Garrett Herrin @GarrettHerrin Twitter profile

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Garrett Herrin

5 hours

Yesterday, Miami-Dade County overwhelmingly voted to expand its rapid transit system in a non-binding referendum. I mapped the results and compared the “Yes” votes to Democrat Daniella Levine Cava’s margin vs. the mayoral field.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

My primary was literally canceled.

Chris D. Jackson

@ChrisDJackson

1 month

@ezraklein I'll let you in on a little secret. Congressional Democrats don't get to choose our nominee. The voters did.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Mentally I’m here.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

If Biden has what it takes like he says he does, he should call Trump’s bluff and accept this challenge to debate this week.

Bill Melugin

@BillMelugin_

1 month

NEW: At his rally in Florida, Trump offers to debate Biden again this week with no moderators, "man to man", to give Biden "a chance to redeem himself in front of the entire world." He also says he wants to challenge Biden to an 18 hole golf match. Says it will be huge event.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

I am calling on the Lincoln Project to launch a full investigation into allegations of sexual harassment leveled against John Weaver, one of the organization's co-founders. Please read my letter to @ProjectLincoln below.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

NEW polls from @EmersonPolling for Nevada 🟥 Trump 47% 🟦 Biden 41% Pennsylvania 🟥 Trump 48% 🟦 Biden 43% Georgia 🟥 Trump 47% 🟦 Biden 42% Arizona 🟥 Trump 46% 🟦 Biden 42% Wisconsin 🟥 Trump 47% 🟦 Biden 44% Michigan 🟥 Trump 45% 🟦 Biden 44%

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

29 days

NEW post Biden withdrawal national poll from Reuters/Ipsos: 🟦 Harris 42% (+4) 🟥 Trump 38% ⬜️ Kennedy 8% 🟦 Harris 44% (+2) 🟥 Trump 42% July 22-23 | 1,018 RV

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 months

The most deeply cynical aspect of this is the 2028 hopefuls want Biden to remain the nominee purely out of self-interest. Ruthless narcissism if democracy is truly at stake this year.

Jonathan Martin

@jmart

2 months

NEW: Dem governors to congressional Dems: Drop Dead Last night’s show of support outside at the WH enraged Hill Dems On the differing messages and incentive structures of the two constituencies My column on a 4th full of fireworks 🇺🇸🇺🇸

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

NEW swing state Civiqs poll findings: Against Trump, Kamala Harris performs 3 points better than Biden in Michigan and 2 points better in Pennsylvania. They perform the same in Wisconsin. Michigan 🟥 Trump 46% (=) 🟦 Harris 46% (=) 🟥 Trump 46% (+3) 🟦 Biden 43% --

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Joe Biden had his best performance yet in a Democratic primary contest today in Wyoming. I mapped out the election results by county.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 years

Fun fact: New York City is closer to Savannah than one end of Florida is to the other.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

President Biden needs to address the country ASAP.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

NEW swing state polls from YouGov: Arizona 🟥 Trump 44% (+7) 🟦 Biden 37% Wisconsin 🟥 Trump 43% (+5) 🟦 Biden 38% Georgia 🟥 Trump 44% (+4) 🟦 Biden 40% Nevada 🟥 Trump 46% (+4) 🟦 Biden 42% North Carolina 🟥 Trump 44% (+4) 🟦 Biden 40% Pennsylvania 🟥 Trump 43% (+3) 🟦

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Georgia interactive precinct viewer is live. It’s probably my most ambitious project to date. It’s got presidential results, both Senate contests, margin maps, and a swiper to compare 2016 vs. 2020 results.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

Shameful. Ohio changed the law, so they don’t have to do this anymore. They’re just doing it to steamroll Biden’s nomination and crush dissent.

Elena Schneider

@ec_schneider

1 month

NEW - Next Friday, DNC members will meet to set a date for a *virtual roll call* -- sealing Biden's nomination before convention. Yes, Dems say they must do this to get Biden on ballot in Ohio. But it's also not the best optics. w/ @Lauren_V_Egan

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 months

I alone can fix it.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Unpopular opinion, but Herschel Walker can absolutely win in Georgia. Tbh I'm getting Trump 2016 vibes from some Dems dismissing his candidacy.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 years

Cool fact: the population of states representing a quarter of the U.S. Senate could fit in the Los Angeles area.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

12 days

NEW battleground poll of Nevada by Decipher Ai: 🟦 Kamala Harris 49% (+5) 🟥 Donald Trump 44% ⬜️ Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% Aug 3-5 | 991 LV | MoE: +/- 3%

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

Democrats desperately need this election to become a referendum on Trump. That's unlikely to happen as long as Biden is in the race.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

As y’all know, Dems’ poor performance in Miami-Dade County in 2020 proved devastating to their chances of winning Florida. IMO the best way to see change is to work within the system. In that spirit, last week I became a Miami-Dade Dems committeeman for part of Miami Beach.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Fun geography fact: Bristol, Tennessee, is 100 miles closer to Canada than Memphis.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

27 days

NEW national poll from Siena College: 🟦 Kamala Harris 44% (+1) 🟥 Donald Trump 43% ⬜️ Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% 🟥 Donald Trump 48% (+1) 🟦 Kamala Harris 47% July 22-24| 1,142 LV | MoE +/- 3.3%

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

CNN asked a panel of undecided voters from Waukesha County, WI to grade Trump's acceptance speech from A-F. Their responses were: 2 As 5 Bs 4 Cs 2 Ds

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 years

Last Tuesday, Democrats and Republicans nominated their candidates for Florida's 27th congressional district. Rs narrowly cast more votes than Ds in their primary contest--in true Florida fashion. Incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar will face off against Annette Taddeo this November.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

We don’t deserve her.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

🎖🪂⛪️👒🏛 🏖🌳🚜🛶🏢 🦪🐊🌲🏁 🦟🛣🏘🚀 Florida 🚤🏌️🏰🛳 in emojis. 🏝🏙🏡⛲️ ☀️🍊🏎🌴 🏓🥬⛱ ~QT with your ⛳️🦩🛥 state~ 🚣‍♂️🌇

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

I'm excited to present precinct-level results *by voting method* for the Senate runoff in Georgia. The consensus among pundits was that an Election Day turnout of 1m or more might foreshadow a GOP win since the E Day vote was expected to go heavily for Perdue. 1.3m turned out...

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 months

NEW Wisconsin poll from @MULawPoll (June 12-20) Including third parties Registered Voters 🟥 Trump 43% 🟦 Biden 40% ⬜ Kennedy 8% 🟪 West 4% 🟨 Oliver 2% 🟩 Stein 2% Likely Voters 🟥 Trump 44% 🟦 Biden 42% ⬜ Kennedy 7% 🟪 West 3% 🟩 Stein 2% 🟨 Oliver 1%

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

NEW Wisconsin poll out 🟦 50% Biden (+6) 🟥 44% Trump @QuinnipiacPoll (RV)

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

The truth has come out. The @nytimes investigated claims of sexual harassment against John Weaver, co-founder of the Lincoln Project. Here is the story.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 months

It's hard to see a path for Trump to win Virginia without severe racedep + crater in turnout among Ds. If Biden wins NoVA by 30, Trump prob needs a double-digit margin elsewhere. NoVA-29% of pop 🟦 Biden +34 🟦 McAuliffe +28 Rest of VA-71% of pop 🟥 Trump '20 +2 🟥 Youngkin +14

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Something looks different about @SteveKornacki

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

4 who were undecided now say they will support Trump. None say they now support Biden.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

With Joe Biden leading in most Florida polls with three months to go, I wanted to take a stroll down memory lane and revisit the 2016 presidential election to get insight into what happened and how he can flip the state. Here is a precinct-level map of R-D vote margins from 2016.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

28 days

Another post-Biden withdrawal poll showing Georgia just as competitive as Pennsylvania. Kamala Harris has opened up another path for Dems to win that seemed out of reach just a week ago.

Emerson College Polling

@EmersonPolling

28 days

SWING STATE POLLS with @thehill Harris v. Trump Arizona: Trump 49%, Harris 44% Georgia: Trump 48%, Harris 46% Michigan: Trump 46%, Harris 45% Pennsylvania: Trump 48%, Harris 46% Wisconsin: Trump 47%, Harris 47%

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 year

Pleased to present my first map of 2023! This one is special. Pictured are block-level estimated results of the 2020 presidential election in my hometown of Brunswick, Georgia.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

NEW national poll from Bendixen & Amandi for Politico 🟥 Trump 43% (+1) 🟦 Biden 42% 🟦 Harris 42% (+1) 🟥 Trump 41% 🟦 Hillary Clinton 43% (+2) 🟥 Trump 41% 🟥 Trump 40% (+4) 🟦 Whitmer 36% 🟥 Trump 40% (+3) 🟦 Newsom 37% 1,000 RVs, MOE +/-3.1.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Quick shoutout to @JDCocchiarella and @AaronParnas , who are among the future leaders fighting for all Floridians. If you believe in Democratic priorities and don’t follow already, give them a follow and tune into their @ZoomedInPodcast !

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Tomorrow is the first day of early voting for most Floridians! To save everyone time, I made an interactive map of in-person early voting sites and secure drop box locations, complete with hours and URLs in each pop-up.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

We need coconut merch ASAP! 🥥🌴

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Fun fact: Florida shifted left outside of Miami-Dade County from 2016 to 2020.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Final from Wyoming. Biden wins 96% of the vote and all 13 delegates.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

My apartment is coming together 😊

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Georgia precinct viewer now has runoff results: Warnock and Ossoff won with high base turnout and by running up the margins in south metro ATL. It was enough to sustain steep declines in north Fulton and east Cobb, where they had both lagged in November.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Fremont County is now in. Biden received all 19 votes cast.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

First dose down and didn’t feel a thing. 💪🏻 Schedule your shot today:

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Despite a shift left in Georgia, the Miami metro area was still bluer than the Atlanta metro in 2020. It's the last presidential election in the foreseeable future MIA will vote to the left of ATL.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

To "Election Twitter" members, many of whom are several years younger than me: I know he has also DMd some of you, and you were put in an uncomfortable position. Don't let anyone gaslight you into thinking that is normal behavior, or that you should just brush it aside.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 months

NEW Wisconsin poll from @MULawPoll (June 12-20) Registered Voters 🟦 Biden 50% 🟥 Trump 50% Likely Voters 🟦 Biden 51% 🟥 Trump 49% 871 RVs, MOE +/-4.6. 784 LVs, MOE +/- 4.9.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

WHOA! First fully reported precinct in Pike County, and the Dem is AHEAD. A 27 point shift left!

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

NEW state polls from FAU/Mainstreet USA (post-assassination attempt only): Registered Voters Virginia 🟥 Trump 44% (+3) 🟦 Biden 41% Georgia 🟥 Trump 48% (+5) 🟦 Biden 43% Likely Voters Virginia 🟥 Trump 44% (=) 🟦 Biden 44% (=) Georgia 🟥 Trump 49% (+5) 🟦 Biden 44% -- Note:

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

#ElectionTwitter , I made an interactive viewer of the preliminary Colorado congressional districts. It has precinct-level results from 2018 and 2016 and is zoomable to the district level. Check it out! (On desktop)

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

I am proud of each and every one of you who have come forward publicly and privately over DM to tell your stories of harassment. While I am disappointed that the Lincoln Project has not issued a statement, I applaud their decision to terminate their relationship with John Weaver

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Check out my interactive viewer of the new Oregon congressional district plan. #orpol

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Very excited to share this with you all. In part 1 of my series on Georgia, I’m taking a look at the U.S. Senate races. In November Jon Ossoff underperformed Joe Biden by about 1.5 pts, but results were uneven. I mapped out precinct results statewide comparing their performances.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

From my letter: "[Some are] dismissing the report as a...smear-job since it was published in conservative media. Investigating claims of sexual harassment should not be a partisan issue. That is especially true when the allegations are...trading career opportunities for sex."

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

5 months

Copenhagen is actually closer to Seattle than it is to Miami.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

TBT to 13 years ago when I met then-Governor @CharlieCrist . Yes, I’m embarrassed by this picture, but thankful for the glow up (Crist and me later becoming Democrats).

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

30 days

Poll from Civiqs for @rbrtraining (July 13-16) Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin Black voters 🟦 Harris 82% 🟥 Trump 10% 🟦 Biden 75% 🟥 Trump 11% White, All voters 🟦 Harris 41% 🟥 Trump 51% 🟦 Biden 39% 🟥 Trump 51% White, Non-college voters 🟦 Harris 37% 🟥 Trump

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

A common misconception is Florida will be underwater in our lifetimes, which can lead to a dismissive attitude about our state, its people, and our future. If you're curious, please read this short thread on what Florida will look like with rising sea levels.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Just cast my ballot for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. 😊 Join me in voting early, Florida! You can find available polling places and drop boxes near you here:

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

@UFStudent2 @DrewSav Not sure, but Sheridan Dems seem like a pretty active and organized group compared to the other populated counties.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Joe Biden has officially been elected the 46th President of the United States. His 270th electoral vote was just cast in Sacramento.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

Georgia is likely back in play with these numbers.

Lakshya Jain

@lxeagle17

1 month

One place where Kamala Harris has significant amounts of upside in polling, at least relative to Biden, is with Black, Hispanic, and young voters. From our @SplitTicket_ / @DataProgress poll, the favorables with Black voters under 30: Biden 57/40 (+17) Harris 61/29 (+32)

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Carbon County is in. Biden won all 8 votes there. Now just waiting on Lincoln County to report.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Map of America according to 6-year-old me. Tag yourself!

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Final from Pennsylvania. Dems have yet another special election overperformance. Olsommer (R) 60.3%, Skibber (D) 39.7% -- a 7.3pt Dem shift vs. 2020 president.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

I started 2020 with 48 followers. To all of you who have followed since, thank you. I've made amazing friends on this app and have enjoyed getting to interact with so many of you. Election Twitter is a special community; I can't wait to see what's in store for us in the new year.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Let this serve as a lesson that, in the end, powerful people can and will be held accountable. This is not just about the misconduct of one person. We have a system where powerful people protect their own. That must end. And I hope this story gets us one step closer.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

It looks like Joe Biden is going to carry Georgia. I want to thank @elium2 , @hjessy_ , and @lxeagle17 for providing truly outstanding coverage and analysis today. The models were spot-on at every step. Follow these guys if you haven’t already. Impressive stuff.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Results are in for all precincts in the Michigan special elections. @MaiXiongMI won every precinct in District 13. Peter Herzberg won comfortably in District 25 as well.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

New from me! Check out the Michigan redistricting commission’s draft maps with this app! #mipol

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

If the sexual misconduct cover-up and grifting wasn't enough to convince you by now that the Lincoln Project needs to go away, here is their statement claiming responsibility for the white supremacist stunt in Virginia.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

5 years

I just donated $3 to @ewarren . Join me! She’s short of where she needs to be by Tuesday’s FEC deadline; every little bit counts, no matter how small.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Thinking.... 😔

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 months

It's insulting to tell people they didn't see what they saw and to stop "dooming." Democrats need to grow a spine. Joe Biden is making a selfish, arrogant decision to continue his campaign. It's time to pass the baton to someone who can coherently make the case against Trump.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Georgia election wait time map:

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

NEW national poll from Economist/YouGov (change from pre-debate poll) 🟥 Trump 43% (+1) 🟦 Biden 40% (-2) ⬜️ Kennedy 4% (=) July 7-9 | 1,443 RVs | MOE +/- 3.1

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

26 days

Wheels down in Paris to cheer on Team USA at the 2024 Olympics! #Paris2024

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Miami sunsets just hit different. Happy Friday night, everybody. :)

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Okay, NIMBY Rails is one of the coolest simulation games I've played. You can design your own transit/rail network in any part of the world, set timetables, pricing, etc. I had to log out because I'd spend hours on it otherwise.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Senate will return from recess on February 22. Rent is due 7 days later. It will take 7 days from Biden’s signature to the first direct deposit.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Five years ago at 10am, SCOTUS ruled in Jim Obergell’s favor, legalizing same-sex marriage nationwide. I’m so thankful for all those throughout history who made it possible—especially Black trans women like Marsha P. Johnson—and the activists who continue to fight for LGBT rights

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Happy election eve! Check out my German Federal Election Viewer here: 🇩🇪 Some features: - 2017 archived results until 2021 results become partially available - Livestream embeds of DW/ZDF - Zoomable to constituency level, with stats

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

This did not originate from those who are trying to discredit the Lincoln Project, as Weaver suggested. Most of us are not right-wing. Some were even reserved about coming forward out of fear there would be political ramifications. But in the end, what matters is the truth.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 months

@PrittyPG I think it sounds somewhat stilted, although I probably wouldn’t notice it in conversation. I’d phrase that sentence as “Here’s something else you may not have considered.”

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Democrats shouldn’t dismiss just how impactful suburban reversion was last night. Raw vote margins matter. Even if suburbs shifted right to a lesser extent than rurals, it’s devastating to Dem vote counts. It’s why Rs rightly have newfound optimism in their electoral coalition.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Sometimes I think political strategists could use a reminder that the median 29 year old American: - Is married - Has children - Does not have a 2 or 4 year degree

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

17 and counting Democratic representatives have called on Joe Biden to suspend his campaign. @VoteHubUS

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 years

It was "destroyed" because he hit on kids and harassed a whole bunch of us who wanted to get a start in politics.

Steve Schmidt

@SteveSchmidtSES

2 years

2/ destroyed because he had the nerve to stand up against Donald Trump. I saw John Weaver on one occasion between July 07 and today. Every person in the organization I founded was smeared in a grotesque series of garbage stories and guilt by association attacks. What is the

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Just poured coffee grounds directly into the mug. 🙃 It’s been a long week.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

Just unreal. The parallels to 1968 are so eerie.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Here's the breakdown of state delegates awarded by county and candidate.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

2 years

This is a @SplitTicket_ appreciation tweet. ST rivals the best political media out there, and the attention it’s getting in the mainstream press is so well deserved.

Lakshya Jain

@lxeagle17

2 years

Something really surreal: there's a profile done on @SplitTicket_ in the New Republic! Absolutely could not have imagined this happening a year ago when we began. Thanks for your support so far, everyone.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Fun Saturday with my mom. 😊

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 year

Biergarten in Berlin? Can’t think of a better way to turn 30

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 years

Margin is now 37,634.

Brendan Keefe - Atlanta News First

@BrendanKeefe

4 years

#BREAKING Georgia Secretary of State reports 122,535 ballots remain to be counted across Georgia. With a margin of about 44,000 votes between President Trump and Former VP Biden, this is a significant development.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

4 months

Wayne County just dropped their absentees. The Democrat had a strong showing in this batch in this Trump +33 area.

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

3 years

Mount Trashmore shows up as a prominent peak on OpenStreetMap. 💀

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Garrett Herrin

@GarrettHerrin

1 month

Note these polls included third party candidates. H2H was not polled. The full field results are: Arizona 🟥 Trump 44% (+7) 🟦 Biden 37% ⬜ Kennedy 5% 🟩 Stein 2% 🟪 West 1% Wisconsin 🟥 Trump 43% (+5) 🟦 Biden 38% ⬜ Kennedy 4% 🟩 Stein 1% 🟪 West 1% Georgia 🟥 Trump 44% (+4)

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