Visiting prof at Luiss University (Roma) & author of Agents of Subversion: The Fate of John T. Downey and the CIA's Covert War in China (Cornell, 2022)
Good morning, world.
Here in South Korea, we are waking up to the news that 29,100,000 citizens voted in yesterday's National Assembly election. Over 66% of electorate. Highest turnout since 1992.
'Democracy or public health' is a false choice.
As an American living in Korea, my mind is trying to make sense of the fact that I get a little worried when we have 40 new cases reported here, while the US has 40,000 new cases a day, and yet people have to be convinced to wear masks.
My wife and I attended the “Stop the Steal” Trump Insurrection on Wednesday (as observers, NOT participants) and there are FIVE big take-aways from what we witnessed and heard outside the Capitol that I'd like to share. (We took all the pictures below). 1/22
President Biden has now specifically raised the cases of Michael Kovrig and Michael Spavor. So, if Xi is serious about a reset in Sino-US relations, one gesture in that direction would be to release the two men on humanitarian grounds.
It’s that easy.
I want to take this moment to celebrate all the journalists who kept their feet on the brakes throughout this “story.” Unfortunately they get no credit, and the ones who had their feet on the gas accept no blame.
THIS IS INSANE.
A woman DIED at a nursing home in
@SacCountyCA
& only 3 other people have been tested; families not getting any info; elders are told to 'self-monitor', not even having temperatures taken.
Two days after coronavirus killed a patient at a Northern California assisted living home, some families of loved ones there are alarmed about their welfare and angry about a lack of info from the facility or local officials. Via
@anitachabria
My Fellow Americans,
Imagine a country where the President writes the
@TIME
profile of the CDC Director.
And praises HER for leading the national response to the pandemic.
And quotes Camus.
I don't get how this presidential election here in South Korea works. It seems like whichever of the candidates receives the most votes wins. Why don't they have an Electoral College? It makes no sense.
@realDonaldTrump
If you've been told that for 25 years all we've done is talk to North Korea & pay them money, then you might need a second 'policy review'.
Spence was not just a historian, he was an artist, and his books will be read forever because they are works of art. That does not mean he made things up-- his artistry was bounded by things as they really happened, just as a sculptor can only carve the block before her.
Time to breathe some life into this new chapter of inter-Korean reconciliation. Get
@BTS_twt
&
#moranbong
on stage together for Peace Olympics concert.
We have grown so accustomed (with good reason) to thinking about North Korea in terms of threat, that it takes some unthinking to see the possibilities. Here’s what I see:
Another extraordinary image that captures the
#interkoreansummit
Two key South Korean officials who worked very hard to make it happen, & who have lived division in remarkable ways, one wiping away tears & the other beaming with joy
PUTTING SOMETHING IN ALL CAPS DOESN’T MAKE IT TRUE.
Inventory was never going to work as early step. Insisting on it was recipe for quagmire, not progress.
Since I tweeted this [24 hrs ago], China's foreign minister doubled-down on all these positions. W/ euphemisms like "Ukraine situation" where "conflict erupted," Wang Yi promised Sino-Russian "strategic partnership" will advance no matter how bad things get (不管國際風雲如何險惡)
Beijing has not walked back an inch from this Xi-Putin statement, does not even refer to Russia's actions as an invasion, will not exercise its duty at the UNSC/UNGA to acknowledge the Article 2 violation, echoes Putin's gaslighting blame-shifting onto NATO, & rejects sanctions.
South Korea's success at battling back
#Covid19
is extraordinary. Only 76 cases on March 14.
Look at this curve. Amazing.
Don't focus on the blue line. Look at the green bars.
Now we have BBC Dad
@Robert_E_Kelly
being asked on
@bbc
to comment on
@dennisrodman
crying over on
@CNN
.
Postmodernity works fast, wow.
(To his credit Bob ignores it and makes substantive point)
Beijing has not walked back an inch from this Xi-Putin statement, does not even refer to Russia's actions as an invasion, will not exercise its duty at the UNSC/UNGA to acknowledge the Article 2 violation, echoes Putin's gaslighting blame-shifting onto NATO, & rejects sanctions.
Kids in Hong Kong are giving the world a civics lesson. It’s inspiring & humiliating (in the invigorating Confucian sense) to see how they are bending the arc in their small corner of the universe. 加油香港🇭🇰
irony of CCP history is 100 years ago they were the people they are suppressing now in Hong Kong. Party founders like Chen Duxiu, Zhou Enlai, Li Dazhao were the Joshua Wongs, Agnes Chows, Nathan Laws of their time. Exiled, imprisoned, undefeated.
Twitter nearly killed Kim Jong Un today. His condition seems to have stabilized, but who knows what tomorrow will bring. Meanwhile I am monitoring the view from out my window, and the northern border looks secure.
So let me get this straight. The Trump administration can’t find a qualified candidate to serve as Ambassador to South Korea who doesn’t think starting a war with North Korea is a stupid idea?
And it’s taken them a year to figure that out?
Kimchi, also called paocai in China, is a pickled and fermented dish not exclusively owned by certain countries and regions, a spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry said, calling on friendly and unbiased exchanges on food.
I get asked a lot if South Korea’s suppression of the pandemic has a lot to do with culture. There are several things to note. First authorities here acted quickly. A test was ready to mass produce within 2 weeks. Track & trace was vigorous. They can now trace 1000 people an hour
I'm watching 'For Peace' 为了和平, the 20-part CCTV documentary on China's role in Korean War, so you don't have to. Episode 1 done... only 19 hours to go!
#lipsandteeth
A few more factors here in South Korea:
- Relentless contact tracing
- Systematic info sharing w public [to point Americans would freak about privacy violations]
- Religious mask wearing
- Single-payer public universal health insurance
I get it, I get it, we are all China hawks now. But cmon people this is ridiculous. Pulling out the Peace Corps & Fulbrights, chasing away students & media, next banning Party members? Not gaining any leverage, just undercutting influence. Doing authoritarianism's work for it.
NEW: Trump officials are weighing a sweeping travel ban on 92 million members of the Chinese Communist Party & their families. It would be the most provocative action by US since trade war. But will Trump agree to it, since he admires Xi? w/
@paulmozur
.
Jim I respectfully disagree.
Kim is legitimating peaceful relations w the US, and writing a new narrative of the US as non-threatening. Opens up all kinds of good possibilities.
North Korean media needs to be read in their context, not ours.
YES. The South Korean experience affirms this. Actually, social distancing here is less extreme than what I'm seeing unfold in US. That's b/c due to extensive testing, tracing, informing, we all have a better sense of where the peril is.
The better testing/tracking you have, the less social distancing you need to achieve equivalent health outcomes. You can focus social distancing efforts more precisely at people who are sick or at immediate risk of being sick and others can get back to normal life a bit more.
If North Korea were suicidal it would have died a long time ago.
If KJU were crazy he wouldn't be in power this long.
A brutal logic of survival drives the North Korean system and has sustained it against incredible odds.
You have to tease out the possibilities in that logic.
Hot take:
"Here in the freedom-loving, individualistic West, we just can't apply what might work to fight the virus in South Korean, with its deep-rooted culture of trusting authority."
Seoul one year ago. And yet you seriously think KJU wants to coercively reunify w this, & that’s what the nukes are about? The North could not absorb the South with all the nukes in the world. Focus on the real problems. Find practical, peaceful solutions. 힘내세요
It is my great honor to declare Sunday, March 15th as a National Day of Prayer. We are a Country that, throughout our history, has looked to God for protection and strength in times like these....
Ruling party got trounced in bellweather elections for mayors of Seoul and Busan but no one outside Korea noticed because Kim Jong Un did not stage a missile test on voting day “in a direct challenge to the Biden administration”
Grand strategy in the West is based on chess. “The Chinese” strategize in terms of weiqi. But from today onward, the geopolitical fate of the Korean Peninsula will be played out according to the cold logic & inscrutable rules of curling. 영미야!
The detention of the Two Michaels did 1,000 days of damage to China's image in Canada and among China/ North Korea experts around the world. Can we simply say 'hostage diplomacy worked'?
Thinking of friends in Taiwan and Vietnam, two model societies in dealing w/ covid both now experiencing unnerving outbreaks. We know you will bend the curve back toward 0! 🇹🇼🇻🇳 화이팅
Members of North Korea's Samjiyon orchestra wave to South Koreans when arriving in Gangneung Arts Center ahead of performance celebrating
#PyeongChang2018
Winter Olympics
We can launch them from a plane.
We can launch them from a train.
We can launch them from a sub.
We can launch them in a tub.
We can launch them here and there.
We can launch them anywhere!
Moon Jae-in shepherds the 🇰🇷🇺🇸 alliance through 3 years of US President Donald Trump's open scorn & extortion. But in the alternate universe of
@postopinions
Trump didn't exist & Moon is blamed for a foreign policy of 'distancing from the US'🤪
The wave of arrests in Hong Kong nearing Shanghai 1927 proportions. Bloodless but no less blind. Rounding up voices of hope and voices of dissent, the young and the old. Using the lazy allegation of every autocracy: inciting subversion, endangering national security.
Original statement by North Korean state media outlet KCNA, might as well read it yourself.
- note attribution matters. This is relatively low level, KCNA itself.
Not attr to KJU (who has a lot riding on this diplomacy). Or to KPA (the military, who esp don’t like exercises)
South Koreas National Security Council condemns North Korea missile test, but rather unusually also says it is closely monitoring its nuclear facilities including Pungyeri test site
This is a masterpiece. A must read for anyone with the faintest interest in China, also America's relationship with China, and the whole question of empire in the contemporary world.
Barnes & Noble has a 25% off sale through tomorrow for book pre-orders for members. This is a chance to get my new book, At the Edge of Empire. It's an epic work of memoir and reportage spanning 80 years, from my father in Mao's army to China's rise today:
imagine if thousands of nuclear weapons were at the sole discretion of a 74-year-old former-reality TV star taking steroids to stave off a life-threatening illness weeks from likelihood of losing all his power.
If you don't believe me, here's what Xi said in Feb 4 joint statement w/ Putin about the New Era of International Relations [going great so far].
Sound like an honest broker?