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Omar Chaudhuri

@OmarChaudhuri

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Chief Intelligence Officer @TwentyFirstGrp . Views are my own.

London
Joined April 2010
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
For 3 seasons, Fernando Torres was absolutely incredible for Liverpool, scoring 0.84 non-penalty goals per 90. That's better than Henry (0.73), Kane (0.72), Shearer (0.71), Aguero (0.71), Suarez (0.69) or van Nistelrooy's (0.58) three best consecutive Premier League seasons.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
1 year
I know I’m easily irritated by BT’s coverage, but so poor again tonight. Endless inane trivia, no tactical insight, an obsession with Joleon Lescott’s nerves, overly matey, and vanilla commentary for the key moment. Can only hope the TNT switch brings some changes.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
I’ve seen that UEFA are looking to scrap the away goals rule. I think this is a bad idea; despite being a bit of an anachronism, it makes two-legged knockout football more interesting. Here’s why! (thread – all stats for the Champions League since 2003)
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Ajax’s *total* revenue last season was less than what the Premier League’s 20th-placed club West Brom earned from TV income *alone*. Real Madrid, by contrast, had the biggest revenues in world football. Good recruitment, youth development, coaching can get you a long way.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Lucas Moura was, of course, the last player Spurs signed - on 31st January 2018
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Ten years, ago, FIFA began revealing the votes behind its Ballon D'or / Best awards. In that time, Messi and Ronaldo have dominated; I've taken a look at their rivalry through the prism of voting patterns. Thread!
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Sweden were pot 3, pulled France (and beat them) from pot 2, knocked out Netherlands from pot 1 and then downed Italy, who were seeded. That’s some achievement 🇸🇪
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 months
The areas around football clubs largely mirror the story of the election, especially those in Leagues One and Two - 58% of those clubs were in constituencies that voted Tory in 2019, now none of them are. Meanwhile, two independents are in the Champions League.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
9 months
Some similarities in the basic numbers of Luis Suarez and Darwin Nunez at the start of their Liverpool careers Luis Suarez first 18 months at Liverpool: 15 goals, 183 shots, 3644 minutes Darwin Nunez to date at Liverpool: 14 goals, 134 shots, 2749 minutes
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
This is a great idea, from Mark Clattenburg’s Times interview
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Arsenal's defeat means Sparta Prague need to go through two Europa League qualifying rounds next season, rather than entering at the group stage. A particularly bad night for their Sporting Director, Tomas Rosicky.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Apt that the club with the 16th-highest revenues in world football last season is relegated today. Run poorly, perform badly, get relegated - no matter what your financial position.
@GGFN_
Get German Football News
3 years
Official | Schalke are relegated to the 2. Bundesliga.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Finally, Mourinho got 9 first-placed votes from captains and coaches in Cook Islands, Guinea-Bissau etc - and one media vote, from Scotland:
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
Most Premier League goals in the season in which player turned 18: Owen 97/98 - 18 Greenwood 19/20 - 9 Rooney 03/04 - 9 Smith 98/99 - 7 Rooney 02/03 - 6 (aged 17) Jeffers 98/99 - 6 Rashford 15/16 - 5 a) this is a serious start by Greenwood b) Michael Owen, wow [Corrected data]
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
Or, they've met 6 times in in 8 years
@A22Sports
A22 Sports
2 years
How is it possible that Real Madrid and Liverpool have only met 9 times in 67 years? 😲 Don't you think this is a sub-optimal competition?! ⚽️ #EuropeanClubFootball
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
Never seen a group like this before, where the top two teams have a negative goal difference. Home wins in the final round would put all teams on 8 points too (18% chance of happening).
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Patrice Evra showing surprise and actually *clapping* Eni Aluko’s analysis... awful, patronising
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Lampard’s Chelsea conceded 1.2 goals per game in 19 league matches in 2020/21; since then Tuchel’s Chelsea have conceded 0.6 in 22 matches, without making a single relevant signing. Really shows the value of a world class coach, and the saving you can make in the transfer market.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
The delicious irony of this piece is that without xG, there is zero chance of a leading columnist in a major British newspaper writing 700 words on the form of 16th-placed Brighton and Hove Albion
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Chelsea revenue 2017-18: £443m Bournemouth revenue 2017-18 (est.): £135m Pulisic reported fee: £58m Solanke reported fee: £19m Pulisic as a % of revenue: 13% Solanke as a % of revenue: 14% So, Premier League clubs can expect to spend 10-15% of revenue on a top young prospect
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
Scottish clubs’ (ok, chiefly Rangers and Celtic) pedigree in Europe is pretty incredible. 10 European finals - basically ‘best of the rest’ in Europe, behind established winners and much bigger nations. Bravo Rangers, that atmosphere sounded amazing.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
This has no intention of being a serious political commentary... here's how constituencies containing a Premier League or Football League stadium voted in the General Election. Of the 10 to swing from Labour to the Conservatives, 8 were in League One and League Two
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
I get not everyone will agree with this argument. But I genuinely believe that scrapping the away goals rule will take something away from two-legged knockout football – even if it’s a rule that you would probably never invent today.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
I make it 22 English starters at the top 6 clubs this weekend - the most in nearly 6 years. With an average age of 23.5, there hasn't been this many English starters at the big 6, with an average age so low, since early 2007 (and it was a big 4 back then).
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Both Zidane and Guardiola did one season in Segunda B - the effective equivalent of League One. Sure, it was for their clubs’ B teams, but it was lower league experience nevertheless. I find the arrogance that Giggs thinks he can walk into a top job weird, if nothing else.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
In the vast majority of football matches, a goal can at best turn defeat into a draw, or a draw into a win. But the away goals rule provides dramatic, knife-edge moments that you just don’t get in other league or knockout football.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
But this isn’t even my main point about the benefit of the away goals rule. No, the main benefit is that it introduces something totally different to football: the idea that one goal can turn a defeat into victory, and victory into defeat.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
The transfer records for an 18, 19, 22, 30 and 33-year-old have been broken this season, though I find it quite nice to still see Zidane and Batistuta on this list. Zidane's in particular you'd think will take some beating.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
When Manolas scored *that* third goal for Roma against Barcelona, it didn’t turn a losing situation into a drawn one. It turned it from a losing situation to a winning one. For Barcelona, the opposite. The moment was even *more* electrifying for it.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
In almost every continent, coaches are most pro-Messi, the media most pro-Ronaldo, and captains somewhere between the two. Not sure what's going on in the Oceanian media, who are totally at odds with their coaches and captains.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Really concerned by this direction of travel. Driven by increased games and workload. Could see in 25+ years rolling subs being allowed. Would totally change the complexion of the sport (for the worse IMO). The ongoing calendar land grab will have massive consequences in time.
@martynziegler
Martyn Ziegler
3 years
Five subs in football set to become permanent law:
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
And the away goals rule meant Barcelona couldn’t sit on their 5-1 second leg lead against PSG (and I’m sure both teams would have settled for extra time at that point). No, they had to go for it – and because of that they soon produced maybe the greatest UCL knockout moment ever.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
Mane and Coutinho were born 2 months apart, and, according to our model, followed almost identical career performance arcs until Coutinho's sale in Jan '18. Makes you wonder how much of Liverpool's success is down to the environment they've created to get the best out of players
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@Simon_Hughes__
Simon Hughes
4 years
Coutinho back to Liverpool rumour doing the rounds today. Told that deal would be ‘IMPOSSIBLE’ in capital letters. Few colleagues wrote about his career being at a crossroads not so long ago.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Final 'this-is-what-people-thought-the-final-Premier-League-table-would-look-like-at-any-given-point-in-time' table. Most outperformed pre-season expectations: Liverpool, by 16 points Most underperformed pre-season expectations: Huddersfield, by 19 points Thread 👇
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Jesse Lingard is a good case study to support the argument for smaller senior squads. Means more very good players are not kept on benches of top clubs, instead play for weaker clubs and close the gap between the two. @Marcotti covered this last year
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Typically excellent from @Marcotti , on Neymar. Whole piece is great, this section is important
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Not that I expect this to be the case at the end of the season, but I wonder what is the lowest any team (in any league) has finished while remaining unbeaten against the teams above it. Pretty remarkable set of results for United.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Liverpool incredibly lucky with the entire draw. According to our model, it was *literally* the easiest group they could have got out of 1000s of combinations, and obviously could have been much harder in R16 and SF. City win was very impressive, but shows role of luck in UCL.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
(Ironically, the away goals rule is actually really effective in extra time. The added benefit the away team gets is counterbalanced by the opposition’s home advantage. I wrote about this a few years ago: )
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
City are champions, with 3 fewer points than what was expected of them before a ball was kicked. West Ham finish with 22 more points than was originally expected - a hugely impressive overachievement. Aston Villa too, at +18. Easy to forget how unfancied they both were in Sept.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Always the best bit about the FIFA awards - who voted for who: Men's player: Men's coach:
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
I personally don’t tend to find extra time that interesting. 13 out of 21 matches that went to extra time were goalless (and, from memory at least, usually pretty boring) and therefore went to penalties. Why would you want more of that?
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
So there you have it. Of course politics and loyalties come into the voting, but there's plenty of curiosities in there too. It's been a wonderful rivalry over 10+ years, and I think the voting patterns truly reflect that.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Why was Eidur Gudjohnsen’s miss against Liverpool in 2005 so heart-stopping? Because had he scored, Chelsea were effectively through to the final. Had a goal led to extra time, sure, it would be been thrilling – but not quite the same. The chance was total do-or-die.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
The 32-team World Cup era is over. Some really basic numbers that I found vaguely interesting / are decent quiz content for your mates: Most games: 1. 🇧🇷 41 2. 🇫🇷🇩🇪 39 4. 🇦🇷 36 5 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 33 6. 🇭🇷🇳🇱🇪🇸 30 9. 🇲🇽🇰🇷 27 11. 🇵🇹 26 12. 🇯🇵 25 13. 🇺🇸 23 14. 🇧🇪🇮🇹🇺🇾 22 17. 🇩🇰🇨🇭 19 19. 🇦🇺🇨🇷🇳🇬 17
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Kante and Mahrez, five years on from that season, running the show in the Champions League semis.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
The Champions League is absolutely brilliant. You’ll struggle to convince me that a (European Super) league format between the best teams will ever trump how the current competition works
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
I'm increasingly of the view that this could be an all-time great league season. Virtually 50/50 title race, 4-6 teams in a top 4 race, 8 (!) teams currently projected to win <40 points, plus some major surprises up and down the table. Feels like 8 or 9 massive games each week
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
Actually, I’ve probably understated it. No country as small as Scotland, as far as my eye test can tell, has produced a European finalist, ever. Scotland have produced 10.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
And to add further context, Salah has 'only' managed 0.73 at Liverpool over two seasons. The big difference, of course, is injuries - Salah has already played more league minutes for Liverpool than Torres did in his first three seasons.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
While there's little disputing that Liverpool are worthy title winners, I believed that they were a better team in 18/19. That led me down a rabbit hole, which ended up in ranking Liverpool's 69 league performances across both seasons. And, I think, just about proved me right 👇🏽
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Over ten years, Messi just edges the overall vote - voters have placed him above Ronaldo in their submission 45% of the time, whereas Ronaldo has beaten Messi 42% of the time. The peak of their rivalry was probably 2013, with an almost-even split of 'wins' for either player.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Been doing the rounds today, but ICYMI this is excellent
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Ousmane Dembélé is the most profitable single season ever; seems there's FOMO in the market and players are being signed after one big year
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
First, let’s reject the idea that the AGR encourages goalless first legs. First legs in the knockout stages have been 0-0 draws 10% of the time. This is the same rate of 0-0s as in group matches between teams who finish 1st and 2nd in their groups (9.6%).
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Eden Hazard to become the world's most expensive 28 year old, overtaking Higuain's €90m move to Juventus. Of the two long-standing records, seems unlikely Zidane's will fall this summer. As for Batistuta - Messi, Aguero, Di Maria, Benzema, Rakitic are all 31...
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
It’s not like football to underreact to results, but I don’t think enough is made of games like Southampton-Forest tonight. It’s an *enormous* result - for both teams there’s been a ~15 percentage point swing in survival odds; their odds have effectively reversed on one result.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
9 years
So Bayern, Barca, Real Madrid kept apart in QFs for 5 consecutive seasons. Someone get me those odds.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Second, it’s likely that scrapping the AGR will lead to more extra time and penalties. 52% of 44 matches that were level after 180 minutes were decided by the AGR. It’s hard to know exactly how teams’ behaviour will change, but extra time periods will roughly double.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
1 year
Scarcely credible end to the Belgian Pro League season. USG top in the 89th minute, concede an equaliser to Club Brugge so Genk go top, who then concede an equaliser themselves to Antwerp in the 94th minute, giving Antwerp the title, their first since 1957.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
8 months
Nunez’s individual xG in this game is more than what 11 of the 16 teams in AFCON achieved in their R16 knockout game this past week.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 months
I’m desensitised to winning margins in athletics, but in % terms they’re so so small. In men’s: 0.01% 800m 0.02% 10,000m 0.04% DT 0.07% 1500m 0.07% 3000mS 0.08% 100m 0.09% 400m 0.11% TJ 0.24% 5000m 0.77% 110mH 0.82% 200m 1.29% 400mH 1.41% LJ 3.28% SP 3.79% JT 4.80% PV 4.93% HT
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Managers do react to performances, but they react much more drastically to results. I argue that’s inefficient
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@TwentyFirstGrp
Twenty First Group
5 years
Football teams are constantly getting results they don’t deserve, and often rash decisions can be made as a result. @OmarChaudhuri explores why the smartest clubs ensure that emotions from short term results don’t cloud judgement in this week's insight.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
This game *doesn’t* need a goal, it’s absolutely terrific as is thank you very much.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
10 years
Quite simply the best Louis van Gaal video you'll watch today: http://t.co/rSPxYHwd43
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Slightly nerdy tweet but how good is tennis’ scoring system. Repeated, almost relentless points of tension in each set. Think every Fernandez service game went to 30, many of Raducanu’s too. I’m exhausted. What a match.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
I spoke to @rwohan last year about how international football has the potential to be more exciting than club football, because money is less likely to distort (or may even help) competitive balance. Last couple of days suggests that, I think
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Some of the most interesting patterns are in the profile of voters. National team coaches have generally preferred Messi, while captains and media representatives have been much more evenly split. This is pretty consistent across continent (next tweet) - theories welcome.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
So there’s no evidence that first legs are disproportionately 0-0 draws. And while the away goals rule is a tiebreaker in the group stages, it’s rarely if ever referred to as a factor when teams set up to play each other.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Man United’s repeated come-from-behind wins under OGS was so often hailed as a strength, but data shows it was always a weakness: in the long run the going behind bit always repeats more consistently than the comebacks. And that, obviously, leads to defeats.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Messi's edge can in large part be attributed to votes from South America, where he is consistently ranked above Ronaldo in the votes. The Oceanian countries were most likely to vote for neither, while Africa and Asia have been marginally pro-Ronaldo.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 months
Pep and Klopp are praised for plenty of things, but probably not enough for how consistently their teams approach games across the different game states. Their teams never play the scoreboard. If they believed in long throws, they’d believe using them at 3-0 as much as at 0-1.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Before a ball was kicked, Sheffield United were expected to win 33 points; they're now at 42. No team has outperformed pre-season expectations more
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
Inspired by @faisalislam tweet; as you go down the leagues you get more Tory & more leave
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
In other words, xG has opened a narrative about a team that would otherwise never or rarely have a narrative at a national level. Like or dislike the stat, there is now a conversation about a team outside the top 6 or 10, and I think that's a good thing
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
A thing I'm trying... In a parallel universe, the Premier League season is ending tomorrow. Using @21stClub models, we've simulated 10,000 possibilities of how the season could have played out. One of them is yours. Read below👇
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Seeing suggestions that "Mourinho was never the right fit for Man United", but that's only in hindsight IMO. Loads of people - pundits, fans, analysts - backed them in 2016-17 as title contenders/favourites because of Mourinho (and their transfer business).
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
6 years
Liverpool projected to get 92 points, which would a club-record points per game over a season... and betting markets still have them to finish 5 points behind Man City.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
9 months
This was, from memory, a fairly consistent view of Suarez after 1.5 seasons at Liverpool. I don’t think Nunez will ever match Suarez’s eventual output but I do think there are narrative similarities
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
2 years
Alisson finally beaten by a deflected goal is notable for the fact that Liverpool defenders go out of their way not to block shots from outside the box
@ChrisSummersell
Chris
3 years
Are Liverpool breaking one of the most sacred defensive rules? Data and video on how Liverpool appear to be making different defensive choices to blocking long shots
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Looking at some selected countries: the Germans have excluded both players from their top three nearly 60% of the time, which seems a bit harsh (more later). English, French and Italian voters have historically leaned Ronaldo, while Dutch and Belgians have leaned Messi.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
Good of @guardian_sport as ever to release the data behind their Top 100 male footballers. This year's most polarising players are Müller, Neuer, and Thiago - for each player at least 25% of judges had them outside their top 40, but nearly 25% had them inside their top 10 too.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
Our model @21stClub rates Olympiakos highly - they're a top 6 quality side - and by extension Tsimikas, rating him as one of the world's best defensive left backs. His performance arc, below, not dissimilar to Robertson. Would be an absolute steal at £12m according to this.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
8 years
Re: @Zonal_Marking 's piece on Euro group stages; very hard to model incentives but as suggested maximising GD key
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Some interesting insights but shame they’re so dismissive of Payet’s career post-West Ham. Reached the Europa League final last season, assisting all three of Marseille’s goals in the semis. Which Bilic suggested was sort of one of the reasons he left - to play in Europe
@tntsports
TNT Sports
5 years
Slaven Bilic's take on Dimitri Payet leaving West Ham is a fascinating watch 🙌 #PLTonight
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
Get promoted, make sure you have a good defence, thrive.
@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
As per the theory and evidence - and assuming the teams are roughly equal strength (which may not be true) - Sheffield United look the best-equipped of the promoted teams to survive in the Premier League, because they had by far the best defensive record of the three.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Certain football matches should have protected status for both teams wearing their home kit. Netherlands-Argentina is one, and Liverpool-Newcastle is definitely another.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
9 years
Les Reed speaking to @GNev2 in January about Saints' approach to recruitment. Totally overlooked in recent pieces. http://t.co/iBpRNwhU7v
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Finally, a little more on the Germans' tendency to vote for neither; Joachim Löw has *never* had Ronaldo even in his top three, and only twice given Messi a vote (in 2010 and 2011). Their captains have been slightly pro-Messi, though only gave him their top vote in 2011.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Unsurprisingly, Messi has swept up almost all Argentinean votes (excluding his own), with only the media representative in 2018 placing Ronaldo above him. He's also got a decent (surprising?) following in the central Asian states of Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
@MrStephenHowson These are the minutes, yeah: Owen 97/98 - 3003 Greenwood 19/20 - 1010 Rooney 03/04 - 2442 Smith 98/99 - 1460 Rooney 02/03 - 1589 Jeffers 98/99 - 968 Rashford 15/16 - 855 So very impressive on a per 90 basis, though I think minutes itself is a great marker of potential too
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 years
If Southampton had a striker of Danny Ings’ quality between 2014 and 2016 - instead of Graziano Pellè - they’d have been in range of doing a Leicester, I reckon.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Firstly, a quick one on how the voting works. Each country has three voters - the national coach, captain, and a media representative. They each submit their top three players for that year. (As we've seen with Egypt this year - not everyone remembers to do this or does it right)
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
This should really be part of the narrative. If they do win it, while it's true they would have gone 'one step further', in truth they've had to step up vs last season in 5 of the 6 'ties' - all while competing in a title race. It's been a truly impressive run.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
3 years
Not posted these in a while - transfer records by age, globally and in the Premier League. No global records broken yet this season. Big fan of the records that have lasted 15+ years.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Narrowing in on 'individual' voters, below are the most pro-Messi. Turkmenistan's Alexander Vershinin and Uzbekistan's two captains in this period have placed Messi above Ronaldo in their voting submission in each of the ten years.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Ronaldo's had strong backing from his home country and some of its former colonies. Am also intrigued what Kyrgyzstan has against Messi (especially given the Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan love-in).
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
4 months
There’s a mischaracterisation of opposition quality in international football. Our models rated Serbia comparable to mid-table PL teams - e.g. West Ham or Brighton. Not unusual for a top 4 PL-quality team (as England are) to suffer for periods against that level of opposition.
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
5 years
Gini Wijnaldum in the Michael Owen segment of @Zonal_Marking ’s Venn here. Maybe creeping into the Cahill overlap
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@OmarChaudhuri
Omar Chaudhuri
7 years
This view really isn't that controversial. They're on for a record points total and goal difference. They're Champions League favourites in an era dominated by three other superclubs. You don't have to like them, but it's ok to say they're a brilliant team
@BrianMcClair13
Brian McClair
7 years
BBC commentator say Man City are one of the best teams “ever” seen in this land, is he 13 years old?
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