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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #MaricopaCounty , #Arizona Trump: 2,999 (43.7%) Biden: 3,753 (54.7%) Jorgensen: 110 (1.6%) Total: 6,862 Biden's current statewide lead: 20,102 (Up from 19,348) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

We have seen enough. Based off of the last Maricopa County ballot drop, it does not appear plausible that Donald Trump will be able to make up his deficit with the ballots left to be counted. We believe Joe Biden will win the state of Arizona. #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : Arizona Senators' and Senate Candidates' Favorability Ratings Total Fav/Total Unfav Martha McSally: 44/51 Kyrsten Sinema: 56/32 Mark Kelly: 54/37 n = 600 LVs, MoE +/- 4.0%, Survey Conducted 9/8 - 9/10

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

NEW State of GOP Poll Governor's Race: Kari Lake: 51% Karrin Taylor Robson: 33% Matt Salmon: 2% Scott Neely: 1% Paola Tulliani-Zen: 1% Undecided: 12% Full Release here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : Approval of Governor Ducey's handling of the #Coronavirus (change since June) Strongly Approve: 7% (-12) SW Approve: 28% (-12) SW Disapprove: 26% (+3) Strongly Disapprove: 37% (+23) Unsure/No Opinion 2% (-1) MoE +/-4.0% Read more here

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Two more ballot drops added in AZ. Biden's lead decreased from 17,131 to 15,432 Cochise Trump: 2,315 (67.4%) Biden: 1,017 (29.6%) Jorgensen: 105 (3.1%) La Paz T: 587 (74.6%) B: 186 (23.6%) J: 14 (1.8%) Total: 4224 #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL Biden has a marginal lead over Trump in Arizona. #BattlegroundAZ #2020Election Biden (D): 49% (+3) Trump (R): 46% Jorgensen (LBT): 3% Undecided: 1% n= 716 LVs MoE +/- 3.7% Survey Conducted 10/22-10/25 Read more here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

#OHPIPowerRanking Top 10: Ranking No. 1 among all registered voters is AZ Secretary of State @katiehobbs Overall: #1 Name ID: 83% Net Fav: +21% Demographic/Experience Score: 6.82 More Analysis & Full Rankings Here >

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

According to our latest #OHPIPowerRanking , @katiehobbs is going to make quite the formidable candidate in the 2022 gubernatorial race. The highest-ranked individual in our latest Power Ranking is now making a run for Arizona's highest office

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Biden approval increases among younger voters & Hispanics: 18-34 Y/O: 38% to 59% 35-44 Y/O: 35% to 48% Hispanics: 44% to 58% Full release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

1 year

Kari Lake is set to launch an #AZSEN run soon. Our latest #AZPOP data tested matchups with Gallego, Lake, & Sinema. Gallego v. Lake: Gallego +10 (45%, 35%) Gallego v. Lake v. Sinema: Gallego +8, Sinema & Lake statistically tie with 1/4 voter support

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#OHPI #POLL : @SenatorSinema 's approval rating is sky high for a #Democrat in a once-ruby-red state like #Arizona . Almost two-thirds of voters have a favorable opinion of the Senator. Read more here --->

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

🚨 #AZSEN Broadcast Spending🚨 10/10 - 10/16 Total $ spent = 13.7m Share of voice by dollars 🔵 Pro-Kelly = 49% 🔴 Pro-Masters = 51% First time Masters has outspent Kelly in Ad spending 📢Share of voice by GRP 🔵 Pro-Kelly = 76% 🔴 Pro-Masters = 24% Source @MediumBuying

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#OHPI #POLL : @CaptMarkKelly has doubled his lead over @MarthaMcSally since our last poll. Read more here-- Captain Mark Kelly: 49% Senator Martha McSally: 42% Undecided: 8%

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : #Presidential race in #Arizona (Change Since July) @JoeBiden (D): 49% (+/- 0) @realDonaldTrump (R): 45% (+1) N=603, MoE +/- 4.0%, Survey Conducted 8/3/20 - 8/4/20

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : Arizona Presidential Race (Change Since August) @JoeBiden : 52% (+3) @realDonaldTrump : 42% (-3) n = 600 LVs, MoE +/-4.0%, Survey Conducted 9/8 - 9/10 Full analysis here >

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New #Poll from #OHPI #AZPOP on #AZSEN race (D) Kelly 51% (+9) (R) McSally 42% Undecided 7% AZ 2020 GE LV n=600 MoE +/-4% Link to results/release here

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Despite some election denialism among the GOP, 75% of Arizona registered voters believe the new Arizona Governor was elected legitimately, including firm majorities of Democrats (93%), Independents (76%), and Republicans (58%).

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

NEW AZ POLL: Ruben Gallego is leading all his potential competitors (a good sign for Gallego) but in no matchup does he exceed the 50% mark (a good sign for the GOP and Kyrsten Sinema). AZ Senate: Gallego Leads in All Head-To-Head Matchups

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Total Raised in the month of September by Presidential Campaigns: @JoeBiden : $281.6m @realDonaldTrump : $81.3m Source: 2020 October Monthly FEC Filings

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

A Tale of Two Election Days - Early Vote vs. Election Day in #BattlegroundAZ #2020Election #Trends

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

NEW AZPOP POLL: AZ Gov race support from likely voters: Kari Lake: 29% Karin Taylor-Robson: 22% Matt Salmon: 11% Steve Gaynor: 3% Undecided: 35% Full release here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Favorability insights from our latest #AZPOP #survey President @JoeBiden enjoys strong approval in the Grand Canyon State, clocking in at 55% overall approval and 40% overall disapproval.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : Top Issues to Arizona Voters Education: 28% Health Care: 25% Jobs/Economy: 21% Immigration: 13% n = 600 LVs, MoE +/- 4.0%, Survey Conducted 9/8 - 9/10

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

The new #OHPI live ballot tracker is in, showing you what still needs to be counted and the outcome of this tossup race. It's interactive, so you can download and come up with your own scenario - follow the link to try it out!

Arizona Senate Projection

docs.google.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

1 year

NEW #AZGOV Job Approval numbers for AZ Governor Katie Hobbs via #OHPI #AZPOP Hobbs Job Approval by Party Affiliation Republicans drive disapproval, Democrats drive approval, and Independents are split on their opinion.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZ06 #BroadcastSpending Reservations 10/7 – 11/3 Hiral Tipirneni (D): $1.3m Dem-aligned outside groups: $1.2m David Schweikert (R): $228k GOP-aligned outside groups: $0 Source: @MediumBuying

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

#OHPI / @abc15 #Poll : #AZSen (R) @RepMcSally 52% (+7) (D) @kyrstensinema 45% (G) Angela Green 1% Undecided 2% Keep an eye out tomorrow for OHPI's press release on the #AZSen Race

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

According to our calculations, the President needed today's and future ballot drops to look like they did on Wednesday and Thursday to be able to overtake VP Biden's lead. They did not, and future drops do not appear on track to do so.

Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn

4 years

Arizona late ballots by day (possible i don't have my time stamps exactly right here, but close enough): Weds: Trump+23 Thurs: Trump+17 Fri: Trump+12

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#POLL : As the presidential race in #Arizona heats up, @JoeBiden is leading @realDonaldTrump by 7 points! Read more here ->

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #MaricopaCounty , #Arizona Trump: 38,388 (53.4%) Biden: 31,433 (43.7%) Jorgensen: 2,111 (2.9%) Total: 71,932 Biden's current statewide lead: 29,861 (Down from 36,816) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

According to our latest #OHPIPowerRanking , @Adrian_Fontes could make some waves as a candidate for AZ SoS in the 2022 election. Democrats and the all-important Independents awarded Fontes high marks in our May AZPOP

Adrian Fontes

@Adrian_Fontes

3 years

I’m listening to AZ. I’m getting ready. Watch, and stay tuned for more… #ProtectDemocracy

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #Coconino County, #Arizona Trump: 2,568 (45.0%) Biden: 2,953 (51.7%) Jorgensen: 192 (3.4%) Total: 5,713 #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

🚨New AZPOP data🚨 The survey revealed AZ likely voters put Kelly in a 12-point lead over Masters to win the U.S. Senate election Mark Kelly: 47% Blake Masters: 35% Marc Victor: 6% Unsure: 12% Full Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Our latest #AZPOP results revealed that #Republicans have a statistically significant lead on the Generic Congressional Ballot (40% R, 36% D) for the first time since February of 2019

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #YumaCounty , #Arizona Trump: 2,337 (48.2%) Biden: 2,361 (48.7%) Jorgensen: 148 (3.1%) Total: 4,846 Biden's current statewide lead: 39,424 (Up from 39,400) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Favorability of Arizona Candidates among likely voters: a thread Governor's Race: Kari Lake- Republican Name ID: 95% Favorable: 45% Unfavorable: 44% Katie Hobbs - Democrat Name ID: 93% Favorable: 42% Unfavorable: 43%

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

AZ Secretary of State Race Mark Finchem (REP): 43% Adrian Fontes (DEM): 41% Since the September poll, the share of undecideds has decreased by 8 points, with more than half of them throwing their support behind Fontes Full release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : #Presidential margins in different regions of #Arizona #MaricopaCounty : Biden +7 #PimaCounty : Biden +27 #RuralCounties : Trump +16 N=603, MoE +/- 4.0%, Survey Conducted 8/3/20 - 8/4/20

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : #Senate matchup in #Arizona Mark Kelly (D): 52% Martha McSally (R): 43% n=600, MoE +/- 4.0% Check out the full release here

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

5 years

#OHPI #POLL : Former Astronaut @ShuttleCDRKelly Gained 6-points on @SenMcSallyAZ Since May – Now Leading by 5-Points Check out the release here ->

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Check our latest analysis regarding #COIVD -19 in #Arizona ! We went back to March and reviewed the relationship between the daily COVID-19 cases and the Google Community Mobility indicator. Check it out here ->

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Even with an endorsement from former President #Trump , Kari Lake is struggling to bring new voters into her camp January’s #AZPOP has the former FOX10 anchor at 21% (a 7-point decrease from November) Full #AZGOV Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

9 months

#AZPOP Data: A plurality of Arizona voters choose Republicans as the preferred party to lead Arizona.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

#OHPI / @KTAR #POLL : Check out a glimpse into opinions of #Arizonans on @realDonaldTrump 's decision to #shutdown the government for a border wall!

Arizonan's Oppose the Government Shutdown

Individuals were asked: Do you support or oppose President Trump's decision to shut down the federal government over funding a wall along the U.S./Mexico border?

vimeo.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#Arizona #Presidential Broadcast Spending for the week of 9/5 - 9/11 Trump Campaign: $216k GOP-aligned outside groups: $320k Biden Campaign: $2.29m Dem-aligned outside groups: $233k Source: @MediumBuying

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

President Biden's job approval by party according to #OHPI 's latest #AZPOP : While Biden is not popular among Republican voters (78% disapprove), R's like the job Biden is doing more than Democrats dislike it (only 6% of D's disapprove). Total: 55% approve/39% disapprove

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Check out this article from @thecentersquare discussing how the No. 1 ranked public figure in our latest #OHPIPowerRanking @katiehobbs has announced her gubernatorial candidacy

Hobbs at top of new public candidate recognition rankings

(The Center Square) - Three Republicans and two Democrats, including one who announced her gubernatorial candidacy Wednesday, are at the top of a ranking of public figures in Arizona.

www.thecentersquare.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Attorney General Race: Abe Hamadeh : 31% Rodney Glassman: 16% Andy Gould: 7% Dawn Grove: 5% Tiffany Shedd: 4% Lacy Cooper: 2% Full release here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Time heals all wounds in the Grand Canyon State as @SenatorSinema 's favorability ratings start to even out and begin to mirror her colleague @CaptMarkKelly Read the full #PressRelease from our latest #AZPOP :

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #SantaCruz County, #Arizona Trump: 590 (41.9%) Biden: 800 (56.8%) Jorgensen: 19 (1.3%) Total: 1,409 Biden's current statewide lead: 43,779 (Up from 43,569) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #ApacheCounty , #Arizona Trump: 30 (20.7%) Biden: 112 (77.2%) Jorgensen: 3 (2.1%) Total: 145 Biden's current statewide lead: 17,058 (Up from 16,976) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

🚨 #AZSEN Broadcast Spending🚨 Reporting dates: 9/19 - 9/25 Total $ spent = 7.5m 📢Share of voice by dollars 💵 🔵 Pro-Kelly = 52% 🔴 Pro-Masters = 48% 📢Share of voice by GRP 🔵 Pro-Kelly = 80% 🔴 Pro-Masters = 20% Source: @MediumBuying 🤓

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

AFTER receiving crime statistics: • 62% of PHX voters blame Mayor @KateWGallego & PHX City Council for the current public safety situation while only 15% blame PHX PD • 76% of PHX voters support increasing funds & resources for police

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Get excited… OH Predictive Insights is heading to Nevada! Our nationally recognized Public Opinion Pulse is extending to the Silver State this July! The Nevada Public Opinion Pulse (NVPOP) survey launches July 6, 2021. Visit our website to learn more

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZPOP #POLL : Donald Trump Job Approval (Change Since August) Strongly Approve: 38% (+1) SW Approve: 8% (-2) SW Disapprove: 5% (+1) Strongly Disapprove: 47% (-1) Unsure/No Opinion: 2% (+1) n = 600 LVs, MoE +/- 4.0%, Survey Conducted 9/8 - 9/10

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

#OHPI / @abc15 #POLL : #AZ Congressional Generic Ballot #Republican - 50% #Democrat - 41% Click here to read the press release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Likely Voter Sentiment on GOP Primary: Kari Lake: 23% Karrin Taylor Robson: 21% Matt Salmon: 14% Another Candidate listed: 4% Unsure: 38% Full release here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

1 year

"Look no further than our top 4 races in Arizona, they were all MAGA, they all ran as a ticket and all of them lost, but the rest of the GOP candidates down ticket won. Coincidence?" - NPI Founder & CEO @MikePNoble How AZ biz leaders are viewing elections:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

🚨Broadcast Spending- month of August, AZ US Senate race🚨 #AZSEN Pro-Mark Kelly: $13.4m Pro-Blake Masters: $4.85m According to data provided by @MediumBuying

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Our #AZPOP finds only one candidate with double-digit support from GOP primary voters: former @FOX10Phoenix anchor @KariLake (25%). @MattSalmonAZ is in a distant 2nd (9%) followed by @KimberlyYeeAZ (6%) 53% of GOP primary voters are undecided Full Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

5 years

#OHPI #AZPOP #POLL : Who would Arizonans cast their vote for? 42% = Republican Candidate 45 % = Democratic Candidate 13% = DK/ Refused

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #Maricopa County, #Arizona Trump: 31,768 (51.4%) Biden: 28,285 (45.8%) Jorgensen: 1,736 (2.8%) Total: 61,789 Biden's current statewide lead: 43,569 (Down from 47,052) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Correction: the vote totals are correct but the percentages should read: Trump: 43.7% Biden: 53.8% Jorgensen: 2.4% It's getting late on a Sunday, hope you can forgive us.

Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #ApacheCounty , #Arizona Trump: 143 (53.8%) Biden: 176 (43.7%) Jorgensen: 8 (2.4%) Total: 327 Biden's current statewide lead: 16,985 (Up from 16,952) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

4 months removed from the midterms, a majority of Arizona voters are extremely or moderately confident that the 2022 midterm elections in Arizona were administered fairly. Election Integrity: So Last Year

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Neither #Virginia nor #NewJersey are key #swingstates at the national level, so what exactly do these results mean for #Arizona – a crucial battleground state & home to the closest election in 2020? Check out our analysis in our latest blog!

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

. @SenatorSinema currently trails in hypothetical primary matchups: Against @RepRubenGallego 47% would support #Gallego , 24% would support Sinema @RepGregStanton leads by an identical margin @Supt_Hoffman bests #Sinema by 20 points Full Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#POLL : Tomorrow, the @AZGOP will be deciding whether or not to censure @dougducey , @JeffFlake , and @cindymccain We recently asked Arizona registered voters for their opinions of these three, along with AZ GOP Chair @kelliwardaz . Here are the results:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#AZ06 broadcast spending for the final stretch of the #2020Election (10/30-11/3) Schweikert Campaign: $74k GOP-aligned outside groups: $70k Tipirneni Campaign: $388k DEM-aligned outside groups: $656k

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Just because #Arizona isn't gaining another Congressional District, doesn't mean our current map is going to stay the same. AZ's Independent Redistricting Commission is going to have some serious rebalancing to do. The current #AZ07 has over 120k more residents than #AZ02 !

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

"Take the once reliably red AZ. Before 2018, both US Senate seats & every statewide office holder was Republican. Today, Democrats have won both Senate seats and the governor’s mansion — something that hasn’t happened in more than 70 years" - @MikePNoble

Republicans struggle in the Southwest as Latino voters stick with Democrats

“The GOP could potentially lose the Southwest for decades to come" if it doesn't take a different tack with Latinos, one independent pollster in the region said.

www.nbcnews.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Republicans won almost every important state legislative race (in AZ and across the country), setting them up well to shape redistricting. Republicans will get to draw 188 out of 435 House seats (43%) compared to Democrats 47 (11%) #Trends

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

“Arizonans are sick & tired of paying nearly 3x what people in other countries pay for the same medicine. There are proposals on the table now that would finally help, and voters want to see action.” - @AARPArizona state Director Dana Kennedy Full Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#OHPI #POLL : #AZ06 Democratic Primary Poll @hiral4congress : 53% @AnitaMalik : 30% @KarlGentlesPR : 3% @Rimmer4Congress : 2% Undecided 12% Survey Conducted 8/3, n = 400, MoE +/-4.9% Read More Here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

New OHPI data🚨 Abortion Sentiment: An overwhelming majority of Arizona voters want abortion to be legal in at least some cases (91%), leaving only 9% of those who believe there should be a total ban on abortion in the state Full release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

#OHPI / @abc15 #POLL : #AZ @realDonaldTrump Job Approval Approval 54% (+8) Disapproval 46% Click here to read the press release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

#OHPI #POLL : Less than six months from the #election and @JoeBiden has a net favorability rating of +6% among #Arizona voters. Read more here ->

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

This map shows the number of votes in each county and the shift in the election margin from 2012 to 2016

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #ApacheCounty , #Arizona Trump: 143 (53.8%) Biden: 176 (43.7%) Jorgensen: 8 (2.4%) Total: 327 Biden's current statewide lead: 16,985 (Up from 16,952) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 months

President Joe Biden visits Arizona this week with his job approval rating at its highest point in more than 2 years.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Two more ballot drops added in AZ. Biden's lead decreased from 20,102 to 16,952 Apache Trump: 1,137 (35%) Biden: 2,063 (63.4%) Jorgensen: 53 (1.6%) Pinal T: 8,567 (63.9%) B: 4,491 (33.5%) J: 359 (2.7%) Total: 16670 #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Stay tuned, though. @MaricopaVote will be releasing updated numbers at 7pm local time (9pm ET)

Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

According to our calculations, the President needed today's and future ballot drops to look like they did on Wednesday and Thursday to be able to overtake VP Biden's lead. They did not, and future drops do not appear on track to do so.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Arizona Public Opinion Pulse (AZPOP) April results #thread Biden Extends Lead in Arizona, Trump's Base Energized Trump v Biden, Head-to-head matchup Biden 52% (+9) Trump 43% Undecided 5% n=600, MoE +/-4%, AZ Likely Voters Link to press release 👇🏼🤓

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

U.S. Senate Race: Mark Kelly- Democrat Name ID: 99% Favorable: 50% Unfavorable: 45% Blake Masters- Republican Name ID: 96% Favorable: 38% Unfavorable: 51%

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

The 2020 election busted the myth that Hispanics can be treated as a national voting bloc. @mottocto of Mottola Consulting says, “The data solidifies what we have seen anecdotally: Latino voters are among the last persuadable electoral groups. They are the new margin for victory”

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Arizona statewide rollout just in... Governor Hobbs (D)- 55.5% Lake (R)- 44.5% U.S. Senate Kelly (D)- 56.4% Masters (R)- 41.3% Secretary of States Fontes (D)- 58.1% Finchem (R)- 41.9% Attorney General Mayes (D)- 55.3% Hamadeh (R)- 44.7%

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

New ballots added in #ApacheCounty , #Arizona Trump: 168 (16.4%) Biden: 842 (82.4%) Jorgensen: 12 (1.2%) Total: 1,022 Biden's current statewide lead: 21,188 (Up from 20,514) #BattlegroundAZ #Election2020 Source:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

“Though Sen. Sinema angered members of the Democratic party’s base, she has plenty of time to get in the[ier] good graces. While she still needs to attract those voters... [her] outreach to R's continues to pay dividends.” - @MikePNoble #AZPOP Full Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

Presidential Broadcast spending in Arizona for the week of 8/29 - 9/4 (campaigns only) @JoeBiden : $1.91 million @realDonaldTrump : $0.00 Source: @MediumBuying

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

5 years

#OHPI #POLL : 2020 Arizona US Senate Race @SenMcSallyAZ : 45% (+1) @ShuttleCDRKelly : 44%

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

5 years

#OHPI #POLL Arizona #Democratic #Primary Horserace shows Joe Biden holding a large lead over Bernie Sanders just before the March 17th #election . @JoeBiden : 45% @BernieSanders : 17% @ewarren : 13% @MikeBloomberg : 12% Other: 4% Unsure: 9% Read more here->

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 months

Congressman John Curtis leads Trump-endorsed Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs by 20 points in the race to succeed retiring Sen. Mitt Romney, 48% to 28%. UTAH POLL OF RECORD: The C’s Have It – Curtis and Cox Clear Frontrunners in Utah GOP Senate Primary

UTAH POLL OF RECORD: The C’s Have It – Curtis and Cox Clear Frontrunners in Utah GOP Senate Primary

Noble Predictive Insights’ (NPI) poll of record on Utah’s GOP Primaries should be encouraging signs for Spencer Cox and John Curtis.

www.noblepredictiveinsights.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

In the now-established battleground state of Arizona, Independent voters are irrefutably a catalyst in elections. Gallego’s net favorability with Independents (+6) is the highest of any of the potential candidates tested.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

#OHPIPowerRanking #Nevada edition Top 10: Ranking No. 3 among all registered voters is former Nevada Attorney General, @AdamLaxalt Overall Name ID: 88% Overall Net Fav: +8% More Analysis & Full Rankings Here >

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

Our latest #AZPOP found that #Biden is underwater by more than 10 points, with a majority of Arizona registered voters disapproving of the job he is doing (55%) and just 42% approval. Full Release:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

4 years

As seen in @thehill Trump statistically tied with Biden in Arizona district the president won by 11 points in 2016: poll

Trump statistically tied with Biden in Arizona district the president won by 11 points in 2016: poll

President Trump is statistically tied with Democratic nominee Joe Biden in an Arizona district that Trump won by 11 points in the 2016 election, according to a poll released Wednesday. Th…

thehill.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

3 years

A new #AZPOP conducted by #OHPI found that nearly three-quarters of #Arizona Democratic voters (72%) want a #Democrat other than @SenatorSinema as their U.S. Senator. Only 26% say they would prefer Sinema. | @KMaxGreenwood via @thehill

Poll shows Sinema’s popularity dropping further among Arizona Democrats

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) could be in serious trouble with Democratic voters when she goes up for reelection in 2024. A new Arizona Public Opinion Pulse conducted by Phoenix-based OH Predi…

thehill.com

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

6 years

#OHPI / @abc15 #Poll : McSally narrowly leads #AZSen race. #Democratic surge in early ballots has tightened the race. (R) @RepMcSally 49% (+1) (D) @kyrstensinema 48% Undecided 3% Keep an eye out tomorrow for OHPI's newest press release on the #AZ Senate race.

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

2 years

Biden Hits New Low in Grand Canyon State: Only 40% of Arizona voters are giving President Biden positive marks, while 55% disapprove of his job performance as of the recent March survey. Full release here:

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Noble Predictive Insights

@NoblePredictive

7 months

NPI/AZ Capitol Times Power Rankings: The Electability of 50 Big Names in AZ Topping the Power Rankings at #1 is Congressman Ruben Gallego. Explore more on the Power Rankings:

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