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Jeff Liang Profile
Jeff Liang

@JeffLia12309881

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CEO and co-founder of , crypto option tools. . Opinions are my own and not financial advise.

Joined June 2020
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
10 months
The increased trading volume we bring to OKX options is hitting new highs. Recently, there was a volume of 9 million US dollars in a single day, of which 5 million US dollars were block trades. With our App now compatible with OKX options, we believe the collaboration with OKX
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Genius meme.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
The craze for Pepe and Ordinal, like this, has happened in the past few years. Let's take a look at the trend. Anyway, I have bought some puts, and they are not expensive.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
本轮牛市的一个心愿是买一套有地下车位的房。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
上学耽误学习。打工耽误赚钱。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 months
@Kenntnis22 或为即将被执行的房产
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
The Volatility Risk Premium (VRP), also known as the Variance Risk Premium, is the difference between the implied volatility and the realized volatility over a certain period of time. This value reflects the current pricing level of the options market compared to the actual
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
10 months
In October, compared to September, we brought an additional 26.4% volume to the cryptocurrency options market. It appears that this momentum is still ongoing. We are actively preparing two game-changing features and will be introducing them to our friends very soon. Exciting
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
今天有大佬找我们做大宗撮合梭哈购买1万张以太坊末日看涨期权。Smart money确实厉害,已经4-5倍了。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
很多人会斤斤计较却缺乏对重大财务决策的判断力。抠钱是容易的,因为这是高频发生,容易形成肌肉反射的。重大财务决策涉及到整个判断体系的健壮,鲜有人能满足。所以我们常常能看到一个决策做错,5年10年光阴白费沉沦这种事情。Penny wise, pound foolish. 自省共勉:格局打开,胆大心细。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
很多朋友担心没地方c2c了。我说个故事吧。2017.9.4的时候,国内也无法出入金了,很快就催生出离岸的otc平台,如香港的coincola。这个平台甚至现在可能还活着。只要有利益,总有胆大的敢上。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
6 months
iv连100都没到,言顶还早。怕高都是苦命人。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
等牛市再多走走,闲钱多一些的时候,我打算盘两个铺子。一个是杂货铺,一个是药房。不求赚钱,只要打平,作为囤食品和药品的基地。在特殊情况下有钱也买不到这两样东西。保险思维。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
给自己定了个规矩,一旦买入的山寨币绝对不减仓,除非预判转熊和抛部分比特币的时候一起抛。这样可以有几个好处。买入的时候会更慎重,而且更可能采用定投逐步建仓,考察周期更长,持有可以更坚决,出现问题时警示作用更显著。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
国内出入金情况十分恶化。年轻人更加难以接触到大饼这样低总价可拆分的抵御通胀的手段了。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
随着altcoins的滥发,bitcoin dominance已经有些失真了。因为新发的小币可以无限种,用一点点流动性撑几千万美元市值,btcd长期下降。似乎取头部50币去计算dominance,更合理一些。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
能够接触到经济学是一种独特的缘分。我看一些译者都到了40-50岁才接触到。我现在也为时不晚。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
读个好大学有个意义在于获得跨越阶层的人脉。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
6 months
按照2017、2021经验,牛市一旦启动,差不多得持续一年。现在资金费率也就万3,好日子还在后头呢。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
4 months
@deegoo_CC 房东违约奈何
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Since Deribit uses Bitcoin to settle options, the actual Delta (Net Delta) obtained by traders paying Bitcoin is BlackScholes Delta minus the premium. We provide this optional column in the quotation table, which is convenient for traders to observe Net Delta intuitively. An
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
我做了一个测算,如果从当下开始就让现金/币的比例保持50%,即现金/投资资产的33%,从20k涨到300k,每10%就再平衡一番。结果总资产会是单纯全仓币的42%。So what,多一倍能发财吗?在20k-300k的过程中,如果上下往复多一点,低吸高抛,最终不见得比纯粹囤到300k少多少钱。但是有现金能抄底,心态极好。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
我曾认为BUSD放在币安和放在钱包里面的信用风险是一样的。自从衡阳公安冻币安账户后,我发现我还是naive了。也得提钱包。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
0) 现金再平衡策略与期权策略的结合。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
币圈生态接触得多了,有助于理解高大上的传统金融概念。比如:交易所禁止提币,就和央行暂停金本位兑换一样,本质是机构亏空了,无法兑现债务。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
A few days ago, a trade was made to sell September options with a notional value of up to $100 million, and buy June options while selling a calendar spread, reflecting the whale's bearish view on the volatility level for the next four months. The current implied volatility (IV)
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
5 months
Wen god candle
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
十三年前刚上班的时候,那位老板对我们说:不要老是谈劳动法,那是保护弱者的。你们都是精英,不需要劳动法保护。引来我们讪笑。多年后回味起来发现对自我的定位确实是自我实现的。处处寻求保护,那肯定自我实现成为弱者了。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
比特币的避险属性在于,它是可以独立于司法管辖权的存在,在非托管存储方式下是完全属于你个人的资产。这类资产,哪怕跌50%,也比有些一直账面增值但是会因为一张A4纸而归于无用或丧失流动性的资产要好。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Option seller…
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
There might be an arbitrage opportunity given the big difference of btc and eth iv levels. Selling eth 30 dec 1700 call its strike is 35% higher than spot, iv 86%, generates 22% apr. Buying btc 30 dec 23000 call strike 36% higher than spot, iv 70%, cost just 10% apr.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
前几日活动的笔记梳理。感谢大橙子和hedeng哥邀请。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
不止一次听到交易员朋友们告诉我:ETH期权好做多了。原因:波动更大,更好捕捉。行权价紧致。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Realized volatility chart over 7 years.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
坐在副驾驶辅导太太开车,比满仓高杠杆做多还要让人紧张。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
Chainlink值得关注。就是估值恐怕太贵,可能达到150倍“PE”。降到1/3可以考虑。加关注,熊市考虑入。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
一面是千万数量级大学毕业生求职难,一面是奢侈品商店排长队等候浏览玲琅满目的高价商品。基尼系数不断扩大不可逆转。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
10 months
Crypto Options Icebreaking Journey, in HK, by @GreeksLive
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
耐心是一种交易优势。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
I just bought some at-the-money weekly BTC options. I've never seen the implied volatility (IV) of the ask price for weekly crypto options at 38% before. It's really cheap.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
8 months
Our client's trading volume on Deribit has exceeded 100 million USD per day in the past week, and over 10 million USD per day on OKX in the same period. Thank you all for your support.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
In May, crypto options traded by our customers was 2.66 billion US dollars, or equivalent to 97,145 BTC. It is about three times the mining output of the entire Bitcoin network of the month. Widespread adoption of options is on the way.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
GM Monday. ETH put is as expensive as 120% iv now. Rich premium.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
随着比特币通胀率的下降,减半影响大大削弱,四年一轮回的特征可能不会复现了。后面就是全新的水域了。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
持币待涨,无事可奏。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
IV, probably lower than stock options now.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
币安企业户认证完成。挺快的,来回补了几次材料,2-3天搞定了。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
In the past 7 days, we have achieved 0.5x Paradigm option. Yesterday, we issued stock certificates to our new shareholders. They should be pleased to see this achievement. Unfortunately, Paradigm declined our proposal to cooperate in OTC biz and said no to invest in us last
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
下个熊市准备拿大饼换出去囤的标的:ETH、BNB、LINK、CAKE。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
有朋友说,都去务虚了,谁来做实业。总要有人落地提供实业产出的吧。1、利润低成功率低说明供大于求,不存在说没人去做;2、政策鼓励实业是为了扩大就业,和扩大利润无关;3、认清自己的定位,社会大势有专业的人操心,个人专注独善其身是对家庭负责,也是对社会的贡献。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
In the bear market of cryptocurrency, trading options on centralized exchanges is the best choice to generate yields while ensuring liquidity and security. I'm Jeff, the CEO of Greeks Live, and I invite you to follow me and our project. We are committed to providing convenient
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Selling put spreads works in 75% of time for Bitcoin. Try Greeks Live Flexibo to build vertical spreads, where you can cut bid ask spread by half, as well as fees halved.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
现实社会的财富分布已经不是金字塔型,而是倒漏斗型了。在顶端,狭窄而又悠长地延伸向天空,没有尽头。散户嫌大饼贵,买不起,很正常。在200万亿美元储值市场中,大饼只是开了个头。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
如果想做交易,先问一下自己以下问题: 现在持有10个币,市值140万 cny 若干年后持有1个币,市值1000万cny 这个结果是否满意? 如果不满意,那就别做交易了,安心囤币吧。波动的利润就不要去操心了。 如果满意,那就接受币的数量的增减不确定,去着眼于获取波动带来的利润。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
从各方面得到的信息来看,海外很多方面都比不上上海,甚至有点乡下。尽管如此,我还是想走。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Our taker clients traded $357 million in the last 30 days on Greeks Live OTC blocktrade. Unique flows!
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
什么叫私有财产?法院执行不了的财产是你的私有财产。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
实体行业创业,远比币圈投资创业耗资巨大。开一家餐饮,店租人工装修,没50-100w下不来。这个钱在币圈可以翻身了。开餐馆却是通向破产之路。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
ETH IV is at four-year all time low. The chart is a box plot, where the thick vertical lines represent the upper and lower quartiles, the central line represents the median, and the upper and lower whiskers represent the highest and lowest values.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
11 months
Aren’t we entertained?
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
作为古典币圈的玩家,我的心愿只有:加仓。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
老比特的一些估值分析供各位参考。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
可以要求5w块进行审查,有人觉得正常合理。当然也可以逐渐要求5k块要求审查,或者500,50,5。直到消灭现金这讨厌的匿名玩意儿。你又不是坏人,你要隐私干嘛?对不对(狗头)
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
Learn how to sell out-of-the-money options from my friend. Pic 1 is my PnL. Pic 2 my friend (from Nov 2021 till now).
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
How to get free Gamma? Ratio spread, hold for half the time or after profit generated, then roll to a later maturity. Sell ​​1 ATM contract, buy 2 OTM contracts, earn profit when it rises, and not lose money when it falls. Observe the intraday profit and loss here, and you will
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
9 months
In November, we onboarded 168 new options clients for Deribit, 81 for OKX, and 41 for Bybit. Continuously expanding the boundaries of the crypto options market!
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
哪怕高考不考英语了,一定要让孩子学好英语。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
For traders who want to check the full historical volatility of Bitcoin, you can check the price information of BTCUSD on Bitstamp in tradingview. Choose indicator “historical volatility”, and choose sample period as 30 days. This allows you to view the most complete 30d
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
以后用离岸公司名义在交易所开户,可能会成为高净值、高见识、广阅历的大陆币圈人士的刚需。注意鉴别受限地区。币安也禁新加坡。BitMEX禁香港。FTX不知道是否禁香港,它最近搬去巴哈马了。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
能够长期囤住比特币的人,多半领悟到了比特币即自由这样一层含义。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
5 months
tools-greeks-live volume more than doubled in March vs Feb. Thanks for your supports!
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
我要感谢封闭政策,让家人本觉得我闲得发慌想移民的打算逐渐得到了支持。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
@satoshiheist @rush_btc Here it is [ has detected a Block Trade!] Time: 2023-05-15 20:56:33 Instrument: Bought ETH-30JUN23-2200-C Quantity & Price: 28752.0 @ ⟠0.015 IV: 50.33% Index Price: $1,825.91 Notional Value in USD: $52,498,564 Premium Value in USD: $787,478 Instrument:
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
不过正如海波所说的,人们高估了短期爆发战争的风险,低估了长期内会爆发战争的风险。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
By June 30, Deribit will have $5.5 billion in options due for delivery. According to my previous analysis, the larger the delivery, the lower the market volatility. I could be wrong.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Master courses finished. HK visa secured. Working hours and work loads 2x from next week. Long Greeks Live.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
以太坊是我唯一愿意持有一些的alt coin。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
Implied volatility at its lowest. Good to buy some options. Puts, especially, imho.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
ETH puts are becoming less expensive than calls now. (Risk reversal/skew turn possitive). Back months skew further a bit, some people are buying protections along the way.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
Bitcoin是国内尚可买到的离岸资产。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
从大学时代久就对社会和个人如何繁荣兴旺感兴趣,所以选了经济学这样的专业。毕业后十多年,不断体悟思考阅读,算是有了个自己的看法。经济、政治(历史)、哲学都是围绕这些事情展开的。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
If we only compare the options trading volume over the past 7 days, we are 37% of Paradigm.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
I conducted an analysis of the 24-hour trading volume and open interest of the three options exchanges, Deribit, Bybit, and OKX, at 0800 UTC on Friday, 21st April, and found that the turnover rate of Bybit's options traders is approximately 2.5 times that of Deribit's. This is an
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
10 months
Our clients' monthly trading volume in OKX options has surpassed a milestone of $100 million in notional value for the first time, without any monetary rewards or incentives, solely driven by the attractiveness of the product. We will continue our efforts to further expand the
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
出生率不足,养老金紧张,一印解千愁,f(x,y,z)=买币。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
In 2022, the futures trading volume and options trading volume of the Deribit exchange ware roughly the same. The most recent phenomenon is that the trading volume of options is significantly higher than that of futures trading, and it continues to be so.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
The skew of ETH's 0DTE options has gone through the roof. (Puts are much more expensive than calls). Three things today: CPI, FOMC Minutes, and Ethereum Shanghai upgrade. We can read the market sentiment from the options data now.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
The crypto options market is far from reaching a saturated state.
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
自由就是,能对不喜欢的人说:不。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
贫富差距越大,红眼病越甚,富人越感觉不安全,待富人群越渴望翻身,两者都会进入加密世界以满足自己的需求。富人在其中绝对地保护私有财产,待富人群在各种极致波动和盘子中寻求翻身。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 months
终于,多年的网友见面了!感谢CryptoChan!
@0xCryptoChan
CryptoChan
3 months
仰慕Jeff @JeffLia12309881 多年,今日终圆梦!
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
When selling options, it is advised to hedge the loss potential by buying otm options. Thus, butterfly, condor, call spread and put spread are recommended for yield generating strategies compared to outright naked call or put selling. Building multi-leg option strategies meets
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
最近在给孩子研究国际学校。都用CNY考虑,不考虑补习班,国内生活20w/年,海外50w/年,增量30w/年。3岁到22岁,19年,增量570w CNY(不考虑通胀)。语言、思维、自由通行权的投资。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
This chart also explains why so many people are willing to be option sellers, as most of the time, IV is falling.
@genesisvol
AD Derivatives (formerly GVol)
1 year
(3/n) If we isolate the belly, and look at how expensive ATM vol is for 30 days, over the past 4 years… Again, this is NOT a reason for something to happen. There still needs to be a catalyst. That said, the world seems full of unknown, unknowns, right now.
Tweet media one
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
1 year
There are two approaches regarding whether to employ the DDH (dynamic delta hedging) strategy when purchasing a straddle. Continuous DDH allows for the collection of profits from buying low and selling high during normal gamma fluctuations. However, it misses out on the
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
从币圈交易所直接提美元到港卡和新加坡卡,是比较费卡的,很容易触发AML被银行要求销户。从券商走一圈,投机几笔,会好很多。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
2 years
能同时具备比特币保护私产和沙文主义观念的人们,是神奇的存在。比如徐波,比如江卓尔。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
于我,胡乱投资亏钱,还不如挥霍掉。至少后者还可以获得多巴胺。
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@JeffLia12309881
Jeff Liang
3 years
拿饼子去生息,再拿利息去开支,不如直接把饼子拆碎了卖去换钱花。饼子作为本位币,生息的收益很低的,赚息赔了本的风险考虑进去,就不如不生息了。
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