Kevin Erdmann Profile Banner
Kevin Erdmann Profile
Kevin Erdmann

@KAErdmann

7,933
Followers
653
Following
3,677
Media
32,374
Statuses

I discovered a new framework for understanding the housing bubble, the financial crisis, and costly housing markets. See my substack link for ongoing analysis.

Gilbert, AZ
Joined August 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 months
Sometimes, it seems like 80% of public debate is just some form of this:
Tweet media one
31
341
6K
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
4 months
Manhattan condo. For sale for $595,000. Monthly HOA dues $6,975. New York is a different planet.
Tweet media one
408
270
5K
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Krogers profit margin over the last year was 0.75%, according to yahoo finance and hasnโ€™t been more than 2.5% over the past 4 years.
@SenWarren
Elizabeth Warren
3 years
What happens when only a handful of giant grocery store chains like @Kroger dominate an industry? They can force high food prices onto Americans while raking in record profits. We need to strengthen our antitrust laws to break up giant corporations and lower prices.
3K
1K
5K
186
534
4K
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Unaffordable housing is WEIRD. Housing was affordable basically everywhere until 1980. It was still affordable in 75% of cities as late as 2002. Making affordable cities doesnโ€™t require some unprecedented complex set of new policies and programs.
54
167
2K
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 month
Monthly employment data is probably the best real time clue on changes in population. There is no sign of 20,000 new residents, let alone Haitians. Home price appreciation has been normal. The cat thing was ridiculous. It distracted everyone from realizing it's all ridiculous.
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
92
294
1K
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
It doesn't matter much if the median new home can't be constructed at a price that is affordable for the median household. New homes are 1% of the market. The most important result of building a lot of $500,000 homes is that a bunch of $250,000 homes start selling for $200,000.
41
114
1K
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Upzoning would be unfair to most current urban landowners in the same way that fracking was unfair to the Saudi royal family.
12
91
988
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Does everyone know that thereโ€™s a tax deduction self employed people can take on new cars, but the cars have to weigh at least 6,000 lbs? (Section 179)
42
70
943
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
I was in a chat with some academics where I mentioned how crazy it is that we've gotten to a point that people will oppose local amenities to try to keep housing costs down. A Chicago trained economist who had written on housing said he'd never heard of such a thing. 1/
@GeorgistSteve
Stephen Hoskins ๐Ÿ”ฐ๐Ÿ—๏ธ๐Ÿงฆ๐Ÿชฉ
1 year
"Traffic calming is gentrification" is powerful levels of rent nihilism.
Tweet media one
11
23
481
6
36
812
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 month
50 pt. rate cut. 3% real GDP growth sub-2% expected inflation
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
Tweet media three
10
108
762
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
The tiktok girl crying about her long commute has a point. Not on tiktok are the countless locals who gave up, who said goodbye to extended family, generations of friends, social networks, etc. and traded down their life goals to some sunbelt city that wasn't in their first plan
18
31
602
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
@MadisonECondon @mucha_carlos High School Graduate: I know everything Bachelors Degree: I don't know everything Masters Degree: I don't know ANYTHING PhD: NOBODY knows anything!
2
34
579
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
You cannot overstate how culturally toxic the housing shortage is. We are to a place where people say, "It's local employers' fault because they fund very well-paid jobs in my town." You literally cannot overstate how culturally toxic the housing shortage is.
@nextdoorsv
Next door in Silicon Valley
7 months
The solution? Ban tech jobs in Mountain View.
Tweet media one
7
1
42
14
74
567
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
YIMBY vs. NIMBY is one iteration of the New Money vs. Old Money conflict that is an inevitable part of the capitalist experience. It's a source of horseshoe politics, since conservatives and Progressives can both be Old Money-friendly. 1/2
8
42
542
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
BTW, I think I win this meme. How it started: How it's going.
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
6
21
542
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Holy crap. In my next substack post, I will apparently be making the case that the recent pullback in home prices really is due to the California YIMBY movement!
20
22
500
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 months
@vanillaopinions SROs: Age 0-18: universal (provided by household) 19-20: mandatory 21-65: illegal 65+: subsidized
2
9
467
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
His position against engaging in land wars in Asia is clear. This is no surprise.
@_waleedshahid
Waleed Shahid ๐Ÿชฌ
1 year
WALLACE SHAWN is inconceivably here at the White House with @IfNotNowOrg and @JvpAction demanding President Biden fight for a ceasefire and end the killing of Palestinian and Israeli civilians.
Tweet media one
400
6K
41K
7
58
459
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
There isnโ€™t a structural shortage of housingโ€ฆin LAโ€ฆbecause there are Airbnbโ€™s in LA. What is it about housing that makes people so weird.
@texasrunnerDFW
Amy Nixon
2 years
2021: Thereโ€™s a structural housing shortage. We didnโ€™t build enough homes for millennials 2022: Oh really? Hereโ€™s a map of all the #Airbnb listings in LA area
Tweet media one
99
212
1K
25
13
450
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
What is it about housing that induces so many people into these contortions?
@luckysean
Sean McQuillan
3 years
Someone said to me that basic economics tells you that if you increase housing supply the market will lower rents. That's not how it works. If you look at the stats around increasing supply and density you'll see that's just not how it has worked historically. Let me explain. 1/
24
33
78
27
9
443
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Increasingly, it seems that everything is either banned or mandated, except for housing, which is both.
5
34
412
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Blue and red America are united in legislating homelessness. In every case, the perpetrators don't feel responsible. They're just outlawing one little thing: co-living, mortgage lending, multi-unit projects, redevelopments, etc. Straws and camel backs everywhere.
@birkmurkrow
curtis ''buick fucker'' wilcox
2 years
I'M NOT SORRY BUT HOW THE FUCK ARE Y'ALL GONNA BAN PEOPLE LIVING TOGETHER. PEOPLE. LIVING. TOGETHER. im gonna throw up
Tweet media one
2K
12K
64K
9
88
399
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
The Georgist position is to tax the old dude in the movie โ€œUpโ€ until he decides to sell and move. Is that correct?
20
12
387
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Itโ€™s so pitiful that people so often get away with claiming that housing supply wonโ€™t help with affordability. Every metro with growth of about 2% or more is relatively affordable. We have tons of examples of cities choosing supply and it always works.
6
56
401
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
I don't think she understands that NIMBYs are her problem, not the 9-5 work day. That's ok. It's not obvious, which is why the issue is so hard and so important. A bunch of her detractors don't understand either. 4 hours a day of commuting isn't a natural state of being.
@Investmentkage
InvestmentKage (ใ‚คใƒณใƒ™ใ‚นใƒˆใƒกใƒณใƒˆๅฝฑ)
1 year
See, sheโ€™s thankful she got a job. Itโ€™s wild how hard it is to find a job for many people.
28
2
57
14
24
399
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
ZonInG caN't Be chANgEd BeCAUsE iT's a ContRaCt WiTh hOMeOwneRs wHo BouGhT BaSEd oN a SeT oF ExpECtAtIOnS aND pRoMiSeS.
@JaredVidales
Jared Vidales
7 months
Never seen this before. Land Covenants from a 1946 neighborhood in Phoenix. Restricts Negros, Mexicans, Asians, Hindus and Indians from from buying taking title to homes this subdivision,
Tweet media one
23
10
40
12
54
392
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
4 months
@William48759211 Other commenters have suggested that the co-op could have a mortgage on the building that members have to cover, if I'm understanding them correctly.
19
3
391
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
If farmers had to ask neighbors with allergies for permission before they could plant alfalfa, our livestock would starve, and the academy would be pumping out papers titled, "Financialization is degrading our nutrition: Neoliberalism is anti-protein because it isn't profitable."
5
36
371
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
11 months
I wonder if part of what is going on is that a lot of rural places & small regional centers are depopulating, but some have drawn in a lot of immigrants. In those places the aging existing residents think โ€œimmigrants ruined this cityโ€ when the immigrants actually saved it.
@Noahpinion
Noah Smith ๐Ÿ‡๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ
11 months
I just don't get this take. All my life I've lived in areas with a ton of immigrants -- not just in the city, but in MY neighborhood. Most were Mexican, some were Asian. Personally, I've never seen ANY negative effects -- not on crime, or culture, or anything. That fits with the
305
247
3K
13
32
373
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
8 months
The irony of the immediate yimby project is that the solution - that we need to legalize and build 10-20 million extra housing units - sounds outrageous. And yet, if those units were equally distributed across every city, would be barely noticeable in the built environment.
18
36
374
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
The sociology prof did the thing. The very thing I had mocked. The economist didn't seem to register that this is what happened. I'm pretty sure that if you asked either of them today whether the thing I described really ever happens, they would say they've never seen it. 5/5
1
6
358
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Housing supply & demand: Demand declines when a family sells a home they owned. This is determined by interest rates. Upon selling, they take ethereal form & no longer require shelter. Supply declines when a corporation buys a home, which they leave empty bc 4D chess.
7
32
352
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
We have underbuilt secularly for 40 years, and the way to fix things is to overbuild SECULARLY, which will also take years. And, it is never going to happen if every time we start to, we react by thinking that we are overbuilding cyclically, and that we have to kill the cycle. 1/
Tweet media one
9
51
344
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
@mnolangray Itโ€™s revealed preference. Millennials are much more likely to prefer paying higher rent and getting denied on mortgage applications.
6
4
331
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Uh oh. Not good. My informal U-Haul housing market tracker has just moved to a cyclical low for LA to Phoenix moving trucks. Something to watch. A few months ago, a 20' truck would have cost you over $1,100.
Tweet media one
12
24
331
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
Los Angeles and San Francisco displace about 2% of their population each year, mostly the poorest. And now, after 30 years of that, we've got folks going, "It's just expensive to live there because they're so rich and productive!" 1/
7
26
330
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
@maxdubler @crulge Ironically, the only sustainable, functional way to solve this problem is to build a lot more "shitty apartments for yuppies", and yet the average person, seeing the scale of the problem, will not believe that & will insist on public policy reactions that make the problem worse.
26
7
317
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
5 years
I frequently read that adding more housing supply to expensive cities won't solve the cost problem bc supply induces more demand. Let's take a moment to honor the selfless actions of NIMBY homeowners who sacrifice capital gains by limiting new supply, to keep costs low for us.
2
39
314
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
11 months
The 2008 financial crisis was a policy choice. And it was, and is, the most popular political choice of my lifetime.
@y2khunter
Hunter*
11 months
what opinion will you defend like this?
Tweet media one
14K
5K
109K
20
13
298
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
This is such a salient example of how facts are completely irrelevant if you have a faulty model of how the world works. It happens again and again in housing. This would be a disaster. Like literally push us into full on social upheaval. But it seems viscerally obvious to many.
@RepRoKhanna
Rep. Ro Khanna
1 year
Wall Street is increasingly buying up single family homes and pushing homeownership out of reach for Americans. ย  My Stop Wall Street Landlords Act will stop the financialization of housing.
115
237
672
9
17
288
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Here's why all estimates of "needed housing" are far too low: You could look at the stats of an underhoused city and say, "Oh, 40,000 families were regionally displaced. We need an additional 40,000 new homes to fix that." 1/8
6
73
298
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
1. Not enough homes. The most vulnerable residents become homeless. 2. People say, โ€œwell, of course theyโ€™re homeless. Look at how they live.โ€ 3. The city suggests building shelter for them. 4. People say, โ€œWe canโ€™t have THOSE people living near us! No shelters!โ€ 5. Go to 1.
@susanzhuangnyc
Susan Zhuang ่ŽŠๆ–‡ๆ€ก
7 months
Today, thousands of members of our community joined together to say no to building a menโ€™s shelter next to our schools, daycare centers, and senior centers. Together, we are calling for more affordable housing, senior housing, mental health services, and improving our programs
72
130
1K
18
55
298
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
A city that builds lots of market rate homes with a strong safety net has stresses and isnโ€™t perfect, but itโ€™s pro-new money bc itโ€™s pro-everyone and itโ€™s better than a city focused on below-market building, where Old Money doles out favors to lessers who genuflect just right.
2
25
288
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
5 months
Staking your own reputation on apologism for the criminal finances around Trump's tryst with a porn actress might be a little cringey for a moment, but I'm sure this will be it. This will be the last hit you would need to take for him. So, it's probably worth it. Just this once.
10
31
293
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
17 days
Thereโ€™s a certain type of guy who owns a business that depends on hiring unskilled workers in dead end jobs at $10/hour. And they all think the country is going to hell because all the people that show up to work for them are dysfunctional and lazy.
6
27
293
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
11 months
The automobile allowed us to avoid the slightly uncomfortable task of naturally changing and growing cities for a century, so there are generations of people who have a lived experience that is simply unsustainable. Structural forms in cities must be able to change.
@cafedujord
Jordan Grimes๐Ÿšฐ
11 months
Statewide NIMBY group Livable California has released a list of policy demands. It's as insane as you'd expect. They want: - "geographic equity" (aka no more housing in affluent coastal cities/suburbs) - a focus on single-family sprawl - New job growth shifted to rural areas
Tweet media one
45
37
684
4
44
289
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
I came in to YIMBYism through the back door. I embarked on what I intended to be a short review of the pre-2008 housing bubble, and realized that all the conventional reasons for it were weak, and so I was left with the mystery. Why did it all happen? 1/
4
20
278
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Oddly enough, a really good way to reduce water usage in the picture at the top of the article would be to put a bunch of apartments here and here.
Tweet media one
7
19
273
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
A thread (maybe move the arrow up here a few years - latish-1970s). 1/
Tweet media one
18
36
266
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
I think it's important to pull the mask off regarding these allegiances, because underneath all the egalitarian theatrics is the basic notion that a city belongs to the people who got their first and a lot of the rest of it is, IMHO, self deception about the ethics of that notion
2
23
259
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
4 months
Adam Smith rn.
Tweet media one
@RishiSunak
Rishi Sunak
4 months
We shouldnโ€™t be reliant on foreign food. Buy British.
8K
594
7K
0
10
265
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
I've literally know someone who passed on the car they wanted because it didn't weigh enough to get the tax deduction, so it was more economical for them to buy a heavier one.
3
11
256
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Housing is a great example of โ€œpower corruptsโ€. Many of the people demeaning themselves at public meetings with bogus complaints about new homes would probably be relatively hospitable if there wasnโ€™t a process for them to complain. 1/
5
21
258
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
This is what America is here for. A great alternative to human suffering. It is a disloyalty to what it is to be American that we donโ€™t have open doors to these victims. 1/
@DanielDiMartino
Daniel Di Martino ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช
2 years
๐ŸšจVenezuela is missing approximately 8 million people due to the massive emigration caused by the socialist regime since 2013. If Venezuela's population stayed on trend, it would number 34.6 million. Instead, the IMF estimates only 26.5 million Venezuelans remain in the country.
Tweet media one
29
173
469
7
28
253
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Adult dormitory living: 18-19 yo: required 20-64 yo: outlawed 65+ yo: Federally subsidized Dorms: the ultimate Progressive policy regime
5
17
254
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Housing markets are the craziest thing. Building new luxury units doesnโ€™t help with the supply of affordable housing. But taxing existing vacant luxury units does! Itโ€™s very subtle and complicated.
6
16
241
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Maybe the key to affordable homes in NYC was to make sure units lacked key features of convenience so that they remained cheap like the apartments she had decided not to rent. 4/
1
3
235
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
4 months
First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they pass a city-wide ordinance to make sure nothing like you ever gets built again. Then they make you a historical landmark.
0
20
239
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
WTF happened in 1971 (or basically the 70s)? We made it hard to build homes in cities, so that costs from arbitrary scarcity became the driving force of our economy. I argued this in Shut Out, but I think I underestimated the importance of it.
7
18
235
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
@conorsen Itโ€™s funny that you, of all people, would think this. During the housing boom before the Great Recession, Atlanta might be the best example of an American city where moderate building was lowering rents. From 2002 to 2006, real rents declined 17% in Atlanta.
3
2
233
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Ellis Island processed 5,000 immigrants A DAY. This is ridiculous.
@nycphotog
nycphotog
1 year
BREAKING: Mayor Adams basically conceding New York City is done because of illegal immigration and warns New Yorkers illegals will flood ALL neighborhoods.
10K
8K
24K
11
17
229
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Then, later, a sociology professor (if I remember right) on the chat bemoaned her ability to find an affordable apartment in Brooklyn. She said the only affordable ones were very old units with 3 bedrooms and one bath, which could never work for her family. 2/
1
4
222
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
We canโ€™t put our trash in bins because the bins could be housing might just be peak US housing discourse. Iโ€™m not sure we can top this. No notes.
@CoreyClayton
Corey Clayton
1 year
@NYCMayor Theyโ€™ll be: A) stolen by homeless as carts, or temp shelters. They cost $50-100 a bin, right? B) Blue recycling bins will be constantly raided and spilled out on street by bottle/can seekers. Horrible idea NYC.
88
5
85
5
18
224
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 months
For those claiming the federal government can't do much to help increase the supply of homes: Before 2008, the avg. value of homes getting new Fannie Mae mortgages was about $250k and the avg. current value of homes paying off existing Fannie Mae mortgages was about $250k. 1/
Tweet media one
11
38
224
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
We should generalize the vacancy tax. Tax unemployed workers. Tax idled machinery and factories. Tax empty tables at restaurants. a blanket tax on non-production. Everyone without income pays $x. Letโ€™s fix everything all at once.
22
13
211
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Then, she complained that economists don't support subsidized units enough, and said that, lacking subsidized units or rent controls, maybe she had happened upon the solution. The affordable units had been missing key modern amenities, like multiple bathrooms. 3/
1
2
206
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Very good example of axiom number 1 in housing. There is no naturally occurring housing affordability problem. Unaffordable housing has one and only one cause: purposeful, communal enforcement of it. This is legislated poverty.
6
23
210
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
Sorry. This may just be repetition, but I'm finishing up something where the point is just so obvious, and I have to get it off my chest. We now have 2 decades of a pattern where the cities with the most expensive housing lose population during putative building booms... 1/
3
29
206
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
As labor becomes a constraint in our aging society, we should look back at what we lost in the 2010s decade when we could have built the next decades' shelter, but instead maintained a new policy regime that kept a couple million construction workers in longterm unemployment.
1
29
207
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
By my estimation, some combination of these bullshit statements occupies a plurality of urban American sentiments. The irony is that people who complain that America is an empire in decline are the sentimental carriers and purveyors of it.
3
8
204
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
Arizona governor Katie Hobbs just failed. A big honking "F". What a waste. And her letter is a bunch of NIMBY garbage. "We can't have generally legal housing, because what if cities are complete morons and can't manage to build infrastructure?"
9
26
207
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Cities that build less housing systematically see more people move away and the people that move away tend to have lower incomes than the people that stay. SF is one of the red dots.
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
3
27
201
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
I decided to kick a Georgism hornets nest this morning. Why? Idk. It got a surprising amount of engagement. I must report that these were the most pleasant and thoughtful hornets Iโ€™ve come across on this site, and twitters reputation is at risk if we let these people hang around.
12
5
202
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
I'm thinking about becoming homeless and moving to the west coast, because of all the amenities. Any opinions about the best place to do the homeless grift? LA? San Francisco? I'm hearing its all the rage.
33
5
201
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
This depressing chart shows the impact of the current state of the property market on home buyers of all ages
Tweet media one
11
38
204
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
The thing where affordable housing is only available as a public subsidy based on how high your occupation scores on a social desirability scale is unfair for exactly the same reason it feels fair.
5
13
199
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 years
A place where it costs 10x+ the average income to build a home is an astoundingly poor place. Maybe among the poorest ever to exist. Few humans in history have been so destitute that it took 10+ years of labor to build shelter. 1/
@arpitrage
Arpit Gupta
2 years
"14% of the price tag for Californiaโ€™s affordable housing projects was made up of consulting fees and other administrative costs"
Tweet media one
6
49
232
4
32
194
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
11 months
Do we know for certain that the pardoned turkeys have no connection to Hunter, Burisma, or the Chinese? Why were they pardoned? How will we know if we donโ€™t investigate?
11
19
192
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Why are the homebuilders offering rate buydowns? Because they can. Because their margins are healthy. Because they want to sell the homes they are finishing so they can start some new ones. Because they are making money on them.
26
14
194
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
11 months
A bunch of people who are a part of the monopolist political housing cartel have Marie Antoinette syndrome, so they are willing to be openly grotesque because they can't even imagine that they're the baddies. So they just put it out there in the most insufferable way possible.
@WallStreetSilv
Wall Street Silver
11 months
Millennials are furious about rent prices being so crazy and housing prices being completely out of reach. (She is in Boston) ๐Ÿ”Š ... ๐Ÿค” Is she right? or is she complaining too much and just making bad choices? I think she is in a high cost area and likely just not making the
5K
1K
8K
4
10
194
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
@lugaricano Reminds me of this quote from โ€œTellerโ€, which I think applies to success in general, โ€œSometimes magic is just someone spending more time on something than anyone else might reasonably expect.โ€
4
10
195
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
7 months
I typed and deleted about 10 tweets. I think I just need to let it speak for itself.
@GregAbbott_TX
Greg Abbott
7 months
I strongly support free markets. But this corporate large-scale buying of residential homes seems to be distorting the market and making it harder for the average Texan to purchase a home. This must be added to the legislative agenda to protect Texas families.
628
1K
6K
12
7
192
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
@mnolangray I don't know it it makes me happy or sad, but so many of these that you highlight make it clear how EASY dense infill should be. Density increases by multiples, and it barely changes the neighborhood at all. You'd hardly know by walking past it.
1
5
183
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 months
If we suspended zoning for a decade and built 30 million homes across the country with no planning, 90% of neighborhoods would look almost exactly the same as they look now, but the houses in them would be 30%-70% cheaper, depending on their location.
13
16
191
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 months
Itโ€™s unfortunate that she doesnโ€™t understand this and probably never will. Few do. For every one of those 7 million homes that she says we are short, there is a family that would have built one if her Consumer Financial Protection Bureau would have let them. Woman of system.
@SenWarren
Elizabeth Warren
2 months
You ever wonder how your grandparents bought a home for 7 raspberries, but you canโ€™t afford a one bedroom apartment? Itโ€™s not you. Weโ€™re facing a national housing shortage. The government needs to tackle this crisis head on.
17K
2K
10K
13
13
186
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
The popularity of the "tech workers are driving up housing costs" POV in San Francisco is a product of the OM v NM tradition. Capitalism is, broadly speaking, the institutional support of "New Money", or even more broadly speaking, of change. 2/2
7
7
172
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
We're annoying because, regardless of what's right, the status quo is ridiculous. Pointing that out is annoying to the people who maintain it. The existence of generally annoying people like me in the movement is a spurious correlation. "We Are a Gentle, Annoying People" 5/5
3
12
183
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 month
Just saw a Harris/Walz ad that said โ€œSheโ€™ll make groceries more affordable by cracking down on price gouging, and sheโ€™ll cut housing costs by taking on corporate speculators.โ€
Tweet media one
10
6
186
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
How it works: Phoenix builds more market-rate units which makes existing units in Phoenix available at affordable rents for families from Los Angeles. The main reason for this program's success is that it can't be brought up for a vote in Los Angeles.
2
11
185
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
This is the key challenge of our time. Arbitrary limits to new housing in places like LA mean their populations are countercyclical - the better the economy is the more people have to move away from those key cities, bc their housing stock can't grow as fast as a good economy. 1/
Tweet media one
7
49
182
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
11 months
That's a good one.
Tweet media one
@maxdubler
Max Dubler ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆ
11 months
YIMBY meme thread letโ€™s goooo
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
Tweet media three
Tweet media four
27
91
1K
5
8
177
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
6 months
vaccines also do this. Also seat belts. Oncology. Baby formula. Modern sewage management. The number of things that are driving up rents would blow your mind.
@DeItaone
*Walter Bloomberg
6 months
FED GOVERNOR BOWMAN: INFLOW OF NEW IMMIGRANTS TO SOME AREAS THAT LACK AFFORDABLE HOUSING COULD PUSH UP RENTS
20
22
107
12
15
177
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
@IrvingSwisher To me, this also speaks to the idea that recessions are somehow cathartic, killing off weak businesses. As we are seeing now, growth is perfectly capable of "sweeping out the chafe".
4
12
170
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
It seems reasonable to tax unrealized capital gains, but surely the tax collections for them should be unrealized also.
8
25
173
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
2 months
@TheStalwart This is the reason. Millions of families were permanently blocked from mortgage access because we had a moral panic about lending.
Tweet media one
Tweet media two
7
8
173
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
1 year
Lately, I've been seeing a lot of comments about how housing is important for "building generational wealth". I think this is a bad idea. First, I was raised firmly middle class with homeowning parents, and none of us expected a significant inheritance from them. 1/
11
13
174
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
4 years
@ModeledBehavior 1) Make it illegal to just do ordinary, normal stuff that is part of a regular life. 2) People without political power or expensive credentials can't get jobs or start businesses. 3) Services become oppressively expensive. 4) Sisyphusian tax and redistribute scheme. Repeat
4
9
165
@KAErdmann
Kevin Erdmann
3 years
Mythology about the 2008 crisis has created a โ€œLump of Housingโ€ fallacy. Vacancies are like unemployment. They are mostly due to market frictions. Not only is it wrong to think there was a time when we had overbuilt housing. Itโ€™s wrong, really, to even think it is possible.
5
18
169