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2 Gray Beards

@2GrayBeards

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Macroeconomic Research Firm focused on investors with portfolios of high-six to high-seven figures. Run by @nickgiva1 & @dampedspring Every Saturday before 3PM

Joined December 2022
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Hey, everyone @nickgiva and I @dampedspring are 2 Gray Beards. Our goal is to equip end investors to have better conversations with their financial advisors. Give us 20 minutes per week and you will be on your way. Visit for details.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
5 months
Nearly 15 months ago we started our real money account, which never trades without due warning and prior discussed reasoning. All broker statements are always provided every week. Performance is nice and steady, with a maximum drawdown of 1.92%. The account is always unlevered.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
@INArteCarloDoss has a great list of the reasons to be in cash. But the big kahuna which ties them all together is missing. Bond Term Premium is negative. All four need to go higher or the economy will continue to surprise on the upside. We think all four will go higher.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Looking to learn more about Treasury Buybacks? Here is an Explainer from @dampedspring
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
10 months
Risk/Reward and the 2 Gray Beards Portfolio an Explainer
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Episode 2 of Two Gray Beards is live on YouTube here. Please leave any suggestions you may have here or in the comments.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
What is About? Its 20 Minutes a week to help you have better conversations with your financial advisor. We manage a real life portfolio and make moves in our long only asset allocation. Here's what members have seen each week. Brief thread. Stocks:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
Our real money $1m account will start in September. What will the difference be Vs the current account? A few more macro options plays, some extra diversification into alternative assets and individual equities (when appropriate) and quite possibly some leverage when we feel it
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
All our orders from Saturday's episode were filled at our limit levels, apart from SHY. We bought USFR with proceeds, as advised. We wish you all a lovely Thanksgiving holiday. Back with you next Saturday or earlier by email, if necessary.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
Clients if you are interested in learning how to buy Cash Bonds on Interactive Brokers you can find that information here:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
@INArteCarloDoss So how about unblocking me?
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Episode 17 of Two Gray Beards with @BobEUnlimited is now live and can be found here: Episode 13 is now available to the public and can be found here:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
How we are progressing...nice and steady. You can leverage this...
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
The QRA was exactly as we expected in terms of coupons issuance and we need to make no further asset allocation changes. We will rethink after FOMC today and send out an email update if necessary.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
What's going on with United States Banks? Andy Explains
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
8 months
Set a reminder for my upcoming Space!
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
29 days
Portfolio performance update, week 29th July to August 2nd. Our defense has been pretty good.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
15 days
We continue to deliver on our account mandate: low volatility returns above risk free rate, via infrequent changes in allocation between risk assets, while maintaining broad diversification and not employing any leverage at all.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
Our weekly performance numbers are updated every Saturday. We never change our allocations without due warning via email or standing limit orders discussed beforehand. Subscribers can download our live broker statements anytime.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
11 months
Week 39 is now live for clients: โ€ฆ Week 35 is live for everyone here: Youtube: Website w/ Supplementals:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
We sold our $TLT and $IEF at much better levels than indicated in Saturday's video. Vast over-reaction by the market, we think.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
10 months
Week 45 is live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Episode Four is now live here for Members: Find out what we think about the possibility of a Government Shutdown and how it will affect the Market.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Unsure what to do with the cash you have sitting on the sidelines? Don't want to take too much risk? In this video, Nick explains a useful way to invest uninvested cash.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 days
Our weekly performance keeps on delivering on all our account mandates for the 2GB Original program.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
11 months
Week 43 is now live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
11 months
Episode 40 is now live for Clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
Research files are now downloadable. Just right click on any file and the option appears.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
3 months
Week 75 is now live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
The irony is truly amazing
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
8 months
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
Nothing much to say or do on this FOMC statement. Happy as we are. If any changes, can only happen after NFP now. As always, we will send email if needed.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
Week 48 is now live for clients
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 days
Next week we start the 2GB Squared program, with the rules and objectives stated below. 2GB Squared will be slightly more ambitious than the Original program. It's a $1m real money program. See for more information.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
We like gold and owned it from inception. But since the price spike we took profits and used the proceeds to buy more TIP which we think offers a higher real yield. Details on our website. We augment your understanding so you can have better convos with your financial advisor
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
Week 79 is live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
Week 49 is now live for clients!
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
Week 50 is live for clients... A summation of this week's FOMC meeting.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
Week 77 is now live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Episode 2 is live on our website!
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
The SHY order was filled as well, so all orders from the last Episode have been filled. We now have a decent cash level to invest, which we will discuss in the next Episode, this Saturday.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
@nickgiva1 call on $DIA was ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ. Stock replacement on the rest of the equity portfolio has also been the trade to have. Still don't like US nominal bonds. Next episode released Saturday join at
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
9 months
No Episode this week. We are on Holiday. See you next week.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 month
Week 81 is now live for clients: Week 73 is now available for all:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
8 months
The objectives of 2GB and how we manage the AUM. We will discuss this in the Spaces.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Week 33 is now live for all members and can be found here:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
17 days
The site has been updated to give you details of the 2GB Squared account, which will start 31st August. Please do not subscribe yet, as there will be nothing posted there for members until that date. Next week we will post a video on how to quickly and
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
Week 59 is now live: Week 60 will be released next Sunday instead of next Saturday.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
CPI update has been sent out to clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
Week 69 - QRA Preview is now live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
10 months
Would the Subscribers find an explainer on the option Greeks useful (delta, gamma, rho, etc...)? If, so please vote and I will do one this weekend, if I have time. Or soon, in any case.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 month
Portfolio performance update, week 15th to 19th July.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
6 months
Week 61 is now live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
8 months
We are looking forward to hosting you on Friday at 4:05pm EST. We will record the AMA and post it on the website. If you will be unable to attend but would like to pose any questions, you can just DM us here or even reply to this tweet.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
We have had a zero allocation to nominal bonds for a while. Prices have fallen dramatically. It will be interesting what we do about that in tomorrows episode. But it's not clear that bonds offer value yet. @dampedspring @nickgiva1
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
We've been underinvested in bonds and heavy in cash& short term bonds. We did buy our favorite long duration asset. $VWOB which not only hasn't fallen it pays a high yield. We caught the absolute bottom and did buy long duration assets. But at current levels own only VWOB Gold:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
It's that time of the week again, Episode 10 is now live on our Website for Members and Episode 6 is now live on our YouTube Channel.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
We have executed all orders from Saturday's episode.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
10 months
Orders from this weekend's video have been filled.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Episode 16 is live for all members Episode 11 is live for the public
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
All of the content for week 32 is now live for members
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
11 months
Here is a note on the war that is unfolding for our clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
1/31 QRA Portfolio Update for Clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
5 months
Week 67 is now live for clients. Please find the contents here:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
7 months
We succeeded in selling the July top and going to minimum equity allocation. Then buying the bottom on Halloween and going heavy long. We then got back to core allocation on the initial rip. Twice we also sold our stocks and bought 1.5x in calls to take our risk down. Bonds:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
10 months
Clients, we have just emailed a portfolio update, otherwise it can be found here.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
Our portfolio has been updated based off of yesterday's email:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
6 months
We filled all our orders from this week's episode on the open and only sold the USFR necessary to cover the cash outlay.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 months
Week 80 is now live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
23 days
Week 84 is now live for clients: Week 76 and all its contents are now public:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
6 months
Midweek Update for Clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Episode 11 is live for members:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
8 months
Week 51 is now live! Clients please find this weeks contents here:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Episode 15 is now Live for Members here:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
8 months
Week 54 is now live for Clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
30 days
Week 83 is now live for all Members: Week 75 and all supporting documents are now live for Anyone:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Quite the Episode for today. I will aim to get it out by 3, however, the video may be a couple hours behind.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Episode 5 is now live on our site for members. There will be an additional Episode this week coming out Wednesday night after the Fed meeting.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
5 months
Week 64 is live for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
16 days
Week 85 is now live for clients: Week 77 is now live on YouTube:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
Email Update for clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
11 months
Week 41 is now live for all clients:
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Here is a video from Andy explaining our goals and explaining how to have better financial conversations moving forward.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
1 year
Week 24 is Live for all Members please find the link in your Email. Week 20 is now live on YouTube.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
2 years
Episode 9 is now live on our site for Members. If you are not a member you can now watch Episode 5 on YouTube.
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@2GrayBeards
2 Gray Beards
4 months
We have filled all the orders from Saturday's episode and bought USFR with proceeds. Email update will follow Wednesday's data release, before market open.
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