When the two teams with the best defences in the league meet each other, maybe we shouldn't be so surprised it ends up 0-0.
#LIVMNC
Shots against, quantity and quality, so far in the league.
Up to now in the Premier League.
Liverpool have created the best quality chances.
Manchester City have had the most shots.
Spurs somewhere inbetween.
Manchester United have not done well so far...
Kristoffer Olsson came to AIK from
@fcmidtjylland
and this season he has been their best attacking player.
He plays the ball into the box from everywhere on the pitch.
@aikfotboll
While Manchester City's underlying numbers are declining, Liverpool are getting stringer and stronger. Dominant in expected goals over the last 10 games.
Here is presented how in teams in the
#PremierLeague
are starting their Goal Kicks this season. Most of them (53%) are played long (into opponent half) and 38% of Goal Kicks are short (less than 35m from the goal). Only a handful of Goal Kicks are played into the middle area.
Liverpool need 2.4 xPoints this evening to go top of the Expected Premier League. ๐คฃ
A 1.4 xGoal difference should do it.
Amazing what you can do with numbers...
Our off-ball attacking radars for
#EURO2020
are available now! Request line open. โ๏ธ Tell us who you want to see.
Raheem Sterling is looking good for
#ENG
Week 4 is when expected goals start to say something useful about a team.
Manchester City continuing where they left off last season.
Liverpool looking good, but yet to meet tough opposition.
Bournemouth and Watford deserve to be up there.
Do you think the numbers are fair?
World cup shot round-up:
- Germany & Brazil shooting a lot but from lower quality chances.
- Portugal leading on chance quality but in smaller numbers.
- England and Belgium look good, but (maybe) against weaker opposition.
(Circle area is proportional to possession)
How much value are teams in
#PremierLeague
generating from passes in different zones. The plot shows the average value of
#xg
created from a pass in specific zone, with most value generated from inner lanes.
#FPL
#Fot
#matplotlib
How important is possession in football? Very. But it isn't always having it that matters. ๐
Burnley scored 4 goals during the 5 minutes (!!) they had the ball in the final third.
But Bournemouth had a problem because they were stuck with the ball in midfield.
Expected goals table. 10,000 what if resimulations of the Premier League shows that:
- Manchester United are lucky to be 7th.
- Southampton have been unlucky.
- Burnley should be relegation favourites.
Messi's
#WorldCup
dream is over. Or is it?
@RoyNemer
isn't convinced it's the end of the international road for the
#ARG
great.
Roy has reviewed Argentina's 4-3 defeat to France for us
Detailed look into Goal Kicks from
#PremierLeague
.
#Wolves
are playing most of their Goal Kicks to the right wing, around half line. On the other hand teams like
#CPFC
and
#SaintsFC
are playing their Long Goal Kicks to the left side.
#goalkick
#FPL
Up to now in Premier League.
Liverpool (and Watford!) have conceded fewest chances.
Manchester City have have conceded a few higher quality chances.
Chelsea vs. Arsenal was a bit chaotic.
Manchester United have not done well so far...
Chelsea and Manchester City defending by denying opposition possession (circle size = opposition possession).
Liverpool and, especially, Watford allow possession but concede few high-quality chances.
Looks like someone at Bournemouth might understand a thing or two about xG ๐.
Anyone worried about England's attack should ask Andreas Granqvist what he thinks.
14 Important defensive actions in the box.
20 actions in total.
1st best ranked defender in the World Cup
Did his absolute best, but wasn't enough.
Alisson is on the brink of joining
#LFC
. He was one of seven GKs who played at least 800 minutes in the 2017/18 Champions League, as was Loris Karius. How did the seven perform?
Our aim with the
@twelve_football
app is to rank players based on data. We have used machine learning to learn which actions produce most value in a football match. Then we award points to players when they perform these actions.
With the Premier League action over for today, it's time to announce we are launching
#TwelveGPTScout
this week!
We evaluate players using advanced AI and analytics, highlighting their strengths and weaknesses with visualizations and AI-powered descriptions.
Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alaves Preview: Will the championsโ new men feature?
@RoyNemer
has given the Barca squad the once over and here's who he thinks will feature in their season opener on Saturday.
Roberto Firmino and Sergio Aguero are crucial to the success of their teams, but what are their strengths? In his Twelve debut,
@JDNalton
takes a closer look at both strikers
#LFC
#MCFC
Manchester City are making twice as many shots as the league average.
Liverpool and Bournemouth creating high quality chances.
Chelsea shooting (and scoring) from further out.
Shots against. Quantity and quality.
- City and Liverpool with solid defence, will something give?
- Wolves are low chance quality specialists.
- Fulham in real trouble at the back.
World Cup shots conceded round-up.
- Brazil have conceded few chances and of very low quality (of the chart).
- Major chances against England and Spain are penalties.
- Germany and Argentina conceding big chances.
(Area of circles are proportional to opposition possession)
"Cardiff win the second most aerial duels in the Premier League. Virgil van Dijk wasnโt standing for that, and won 10 of the 11 he contested in the
#LFC
half."
It's our team of the week:
2017: Twelve first to provide expected threat live during matches.
2021: Twelve first to deliver off-ball run scouting platform.
2023: Twelve first to build fully automated written scouting reports.
Dejan Lovren continued his fine form by being Croatia's best player in their defeat to Brazil. He was also the game's top player for defensive and off ball contributions.
#LFC
This is what domination looks like. Manchester City have outperformed both the league average and every opposition they have met on expected goals.
#MCFC
Cardiff match wasn't even their best! Wolves the only team that have come close.
World Cup Top three.
Harry Kane: 6 defensive actions, 4 important passes & 5 goals.
Toni Kroos: 20 defensive actions, 11 imporant passes & 1 goal.
Cristiano Ronaldo: 11 defensive actions, 1 important pass & 4 goals
See details here:
Bayern Munich have been uncharacteristically quiet in the transfer market, and have a new man in charge in the shape of Niko Kovaฤ.
@cc_eckner
has looked at how they might play this season, ahead of their season opener with Hoffenheim.
Forget
@thetimes
attempt at doing expected goals...here is the table you have all been waiting for...
Liverpool officially have better expected goal difference than Manchester City two games!
Warning: there is no statistical significance to this result whatsoever.
Salah and van Dijk have been the best two players in the Premier League this season, according to
@twelve_football
Can't argue with an algorithm, can you? (Yes, of course you can).
Full time
#ENG
3.5 - 0.3
#DEN
xG (including penalty)
Probability of
#ENG
win: 93%
Probability of
#DEN
win: 2%
Probaility of a draw: 5%
Fairness: 80%
One million simulations.
#xG
#EURO2020
๐ค
Liverpool are one of the top ranked teams in terms of keeping possession and getting in to the final third, and they also rank highly in terms of rapid attacks.
One of the most exciting things to happen in football analytics in the last few years? ๐๐คฏ
Introducing TwelveGPT the automated tool for talking football numbers. ๐ค
Join
@Soccermatics
this evening 7pm (UK) and put your questions to our Scouting bot.
Malmรถ have been exceptionally unlucky in front of goal this season.
#allsvenskan
#expectedgoals
Shot quality: Best in Allsvenskan.
Shots per match: 2nd best in Allsvenskan.
Best attack in the league?
Barcelona vs Tottenham is a must win match for the visitors, while the hosts have topped the group already.
@RoyNemer
previews the clash.
#BARTOT
#THFC
With three teams on 20 points at the top we need a way to decide the real leader.
And here it is...
How the
@premierleague
would look if chances created decided matches.
Liverpool only a rounding error ahead of Manchester City in our Expected Points table.
Bournemouth and Wolves doing well, but it could just be variance.
Manchester United vs. Spurs was a 1.4 - 1.5 xDraw. Bad luck Mourinho.
Quality and quantity of shots.
Fewer shots today, but City well ahead.๐
Watford, Wolves and Liverpool (!!) regressing to the mean.๐ค
Bournemouth still high on quality (even without penalties). ๐ค
Argentina 0-3 Croatia: Messi and Argentina outclassed by Croatiaโs midfield
#ARG
are still alive in the
#WorldCup
thanks to
#NGA
's win yesterday. Here's
@RoyNemer
's take on their poor performance on Thursday.
Full-backs used to have a fairly standard role within a team, but not any more. Two of the masters of using them are Guardiola and Klopp, so our new writer
@mizgans
has taken a look at the contrasting way in which they employ them
#MCFC
#LFC