NLHE Cash poker player and coach with over 500k winnings playing online over the last 4 yrs. For coaching enquiries or for my free EV Newsletter: DM me
How to crush online poker
Using everything I’ve learned while playing and coaching for thousands of hours and millions of hands
This is a much longer thread than I usually post, but the topic is too vast to short form.
It's aimed at those at the earlier stages of their
@CrownUpGuy
@CrownUpGuy
Do you have any comment on the recent
@mobiuspoker
post on GG rake?
The health and security of the ecosystem is not being threatened by the players having data.
It's being threatened by the fact only 0.001% of the playerpool can beat the rake over large sample
Hard truth time:
Poker is not a “forever Career”
If I could have my time again as a poker player I would spend more time/effort searching for soft games and less time battling the strongest lineups at the stakes I was playing.
When you’re young, the competition is half the
Do your friends and family roll their eyes when you talk crypto?
Do you find they struggle to understand the value we KNOW is here?
It could be how you're saying it
A short🧵⬇️on how to onboard normies into crypto WITHOUT turning them off
1/12
The poker world is unprofessional and unorganised
That means there is edge to be found there, and LOTS OF IT
Start with building a routine
The vast majority of the poker world does not have one.
You are a performer, if you want to perform at your best you MUST create the
NITS ARE STILL STEALING YOUR EV
Did you know:
If you lock a solver to fold too much vs overbets on the river, the counter is to size down with value and size up with bluffs?
This is a powerful tool vs the nit
Try loading your b70 with slim value and overbet more with bluffs
CONTROVERSIAL TAKE
Blockers and combo counting sucks
Thresholds are FAR more important
EG:
You're facing a river bet
A chunk of your range is at indifference at equilibrium, but if they underbluff by just 2%, now ALL mixes fold
Figure out if they bluff the spot enough first
Building a community is one of the most important strategic decisions you can make as a
#poker
player
Having a small network of like minded players who you can study with, share emotional stress with and look up to is basically a non negotiable
I don't know anyone who made it
Playing a decent strategy but still not winning much?
You're probably making blunders on rivers.
Given flops are simplified and turns are intuitive/equity driven for newer players, rivers are where the big mistakes can happen, and this can destroy a players win rate.
The pot
Everyone is lying to you about preflop being “standard”
There is so much money to be won on this street.
Pool is making decent sized mistakes in many simple spots, so we have lots of room to make extra money
Even some of the best players in your games will be leaking pre
Tired of going 5 ways to a flop in soft games?
Controversial take, but sometimes limping is a VERY important tool in your arsenal to combat this.
Your sole objective in a soft game is to try and play a weaker player in a heads up pot. If you're going 5 handed each time you
The best online poker exploit nobody is talking about
Ok, I kinda stole that from Saulo.
But here it is anyway:
TIMING TELLS.
Villain snap 3bets you? Much more likely to be a stronger range. Fold more
Villain takes 8 seconds then 3bets you?
Much more likely to be a weaker
STOP folding rivers vs recreationals
Contrary to popular belief you should NOT be folding rivers vs recs
Millions of hands of data have shown they bluff too much, unless they bet very large. Then you can fold your bluff catchers
Otherwise you gotta close your eyes and call
Stop wasting your time
If you're studying multiple sizes on every street, you're lost down a rabbit hole.
Use one size each street, until the river where you can get away with 2.
Or if you're elite level, then 3.
Playing a simple strategy well is FAR superior than trying to
Playing in soft games and want widen your ranges without giving up to much?
Open the button wider and 3bet the button wider and play normal ranges pretty much everywhere else.
This way you widen ranges in the HIGHEST EV lines and that’s it.
12/12
Remember
All we have to do is walk them through the door
When they realise the potential of crypto and the Terra ecosystem they will take care of themselves from there
UST is the way to do this
Do you guys agree?
@Cephii1
@danku_r
@wolf_of_defi
@rebel_defi
@Shigeo808
@CryptoHarry_
Was the market expecting more short term price correlation with the shrinking supply, and because we've had a consolidation period instead,
#LUNA
isn't getting the attention it deserves?
Are we coiling like a spring, ready to repeat end of 2021?
STOP folding rivers vs recreationals
Contrary to popular belief you should NOT be folding rivers vs recs
Millions of hands of data have shown they bluff too much, unless they bet very large
Then you can fold your bluff catchers
Otherwise you gotta close your eyes and call
The major difference between Live Poker and Online Poker
In the world of online poker, 80% of pots go heads up. Thats where all the money is won.
In the live poker streets, 80% of pots go multiway. Thats where all the money is won.
It's a very different game.
HINT for
@DougPolkVids
Given that 80% of a regular’s win rate comes vs recreational players, seems like working out how to exploit those players for max is quite important.
All the biggest winners at every stake are exploiting their opponents at every node where there are pool imbalances (still lots)
@ThePokerBaffer
I totally accept the sentiment, but having mapped mass data on pools from 50NL -2kNL, every year for 4 years, the pool is playing better by a few % each year, so the data disagrees with you
Feel like we're at a watershed moment in the poker world right now
AI is developing faster than anyone could have predicted, and given the technological curve its really no wonder we have an existential threat from bots/ cheating in online poker.
If sites don't get their act
Tired of a tanking red line?
Be careful calling too wide v turn overbet
V an overbet on the turn, you are going to have to fold some top pairs (no redraw/ blocking bluffs)
Pool cbets turn in this node too strong and equity driven so overfolding is actually correct
High level poker is an art form.
You get good at poker when you learn how to exploit someone whos deviating from theory.
You become an artist when you can do it without them realising.
Hard fact time
The more you learn about Poker, the more you realise how little you know
The more you learn about Poker Twitter, the more you realise how little everyone knows
Are you tired of being stuck at the stake your playing?
I’ve put together a one page newsletter PACKED with EV golden nuggets you can apply to your game, straight away.
All of these spots are worth HEAPS. Just DM me and I’ll fire it over to you
STOP bluffing rivers when there is an Ace on the flop
One of the few places regs actually defend enough.
You want to be bluffing rivers at every opportunity, but this texture is an exception.
Guess nobody likes folding Ax afterall
Start taking your poker career seriously.
If you're not using a GTO trainer you are lagging behind.
Unless you have played over 2 million hands of poker.
And then you should absolutely be using a trainer.
Remember, you can learn how to exploit on there too.
Poker can feel like trying to navigate a maze with only half a map
Most careers have a clear path to improvement with the correct work ethic, as reliable feedback loops help you improve
In
#poker
, this feedback loop is heavily distorted through variance
Which makes it VERY
Stop using 2.5x as your open raise size in online poker
Did you know that the vast, vast majority of players right up to high stakes are making mistakes in their BB defence v different sizes?
Think how you play facing min raise or 3x
So what do we do?
Choose a
@ChancesCards
I feel like this only answers one of half the problem in front a player:
Intuition for pool tendencies you can only get with reps at the tables.
Intuition for theory and GTO thresholds are far easier to train with a GTO trainer
I think you need both in the present day
One of the biggest mistakes I see from new students who realise how much EV is available by exploiting pool (usually through aggression) is over doing it.
That EV is available in a vacuum
BUT
This burns the exploit and gets you tagged by your pool.
Now that future EV is gone.
Even midstakes regs are under 3betting the BB v all positions by a few %
What should we do?
Under defend vs their 3bets!
Suited connectors/ lowest pocket pairs that are breakeven at equilibrium or winning slightly?
They go negative In a vacuum,you can fold most of them
Tired of a tanking red line?
FIRE MORE RIVERS
Especially in delay lines
Pool over folds significantly right up to high stakes here
You can usually take any theory mix and fire it pure, but in delay lines you can even go further than that
Quick, before pool plugs the leak
PREFLOP HINT
One of the biggest surprises during my MDA journey was realising how badly regs played preflop and how sensitive the equilibriums are
At 200NL or < regs under 3b the BB by 3-4% and over fold to all sizes by a few %
What happens to our BTN open range? It
Been thinking about coaching but didn't want to pay the hourly?
Enjoyed my content but not known how to engage?
This might be for you.
There are two slots currently left in my coaching schedule.
I've had a number of players reach out to engage but found the hourly too
STUCK AT LOW STAKES?
I'm going to post 5 reasons (1 per day) you're not moving up, and easy to implement upgrades to help you fix these leaks and take your game to the next level.
LEAK 1:
Overfolding
Perhaps the single most common leak I see when I first take on a student is
Ready to hear a hard poker truth?
If you don’t have a system to fall back on, you leave yourself WIDE open to preexisting bias that you have close to zero awareness of
If you're risk averse, you will fold more
Whether you like it or not
PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENT:
NITS are stealing your EV
Pool overfolds in almost every river node.
In delay lines, the overfold is huge.
What does this mean?
It means that your value hands are not making the EV that they should at equilibrium.
That EV is going straight to
Tired of a tanking red line?
I’ll be posting a number of easy to implement adjustments you can use immediately
First one:
FIRE MORE RIVERS.
Especially in delay lines
Pool over folds significantly right up to high stakes here.
You can usually take any theory mix and
Humans are fundimentally risk averse creatures. It's how we evolved to avoid danger
Playing a game with a small edge with significant losing periods requires you train that muscle to become more comfortable with losing, so that you can play more and win more
Few understand this
4/12
In the world of sales, there is a principle that remains as old as time. Create or establish a “pain point” or “need”
Then wrap a solution around that
Add value to a person’s situation in a tangible and monetary way, then it becomes less about selling and more about...
2/12
Whenever I used to talk
#CYPTO
and
#LUNA
with normies, I would always find myself frustrated with their unwillingness to see the opportunity
Then I realised… this was actually down to me
Communication is the key
Tired of a tanking red line?
Be careful calling too wide v turn overbet
V an overbet on the turn, you are going to have to fold some top pairs (no redraw/ blocking bluffs)
Pool cbets turn in this node too strong and equity driven, so overfolding is actually correct
@slickricpoker
Hey man, small but important point: attempting to remain emotionless (contrary to popular belief) actually doesn’t help you (especially long term)
@jasonbsu
can explain this better than me, but I believe it is rooted in the idea of becoming comfortable feeling that fear. When
The easiest way to make more money in poker?
Get better at exploiting recreationals.
80% of your EV comes from these players.
Learn how to get better at maximising that EV.
The rest of the industry doesn't seem that interested in working on it.
There's a lesson there.
Studying poker and not breaking out?
Ask yourself this question:
What are the most important spots in the game tree to study?
Don't know the answer?
Figure it out before you carry on studying
@PuntingStacks
Villain calls LJ so likely recreational (unless BB is whale and he develops flatting range)
Recreationals raise too much on this node and v this size (MDA, with bluffs and merged) so fast playing is always going to be higher EV. Jam flop v raise (even with Ah)
As played, a very
@AlecTorelli
The difficulty here (and in poker generally) is that unconscious bias (and in relation to poker statistical bias) is exactly that, unconscious. So those who are stuck in the vicious cycle are under the impression they are reacting, when in fact they’re not
@LandonTice
Resilience and tenacity also?
It’s one the thing my students who have been successful have in common, more than intellect (although a base level is obv required)
But honestly this guy is engagement farming with controversial takes every day that wind up pros and entice recs
Using a well oiled strategy but not winning much?
You're either:
- Punting rivers
or
- Not exploiting recs enough
For rivers, try:
Running common spots on wiz every day, learn pool trends in those nodes
Vs fish, try:
Hard exploits and dynamic ranges. They dont adjust!
PREFLOP HINT
Even midstakes regs are under 3betting the BB v all positions by a few %
What does this mean?
Under defend vs their 3bets!
Suited connectors/ low pocket pairs that are breakeven at equil or winning slightly?
They go negative
In a vacuum, you can fold them all
Stop using standard open raise sizes
Did you know that the vast majority of players right up to high stakes are making mistakes in their BB defence v diff sizes?
Think how you play facing min raise or 3x
Zero brain power needed from you, lots from your opponent
Free $