Beware Confirmation bias @NathanDallon Twitter profile | Pikagi

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Beware Confirmation bias

@NathanDallon

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Immigration Attorney. Son, Brother, Spouse, Father. Latter-day Saint #HUSKERS #BYU #CREIGHTON

Omaha, NE

https://t.co/3vlzVGFmcm

Joined December 2011

Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

Our monetary system faces a paradox. Today, the system relies on more debt being issued continually to keep markets functioning. And yet, the more debt created the more growth slows AND deflation prevails. The dollar shortage is a feature of the debt too. 1/9

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Is everyone apologizing to @SantiagoAuFund for dunking on his dollar milkshake? Cause guys.....in the midst of all this carnage over the past 30 days....the dollar trade has been the ONLY safe haven....

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

@ConceptualJames @CantlonLab If John Haidt is in the crosshairs of the science denying left, it makes me trust him more.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

@miltimore79 @RBReich Never waste a chance to virtue signal.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

6 months

@davidfolkenflik @neelaeast @uberliner Mr. Folkenflik, seems NPR leadership team defends lack of viewpoint diversity as acceptable. Did I read that correctly?

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

6 years

@TheJohnDiMaggio

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Dr. Lacy Hunt doesn't care for the consensus regarding inflation, a thread:

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CWA Market Happy Hour with Dr. Lacy Hunt

This month we were joined by Dr. Lacy Hunt, an internationally known and award-winning economist. Dr. Hunt is the Executive Vice President and Chief Economis...

www.youtube.com

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

@RealVision Decided to terrify me going into this weekend. Great interview between @vol_christopher and @profplum99 A few terrifying moments in the interview: 1/12

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

I hate this. All of this. The division, the derision, the spectacle. I hate all of it.

@misstessowen

Tess Owen

2 years

Trump supporters and anti-Trump protesters are separated by metal barriers and heckling each other

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Listening to some Lacy Hunt this morning and something finally clicked in for me. Its the below graph. Private individual savings have gone up during the pandemic, but the government spending has far outpaced the increase in savings 1/3

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

6 months

4th turning stuff

@WinfieldSmart

Win Smart, CFA

6 months

The top 1% now officially have more wealth than the entire middle class of America… “There has been no greater engine of inequality than the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States.” - Stanley Druckenmiller

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

The Celebs are into MMT now. The end is near. @SantiagoAuFund @ProfessorWerner @mtmalinen

@icecube

Ice Cube

4 years

America is a currency creator so there’s no reason for people to live like this. Government and the banks have made a deal to keep the people in debt. They always say if you print money it will cause inflation. They just printed 3 trillion. Little or no inflation.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

We are in the clam before the storm here in the US. The world has begun to break. The US hasn't yet. Get yourselves ready people. A little less debt. A little more savings. Hold your loved one close. Be available for those who aren't ready. Don't lose your moral compass.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

US dollar is king. It will remain king for my lifetime. The naysayers are: 1) Selling something 2) Dogmatic about their hatred toward the US/West 3) A combination of 1 & 2

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

@LevineJonathan

@ggreenwald

Glenn Greenwald

3 years

When Taylor Lorenz was at the NYT and pulled this same melodramatic manipulation -- destroying people's reputations with lives, then whining that she's the real victim -- @esaagar and @krystalball said everything there is to say about that tactic and her:

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Partisan hackery at it's finest.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

@Jkylebass @Hedgeye The calamity won't affect everywhere evenly. Central America will get crushed first in the West. Leads to an even bigger Mexico/US border crisis.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

I don't speak russian so I can't verify the accuracy of the words written in English, but wow Putin understands American populism REALLY WELL.

@realDaveReilly

David J. Reilly 🇺🇸

@realDaveReilly

3 years

New Putin just dropped:

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

I want to give a huge shout-out to @DiMartinoBooth regarding her recent @RealVision interview with Lacy Hunt. I wanted to highlight a few new ideas that hadn't gotten into my head before this conversation. 1/13

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

MORE IS NOT MORE, its less. The more debt financed government money enters the system, the worse long term growth gets. The ponzi is on. Deficit spending today is a GDP growth tax. If GDP is flat, earning will be flat. Keep an eye on those P/E scores. 3/fin

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Very cool paper by Ozge Akinci, Gianluca Benigno, Serra Pelin, and @jturek18 regarding the US Dollar. cc @NewYorkFed @NYFedResearch Punches hard and in your face right out of the gates: 1/7

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

7 years

@leedsgarcia @MichaelSkolnik @TheDemocrats Alida, I understand the sentiment, but who else can stand up to the Trump GOP? Weakening the Dems now doesn't get you very far.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

1 year

"One bank to rule them all, one bank to find them, one bank to bring them all and in the darkness bind them"

@JeffSnider_EDU

Jeffrey P. Snider

@JeffSnider_EDU

1 year

The reason Treasury/Wall Street are discussing future bank mergers is the current banking problems are far from done. They tell you everything is fine while prepping for a lot more to come. It's in the data. All of it.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

🤣 @SantiagoAuFund

@OffTheRunTrades

Double Chin Capital

@OffTheRunTrades

3 years

Can someone NFT a gold bar so we can finally get something gold above $2,000

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

I have listened to this End Game Podcast maybe 5 times. If @MetreSteven is the Bond King, Lacy Hunt is the God Emperor of Bonds. 1/

@ttmygh

Grant Williams

4 years

The End Game episode 6 is live, featuring a true gentleman and a scholar in Lacy Hunt. The perfect counterpoint to our conversation with Russell Napier, Lacy makes the case for continued deflation as forcefully and as eloquently as always. @fleckcap

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

6 years

@matthewasears Calling those you disagree with names is not a good look professor. Your dogma is crumbling. Name calling won't save it.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

@BeschlossDC Milk and pineapple? Citric acid + lactic acid and milk fat = the worst puke you could ever imagine. Mix that in a separate bowl and see what happens.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

@SantiagoAuFund For now. But reality is that the EU is over. This is its last death rattle.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

@SantiagoAuFund

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

8 months

"declining prosperity" is a big claim Here is the World Bank data on per capita GDP. Included is the US, Brazil, Russia, China, India, South Africa. Guess which country is the blue line?

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@Kanthan2030

S.L. Kanthan

8 months

All the shouting and warmongering by US establishment are due to the declining prosperity of the nation and the average American. The only solution they know is to bring down not only economic and geopolitical rivals but also allies - like Europe - to keep America #1 .

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Brutal

@Henrik_Palmgren

Henrik Palmgren 🇸🇪 ᛟ

@Henrik_Palmgren

3 years

Two years to flatten humanity

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Q3 REPORT IS OUT!!!! HOISINGTON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! LETS GOOOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

I had a great time listening to @GeorgeGammon and @SantiagoAuFund most recent conversation regarding the Dollar, Dollar Milkshake, and inflation/deflation. A few quick thoughts and comments on my part. 1/18

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Brent Johnson (Dollar Milkshake Update, Global USD Debt Growing,...

✅ Get your tickets to Rebel Capitalist Live before they're sold out! I'll see YOU in Miami!! ;) https://www.rebelcapitalistlive.comFor more content that'll ...

www.youtube.com

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

5 years

@Tyler_The_Wise @MirrorTech

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

7 years

@ent3c That is really well done. In an age of doubling down and name calling, you cleared the air. #Respect

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

I just bought more long bonds. I need an intervention.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

So what? Well, two consequences there. 1) investment into the real economy will continue to lag and growth faces fierce headwinds, and 2) banks aren't going to be loaning out money anytime soon. 2/3

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

We had to talk about how doing the right thing, being the hero, often means you never "go back" to the shire. But that its still worth it. "Greater love hath no man than this, that a man lay down his life for his friends." John 15:13 KJV 3/fin

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

No way

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

5 years

@cheleblush Live look at Twitter's moral compass.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

This chart man Oil and DXY are in lock-step

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Great work here by @AlderLaneEggs and @KeithMcCullough talking about the FTX super scam before it was popular to dump on said scam.

@BTC_Archive

Bitcoin Archive

2 years

ON FTX 1 MONTH AGO: Everything reads like this thing is a complete scam. 🤨

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

"I'd grown up fearing the...mobs of the KKK; as an adult, I was starting to wonder if I'd been afraid of the wrong white people...My worst fears had come to pass... in D.C., where I was being pursued not by bigots...but by left-wing zealots draped in...sanctimony." - Thomas '91

@BetteMidler

bettemidler

2 years

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

It's coming. @GeorgeGammon

@stlouisfed

St. Louis Fed

3 years

Central bank digital currencies could make future payment and settlement systems much more efficient

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Hillary should sit this out.

@Rothmus

Rothmus 🏴

3 years

🌶

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Fiscal and Monetary policy HAS NOT lead to more economic activity. The Spike in M2 has lead to a DECREASE in velocity of money - indicating that the Debt IS NOT productive. There isn't an increase in gross national income to cover principle and interest on the existing debt.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

1 year

The peace sought by Hamas will require lots of dead people.

@GLNoronha

Gabriel Noronha

1 year

Hamas published a video showing their members digging up water pipes and converting them to fire rockets at Israel.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Unproductive debt erodes economic growth. Further, the debt has left the banks in a state of "disrepair." The falling Loan to Deposit ratio indicates extreme uncertainty by both lenders and consumers. More people holding money and banks not lending.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

This is the craziest conversation regarding sexuality I have ever heard. (Also the best). Professor Hooven @hoovlet talks with a young woman who began to transition to a man and has de-transitioned back to being a woman. @BenjaminABoyce thank you.

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Testosterone! The Science, The Experience | with Carole Hooven &...

Carole Hooven is an Ivy League lecturer who's recent book: "T: The Story of Testosterone" delves deep into the science of the male hormone and its effect on ...

www.youtube.com

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Wut

@stlouisfed

St. Louis Fed

3 years

China has become one of the main destinations where U.S. inventors seek to protect their intellectual property

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

8 years

@RachelPlatten check your contract with them. They covered 2 years ago and have performed it live many times since.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Shout out to @Tsunami_Doug for this beauty.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

An elected official tweeted this. Unreal.

@laurenboebert

Lauren Boebert

2 years

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

Vulture Capitalism.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

I recently watched Lord of the Rings with my 8 year old son. Something interesting happened. As we get to the end, Frodo is sad. Everyone else is more or less happy, but not Frodo. He has to leave his friends and go to "paradise" because of how broken he is. 1/3

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

How is the dollar to zero thesis doing today?

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

There are only two priorities: Debt + Velocity

@chamath

Chamath Palihapitiya

4 years

There are only two priorities: Inequality + Climate Change

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

6 months

Impossible. BRICS currency has been winning...right?

@WinfieldSmart

Win Smart, CFA

6 months

U.S. Dollar was used in 48% of international payment transactions last year, the highest level in more than a decade

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

"In highly indebted economies, deflation prevails." -Lacy Hunt

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@LynAldenContact

Lyn Alden

@LynAldenContact

3 years

This team decided to make an animation using content from my inflation article. Pretty awesome:

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Until there is a deleverage OR there is a new system that bypasses debt and goes to direct money printing, this chart below is all that matters in the long haul. /fin

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

@amlivemon has been one of the reasons to use this godforsaken app. Thanks for messing that up Twitter.

@ektrit

Kris 📿🇨🇦 🇦🇱

3 years

@Halsrethink @amlivemon @man_integrated Watching my TD Waterhouse trading account, I noticed one famous person who sells "expertise", literally selling knowledge lifted from tweets by @amlivemon , @Halsrethink and myself @ektrit I alerted @amlivemon for that, and I noticed that he has reduced his free sharing. 4/

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

@zei_squirrel The Palestinians will need friends now more than ever. As the US exits the region, the geopolitical forces will push the Arab states to ignore the Palestinians even more. Israel will have license to do as they wish. Dark times.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

7 years

@Govt_for_all @leedsgarcia @MichaelSkolnik @TheDemocrats I understand. This is a totally reasonable position. The problem is that the RAISE act will fundamentally redefine America as an anti immigrant society. If the Dems have a chance to stop that, now is not the time to abandon them.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

...on the inability to refinance, the collateral in the system falls and the Fed is forced to intervene yet again." These two are brilliant. Thank you @vol_christopher and @profplum99 . I am equal parts terrified and motivated to dive into this even more. 12/12 #HappyEaster

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

@cacouteau @DiMartinoBooth On this point we are in total agreement! The best way forward, I think, is to decentralize the banking system and go towards community banking. @scientificecon @ProfessorWerner has been telling the world how to get out of this mess for decades.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

US Debt has eroded Real Per Capita GDP. The action by the Fed and Treasury in 2020-2021 hasn't changed that.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

It's all about the USD. These poor people. @SantiagoAuFund @Santiag78758327

@jason_corcoran

Jason Corcoran

@jason_corcoran

3 years

The Moscow bank run: a queue for a Tinkoff ATM in the Liga shopping center in Khimki. There are about 70 people in line. Eyewitnesses say the money in the ATM runs out within 40 minutes. @bazabazon

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

$DXY continues to go up. Just unreal. @amlivemon warned us for years and years that suck a strong dollar would wreak havoc in international markets. How are people not talking about this?

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Dear France, Proceed with caution. -America

@sentdefender

OSINTdefender

2 years

French President Emmanuel Macron in a recent State Visit to Beijing reportedly discussed the “Deepening” of Military Cooperation between France and China in the Indo-Pacific and French Polynesia with President Xi Jinping.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

ask him about debt cycles please

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Just making sure I track the logic here. We can't have a gun registry or licensing because of tyranny. But the government should have more armed personnel walking around our communities. Am I doing this right?

@atrupar

Aaron Rupar

2 years

Ted Cruz proposes armed cops in elementary schools to deter school shootings

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

4 years

WHAT IN THE ACTUAL F*&%

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

10 months

@IlyaSomin Why didn't the CO Supreme Court use the federal crime of insurrection as the test instead of consulting some dictionaries and making up their own?

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

M2 money growth did happen due to the combination of Fiscal and Monetary policy, however, that increase in M2 money stock HAS NOT created persistent inflation. Fed Reserves aren't money and don't leave the financial markets. Fed moves old debt onto its balance sheet.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

The dollar isn't going to fail.

@TaskandPurpose

Task & Purpose

@TaskandPurpose

3 years

Brutal

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

"In highly indebted economies, deflation prevails." -Lacy Hunt

@RaoulGMI

Raoul Pal

3 years

@biancoresearch All I see is a slowdown dead ahead... and its not just based on Covid but higher prices, lower stimulus, slowing China, slowing Japan, etc

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

HOW DID I MISS THIS? @RealKeithWeiner and @SantiagoAuFund talking Gold, Dollars, and all the fun things.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Dr. Hunt looks to @AtlantaFed and its GDP projections. Although inventories are up, actual sales are flat AND if you believe CPI numbers, then producers are sliding. The services sector can't be the whole recovery. Manufacturing tells us that growth is flat or slightly negative.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

8 years

@DavidWeingust @RachelPlatten Oooo. Harsh. I figure she is emotional and is trying to save face with her Lefty hollywood friends.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

$DXY down @amlivemon go take a look at Fed swaps overnight.... Trying to weaken dollar demand before they do a rate hike. I think. Likely to tear higher again after rate announcement. The Fed is playing a DANGEROUS game. So so dangerous. @frankoz95967943

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

@Mary66052583 @GiancarloSopo All people yearning to be free know.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Marriage matters @BradWilcoxIFS

@uscensusbureau

U.S. Census Bureau

@uscensusbureau

2 years

8. Female householder families had the highest poverty rate among primary families, at 23 percent, while married-couple families had the lowest, at 4.8 percent.

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Beware Confirmation bias

8 months

What on earth is going on here? Is there a KGB agent off screen with a gun to Tucker's family or something?

@JuliaDavisNews

Julia Davis

@JuliaDavisNews

8 months

Tucker Carlson, when asked about Alexei Navalny, opposition leaders and journalists in Russia: “Every leader kills people. Some kill more than others. Leadership requires killing people.”

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3 years

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Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

ITS THE JUNE 2021 STRESS TEST RESULTS!!!!! A quick thread. 1/9

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

@brettgold

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MMT Series - Why MMT would lead to hyperinflation

In part two of our three-part Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) webinar series, Dr. Lacy Hunt, Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management Compan...

www.youtube.com

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

A quick trip back in time for a Sunday thread. MMT basics inbound. Sometime in early 2020, I decided to get serious about understanding US monetary policy. There was one interview in particular that, well, BLEW ME AWAY. 1/12

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Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Where Lacy Hunt explains the Dollar Milkshake. (1 min clip) Great interview with @hendry_hugh cc: @SantiagoAuFund @DiMartinoBooth @Stimpyz1 @gamesblazer06

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Escape Velocity with Lacy Hunt

Hugh sits down with living legend, Lacy Hunt, PhD - Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management. Will they achieve escape velocity?⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Ple...

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

This is the heart of the matter. @coloradotravis @MetreSteven @amlivemon @SantiagoAuFund Anyone else have thoughts on this? Dollar spikes abroad and foreign markets begin to sell USD assets. Dollar shortage beings a selloff abroad. Makes sense to me.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

"In highly indebted economies, deflation prevails." -Lacy Hunt The Bond God

@DiMartinoBooth

Danielle DiMartino Booth

@DiMartinoBooth

3 years

10-year Treasury yield at 1.37% in overnight trading.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

5 years

@sairasameerarao Uhhhhh..... You had a bad weekend?

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

The Dollar to zero zealots have to reckon with the above data and analysis. This is the NY Fed full on embracing my guy @SantiagoAuFund . Look at the last few sentences: "As we discuss, at the core of it, there is a fundamental asymmetry between the shrinking exposure... 6/7

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Inflation?

@financialjuice

FinancialJuice

@financialjuice

3 years

AUSTRALIA SELLS A$100 MILLION OF 2027 BONDS WITH AN AVERAGE YIELD OF -1.0295%.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

1 year

Okay everyone. Lets talk about this for a minute. 1) war has no rules. The United States and the evil "west" made up rules. Those rules were enforced by...the West. Mostly the US. Guess what, the US isn't enforcing that anymore.

@squatsons

ayden

1 year

Was this city block all Hamas? I in no way support Hamas and have absolutely no horse in this race at all but this is indiscriminate. Hamas hides weapons and bases in these areas using human shields but Jfc this is destruction for revenge sake.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

As GDP goes down, the intelligentsia on the Left and Right are confused as to why the labor market has YAWNED. The theory seems to be...THERE MUST NOT BE A RECESSION. Lets dive into this, because it matters. A lot. 1/21

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

Immigration Backlog - graph put together by @CatoInstitute @David_J_Bier

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Did Biden really threaten to revoke SWIFT access to the Russians? HOLY SMOKES.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

2 years

The old world is over. Demographics - not coming back Globalization - peace between major powers from 1945-February 2022 was a good run. Over. Debt - the boomers used cheap deb to keep their assets AND lifestyles afloat. That's over. Stop looking to dinosaurs for answers.

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

Dr. Hunt then recounts that the "consensus" has been telling him that rates were going to go up STARTING IN 1990. "Trying to understand the consensus or to get agreement from the consensus in my opinion is an absolute waste of time." @SantiagoAuFund

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@NathanDallon

Beware Confirmation bias

3 years

A quick thought on how to reconcile deflation WHEN there are higher prices in the economy. 1/

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