Bonus Episode Alert! 🚀
Navigating the final FPL stretch with JC (
@FPL_Spaceman
) & Alastair (TedLassoRegen,
@extramac123
). We dive into cup uncertainties, fixture forecasts, and chip strategy optimization using solvers. A must-listen for strategic insights! 🍟
📢 Tomorrow we are interviewing the maverick Andy Martin (
@fpl_tactician
).
Curious about his bold strategies or want tips on planning daring chip strats? Drop your questions below!
#FPL
Episode 79 of FPL Optimized Podcast is out!
In this special episode Andy Martin (
@fpl_tactician
) answered questions about chip strategy, analytical gameplay, mindset, his season, and the ones we received from you.
Enjoy!🥣
Welcome to
#FPLOptimized
's Twitter/X feed.
We are an analytics-oriented FPL podcast, and we combine AI and optimization with FPL news to provide you interesting insights.
Here is a quick recap of our latest Q&A episode (
#73
) and the visuals we have shared.
#FPL
🎉 We've hit a major milestone – 100 episodes of the
#FPLOptimized
podcast! 🚀
A big thank you to our incredible community for your support, insights, and passion for data-driven gameplay. Here's to many more episodes and optimizing our way through FPL together! 🎙️⚽
#FPL
Episode 88 is out!
In this special episode, we hosted 3 analytics managers (
@FF_Trout
@FPL_Spaceman
@FplPresident
) and talked about risk/variance in FPL: how it is measured and how it is applied.
We will record our 💯 th episode tomorrow! Ask us (Bas and Sertalp) anything you want and we will try our best to cover as many questions as possible. ⚽📈🎙️
New episode 🥳
Bas and Sertalp talk about GW1 optimal teams from different aspects:
- Without scheduling transfers
- With scheduling transfers
- Salah Only / Salah and Haaland Team
- WC4 and WC6 Teams
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
#FPLAnalytics
Dive into mind of a champion! 🏆
Curious about what it takes to win FPL? We sat down with Jonas, 2023/2024
#FPL
champion, for an exclusive Q&A. Discover his first season using analytics, winning strategies, and insights on risk-taking for tips that might just change your game!
Episode 75 of
#FPLOptimized
is here 🎉 A special milestone on our journey to 100!
🚀 In this unique Q&A session, we used answers from our expert panel to dive deep into
#FPL
analytics:
- Neil Rankin
- Talha Nadeem
- Alastair (TedLassoRegen)
- FPL Chase
- FF Trout
FPL Optimized Podcast Episode 73 🎙️
We have discussed a lot, and answered questions about:
- Solver parameters
- Horizon length
- Differential balance
- Patience vs flexibility
- Ideal chip times
- Salah & Son replacements
- Differential options
Last regular episode of the season is out. Thanks for joining us through this season. ❤️
We will be back with post-season review next week, and will have some interviews for you to enjoy in upcoming weeks.
New episode is out! 👨🍳
We had a look at the long GW ahead of us and upcoming horizon from an analytical point of view.
- Projected point averages at team level
- Projected value changes at player level
- Optimal WC21 teams
- TAA replacements
- Captaincy
FPL Optimized new episode is out🔥
And now in 4K! 😎
In this episode, Bas and Sertalp cover:
- Projected point averages
- Optimal FH29 teams from 5 different models
- Optimal WC29 team and transfer plan
- Captaincy options
- Mini-league updates
🚀⚽
New Episode Alert!
Bas and Sertalp are both on WC35 and BB37 plan.
In this episode, we covered
- Fixture Ticker
- GW Odds
- Optimal WC35 teams with various model and risk settings
- Robust optimal team using injury simulations
- Scenarios
- Captaincy choices for GW35-GW38
A new episode is out! 🎙️⚽
After having a good start to the season, Bas and Sertalp review their own teams and discuss potential targets for GW2 and beyond both from data and eye-test perspectives.
#FPL
#FPLCommunity
New podcast episode is out!
In this episode, Jonny (
@FPL_Spaceman
) joins Bas (
@belfibb
) while Sertalp needs a rest.
Jonny and Bas cover
- Fixture ticker
- Optimal squads
- Captaincy options
- Mini-league updates
🚀 New Episode Alert! Bas is ready to pull the trigger on Free Hit for GW34! 🎯 Dive into our latest
#FPLOptimized
episode (
#89
) where we dissect:
Projected Point Averages
Optimal WC34 teams
Optimal Free Hit 34 teams ⚽
Captaincy Options 👑
#FPL
#FPL
New episode 🚨
#FPL
Due to work commitments, this week's episode is published early. Both Bas and Sertalp are on Bench Boost for
#DGW37
.
In this episode:
GW36 Review
Average Projections for remaining GWs
Ideal BB37 Team
Transfer Plans
Captaincy
Mini-League & Cup
New chip episode! 🍟🎙️
GW29 fixtures are in, but 34/37 still loom like a tactical puzzle 🧩
In episode 82, we unravel optimal chip plans with insights from Ben Crellin & Planet FPL, including WC27+FH29, WC27+FH34, as well as dead-ending in GW29, and optimal FH29 teams.
Enjoy 📊⚽
I just noticed that our
@FPLOptimized
YouTube channel reached the 2k subscribers milestone!🥳 Maybe not huge for the big content creators, but as we focus on a niche topic (
#data
&
#analytics
in
#FPL
) we're really happy with it. We appreciate each single subscriber!😊👍
And finally captaincy options from models as of yesterday. The values might change until deadline, but values should remain close, it is very close this GW.
In average, models project following points:
Saka - 5.85
Palmer - 5.80
Odegaard - 5.19
Darwin - 4.82
Foden - 4.80
New episode is out! With 2 Jacks, we have talked about developing and using predictive models for various fantasy football games, and the future of analytical play. Great guests and a great episode!
Decided to stick to the plan: get Bruno, roll 2nd, and cap Saka.
Stochastic optimization solver was key to checking multiple scenarios considering both Salah's return GW and Liverpool's fixture change.
Fingers crossed.
New
#FPLOptimized
episode! We're breaking down GW22 and GW23 with latest projections. 📊⚽
In this episode⭐
- Season Graphs 📉
- Fixture Ticker / Projected Point Averages
- EV Changes
- Optimal WC22 Team
- Captaincy Picks
- Mini-league Updates 🏆
#FPLCommunity
#FPL
We've been named a finalist for Best in Fantasy Football – Organisation at the Football Content Awards 2024! Huge shoutout to our community for making this happen. 🙌
Your vote can help us bring this home! 🗳️
Cast your vote here:
I have some amazing news.
FPL Optimized has been named a finalist for Best in Fantasy Football – Organisation at the Football Content Awards 2024! This wouldn't have been possible without all of you. Now, I need your help—every vote counts! 🙌
🗳️ Cast your vote here:
Episode 78 of FPL Optimized is out! ⚽
Join us as we talk about the upcoming period of doubles and blanks, share the optimal wildcard team, and discuss sensitivity analysis results.
4) Using
@f_analytic
's data, it seems like GK and DF points are lower compared to last season, despite MD and FW points are almost the same in average. It might be due to longer extra times, but requires further digging to be sure.
Optimal WC21 teams using FPLReview, Mikkel Tokvam, and their equal weight ensemble. For the ensemble model, the transfer plan includes 1-GW punt on Toney.
7) High EV, low EO players are your best bet if you insist on getting a differential. Always check how much EV you are giving up by picking such players.
Some examples that fit into this category:
Odegaard
De Bruyne
B.Fernandes
Eze
G.Jesus
Martinelli
A new badge for our FPL Optimized pod; We released an episode for 25 weeks in a row.🥳 Apparently we never did that before... It took quite some effort & dedication (i.e. recording during holidays) but we did it.😅 Thank you
@sertalpbilal
for the teamwork!🤝
#FPL
@TransistorFM
That's all from Episode
#73
of
#FPLOptimized
! 🚀 Remember, we're not just about numbers; we're about giving you the edge in your FPL journey with AI-driven insights and analytical approaches. 📊⚽
Stay tuned for more updates, and don't hesitate to join the conversation!
Optimal captaincy choices based on various projection models. Seems like Haaland is ahead everywhere except analytics-favored models (Review and Mikkel Tokvam). In ensemble, only 0.24 EV difference favoring Haaland.
Interesting discussion. Two things to add:
1. 'Optimal' not necessarily mean maximizing projected points; you can maximize probability of passing your mini league rival, which might include different players.
2. Template is close to optimal if
@LetsTalk_FPL
is close to it 😆
Brand new ep this week featuring the man.... the myth
.... the legend.....
@Pras_fpl
🐐
We have a great conversation about what
#fpl
means to him and I ask how we can play the game 'optimally'.
RT's and telling your friends appreciated 🙏
Although, it is worth mentioning that Haaland has the highest goal projection of the season so far. Markets (and market based models) are much warmer to Haaland.
@erik_k_garcia
@FPLFutbolmetrix
@fplreview
Linear Optimization, if given enough time, always finds optimal and proves that in the feasible space there can't be anything better. Heuristics can't do it, so you might end up finding something better if you keep looking 'more'. I will explain in detail in the next episode.
7) High EV, low EO players are your best bet if you insist on getting a differential. Always check how much EV you are giving up by picking such players.
Some examples that fit into this category:
Odegaard
De Bruyne
B.Fernandes
Eze
G.Jesus
Martinelli
@FPLAmateur1
@fplreview
@sertalpbilal
It is a bit difficult to judge, to be honest. Without the fixture certainty, comparisons are a bit iffy. 10 EV is significant enough.
1.01 decay seems to be the chip comparison decay most people use.
Raw Optimal WC33 (103 TV) using
@fplreview
projections at 1.0 decay. This one is only with WC. Pretty good double coverage for GW34 (9) and GW37 (9), with 99 and 95 EV, respectively. You can also force in Haaland back to play safer, as this will expose you to risk.
2) The ideal horizon length is somewhere between 6 and 8 GWs. Anything less might lead to suboptimality after the horizon. Anything more might lead you to sacrifice too much immediate gain, and can fall apart when an injury/rotation happens.
5) GK overperformers of the season change quite a bit, but currently Areola, Alisson, Dubravka, and Neto are overperforming. Underperformers are Ederson, Martinez, Flekken, and Steele.