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David Zäch Profile
David Zäch

@DavidZach16

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Creator: "Freaks In The Spreadsheets" PDF fantasy guide | Rookie Fantasy Z-score | Thru32 Team Projections | #MatchupsInMotion | 2020 #1 WR Ranker @FantasyPros

Joined April 2019
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
12 days
Final FREE access to Freaks In The Spreadsheets guide as draft season wraps up!👇 - Thru32 team projections, dynasty rookie ranks, redraft cheatsheet, Underdog roster construction & import ranks, & NFL szn bets Come get a taste 🤓 PDF link here: 1/#
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
8 months
Soon it will be cheaper to physically be at the game than it is to pay for a month of Peacock to stream it
@BrettKollmann
Brett Kollmann
8 months
My God
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
8 months
Invested $4,700 in fantasy leagues this year. Cashing out $4,800. Don't know exact time invested but it's gotta be over 300+ hours included drafting. Working with about 30 cents/hr profit. Built different* 😤 * = read as pathetic
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 months
I cannot overstate how annoying this is to the average fan
@MySportsUpdate
Ari Meirov
4 months
The NFL now has games on Netflix, Peacock, Amazon Prime and ESPN+, while Sunday Ticket is on YouTube TV. 💰💰
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
10 months
Quentin Johnston going to some seriously sinister levels to make sure Justin Herbert throws his direction:
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Jaxon Smith-Njigba runs an unofficial 4.53 at 196 lbs Twitter: "Cool. That'll work." Jordan Addison runs an official 4.49 at 173 lbs Twitter: "Okay I guess, not great but fine." Quentin Johnston runs an unofficial 4.50 at 212 lbs Twitter: "OOF omg slowwwww trassssshhhhh"
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
There was a time in my life where I took Robert Woods instead of Cooper Kupp in every draft that both were available. That time was a month ago and I would love to stop feeling like an idiot tonight.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 months
The #1 winner of this entire draft for fantasy purposes is Gus Edwards and there are no other correct answers
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
11 months
The best part about this rookie WR draft class is currently draft capital was a bad predictor, film grades were a bad predictor, and analytics were a bad predictor. Rookie leaders after 4 weeks: 1) Puka Nacua 2) Tank Dell ..... 100 miles of shit ..... JSN & QJ
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Me trying to predict the NFL draft:
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David Zäch
3 years
"NFL teams should trade all my fantasy players to places where they will score me the most fantasy points"
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Hearing the Jets are offering picks 4, 10, 35, 38, 69, Zach Wilson, Elijah Moore, Quinnen Williams, Jordan Whitehead, the Iron Bank, King Midas' gold, the Sorcerer's Stone, and Joe Flacco in a package for Deebo Samuel. It's close, but the 49ers are leaning towards no.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Not often you see a team lose their young starting QB for the year, and then say: "Alright, NOW it's time to go all in for the Superbowl!" and start trading away picks for a premier RB.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 26.5 ppg after having played against the Saints and Rams defenses 👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 years
Chatting with my wife yesterday.. Me: I've got 4 drafts next week, can't wait! Her: How long do these things take again? Me: 2-3 hours depending on the draft type. Wife: I f*cking hate this time of year. 😆 Here's to the significant others that put up with this game we play!
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Taking Cole Kmet in half my leagues this off-season thinking it was brilliant:
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
Ja'Marr Chase didn't have to kill both Tyler Boyd and Tee Higgins for fantasy. He could've had the decency to let at least one live.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 years
The Buffalo Bills are my sneaky bet to win the Super Bowl. Top-5 defense, great trenches both sides of the ball, added Diggs and Moss to the offense. Just need Josh Allen to take the next step and this is an incredible team.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
Ravens updated offensive depth chart: QB: Lamar Jackson RB: Lamar Jackson WR1: Lamar Jackson WR2: Lamar Jackson TE: Mark Andrews LT: Lamar Jackson LG: Lamar Jackson C: Lamar Jackson RG: Lamar Jackson RT: Lamar Jackson
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Last year, I introduced a new metric called “Interview Scores” - a measure of intangibles beyond stats or film. The highest score was Garrett Wilson. He won OROY. The lowest score was Jameson Williams. He just got suspended 6 games. Maybe it’s even better than we thought.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
“I got another trade offer on the table so I need an answer right away!” 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
10 months
“Miles Sanders is a 3-down workhorse. We want to get him 80 catches this year.” 😬
@Underdog__NFL
Underdog NFL
10 months
Reich: Chuba Hubbard will start at RB Week 9.
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David Zäch
25 days
💀
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
5 years
Introducing RB Yards Created through analytics! 💪📈 The purpose of this process was to see if we can measure each RB's ability to create on their own. As such, it was adjusted for O-line blocking, % vs stacked fronts, yards before/after contact, etc. 2019 list here 👇 (1/3)
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David Zäch
3 years
Went “all in” in a win now dynasty league. I’ll be 0-2 after this week. Crushing it
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
5 months
Interview Scores return for its 3rd season! Reminder that this metric is strictly for fantasy football purposes, attempting to measure "intangibles" as they relate to fantasy points. Overall this is an extremely impressive class compared to years past - YLTSI Some notes: 1/7
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
As everyone loses their minds this preseason, remember these "key takeaways" from LAST year's preseason. Pure madness. *Terrace Marshall highest graded WR.* *Marquez Callaway dominance.* *Trey Sermon lead 49ers back.* *Ja'Marr Chase might lose snaps to Auden Tate.*
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
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@TomPelissero
Tom Pelissero
1 year
From the #Vikings : “We are aware of last night’s traffic incident involving Jordan Addison and are gathering additional information.”
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David Zäch
2 years
Dove deep into 4+ years of interviews on WR prospects over the past few months, these are my takeaways. Disclaimer: I have no credentials whatsoever for these evaluations. I'm a data nerd, hoping to discover more data points.
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David Zäch
3 years
RB finishes of the worst NFL team in the league last 5 years: 2020: Jags - JRob - RB7 '19: Bengals - Mixon - RB13 '18: Cards - Dav Johnson - RB10 '17: Browns - Crowell - RB30 '16: Browns - Crowell - RB14 4/5 higher than RB15... but since the Lions MIGHT suck so must Swift?!?!?
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David Zäch
1 year
NFL GMs right now:
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David Zäch
1 year
Pete Carroll seeing another RB available to add to his backfield:
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
Sometimes I’ll rewatch Hakeem Butler absolute rag dolling and burning college d-backs to remind myself I don’t know shit about watching film 😂
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
11 months
Matchups In Motion: Week 5 - Montgomery another SMASH setup - Vegas continues to beat the drum for a Bengals bounceback game - Consecutive Trevor Lawrence fade matchups continues for 3rd straight week - Have your Jets finally take flight! #MatchupsInMotion
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
7 months
Yearly reminder that there is a major red flag to avoid for Running Back prospects: extremely low broken/missed tackle rate. Here's your list for the 2023 class. Buyer beware
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Running backs on the very low end of the broken/missed tackle forced spectrum have a long, hard road ahead to succeed. *cue the bad company verse*
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David Zäch
3 years
RB Yards Created Through Analytics - 2021 Review! 🏃‍♂️ In it's 3rd szn, this aims to credit each RB for the yards made "on his own" by adjusting for offensive line yards, stacked front %, yards before/after contact, etc. 2021 list here 👇 We have a new rushing king 👑
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
2022 Rookie Wide Receiver Z-Scores are live!!🧐 This comprehensive, analytic grade aims to collect the BEST metrics available for predicting career success. Really proud of how my cornerstone project has evolved in accuracy in it's 4th season. Full article below 👇: (1/3)
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David Zäch
11 months
Matchups In Motion: Week 6 - Mostert gets a godsend of a matchup PLUS extra volume from Achane injury - Bengals pass catchers are plus plays back to back weeks! - First time Monty has been on FADE list all year (DFS only) - His Kupp Overflows #MatchupsInMotion
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David Zäch
1 year
Fantasy twitter told me Javonte Williams' knee gruesomely tore apart and his tendons disintegrated and all that remains are microscopic threads of cotton barely holding his knee together... How can he be participating in OTAs in MAY???
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Zach Wilson is the most glaring buy QB in SF leagues, based on improved surroundings alone. Improved O-line, reset to healthy WR room, more help likely coming in the draft with 4 top-40 picks. Jets doing everything they can to make him succeed year 2.
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David Zäch
7 months
Jameson Williams - lowest interview score of 2022 class - gambling suspension - underperforming prospect Kayshon Boutte - lowest interview score of 2023 class - incoming gambling suspension - underperforming prospect
@ChadGraff
Chad Graff
7 months
Kayshon Boutte allegedly didn’t do much to hide his illegal gambling. While placing more than 8,900 bets while underage (including some on his LSU football team) he used accounts with the username “kayshonboutte7” and “kayshonboutte01” according to the affidavit.
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David Zäch
3 years
My model projects 3 backups to overtake the previously entrenched starting RBs this year: 1. Tony Pollard > Ezekiel Elliott 2. AJ Dillon > Aaron Jones 3. Kenneth Gainwell > Miles Sanders
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
Good fantasy players that folks love to hate: QBs - Jalen Hurts - Kirk Cousins - Carson Wentz RBs - Ezekiel Elliott - Melvin Gordon - Myles Gaskin WRs - Mike Evans *guilty* - Amari Cooper - Adam Thielen TEs - Mike Gesicki
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David Zäch
4 years
Kareem Hunt has now outscored Nick Chubb in 7 of their last 9 games played together.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
"Buy low on all the guys I liked before the season started who disappointed week 1 and sell high on all the guys I disliked before the season who did well week 1."
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Daniel Jeremiah top 50: - Jordan Addison is WR1 Lance Zierlein latest mock: - Jordan Addison isn’t worth a 1st round pick
@MoveTheSticks
Daniel Jeremiah
1 year
Updated Top 50
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 years
2020 RB Fantasy Z-scores are live! This analysis gives a comprehensive grade scale of Rookie RBs, consisting of: - Draft Capital - Athleticism Score - College Production (adj for competition) - Yards Created - Offensive Line - Landing Spot Full article below: 👇 (1/2)
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David Zäch
8 months
@FantasyBosco Anything that involves me having to pay extra for an already gazillion dollar industry as the way it is displeases me
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David Zäch
1 year
If Gainwell holds off both a healthy Penny and healthy Swift for majority touches in games played together, I will change my profile pick to a clown for a full year.
@shamus_clancy
shamus
1 year
It looks like Kenny Gainwell's going to be the Eagles' early down feature back. I expect him to get the most carries of any RB this season:
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David Zäch
3 years
Diontae Johnson had the 5th most targets per game of all WRs last year. That's more than Calvin Ridley, Allen Robinson, Tyreek Hill, Terry McLaurin. ADP at WR28.
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David Zäch
3 years
Estimated 1st RND WRs before the combine: 6 After they all completed the 40 yard dash: 38
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David Zäch
3 years
RB Yards Created Through Analytics - 2020 Recap 🧐 In what has become a staple for measuring RB performance, this adjusts YPC for O-line blocking, % carries vs 8+ front, yards before/after contact, etc. Derrick Henry 👑and Nick Chubb 💪consistently top-3 each year😤 (1/3)
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David Zäch
2 years
Absolutely WAY too early dynasty rookie Z-Score rankings (RB/WR): 1. Bijan Robinson 2. Quentin Johnston 3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba 4. Jahmyr Gibbs 5. Jordan Addison 6. Zach Charbonnet 7. Jalin Hyatt 8. Devon Achane 9. Josh Downs 10. Deuce Vaughn 11. Kenny McIntosh 12. Eric Gray 1/2
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David Zäch
2 years
Ain’t no way no how no scenario no reason no probable cause no logical explanation that Elijah Moore should be a Jet in 3 days
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 months
The two highest Interview Score WRs of this class (Worthy & Pearsall) just went to the Chiefs and the Niners - earlier than their draft props😅 And the lowest Interview Score WR (Adonai)- who had a draft prop of 23 overall - just fell out of the 1st round 🤔 Best metric ever?!?
@DavidZach16
David Zäch
5 months
Interview Scores return for its 3rd season! Reminder that this metric is strictly for fantasy football purposes, attempting to measure "intangibles" as they relate to fantasy points. Overall this is an extremely impressive class compared to years past - YLTSI Some notes: 1/7
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David Zäch
3 years
2021 WR Fantasy Z-Scores have arrived! A holistic view of rookie WRs looks into the following categories to give long term PPG projections: - Draft Capital - Early Declare - Team Adj Market Share - Career Production - Breakout Age - Hand Size Full article and history below👇
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David Zäch
2 years
People that are shocked about the FAAB spending on Sam Ehlinger in SF leagues haven't played SF long enough
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David Zäch
1 year
The sneakiest sneaky winner of the sneakiest sneaky draft… Clyde Edwards-Helaire
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
*NFL player rises in value* Dynasty guy: "Great opportunity to sell! Imagine holding him, lololol" Redraft guy: "Ugh, I don't know if I can spend a 3rd round pick on him. So conflicted!" BestBall guy: "Haha suckers! I already drafted him on 286 rosters at a discount! Money!!!"
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David Zäch
1 year
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David Zäch
4 years
DJ Moore being open on nearly every play and NEVER getting looked at is about to tilt me off my rocker
@JonHelmkamp
Jon Helmkamp
4 years
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Treylon Burks and David Bell led their respective teams in receiving yards from the moment they started. Imagine walking onto the field your freshman season and outplaying your teammates for your entire collegiate career. Unreal.
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David Zäch
2 years
I would like more reports on how Treylon Burks is completely out of shape and has the lung capacity of baby bird so his ADP can keep falling please and thank you.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Take it from a guy who learns from his mistakes. In 2021, I overlooked Rashod Bateman’s team pass volume for his talent. In 2022, I overlooked Treylon Burks’ team pass volume for his talent. In 2023, I won’t overlook DJ Moore’s team pass volume for his clear talent.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Well this is funny. List of the first, early declare, WR taken in each 2nd round of the NFL Draft over the last 6 years. 2016 - Michael Thomas 2017 - Curtis Samuel 2018 - Christian Kirk 2019 - AJ Brown 2020 - Tee Higgins 2021 - Elijah Moore Not bad 2022 - WanDale Robinson 👀
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
Way-too-early Fantasy Z-Score rankings of 2022 rookies without Film Grades, Combine metrics/measurables, and mock draft in place of actual draft capital: RBs: 1) B. Hall 2) K. Walker 3) K. Williams 4) I. Spiller WRs: 1) T. Burks 2) D. London 3) G. Wilson 4) D. Bell 5) J. Dotson
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Always thought the "WR avalanche" drafts were a myth... I got caught in my first real one today after starting RobustRB... and let me tell you that it is pure, unfiltered, miserable torture.
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David Zäch
1 year
This class is so weak that two RBs went top-12… 😂😂😂
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Interview Scores are back for the 2023 rookie WRs. After beating out final szn YPRR last year, it's worth seeing if we can up the predictiveness (goal of > 0.25 correl to ppg). Zay pulling a G. Wilson with the only perfect score in class. It's impossible not to love him. 1/3
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
Some favorite dynasty targets - price options I'd pay: DJ Moore - DK, Godwin, 1.01 Bateman - 1.02, McLaurin, Marquise Bobby Trees - Sutton, any 2nd Gibson - Akers Etienne - 1.04, Zeke CEH - 1.06, Miles Zach Wilson - Tua, 1.01 (SF) Kyle Pitts - the world
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
When does James Cook turn into Dalvin Cook or how does this whole drafting a star RBs brother thing work for me...
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David Zäch
1 year
Quentin Johnston film grades from industry leaders among the 2023 rookies: - PFF -> WR1 - Lance Zierlein w/ NFL dot com -> WR5 - Scouts inc -> WR1 - DynastyNerds -> WR5 or lower (via pod) Insane variance - every film grader sees something drastically different.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Matchups In Motion: Week 1 Returning for our 3rd season, this handy quick reference guide for sit/starts, DFS, & pickems makes decisions easier. - Baker/Godwin/Evans a sneaky stack? - Olave & MT should light it up - Najee haters may get rewarded... for now #MatchupsInMotion
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
I’m never drafting RBs again
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
It's here 👀 'Freaks In The Spreadsheets' 2023 fantasy guide is now live! 🔹Dynasty Rookie Ranks (Fantasy Z-score) 🔹Full player projections (Thru32 projections) 🔹Bestball Theory 🔹Model Building Processes 🔹Rankings Cheatsheets FREE link here:
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David Zäch
6 months
Hey "Running Backs Don't Matter" crowd, I guess you've won... are you happy now???!!??! Look what you've done:
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
RB Javonte Williams had an absolutely stunning broken tackle rate of 47% his final year. That's the highest I've seen recorded. So as a defender, that means there was about a 50/50 chance your ass was on the grass on contact as he runs by or through you. JWill might be good.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
WRs drafted by pick 80 with >32.5" arms & >9.5" hands since 2013: DeAndre Hopkins Keenan Allen Odell Beckham Mike Evans Juju SS AJ Brown DK Metcalf Brandon Aiyuk Treylon Burks Christian Watson QUENTIN JOHNSTON Conley & Funchess too but that wouldn't confirm my priors
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Earlier this week was WRs, now onto RBs! 2022 Rookie RB Fantasy Z-Scores 🤓 Once again, this utilizes some of the most reliable metrics I could find: College Production Adj for team strength, Film Grades, Athleticism, Draft Cap, and Landing Spot Full article below 👇 (1/3)
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Remember Dameon Pierce?
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 month
"Kyren's their guy, Kyren is Sean's guy. If (Sean) could sign himself over to be Kyren's godfather, he would." "Demarcus Robinson looks like he's aging in reverse... he is locked in as the #3 " Some interesting nuggets from @JourdanRodrigue
@32BeatWriters
32BeatWriters
1 month
We are joined by @JourdanRodrigue to talk Rams! Stafford's "agreement," Kyren, Corum, Puka, Kupp, and what to watch for in training camp! 🎧
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David Zäch
2 years
I believe the 2023 RB class is better than the 2020 RB class (JT, etc.) and below the 2017 RB class (CMC, Dalvin, etc.). But the fact that it ranks in the range of those two in the early stages of the Fantasy Z-Score means it will reshape the entire RB landscape in dynasty IMO
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 months
Colts RB depth chart behind Jonathan Taylor: - Evan Hull (2 career touches) - Tyler Goodson (19 career touches) - Trey Sermon (84 career touches) I've never projected someone for 100% RB share of a backfield but might have to make an exception this year.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
So Vikings are reportedly cutting Dalvin Cook, lost Kendricks and others on DEF, then traded away pass rusher Smith… That means a poor defense got worse, lesser running game, and a plethora of top tier passing weapons. Time to set the record for pass rate in a season.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Man what did Jahan Dotson ever do to you guys to deserve this fall into the second round of rookie drafts.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
🧐 When the haters become the truthers 2.5 weeks later😂
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
If you’re fading Swift because of the bad team narrative, please remember that the Panthers had win totals of 5, 5, and 7 past 3 seasons. CMC is 0% affected by a “bad team”
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
14 days
@YZR_Fantasy Why does this make sense
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 years
*refresh* scroll for Fournette news *refresh* scroll for Fournette news *refresh* scroll for Fournette news
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 months
Fantasy Z-Scores for the 2024 rookies are live! For those new, I summarize every metric that matters for both RB/WRs (such SRS/SOS adj production, industry film grades, efficiency stats, etc.) and give an expected 3 year PPG output. Details in the article below. Summaries here:
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
RB Yards Created Through Analytics - 2022 recap! Returning for its 4th szn, this metric aims to measure what a RB can "create on his own" by adjusting for O-line play, stacked front %, yards after contact, etc. The list 👇 Nick Chubb -> top-3 finalist for 4 YEARS straight🤯
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
Narratives I DON'T believe for 2022: - Rondale Moore due for major target increase - WAS drafts a Day 2 RB - Akers to be a bellcow *evergreen* - Marquise Brown to repeat 120+ targets (146 in '21) - Metcalf/Lockett being overvalued - CEH is complete dust
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Just saw someone call Tyler Lockett the Seahawks WR3…
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
2 years
"He's not big enough to be a workhorse!!" - he shouts from the rooftops when dogging a "undersized" running back prospect. The top-2 overall RBs in fantasy this year: 1. Ekeler - 200 lbs 2. CMC - 205 lbs 🫠🫠🫠
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Still not sure the world is ready for what Kellen Moore is about to do with Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense. 🚀🚀🚀
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
The year is 2025. Brandin Cooks completes his 9th 1,000 yard season. 70% of the FF population is still spelling his first name incorrectly.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
7 months
Trying my eyes at film grades for fantasy. These are very likely to be horrific in my pilot year, but my personal film grades as of today (min. 3 games per). *If you're a film savant and see a hard disagree, please explain in detail the "why" please & thank you*
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
4 years
DJ Moore has the Falcons this week... The pass-funnel Falcons defense that has some of the worst secondary in the league... It is make or break time, and anything less than 15-20 fantasy points would be a massive disappointment.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
3 years
I'm on Day 21 of consecutive Rashod Bateman searches with no updates to show for it.
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Rookie RB Fantasy Z-Scores return for their FIFTH season! 🥳🎉 This comprehensive breakdown tells us what matters most in RB evaluation: - Draft Capital - Athleticism - College Production adj. for team & opp strength - Film Grades (most accurate sources) - Landing Spot 1/4
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@DavidZach16
David Zäch
1 year
Kenneth Walker finished as the RB16 last year with added volume help of a Penny injury... Then the Seahawks drafted Charbonnet in RND 2 and JSN RND 1 to get even more players involved in their offense. Naturally he's now being drafted higher as the RB15 this year.
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