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Riley

@IPTCWCDirector

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Weather Enthusiast with focus on TCs. Northwest Pacific Climatologist. Director and Chief Forecaster @IPTCWC . 26yr old. Roll Tide. F1 and NASCAR Fan.

Florida, USA
Joined February 2022
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 months
@MsBlaireWhite I’m voting for Joe Biden.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
27 days
@Politics_Polls @NateSilver538 So, higher chance for Trump to win electoral college, but he predicts Harris will. What?
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
@mjfree @DNC Mike PENCE
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
27 days
@USA_Polling The things he is saying regarding abortion rights is about the worst thing he can do for his campaign. A large percentage of evangelical Christians ONLY support him because of that. This is definitely not positive for him to say this.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
@NikkiHaleyFan02 This is also no scenario where Oregon goes red, or where Florida goes blue. It simply isn’t going to happen
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
I am 26 years old today November will be the 3rd election cycle I have voted in 2016 I voted Trump 2020 I voted Trump But in 2024….. I vote D Often times republicans tell people that voting should be age restricted. Well they’re right, when your young you don’t make the
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Very sad news. Vernon Dvorak, the creator of the DVORAK technique Has died at age 100. Without this man, the tools we have today to estimate storms on satellite, wouldn’t be the same. His work definitely inspired me and surely is what has me this invested. RIP Mr Dvorak 1922-2022
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
GFS continues to show an extremely powerful hurricane in the Caribbean Sea next week. Formation time now expected around 6 days. If anything develops, a ULAC and jet stream while traversing 100+ OHC can lead to rapid intensification. Caribbean Islands should monitor this system.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Eye of Cat 5 Super Typhoon #Mawar has continued to dry efficiently, and is now one of the driest eyes I can recall on geostationary imagery. A very dry eye is an indication of extreme subsidence in the center, another feature that’s reserved for very intense upper end TCs.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
3 months
TEXAS IS IN TROUBLE
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
The first JTWC forecast is out and for the first time ever, a Cat 5 on an initial forecast cone. JTWC has #18S ramping up to a peak of atleast 140knots in 96 hours before landfalling on the Australian coastline east of Port Hedland.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
STY #Mawar has the best satellite presentation globally imo since Goni in 2020. It doesn’t seem as if strengthening has stopped either, with a warming eye and a more uniform and smooth CDO with cooling cloud tops, we could soon be looking at an absolute upper echelon monster.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
19 days
#Yagi is closing on a historic Vietnam landfall, which could end up happening at a high end Category 3 or Category 4 strength. This part of the country has never seen higher than a Category 2. And #Yagi has a well organized radar presentation and CDO as it approaches #Haiphong .
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
@PaulHook_em @elonmusk That’s your opinion
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
It is absolutely heartbreaking to know that 6,000+ people are dead from storm #Daniel in Libya. This is the deadliest tropical system since STY #Haiyan in 2013, which was a 170knot (at-least). Crazy how just a regular tropical storm can be as deadly as one of the strongest ever.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
@nflrums Obviously burrow. The only other non bust here is Trevor
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
GFS goes absolutely wild when it comes to #98S and develops a 882mb high end Category 5 monster. This system will be in a favorable environment and likely become a major, and possibly much more. But it’s extremely difficult if not impossible to predict this intensity.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Water vapor loop of #Mocha and #92S greatly demonstrate the power WWBs have on the tropics. A near ideal outflow pattern has allowed Mocha to become the equivalent of a Super Typhoon, prior to its catastrophic landfall, while a post season TC in the SHEM can be seen developing.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
6+ foot of water in my house. People driving cars down the road creating a wake like a boat. Horns going off everywhere. Wind increasing gusting to near 100mph, flood waters rising still.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
19 days
A historic weather event, and not in a good way, is hours away from unfolding. #Yagi has intensified back to a Category 4 per 00z ATCF fix. Deep convection is wrapping around the eye which is warming in the EIR loop. 4-5 hours remain before a catastrophic landfall near Haiphong,
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
20 days
The impact to #China cannot be understated. This is not something they experience very often. Maybe once every 25 years. 17 foot of surge on the Leizhou Peninsula is expected by CMA. This is the main threat, but wind gusts exceeding 100+knots are also very likely.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
#Freddy has smashed the most prestigious record of them all, and has become the highest ACE storm on record. At 85.88 ACE units, it has officially surpassed Hurricane/Typhoon #Ioke from 2006 at 85.26 ACE. No other SHEM storm is top 15, while Freddy sits atop the world. Legendary.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Every tropical tracker loves watching loops like this when during the significant RI phase the eye begins to clear out very rapidly all of a sudden. Really is unfortunate for Guam, and hope they’re prepare to the best of their abilities because #Mawar is cranking.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
3 months
#Beryl has weakened into a remnant low, ending its historic and legendary run. Beryl was only the 2nd Category 5 Atlantic Hurricane during the month of July (Emily 2005 the other). It made 3 destructive landfalls along its path and brought impacts to Jamaica. Producing 35 ACE, it
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
19 days
2 microwave images 5 hours apart shows that #Yagi after EWRC completion, is re-organizing over the Gulf of Tonkin. The storm has around 8 hours remaining over very warm waters prior to its final and very dangerous landfall near #Haiphong , Vietnam.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 months
JTWC 2023 Best Track Data was released. Notable changes are Typhoon Saola (4th pic) upgraded to Cat 5 status at 160mph/917mb smaking 3 for 2023 WPAC. But most notably, is Mawar and Bolaven being increased to 190mph/891mb and 190mph/897mb respectively. This makes 2023 the first
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Legendary #Mawar has ended its run. Mawar has become a post tropical low as it races off South of Japan. This WPAC legend peaked with max winds of 160knots (185mph) and 897mb, becoming the strongest in the month of May in the satellite era. Also producing a whopping 56 ACE units.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
11 months
10 years ago on this day. #Haiyan struck the Philippines at a ridiculous intensity of 170knots. One of the strongest storms ever recorded, and was absolute perfection and a textbook Tropical Cyclone on satellite even to this day. It changed the lives of millions with its impact.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
2023 is off to a fast start with Cat 5s. Last year the first one didn’t form until August 30th with Hinnamnor, this year we’ve seen 4 already through the first 5 months. With #Freddy , #Kevin , #Ilsa in the SHEM; and now #Mocha in the BoB. Good shot ALL basins get on this year!!.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Naples Pier at 3pm today. Entirely destroyed.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Update: Waters level have began to recede and winds have died down, Although occasionally gusting 50+mph. I am staying in my attic tonight where it is dry. I was able to get my cats ashes, phone and wallet and the clothes on my back. Everything else is gone. I have lost everythin
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
12 days
This is Yagi….
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
I am now in grave danger as the winds continue to increase and the water levels rise and the surge level has entered my house and the eye hasn’t passed my longitude yet. I have relocated to higher ground in an attic with what I was able to grab.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
#Julia seems to be organizing quicker than before, recon has also found the center has relocated to the deep convection of -75C and -80C which will allow for quicker intensification. I believe it will peak higher than forecasted. Unfortunately significant rainfall potential.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
This is WILD. #Freddy ’s eye now has WMG in it (warm medium grey) it made landfall with a COLDER eye than it has now. The eye has warmed and the convection has cooled while ON LAND. Likely not strengthening due to friction. But brown ocean effect is slowing the weakening here.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Thoughts and prayers with those of Mozambique, especially #Quelimane , their lives will unfortunately be changed forever. I know first hand how devastating this can be. Moving slow while clearing an eye undergoing intensification just off your coastline is potentially catastrophic
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Update #3 : conditions have subsided. Waters receded but massive flooding of stagnant nasty salty water remains on my street. Catastrophic damage. I lost everything except the clothes on my back.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
27 days
@PrPatriotUS @PpollingNumbers It’s all fake. Anything against Trump is fake news. It’s all some deep state conspiracy to make him look bad.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Just how amazing is #Freddy ’s ACE level? To put it into perspective, Freddy has generated more ACE than EVERY NIO season on record. Even the most active ever, 2019, which had 78 ACE units with a 175mph Cat 5 and 5 total major hurricanes. Freddy has generated more ACE than that.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
15 days
#Yagi has dissipated over Southeast Asia, and the chapter closes on another WPAC legend. Yagi was one of less than 10 Super Typhoons in the South China Sea. It officially peaked as a C5 per JTWC, but one could argue the 2nd peak has a stronger case for C5. Yagi made the 2nd
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 months
Despite the eye becoming cooler and the CDO southerly weighted. Radar confirms the storm hasn’t lost organization, if anything it has intensified as radar shows a very robust and healthy eyewall with wind readouts of 160knots at 750mb aloft, supporting well into Category 4
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
STY #Mawar is likely very close to, if not complete with the eyewall replacement cycle. As a result, restrengthening is expected, it may take awhile before we see improvements on satellite, which may take up to 12 hours due to usual upper level lag compared to mid level.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
@ESPNF1 Lewis hitting that
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Super Typhoon #Mawar now up to a 160 knots (185mph) and down to 897mb per JTWC as it continues to move WNW across the Philippine Sea. An EWRC could soon begin, but Mawar is about as impressive as you’ll ever see. They don’t get much better than this. This is an absolute monster.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Super Typhoon #Noru has been upgraded to a Category 5, the 2nd of the WPAC this season and 2nd worldwide. An EWRC is likely beginning quite soon so it is likely peaking, however it will make a devastating and catastrophic landfall in Luzon, Philippines in around 12 hours.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Mawar is re-strengthening post EWRC which was complicated by shear and dry air. Thankfully so, because it delayed completion until post Guam. However it’s now deepening again, and we are very likely to see it regain Super Typhoon status again.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Mocha is greatly benefiting from a jet interaction while passing over 100+ OHC. The system is approaching or is at T7.0 on the Dvorak, which means nearing Category 5. Likely a Super Cyclonic Storm now. May reach 140+knots (C5) in next 9-12 hours. Landfall in 18-22 hours.!
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Damn #Freddy . Seems to be getting it going earlier than expected, eye developing and heat towers have formed. Not really supposed to intensify significantly until after 36 hours, wonder what this means for future track and intensity and it’s implications. Also if this sustains.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Category 5 Super Typhoon #Mawar at 175mph currently, and chugging along over the warm waters of the Western Pacific. A sharply outlined and round 20-25 mile wide eye and a round and symmetrical robust CDO, is a hallmark of an intense Category 5 TC, which Mawar has become.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
The outflow does not get better than that. #Mocha a true beast, with an absolute buzzsaw structure as it has rapidly intensified into a Super Cyclone as it approaches #Myanmar where a likely storm surge disaster awaits. The jet outflow is better than modeled.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
22 days
#Yagi is already taking off….
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Guam radar down. Australia’s Bedout Island can handle being 20 foot underwater and 180mph wind gusts but the US NWS radar station can’t even handle the outer band…..
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
20 days
Image recorded in the eye of #Yagi at 04z on Sep 5th. At the time the storm was undergoing an eye-wall replacement cycle and had weakened from its first peak. The aircraft recorded a minimum pressure of 926mb, before the 2nd intensification phase.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Catastrophic Category 5 #Mocha barreling towards the densely populated Myanmar/Bangladesh coastline set to deliver a massive impact to a historically vulnerable region with immense storm surge totals and extreme winds. A near worst case scenario, pray for these people.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Mocha is highly likely Category 5 system. Dvorak FTs have sustained at T7.0 for 6 hours and DTs are near 7.5, a recent AMSU pass indicates 156knots. Likely overdone, but all data is indicative of 140+knots system. Regardless of landfall intensity, this is catastrophic situation
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
HWRF has gone crazier than Mangkhut. This glitched run shows a 140kt/917mb Cat 5 near the coast of Canada. Yes you read that right. All that needs to be said. When models go rouge...... This goes in the hall of fame with 892 Long Island Irma, 868 Barry and 777 Mangkhut.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
3 months
#Beryl might be making an attempt at re-intensification. Shear lowering a little, while poleward outflow improving has helped as well. Microwave shows a nearly closed eyewall. Shear is still present, but not as detrimental as yesterday. Long term West Gulf Coast threat.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Philippine Sea effect is truly unreal. Even when the water temperature is depleted due to it being April, the Philippine Sea effect still strike. #90W is developing a tightly wrapped curved band feature. Models already not handling this well. First of the season, #Sanvu incoming.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
22 days
#Yagi is primed and ready for a significant intensification phase. Upper level conditions are the best I’ve ever seen in the South China Sea, and waters are well above average. A solid eye-wall is developing on microwave. A very dangerous typhoon likely for Hainan.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Bolaven has continued to crank, and is now at WMG+CMG (DT 7.5). Now it’s likely not at that intensity yet. But we could see a solid Category 5 storm over the next few hours if this intensification keeps up. The eye is now +16C with a CDO nearly -80C. Pressure is likely tanking.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
The image released by the HKO aircraft mission. The aircraft finds a major typhoon with double eye-wall structure, typical of a strong tropical cyclone. #Saola has thankfully began to weaken due to interaction with land, but “inside the eye” photos are always very cool.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Big error here @NHC_Atlantic
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
STY #Mawar has began a slow weakening trend due eyewall replacement cycle. Still a Cat 5 and looking quite impressive despite the EWRC, the eye remains warm and CDO well organized. More weakening is likely before completion, but re-strengthening is likely after with a larger eye.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
@DougWahl1 No because some trump supporter will take offense and wanna do something to my car. Plus, I’m not in a cult, so I don’t idolize and base my life off one person
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
These images of #Haikui are only around 4 hours apart. The first image shows a well put together storm with a robust eye-wall of a solid Cat 3 just before it’s landfall in #Taiwan . The 2nd image shows an absolutely shredded system, after interaction with 10,000+ foot mountains.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Ilsa remains well organized for a TC inland 80-90 miles. Eye feature and a strong eyewall and band somehow still remain. Probably down to a lower end C3 by now. Intense TC usually holds its own at first over flat land, but this is one of slowest on land weakening cases I’ve seen
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
19 days
#Yagi has made its landfall in Hainan, China as a formidable Category 4 Typhoon. Buoy prior to landfall recorded an impressive low pressure of 916mb, and this was after satellite appearance had degraded a decent amount. #Yagi likely peaked near 900mb based on this data. INSANE!!
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
7 months
Large Category 4 Cyclone #Djoungou racing across the Southeast Indian Ocean. The system intensified rapidly under a jet interaction, which isn’t uncommon for TCs at 20-30° latitude, and it can provide extreme difference to offset other negative factors. Thankfully, no land threat
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Mawar now up to 135 knots, a Super Typhoon again. Likely to become a Cat 5 in the coming hours as the structure continues to improve. If all goes well, we can see a peak of 150-155+knots in the next 24 hours before another (likely) EWRC. 60-72 hours in favorable conditions.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
@joncoopertweets Me in 2020 vs 2024. What I’m saying is, I used to Support Trump and after he attempted to overthrow the government I have been 100% against him since, and that’s why I’d wear a Harris hat now.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Dora continues to explore. What a storm. A very impressive satellite appearance, with a stadium effect eye and a symmetrical CDO. No question that recon would find above 115knots.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
@PaulHook_em @elonmusk Agree. Opinions are what social media is about. I just choose not to have kids in my life. I’m 25 and have already made this decision
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
#Fiona not gaining latitude and tracking more west than expected is significant. It increases the risk of flooding landslides in the Dominican Republic due to inflow band causing convection enhancement over high altitude. Land interaction will be huge for future intensity.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Impressive, but little known fact: with #Mawar being a Cat 5 officially, it means that every West Pacific typhoon season since 1978, except one (2017) feature atleast one Category 5 Typhoon. Thats part of the greatness that is the KING WPAC. Much more Cat 5s to come this year
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
@PpollingNumbers These always start and end the same way. X is a 70% right platform.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Yeah I’m not a meteorologist, I’m just some random 24 year old who likes spinny weather systems but something strongly tells me with a extremely high degree of confidence that’s not a remnant low.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Exactly 1 year ago today, my life and plenty of lives across SWFL ranging from Cape Coral to Naples were changed. When 130kt Ian came ashore in Cayo Costa, bringing the highest surge seen in the area in decades. I was homeless for 3 months, but have built back better. #SWFLstrong
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Fabien has rapidly intensified and now has a classic satellite structure of a major hurricane. With a round clear well defined eye, a healthy CDO, and prominent banding features. More intensification is possible, but quite the treat for a post season storm with no land impacts!
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
19 days
HAVING MOVED OUT OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE GULF OF TONKIN ABOUT EIGHT HOURS AGO, TYPHOON (TY) 12W (YAGI) HAS STEADILY REORGANIZED AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED AS IT TRACKS TOWARDS AN HISTORICAL LANDFALL IN NORTHERN VIETNAM. JTWC even using the wording HISTORICAL LANDFALL.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
20 days
2024 in the tropics. Strange to say the least…. Starts off with one of the worst SHEM seasons ever post Jan 1st….. A Cat 5 in the Atlantic in early July A storm that deepened 70mb in 12 hours to sub 900mb without a visible eye Latest EPAC start on record Cat 1 in
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
This also should push @WMO to declare the Med Sea as an official basin. It has been observed for 40+ years subtropical and tropical systems developing in this region. But no official organized meteorological service to forecast them. It is time to change that.
@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
It is absolutely heartbreaking to know that 6,000+ people are dead from storm #Daniel in Libya. This is the deadliest tropical system since STY #Haiyan in 2013, which was a 170knot (at-least). Crazy how just a regular tropical storm can be as deadly as one of the strongest ever.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
21 days
Cat 5 likely imminent with an even more round CDO, and top tier level microwave. Without signs of an EWRC in the next couple hours, a run up to 150+knots cannot be ruled out. Both environmental, oceanic and thermodynamic conditions support up to 155knots.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
3 months
#Beryl reminds me of Noru 2022. Resistant to shear, then didn’t weaken as much as expected overland and held a tight core, it then underwent explosive deepening upon splashdown, kicking any shear in the rear, with robust outflow and high TCHP. Looks like Beryl has all the same….
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
Got the patch in the mail and certificate of authenticity from hurricane hunter mission that flew into Lee. @FlynonymousWX thanks for this. Means a lot to be recognized by the elite members of the community. Hopefully one day I will be able to join a flight.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
Currently living in my garage. House is unable to be lived in. Heard from friend in Charlotte Harbor, good news is she’s okay and know I can confirm everyone I know made it out alive. Hoping for FEMA assistance ASAP. Said 7-10 days but we need it NOW. Hard to get food, water, etc
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Mocha is over-performing so far, and has a solid eye taking shape which is currently obscured on IR imagery due to intense VHTs. The system is now a hurricane (and probably stronger than 65knots). A peak of atleast 120knots is forecasted before SLAMMING into Myanmar in 60 hours.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
20 days
Potentially catastrophic Super Typhoon #Yagi intensifying to the East of Hainan island only 10 hours from its landfall. The storm is very near (maybe even at Category 5 by now). EWRC is imminent again however, so it may stop the intensification prior to landfall.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
125-130knot landfall is inbound I’m afraid. #Idalia
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
This is the most legendary thing I think I’ve ever seen
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
#Freddy has downed to a TD, which means it’s ACE total has stopped. With Freddy heading far inland and shear over channel when it does re-emerge, 87.01 will likely be Freddy’s final ACE level given redevelopment looks unlikely. Undisputed place in the history books. #Legendary .
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
8 months
#Anggrek is intensifying over the far open southeast Indian Ocean. It is developing an Annular like appearance with wrapping deep convection and an improving/clearing eye. It is likely to become a major cyclone, while staying away from land racking up the ACE units.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
This is crazy. #Freddy in 2009 formed at a similar time, similar area and was on similar track and never became above TS and died out in the AUSR-SWIO crossover area (historically brutal for TCs similar to E. CAR). Freddy 2023 is doing what 2009 couldn’t. This story is so wild
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 year
#Ilsa appears to now be at its best attempt yet of clearing its small eye. If this eye is able to warm and clear before landfall, Dvorak estimates will raise considerably and the intensity will rise further before landfall. Could be knocking on doorstep of a C5 if all goes well.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
#Shanshan is setting up to become a strong and impactful Typhoon for mainland Japan in about 4 days. It is now officially a Typhoon by the JTWC, the 5th of 2024, and the 3rd in the last 2 weeks. Although some shear is present now, it is expected to be replaced with a robust jet
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
3 months
The Western Pacific is also at record levels when it comes to Ocean Heat Content (OHC). La Niña forces all the warmth in the Pacific further West, into the WPAC. Minus the northern extent due to it being July, this year is warmer than even peak 2010 OHC levels, which produced a
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
19 days
#Yagi is now forecast by JTWC to STRENGTHEN to a Cat 4 prior to its Vietnam landfall near #Haiphong . This would be a catastrophic scenario for Haiphong Vietnam. But with the outer eye-wall becoming more organized with little remaining of the inner, and warm 32C SSTs and light
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
1 month
Not what I would’ve expected to see on August 21st in a La Niña to see both Pacific basins both active and Atlantic totally quiet. I don’t doubt September will ramp up, but I am SLIGHTLY beginning to question some of these seasonal predictions, especially Named Storm wise.
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
22 days
The current structure of #Yagi is very classic of RI. With a developing, well organized CDO and a clearing eye on visible with a strong banding feature, which is an indication of high moisture inflow supply, high ocean heat content and high thermodynamic potential. Besides an
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@IPTCWCDirector
Riley
2 years
#Freddy has started to developed a curved banding feature in the face of strong vertical wind shear. Conditions haven’t even improved yet. This leans credibility towards models that show re intensification prior to landfall.
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