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@CrocsAnalyst

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L/S biotech. Not investment advice.

Joined April 2019
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
$XBI Estimated movement for some Q3-4 biotech catalysts from Cowen:
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$XBI Estimated movement for some* Q3 biotech catalysts from Cowen:
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$TRIL price target cut to $18.5 from $21 by Craig-Hallum thanks guys, keep up the great work
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Estimated movement for $XBI June binary events: $BIIB $BMRN $GILD $MCRB $MGNX $ORPH $SAGE $STRO $VIR $VRTX
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Estimated movement for $XBI September binary events from Cowen: $ADAP $APLS $EDIT $EVLO $MGNX $MRTX $ONCO $PHAS $PLRX $PTCT $SYRS $TBPH
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Estimated movement for $XBI January binary events from Cowen: $ANNX $BMRN $GILD $ICPT $IMGN $MDGL $NKTR $SRPT $CRTX
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$GILD tell me your data is underwhelming without telling me
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Estimated movement for $XBI February binary events from Cowen: $BIIB $CABA $EBS $OPNT $GILD $ICPT $NKTR $SAGE $UTHR $VRTX
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Biotech investor therapy session. Let it all out. This is a safe place.
@WorldWideWob
Rob Perez
6 months
Lakers fans therapy session. Let it all out. This is a safe place.
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#AACR22 $NVS Ph1/1b of NZV930 (CD73) +/- spartalizumab (PD-1) and/or taminadenant (A2AR) in a basket of advanced solid tumors (CRC, ovarian, pancreatic, NSCLC, TNBC, and mCRPC) $CRVS $ORIC
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$SNY to acquire $KDMN for $1.9B ($9.5/sh)
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other $SIVB-related filings this afternoon $XBI non-exhaustive
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Gene tx catalysts for H2-2020 from Piper: Data: $ADVM Ph1 Wet AMD $AGTC Ph1/2 XLRP $AXGT Ph2 PD & GM1 $BLUE Ph1/2 SCD $MGTX Ph1/2 XLRP and Xerostomia $ORTX PoC interim MPS-I $RARE Ph1/2 OTC deficiency $RGNX Ph1/2 MPS-II $RCKT Ph1 Danon, Fancomi, PKD, LAD $SRPT Ph2 DMD (-5051)
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Some shared favourites (≥3 funds) from the torrent of 13F data courtesy of @MSollender before YE catalysts: $ADAP $ARNA $BMYRT $CLDX $FMTX $ISEE $NVAX Lots more gems <3
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@CrocsAnalyst
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10 months
When I grow up I want to be pharma BD and blindly invest on vibes
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$TRIL 621 monotx looks pretty consistent with ASH data
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Estimated movement for $XBI July binary events from Cowen: $ALEC $APLT $BCEL $BIIB $EVLO $IONS $MCRB $MGNX $ONCO $PLRX $TBPH EXEL has already read out (-20%) APLS is September (reconfirmed yesterday at R&D day)
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$AUPH 3-year safety looks remarkably clean
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Estimated movement for May biotech events from Cowen: $ADCT $ATRA $AXSM $ICVX $INZY $KZR $MYOV $ONCO $PMVP $PTCT $ROIV $SWTX $UTHR
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$MDGL Bakers want Becky and Paul to sell
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Estimated movement for $XBI May events: $ALLO $APLS $BCEL $BIIB $DVAX $HRTX $IONS $ONCO $ORPH $SAGE $VRTX $XLRN
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CD73s
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@pharmacreep
pharmacreep
3 years
$CRVS $CURF $AZN Probably the most interesting oncology abstract I've seen in years. Amazing 0.44 PFS HR for anti-cd73 antibody.
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Estimated movement for $XBI April binary events from Cowen: $ALNY $ALPN $APTX $AXSM $BIIB $MTEM $NKTR $PHAS $RPTX $SWTX $VRTX
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$CRIS (S165) A PHASE 1, DOSE ESCALATION TRIAL WITH NOVEL ORAL IRAK4 INHIBITOR CA-4948 IN PATIENTS WITH ACUTE MYELOGENOUS LEUKEMIA OR MYELODYSPLASTIC SYNDROME – INTERIM REPORT #EHA2021
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This is my quant
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$ARWR late-breaker #ILC2021 : ARO-AAT an investigational RNAi therapeutic demonstrates improvement in liver fibrosis with reduction in intra-hepatic Z-AAT burden Slides:
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Estimated movement for $XBI October binary events from Cowen: $ANGN $ANNX $ERYP $ONCO $PHAS $RLAY $RPTX
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CD47 continues to accrue attention: 1. $TRIL 'most loved by buyside' 2. $TGTX small note in JPM's OW initiation 3. $IMAB's TJC4 data by YE2020; combo PD-1 trial with Keytruda in NHL; 'highly differentiated' 4. Innovent IBI-188 moving into pivotal, post US/China Ph1 trials
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$XBI Estimated movement for some Q3-4 biotech catalysts from Cowen:
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Need one of you to become @TheRoaringKitty of biotech so I can monetize being chronically online
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$PFE growth initiative scoreboard: $EPIX $10M at $6/sh (now $5.6/sh) $TRIL $25M at $10.88/sh (BO for $18.5/sh!) $FIXX $60M at $12/sh (now $1.66/sh) $CRDF $15M at $6.22/sh (now $1.4/sh) $SPRO $40M at $16.93/sh (now $5.25/sh) $ZNTL $25M at $26.21/sh Vedanta $25M
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My brothers in Christ please get over the $MRNA $MRK stats - it’s not that deep
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$CRIS Dentzer confirms 0/6 patients reported at ASH 2020 are FLT3+
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CD73/A2A smids by EV
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CD73s
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$DAWN Clinical activity of pan-RAF inhibitor tovorafenib in the registrational pediatric low-grade glioma arm of the phase 2 FIREFLY-1 (PNOC026) study. #ASCO23
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another bunch of $SIVB-related filings
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$TGTX on days like today I am reminded of this masterpiece #HIGH #IMHO cc: @bigpharmaguy
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vutrisiran this, acoramidis that just take tafamidis
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Estimated movement for $XBI December binary events: $AGIO $APLT $AXSM $CNST $FGEN $KURA $MYOV $RYTM $QURE $SRPT
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Estimated movement for $XBI March events from Cowen: $ARGX $ASND $CABA $EBS $GILD $ICPT $IMGN $MRNS $VRTX
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not to beat a dead horse but it's actually ludicrous how much worse the clintrials website is now
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just top-notch stuff coming out of the banks these days
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part 3 of $SIVB-related filings $XBI $DNA $EIGR $ONCR $PRAX $SGMO yikes
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Estimated movement for $XBI December binary events from Cowen: $ALLK $ANNX $ARGX $BLU $CELC $KYMR $NBIX $QURE $SNDX
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$AUTL (EP788) EARLY SAFETY AND EFFICACY FINDINGS OF AUTO1 (CAT19), A FAST-OFF RATE CD19 CAR, IN RELAPSED /REFRACTORY INDOLENT B CELL LYMPHOMAS #EHA2021
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$AXSM 'The Company has material cash deposits with both SVB and Citibank.' $SIVB
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$RHHBY SKY-01 OS update per Umer
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$FULC 7/22: CMO leaves, R&D head takes over duties 10/22: R&D head resigns
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brb shorting humanity
@buirachel
Rachel Bui
5 months
I know biotech is high-risk but it is ABSOLUTELY INSANE for traders to be shorting humanity to make a few $. $XBI has been way undervalued and many biotech companies market cap are now under cash equivalent. We need to keep these biotech companies alive so there are knowledge
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Missing from all this $YMTX noise is the fact that they still haven’t defined RP2D nor have they provided firm guidance on a Ph2 start/design Argue all you want about the drug, but this has been a masterclass in abysmal time management
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$IMCR 728O - Results from phase I dose escalation of IMC-F106C, the first PRAME × CD3 ImmTAC bispecific protein in solid tumors #ESMO22
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Justin and Josh taking it on the chin - respect. Sellside begging for a subgroup signal is a tough look.
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$IONS ATS abstract shows 4.5% delta in FEV1 vs. pbo for 100mg at 4 weeks. Pretty meh and expecting tapering of FEV1 at 6 months. Could dose up due to ok safety? Recall: Ph1/2 showed 56% ENaC mRNA reduction at 75mg. $ARWR ARO-ENaC data end of Q2.
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$ONCT Cirmtuzumab and Ibrutinib in MCL/CLL #ASCO21 :
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@CrocsAnalyst
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10 months
we need to limit the yapping on these conference calls - if you can’t describe the data and handle questions in an hour you need to practice more in the mirror, we’ve got other shit to do
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$OLMA San Antonio abstracts released tomorrow AM, so here’s a brief thread on expectations and how to contextualize the data #SABCS21 What does @OlemaOncology OP-1250 need to score in their Ph1 ER+/HER2 in mBC?
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$ADAP Safety and efficacy from the SURPASS trial with ADP-A2M4CD8, a SPEAR T-cell therapy incorporating a CD8α co-receptor and an affinity optimized TCR targeting MAGE-A4 #ESMO21
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#AACR22 $AFMD AFM13-NK combo in r/r CD30+ lymphoma
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$CRIS IRAK4 i n t e n s i f i e s
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Estimated movement for $XBI August binary events: $ALBO $BMRN $DRNA $FIXX $HRTX $MCRB $ODT $REGN $SPRO $TCDA
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Some fan favourites being added to the Russell 3000 tomorrow after market close: $CRIS $MNMD $SESN $TRIL $VINC
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$ONCT TK216 for r/r Ewing sarcoma: Interim Ph1/2 results #ASCO2021 :
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$MIST this was trading <$2 in July 2020 before FDA alignment on new primary & trial design. improved HR (2.62 vs. 1.87) likely from ability to re-dose and clean safety - congrats to Joe, @hasija_amit and team!
@MSollender "This study, together with our recently completed NODE-301 study, which will also now use a 30 minute endpoint, will serve to fulfill the efficacy requirements for a New Drug Application (NDA) for etripamil in PSVT" Wow huge news for $MIST - bullish
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$TAK acquires Nimbus' TYK2 for $4B u/f and milestones
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$REGN LAG3 x PD1 waterfalls in melanoma #ASCO21
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$YMTX odds the Ph1b MAD topline delay coincides with this biomarker presentation at MDS in September?
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GS expecting onc/imm to remain in the spotlight for biotech M&A in 2021. End of decade loss of exclusivity for $BMY (Revlimid 2022; Eliquis 2026; Opdivo 2028), $MRK (Keytruda 2028), and $PFE (Ibrance/Eliquis 2026) likely to drive M&A activity.
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@OptionsHawk
Joe Kunkle
4 years
Nice Goldman piece on Biotech M&A and expecting deals to pick back up
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$NVAX $4-5B in 2022 revs is extremely achievable and realistic with this 3.2M dose order
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$CRSP Ph1 CTX130 (CD70 allo CAR-T) topline of '70% ORR and 30% CR rate' neatly neglects the fact that the mDOR seems to be ~1.9 months #EHA2022
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$OCUL Ph1 nAMD #ARVO2021
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$MORF
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it's the year 2030 and $BEAM still has yet to enter the clinic #trillion
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Estimated movement for $XBI March events: $AMGN $BLUE $FGEN $FREQ $PCRX $SNDX $TRIL $VIR
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LFG
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@CrocsAnalyst
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11 months
$MOR just in case there’s any spin about ‘totality of the data’’, their CEO called $ABBV navitoclax a ‘fail’ on missing TSS50 goodnight
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I’ll pay $20/mo to not have biotech VC cringe on my feed
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$LRMR very clear FDA wants lower doses (note: no clarity on 25/50 mgs from Carole, so I'll take the former) and LRMR will try to dose for longer to make up the difference -- based on these and other data, why is this bullish?
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$INFI if I were mgmt I would have highlighted the UC survival data which clearly show that drug is active, and how that would be used as a registrational endpoint
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$CRDF Onvansertib combo* with FOLFIRI and Bevacizumab swimmer, mPFS, waterfall plots $CYCC unconfirmed PR (as of 9/8/21) still on study Slides:
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@bio_clouseau 'patients first' taking on a whole new meaning
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$LLY CT028 - A first-in-human phase 1 study of LY3537982, a highly selective and potent KRAS G12C inhibitor in patients with KRAS G12C-mutant advanced solid tumors #AACR23 $MRTX $AMGN $RVMD
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$KDNY LFGGGGG NOVARTIS someone check on @muddywatersre
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probably should have used their supercomputer to prioritize a multivitamin instead
@MSollender
Michelle Solly
1 month
$RXRX Recursion Announces Phase 2 Data of REC-994, a First-in-Disease Investigational Treatment for Symptomatic Cerebral Cavernous Malformation "Magnetic resonance imaging-based secondary efficacy endpoints showed a trend towards reduced lesion volume"
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$FULC 1/23: CEO leaves 'to pursue other opportunities' (not jail) 1/23: upsized offering 125mm 2/23: clinical hold presumably kept deal-breaking preclin tox hidden for ~8 months? trust in Windhorst
$FULC 7/22: CMO leaves, R&D head takes over duties 10/22: R&D head resigns
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#AACR22 $BCYC PhI/II BT8009 (Nectin-4) update only shared 5.0 mg urothelial efficacy details and brief slide on other histologies (some 7.5 mg data)
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part 4 of $SIVB-related exposure $XBI >50% of the 124 biotechs here (again, non-exhaustive) have at least some exposure to SVB, with reported amounts conservatively estimated >$325mm in sum expect a deluge of far more interesting PRs/filings tomorrow
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$SESN when the corgi posts, I read
@MSollender
Michelle Solly
3 years
$SESN Probably nothing, but this is a new forward looking statement - perhaps what they were discussing at their late-cycle meeting? h/t @whatprobability They did run a study showing comparability back in Dec 2020, but odd that the language was just added now
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@GooseData Buckle up, in this thread I will post a sellside competitive landscape and pass it off as thought leadership 1/🧵
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@CrocsAnalyst
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11 months
oh yes I love generalists commenting on biotech
@CitronResearch
Citron Research
11 months
$APLS Citron unveils a major investigation—prioritizing public interest over mere valuation. Last Friday, 83% of attendees at American Academy of Ophthalmology found the use of Syfovre as “not acceptable”. We expect a warning label. Beyond the meeting, wait until you see
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can't understate how excited I am for this next wave of shitcos to go public
@eperlste
Ethan Perlstein bio/acc
9 months
#JPM24 just proved that TradBio is a dying breed. The ecosystem is finally becoming a polyculture with emergent and insurgent networks nucleated around DTC, Longevity, DeSci and of course Founder-Led/TechBio. I’m calling the renewed sense of optimism b/acc aka bioacceleration.
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$REGN exercises $ACET option for ADI-002, an allo gamma delta CAR T additional $20M to Adicet
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update those models $ELYM $CGEM
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$MRK $XLRN LUSPATERCEPT VERSUS EPOETIN ALFA FOR TREATMENT (TX) OF ANEMIA IN ESA-NAIVE LOWER-RISK MYELODYSPLASTIC SYNDROMES (LR-MDS) PATIENTS (PTS) REQUIRING RBC TRANSFUSIONS: DATA FROM THE PHASE 3 COMMANDS STUDY #EHA2023 $GERN
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$XBI
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$ALXO ASPEN-01 waterfall & swimmer plots - data looks solid. Slides:
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@semodough
dough
3 years
$ALXO Oncology Announces New Data from ASPEN-01, the Phase 1b--- ORR of 72% Observed in Patients with >2L HER2 Positive Gastric or Gastroesophageal Junction Cancer -- Estimated OS at 12 months of 76% Conference Call on July 6th at 8:30 a.m. ET
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$ALPN takeover interest - bbg
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death, taxes, and our yearly Mirati M&A rumour
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$AXSM has received proposed labeling for AXS-05 in MDD
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