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ManitobaCanuck

@ManitobaCanuck

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Following
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NO FINANCIAL ADVISE , MY OWN OPINIONS .DONT FOLLOW MY ADVISE . Amateur OilInvestor ,Physician , Stock-trader ,Value Investor. #CanadianOilMafia . . #com

WINTERpeg, ManiSNOWba
Joined January 2022
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
Bought 250 at 1.2 and another 250k at 1.3 . total 500k at 1.25..Today closed at 1.45 ..100k in 3 days $ATH.TO
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
$ATH.TO $BTE.TO $CVE.TO These will fund my retirement. 6million made in these 2 years . Waiting for another double atleast
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
$BTE.TO $BTE #COM Best summary I have read
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE.TO $BTE Buffett said: No matter how great the talent or efforts, some things just take time. You can't produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant. Am here for multibaggers . FCF doubles , debt is cut to half & prodn up by 35% at $70 oil.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE $BTE.TO For those pointing to Juniper selling Baytex stake in open market . Conoco Phillips sold 10% in open market in Cenovus around $9 . Today price is 3X at $29 . Patience .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
$BTE $BTE.TO @thebobbynugget For the last week every time Bobby pops his head to short Baytex , I buy 10k Baytex shares . Almost 31k shares now. All trades listed . Show me your shorted trades Bobby .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
11 months
#oott #com $BTE $BTE.TO Baytex Block sale by Juniper , its a gift . Remeber $ATH.TO when Equinor exited at 18 cents , @ericnuttall bought , $ATH.TO dropped from 24 cents to 18 cents and I piled in big .Rest is history when I sold out at 3.5
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
9 months
$BTE.TO $BTE #COM Great results, awesome buybacks Generated production of 150,600 boe/d (85% oil and NGLs) in Q3/2023.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
#com $BTE $BTE.TO @thebobbynugget @NuggetCapital Love it when you guys gimme those cheap Baytex shares and I am up 7% in 4 days :) .See trades below . Here for millions not 100s or 1000s .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
9 months
$BTE.TO $BTE #oott #com Guidance: We are building momentum with current production exceeding 155,000 boe/d (84% oil and NGLs). Currently, we expect to generate free cash flow of approximately $400 million in Q4/2023 and $650 million for this year
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE $BTE.TO Hehehehe , You covering Bobby or ur a sucker for more punishment ? If this goes ballistic like Athabasca to $9 after oil hits triple digits , you are done ? @NuggetCapital @thebobbynugget
@thebobbynugget
TheBobbyNugget
4 months
@CRAIGER_Energy Adding more shorts today! Looking for under $4.50 within weeks then to $4.00! #OOTT #COM $BTE $BTE.TO 😂⬇️⬇️⬇️🚽🤡
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
$BTE $BTE.TO BTE NCIB April 2024:   4,840,443 BTE shares Almost 0.5% of OS shares repurchased. Nice
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
Those who remember buying Cenovus for $4.75 after merger deal with Husky ,will see how it ran up to $11 in a year and $26 in 2 yrs after debt was paid down and buybacks started.Analysts opine but do the numbers . $bte.to
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
$ATH.TO #COM #OOTT Athabasca Oil, Strong FCF, minimal sustaining capex due to marginal decline rate. Competitive advantage in inflationary pressures relative to most of its North American industry peers. Soon going to debt free and NCIB then .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE.TO #COM , See Saudi interest in Baytex .
@abdulsalam1428
﮼ابوأيوب
4 months
$BTE (Energy sector ) Keep it on your watchlist . I think it has a potential move to 5-55
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
8 months
Got into $TVE and $TVE.TO at day low $3.07 . #COM @NuggetCapital ,post your trades like I do .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
$BTE.TO $BTE NinePoint EF (EN) SOLD 2M BTE Shares .Looks like a forced sell as its over 10% of AUM and unitholder withdrawal . Probably thats what keeping the price down . Good time to load up
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE.TO $BTE I see healthy profit booking from those bought at lower levels . It is gearing up for next leg up . Hopefully $BTE.TO is buying back these shares . They have 200million to spend on buybacks till Jan 2024 if oilprices hold .Can buy 35 million stocks= 4% of OS
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
$BTE.TO This did not age well in 15 hours of shorting .ROFLMAO
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@NuggetCapital
Nugget Capital Partners (NCP)
1 year
$BTE.TO is a terminal short at NCP. We tried to warn folks.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@garquake First Mil on Baytex , 2nd & 3rd Mil with Athabasca and likely 9 fig portfolio with Baytex again if we go above 10 bucks .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
@HectOracle @garquake @ericnuttall @sohaibab9 @WhiteTundraSG @RazorOil @SHOPGod2 Was laughed out of a docs investing conference in 2020/2021 for being invested 100% in oilgas. Today met some of ESG Ecowokes who still have zero oilstocks . My portfolio is up 10x n those ESG indexers are down 30% . Hats to to #COM pioneers
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 months
$BTE.TO $BTE Seeing the number of posts frustrated with underperformance,are we near capitulation? I hope this stays under C$5 for this whole year and they use 350 million projected buyback FCF to buyback 70mill shares.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE $BTE.TO Wearing the Baytex toque , this is a company,40% returns YTD . Life is good
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
10 months
This might go ballistic like $ATH.TO with 90% gains to 11.5$
@SanityNow4
SanityNow
10 months
When $BTE.to breaks out from resistance it's going to rocket... #com #stocks #eft
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
#com #oott Average 2024 oil price is now higher than 2023 price . Every day above 77$ is good . $BTE.TO $BTE
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
#com $BTe.to $BTE @garquake They issue debt at 8.5% to buyback 400mill debt of Ranger Oil at 9.25% . 3mill savings in interest cost
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
$ATH.TO #OOTT #COM The award for the best analyst to Mr Cox(Raymond James) in 2020 with zero target for Athabasca Oil. Now Head of Market Research · Brookfield Asset Management . Why I dont trust analysts 😂🤣
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
$BTE $BTE.TO $ROCC #com Ranger oil has almost 90% inst. holding . Juniper 52% , 38% others . After merger , inst holding in Baytex upto 50% . Buybacks begin in few weeks. Almost $240mill/yr buybacks= 50 mill shares per year =5% of float . Runway clear if oil price holds >70
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
$bte $bte.to 2 weeks before buybacks restart in Q2 . 10 trading sessions .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
#COM $BTE $BTE.TO Go Baytex Go .
@BaytexEnergy
Baytex Energy
3 months
Baytex Announces Granting of Exemptive Relief Regarding its Normal Course Issuer Bid Program Full story: @BaytexEnergy $BTE $BTE.TO $BTEGF #Energy #oilandgas #NYSE #TSX #investing
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 years
$ATH.TO Short Squeeze coming in my opinion. Ride to 2$,2,25 and 2.5$ . Possibly a takeout candidate. Bought 250k more today at 1.2
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
10 months
@NuggetCapital @BaytexEnergy Come on my friend ,you shorted at 4.5 and then at 5 and then at 5.6 and then at 5.9 . Scratchin ma head how did you make money on this 🤣
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
#COM #OOTT $BTE.TO $BTE Looking at positive aspects of BTE deal . 1) It looks like a merger, shares will be swapped. US$ earnings.Specifics of deal still unknown. 2) Ranger is also buying back stock ,its cashflow+ve 3) They are not paying a huge premium to current price
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
@LandryLuc4 My dream is $85 Brent average for next two years. 2billion FCF to Baytex . Debt at 1.5 billion,Share count at 650 million . BTE in double digits.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
7 months
$BTE $BTE.TO This one slide sums up how Ranger acquisition has helped metrics with 20% increase in prodn per 1000 shares
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
#com #oott $BTE.TO $BTE @Josh_Young_1 @garquake Apparently Ranger Oil was being pursused by 3 other US O&G companies
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@garquake >1 Million $ made in 1 year. Life is good
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@HectOracle @WTIBull Mine is $BTE.TO . at 4.5$ Expect 8$ by next year
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
#COM $BTE.TO
@Avelino_Santos_
Avelino Santos
5 months
Epic Bull Flag today on $BTE THANK YOU @GarethSoloway @InvestVerified for all your daily education! #patience
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
7 months
#oott , here we go, is this bullish oil ?
@IranObserver0
Iran Observer
7 months
⚡️BREAKING Iranian weapons have been deployed in Venezuela The Venezuelan army has deployed Zolfaghar speedboats equipped with anti-ship missiles to deter a British Navy warship The Venezuelan Armed Forces are the first Latin American armed forces to have armed drones in
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE.TO Shorties spreading Fear ,Uncertainty & Despair . Either knowingly or simply half knowledge. The company already said buybacks are skewed to q2/q4 because of capex . I am actually happy they bought back and current price is 10% above buyback price.
@NuggetCapital
Nugget Capital Partners (NCP)
4 months
$BTE buybacks always happen near the tops. Huge red flag!
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@LandryLuc4 One fine day we will wake up and find the $6.25 target is chewed off . Pretty obvious Juniper is in no hurry to sell and Baytex has enough FCF to mop up any excess sales . If Oil hit $100 this summer . We will have Baytex above $10 .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
#com LOL
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
$BTE $BTE.TO #COM 1.25B yrly in FCF at current prices. 2B yrly at 100WTI . Only 420 million if NCIB is done at $6 . Suspect they might strike a deal with with Juniper for SIB ( over 2 yrs with excess ) .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
$BTE.TO $TVE $BTE #com TMX open ,WCS to the moon
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
#com $BTE.TO
@abdulsalam1428
﮼ابوأيوب
3 months
$BTE nice setup , watch for breakout
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
#com $BTE.TO To meet our shareholder return commitment, we intend to include 25% of the free cash flow generated from January 1, 2023 until closing in our 2023 share buyback program.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@sohaibab9 Maybe setup a spaces for this :) and invite Bobby Nugget as chief speaker ;) .Own both , but 90% in Baytex and only 10% in TVE . Bought $TVE.TO as @thebobbynugget and @NuggetCapital were bashing this at $3. good contrarian indications . Look at EV per barrel for $BTE vs $TVE
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
10 months
#com $BTE.TO $BTE , hows the short going .
@NuggetCapital
Nugget Capital Partners (NCP)
10 months
@ManitobaCanuck @WarrenPies Happy to take it. Significant downside on $BTE. Easiest industry short. Even Juniper bailed at first opportunity. Cheers.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
#com ,$ath.to #oott athabasca oil almost 7% of float is shorted . If they are near debt free and start buybacks,watch out for a short squeeze of 40-50% from current price .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@garquake @NuggetCapital Hey Bobby ,show we be covering the shorts now ?
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
@Albertagarbage I am a Canadian by choice ,unfortunately not by birth .I was amazed in my first few years ,to see the amount of ill feelings towards Albertans ,more so in Quebec. These people are biting the hand that feeds ,sorry to say that.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
#COM $BTE.TO $BTE @garquake $ROCC
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
$BTE.TO $BTE @thebobbynugget Bought some Baytex again after selling at 5.1 . Short term trade.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@thebobbynugget This is in addition to the 800k shares I hold at approximately 50 cents, bought in 2020 .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
#com @NuggetCapital is buying Baytex on NYSE side . The firm is buying . Baytex is up today 🥳
@BDEPardell
BDEP
3 months
Bobby is bullish BTE on the NYSE side. Shorts be warned! BTE to $4 USD currently $3.44 USD right now 😂.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
And by evening $BTE.TO is green .
@NuggetCapital
Nugget Capital Partners (NCP)
4 months
Baytex Energy, not what you want to see today as the "big bad red candle" reared it's ugly face today. Didn't even entertain going higher - the algos knew exactly what to do what meant sell down all day. Without a miracle, $BTE.TO $BTE likely headed decently lower.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
Welcome to Union of Canuck Socialist Provinces .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@NuggetCapital lol 😂 , keep showing reverse charts . Fundamentals,cashflow and execution trump charts long term . Lol you didn’t learn your lesson shorting Athabasca Oil . This year I expect $7-9 for $BTE . 9 months to go .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@jorge_moj #COM $BTE.TO $BTE Nice . They are slowly firing on all cylinders . Eagleford refracking , efficiency in Eagleford. Clearwater increase . Most important @thebobbynugget is bearish , so it will go up .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
9 months
@NuggetCapital @BaytexEnergy Debt appears increased due ot it being denominated in USD .CAD depreciated
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@Gugo907 $BTE.TO looks good then as a shale play if they are are able to break even at 41$ for a shale play
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
@JeremyMcCreaCFA . If u still know Mr Cox ,please tell him he is responsible for my 3 months of sleepless nights after 1 bought 1.1million $ATH.TO for 16 cents average
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
10 months
Wassup Dude . You adding to the short ;)
@NuggetCapital
Nugget Capital Partners (NCP)
10 months
@ManitobaCanuck @WarrenPies Happy to take it. Significant downside on $BTE. Easiest industry short. Even Juniper bailed at first opportunity. Cheers.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
#com $BTE $BTE.TO Will the $MEG story repeat . Will Baytex buyout small bit of Juniper stake in near future and rest crossed with other institutions. PE overhang gone ? Pure speculation on my part
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
11 months
@Gugo907 $BTE.TO $BTE I see the target of $12 for Baytex . I assume its Canadian. Just wondering which brokerage out that out ?
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@frb_cdn @Gary79699215 @NuggetCapital $BTE.TO $BTE they just refracked one location at Medina 3H with 100%IRR . Basically low risk drilling with excellent returns . This is not yet captured in the price .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
2 years
@sohaibab9 Thoughts on setting up a spaces on $ath.to with Matt Taylor /Athabasca Oil
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@RazorOil @Gugo907 @WarrenFine Lets put it this way,there are smarter minds there at work than us.The CEO is a drilling engineer and he has good access to Ranger Oil dataroom plus knows the team there . Lot of reputations at stake and he put his money in $BTE.TO , unlike many other companies.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@garquake @NuggetCapital @thebobbynugget Nugget Capitals fund is buying for sure. They will disclose in 2025 when Baytex >$10 .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@ledgeviewgolfcl Nobody understood Athabasca Oil for years :) . Keep Calm and Keep Buying
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@IBB_INVEST Agree , the torque is amazing to Oil prices . I am willing to wait and enjoy the benefits .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@JuliOnTwtr @BobbyNugget5 @NuggetCapital Hi Bobby , should we cover $75 short and or add more at $81,with this report. Need some advise ma man 😏
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
10 months
@NuggetCapital @WarrenPies History is against you my friend . You said the same thing for $ATH.TO at $2.5 and its $4 now . I always expected them to bail ,no surprise ,no PE funds like to hold > 10% of any stock . Cheers to you . We will talk in 2024 end ;)
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
$BTE.TO #COM
@WAR527
RAWenergy
1 year
$BTE reports 2Q23 results PR: Highlights:
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
6 months
@Gugo907 In hindsight $ATH.TO did a great deal to sell its TMX contract to $MEG .Lol
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@Kevin_AGraham @NuggetCapital They have more than 12 yrs of drilling inventory. Secondly they are able to refrac vintage EF inventory. Mr Market thinks it’s valued at $4.7 and someone bought 6% Juniper stake at $5.6 worth $250million. Somethings wrong with your $2 projection.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
$BTE.TO $BTE Ranger Acquisition = increase in Shares held by U.S. , trading volume of the Common Shares will increase and that the trading volume of the Common Shares on the TSX will decrease & U.S. will be significantly greater . US multiples coming. CAd devaln hedge .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
$ATH.TO #com for those who question share dilution.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@NuggetCapital $BTE.TO $BTE Baytex produces 21% gas . You buying 😏
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@keypoint34 Earnings weren’t bad if you look as per guidance. It’s a capex heavy quarter , all analysts raised their targets except RBC
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@NuggetCapital Hey Booby man,they got 8.5% interest rate man , you said 11-12% man.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
$BTE $BTE.TO $ROCC #COM
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@LandryLuc4 Agree , market overreaction ,still hold my original bunch . Good things take time to come . Most analysts have upgraded price .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@sohaibab9 @anasalhajji Ramadan Kareem to all those who celebrate in our #COM group.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
5 months
@Luiz_Gonzalex @garquake Lots of so called experts were here for short term 5-20% pop post results who sold out as this did not materialize . $BTE.TO is 160kbpd company and needs time to set course/clean balance sheet . Once debt is under control ,this will rocket to double digits .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@a4_alpha I just admire your brilliant statements" Trade for breadcrumbs when patience brings you a bakery " . Maturity and calm confidence in knowing what you own is evident from your statements . Nice one :)
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
3 months
@garquake I will be actively watching May and June buybacks
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@garquake Look at FCF yield =FCF/Mkt Cap for $BTE.TO $BTE in 2023 n 2024. 26% & 52%. Lol ,its like 78% of the current value back as FCF in 2024. Bullish
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
9 months
@NuggetCapital @thebobbynugget Remind me again , u shorted since 5.6 , its 6 .1 bucks ish .How did u make money . ROFL
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
Taxation at higher brackets ,is why productivity falls. Waitlists increase .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
@thebobbynugget
TheBobbyNugget
6 months
Short $BTE $BTE.TO! Going lower this month and will be flat into summer 2024! 😂⬇️⬇️⬇️🚽🤡 #OOTT #COM
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@garquake Nice, am 41 , questioning if i need to work . Made 10x returns in oilstocks in retirement posrtfolio . 350k/yr passive income and 350k per year as docs salary. Pay 53% tax . Its like i am paying my salary to the govt and working as a doc for free.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
1 year
@Josh_Young_1 @platts @SPGlobal @SPGCIOil @BisonInterests Are revisiting 2009 crash n recovery with Oil > $100 for 3 yrs due to underinvestment and a strong recovering economy? Oil companies will survive as balance sheets are stronger.
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
@BDEPardell @Tonyforever2003 @ThomasLunzz @MAP_QC @ericnuttall @garquake First million made here . Financial independence nearly achieved .
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@ManitobaCanuck
ManitobaCanuck
4 months
Face Ripped off
@thebobbynugget
TheBobbyNugget
4 months
All those laughing at me right now are fools! WARNING! We’ll bring oil down and along with your oil stonks! Mark my words! #OOTT #COM $BTE $TVE $BTE.TO $TVE.TO $SGY $MEG $CNQ $WCP $ATH $SU See you at under $75 WTI in no time and more than -20% lower for stonks! 😂⬇️⬇️⬇️🚽🤡
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