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Ryan Venancio Profile
Ryan Venancio

@ven_armbarn

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Fantasy baseball and drumming Pod @inthecutfantasy

New Jersey, USA
Joined April 2018
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
Julio Urias IP by year: 2013: 54 2014: 87 2015: 80 2016: 122 2017: 54 2018: 15 2019: 81 I'm not sure what's crazier, those innings or the fact he has been a professional for 7 years.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
MJ Melendez: 18% chase rate 96% in zone contact 92 mph avg ev Hit 41 homers in the minors last year. Only on the horrifically ran Royals would he not be playing every single day.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Mookie Betts age 21 season: 5 HR 7 SB 213 PA 14.6% K 10% BB 110 max ev 4.8% barrel 37% hard hit Wander Franco age 21 season: 6 HR 8 SB 344 PA 9.6% K 7.6% BB 112 max 4.6% barrel 37% hard hit
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
Comparing the skills of Freddie Freeman to Vinnie P: Freeman: max ev - 112.3 barrel rate/pa - 8.1 hard hit - 47% K/BB - 16.3% / 10.6% pull - 32% Pasquantino: max ev - 112.7 barrel rate/pa - 9.6 hard hit - 60% (expect regression) K/BB - 16.9% / 10.8% pull - 39.7%
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
6 months
Dude is going to be a superstar and people faded him bc of his wRC+ in his age 22 season.
@MLBHRVideos
MLB HR Videos
6 months
CJ Abrams - Washington Nationals (4)
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
4 months
Luis Gil might be the biggest sell high of all time. 41% zone%, no better than when he was a 5-6 BB/9 kind of pitcher 12% swinging strike, will not result in a 31% k moving forward. Career high in innings is barely over 100. Cash in now.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
1 year
Witt is on pace to be roughly a 4 win player in his age 23 season. A plus defender at short, best speed in MLB, a 114 max ev with an 18% k rate. And we're comparing him to Eric fucking Hosmer bc he doesn't take walks 700 PA into his career. Gtfoh.
@royalsreview
Royals Review
1 year
Bobby Witt Jr. has looked like the second coming of Eric Hosmer, which is not ideal
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
I really still can't get over the fact that the Cardinals have Alec Burleson, Juan Yepez and Nolan Gorman all murdering baseballs in Triple-A. And they are just like .. nah we need the savior, a 42-year old Albert Pujols and ... Corey Dickerson?
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
Dansby Swanson vs Gleyber Torres Barrel% Swanson 10.1 Torres 10.1 K/BB Swanson 22.8 K/ 9.4 BB Torres 21.4 K/ 7.9 BB Hard Hit% Swanson 41.6 Torres 35.8 Fly Ball + Line Drive% Swanson 57.8 Torres 54.3 Dansby Swanson is very good.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Wander Franco during his 24-game on base streak: .312/.385/.538 11.5% K / 8.7% BB 3 HR / 8 2B / 2 3B 23 RS / 19 RBI He is 20 years old.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
10 bold takes for 2023 1. Hunter Greene wins NL Cy Young 2. Oneil Cruz hits 38 home runs with 20 stolen bases .250 batting average 3. Will Benson plays everyday and goes 20/20 4. MJ Melendez finishes as the #1 catcher hits 30 home runs.
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Its INSANE to me that Bo Bichette hit 26 HR with 24 SB (caught once). Scored 115 runs with 99 RBI and hit .290. And people are like.. yeah but im fading him in the first two rounds next year... He's 23 years old and plays in a top lineup. I am confused.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
6 months
Biggest joke of an organization. Walker has had an increase in barrel rate and average ev while increasing his contact rates and lowering his chase. While dramatically improving his defense. Wonder why all these hitters go nuts when they leave the Cardinals? Makes sense now.
@katiejwoo
Katie Woo
6 months
Jordan Walker has been optioned to Triple-A Memphis. More to come asap.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
1 year
Bobby Witt on pace for 27 home runs and 45 stolen bases. What a bad first round pick. I cant believe he was being taken that high!
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Fantasy baseball twitter is slowlyyy moving over to football. Hold your damn horses!!! There's still an entire month left!!!
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
6 months
Without watching Jose Soriano you're going to say, he walks too many guys. He can't possibly be a starter. Watch him pitch. Hitters cannot touch him. It's just Ks, walks and ground balls for 5 innings. Perfect "5 and dive" guy in 2024.
@PitchingNinja
Rob Friedman
6 months
José Soriano is nasty.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
1 year
If someone is telling you to sell high on Elly De La Cruz. They are of no use to you, should unfollow them immediately.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Some notable veterans lowered their K% after the substance crackdown. (1st half - 2nd half) Kyle Schwarber: 29% - 23.2% Jorge Soler: 28% - 18% Brandon Lowe: 32.2% - 21% Mike Zunino: 39.2% - 30.1% Javier Baez: 36.4% - 29.9% Brandon Belt: 32.3% - 21.1%
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
Esteury Ruiz is 46-54 in stolen base attempts this year and currently slugging .800 in AAA...
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Joey Votto ranks among 1Bs in 2021: Walk rate: 14% - 1st Barrel rate: 17.2% - 2nd Hard hit rate: 55.2% - 3rd HR: 36 - T-4th RBI: 99 - T-4th ADP: 151 (14th 1B) Makes zero sense.
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Ryan Venancio
9 months
First it was Bobby Witt, then Gunner, then Wander Franco.. this year, it's Elly de la Cruz. Projected for 17 hr / 36 steals in 563 PA. That would be his stat line if he pulls a hammy and has zero growth as a 22 year old.
@DerekCarty
Derek Carty
9 months
Ladies and gentleman, I present to you the most overvalued player in fantasy baseball... ELLY DE LA CRUZ! 🤯🤯🤯 ADP: 21st Highest Drafted: 11th THE BAT X Rank: 79th You may now fetch your pitchforks and commence telling me how stupid I am.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
4 years
I honestly hope Dinelson Lamet has a 2.70 era with 200 ks and shoves it up everyones ass.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Players I'm trying to acquire/pick up right now: Gleyber Torres Jo Adell Gerrit Cole David Peralta Abraham Toro Luis Arraez
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Going to record my first pod today. Mostly talk about statistics and how to apply them to fantasy baseball. What to use/what not to use. Maybe dive into a few players and early ADP. Gonna hit record when this caffeine kicks in. I dont even know what to call it, wish me luck 😂
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Matt Brash is going to strike out 13 batters today
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
WAR is a useful stat, no doubt. But with Ohtani I just think we need to keep it simple. .275 average 34 homers 11 steals .887 OPS as a hitter 161 IP 2.35 ERA 213 K as a pitcher. Best baseball player ever. It's not even debatable.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Here is a late Christmas gift: Jarren Duran, ADP 390. - 16 of 68 batted balls 100+ MPH in Majors - 98th percentile sprint speed, 16-19 on stolen base attempts in AAA. - Zero competition in left field, the job is his to lose. Don't be scared off by the poor 100 PA.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Huge blockbuster in a dynasty league. I took over a bad team and looking to rebuild. I dealt Juan Soto, Luis Urias and Ryan Mountcastle for: Francisco Alvarez, Nolan Gorman, Jordan Walker, Vinnie Pasquantino, Brett Baty, Jasson Dominguez, Bobby Miller, Trevor Rogers Thoughts?
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
While im on tour and have some time to kill, ill do a little bold prediction thread (10): 1. Andrew Heaney recieves Cy Young votes, goes 170 ip 195 k 3.27 era and 15 wins 2. Ha-Seong Kim is a reserve in the All Star game. Hits .270 with 24 homers 20 steals and stellar defense
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
7 months
Victor Scott is about nine million times better at baseball than Esteury Ruiz. Bookmark your face off. We'll revisit this two years from now and laugh that it was even a comparison.
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Ryan Venancio
7 months
I know Victor Scott is going to go for a ton of money. But if it took 3 outfielders in order for him to play.. why would he not get sent down once 1-3 of them were back? I'll likely have none and spend money elsewhere 🤷‍♂️
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Last 31 games for Paul Goldschmidt: .403/.474/.857 (264 wRC+) 14 HR 31 RS 42 RBI 0 steals though, what a bum.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Because of the pandemic my band and I have only played one gig in the last 3 years. Starting tonight, we play 4 shows in 5 days all over the country. Plus Opening Day is tomorrow?! I couldnt be happier.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Remember when you pass on Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton, they both drastically changed their workouts regimens going into 2021. Judge went on to play 148 games. Stanton played 139 games. These are the things you need to follow in the off-season.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
A 2.67 ERA pitcher with 200 ks can't come in 2nd in ROTY, I'm sorry.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
I had a dream last night that Pasquantino got called up. Thats how sad my life is.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
7 months
The comments/quote tweets to this are very puzzling. People think he's good?
@MLBDeadlineNews
MLB Deadline News
7 months
The #Athletics have optioned OF Esteury Ruiz to AAA, per a team announcement.
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Ryan Venancio
7 months
Lots of Gavin Stone, Zack Littell, Brett Baty and Brock Stewart. Let's ride. Don't understand the AJ Puk, Jackson Merrill and Ceddanne Rafaela prices for the life of me 🤷‍♂️
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Holy shit....
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
1 year
Teams with Jacob deGrom and Carlos Rodon on them: "You can't take that much risk early on." Teams with Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander on them: "You can't take pitchers that are so old.: Teams with Robbie Ray, McKenzie and Woodruff: "You just got unlucky bro, it happens."
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 months
Me finding out who Livvy Dunne was today
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
This is not Urias slander btw. Its just A. Reminder how volatile pitching prospects are B. Could not believe this is his 8th season as a pro.
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Ryan Venancio
5 years
@JeffPassan Just play in empty stadiums.. way better than no 2020 season.
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
Surely Esteury Ruiz is slowing down by now. Last 16 games: 14 stolen bases 1 HR, 3 2B 17% K 10% BB .318/.444/.409 (131 wRC+) Once the Nomar Mazara experiment is over, I could see Ruiz getting the call and being their everyday right fielder.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
7 months
Byron Buxton has back tightness and everyone is acting like he's out for 2 months
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Early shortstop ranking for 2022 season: 1. Trea Turner 2. Bo Bichette 3. Fernando Tatis Jr. 4. Francisco Lindor 5. Trevor Story 6. Marcus Semien 7. Javier Baez 8. Bobby Witt Jr. 9. Xander Bogaerts 10. Willy Adames
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Adell has 3 homers in 4 games at AAA. What does this do for him? Absolutely nothing.
@SaltLakeBees
Salt Lake Bees
2 years
Jo Adell gets all of that one and hits it - *checks notes* - 460 FEET?! 😲
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
@mattlew25 @FieldYates Clowney has missed 3 games the last 3 years combined lol wut.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
A lot of personal shit going on right now. Its been a really rough month. Not that I have a big following but I probably wont post on here for a few weeks. Ill share articles ive written but thats about it. Life sucks sometimes. Ill be back and stronger than ever 💪
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
You arent a degenerate fantasy baseball player until you spend two hours talking about Cavan Biggio. In a group chat for an October draft.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
@PitchingNinja I miss J Fern 😥
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Corbin Burnes cutter down 262 RPM in the first inning. Here it comes people.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Because I have an unhealthy obsession with fantasy baseball, I'm in a "way too early" 50-round DC. Here are my first few picks: 1.14 - Brandon Woodruff 2.17 - Kyle Tucker 3.44 - Javier Baez 4.47 - Freddy Peralta 5.74 - Rasiel Iglesias 6.77 - Jazz Chisholm
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
Josh Donaldson hit 37 Home Runs in what FanGraphs has as the 23rd best HR park for RHH (95) last season. He is now at the 8th best HR park for RHH (104) on top of being in a deeper lineup. His avg. ADP of 94 is a joke (14th 3B off the board!) Draft Josh Donaldson.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Josh Donaldson has one injury-riddled season where you didn't get great production from him. One. And people act like he's freaking Byron Buxton...
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Christopher Morel (age 23 season) 25.6% K / 10.1% BB 13.4% barrel rate 113 max ev 93rd percentile sprint speed Ronald Acuna Jr (age 24 season) 26.7% K / 11.2% BB 17% barrel rate 116.6 max ev 71st percentile sprint speed
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Who would you rather build your team around? Juan Soto or Eduardo Escobar?
@NFLonFOX
FOX Sports: NFL
3 years
Which QB would you build your team around? 🤔
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Ryan Venancio
6 years
@jadenthomm @russian_bot11 @AdamSchefter Hes shorter than all of them my guy.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
There is no way Kevin Gausman should be drafted ahead of Logan Webb next year.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Thankful for the opportunity. Cant wait to start writing!
@EricCross04
Eric Cross
3 years
Another addition to the @Fantrax team today is @ven_baseball . Ryan brings plenty of baseball knowledge and love for the game. Give him a follow! #FantraxFam
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
You would think people that have played fantasy baseball for years would learn to not panic after every single bad start...
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
A few pitchers my projections like more/less than ADP: Nathan Eovaldi +35 Noah Syndergaard +33 Tyler Mahle +32 Jose Urquidy +28 Nick Lodolo -36 Jack Flaherty -27 Jesus Luzardo -23 Alek Manoah -17
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
7 months
Why an interest in Zack Littell? Well Rays. Secondly, they had him add a sweeper and sinker mid season. Ks from his 4-seamer by month: 2, 2, ... 9,8,9. While showing plus command. 🤷‍♂️
@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
7 months
Lots of Gavin Stone, Zack Littell, Brett Baty and Brock Stewart. Let's ride. Don't understand the AJ Puk, Jackson Merrill and Ceddanne Rafaela prices for the life of me 🤷‍♂️
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Oh heavens, not Nick Madrigal! How are White Sox fans going to sleep at night when he hits .292 with 3 homers!
@GregWilliams28
Greg Williams
3 years
White Sox traded five years of Codi Heuer and six years of Nick Madrigal for 24 games of Craig Kimbrel. Oh! And during those 24 games, Kimbrel went 2-2 and finished with a 5.09 ERA. The Cubs pulled a heist.
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
Any Pierce the Veil fans out there? I really miss recording covers.
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
Victor Robles in the month of May: 31.8% K 6% BB .381 babip 13% Hard hit 1 Barrel He still sucks. Please don't waste your FAAB money unless you need stolen bases in order to save your wife.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
From April 1st to June 1st Gerrit Cole allowed 5 home runs in 70 innings. Since June 3rd he has allowed 9 home runs in 29 innings.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Everyone at work is talking about fantasy football and I'm like, "can you believe the Rockies are benching Elehuris Montero?!"
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
4 years
Corey Seager was universally ranked below Jorge Polanco in rankings going into 2020. Just so everyone knows.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
crazy how Kershaw has gotten all of the hate over the years for being bad in the playoffs while Verlander is probably worse.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
I have to say, im pretty confused about the Amed Rosario love. - 14 stolen base attempts in his last 187 games. - 2.8% Barrel rate, 51% ground ball rate 10 homers and 12 steals is cool I guess but there is no difference between him and Josh Rojas, who goes 80 picks later.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
1 year
Still have 3 months to play but this is still awesome to look at.
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Ryan Venancio
1 year
Anthony Volpe has 6 barrels and a 68% hard hit rate in May. I hate it to break it to you guys, he isn't getting sent down.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
6 months
Our first record is finally out.
@withsailsahead
WITH SAILS AHEAD
6 months
I can't believe I'm typing these words. Our debut full-length record Infinite Void is yours. 🌀
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
@MLB That was almost the craziest catch.
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
I'm going to be all in on Jarred Kelenic this season. - 114 max ev - 17 stolen base attempts in 147 career games - + defender in the corners, helps PT - shift ban helps him more than the avg hitter: .317 wOBA no shift, .226 with shift. - age 23 season
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
I think the Ohtani/Vlad MVP race is closer than people think. by WAR, which isn't perfect.. Ohtani is roughly the 18th best offensive player, 42nd most valuable pitcher. Vlad is the best offensive player in baseball. Ohtani: 7.3 Vlad: 6.8 It's definitely close.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
If Spencer Strider isn't on 100% of my teams next year, I've failed miserably.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Michael Harris has 7 homers and 6 stolen bases in his first 40 career games.. at 21 years old.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
When you have 12 players in your queue at the start of the 50th round its probably time to take a break from fantasy baseball prep.
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Is the fantasy baseball community drunk? Garrett Hampson is awful!! He shouldnt start over anyone.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
Didn't have a great year but I think finishing 3rd in the Main Event is a decent accomplishment for my first time. It's time to go to the lab and prep for next season.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
5 years
@bernardohanian @cubbieblue12 @MLBRandomStats Ben Zobrist has a 0% chance of making the HOF.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
I like Bobby Witt more than the next guy but he also swings exactly like Randal Grichuk lol that obviously wouldn't get likes.
@MLB
MLB
3 years
. @BwittJr 's swing sure looks a lot like @MikeTrout 's. 👀 What do you think?
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
Nestor Cortes has not faced one left handed batter this year ( 9 innings lol ) and still struck out 48.6% of batters.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
7 months
Bold prediction: Elly de la Cruz starts off slow, everyone on Twitter says "see, see told ya so!" and from May 15th on is the number one player in all of fantasy baseball and has an ADP of 4 in 2025 drafts. Happy Opening Day
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
love this guy even more now
@PitchingNinja
Rob Friedman
2 years
We're on Jazz Chisholm time. ⏰
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Ryan Venancio
1 year
Elly de la Cruz 162 game pace is 24 homers and 68 steals. I hope you sold high!
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Ryan Venancio
5 years
Batted Ball Events Resulting in 105 MPH+ Ronald Acuna 120 (27.3%) Mike Trout 97 (27.4%) Cody Bellinger 93 (20.4%) Matt Olson 96 (27.7%) Pete Alonso 119 (28.5%) Aaron Judge 95 (39.9%) Joey Gallo 52 (40.3%) Paul Goldschmidt 89 (20.5%) Ketel Marte 101 (20.8%)
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Ryan Venancio
5 years
@RossJensen12 Isn't that wild? He was pitching professionally at 16.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
What an incredible 2021 season. "Sticky stuff", deadened ball, an unlikely team without their star hitter wins a WS. So many ups and downs. Now its time to grind and prep for 2022. Appreciate everyone who follows me. I think my follower count tripled this year.. unreal. ✌
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Ryan Venancio
1 year
The replies to this tweet are so ridiculous. "He's only 50 on player rater" " look at his slash line" "Bad obp!" A 27/45 pace is an elite fantasy player. This community cares way too much about slash lines/walk rates and especially player raters.
@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
1 year
Bobby Witt on pace for 27 home runs and 45 stolen bases. What a bad first round pick. I cant believe he was being taken that high!
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Vlad isn't even fully lifting the ball yet and is slashing.. .356/.496/.644 with a 19.1% walk rate and 15.7% strikeout rate. This kid doesn't have a ceiling. He could hit .345 with 45 home runs and I wouldn't even be a little surprised.
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Javier Baez for Pete Crow-Armstrong will be far and away the worst deal of the deadline.
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Ryan Venancio
2 years
People are freaking out on April 5th. Yall are not going to last another six months.
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Ryan Venancio
3 years
Look at Kershaw fully extending that elbow.
@Reiner_Jake
Jake Reiner
3 years
World Series champion and forever a Dodger Clayton Kershaw in the #RamsHouse
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Ryan Venancio
5 years
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Ryan Venancio
1 year
Brett Baty in May: 9% swinging strike 15% K / 9% BB 27 hard hit balls (58 at bats) 93 mph avg EV .200 BABIP The breakout is coming. Buy in dynasty leagues while you still can, this is a special bat.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
3 years
Average pitcher take 11 months to come back to the mound after Thoracic Outlet Surgery. Stephen Strasburg had the surgery on July 29th. ADP in DCs since Dec 1st is 333. It should probably be 633.
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@ven_armbarn
Ryan Venancio
2 years
my start in beat Vlad OC
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