Ohio PoliticsGuru @OPoliticsguru Twitter profile | Pikagi

Pikagi

Ohio PoliticsGuru

@OPoliticsguru

2,851

Followers

633

Following

1,455

Media

11,037

Statuses

Just an Ohioan with an interest in politics and a strong distaste for gerrymandering

Ohio

Joined December 2021

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

Pinned Tweet

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

7 months

Redistricting reform advocates in Ohio are currently circulating petitions to create an independent redistricting commission. They need over 413,000 valid signatures from Ohio voters to make the Nov 2024 ballot. Here is a flow chart showing how the new process would work (🧵)

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

15

79

246

Last Seen Profiles

@Gorkem_ozcelik4

@bavovkini

@Hijabbacol2883

@yemen775050

@rip_krazy

@Bruno_Conpat

@eileencartter

@Jantzenwitte

@BinorRaja

@_svweathers

@niishimurra

@aniljaindoghat

@Joh17_3

@_JulesRobin

@alvarosabu

@bokeplokalmalam

@_ajolvera

@Taqiyya_tullah

@Cryptosis9_OKX

@MegTheeBimbo

@muni_sma

@L2s_AllDay

@The_NAAS

@BlessingRe94426

@STK4daChi

@NyanNyaw

@BloxFruits

@GitanjaliMoha20

@msaidhassani

@b3nnyzs_rv1c3

@ao_mu_shi_

@bokeplokalmalam

@AkajAsantaev

@DMenihan

@savreleigh

@BrentSum

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

LMAO some dude got up and yelled at Frank LaRose for tweeting during the Ohio Redistricting Commission hearing.

14

61

590

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Looks like the line at the Franklin County Board of Elections is currently longer than any reports I've seen to date. The line is zigzagging on itself behind the Board of Elections office and likely has well over 500 people in it based on the pictures Colleen shared.

Tweet media one

@steeltownbetty

Colleen Craig

@steeltownbetty

1 year

The line for early voting at the Franklin County Board of Elections is wrapped around itself all the way to the back of the building 🤯 I have literally never seen a line to vote this long in my life!

Tweet media one

39

135

801

18

92

367

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

On August 8, the Republican-backed State Issue 1 in Ohio failed by a margin of over 14%. With statewide precinct-level results getting published last night, here is what the final results look like by State House of Representatives, State Senate, and Congressional Districts.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

10

101

299

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

8 months

I've mapped out the results of State Issues 1 & 2 by State House & Senate district to the extent possible given the availability of the necessary data. Issue 1 House: 71 Yes-28 No Issue 1 Senate: 23 Y-10 N Issue 2 House: 76 Y-22 N-1 Too Close Issue 2 Senate: 29Y-3N-1 Too Close

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

10

92

253

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

A rough estimate of the number of people currently standing in line to vote at the Franklin County Board of Elections: 375

@joingles

Jo Ingles

1 year

I took video of the line at the Franklin County Board of Elections. I took videos in short parts so I could upload them on Twitter. Here you go

10

19

100

26

64

241

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

A lot of people are outraged that Democrats on the Ohio Redistricting Commission would vote for unfair maps. This isn't about Democrats or Republicans. This is about politicians and the power they hold. They all need to be removed from the process. Support @CitizenMapsOH .

6

48

239

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

9 months

Just eyeballing it, somewhere between 6 and 9 of these representatives currently represent a district that voted yes on Issue 1 yesterday. Tell me again how they're representing their constituents.

@jbalmert

Jessie Balmert

9 months

27 House GOP: "This initiative failed to mention a single, specific law. We will do everything in our power to prevent our laws from being removed based upon perception of intent." @DaveYostOH previously outlined laws that could be impacted by Issue 1.

Tweet media one

25

24

47

23

69

232

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Me when I, the man who cast the deciding yea vote on the most anti-union piece of legislation in recent Ohio history, shamelessly criticize the man who is arguably the most pro-union member of the US Congress for not being pro-union enough.

Tweet media one

@FrankLaRose

Frank LaRose

2 years

Hey @SherrodBrown , why are you scapegoating unions for your party losing (by 20 point margins statewide) when union membership in Ohio has grown 4 times faster than the national average over the past year? Ohio unions aren’t weak — they just aren’t woke.

Tweet media one

112

36

237

6

36

217

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

We are certified @CitizenMapsOH !

Tweet media one

9

48

218

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

🧵on how 2022 Ohio statewide candidates performed in 2022 congressional districts (& how they stacked up to congressional candidates) In the US Senate race, Tim Ryan outran all Democratic congressional nominees with the notable exception of Marcy Kaptur in OH9 Breakdown: 10R-5D

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

14

46

207

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

@FrankLaRose Ohio law prohibits August elections for this purpose, partly thanks to your own testimony that low turnout special elections "[are]n't how democracy is supposed to work" and "aren't good for... the civic health of our state."

2

23

199

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

As of April 2023, August elections are no longer permitted except for local governments or school districts in fiscal emergency. Just out of curiosity, I looked to see if there was anything other than Issue 1 on the August 8 ballot anywhere in the state. The answer is no.

8

33

189

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

8 months

The Ohio Constitution prohibits the Ballot Board from prescribing ballot language that is impermissibly argumentative such that it may "mislead, deceive, or defraud the voters." Seems like this is an admission of the board chairman that the adopted language was argumentative.

@jpelzer

Jeremy Pelzer

8 months

Ohio Secretary of State @FrankLaRose says the rewrites to the ballot language of Issue 1 that he helped push through were written with the help of anti-abortion groups in a way intended to help defeat it, @AndrewJTobias reports

60

157

289

5

49

185

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

BREAKING: Apparently Tim Ryan is singlehandedly responsible for the industrial decline in Youngstown that started in 1977 (arguably before that) when he was *checks watch* four years old.

1

20

183

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 months

The last precinct is in, and the final unofficial tally is: Rulli (R): 32,627 (54.6%) Kripchak (D): 27,062 (45.3%) Rulli (R)+5,565 (9.3%) This district voted for Donald Trump by a margin of 28.7% in 2020.

Tweet media one

10

44

185

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Here is a map of where signatures for the proposed Ohio abortion rights amendment came from. The 60 counties in green met the threshold for 5% of the most recent gubernatorial vote total, which is required to be met in at least 44 counties. Yellow counties fell short of 5%.

Tweet media one

@AndrewJTobias

Andrew Tobias

1 year

Where did the Ohio abortion-rights, marijuana legalization campaigns collect their signatures? See a county-by-county list.

4

7

28

7

36

179

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

4 months

Sec. LaRose is absolutely correct in terms of the letter of the law (see image below). However, this law has been in place since at least 2014 (I'd have to do some digging to find out about pre-2014). The 2020 DNC convention was after the deadline. Why was there no issue then?

Tweet media one

@NBCNews

NBC News

4 months

Ohio’s secretary of state signals that the Democratic National Convention may take place too late for President Biden to appear on the general election ballot in the state, according to a letter obtained by @NBCNews .

166

113

283

22

28

181

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

There are many similarities between this proposed commission & the Michigan Independent Citizens Redistricting Commission, which was passed in 2018 with over 60% of the vote. The MICRC is largely considered the most successful such commission during the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Tweet media one

@karenkasler

Karen Kasler

1 year

An amendment to create a 15-member citizen-appointed panel to draw state legislative & Congressional maps instead of the Republican-dominated Ohio Redistricting Commission has been filed, aimed for Nov 2024 ballot. Group includes Republican former Chief Justice Maureen O'Connor.

36

391

2K

4

42

173

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

The latest map submitted to the Ohio Redistricting Commission website. This is definitely legal and a fair map, right? 10D-5R

Tweet media one

20

8

138

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

@CincySeitz @DavidPepper If imposing unconstitutional legislative districts on citizens who voted overwhelmingly for the very constitutional framework being violated AND having the commission completely ignore an OH SC order is "winning", then yes, I suppose you did "win."

@CincySeitz

Representative Bill Seitz

2 years

@DavidPepper Too bad so sad. We win again.

285

5

92

1

10

136

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

It's the final week of early voting for Ohio's August 8 Special Election 🗳 This week is the only week of early voting with extended and weekend hours! Mon: 7:30a-7:30p Tue: 7:30a-8:30p Wed: 7:30a-7:30p Thu: 7:30a-7:30p Fri: 7:30a-7:30p Sat: 8:00a-4:00p Sun: 1:00p-5:00p

10

99

134

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

In 2006, five-term incumbent Rep. Ted Strickland retired from Ohio's 6th district in the US House of Reps to run for Ohio Governor. The Democratic primary to fill the open seat was a bit unusual...

Tweet media one

3

12

129

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

The city of Columbus has filed an amicus brief with the Ohio Supreme Court, urging the court to cancel the 8/8 special election for proposed constitutional amendment on the grounds that the General Assembly did not have the ability to establish the election in the way they did.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

5

33

133

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

9 months

I'm excited to share a project I've been working on for some time: A live, interactive map for tomorrow's election results in Ohio! There is one page for Issue 1 () and another for Issue 2 () For more on the data, read below (🧵)...

7

40

134

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

5 months

Let's not forget what Mike DeWine knows about beating Sherrod Brown.

Tweet media one

@AndrewJTobias

Andrew Tobias

5 months

Inbox: Gov. Mike DeWine has endorsed Matt Dolan for Senate. I’m frankly surprised to see him get involved in a competitive primary like this. He says he and First Lady Fran DeWine believe “this proven conservative is the strongest candidate to beat Sherrod Brown in the fall.”

7

11

55

9

13

137

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

The last hurrah for Mahoning Valley Democrats? Incumbent Democratic Mahoning County Commissioner Carol Rimedio-Righetti won reelection by a razor-thin margin of 137 votes after having won by nearly 20 points 4 years ago (and fellow Dem commissioners matching that margin in 2020).

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

5

18

132

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

3 years

@evilcoln @jbalmert Per the Ohio Constitution, "The supreme court of Ohio shall have exclusive, original jurisdiction in all cases arising under this article." The legal framework for the lawsuits can only be enforced by Ohio Supreme Court.

2

6

122

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

. @GovMikeDeWine says this as if he doesn't know why the process didn't work, as if he doesn't realize he and the other statewide elected officials on the commission did not serve as the check on the legislative members that they were supposed to.

@dskolnick

David Skolnick

1 year

. @GovMikeDeWine on redistricting

Tweet media one

8

1

9

12

43

127

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Good thing @FrankLaRose is going to require a 60% majority for this to pass.

Tweet media one

@elonmusk

Elon Musk

2 years

Reinstate former President Trump

203K

205K

770K

5

20

126

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

The @OHSupremeCourt is wasting literally zero time & ordering the Ohio Redistricting Commission to explain to the court why the commission should not be held in contempt. Response to be filed by noon Wednesday.

Tweet media one

6

24

122

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

In this Obama+32/Obama+34/Clinton+3/Trump+1 suburb of Youngstown, I have seen exactly zero signs urging a Yes vote on Issue 1. Vote No and "Save Our Deer" signs have them far outnumbered. I've got issue 1 at a tossup between "No" and "Deer."

13

8

125

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

The Ohio House Constitutional Resolutions Committee is planning for a potential vote on SJR2, the Senate version of the 60% voter threshold to approve constitutional amendments, on Tuesday 5/2. Surely, announcing this at 4:47PM on a Friday is purely coincidental.

Tweet media one

2

74

122

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

I cannot believe I'm listening to 2 women who represent districts won by Biden make up things about Issue 1 on the Ohio Senate floor to justify their resolution to formally oppose it. Both districts will very likely vote Yes on Issue 1 by double digits, likely north of Yes+20%.

6

8

121

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

8 months

The Ohio Supreme Court, in a 4-3 decision, has granted motions by Senator McColley, Rep. LaRe, & Secretary LaRose to dismiss challenges to the newly adopted state house/senate maps. This effectively ok's the maps for use in 2024 and likely until 2030.

Tweet media one

21

60

117

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Ohio's convoluted (or illegal, unconstitutional, expensive—honestly, pick your own adjective) redistricting process led to a flurry of litigation that drove CD-1 from Biden+0.7% (left) in the 1st iteration to Biden+8.5% (right) in the 2nd, against the wishes of Ohio GOP leaders🧵

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

6

21

116

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

@FrankLaRose @SherrodBrown It's one thing when Republicans pretend to support collective bargaining rights. It is an entirely different thing when the guy who literally cast the *DECIDING* yea vote on the single most anti-union piece of legislation in recent Ohio history does it.

0

18

113

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

I am old enough to remember when @BrianStewartOH & @FrankLaRose first introduced HJR6 and claimed that the signature-gathering process was already hard enough and making it more difficult would only benefit special interests (which is what they're against). What's different now?

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

3

31

106

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

I guess it's not just Franklin County that has seen long lines for early voting. This line isn't much shorter than the one @joingles shared yesterday that had about 375 people in it. Looks like this line is a little over 200 people long.

@DavidPepper

David Pepper

1 year

VIDEO: Lots of people voting early in BLUE Hamilton County/Cincinnati today. And line is moving fast. Get in line by 4 wherever you are in Ohio. WATCH:

282

2K

7K

6

30

102

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Honestly, I'm just waiting for SCOTUS to rule the US Constitution is unconstitutional because why not

6

19

102

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

In 2022, 3-term State Rep. & Assistant Minority Leader & Pres. of the Legislative Black Caucus, Thomas West (D-Canton), lost reelection by over 7% in a district that went from Biden+1.3% to Biden+1.5% in redistricting despite carrying the old Biden+1.3% district by 9.6% in 2020.

Tweet media one

6

17

99

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

26 days

This week, 747,430 signatures were turned in to get @CitizenMapsOH on the ballot. In addition to needing 413,487 to be valid, there must be a certain number from each of any 44 counties. Here's a map showing where the campaign says they've reached the county-level requirement.

Tweet media one

2

19

100

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

@Rob_McColley A marathon isn't won in the first mile, and a baseball game isn't won in the third inning. Don't count your chickens before they've hatched, Senator. Here are the final results.

Tweet media one

1

5

97

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

The new state budget passed this summer stripped the State Board of Education of most of its power, putting it in the hands of an office controlled by the governor. This came after Democratic-aligned candidates performed well in recent elections, most notably District 9 in 2020.

Tweet media one

5

28

97

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

9 months

Something of note: State Senator Niraj Antani does not live in Ohio's 2nd congressional district but rather the 10th, currently held by Mike Turner (R-Dayton). While not a requirement to live in a congressional district to run in it, carpetbagging only stands to hurt a campaign.

Tweet media one

@haleybemiller

Haley BeMiller

9 months

New this morning: @NirajAntani is running for Congress in OH-02.

7

7

5

12

12

97

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

I've drawn a number of General Assembly maps that (I believe) comply with the many (mostly absurd) rules laid out in the Ohio Constitution. Until now, I've not considered incumbents. This time, I considered all current, non-term limited (in 2024) incumbents. Here are the maps:

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

10

15

94

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Ohio saw 52.3% Voter Turnout in the Nov 2022 Election. Here's a map of turnout by county, where green counties had higher than average turnout and yellow counties had lower than average turnout. Cities like Cleveland, Toledo, Dayton, & Youngstown saw especially low turnout.

Tweet media one

5

32

93

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

In 2022, 1-term incumbent State Rep. Dan Troy was the only Democrat in the Ohio General Assembly to be elected in a district (contested by both major parties) won by Trump in 2020. With a D+4.4% boost from redistricting, Troy managed to win this Trump+2% district by 3%.

Tweet media one

4

14

94

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

As part of my ongoing discussion of how terrible voter turnout was in Ohio's urban areas, here is a look at turnout in Ohio's 15 largest cities in the last 3 even-year elections. Urban turnout has historically been bad, but it really fell through the floor this year. 🧵

Tweet media one

4

32

92

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

A congressional district that voted for Trump entirely within counties that voted for Biden and a congressional district that voted for Biden entirely within counties that voted for Trump.

Tweet media one

5

5

91

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Matt Huffman, today: we didn't have enough time to effectively sell our message. Matt Huffman's majority whip, Theresa Gavarone, April 26th:

@haleybemiller

Haley BeMiller

1 year

Senate President Matt Huffman said the "yes" campaign didn't have enough time to effectively sell their message. He anticipates this kind of question coming before Ohio voters again, but not next year.

5

4

9

11

25

85

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

A point made by Issue 1 supporters: the OH Constitution is too long (often measured in comparison to that of the US) Why is OH's longer? Because the US Constitution limits federal powers to relatively few things, leaving all else to the states, which state constitutions address

@AdamCBird

Adam Bird

1 year

The US Constitution can fit in your pocket.The Ohio Constitution could never fit in your pocket because it has been amended so many times. Vote YES on Issue 1 to protect Ohio’s Constitution from liberal special interests who want to buy their way into Ohio. Vote YES!

Tweet media one

176

16

81

6

14

89

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 months

I don't believe Ohio's 6th congressional district has ever included Portsmouth (and it certainly hasn't at any point in the last 50 years). It wasn't until 2022 that it included Youngstown, which is when it no longer came anywhere near Portsmouth.

Tweet media one

@DaveYostOH

Attorney General Dave Yost

2 months

If you live near the Ohio River between Youngstown and Portsmouth, you’re electing a Congressman today. The other guy may be a fine man, but he’s for Joe Biden’s reckless agenda. Get out and vote in this special election for common sense, freedom and prosperity! @michaelrulli

Tweet media one

59

21

82

7

7

90

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

8 months

I said it the last 2 years, & I'll say it again now. Ohio State isn't going to beat Michigan when Michigan has a redistricting commission that is infinitely better than Ohio's commission (& actually respects its own governing rules). Maybe next year after we pass @CitizenMapsOH

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

I said it last year, & I'll say it again this year: OSU could've won if Ohio followed new redistricting reforms. While Ohio's process subverted the reforms, Michigan's has become a model. At this rate, OSU will never win until Ohio gets in independent redistricting commission.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

1

15

85

6

13

86

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

"Huffman floated two paths: we continue breaking the law and get the blessing of my buds on the court, or we break the law even harder and get the blessing of my buds on the court" (slight paraphrase)

@jbalmert

Jessie Balmert

1 year

On Wednesday, Senate President Matt Huffman floated two paths forward for Ohio's congressional map. Either lawmakers could craft a new map before the end of September or they could ask the Ohio Supreme Court to reconsider its decision on the current map.

43

38

108

4

35

85

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

@FrankLaRose You were under a court order to produce maps in compliance with the Ohio Constitution. Not to produce maps in compliance if and only if they can be implemented for the 2022 election without emergency legislation (which is another argument). Spoiler alert: You didn't do that.

2

2

85

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

I am old enough to remember when DeWine had the power to significantly reduce the (illegal, mind you) overwhelming Republican majority in the General Assembly by drawing constitutional district maps.

@karenkasler

Karen Kasler

2 years

“Ohio Gov. Mike DeWine said he would not endorse such gun-control proposals, because he believes they have no chance of passing in the state’s GOP-led Legislature” and instead proposed spending “a significant amount of money” on school security.

29

14

31

7

21

86

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Wow, 4 from Ohio. With the 4 Dems, that makes half of Ohio's House delegation. With both Senators voting in favor, over half of Ohio's congressional delegation voted yes. 10/18

@DaniellaMicaela

Daniella Diaz

@DaniellaMicaela

2 years

14 YES GOP VOTES: Liz Cheney Adam Kinzinger Tom Rice John Katko Maria Salazar Chris Jacobs Brian Fitzpatrick Peter Meijer Fred Upton Steve Chabot Mike Turner David Joyce Anthony Gonzalez of Ohio Tony Gonzalez of Texas

96

226

831

5

9

83

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

I said it last year, & I'll say it again this year: OSU could've won if Ohio followed new redistricting reforms. While Ohio's process subverted the reforms, Michigan's has become a model. At this rate, OSU will never win until Ohio gets in independent redistricting commission.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

1

15

85

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

7 months

On Nov 7th, Ohio voters simultaneously voted to enshrine abortion rights in the state constitution and to legalize recreational adult use cannabis by a nearly identical margin. However, the results in a given area in the state often differed greatly, shown here by municipality.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

3

27

83

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

70.2% verfication rate in Hamilton, 66.5% in Franklin, ~65% in Cuyahoga. It needed about 59% across the state to make the ballot. It's very hard to see how it doesn't make the ballot at this point.

@jbalmert

Jessie Balmert

1 year

In Franklin County, the proposed abortion rights amendment had 53,693 valid signatures, 66.5% of the 80,755 submitted.

1

4

16

3

6

77

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

9 months

Want to help correct the typo in the Citizens Not Politicians amendment to create an Independent Redistricting in Ohio? Stop by one of these locations this weekend and sign a petition:

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

Tweet media four

6

52

80

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

Unofficial results in Clark County had No winning by just 1 vote. Official results show that No expanded its lead with provisional & late-arriving absentee ballots. Those additional ballots broke 147 (58.6%)No-104(41.4%) Yes. This shifted the overall results 0.14% towards No.

Tweet media one

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Issue 1 results in Clark County No currently leads by 1 vote in final unofficial results All 77 precincts saw No overperform Joe Biden Biggest overperformance: Springfield City 26 (Trump+16.2% ➡️ No+32.4%) Smallest overperformance: Springfield City 6 (Biden+40.4% ➡️ No+43.0%)

Tweet media one

2

13

66

2

11

78

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

For the August Special election 4,679 ballots were cast but not counted towards either "Yes" or "No." That is 1.5% of all ballots cast in the election. Typically 1.5% is a decent undervote rate, but this election only had 1 issue. There was nothing else to vote on.

9

7

78

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Good morning, Ohio! Today is election day. Polls open at 6:30AM and will remain open until 7:30PM this evening. As long as you are in line by 7:30PM, you will be able to cast your ballot. Check your polling location before you head to the polls:

Tweet card media

Polling Location Search

Resources for Ohio Voters.

www.ohiosos.gov

2

41

80

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

The Franklin County Board of Elections is in the process of certifying election results. The official results for Ohio House of Reps District 5 are: -Brown (D)-17,429 -Beach (R)-17,284 Brown+145 (D+0.4%) This is within the automatic recount, which will begin on 12/9 at 9am.

4

9

74

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

@CincySeitz @DavidPepper But, alas, that is not winning. It is cheating and undermining democracy. But who cares about those silly things? 🙄🥴

1

3

77

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

4 months

A great point made here. Under the interpretation LaRose is using, the only candidates that should have qualified to appear on the 2020 ballot should have been Howie Hawkins (G) and Jo Jorgensen (L).

@MarcyStans

MarcyKapturStans 🥥🌴🇺🇲 (KHive Era)

4 months

I respect Guru - but, he fails to mention in 2020 the RNC was on 8/24/2020 - why was this law passed in 2014 with the same SoS running the presidential election of 2020 allowed to happen at all? Are we having selective enforcement of this law? Why is it selective?

2

13

58

9

7

80

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

The fact that we are celebrating 38% turnout as being high is a sad state of affairs. Is it higher than just about anyone would have predicted? Yes. Does that make it any less troubling? Not really. A supermajority of voters simply didn't vote.

@FrankLaRose

Frank LaRose

1 year

Just as I predicted in my April Senate testimony: The August Special Election had an amazing turnout of 38% and more than 3 million Ohio voters made their voices heard on Tuesday. Our state is great because of our engaged, patriotic citizens, something we should all be proud of

303

10

79

9

9

79

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

@BrianStewartOH They didn't reverse course in claiming the map is unconstitutional. They simply concluded constitutional compliance is impossible in the face of a commission hell bent on not following the constitution. Why should they expend resources litigating when even if they win, they lose?

3

1

73

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Issue 1 results in Butler County No overperformed Joe Biden in 287/291 precincts. Biggest overperformance: Oxford City 12 (Biden+66.4% ➡️ No+100%) Biggest underperformance: West Chester Twp. (Biden+60.4% ➡️ No+46.5%) If outstanding votes break 67-32 No, the county will flip.

Tweet media one

5

12

71

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Thread on how the proposed Ohio Independent Redistricting Commission would be formed and eventually operate🧵...

2

12

74

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Issue 1 results in Delaware County (Trump+6.9%➡️No+15.4%) 169/170 precincts saw No overperform Joe Biden. The only underperformance: Delaware City 4-H, a low turnout OWU student precinct (Biden+24.1%➡️No+11.3%) Biggest overperformance: Sunbury City D (Trump+26.6%➡️No+15.9%)

Tweet media one

3

11

72

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

How long will it take men to realize that issues occur during pregnancies and if their wife has an issue with her third pregnancy and cannot access life-saving care, he will be left widowed to raise his two children? Speaking as someone who would have been one of those children.

2

15

73

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

The "Ohio Model" of "representative democracy" involves ignoring the state constitution and over half a dozen court orders in a pursuit to unconstitutionally draw legislative districts to favor a political party. Tell me again how that "restore[s] faith" because you lost me...

@FrankLaRose

Frank LaRose

1 year

I’m in DC this week talking to other states’ election officials and our Congressional leaders about Ohio’s innovative solutions to election security and voter confidence. The “Ohio Model” can help restore faith in our representative democracy nationwide.

Tweet media one

147

14

124

1

20

72

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

@MaxMaaxMaaax Her emails haunted her even before many Americans even had an email.

0

1

69

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

On August 8, by a margin of 14%, Ohio voters rejected Issue 1, a Republican-backed proposed constitutional amendment to make future constitutional amendments harder to pass by (among other things) requiring at least a 60% majority of voters to approve future proposed amendments.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

4

13

68

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

Perhaps the most troubling part of SCOTUS's Louisiana redistricting case today is the apparent inconsistent application of the Purcell Doctrine. In the Alabama Case, 106 days before the primary was too soon. In the Wisconsin case, 139 days wasn't. Today, 133 days is too soon.

2

26

70

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 months

Important takeaway from tonight. The Rulli family name carried Rulli to a 2% under performance in Mahoning County and a 13% under performance in Columbiana County. If those two looked anything like the 20-50 point underperformances elsewhere, Rulli wouldn't be going to Congress.

@DrewSav

Drew Savicki

2 months

@kkondik Basically Rulli's name rec across Mahoning Valley provided his entire margin. If the other candidate had won the primary, I think the Democrat would have won.

2

6

70

4

14

71

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

9 months

With unofficial tallies, Ohio voted just 0.08% less for pro-choice on Issue 1 than Michigan did its abortion rights amendment, Proposition 3, from last year. Once late-arriving absentees arrive and provisionals are counted, I would expect Ohio to end up being more pro-choice.

4

9

71

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

Issue 1 results in Clark County No currently leads by 1 vote in final unofficial results All 77 precincts saw No overperform Joe Biden Biggest overperformance: Springfield City 26 (Trump+16.2% ➡️ No+32.4%) Smallest overperformance: Springfield City 6 (Biden+40.4% ➡️ No+43.0%)

Tweet media one

2

13

66

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

"No" ran ahead of Joe Biden's 2020 performance quite literally everywhere. It outperformed in every Congressional District District, every State Senate District, every State House District, and every county.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

3

17

69

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 year

The best part of the proposed Ohio Citizens Independent Redistricting Commission? This:

Tweet media one

4

6

68

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

With a vote of 5-0, the motion carries, and the Ballot Board officially determines that the proposal contains only one amendment. The Citizens not Politicians campaign can now begin collecting over 400,000 valid signatures by July 3, 2024 in order to make the Nov 2024 ballot.

2

19

67

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

@ReedReports She might be the only adult in the room, so we can't help but look up to her! Setting that aside, she has also (indirectly) produced gems like this:

@BadLipReading

Bad Lip Reading

2 years

Secret congressional codenames revealed during roll call #politics

1K

11K

58K

1

4

67

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

1st map of the 2022 Election! Incumbent Dem State Rep @reprichbrown faced @RLB4forStateRep in a newly drawn HD-5 that went from Biden+20 to Biden+3 in redistricting. In the closest statehouse race in Ohio this year, Beach squeaked out a win by an (unofficial) margin of 96 votes

Tweet media one

8

12

62

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

3 months

According to Ohio voter rolls, this person has been registered to vote since 1991 & has never voted (readily available records only go back to 2000). Despite their apparent death in 1999 & Ohio's frequent inactive voter purges, they're still on the rolls.

@rooster_ohio

The Rooster

3 months

Oh for sure man. Here’s a guy who died over 25 years ago that is still on the rolls despite your purges.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

4

22

151

2

20

65

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

No won: -Every legislative district currently held by a Democrat -65/99 House districts (including 33 currently held by a Republican) -22/33 Senate districts (including 15 currently held by a Republican) -9/15 Congressional districts (including 4 currently held by a Republican)

2

16

63

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 months

Here is a list of the 29 representatives that voted yes on SJR2 even though their districts rejected Issue 1 (and by how much their district rejected it): HD-36: Andrea White (No+33.1%) HD-52: Gayle Manning (No+29.7%) HD-31: Bill Roemer (No+28.5%) HD-41: Josh Williams (No+27.6%)

1

24

64

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

Today, Ohio AG Dave Yost is expected to approve or deny, as not "fair and truthful," the petition summary drafted by @CitizenMapsOH to create an independent citizens redistricting commission. It's been denied twice so far. Yost identified just 1 flaw with the second submission.

8

8

60

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

11 days

Redistricting Yes+39 overall and Yes+13 among Republicans (!!) is music to my ears. Can't say it's that surprising when the 2015 redistricting reform was Yes+40, while 2018 was Yes+50.

@rooster_ohio

The Rooster

11 days

Patriots Caucus wire report: Ohioans disgusted with Joe Biden, Sherrod Brown leads Bernie Moreno, and Redistricting Amendment will start with a massive lead.

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

14

15

114

3

17

67

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

9 months

Rep. Gross is pushing hard against the newly approved state constitutional amendment guaranteeing the right to abortion. She represents a district that, according to unofficial results, voted in favor of the amendment. (corrected previous tweet)

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

@jenniferforrep

JenniferGrossOHStateRep

@jenniferforrep

9 months

We.Are.Not.Done.

Tweet media one

777

55

262

9

13

59

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

Any state house district that keeps Athens County (the only county in SE Ohio that still votes reliably—or at all—for Democrats) whole would have a >90% chance of electing a Republican these days. But that wasn't enough. The city of Athens had to be carved out. For why?

3

9

60

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

With one week until election day, here is your reminder that you can vote any day between now and then! Tue 11/1: 8am-7pm Wed 11/2: 8am-7pm Thu 11/3: 8am-7pm Fri 11/4: 8am-7pm Sat 11/5: 8am-4pm Sun 11/6: 1pm-5pm Mon 11/7: 8am-2pm Election Day Tue 11/8: 6:30am-7:30pm

3

36

58

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

A lot of talk of incumbents with the maps introduced by GOP members of the Ohio Redistricting Commission today, so how are incumbents really impacted? First, House Republicans that get more vulnerable (1 total): -Steve Demetriou (Trump+19.9➡️Trump+5)

3

17

59

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

In the Gubernatorial race, Mike DeWine outran every GOP congressional nominee & was the only statewide GOP nominee to outrun Mike Turner in OH10. Turner has long been an overperformer, but DeWine beat him in the home district of both gubernatorial nominees. Breakdown: 13R-2D

Tweet media one

Tweet media two

Tweet media three

3

16

59

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

1 month

By comparison, for last year's abortion rights amendment, supports submitted 709,787 signatures, 495,938 of which were valid, a 69.9% validation rate. I have a hard time seeing this amendment failing to make the ballot.

@karenkasler

Karen Kasler

1 month

Monday preview: group backing amendment to replace Ohio Redistricting Commission with 15 member panel of Republicans, Democrats and independents who aren’t politicians submits signatures to put it on Nov. 5 ballot - will need 413,487 valid ones

Tweet media one

16

137

398

3

16

59

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

2 years

In 2020, Speaker of the OH House of Reps, Larry Householder, was indicted on corruption charges related to an alleged bribery scheme. Because he was charged after the primary (& no other party fielded a candidate), he was the only name to appear on the Nov ballot & won reelection

Tweet media one

3

14

57

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

4 months

Frankly, the DNC should have done some homework before scheduling their convention (but also nothing relevant in Ohio law has changed since 2020, and it was fine then). Denying ballot access over this sort of thing is just the most asinine thing, especially to the average voter.

2

1

58

@OPoliticsguru

Ohio PoliticsGuru

10 months

Remember during every state legislative redraw in 2022 when the Republican commissioners cried that 10 days was not enough time to redraw the maps? The commission convened for the first (real) time just 6 days ago for this redraw and are poised to pass maps tonight...

1

7

53