#LME
#copper
stocks this morning fell to 143,125t, just north of the 141kt lows from April 2016 and Aug 2014. Prior to this you would need to go back to July 2008 to see lower levels.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Copper
global inventory now at multi-year lows.
#LME
on-warrant stocks dip to 80.9kt, lowest since Dec 2005. Cancelled material is exiting the warehouses. Curve stops reflecting the tightness & starts regulating near-term demand.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metals
#Copper
up today - appears set for an almost 7% increase this quarter, as demand recovers. But it is
#tin
, aluminium &
#lead
that have outperformed this quarter on tight supplies.
#AnnaStablum
#AsiaReport
Sharp rally in base
#metals
today with
#Copper
&
#Nickel
in the spotlight rising 4.6% and 5.0% by close, although most metals made session highs on lates. Follows reports of China plans to cut tariff rates on imports & further reducing VAT.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
Base
#metals
see an increase in net spec length in the week to Thursday 29th July.
#Tin
continues to exhibit the largest long followed by
#Lead
. Meanwhile the
#Copper
net spec long picks up from YTD lows...
#Nanolytics
Good luck to all those taking part in this Sunday's
@LondonMarathon
. Look out for our very own
@MarexSpectron
rhino running for
@savetherhino
. Weighing in at 10kg, this adds an extra challenge to the 26 miles... To sponsor us click on
Speculators trimmed their net long positions across the main
#LME
base metals, except for
#Tin
, over the past week through Thursday, according to our
#Nanolytics
data. The net long in
#Copper
was erased.
#Copper
is the only metal not to have traded back beneath its closing level of last night following a strong Comex bid right from the open whilst the rest of the metals have chopped either side of last nights closes.
#MattFrance
#AsiaReport
#SHFE
According to our
#Nanolytics
data, net length in
#LME
base metals falls for a second consecutive week on 27 May. Speculators are neutral
#nickel
, while the net long in
#tin
is the largest among the main LME
#metals
.
#Copper
is the only
#metal
to breach 24hr trading range, pushing above yday's highs triggering some decent Western short covering with the current highs having been made during the lower liquidity
#SHFE
lunch break.
#MattFrance
#AsiaReport
#metals
#Copper
rallied to a fresh high not seen since Jul 2018 amidst a pickup in stock markets and crude. Today marks the 6th up day in a row. This is the first time we have seen this since May/June last year when the market made the $7348 high.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metals
#LME
A net long position returned in
#Zinc
and a net short was erased in
#Aluminum
last week, according to our latest
#LME
Analytics data through last Thurs. In
#Nickel
, a small net long appeared. Investors were pretty neutral
#Copper
and
#Lead
.
Sharp reversal in EUR/USD boosted
#metals
this afternoon. US equity markets also rallied. Closes were strong with most
#metal
settling at session highs.
#Copper
was today’s outperformer, led by
#Comex
, settling up 2.3% and extending its climb on lates.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Copper
sees very good volume overnight with 6.4k lots trading by 8am, +67% on the 20-day avg. Intraday range contracts this week, although expect near-term resistance into $6780-820 area basis 10-day ATR and 38.2% fibb of YTD high to low.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metals
#LME
#Copper
3m spanned a range of $101, running into resistance at 22 Mar high of $6999, before settling at $6975 (+1.1%). Curve tightened considerably, with Jun-Sep moving $12.5 to $1.25c. Now see spec positioning in the
#metal
as largely neutral.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Copper
currently looks set to be the outperformer this month (+5.1% as of yday close) amidst short covering. Our ests suggest spec short in the
#metal
sits at 11% of OI (cob Mon), this is down from 30% of OI in mid-Jul. Expect supp into $6200.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
One eye on
#copper
stocks with on-warrant climbing to 100kt last, while total stocks at 124.5kt sit at lows not seen since 2008.
#Yangshan
premiums ticked up from $62.5 on Mon to $67.5 last. Next resis on flat price $6230 basis a move of the 20-day ATR.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
Marex today agreed to acquire ED&F Man Capital Markets, the financial services division of ED&F Man Group, a move that expands the business across Clearing, Metals, Fixed Income and Equities, and expands the firm's global footprint.
#Copper
data |
#China
imports of unwrought/ products up 8% m/m and 22% y/y, to the level highest in 17 months & highest May figure in a decade.
#Scrap
imports fall 36.7% y/y in April. Cochilco reports
#Codelcos
April copper production fell 12% m/m.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#Zinc
aggressively rallied to just over $2600 - a key area of resis over past week - which is where it settled (+3.5%). Saw consumer buying & spec short covering, prompted perhaps by
#NBS
release that showed China Zinc output fell 5% y/y to y/y in June
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#ZINC
up 3.4% at last night’s close with systematic buy progs evident over the past few sessions. Breach of $3200 area opens potential for test of recent highs into $3265/75 area
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#Copper
nailed it as it ripped to fresh high of $7348, a level not seen since Jan 2014 (peaked at $7460), before settling at $7332 (+1.6%). Evidence of short covering, also cash selling for 2nd ring close.
#SHFE
agg OI conts to rise +14.5% so far in June.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Nickel
was today’s outperformer, with
#SHFE
evening session seeing a bid & it settled at session highsat $14,500. The 38.2% fibb retrace of YTD high to low comes in at $14,970. NB SHFE agg OI has jumped 12% since Friday morning to 724k lots last.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metals
#Nickel
rose to $14,375, mid-Feb levels, before settling at $14,335 (+2.8%). Key resis remains $14,420 high from 15 Feb. On wires Vale reported Q1 nickel output fell 18% y/y to 58.6kt, but expects this to rise to 65kt in Q2.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Savant
Global
#Copper
#Smelting
Index, the unique copper index launched by
@Earthi_
& Marex Spectron, saw a small decline in November’s average global smelting activity compared to October, but saw an uptick towards the end of the month.
#China
#metals
#Coffee
mkts late yday & early AM today showed big signs of capitulation as prices accelerated lower on heavy vols. Intraday prices reversed sharply with
#Robusta
rallying $55 off its low,
#Arabica
was even more impressive rallying a huge 7.5 cents.
#CoffeeReport
A
#zinc
surge saw it settle at $3199.50 (up 2.5%) making it the outperformer in base
#metals
today. This was the highest settle since 24 April. Expect resis into $3210 area that marks the 38.2% fibb retrace of YTD high to low.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metal
O'night session again brings an onshore bid with
#Zinc
seeing much higher volumes than avg. Shanghai is running record shorts on the
#metal
& IF as the market hope, Chinese authorities announce any sort of fiscal stimulus package, it should benefit.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metals
#COPPER
cont's to exhibit the largest long in the
#BASEMETAL
complex on our est at 9.9% of OI (as of Mon close), back to levels not seen since July & significantly below the multi-year high of 58% registered in early-Sept.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Zinc
spec long down substantially from 29% of OI at start of month, to 1.3% as of Tue. 3m traded in a range of just $16 overnight (tighter than any other metals) as it hovers close to yday $3595.5 peak - a level not seen since 2007.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metals
#base
#LME
Our June Global
#Copper
Smelting Index shows a small increase in smelting activity from the previous month despite incr number of maintenance outages & reduction in Chinese activity, but clear bifurcation btw N America & China.
@Earthi_
#satellite
#Copper
down 0.3% on the day but the clear outperformer this week up 6.0%. Yday multi-year high of $7348 likely to provide short-term resistance & above that the $2460 high from Jan 2014.
#LME
spec long is 2.5% of OI a level not seen since Feb.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metals
9-days until
#LMEWeekAsia
where Dr
#GuyWolf
, Global Head of Analytics, will update the mkt on the latest insights from our proprietary
#Nanolytics
analysis. Click to see Dr Wolf’s
#nickel
presentation from last October's
#LME
Week London.
#metals
#Nickel
again outperforming this morning with shorts on London getting squeezed. Now eyeing $14,587 which is the 50% retrace of the whole move from May 14 high of $21,625 to Feb 16 low of $7550.
#AlMunro
#LME
#LondonReport
#metals
#traders
#Nickel
today hit a low of $14,930, finding some support into $38.2% fibb retrace of YTD high to low which comes in at $14,970, & settled at $14,975t (-1.4%). Turnover was particularly light -37% on the 20-day avg.
#LondonClose
#DeePerera
#base
#metals
#Copper
consolidating around $6800. We cont to see
#CTA
selling in recent sessions met by Far Eastern buying & arb support. Expect some supp into $6710-30 area. On wires early wage talks at Cerro Verde in Peru appear to have stalled.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metals
#Copper
flat price tumbled to $6155 overnight with 4.3k lots trading within the first two hours of the open. The modest bounce was quickly erased after
#LME
stocks release that showed a 41kt or 46.5% increase in on-warrant inventory.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metals
#Copper
stocks dip just 0.5% today to 135kt, but over past 7 sessions stocks have declined 99kt to levels not seen since Sept 2017.
Reports suggest workers striking at
#Andina
Copper mine in Chile are unlikely to accept latest wage offer.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metals
#LME
Our
#Nanolytics
data shows all base
#metals
except
#Tin
saw length liquidate in the week to Thurs 17 June.
#Ali
exhibits the largest net spec long after Tin; meanwhile the
#Copper
net spec long has fallen to YTD lows...
#Zinc
led the pack today, settling nr session highs at $2434 +3.6%. The rally began swiftly overnight with an onshore bid. NB
#SHFE
agg OI has risen 62k lots since Mon morning/ onshore tightness/ China Zinc premiums at levels not seen since 2013.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metals
#Nickel
has been outperformer this month +15%, with
#lead
the only other
#metal
in black & rest of complex suffers from
#macro
worry/ lack of genuine demand.
#China
PMI data tmw is important on expectation that infrastructure spend shld pick up end of yr
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
Marex Spectron today announced an agreement to acquire Dublin-based Energy Broking Ireland Limited, a leading Irish energy broker, in a deal expected to complete in February. To see release
#energy
#gas
#Ireland
#Mifid
#Dublin
#broking
As a world leading
#commodity
broker, we provide our clients with unrivaled breadth of coverage across
#metals
,
#energy
&
#agricultural
markets, with leading franchises, and extensive range of services and intellectual content across all commodity markets
Macro conts to dominate
#metals
.
#Zinc
has been the only
#metal
to register above avg vols, atho we note spec selling. Trade for month/ quarter end &
#lead
still exhibits largest short, as well the underperformer over the 3 months thus far -17 mtm.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#Savant
Global
#Copper
#Smelting
Index, a unique copper index launched by
@Earthi_
& Marex Spectron, shows a small increase in global copper smelting activity in December, with the index particularly strong in the first half, offsetting a decline in the second.
Very positive across the
#base
complex - all metals gaining strongly fuelled by onshore short covering and Western stop loss buying through ydays highs.
#Copper
the standout in terms of volume, over 3.5k
#LME
lots trading within an $85 range.
#MattFrance
#AsiaReport
#metals
#ZINC
hit multi-year high of $3359 this am, a level not seen since 2007. The metal exhibits the second largest long of the complex (our est). Zinc
#SHFE
aggregate OI continues to climb, last at 492k lots, back to levels not seen since the 21st Nov.
#AlMunro
Plenty of geopolitical headlines, with
#G7
fallout the greatest concern to our mkts.
#Lead
&
#aluminium
so far outperformed, with neither trading below Fri settle on back of decent onshore bid. Other
#metals
chopping around trading in v tight ranges
#MattFrance
#AsiaReport
#Copper
rose above $10,000 a ton for a second time in the past decade today on optimism of firm demand, tight supply & lower-trending dollar. As the price moves higher investors are keeping a close eye on supply pipeline
#AnnaStablum
#AsiaReport
#LME
It has been all about
#Nickel
overnight. About an hour after the open this morn flat price rallies to as high as $16,690, spanning an intraday range of $1355 (the widest seen since $1880 on the 19th Apr 2018).
#LondonReport
#AlMunro
#LME
#commodities
#metals
Dr Copper up this morning, after rallying more than 6% last week (altho closed lower on Friday). This week industrial production, retail sales and quarterly GDP data is expected to show a robust economic recovery being underway in China.
#AnnaStablum
#AsiaReport
#metals
Another noticeable move in
#metals
inventories was today in
#zinc
which saw a 31.9kt or 23% fall in on-warrant stocks to 105.4kt, back to lows not seen since Mar (nb In mid-2017 the stocks reached a low of 70kt - a low not seen since 2007).
#LME
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
LME Alumina traded for the first time today on LMEselect.
@MarexSpectron
transacted the first client orders: a total of 30 lots exchanged hands on maturities November 2019 and January 2020 at $284/ MT and $294/MT respectively. For more about LME Alumina
#Zinc
the outperformer so far this week, +1.4%. Reached a high of $2721 yday in the London am, before its decline to close marginally in the red. 1/3 of yday's volume however went through in the $10 between $2695-2705. Systematic type buying noted this am.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#COPPER
hit $6689 today before settling at $6663 (-0.1%). $6670 is the 50% move of Tuesday’s selloff with the 10 and 100 day ma also coming in between $6675/85. A break above $6710 is now required to negate the downside & generate further upside
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
Our net spec ests across LME base
#metals
(23 Aug)
#Copper
net spec short climbed week-on-week to 23% of OI
#Lead
largest short although net spec retreated to 37% of OI
#Nickel
remains largely neutral
#Tin
net spec short fell to 18% of OI .
#Zinc
largely unchanged at 24% of OI
Only
#Zinc
has so far managed to beat the 20 day average in volumetric terms as a woeful morning session ends albeit on a positive note as bids emerge into the
#SHFE
close.
#MattFrance
#AsiaReport
#metals
#Copper
climbed to $6033 this morning soon after the LME stocks release, but gradually retreated to settle at $5991.5 (+1.2%). LME on-warrant inventory dipped 11,125t (-4.7%) to 223.2kt (nb YTD range in stocks is 152kt - 343kt).
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#metals
SAVANT, a geo-spatial analytics tool we run with
@Earthi_
, shows a significant decline in July's global
#copper
smelting activities vs the robust recovery observed in recent months, material reduction in China
#smelting
& poor N American numbers.
#Nickel
extends outperformance, breaking through 50% fibb retrace of 2018 high to 2019 low ($13,607.5) to reach high of $13,725 b4 settling at $13,650 (+3.0%). Onshore demand evident with SHFE agg OI last at 481k lots, up 10k lots since the morning
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#Zinc
remains base
#metals
laggard YTD, now down 27%. Next supp into $2375 area basis 23.6% fibb of Aug high to low & 21st Aug low.
#Lead
/ zinc switch tightened to $339 yday, the tightest seen since $299 settle on 16 Jul.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#metal
#Copper
price rises to highs of last two sessions into $6310 . Next target is c. $6360 basis the 20-day ATR, then $6393.5 high from 4 Oct. SMM reported
#China
produced 716.8kt of copper cathode in Sept, down 2.8% m/m.
#AlMunro
#LondonReport
#Nickel
rallied into close, settling +1.5%. Noted steady
#CTA
buying. Next resis is $15,235 high from 20 April, altho still some way off the YTD high of $16,690.
#SHFE
agg OI jumped during evening back to levels not seen since Nov 2017.
#DeePerera
#LondonClose
#base
#metals