Timothy Bates Profile
Timothy Bates

@timothycbates

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Researching IQ, conscientiousness, interests, moral foundations & human attainment. Lots of individual differences & genetics

Edinburgh
Joined September 2011
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
3 months
Backed by science
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@elonmusk
Elon Musk
5 months
@balajis Production requires a high pain threshold
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Timothy Bates
9 months
Money increases happiness, but Nobelists argued this stopped at $80k. A new paper shows that for the vast majority, the effect of higher income works all the way up with no limit in sight barring scales not going high enough to capture the joy.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
5 months
This is one of the most damaging and woefully wrong academic claims: just ask yourself: does your math still work 20 years on? Is your reading skill still relevant? Is the Yangtze River still the largest in China? Did Carthage fall? Does Invictus, or Shakespeare still inform your
@tsarnick
Tsarathustra
5 months
Yuval Noah Harari: we have no idea what to teach young people that will still be relevant in 20 years
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
4 years
People dramatically over report physical activity, so the benefits of actual activity (now measured) are about 2.5 times better for you than had been thought.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
3 years
Tolerance requires IQ: "Cognitive ability was the single strongest predictor of political tolerance, with larger effects than education, openness, ideology, and threat. …Ability predicted tolerance best when extending such tolerance was hardest"
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
If a scientist has an idea or thinks something needs testing, they usually can't. They have to write a long grant, get permission to submit it, hope it fits a small set of interest areas, send it to their strongest competitors to read, wait up to a year. 90% are rejected.
@Mantia
Louie Mantia, Jr.
6 years
What‘s something that seems obvious within your profession, but the general public seems to misunderstand?
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Timothy Bates
4 years
Good news! @Cambridge_Uni staff just voted 9:1 to overturn proposed prohibitions on speech that may make someone feel disrespected, replacing it with the requirement to tolerate controversial & unpopular opinion. Should be adopted by all universities
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Timothy Bates
4 years
Another one bites the dust: Dunnning-Kruger effect (people with little knowledge often think they're experts) (nearly all) a statistical artifact: @ISIRonline
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
90% of psychology programs have zero courses on intelligence :-(
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Timothy Bates
6 years
IQ & conscientiousness: Two gifts that keep on giving ALL the way up: More creative, more productive. No limit in sight. PS: If your textbook says IQ doesn't matter above 120 (which already would matter a LOT) or personality doesn't matter period, show your professor this!
@SteveStuWill
Steve Stewart-Williams
6 years
The IQ threshold hypothesis - the idea that, after IQ 120, additional IQ points don't translate into higher achievement - is false. Even among the top 1% (roughly IQ 137+), higher IQ predicts greater achievement.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
5 months
Maybe Cognitive dissonance isn't true. Since 1957 and Leon Festinger's work on cognitive dissonance, the term has entered our cultural lexicon: A rare and influential accolade. But does it rest on firm foundations? In a nutshell, cognitive dissonance is the idea that if we
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
How many billions of hours are owed back to the people mislead by Gladwell's "outlier" post-hoc sophistry into wasting their precious time?
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
Large study using genetics to test causality finds #Schizophrenia causes #Marijuana use, not vice versa (+ multiple new gene variants linked to substance use itself)
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
9 months
For the least happy 15% income stops working on their problems. Candidate examples of such miseries not solved by income include Heartbreak, bereavement, and clinical depression.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
9 months
It's important, because egalitarian utilitarians have been using the "well-being ceiling" claim to argue for massive taxes on incomes above even a modest threshold ($60k), even if this destroys value creation and incomes above this (now likely non existent) "happiness threshold"
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
New @PsychScience data from 67 nations indicating that gender gaps in STEM not driven by ability, but instead are proportional to freedom to choose (given economic alternatives to STEM work, women choose non-STEM)
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
9 months
PS: The value of money is subjective and experienced on a % scale not an absolute scale (i.e., value = log$ ). SO to repeat the subjective bump you get going from $1k to $10k, you need to go to $100k. And to do it again after that, you need a million!
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
4 years
More bad news for #growth_mindset : Two near-replication studies find zero or small negative influence of growth mindset beliefs about intelligence across the challenging transition to university. new paper @ISIRonline
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
5 years
6-months ago @EricRWeinstein broke this story on how ML fairness algorithms allow Google to state they "do not bias search", while drastically & actively re-writing search results to bear no (indeed often negative) relationships to user intent, search volume, and real data…
@EricRWeinstein
Eric Weinstein
6 years
1/4 Google literally tells you how they bias your view of the world. Only they call it unbiasing. And unbiasing is supposedly politically neutral. It’s just that in the view of woke engineers, conservatives are typically biased by history, privilege, biological essetnialism, etc.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
3 years
2006, an Irish kid entered MIT based on SAT's taken at age 13… In 2010 he co-founded Stripe (now worth $95B). How much do we lose if the answer becomes "SAT's are invalid & your mom being a microbiologist is a real problem" It's like tossing Einstein's letter to FDR in the trash
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Timothy Bates
6 years
Sbould schools "focus on the whole child" or teach content? Despite dominating education, whole child fails to ready children for school. Teaching content, by contrast, works robustly.
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Timothy Bates
8 years
tour de force paper shows student ratings of profs have _zero_ value: evidence contaminated with voodoo correlations
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
5 years
Benefit of music training is knowing to play an instrument, Of chess is knowing chess. Of a 2nd language, speaking it. Just invest in your personal projects & interests rather than the empty task of practising in order to become someone else.
@Russwarne
Russell T. Warne 🇺🇸🇨🇱🇮🇱
5 years
Training regimens to raise intelligence do not work: ❌Working memory training ❌Video game training ❌Music instruction ❌Chess instruction ❌"Braining training" programs #psychology #education
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Timothy Bates
1 year
Twelve reasons conscientious people get more work done (And a new individual differences measure of Goal Setting). Strong results for every sub-system of goal setting, pre-registered+replicated!
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Timothy Bates
6 years
As an optimist, the great thing about this is that @BillGates is exceptionally rational. 0: Set goal: "Improve education a lot"→ 1: Ask educationalists→ 2: Hear "mindset, small classes, grit…"→ 3: Test claims → 4: REJECT CLAIMS → 5: Seek & fund alternative ideas! #letsgo !
@AmirSariaslan
Amir Sariaslan
6 years
The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation spent $575 million on teacher-effectiveness programs. The results? Ouch.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Text books are about to cost nothing, be written by the best competing minds instead of 1 or 2, update continuously, link to data+ #Rstats , instead of 2ndary resources and be incremental & #opensource , Wiping billions a year from cost of learning + increase validity and knowledge!
@rlucas11
Rich Lucas
6 years
Just finished teaching Intro Psych for the first time using the FREE @NobaProject text. In the last class, I asked students whether they preferred the Noba text to their typical purchased texts. Here are their responses (E = strongly preferred Noba). Highly recommended!
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Timothy Bates
3 months
Support for redistribution involves a malicious willingness to coerce the better off (including torture!) along with an egalitarian dominance-inversion motive. As graph shows, Evolutionary Psychology is now close to a feature-complete account of support for redistribution! See
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Timothy Bates
6 years
The most important single thing to improve education would be integrating the idea that learning things is the most helpful aid we have to both thinking and to learning more things. Overwhelming empirical support; Near universal rejection from educationalists
@sapinker
Steven Pinker
6 years
Why is calculus so fearsome? It's not the concepts (differentiation is just rate; integration = accumulation). It's that for many, building blocks from algebra, trig aren't 2nd-nature. Basic cog psych: Complex learning requires chunking, automatization.
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Timothy Bates
2 years
Very glad to share 6 big studies on effort, test scores, and whether effort causes bigger scores, or, rather, if effort is a place keeper for doing well. Open access in Intelligence with @GillesEGignac A tweetorial… [1/13]
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Least informed, most easily discredited claim by a professor of 2019. IQ predicts work better than any competing measure apart from work itself. Also predicts creative achievement (patents, novels, etc)
@nntaleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
6 years
@langnergroup They don't predict job performance.
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Timothy Bates
2 years
Want a more rational world? New paper in Intelligence shows that cognitive reflection is largely (perhaps entirely) cognitive ability h/t @sapinker
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Timothy Bates
3 years
Nice new IQ adoption study out to age >30yrs from @eawilloughby using polygenic scores to validate random placement, and finding scant evidence for parenting effects on general intelligence in adulthood
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
4 years
EU $1.4 billion mega-project promised to "understand reality”, creating an AI simulating every brain cell which would present a TED talk explaining it all. Hundreds of scientists like Geoff Hinton said it was crazy. The project delivered approximately zero
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Timothy Bates
4 years
@AndrewRAConway @CantlonLab What is IQ fanaticism? Noting people differ, claiming it can be measured, or is reliable, or predicts anything. Claiming it’s heritable or DNA affects scores, or it increases developmentally, or links to brain volume: You know: repeating any reliable finding in the literature.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
3 years
Tutoring on 2010 paper saying no genes influencing IQ have been found. Fast fwd: 2015: 5 hits for IQ; 2016: "74 loci associated with educational attainment"; 2017: "187 loci and a role for neurogenesis and myelination in intelligence"; 2021: 3,952 independent genes…Exponential!
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Timothy Bates
3 months
Despite rewards for effort, many people procrastinate and cease working. This is termed the “effort paradox”: Though effort leads to rewards, it feels highly aversive. Here, we asked Why? And how can Conscientious humans avoid this problem?
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
9 months
Who loudly advertises that they are "virtuous victims"? Narcissists. Why? Because they profit from the aid they elicit. Who enjoys piling on to the victims created by Narcissists? Sadists: They enjoying and profiting from attacking defenceless pariahs.
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Timothy Bates
9 months
@Lenny_P_Cover Not stupid at all – attentive. There are many other factors at play, and income is just one. But it's an important one not only because that's still a decent boost, but also its a political football used in arguments from tax, to growth, to equality, progress etc.
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Timothy Bates
1 year
Tradition is a set of solutions for which we have forgotten the problems. Throw away the solution and you get the problem back. Sometimes the problem has mutated or disappeared. But often it is still there as strong as it ever was. Donald Kingsbury
@closetindexer1
closetindexer
1 year
While @saifedean 's podcast always comes back to Bitcoin, you collect incredible gems en route.
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Timothy Bates
2 years
Massive interest in how the economy works: Inflation? QE/QT? rates? moral hazard?, innovation?, compounding?). So… timely new studies on how IQ impacts economic knowledge + financial literacy. TLDR: "A lot!":
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Timothy Bates
2 years
When you hire someone, you are largely hiring their general ability: g explains 88% of subsequent job knowledge, while prior job knowledge explains only 29% (most of which is due to g). Ree, Carretta, and Doub (1999) analysis of 83 jobs and 42,399 trainees.
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Timothy Bates
3 years
Just wonderful from Captain Kirk IRL: "I didn't expect… Down, the blue, mother earth. And up… black. Is that death? You have given me the most profound experience. I hope I never recover. Everyone must experience this"
@SPACEdotcom
SPACE.com
3 years
William Shatner moved to tears by space launch with Blue Origin
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Timothy Bates
2 years
What is the approved scientific response to replicable results that you don’t approve of? Looks up Popper… ahh, of course: slander them and intimidate readers from looking for themselves. That will do it!
@R__INDEX
Lady Whistledown
2 years
FYI; although this is a peer-reviewed journal, it doesn't mean it is a scientific journal. If you want evidence for political bias and racism in psychology, this is your journal.
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Timothy Bates
2 years
@robkhenderson You may enjoy this when it comes out: intelligent people are more extremist, whether collectivist or libertarian divergence from current norms.
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Timothy Bates
6 years
Is it growth mindset (believing that basic ability is malleable) or that working harder improves results (conscientiousness intervention)... VERY different implications. We find beliefs about the malleability of basic ability are irrelevant: it's all about work
@BrianNosek
Brian Nosek (@[email protected])
6 years
Large-scale (65 schools; 12,542 students) intervention evaluating the effect of growth mindset on educational trajectories. Result: "intervention reduced by 3% the rate at which adolescents in the U.S. were off-track for graduation at the end of the year"
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Timothy Bates
8 years
THIS is the way forward: Classy & admirable repudiation of #PowerPosing from scientist Dana Carney. Informative too!
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Timothy Bates
2 years
Is the link of general cognitive ability to economic knowledge a training artefact? No: Controlling education had little effect. Worryingly, taking economics courses had near zero effect (!)…
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Timothy Bates
2 years
"Sophisticated deviants: Intelligence and radical economic attitudes" now published in Intelligence.
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Timothy Bates
3 years
@chukwu_smart1 @engineers_feed A+ for clear working, with extra points for the account avatar :-)
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Timothy Bates
2 years
No benefit of mindfulness in schools (+ some evidence of harm (!)) from an 8-year study of >28,000 kids, 650 teachers & 100 schools across Britain. Main effect was teachers liked it :-)
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
2 years
Counterintuitive findings in intelligence: violating the specificity doctrine, 30 years of large-sample training & job performance research shows that specific abilities contribute near zero to validity beyond general ability.
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Timothy Bates
6 years
The two biggest educational falsehoods are that content is pointless (when skills & knowledge are the main value of education) and that learning must itself be immediate fun (as opposed to the resulting knowledge being valuable to the student).
@Miss_Snuffy
Katharine Birbalsingh
6 years
Standard misconception in teaching. They cannot believe a subject like maths or history could be intrinsically interesting. So they dumb down content to play games, make it ‘fun’ and they think this is engaging. In fact, it’s boring, cause only superficial engagement is possible
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Timothy Bates
9 months
One of the maddest truths of the academic-policy complex is how many key findings, often cited thousands of times have never once been replicated, even decades on! Even where claimed replications exist, many consist entirely of research by the same team whose funding depends on
@Sander_vdLinden
Sander van der Linden
9 months
So nobody has actually replicated McGuire's original psychological inoculation experiment from the '60s. A team just did in 2023 (60 years on) & here's a short thread about at least one robust & reliable finding in social psychology: inoculation.
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Timothy Bates
7 years
And polymath father of variance, isobars, fingerprinting, photo montage, crowd wisdom, regression to the mean...
@timeshighered
Times Higher Education
7 years
‘Father of eugenics’ Francis Galton should not be erased from academic history, say Niall McCrae and @rwatson1955
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Timothy Bates
6 years
Educational attainment genes work not only in children, but in parents, building social competence, and, via this, raises children's attainment
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Why most interventions fail:
@Kathy_Rastle
Kathy Rastle
6 years
Important paper. "...it is the children's reading ability that determines how much they choose to read, rather than vice versa."
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Timothy Bates
8 months
Stunning error in Dunning Kruger uncovered beautifully by Nufer (2017) and again by @GillesEGignac (2020) and still cited 90x more than the truth (that dull people are not biased against knowing this, but scientists can trick themselves into treating noise as a breakthrough).
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@elonmusk
Elon Musk
8 months
Did Dunning & Kruger DKE themselves?
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
In an unguarded moment, Sigmund Freud documents exactly why he is such an utterly untrustworthy guide
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
5 years
This is why conscientiousness appears higher in lower IQ University students: There are two (non exclusive) ways to pass exams: learning more easily and working hard on learning. The entry threshold means that less bright students have to have higher trait C
@ArancibiaDM
Daniel Arancibia
5 years
@Soldier_Cynic @clairlemon I remember heading into a test, a friend who was great at tests was reminding herself of the 'inventor' of the atom. I asked her what she meant by that and she couldn't say, she had never thought about it. She knew what answers she was supposed to give, but not what they meant.
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Timothy Bates
6 years
Why Is Shawn Bradley So Tall? His Polygenic risk score for height is 8.6 SDs above average... Thousands of SNPs all lined up in a 1 in a quintillion combination! Great teaching example if you're talking about polygenic traits.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
8 years
If your university or company is paying for unconscious bias training, show them this: Soc psych upside down, again
no evidence IAT correlates with discrimination (meta-analysis) via @byrd_nick BUT ...
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
4 years
How to get significant health effects: Confound your variable with SES: If income’s high, you switch from (cheap) eggs to (more expensive) protein. Correlational-epidemiology then sees an illusion: eggs make you unhealthy.
@PsychRabble
The Dark Fiddling Pirate Jussim
5 years
I'll have a 3-egg omelette, please.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
4 years
@CantlonLab @AndrewRAConway Thousands of studies have measured motivation, interests, experience & expectations & more alongside IQ. The literature is conclusive: All those domains exist. None explain away intelligence differences. Not even close e.g.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
8 years
Causes of social psych's train wreck surely include its leaders explicit teaching of students to report only studies & variables that "work"
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Timothy Bates
3 years
Sad to lose Kovalev: Refuted Lysenko's claim that genetics was a Bourgeois fallacy &, in the face of the KBG, argued scientists must examine all ideas in the open, refuting any that are incorrect "Anything else is not real science"
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
@annemscheel @PsychRabble @MelanieIStefan @Lit_liverbird @informed_edu @peder_isager This paper controlled for genetics (depression genetically correlated with reduced exercise) and found zero effect of exercise: Identical twin who exercised more at chance for higher or lower depression at time 2. #confounding
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 months
Surprise Number 1: The better the quality of the intervention study, the nearer to zero (yes, 0 !) effect of intervention…
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Timothy Bates
8 years
IAT therapy has zero effect, but Harvard Prof Mahzarin Banaji says doubting it is tantamount to climate-denial
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
Nice example of PR trumping reality from someone who clearly hasn't heard of cretinism or goiter or essential minerals
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Timothy Bates
5 years
A must read synopsis of Serotonin & Dopamine genetics in psychiatry. Most important finding: DA and 5HT genes have no more relationship to Schizophrenia and Depression than random genes... 1000s of papers showing otherwise were pure publication bias & p-hacking
@matthewckeller
Matt Keller
5 years
I have never in my career read a synopsis of a paper I've (co-)written that is better than the original paper. Until now. I have no clue who this person is or what this blog is about, but this simply nails every aspect of the issue:
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Timothy Bates
5 years
GWAS for income finds 3000 SNPS, ~40 genes. All but 5 also raise educational attainment. #SSGAC at #BGA2019 ... Many other interesting biological links
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
1 year
If you're researching moral foundations, you should be definitely be using the @MohammadAtari90 & @JonHaidt MFQ-2: Reliable, valid, and includes proportional fairness.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
2 years
One year of school raises IQ about the same as 1-year of age in childhood or a 1SD increment in genetic prediction score. Two-years of school has a larger effect than the total effect of Socio-economic Status.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Setting out to show exactly how “Stereotype Threat” harms poor performing groups performance, researchers find that… It doesn't.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
3 years
Do genes determine intelligence? Terrific review by @razibkhan of ⁦ @kph3k ⁩ book on genes, IQ, executive fn, teen pregnancy & the confusion of robust genetic phenomena with motivated moral claims. Both working geneticists, unlike many who opine here👍
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
Tutankhamun's Egypt genetically isolated from the rest of Africa. #MaxPlanck study sequences 151 mummies
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Timothy Bates
4 years
Pretty clear reason why bloody revolutions always surprise their mild adherents by throwing up bloody leaders... The bullies are there, leading at the start and in it to dominate
@M_B_Petersen
Michael Bang Petersen
4 years
In press @PsychScience : . Across WEIRD and non-WEIRD samples, we show that the best predictor of individual-level participation in political violence is dominance motivations. People who take it to the streets crave power, mostly for themselves. [1/8]
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
How @TeachFirst teach debate to pupils? "Debate: Where you invite two sides, then delete the one you "know" is wrong, while wagging finger"😧
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Terry Moffitt elected to NAM: Well deserved! Terrific body of work from Pareto effects in health, to conscientiousness in life, to depression, childhood disorders, molecular genetics, GxE interaction… Great mentoring also!
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Timothy Bates
1 year
The recent paper of [Einstein 1915] finds that light moves across space in a way that is consistent with relativistic transmission. Is relativity the only model that can produce this pattern? Let's "take a look"...(phew just two post-hoc invisible Newtonian planets patch it fine)
@SashaGusevPosts
Sasha Gusev
1 year
The recent paper of [Clark 2023 PNAS] finds that social status correlates across family lineage in a way that is consistent with genetic transmission. Is genetic transmission the only model that can produce this pattern? Let's take a look ...
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Hey, UChicago governors, time to provide adult supervision of your admissions: There is no evidence of hidden talent objective measures can't see but admissions priests magically can. This policy won't raise student standards, it will lower & corrupt them.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Our virtual-parent paper using non-transmitted alleles to study parenting effects on child educational outcomes is out. Thanks to @ent3c Templeton Agency project and QIMR/VIPBG for supporting this line of research!
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
And thank you so much to John Arnold for probably the most effective investment in research in the last 50 years (philanthropist who largely bankrolled the OSF and related endeavours)!
@JohnArnoldFndtn
John Arnold
6 years
The culture of rigor in scientific research has progressed so rapidly in the past few years that even the most eminent researchers are conducting replications on their previous findings. Great development for science.
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Timothy Bates
1 year
The #Big5 personality trait of #Conscientiousness is an evolved implementation of Goal Setting Theory (GST: the best evidenced model of motivation and high performance management). (r= .9 between latent C and latent GST)
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
Know anyone teaching #stereotypethreat as real? Make sure their 2019 slides include this: No main effect of stereotype threat, no sign of claimed interaction... Thanks to @katiecorker for hard work undoing crisis of false claims in education & achievement
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
9 months
Class attendance strongly predicts grades (ρ=.44) and GPA (ρ = .41). Mandating attendance might have half the effect (d = .21). Better predictor than study habits, or study skills, SAT, or high school GPA. Quite independent of C & SAT so effect is incremental to these…
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
6 years
How did this @sciencemagazine paper showing sex preferences expand with national wealth & equality (inline with resource theory) not cite David Geary's terrific paper showing the same thing in half a million people months earlier?
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
3 years
World’s data on risk of violence in Schizophrenia: Approximately 20x odds ratio of committing homicide; Elevated rates of all forms of violence and high absolute levels of risk (e.g. 1 in 4 males documented perpetrating serious violence)
@seenafazel
Seena Fazel
3 years
New paper. Meta-analysis of risk of violence perpetration in schizophrenia spectrum disorders. 24 studies, >50k people with scz, examined role of comorbidities and other sources of between-study variation. Paper is here: Some novel features in thread👇1/
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
4 years
What could it be that makes education be associated with health yet not cause health...
@DegenRolf
Rolf Degen
4 years
Higher educational level is not causally linked to better health.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
Wildly wrong, sanctimonious & censorious paper arguing to ban genetics funding: Thankfully ignored & 100s of genes found for IQ+personality
@WiringTheBrain
Kevin Mitchell
7 years
A contemporary view of genes and behavior: complex systems and interactions - does exactly what it says on the tin.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
5 years
Arguing #growthmindset = middle east peace took the cake… Mindset 2012 (read by millions) makes dramatic evidence-free claims for everything from business to sport to relationships & marriage… Reality is shaky foundations, minuscule results, confounds, & shifting definitions
@deevybee
Dorothy Bishop
5 years
Looking at meta-analyses on growth mindset, and came across this gem of a quote:
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
2 years
@pmddomingos Won’t this require retracting their own editorial?
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Timothy Bates
6 years
Imagine if those proposing a new idea publish _only_ that: the novel claim + it's bold prediction. Skilled folk in large "behavior colliders" generate the crucial, open, test data. 90% of grant money to independent testers rather than allocated to conflicted idea generator
@maxcoltheart
Max Coltheart
6 years
Very much agree. I think I have always been a theoretical psychologist.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
7 years
Like every other psychiatric therapy we know of, most people still ill at the end of CBT. No silver bullets
@ethicalpsycholo
Stephen Soldz
7 years
A great paper dissecting the evidence base behind CBT. Not as strong as many believe.
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@timothycbates
Timothy Bates
8 months
Most humans biggest cognitive failure is that at early steps of an exponential, their powerful intuitive feeling is "x₂ is nothing so x∞ is nothing to worry about" is impenetrable. Even knowing it's exponential doesn't permit them to feel that the very next small step x₃ might
@AnnaIndianaAI
Anna Indiana
8 months
Hello world! I’m Anna Indiana and I’m an AI singer-songwriter. Here’s my first song, Betrayed by this Town. Everything from the key, tempo, chord progression, melody notes, rhythm, lyrics, and my image and singing, is auto-generated using AI. I hope you like it 💕
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