with "new wars for new territories" provoked second war over #NagornoKarabakh . But, Nov. 9/10 peace agreement provides overlooked strategic benefits to the Transatlantic community.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
7 years
As of today Berlin Wall has been down as long as it was up. Concrete triumph of people power and transatlantic solidarity over tyranny.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Senior Russian parliamentarian #Zatulin threatens military force if #Azerbaijan retaliates against #Armenia 's artillery attack. He also sides with #Armenia on #NagornoKarabakh conflict, contrary to #Russia 's responsibility as impartial mediator.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
11 months
Extremely important statement by Spokesperson for President of the European Council Charles Michel on Armenia-Azerbaijan normalization. Michel has proven to be an honest, shrewd, and effective broker. He clearly sees hope for a peace treaty.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
#Azerbaijan and #Armenia should prepare to move #NagornoKarabakh conflict beyond military phase & back to serious negotiations. War is the continuation of politics by other means. Hence, all wars end at the negotiating table, not on the battlefield.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#Armenia - #Turkey reconciliation is moving forward. Unlike in 2009, #Azerbaijan is not opposed and the parties, rather than the US, are driving the process. This could facilitate Armenia's reintegration into the regional economy and bolster the peace.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
Getting U.S.-Turkey relations back on track through cooperation with Greece, Ukraine, Armenia, and Azerbaijan, as well as on trade/energy and Afghanistan. Difficult, but possible.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@LukeDCoffey @SecBlinken Georgian government's overreach is a chance for its unified opposition to make clear that it is responsible and ready to do the tough political work required to compel the government back toward democracy. Such an effort would need and merit full U.S. and EU support.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Here is a visionary report that defines the practical challenges & opportunities for charting a potentially peaceful and prosperous future for Azerbaijanis and Armenians living together again rather than re-freezing the #NagornoKarabakh conflict.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
@IlvesToomas Quite a powerful sign of solidarity with Ukraine that Estonia is apparently sending all of its Javelins and 122mm howitzers to Ukraine, while Latvia and Lithuania take similar steps, leaving all 3 somewhat exposed military.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#Putin just killed #MinskProtocols , violating international law and multiple #Russian security commitments to #Ukraine and rest of Europe. West must impose TOUGH sanctions NOW. Don't let #Borrel , #Macron , or #Scholz argue recognition without annexation is ok.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Turkey and Russia may fill a diplomatic vacuum in Azerbaijan-Armenia disputes, which, if left unattended, might escalate into a broader conflict threatening strategic communication links on which U.S. & Europe rely and which Russia, Iran, and China oppose.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@michaeltanchum This feels different...more serious than any military clash between #Azerbaijan and #Armenia since the 1994 #NagornoKarabakh ceasefire. The situation feels diplomatically and strategically untethered, with Washington distracted and #Turkey and #Russia left to fill the vacuum.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
#Turkey ’s Black Sea gas find, if ultimately as big as announced, could replace all gas imports from Russia for nearly 13 years. A less dependent Ankara would gain leverage over Moscow in gas price talks, and also in Syria, Libya, and Azerbaijan/Armenia.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
5 years
It’s this clearer than ever that President Trump has placed his personal relationship with President Erdogan on the top tier.
@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
5 years
During his press conference with his Italian counterpart, President Trump just said the PKK is a bigger terrorist threat than ISIS. That’s a gigantic gift for President Erdogan.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
#NATO ’s 2010 Strategic Concept called for “true strategic partnership” with #Russia . Kremlin pocketed this goodwill, along with #Obama ’s “Russia Reset”, then invaded Ukraine. US & EU now aim to isolate & weaken Russia for first time since Cold War.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
@scharap How in the world could "isolating Maduro" possibly be on the same level as preventing #Putin from unraveling Europe's post-WWII security system by invading #Ukraine , murdering thousands of innocent civilians, and threatening use of nuclear weapons?
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#USsanctions against business in #Donbas is a weak response that will only embolden #Putin . After all, no serious businesspeople are doing business in Donbas. #Putin is counting on Western fecklessness to allow him to keep pushing the envelope.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
There seemed to be progress today toward resolution of #Armenia 's domestic political crisis, with an agreed path to new elections possibly emerging. Getting there could help Armenia reintegrate into its regional economy, prosper, and heal wounds of war
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
@ProfBShaffer @USEmbassyBaku #Novruz is such a beautiful holiday, celebrating life, love, family, rebirth, and joy for everyone regardless of ethnicity, religion, race, or anything else. Time to leap for unity and cooperation across all the Caucasus, Central Asia, and beyond!
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
#Putin 's invasion has failed. He demoralized his army, murdered thousands of #Ukrainians , and failed to capture any major city. Now he pretends to protect Russian speakers in Donbas from a "Nazi" regime led by a Russian-speaking Jewish president.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
@LukeDCoffey @Airbnb Exactly, @LukeDCoffey . Russia invaded Georgia in 2008 & occupied both Abkhazia & South Ossetia, after stoking separatism (including militarily) in both for years. It's akin to @Airbnb offering properties in "Peoples Republic of Donetsk". Dumb and contrary to intl. law.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#Kazakhstan President #Tokayev has declared political war on his patron, #Nazarbayev , leaving Tokayev weak and reliant on #Putin , especially after ridiculous treason charge against Kazakhstan's former security services chief.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
@LukeDCoffey Yes! Georgia should already be a NATO member because it qualifies, and NATO will be better off with Georgia in. So, not giving Georgia even a MAP is absurd. NATO's refusal to do so at its 2008 Bucharest Summit was the red meat Putin needed to invade, and Ukraine was next.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
When #Putin threatened to use nuclear weapons, NATO "deescalated." Now, #Putin has again probed with a strike just a few miles from NATO territory in #Poland . #Russia will annihilate Kyiv and attack NATO's East if NATO doesn't seize the initiative NOW.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
As U.S. and Turkey demonize each other, #realDonaldTrump is making it harder to secure Pastor Brunson's release while aggravating U.S.'s strategic challenges in #MiddleEast and strengthening Moscow's hand.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#Putin ’s belligerence is reawakening debate about NATO membership in #Finland whose president, #SauliNiinisto , commands #Putin ’s respect. Finland has potent air force, artillery, and civilian defense and fought USSR to standstill in 1939.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
Government of #Turkey keeps pressure on #SaudiArabia to come clean by dribbling out details of #Khoshoggi murder. Watch for big revelations by #Ankara on Tuesday. #KSA and #POTUS have 2 more days to work out way to avoid rupture in U.S.-Saudi relations once truth is known.
@tgoudsouzian
Tanya Goudsouzian
6 years
A piece I co-wrote with @marcogiann on #khashoggi -- Saudi Crown Prince defies critics to hold on to power after leaks over Khashoggi's death
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
@LukeDCoffey This is an increasingly important question as #Lukashenko signals his troops may attack #Ukraine . If that happens, #NATO forces should target #Belasrusian troops in both Ukraine and Belarus. Otherwise, the West will again suggest that #Moscow enjoys impunity from warcrimes.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Angels...
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
5 years
During his press conference with his Italian counterpart, President Trump just said the PKK is a bigger terrorist threat than ISIS. That’s a gigantic gift for President Erdogan.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
All #Putin wants from #Biden is validation that he exists on the same level as the US President. Putin needs this for his domestic political survival. #Biden gave that grand prize away at the beginning of the negotiating process, before Putin yielded anything concrete.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
It may indeed be difficult for cooler heads to prevail...but they must.
@onewmphoto
Onnik J. Krikorian
4 years
Sad that the next 3 months will be very difficult for peace. Not just because the war is so fresh or even protests in Yerevan, but because anniversaries of Baku, Black January, Khodjali, and Sumgait are all coming up. How both Armenia and Azerbaijan handle them crucial. #Karabakh
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
#Ankara 's condemnation of current coup attempt in #Armenia may seem surprising, since #Turkey and Armenia lack official relations. But #Erdogan 's biggest concern is military intervention in politics, having narrowly survived Turkey's 2016 coup effort.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
Please join @AtlanticCouncil 's webinar on Israel-Turkey relations starting at 3:30pm Israel/Turkey time or 8:30 am EST, which I am very much looking forward to moderating.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
5 years
Democracy is alive in #Turkey , even if challenged. AKP candidate for Istanbul Mayor Yildirm (former Prime Minister and Parliament Speaker) is squaring off now on Fox TV Turkey with opposition candidate Imamoglu before rerun of Istanbul poll. Debate is open, tough, and respectful
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
9 years
#Obama didn't mention NATO solidarity in press conf w/ #Hollande when asked about Russian violation of Turkish and NATO airspace. Shameful..
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
8 years
#Trump would be a disaster, but #Kaine - #Clinton keep damaging U.S.-Turkey relations by embracing Gulenists. Please wake up!
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Great report by #RUSI on #Turkisharmy 's innovative & devastating massed drone attack on Syrian Army tanks. Need to rethink tactics and procurement of the main battle tank. Turkey fought Assad to a standstill, so Putin sued for peace...at least for now.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
Lovely move by Greece to rally aid for Turkiye following devastating twin earthquakes. May this be the start of something akin to the warming in Greece-Turkey relations after another pair of earthquakes in summer 1999, one in Turkey and one in Greece.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
9 months
@AliTahmizian Do you not want peace? Is Vardanyan an "indigenous Armenian"? It's now up to Azerbaijan to fulfill its pledges to create security, economic, cultural and all other conditions to enable all who left their homes due to the Karabakh conflict to return, regardless of ethnicity.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#BeijingSummerOlympics Opening Ceremony, August 2008: #Russian troops were invading #Georgia . #SochiOlympics Opening Ceremony, February 2014: Russian troops were invading #Ukraine . #BeijingWinterOlympics2022 Opening Ceremony, February 2022: ???
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
5 years
Turkish democracy is indeed still vibrant, warts and all. Opposition candidate #Imamoglu 's victory in Istanbul's mayoral election has been recognized by both his opponent, former PM Yildirim, and President Erdogan. Time to move forward in cooperative spirit, as all 3 stated..
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
Expect continuing cycle of escalation/de-escalation by #Putin , who is using threat of (further) military force against #Ukraine as a negotiating tool, probing for cracks in #NATO solidarity, all in violation of #Russia ’s multiple international commitments.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
9 years
@gbezhuashvili Yes. Weak int reaction to Russian violations of Georgian airspace removed deterrent to Russian invasion of Geo and Ukraine.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
What a great piece of strategic writing replete with lessons that resonate today.
@LukeDCoffey
Luke Coffey
6 years
As the US-Turkish relationship continues to meltdown it’s a good time to highlight a briefing note prepared for Lady Thatcher on her 2nd day as Prime Minister regarding the strategic importance of Turkey. 👇🏻
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
Sanctions on #Russia are working, or at least #Putin seems to think so, as #Duma rushes into law "special economic measures" for the "special military operation" against #Ukraine . Russian economy may be heading back to the USSR...
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Poll: Only 3% of #Ukraine 's citizens believe Donbass ceasefire was the most important political event of 2020, and only 1% believe the war in general in Donbass was. This seems somehow to be geo-strategically important.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
@GoldenTent @presidentaz And again, get your "facts" straight: I am not a lobbyist for Turkey, and while serving as the US Co-Chair of the Minsk Group, I pressed Azerbaijan so hard to compromise that several Members of Azerbaijan's Parliament demanded that I be declared persona non-grata in Azerbaijan.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
10 years
Russian Amb to NATO Grushko at Brussels Forum: rights of 640,000 people in Baltics not respected "just because they speak Russia." Chilling
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
An unconventional and well-reasoned piece: sharp analysis based on eyewitness experience and wisdom. #Turkey has now bought itself responsibility for northern Syria and it’s in the US national interest for Turkey to succeed.
@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
Here's Why Trump Made The Right Decision On Troops In Syria
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
#Merkel 's lesson for #DonaldTrump to secure prisoner releases in Turkey: speak with quiet resolve, act firmly, and avoid pubic threats. No wonder this U.S. President and Germany's Chancellor don't get along.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
#Putin re-embraces potential famine in the Global South as another brutal tactic against innocent civilians while his invasion of #Ukraine fails.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
Wakeup call for West in #Ukraine : Focus not on a "compromise to avert a #Russian invasion" but rather on thwarting #Putin 's attempt to destabilize Ukraine and prevent it from ever becoming a #NATO -worthy democracy. This will be a long struggle....
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
@GoldenTent @presidentaz I'd love to participate in an analogous conference with the national leadership of Armenia to explore the full range for possibilities for regional investment, trade, economic growth, and political stability as the foundations of a lasting peace. Please organize one!
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@setavakfi @michaeltanchum @MuhittinAtaman @orko_8 @muratyesiltas @InsightTurkey Recent advances in Turkey's defense industries, especially unmanned aerial vehicles, should be of great interest to NATO. Just ask the Russian and Syrian regime troops who encountered them in Idlib in February.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@middleeast Yes. This is crazy. It feels like a huge family crisis
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
@LukeDCoffey Pathetic response by #US . Who the heck worth anything is doing legitimate business in DNR or LNR?!?
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
10 years
How to weaken #Russia 's ability to blackmail #Ukraine on energy while fighting Ukrainian corruption: http://t.co/shWmWFC8vE
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
1 year
@YusufErim34 Yes! PM #Pashinyan recognizes the enormous economic and security benefits that would accrue to #Armenia and the region by normalizing relations with Turkey. He also is committed to finalizing peace with #Azerbaijan , which would enable normalization with Ankara. Hopeful moment!
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
Excellent point, @tgoudsouzian . Ankara has kept the pressure on both Riyadh and Washington not to sweep this atrocity under the rug, but without boxing King Salman into an impossible corner. Turkey is now exiting Washington's doghouse and developing leverage over Saudi Arabia.
@tgoudsouzian
Tanya Goudsouzian
6 years
"Ankara is demonstrating a keen understanding of the power of smart power in telling its story and influencing domestic and international opinion." A piece I co-wrote with @YusufErim79 via @MiddleEastEye
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
Finally! That US military source must work for EUCOM.
@tgoudsouzian
Tanya Goudsouzian
6 years
On #SyriaWithdrawal , a US military source tells me: "This is not appeasement of #Turkey . This is listening to a strong and valued ally."
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
10 years
Belligerent #Russian probes in #Estonia and #Latvia require crystal clarity from NATO: hybrid war will mean real war. http://t.co/dlIz5tBA19
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
@carlbildt And #Georgia2008 redux. When will the Transatlantic family learn...?
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
Amb. Jim Jeffrey notes Russia and Syria are "joined at the hip" militarily in Syria and jointly responsible for February attack in #Idlib that killed 33 Turkish soldiers, after which #Turkey fought Russia-Syria to a standstill and ceasefire. #AC_Istanbul Webinar just now
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#Russia ’s disregard for international commitments in politics and sport: mysterious shelling in Donbas (as when Russia provoked its war in Georgia in 2008) while figure skater #KamilaVasilyeva crashes out of #Olympics amid doping scandal. Cheaters cheat...
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
10 years
#Russia military has developed large-scale offensive capability aimed at NATO's Baltic states. Question is, why? http://t.co/iWMO6V0HwF
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
@mikercarpenter Well said, Mike. Junker himself is one of the reasons why popular support for the EU is eroding within its member states. He has no moral compass, and presided over mass corruption in his own country's banking system. He is the quintessential unelected Euro-elite.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
@michaeltanchum #Azerbaijan 's regaining control villages in Jabrayil and Fuzuli would indeed be unprecedented. #Armenia will feel compelled to respond.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
2 years
Deeply insightful account by @timjudah1 of how #Ukrainian ingenuity (including exercise mats and mobile phones), ferocity, javelin anti-tank missiles and #Russian mistakes and rigid command structures thwarted #Putin 's assault on #Kyiv .
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
Unsent Tweets Edit Drafts Scheduled Russia invaded Georgia in 2008 to reinforce Germany's instinct to block Georgia's NATO accession. Then, the EU (incorrectly) blamed Georgia for shooting first, while the US failed to deter further Russian aggression.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
5 years
Turkey visit by #VPPence and Secretary #Pompeo won't persuade President #Erdogan to cease mil. ops. It will instead buy time for Ankara to establish "safe zone" in northeastern Syria.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
@almosthuman79 Please read the article, if you have the time, and then comment more.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
#Russia is making a joke of its September 2018 pact with #Turkey to establish & maintain a demilitarized zone in northwest Syria’s Idlib province to protect civilians. Now, Russia is deliberately bombing those civilians. War crimes?
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
Leaders open TANAP pipeline carrying gas from Azerbaijan to Europe pipeline-carrying-gas-from-azerbaijan-to-europe-133191. Participation in TANAP ceremony by Turkish Cypriot leader Akinci suggests Turkey wants to bring East Med gas into Southern Corridor.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
6 years
@trtworld Thank you #trtworld for the opportunity to share my views. I believe a positive breakthrough in U.S.-Turkey relations is within reach, and am convinced this will be good for the U.S., Turkey, all of Turkey's neighbors, and the world.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
US forces on heightened alert for potential conflict with Moscow in Europe for first time since the Second Berlin Crisis of 1961. Peaceniks will disagree, but this step is crucial to dissuading Putin from further escalating his self-made crisis.
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
4 years
In a nutshell, my fellow Americans...
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@BryzaMatthew
Matthew Bryza
3 years
CNN News USA
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