@WarriorToadette
McLaughlin is Trumpโs personal pollster. The F signifies that it is an F rated pollster, which is the worst possible ranking. It is extremely rare for a pollster to be inaccurate enough to be F rated.
@angiewong
I donโt understand this take on Netflix. Do you seriously believe people canceled their Netflix subscriptions because itโs โwokeโ? Couldnโt it have something to do with price raises, increase in competition, show cancellations, and plans for ads?
@ScottPresler
@POTUS
If youโre going to participate in society, then yes they do. You will continue to be forced to wear a mask and if you donโt, businesses can refuse to let you in.
@PhilRages
Have you seen Trump recently? Heโs mentally declining fast and has no energy anymore when he speaks. He is going to get crushed on the debate stage.
@LindaMBrown19
@KyivIndependent
As if Putin cares about international law at this point. The bigger concern is what happens if Turkey hits one of these.
@ZFlawles1s
@SimonLi_DC
This same sample has Casey only winning by 4, and in 2022 this pollster had Oz winning and Shapiro only winning by 9. This is a good poll for Harris.
NEW: GOP gubernatorial candidate
@LopezforCO
says he would sign an abortion ban in Colorado. I asked him to square his pro-life without exceptions stance with his 1993 arrest for assaulting his pregnant wife.
#copolitics
Wow - Six Dem House candidates in California raised more than $2M last quarter, per
@politicoca
#CA13
Adam Gray - $2.2M
#CA22
Rudy Salas - $2.1M
#CA27
George Whitesides - $2.8M
#CA45
Derek Tran - $2M
#CA41
Will Rollins - $3.6M (!)
#CA47
Dave Min - $2M
@SouFloCon
@ellamaulding
Mississippi is the worst state in the country because itโs a Republican run apartheid state in the Jim Crow South. Jacksonโs city government has nothing to do with this.
Updated with 2024 Q2 data & added Dem challenger figures as well. As you can see, Dems are running well ahead of 2022 in all seats except CA-40. Partly due to an earlier primary (& donor consolidation) vs 2022, but the increases are gigantic.
Also: Has Mike Garcia Just Given Up?
@RJ_maps
They learned from 2020 and adjusted their methodology to account for more Trump voters, probably to the point where theyโre now overestimating Trump.
@BeardedApstlic
@RahawaHaile
The CDCโs job is not to make you happy. Itโs job is to provide guidance on what people should be doing to keep themselves and others safe. The CDC has no power to force you to do anything, so there is nothing wrong with them making accurate recommendations.
@umichvoter
Itโs not over yet. People were talking about this yesterday. There are enough votes in Democratic areas for Hodge to come back and take the lead.
This is huge if true. We should expect turnout to drop from 2020 statewide, but if it is about the same in the Philly suburbs, Trump doesnโt have a chance.
Some news out of Montgomery County - I've received word that the # of mail-in ballots being processed for the 2024 general election is going to exceed 2022's by a decent chunk. This is a moving target, but turnout is likely going to track close to 2020 (~84%).
Good news for D's.
Hillary never had a 7 point lead in Pennsylvania. The polls showed that it was extremely close for the entire cycle. People just assumed she was guaranteed to win because they didnโt think Trump was a serious candidate.
REPORT: Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA) "expressed skepticism of Harris' reported lead in Pennsylvania, [comparing] the situation to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's seven-point lead in Pennsylvania that ultimately collapsed on Election Day."
@dougseltzer5
@cbouzy
My models and predictions have been very similar to his, so Iโm guessing weโre seeing the same paths to 219 as well. Democrats need to win CA-13, CA-22, AZ-06, AZ-01, CA-41, and CA-27 or CO-03. I am much more optimistic about California than most, and Iโm guessing he is too.
@wallstmemes
Heโs exactly right. People believe Biden can just magically make the inflation disappear. Thatโs not how it works. Even if Biden and Congress took the most extreme action possible, it would take months for inflation to significantly drop. Weโre still facing the affects of theโฆ
Poll of Erie & Northampton, Pennsylvania
๐ฅ Donald Trump 49% (+1)
๐ฆ Kamala Harris 48%
Cygnal poll of two bellweather counties.
Erie & Northampton have voted with the winner of Pennsylvania every time since 2008.
@bluridgemammoth
@KeaghlanAshley
Because you have no understanding of politics. Hitler was a far right authoritarian fascist. The most progressive liberals in the US are moderate left libertarian. Literally opposite points on the political compass. Trumpism and Nazism are much more politically aligned.
@steelyboy23
Slazac did not say that the US deserved 9/11. Thereโs nothing wrong with saying that the true victims were the people and not the state.
It looks like there isnโt actually a source for this and it was based on a Border Patrol Union tweet that said that Border Patrol will not be arresting the Texas National Guard for simply following orders.
@Thorongil16
There arenโt enough Muslims in Michigan for this to make a difference. The Islamophobia will happen depending on the margins that Trump wins Muslims by.