William Bowe @PollBludger Twitter profile

Last Seen Profiles

@Wakewind

@haobinistt

@stwmaniax

@haaardgym

@XRPDni1

@na_98010

@sukarjisugeng

@beecomeapple81

@Yuna_notTuna

@NaplesPrincesss

@thaynx18_

@masa_hari

@anaj

@iizrue

@12MoonsWithYou

@Mahon_Gunner

@DeafbakilY146

@Didiodr87

@tenri_08_20

@SharphamTrust

@ashleyajayii

@honeywwhite

@IsWater_Wet

@LeaBranca

@coisini_lily

@Srhdy64737Baz

@allinmixx

@pittinunez

@slmyly021647543

@iraila_oficial

@Serginho_14

@kiraxdiorrr_

@jdlljd228443

@DanielDaws1

@kaylynncarter7

@PZUhZI3gc9WdvAP

William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

The 70% increase in postal vote applications has clearly made them less conservative than usual. Labor has picked up a nearly 6% swing on the 400,000+ postals counted today, compared with 3.3% at booths and pre-polls.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Roy Morgan: 58-42 to Labor.

The ALP increases its lead over the L-NP as petrol prices spike well above $2 per litre: ALP 58%...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

As noted by Malarndirri McCarthy on the ABC, heavily indigenous booths in Qld have voted yes as follows: Palm Island 75%, Thursday Island 74%, Lockhart River 66%, Pormpuraaw 56%. and #Referendum2023

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

I'd be genuinely interested to know why this piece doesn't mention South Australia or Tasmania

ABC News

@abcnews

3 years

The pressure is growing on Queensland and WA to explain what living with COVID-19 will look like

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Morgan SMS poll has Labor leading 59.5-40.5 in Victoria. Similar poll a fortnight ago said 58-42. Newspoll last week said the same.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Swings to Labor of roughly 4% in NSW, 5% in Vic, 3.5% in Qld, 9.5% in WA, 2.5% in SA

William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Newspoll quarterly breakdowns. Labor blowout in Victoria since last quarter, movements within MoE in other states.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Hats off to @kevinbonham , who spotted anomalies in the Bellevue Hill and Bondi Beach results last night

Andrew Clennell

@aclennell

6 years

Kerryn Phelps has increased her vote by another 679 votes after Bondi Public recount

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Morgan poll: 54-46 to Labor.

ALP (54%) increases lead over L-NP (46%) – as Melbourne and Sydney lockdowns continue - Roy Morgan...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

9 months

The “poor polling at home” reported here for Volodymyr Zelensky turns out to be a *net* trust rating of 32%, i.e. 32% more people trust than distrust him, which is misreported here as simply a trust rating of 32%.

Zelensky was the hero fighting ‘evil’. Now there is talk of ceasefire and capitulation

The Ukrainian leader’s aura is diminishing as he faces poor polling at home and speculation that allies want him at the negotiating table with Russia.

www.smh.com.au

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

It took 30 delegates five hours to work out which one was the man?

WA Liberals choose former army officer for Stirling

Vince Connelly was preselected above four other candidates, who were all women.

thewest.com.au

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

HOMER: Oh Lisa, there's no record of a hurricane ever hitting Springfield. LISA: Yes, but the records only go back to 1978 when the Hall of Records was mysteriously blown away.

Freddy vs Jason Funderberker

@ManuclearBomb

3 years

Gun to to your head, what is the *best* Simpsons joke? However you wanna define it; pics, GIFs, clips, and overwrought explanations welcome.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Why is the non-Murdoch media so shy of reporting on the Murdoch media as the political player that it undoubtedly is? Here we learn that, "in an extraordinary breach of normal protocols", Morrison's message to Macron was "selectively leaked to the press". 1/2

Guardian Australia

@GuardianAus

3 years

Branded a ‘liar’ by the French, Scott Morrison’s slipperiness is now on show for the world to see | Hugh Riminton

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

@UmpireWhisperer Only 26% of the NT population is Indigenous. Try focusing on places where it's 90%.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Labor have been doing well out of Roy Morgan lately -- fortnightly federal poll has them leading 55.5-44.5.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Sad to see. Politics is a tough game, and I wish Rodrigo all the best for the future.

Rappler

@rapplerdotcom

3 years

JUST IN: President Rodrigo Duterte says he is retiring from politics. | via @reyaika More soon on .

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Liberals running third in a seat they have held since 1957 #waggavotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 months

There's no point trying this rubbish on Australians. We've have it for over a century and know what the answers are.

907Honest

@907Honest

7 months

@Leo_Puglisi6 Let's discuss the merits of #rcv in a simple terminology. Is it Better? Why Is it cheaper? Why Is it faster? How? Does it increase turnout? Proof Does it eliminates spoiler candidates? Proof Does it help 3rd parties? Proof It produces an absolute majority? Proof

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

@UmpireWhisperer What heavily indigenous booths have voted no?

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

Until the last poll a fortnight ago, Newspoll counted any Clive Palmer votes as "others", i.e. not Coalition, Labor, Greens or One Nation. These votes were split pretty much 50-50 as preferences, based on the 2016 election result. #newspoll #auspol #ausvotes 1/5

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

Poll Bludger comment of the day: "I wonder how Laming will go on the AAT after the next election?"

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

To understand what this means, you need to know that Morrison can rely upon the Daily Telegraph to serve his interests rather than public's. Labor has no comparable asset. Yet if/when Labor loses the next election, we'll be told it had no one to blame but itself. 2/2

William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Why is the non-Murdoch media so shy of reporting on the Murdoch media as the political player that it undoubtedly is? Here we learn that, "in an extraordinary breach of normal protocols", Morrison's message to Macron was "selectively leaked to the press". 1/2

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

NSW pre-election Newspoll: ALP 38%, L-NP 35%, GRN 11%. Result: ALP 37%, L-NP 35%, GRN 10%. Victorian pre-election Newspoll: ALP 38%, L-NP 35%, GRN 12%. Result: ALP 37%, L-NP 34.5%, GRN 11.5%.

Brent Hodgson

@BrentHodgson

2 years

The first relates to STATE polling. The Victorian State Election was exactly four months ago today. Polling DID NOT pick a second "Danslide". Likewise, it didn't predict what now seems a likely outcome in NSW: a Labor majority.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

This whole thread is gobsmackingly moronic. In Australia, and many other countries besides, electoral boundaries are a subject of no controversy whatsoever, because they are drawn by independent, non-partisan commission

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

"After a slow start to the year, PM Scott Morrison and his band of top performers finished strongly."

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

US pollster Morning Consult's regular international leadership approval survey has Albanese on 51% approval and 25% disapproval (HT: @MMkeigh ).

Anthony Albanese Approval Rating | Morning Consult

In his first week, Anthony Albanese earned approval from 51% of Australians and a third of voters aligned with the conservative coalition.

pro.morningconsult.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

My results page is currently projecting a national Labor TPP of 52.2%. And another reminder that it's the only place where you'll find booth results.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Morgan poll: 54.5-45.5 to Labor, out from 54-46 a fortnight ago. Primary: L-NP 37.5 (-), ALP 38.5 (+1), GRN 11.5 (-1), PHON 3 (-0.5).

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

11 months

The West Australian "has obtained data that shows 1.8 million people in WA were enrolled to vote, but 228,250 of those didn’t"? The data is freely available right here: . And the "extraordinary number" was hardly different from the 2022 election.

The West Australian

@westaustralian

11 months

EXCLUSIVE: An extraordinary number of West Australians did not vote in the Indigenous Voice referendum and will now receive letters from the Australian Electoral Commission asking them to explain themselves or pay a fine.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

After messily incorporating the AEC's ad hoc two-party count of 4584 postal votes, the Poll Bludger's #EdenMonaroVotes needle ends the night on a 91.2% win probability for Labor.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 years

What Lachlan Harris and Andrew Charlton describe as "polarisation" looks very much to me like a straightforward move to the left

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Odd - I've been led to understand that ministerial resignations were governed by legal and judicial processes before the days of the Twitter lynch mob

Heather Ewart

@heatherewart1

3 years

The days when a govt minister was sacked by Malcolm Fraser for not declaring a colour tv on return from overseas. How standards have changed. I’m the one and only girl in the middle

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Morgan preferred Liberal leader poll: Frydenberg 38.5%, Morrison 31%, Dutton 12.5%

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg emerges as preferred Liberal Leader ahead of Scott Morrison & Peter...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate with Newspoll and Ipsos added:

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Fed voting intention in WA: 55-45 to ALP (10.5% swing). Primary: ALP 46, L-NP 39, GRN 7, PHON 3, UAP 1. Utting Research, Jan 5, N: 650.

Exclusive poll reveals ScoMo on track to lose four WA seats

Premier Mark McGowan has maintained his approval rating through a Christmas COVID scare — but the outlook is far bleaker for Scott Morrison, with new polling placing the PM on track for a WA election...

thewest.com.au

David Dale

@Thetribalmind

3 years

@PollBludger Paywall problem. Can you summarise?

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 months

Not over yet, but Labor would now be breathing easier after a very nervous state. Eight booths in on the primary vote, Poll Bludger Labor probability estimate is 83%.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

If you're after #EdenMonaroVotes booth results, I believe my site is the only place to go -- even the AEC doesn't publish them on its site.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Pronounced gender gap in the new Ipsos poll. Male: ALP 34, L-NP 35, GRN 8, ALP +5 on TPP, Morrison 37 approval and 45 disapproval. Female: ALP 37, L-NP 28, GRN 12, ALP +16 on TPP, Morrison 29 approval and 51 disapproval.

Chris Wallace

@c_s_wallace

3 years

@CaseyBriggs @DJA51 🗳 #ipsos #AFR #auspol

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Yeah, nah

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

You're a journalist, Michael, not a hack politician

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

Days after a privately conducted YouGov poll showing Labor ahead 55-45 in Victoria, Morgan has it at 58.5-41.5, with Daniel Andrews' approval at 71%

Victorian ALP (58.5%) streaks ahead of L-NP (41.5%). Premier Daniel Andrews approval jumps 12% to...

ALP two-party support has jumped 7% to 58.5% after the end of Victoria’s nearly four-month lockdown compared to the L-NP on 41.5% according to a Roy Morgan Snap SMS survey on Victorian voting...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 years

Greens state director Clare Quinn should pull her head in. "Gerrymander" talk is Trumpian hyperbole that undermines confidence in a fair system that's working well. Worse than hyperbole, in fact - completely unsupported by facts.

Paul Karp

@Paul_Karp

7 years

Greens accuse Labor of 'gerrymander' in draft seat redistribution, Antony Green says changes erase govt majority #auspol

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Labor leads 56-44 in Roy Morgan:

The ALP continues to hold a commanding lead over the L-NP as the Russia-Ukraine war continues and...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Two party preferred: unchanged. Coalition primary: unchanged. Labor primary: unchanged. Greens primary: unchanged. One Nation primary: unchanged.

The Australian

@australian

6 years

#BREAKING : Labor has weathered a political storm over border protection and maintained a six-point lead over the Coalition following a bruising parliamentary fortnight #Newspoll

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Roy Morgan has its second federal poll release in a couple of days, this one to ascertain if the Ukraine war has made any difference. Headline TPP indication: it hasn't. Primary votes: not provided.

The first Roy Morgan Poll conducted since Russia invaded Ukraine one week ago shows no impact on...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Last week it was Steve Bannon. This week a senior ABC personality says we "should read Stormfront".

Virginia Trioli

@LaTrioli

6 years

Sorry. Should read “storm front”.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

Without a doubt, the narrative that JobSeeker has fuelled the hit to Albanese's personal numbers will be underplayed by news media who want it to be all about his gaffes. But it perfectly explains the voting intention numbers.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

The Advertiser reports uComms poll for the SA Forest Products Association has Labor ahead 55-45 in Boothby:

Poll reveals who’s set to romp home in crucial Boothby seat

Labor is poised to capture the crucial marginal seat of Boothby for the first time in more than 70 years because it holds a commanding lead a fortnight from the federal election, according to an...

www.adelaidenow.com.au

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

Day two of The West Australian's PR offensive on behalf of Scott Morrison

The West Australian

@westaustralian

2 years

The front page of Tuesday's The West Australian.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

I'd be interested to hear eminent historian Paul Murray's take on the 1945 British election

Sky News Australia

@SkyNewsAust

6 years

. @PMOnAir : The modern culture doesn't understand WWII. Too many of this generation want socialism and don't understand what their relatives fought for and that's why we speak up about it. MORE: #pmlive

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

Roy Morgan has the Coalition ahead 50.5-49.5, although I make it 53-47 to Labor based on previous election preferences. Primary votes: Labor 32%, Coalition 36%, Greens 14%, One Nation 4.5%. Sample 1383, polling conducted October 16 to 22.

ALP support plunges after the defeat of 'The Voice' Referendum: ALP 49.5% (down 4.5%) cf. L-NP...

The L-NP Coalition would now win a Federal Election as ALP two-party preferred support plunged 4.5% to 49.5% and is now behind the L-NP Coalition on 50.5% (up 4.5%) after all six States voted against...

www.roymorgan.com

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

Whether the Coalition really does get 60% of UAP prefs, compared with the 53.7% they got from PUP in 2013 (and prefs were being directed their way then as well), remains to be seen. But it's not a judgement founded in polling as such. #newspoll #auspol #ausvotes 1/5

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

11 months

No, it doesn't. The leading question on behalf of an interested party was whether Cook was "qualified to be Premier, given his performance in health". This isn't an "approval rating" and does not represent a "slip", because the question (with good reason) hasn't been asked before

The West Australian

@westaustralian

11 months

EXCLUSIVE: New polling has revealed WA Premier Roger Cook’s record on health has prompted his approval rating to slip to a new low of 28 per cent.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

With its six Harry and Meghan hit pieces per issue, The Spectator these days features more royal family coverage than Woman's Day

The Spectator

@spectator

2 years

The unbelievable narcissism of Harry and Meghan’s Netflix documentary ✍️ Alexander Larman

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

Link to Lingiari and its booth results. The Remote Mobile Teams serve mostly, though not exclusively, Indigenous communities:

Darcy Murphy

@DarMurp

1 year

This is no longer via the ropey method as @PollBludger has the mobile voting figures for Lingiari available on his website so it is definitely accurate

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

Which part of "(Ministers of State) shall hold office during the pleasure of the Governor-General" am I not understanding?

Nick Feik

@NickFeik

2 years

Morrison “hatched a radical and, until now, secret plan” with then-attorney-general Christian Porter’s approval. “Porter advised that it could be done through an administrative instrument and didn’t need appointment by the Governor-General” So so wrong.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

Macnamara is no longer in the AEC's close seats list because they've pulled the TCP count, not because it's no longer in doubt. The ABC's prognosis is that it's "incredibly close".

atalanta44🎉🥳🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️🖤💛❤️🇵🇸🇮🇱

@atalanta44

2 years

@Hamigakiwanwan @HailMarxism @PollBludger The AEC website has removed Macnamara from it’s ‘in doubt’ list about 20 mins ago and the ABC says it’s highly unlikely Labor doesn’t get the seat. Bonham I think is assuming the postals will follow the 2019 trend, which I don’t think is accurate this time around.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

Introducing (sort of) "Call of the Board", a series that will look in depth at the results of each of the 151 seats at the May 22 federal election, starting with the 15 of inner Sydney:

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

Good night for YouGov, whose hard-to-believe statewide and Dawesville polls look like being borne out #wavotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Newspoll quarterly breakdowns. Labor blowout in Victoria since last quarter, movements within MoE in other states.

Newspoll: Coalition trailing as key states drift away

The Morrison government would stand to lose between six to 10 seats on the back of significant swings against the Coalition in Victoria, Western Australia and NSW if current trends were replicated at...

www.theaustralian.com.au

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

I'd be fascinated to hear your explanation as to how one-vote one-value reforms can be tarred with the brush of Joh Bjelke-Petersen

GemmaTognini

@GemmaTognini

3 years

And in other news, the WA Labor party is defrosting Sir Joh... This isn't electoral reform. Its a power grab and very concerning for democracy in this state. You know what they say about absolute power.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

Analysis of Senate result based on 2019 preference flows: Hanson to win the last Qld seat ahead of Amanda Stoker; Lib #3 to win in Vic over ALP #3 and UAP; Lib #3 to win in SA over ALP #3 and ON. Result: ALP 26, GRN 12, L-NP 33, ON 2, JLN 2, Pocock 1.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

First pre-poll result: primary vote from Merimubula. Good result for Labor, +6.7% with Liberal -3.4%, 4980 formal votes. #EdenMonaroVotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

Innovative! Australia introduced this a century ago.

Mother Jones

@MotherJones

5 years

Today, New York City is considering adopting ranked-choice voting. If passed, it will be the largest municipality to adopt the innovate voting process.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

8 years

Fine print reading: Galaxy has Labor leading 52-48 in Victoria

Damon Johnston

@damonTheOz

8 years

Tomorrow's @theheraldsun front page tonight #springst #auspol

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

The Poll Bludger is (I do believe) the only place where you can find full #vicvotes election results at booth level, including two-party preferred and swings:

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Good show by YouGov/Newspoll - a bit high on the Liberal primary vote in the pre-election Newspoll, just about nailed it in their poll a few days earlier for The Advertiser. Creditable performances now at three state elections post-2019. #savotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

@UmpireWhisperer No, deflecting is what you did when I asked you to name some of the no-voting Indigenous booths you told me I should be focusing on

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Liberal preselectors don't seem too discouraged by the optics of choosing the only male candidate in the race

Michael Koziol 🦢

@michaelkoziol

3 years

The right’s Tim James has won Liberal preselection for Gladys Berejiklian’s old seat of Willoughby, defeating Gail Giles-Gidney 58-52 in the final ballot

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

We're off (with a result already in from Norfolk Island!). Follow the results live at Poll Bludger -- if you're after booth results, I do believe it's only place on the internet where you'll find them.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

The 13% swing to Labor's Leon Bignell in Mawson maintains an unblemished record of five successive swings in his favour since he entered politics in 2006 #savotes

Eliza Berlage

@verbaliza

3 years

That’s a big. @AntonyGreenElec calls the Mawson result “just astounding” #savotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

Is someone going to point out to him that the Hawke-Keating government cut the top marginal tax rate from 60 cents to 49 cents?

Sarah Martin

@msmarto

5 years

Interesting from @AmyRemeikis here, who is on the ground in Herbert Greg Dowling: I will leave United Australia if Clive Palmer gives preferences to Labor

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

11 months

Just so long as you're aware that it's pretty much Western Australia's only newspaper

Dominic Sandbrook

@dcsandbrook

11 months

An enormous honour to be interviewed by Western Australia’s finest newspaper.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Primary votes from Essential poll: L-NP 34 (-4), ALP 38 (+2), GRN 10 (-), ONP 7 (-). Two-party: L-NP 45 (-3) ALP 55 (+3),

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

This is worth half a point to the Coalition -- which, given the way rounding looks, single-handedly explains the movement from 52-48 to 51-49. #newspoll #auspol #ausvotes 4/5

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

Former Fremantle MP Melissa Parke to run as Labor's candidate in Curtin, says The West

Anthony De Ceglie

@AnthDeCeglie

5 years

The front page of tomorrow's The West Australian #auspol #AFLFreoSaints #Fyfe

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Give generously to the fight against this monstrous assault on freedom of expression. Then do everything in your power to evict Peter Dutton from office.

David Shoebridge

@DavidShoebridge

3 years

Incredible news that the crowdfunding we set up to help Refugee Activist Shane Bazzi stand up against Peter Dutton in court is now at $100,000! Dutton thought he was taking on a penniless activist, but he didn't count on how powerful we are together.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

On top of anything else, Frydenberg's vote share was the lowest ever recorded by a Liberal Party candidate in Kooyong

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

10 months

Courier-Mail journalists must life in a permanent state of life-threatening nervous distress. Literally everything they report on in shocking, sensational, extraordinary or explosive.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

A plug for my live Tasmanian election results and its cute booth results maps. And a reminder that no one else, not even the TEC, is publishing booth results. #tasvotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

I'd be very surprised if the teals were getting more coverage in the ABC than they are from News Corp

Gray Connolly

@GrayConnolly

2 years

Great piece by @GemmaTognini on the absurdity of the Teal Independents, hyped daily by the ABC. The traditional Labor aspiration of better deals for the poor/dispossessed is admirable. By contrast the Teals are a political wrap-around for funders. Agree major parties 'did this'.

19

13

117

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39

William Bowe

@PollBludger

11 months

Fight hate by hating the haters, so they in turn might hate our hateful hating

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 months

If you're enjoying Antony Green's #dunkleyvotes results map, peruse one at your leisure here:

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Two polls, one from ReachTEL for the Australia Institute and now a YouGov/Galaxy poll for The Advertiser, both find Rebekha Sharkie leading Georgina Downer 58-42 in Mayo:

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

2 years

After front page hit pieces on Anthony Albanese on every day of last week, The West Australian makes its play for balance

The West Australian

@westaustralian

2 years

The front page of tomorrow's The West Australian.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

BludgerTrack poll aggregate: 51.9-48.1 to Labor. Seat projection: ALP 84, L-NP 61, others 6.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

New Zealand's pollsters have probably done worse than ours last year, though they'll cop less heat for it because they got the result right

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

4 years

Meanwhile on Planet Earth, Biden leads 62-26 among Latinos

Gray Connolly

@GrayConnolly

4 years

Fragile journos losing it online about Trump while Spanish speakers - often coming to the US from endemically corrupt places where law & order has broken down, leading to poverty - support Trump. Hasta la vista, etal ad infinitum.

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115

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

The last postal votes have been added for #wentworthvotes . Final score: Phelps 38,989 (51.2%), Sharma 37,138 (48.8%). Details:

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

1 year

Indigenous Voice results from Newspoll: yes 41 (-2), no 48 (+1) #auspol

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

Nice dig at Bronwyn Bishop from Peter Costello here: “He restored standards and probity to the House of Representatives”.

Phillip Coorey

@PhillipCoorey

3 years

Breaking: ‘Best Speaker in 50 years’ calls it quits

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286

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 months

Resolve doesn't do those, but based on 2022 preference flows, about 52-48 to Labor

Mr Jim McAlpine AM

@mefergus

7 months

What’s the two party preferred indication?

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 years

"A strong female candidate is Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s preferred replacement for Liberal MP Andrew Laming".

Female candidate to replace under-fire Laming at next poll

A strong female candidate is Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s preferred replacement for Liberal MP Andrew Laming, who will leave politics at the next election after a number of accusations of poor...

www.dailytelegraph.com.au

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

3 months

Rounding looks like it's gone against Labor from Newspoll too -- based on published numbers and last election preferences, I make it at least 52-48.

Kevin Bonham

@kevinbonham

3 months

My all-polls aggregate post- #Newspoll 51.2 to ALP (and Labor really did do badly on the rounding there, before rounding it was 51.249.) Nothing has still happened in 2PP land in 3 months, very little has happened in 7.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

TFW when you're half way through a tweet and assuming the rest of it will say "elected to Congress"

Prof Ben Saul - UN SR Human Rights & Counterterror

@profbensaul

6 years

Former Nazi SS camp guard, 94, goes on trial in Germany

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

Seriously though - Lib polling shows there has been a 5% swing away from them in the past week, and they want us to think this is because of expectations they will win getting out of hand? After this of all weeks?

William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

If only the Twitter character limit sufficed to accommodate what they're really being killed by

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

6 years

The Wentworth by-election: not as over as you thought. #wentworthvotes

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

7 years

One Nation has won six federal seats in its history. If Roberts goes, he'll be the third to have fallen foul of s 44.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

How is it trolling to doubt that the Prime Minister's office is telling the truth about the very subject they openly lied about a couple of days ago? And frankly, I can't see anything in Peter's tweet to which even a Liberal partisan could reasonably object.

Ian Hanke

@IanHanke

5 years

@sspencer_63 Oh, good grief! Grow up....just a bit. Both of you. Are you now just going to be trollish conspirators? So pathetic.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

Starting to look doubtful for David Leyonhjelm in #nswvotes , it seems

Ross Leedham

@rossleedham

5 years

In the check count CDP lead LDP by ~5K. AJP lead KSO by 5K. I'm very doubtful either KSO or LDP can overtake AJP or CDP respectively on preferences which means they're both in losing positions right now.

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William Bowe

@PollBludger

5 years

BludgerTrack poll aggregate: 51.7-48.3 to Labor. Seat projection: ALP 79 and L-NP 66 -- assuming status quo result of 6 for "others". …

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