“Now to the most important news” in our lives…
I’ll be on maternity leave until Q4 2024, embracing the joys and challenges of being a first time mom.
See you soon!
Nvidia’s GTC event just wrapped up and check out all the A-listers leaving the building: George Lucas, Kendrick Lamar, Nas, Trevor Noah, Ashton Kutcher and more:
$NVDA
#GTC24
The $53B CHIPS Act aimed to jump-start the production of leading-edge semis in America - but a year later, funds have yet to be dispersed -- and firms have already spent billions of dollars.
@KristinaParts
reports from a soon-to-be Wolfspeed chip plant in Siler City, NC.
Admittedly, I was hoping for my water to break on air since my due date was yesterday. It would have made for good TV, but a chip chat on
@HalftimeReport
also works!
Traders feel enriched after uranium prices and mining stocks soar. Interest on Reddit continues to be explosive, find out why on
@CNBC
:
$URNM $CCJ
(And yes, today I feel like entertaining myself with puns).
There is a first for everything.
Conflicting appointments meant I had to look like this when asking Nvidia’s CEO about their Huawei exposure and concerns about current China sales. Huang says they have no exposure to Huawei.
Nvidia CFO on earnings call: "Our demand visibility extends into next year. Our supply over the next several quarters will continue to ramp as we lower cycle times and work with our supply partners to add capacity."
No wonder Q3 revenue guidance is $16B vs. $12.6B est.
$NVDA
On
@CNBC
right now: Kanye West just said he's moving his money from JPMorgan to Bank of America "possibly" because Jamie Dimon never called him after he deposited $140M at the bank.
$JPM $BOA $GPS
It doesn't matter if you thin, fat, rich or poor.
At the end of the day... it's night.
You're American when you go into the bathroom, and American when you come out, but what are you in the bathroom?
Europeein.
(It's Friday and I enjoy a good pun/dad joke).
Brown Forman shares closed 4% lower today so I used the opportunity to lift
@ScottWapnerCNBC
’s spirits with my corny puns. Call my old fashioned, but I think puns are neat.
$BF.B
Amazon snaps back at FT report:
"To be clear, AWS did not ‘halt’ any orders from NVIDIA. In our close collaboration with NVIDIA, we jointly decided to move Project Ceiba from Hopper to Blackwell GPUs, which offer a leap forward in performance.”
$NVDA
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang tells
@CNBC
the new Blackwell chip is $30 - $40K and cost $10B to deveop. But when I asked Nvidia's team which Blackwell chip Jensen was referring to, the team would not specify. $NVDA
Ominous warning from Qualcomm CEO on earnings call:
"We're taking a conservative view of the market and will be proactively taking additional cost actions to ensure Qualcomm is well positioned to deliver maximum value for stockholders in an uncertain environment."
$QCOM -4.2%
TSMC said it had to delay production at its $40 billion Arizona plant due to a lack of skilled chip workers in the U.S.
@KristinaParts
reports on the growing talent gap. $INTC $TSMC
AMD upping its MI300 FY2024 estimates:
"Demand continues to strengthen, and based on our expanding customer engagements we now expect data center GPU revenue to exceed $4 billion in 2024, up from the $3.5 billion we guided in January."
Very much expected by the street
$AMD
Nvidia's $2T market cap is now bigger than the individual GDPs of Russia, Mexico, South Korea and Australia, according to 2023 IMF forecasts.
Pocket lint stat: CEO Jensen Huang's net worth is said to be over $72B, according to Forbes. $NVDA
Nvidia has added $255B in market value as of yesterday's close. That's almost the equivalent of AMD's total market value ($260B) and just shy of Coca Cola ($268B)!
$AMD $NVDA
Nvidia is responsible for ~60% of the S&P 500’s price gains this year and 70% of the Nasdaq 100’s gains to start 2024 (as of yesterday’s close and using Factset data).
How long before $NVDA overtakes $Aapl ’s market cap?
CC:
@HumOnTheMarkets
Kanye West to
@SaraEisen
: "They have one individual who can save the
@Gap
. I'm asking you who do you think it is. Sometimes the answer is sitting right in front of you".
@kanyewest
continues: "I'm not going to argue with people who are broker than me about money". $GPS
$NVDA CEO on potential demand lull:
"they will easily transition from H100 to H200 to B100 [...] the software stack that runs on Hopper will run fantastically on Blackwell."
Blackwell ramps in Q3 with "alot of Blackwell revenue this year".
Latest $NVDA earnings call details from CFO:
- inferencing drove 40% of data center revs (past 4Qs)
- auto to be the largest enterprise vertical within data center this year. Mentions $TSLA securing 35k GPUS
-Sovereign AI should hit "high single digit billions this year"
AMD confirms hacker breach:
"We are aware of a cybercriminal organization claiming to be in possession of stolen AMD data. We are working closely with law enforcement officials and a third-party hosting partner to investigate the claim and the significance of the data.”
$AMD
Big tech focuses on in-house chips in an attempt to reduce the reliance on Nvidia . I head to AWS in Texas to see how the competition stacks up: $NVDA $AMZN
AMD CEO Lisa Su on earnings call: "we now expect data center GPU revenue to be approximately $400M in the fourth quarter and exceed $2B in 2024 as revenue ramps throughout the year.
This growth would make MI300 the fastest product to ramp to $1 billion in sales in $AMD history."
Monday media meltdown:
Anchor Tucker Carlson out at Fox News $FOXA
Anchor Don Lemon fired from CNN $WBD
NBCUniversal CEO Jeff Shell ousted from NBC $CMCSA
Big $NVDA Evercore call: We have observed that at each successive computing era, the ecosystem players represent a larger weighting of the SP. Based on this trajectory +NVDA’s dominant position, we think it's not out of the question that NVDA can become a 15% weight in the SP500.
Reuters calling it an "exclusive" about China $NVDA chip delays, but it was on Tues' earnings call: "These products, they may become available in the next coming months; however, we don't expect their contribution to be material or meaningful as a percentage of the revenue in Q4"
AMD CEO Lisa Su says their total addressable AI data center market will jump for $30B this year to over $150B in 2027.
“It’s going to be a lot”. $AMD
Tune into
@CNBC
4PM ET for my interview with Su.
I just asked $Nvda's CEO Jensen Huang about this $30-40K price tag, he said "I wasn’t intending on providing a pricing for a chip" and explained that's it's "obviously not" only about a chip, it's about designing data centers and integrating into other people's data centers.
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang tells
@CNBC
the new Blackwell chip is $30 - $40K and cost $10B to deveop. But when I asked Nvidia's team which Blackwell chip Jensen was referring to, the team would not specify. $NVDA
Fed Chair Jim Bullard on
@CNBC
: "One thing about the market is they expect inflation to come down quite rapidly next year and they've been wrong on this so far. The better bet is that it will take awhile for inflation to come back to 2%".
#markets
#inflation
@steveliesman
Nice timing for AMD given its recent stock drop after earnings. Today, Bloomberg is reporting that AMD and Microsoft are teaming up build an AI chip that will rival Nvidia's GPU chip. AMD told me they won't comment on speculation.
$MSFT $NVDA $AMD
“We continue to see institutional clients sell pockets of crowded tech (ytd Mag 7 underperformers for ex) and rotate into cyclicals (mostly concentrated in industrials & REITS, trickling into finance). It’s a very healthy signal that demand is broadening” - Goldman Sachs March 16
Additional info adding to $PANW's stock jump:
Full year Guidance:
Billings: $10.9-11.0B vs. $10.81B est.
EPS: $5.27-5.40 vs. $4.98 est.
Substantial beats in those categories.
"Look ma, I'm going to be on TV".
Friends, look out for a crazy clown jester walking behind the Snoopy float midway through the Macy's parade tmrw. I'll have red on my face and some stripped attire.
@contessabrewer
is awesome for sharing the news w/
@michaelsantoli
. Happy 🦃
Watch out, $NVDA 👀
CNBC's
@KristinaParts
reports on $INTC's newly announced AI chips that the company says will be cheaper and more power efficient than its competition.
Semis ETF $SMH is on pace for its best year since 2003.
@KristinaParts
gives us the latest on the chips.
@terranovajoe
and
@GilmanHill
's Jenny Harrington weigh in on the names they own.
$NVDA $MU $QCOM $AVGO $LRCX $ON $SWKS
Since 2000, US corporations have, on net, bought back $5.5T of stock. This amounts to more demand than any other market participant, and it’s not even close.
GS says the single biggest technical in today’s market is corporate stock buybacks.
Intel confirms Microsoft as a new foundry customer - $MSFT will use Intel's 18A process to build a new chip. No details on that chip.
Intel also increases its lifetime foundry pipeline to $15B from $10B and confirms all is on track for fives nodes in four years.
$INTC -1%
Broadcom CEO on competition from Nvidia GPUs:
"We're happy to use our of IP portfolio to create those custom ASIC AI accelerator. So I do not see them as truly competing against each other...We're not we are not a competitor to them. We don't try to be either."
$NVDA $AVGO
"In 22 years on the Street as a tech analyst we have listened to 1,000's of conference call with many highs and lows. Last night's Lyft call was a Top 3 worst call we have ever heard." - Wedbush note
At least 9 analyst downgrades today. $LYFT is in freefall, -36% vs $UBER -4%
GameStop shares halted 17 times amid frenzied trading - the stock’s wildest session in three years.
Even
@TheRoaringKitty
’s livestream couldn’t stop the downturn as the meme stock $GME plunged:
Brian’s last words to me tonight: “that’s OBA - offensive, but accurate”.
We talked chips but managed to throw in some Gangnam style, bears, Covid and goldfish.
Always a good time with
@SullyCNBC
and the
@LastCallCNBC
team.
"Qualcomm is showing that the smartphone recovery is slowly underway. They also saw a lot of strength in autos," says
@KristinaParts
on $QCOM earnings.
AMD launches a next gen open sourced software, ROCm 6, which "really delivers for AI developers". It has 8x performance compared to AMD's previous generation. $AMD
But $NVDA putting out a hit piece on Forbes stating their software is faster:
"Today [AI] is a $30B market and we think it'll grow over the next 3 or 4 years more than 50% a year, so we see $150B by the time we get to 2027," says AMD CEO
@LisaSu
$AMD
It's really important to put these tech layoffs into context. DocuSign plans to cut 10% of its workforce.
Yes, it's bad for those employees.
But the company more than doubled its headcount from 2020 to 2022 (3909 --> 7461).
$DOCU +4.8%
There's more to a headline.
Morning chip movers:
$AVGO: continuing rally post stock split news. Bigger than $LLY's market cap
$QCOM: Apple Analyst Kuo said Qcom to be sole SoC supplier for Samsung's Galaxy S25, chip prices to go up
$TSM: sole supplier of said QCOM chip
$NVDA: Wells loves Spectrum-X, pt $155
AMD CEO on earnings call now: "In the PC market, we are planning for the PC TAM to be down approximately 10% for 2023. We expect to continue to ship below consumption in the first quarter to reduce downstream inventory which is reflected in our guidance. " $AMD
Comeback central today.
At the low today, the S&P 500 was down -4%, but ended the day in the green +0.3%. The Nasdaq followed a similar pattern.
The last time we saw such swings was at the heart of the financial crisis in November 2008.
#investing
#stocks
Why is Palo Alto reporting earnings on a summer Friday afternoon? Many reports suggest to expect the worst and that's why the stock has dropped ~18% since Aug 2. But attention doesn't always wane on Fridays.
$PANW