.
@SteveRattner
: "The tax cut, combined with an equally formidable new spending bill, is producing one of the biggest peacetime federal budget deficits. As low as $439 billion in 2015, the fiscal gap is now on track to exceed $1 trillion in 2020."
NEW: The
#budgetdeal
could cost a whopping $1.7 trillion over a decade. This is a hugely irresponsible plan with national debt already rising towards record levels
🚨The Senate is set to vote on the Honoring our PACT Act of 2021;
@USCBO
estimates the bill – without offsets – would increase spending by ~$300 billion over the next decade + make up to $400 billion of discretionary spending mandatory.
A statement from
@MayaMacGuineas
:
The U.S. ran a $215 billion deficit in February, the biggest in six years.
The annual budget deficit could exceed $1 trillion by next year.
Interest payments on US debt alone could quadruple to $1.05 trillion by 2028 if current policies stay in effect.
HAPPENING NOW:
@MayaMacGuineas
will be testifying at
@RandPaul
's Subcommittee on Federal Spending Oversight and Emergency Management hearing to examine the impact of continuing resolutions.
WATCH here:
🚨 NEW 🚨 We estimate all recent student debt cancellation policies will cost a combined $870 billion to $1.4 trillion.
That’s more than all federal spending on higher education over the nation’s entire history.
And it's more than all projected education appropriations over the
The Senate’s version of the tax bill would cost about $1.4 trillion over a decade, and with interest, would be $2.2 trillion of debt over the next decade.
If temporary provisions in the bill were made permanent, the ultimate cost could increase to $1.7 trillion, or $2.1 trillion including interest, and increase debt to 105 percent of GDP by 2027.
"At a moment when we have the highest debt relative to the economy since we came out of World War II and our deficit is projected to hit a trillion dollars in not too long a time we're actually talking about cutting taxes and making the deficit larger."
.
@PeteButtigieg
said that Medicare For All has a multi-trillion dollar hole in it. When we looked at Sanders’ 2016 plan, $14 trillion wasn’t paid for.
#DemDebate
#USBW2020
The deficit will hit $1.05 trn in 2019 and $1.1 trn in 2020 if Congress passes the tax cut legislation it’s currently negotiating, along with disaster relief and other measures meant to avert arbitrary limits on spending established several years ago
🚨The House intends to vote on the latest version of the
#BuildBackBetter
Act this week, despite the fact that the bill has not yet been scored by the
@USCBO
.
The question is: how can Congress even consider passing such a massive bill without knowing its cost?
Thread 🧵
🚨🧂We published a blog about the rumored agreement on 5-year
#SALTcap
repeal. It would cost more than any other piece of
#BuildBackBetter
, and it would give a nearly $400 billion tax cut to the wealthiest 5% of earners.
Read the blog here:
“We should be bringing down the debt and ensuring we have room for stimulus during downturns. Instead we are overheating the economy and selling out the future. It’s shortsighted and foolhardy.”
Rising
#nationaldebt
means paying more for past consumption at the expense of investing in the future. Next year we will spend more on debt interest than on children .
“It is astonishing, it is perplexing, this embracing of debt financing for everything — which is anathema for the fiscal responsibility they spoke of so much for so many years.”
If the Republican approach to tax reform becomes law, the national debt will reach about 99 percent of the Gross Domestic Product — meaning the size of the economy — by 2027.
Under current law the percentage, now 77, would grow to 91 percent in 2027.
💡On this
#EarthDay
, we ask ourselves: how can we help save the planet🌎 and save our budget💰 at the same time? The solution to reducing greenhouse gas emissions and paying for new
#climate
investments (+more!) might just be a
#carbontax
.
Learn more: .
🚨NEW: With the latest $20 billion extension of the student loan repayment pause, the total cost of the pause through the end of this year will amount to $𝟭𝟱𝟱 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻.
These benefits have been highly uneven and extremely regressive ➡️.
🚨 Today, the House Ways and Means Committee is scheduled to mark up two bills expanding Health Savings Accounts (HSAs).
The bills will reduce revenue by a combined $71 billion over FY 2024–2033, $12 billion in 2033 alone.
Unpaid-for tax cuts make little sense in the current
Our brand new analysis shows that trillion-dollar deficits will permanently return next year and national debt will exceed the size of the economy within a decade. See it at
The
#BudgetDeal
is a budget buster. It will add nearly $2 trillion to the national debt over a decade. Debt is already climbing towards levels never seen before as a share of the economy
#Budget2019
cc
@hughhewitt
@Radioblogger
🚨NEW🚨"Build Your Own Child Tax Credit"
📊Our new budgeting model allows YOU to design your own customized CTC policy and estimate its ten-year cost.
Read more and download the model here:
Join the discussion! Share your proposal using
#BuildYourOwnCTC
Rising national debt has been absent from the debates, with 297 questions so far, but none on debt or deficits. But some candidates are speaking on the issue on the campaign trail, like
@amyklobuchar
.
#USBW2020
🇺🇸 Trump and Biden: The National Debt 🇺🇸
The
#nationaldebt
is on course to reach a record share of the economy under the next presidential administration, due in part to policies approved by Presidents Trump and Biden during their time in office.
In new analysis, we find:
➡️
🚨Recent misleading attacks have stated the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) would cut
#Medicare
by $300 billion.
In reality, the IRA would lower
#Medicare
costs, NOT cut benefits – saving the gov't + American families ~$600 billion overall through 2031.
➡️.
NEW: We've just updated our popular
#DebtFixer
interactive budget tool at . It now reflects the latest national debt projections and the recent tax and spending legislation. Be among the first to try to
#fixthedebt
with the new numbers and options.
Tonight's
#DemDebate
had 85 questions. That brings the total to 506 questions with none on the national debt. With debt expected to increase by about $13 trillion over the next decade, it's an issue that can't be ignored.
In our summary, we find the House bill includes about $2.4 trillion of new spending and tax cuts. It would be offset by roughly $2.2 trillion of tax increases and other savings, resulting in a net deficit impact of $200 billion.
Read more here➡️
🚨BREAKING🚨 The Inflation Reduction Act appears to include ~$790 billion of offsets to fund ~$485 billion of new spending & tax breaks – and unlike previous versions, would 𝙧𝙚𝙙𝙪𝙘𝙚 deficits by more than $300 billion over a decade.
Read the summary ➡️
"Senator Manchin especially deserves credit and praise for steering this legislation from a budget-busting monstrosity to this fiscally responsible and economically important package."
NEW: Student loan forgiveness is a poor form of stimulus, providing a small boost to the economy relative to its cost. See how it compares to major provisions of the CARES Act and more in our latest .
The House of Representatives will vote today on increasing stimulus checks to $2,000 per person. We have estimates on the cost as well as economic impact. See how average income and output would be affected as well as the deficit
🚨 NEW DEBT MILESTONE: The gross
#nationaldebt
of the United States reached $35 trillion last Friday, seven months after the previous milestone reached at the end of last year, according to
@USTreasury
.
The following is a statement from
@MayaMacGuineas
: .
Did we need tax reform? Absolutely.
Did we need to do it by borrowing $1.5 trillion and leaving almost all the existing tax breaks in place? We most certainly did not.
Ultimately, the Senate tax plan could add $2.2 trillion to the debt.
As a result, trillion-dollar deficits would return by 2020 and debt would exceed the size of the economy in just over a decade.
🚨 NEW REPORT 🚨 How has America's fiscal situation deteriorated so badly since a budget surplus in 2001?
In our new analysis, we looked at this in two ways:
➡️ By estimating the impact of significant policy changes since 2001;
➡️ By comparing spending and revenue levels as a
BRAND NEW: A combination of tax cuts, sequester relief, and other changes would increase deficits to $1.05 trillion by 2019 and $1.1 trillion by 2020 ->
👉 A helpful reminder that SALT cap relief is costly, regressive, and poor tax policy, whether through full repeal or by attempts to make it "revenue neutral" or "progressive."
We've published a long list of analyses on this and on various SALT proposals:
THE VAULT: Mike Johnson's call with N.Y. Rs comes as House GOP leadership is on the clock to decide the fate of the bill extending business tax breaks and expanding the child tax credit.
Incorporating debt-financed tax cuts that are made permanent, Congress may ultimately add up to $4.1 trillion to the deficit over a decade, and trillion-dollar deficits could return as soon as next fiscal year ->
We now are facing trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see — a terrible path, made even worse by the fact that this comes amidst a strong economy and is the self-inflicted result of irresponsible policy choices.
NEW ANALYSIS:
JCT’s final analysis of the tax bill shows that growth would only increase by an average of 0.01 to 0.02 percentage points over the next decade as a result.
The cost of it, with this growth included, is nearly $1.1 trillion.
🚨BREAKING: We published a blog about how the latest
#BuildBackBetter
SALT cap proposal would give $300 BILLION to mostly wealthy households. This cap is still very expensive and regressive (80% of benefits to those making >$200K).
Read it here:
🚨 NEW: The pandemic-era Employee Retention Tax Credit (ERC) was designed to help businesses retain workers during the pandemic. But after low initial uptake during the pandemic itself, employers have been applying for the credit in droves – some fraudulently so.
While original
🚨 NEW: Extending the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) in full would cost $3.3 trillion through 2033 ($3.8 trillion w/ interest) – boosting debt by 10% of GDP over current law.
➡️Lawmakers should not extend any parts of the TCJA without enough offsets to ensure they reduce – or
🚨BREAKING🚨 We published a new paper outlining illustrative $1.5 trillion & $2.3 trillion packages to
#BuildBackBetter
🏗️for Less. Our packages help frame the discussion & offer policymakers options & possibilities to responsibly Build Back Better.
Where is the $2.3 trillion in assistance from the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act coming from and where is it going? Our new infographic clearly visualizes it for you
We are excited to launch our interactive
#COVIDMoneyTracker
tool today. It has lots of info for wonks and the casual observer on how much is being spent on
#COVID19
relief and where the money is going. Check it out and share .
"When we had trillion-dollar deficits the last time, it was the result of one of the worst economic downturns we’ve seen in history. This will be completely self-inflicted."
This is not a good time to be adding to the nation’s debt burden.
We're already on track to raise debt from an already high 77% of GDP to a sky-high 91%.
We’re in a deep hole, and the Republican plan would dig it deeper.
PAYGO law requires legislation that adds to the federal deficit be paid for with spending cuts or other offsets.
If that doesn't happen, cuts to programs like Medicare kick in.
The Medicare cuts could reach almost 1/2 trillion dollars over 10 years.
🚨 White House spokesperson Andrew Bates today described commissions to save the
#SocialSecurity
and
#Medicare
programs from insolvency as a “death panel for Medicare and Social Security.”
The following is a statement from CRFB President
@MayaMacGuineas
:
Annual budget deficits are projected to exceed the trillion-dollar mark next year and rise to $1.4 trillion, or 4.5 percent of GDP, by the end of the decade. See more on the new budget outlook
🇺🇸
#USBW2024
Analysis: Do We Spend More On Interest Than Defense?
The claim: During a recent town hall, former United Nations Ambassador and current Presidential candidate
@NikkiHaley
claimed, “for the first time we're paying more in interest payments than we are on our defense
3️⃣ In fact, although only 7% of borrowers have over $100,000 of debt, their debt accounts for almost 𝟰𝟬% of the amount outstanding in the loan portfolio. Those with over $200,000 of debt account for 2% of borrowers and 17% of the amount outstanding.
This should pique the interest of true fiscal conservatives: The
#BudgetDeal
is so bad that the paltry offsets don't even cover the additional interest on the national debt it will create cc
@BillKristol
📊 What's more important than focusing on fiscal responsibility? Actually 𝘢𝘤𝘩𝘪𝘦𝘷𝘪𝘯𝘨 it.
Balancing the budget in just ten years would require a 𝟮𝟲% cut across the board, or as much as 𝟴𝟱% excluding certain defense/entitlement spending: .
🧵⤵️
🚨BREAKING🚨 SALT Cap Repeal Below $500k Still Costly and Regressive
We published a new blog focusing on a rumored SALT cap🧂 relief deal for those making <$500k per year.
Read the blog here:
🚨NEW ANALYSIS🚨 Today,
@USCBO
released its June 2023 Long-Term Budget Outlook, projecting that the
#nationaldebt
is on an unsustainable long-term path.
Our full analysis explains that:
➤Debt will grow rapidly as a share of the economy,
➤Deficits will explode,
➤Spending will