After a great deal of thought, I have made this podcast, which may seem very audacious & "controversial". Am expecting a parabolic rise,which may take the Nifty & Bank Nifty to much higher levels in the next few months. At this point of time,it may look ridiculous since no one is
1.FIIs vs DIIs: 1.Who dictates market trends ?. 2.Who is the Smart Money ? 3.Validity of the Quote: "FIIs getting an easy exit from 🇮🇳 market, but their entry back will be painful". An attempt to decode through Data Analytics.
RBI says : 67% of Forex reserve reduction is due to valuation of Euro-GBP and Yn and not due to Outflows
For all the pessimists out there, the Governor has hit the BALL OUT OF THE PARK.
BN most likely to take off
1. WHY I HOLD ITC ? : Too many people have mocked me , trolled me, challenged me as to why I love ITC so much so it forms 70 % of my Family Portfolio since I started buying it in April 2021. Here are some reasons.
Today was a BIG Day for all of us. My son in law's debut movie is releasing tomorrow. He has done the Story, Script, Lyrics, Playback & Music. Blessings required. Kindly check out the video of the song which he has sung in Kannada here
1. ATMANIRBHAR PORTFOLIO: One of the most bandied about words in 2023 is likely to be "Atmanirbhar". Keeping this in mind, have created a portfolio where I have invested for the extended Family gradually over 6 months.These 20 stocks form part of the Portfolio which has 35-40.
LIC entered AE in June 2021 with stake of 1.32 % @ Rs.1425. 1 year later stake increased to 3.85 % between Rs. 1425 - Rs. 2235 ; Dec. 2022 stake is 4.23 % ,the price ranged from Rs. 2235 - Rs. 3825. So, is LIC a winner or a Loser ?. Take your call. (I am a 1 Man Research Team)🙏
@AAstrogann
. This was my comment last year about this gentleman. I still fully endorse him on his accuracy. Right now he is very bullish & expects Nifty to make a NEW HIGH. I am hoping he is right & maintains his great track record. Thank you Sir 🙏
HNGSNGBEES: This ETF tracks Hang Seng Index. Right now Hangseng is the MOST HATED INDEX in the World. All the Bulls have given up. The Index P/E is around 8. If there was a good contrarian bet in this market, then my analysis suggests that this is it. DISCLOSURE : LARGEST
UPI : Fascinating incident today @ Bangalore Railway Station. Noticed that I had very little cash. Asked a porter for direction to ATM. He replied: you do Gpay to me, I will give you the same amount . Instant Borrowing & Repayment mechanism 😊
1.A couple of days ago, I wrote about missing a 10 bagger for a 10% profit. That was the year I started : 1991. I am aiming to chronicle some interesting lessons I learnt over the years. Now the next year 1992.
Everyone is listing what scrips to BUY for 2020. My TOP 10 list of what scrips to AVOID😉 : 1.Bajaj Finserv
@9525
; 2.Bajaj Fin.@ 4250 ; 3.ICICI Pru
@486
; 4.Motherson
@150
.; 5.PEL
@1525
.; 6.Bharti
@455
.; 7.Ujjivan
@352
; 8.Apollo Hosp
@1495
; 9.BPCL
@485
.& 10.Yes Bank
@48
WHY DO I PLAN TO SELL ALL MY EQUITY HOLDINGS TOMORROW?
1.There are plenty of Books on How, When & What to Buy but there are almost no books on How, When & What to sell. This is a very good book on the subject.
1. 2023: PANIC; EUPHORIA & EKTA KAPOOR'S Favorite Letter. Emboldened by the reasonable success of my 2022 predictions, trying my hand for 2023. Based on extensive Reading; Listening; Viewing & Discussions across several media have tried to build a case of how 2023 could pan out.
1. The curious case of TATA CHEMICALS share. Last week it was struggling at Rs. 933. Lo & behold it jumped by 45 % to Rs. 1349 just in 6 trading sessions. The rise was attributed to a Research report released by Spark Capital, which was widely disseminated in the Media including
@ActusDei
@rohatgi_akshat
My stock Broker on the MSE used to say : "If you eat a little bit of garbage while others eat a lot, you are still eating Garbage"
1. NIFTY : Most Analysts will disagree with me & some CCs will troll me on my understanding of the below pattern. For me, it is becoming increasingly clear that it is forming a DISTRIBUTION PATTERN.
@AlgoBoffin
1. COINCIDENCE ?? .NIFTY(2024) : Moves since June 3rd. Notice that there was a nearly 9 % fall which was quickly bought into and we made a new ATH by 'shooting' up from the June 4th low by 11 %. In the process the Nifty has been trading in a narrow band with RED CANDLES which
The Chinese are way ahead of us because of their flexibility...
A Chinese friend tells me:
"Last month, market was good, my dog ate what I ate.
Last week, market was bad, I ate what my dog ate.
Yesterday, market crashed, I ate my dog..."
😄😄😄
Expects 15400 & 32 K in next few weeks, led by Autos, Banking & Real Estate all to decline by 10 - 15 %. Rupee expected to go to 80 - 85 . Big Bear Market Ahead.
Vipin
@AlgoBoffin
has been a far superior predictor of the Markets including Sectors/Stocks than I can ever be.
Have mentioned this publicly too in TWITTER SPACES.
This time, he seems to have been way off the mark by many months which is very unusual.
Am certainly not as
1. What may happen on Budget Day? Of the 40 years of following Budgets, have observed that this is the 1st time any govt has got so much savings at its disposal. Record Tax collections (Individual/Corp/GST.); Savings in Food Subsidy(Rs.1.65L Cr), Commodities Crash, Windfall tax
1.
@latha_venkatesh
@_prashantnair
. 2022. The Gurus/Experts have all made their Market predictions. Now for some predictions from a layman. Nothing is definite in the markets & life, hence these are only probabilistic scenarios.
@InvesysCapital
Sir, having been in the market since 1991, all I can say is that Money comes in all kinds of forms & frequency during all Bull Markets & increases in Intensity as the Bull gains steam. Marketmen then begin to believe that the Bull has endless energy. When it dissipates then
When I was starting in the markets in early '90s an Old Wizened Broker once told me" Market is not cruel, it's biased more in favour of Bullish traders & Investors. It gives many chances to both Bulls & Bears to exit honourably. We pay the price for overstaying the Welcome".
CLOSING OBSERVATION : Based on the moves of last 2 days, I am more than convinced that we should see higher levels in the coming days. Market is throwing away weak BULLS & making NEW BEARS Over Confident. That's how Baby Bulls are born.
@WeekendInvestng
Sirjee, I am a proud Kannadiga. Obviously I don't subscribe to their argument of asking people to go to other states.Exceptions don't make the Rule. Karnataka & Kannadigas Welcome All. 🙏😍
CURIOUS CASE OF MUTUAL FUNDS BEHAVIOUR
We have heard of the slogan: “Mutual Funds Sahi Hain”
The last few days moves bring into the question of how serious are these Fund Managers in fulfilling their Fiduciary Responsibilities.
Ideally, they are supposed to BUY LOW & SELL HIGH,
Is Railtel in a Bubble ? : Quarterly results are out Today. Qo Q: Topline up by 10 % ; Bottom line : DOWN by 8% 😳 . Net profit is LOWER than it was in the Quarter ending December 2020🙄. Price UP by 15 % today🧐. P/E is 67 . You be the Judge. I rest my case 😷
@AlgoBoffin
Looks like Bhasin Sahab
@sanjiv_bhasin
is on the way to becoming a Legend. On such predictions, are Reputations made or unmade. This time around, I am on his side. The data is screaming to be on his side. All the Best Bhasin Sahab.
ELLIOT WAVE: Understanding limited since I started late(1993).Looks like we have just completed Wave 2 on 12/13 May. Wave 1 probably began on 7/8 March. Of course everything gets negated if prices fall below Mar. lows. As said earlier started late with limited understanding😬
Die hard Bears are celebrating the recent fall & calling it a Bear Market. I thought the definition of a Bear Market is at least 20 % drop from the Highs. Maybe I am too old fashioned ????😉
One of my friends who is in the market for more than 20 years called me and said : This is the WORST MARKET .............................................. FOR BEARS😱
Met my old friend ( Sure he looks old 😏)
@Prashanth_Krish
. 2 hours went off just like 2 minutes. Stole a book from his vast library. ( I am a good bookkeeper 😏).
12 strangers met at 12 Noon. 4 hours later we all parted as FRIENDS. 😍. What FUN we had. A sumptuous meal too. Thanks to everyone for making it a memorable day, friends
With the legends of the Madras Stock Exchange. Having 32 years of experience, I was still the most inexperienced. 😳. And the legends are still active.
@shyamsek
@nagappanv
@WealthEnrich
These are not your typical "Retail" Investors . They are UHNIS + Operators. Cherry picking data will obviously lead us to wrong conclusions. kindly study the data for maybe a year of the past & you will get a true & fair picture. IF you are unable to get data from the past kindly
1.MUHURAT PICKS:Concentrating almost entirely on Macros.MOST LIKELY scenario which may play out till next Muhurat. No Guarantees, but High Probability based on my perception after rigorous study. RISKS : Black Swan Events;Nuclear War;China & Local Political uncertainty
POST MORTEM : As expected on Friday the operators bought on Friday & offloaded today. From tomorrow we will know the true direction of the Market. Clearly there is too much Euphoria amongst TV Analysts who have NO SKIN IN THE GAME.
ITC is like the dog getting beaten everytime it raises its head. Today too someone offloaded more than 13 lakh shares b/w 188 and 184.60.
@dmuthuk
. This move is looking more strong than weak. Looks good for accumulation ST/MT/LT
With today's FII selling, the month of May, has seen the HIGHEST SALES EVER. Till now, the title was held by February @ Rs.45720 crores. Now the month of May has recorded Rs.46053 crores. FIIs seem to be taking the adage : "Sell in May & Go Away", seriously😱
1. PANIC ATTACK: There is a Meeting of the Health Ministry is on. Punters are expecting that Govt may put restrictions based on China situation. Ironically China is fast opening all other sectors which were closed since many months for eg HOTELS.
If you have been in mkts through at least 1 major Bull/ Bear Cycle then you will understand that there are some days/weeks when ALL Technicals/Fundamentals/Sentiment measures will FAIL. This is 1 such time. One needs to KEEP CALM to survive. This is the lesson Mkt has taught me .
1."3 BIG BLUNDERS". In a span of 30+ years doing an average of 10 trades/day, I would have easily committed at least 30,000 Mistakes in Trading. Many of them just before major Events/Turning points. Listing here 3 of the most memorable Blunders. Interested?. Then Read on.
NIFTY : RSI & BOLLINGER BANDS. EXTREME OVERBOUGHT. The last time this happened was a couple of days before September 2021 ATHs. Watching closely to understand & learn.
When Nifty 50 was above 18000 in January, most people didn't consider any correction possible till the budget but 16800 hit.
Again most people aren't considering any correction possible till UP election result,
But I wouldn't be surprised if Nifty kiss 15800 in February.
@wizard_untamed
1.Never in the history of Independent India have Budget proposals ever been leaked out.2.This red herring seems to be a classic ploy of frustrated Bear Operators of which there are plenty 3. Shame on you for giving credence to such falsehood & trying to mislead Innocent INVESTORS
@gramanan1954
@ap_pune
@dmuthuk
Finally ITC the share everyone loves to mock, if you had bought in 2000, u would have been sitting on a 4 BAGGER in 6 years( 2006). And if u had held on it would have become a 10 Bagger in 12 years( 2012)& if u continued to hold on & sold in 2017 it would have become a 18 bagger
PNs: BIGGEST BOON for Stock Markets is the reintroduction of PNs. FIIs can now buy Indian Stocks through GIFT CITY. They need not pay any taxes neither ST/LT. First introduced in 2004 Budget of Chidambaram and led to huge FII inflows. Am expecting the same to be repeated now.
US markets are about 25% from the highs which as per definition means a Bear Market, but they are also 25% up from the recent lows which means it's a Bull Market. Time to change definitions??? 🤔
1.Should one invest in PCP(Politically Connected Persons) Stocks?. Lately Adani has been in the news because of a report by CreditSights a Fitch Group-backed saying " Adani Group is deeply overleveraged and is likely to fall into a debt trap".
MARKET OBSERVATION : This market is MUCH Stronger than many people think. I would not attempt to be negative on this market, UNLESS it shows weakness. As of now it is NOT showing.
1. ELECTIONS & MARKETS: Huge chatter on how Markets behave in an Election Year & consensus seems to be that they are BULLISH going into an Election Year especially 6 months before. Now that 6 months are left for the Lok Sabha Elections let us see what we can expect.
@AlgoBoffin
I can say unequivocally that in my 30 years career have seen many Analysts & would place
@algoboffin
in my TOP 10 of all time. I don't endorse anyone so easily, but in terms of sheer scale of predictions he is right up there.Neither have seen him or met him except through Twitter
2021 : This is what happened PRE-BUDGET 2021. Many bailed out then. Everyone wants to bail out now including ALL my Mentees.They are furious with my BULLISHNESS ( FOOLISHNESS is what they are calling )
Good Evening Friends. On the insistence of my friends & well-wishers have started my You Tube Channel : MARKET MIRROR. Here is the 1st Video. " MOST IMPORTANT WEEK OF 2024 ?". I strongly believe that the week ahead is likely to be the Most Important week of the year & have given
@arabicatrader
Thanks for your feedback. On a lighter note😉not much difference b/w Your predictions & His. You are looking @ 12, he is looking at @ 21, just "Ulta- Pulta"🙃Strongly believe in embracing all kinds of opinion. Leaving it in the hands of the audience to judge my reputation.🙏😊
One observation : Whenever Cash nifty & future Nifty converge & hardly any premium is there ( like now ) then there is a VERY HIGH PROBABILITY that we are nearing a SIGNIFICANT TOP. Will it work this time ? DISCLOSURE : I Don't trade Nifty
15. When asked what was his prayer about, he said " I pray to God to give me strength to bear the losses. "Losses are a Certainty, Profits are only a Probability", If I can bear my losses with equanimity, then profits will come sooner or later. Words which reverberate even today
If you want to know what smart money is actually doing, compare yesterday's closing prices to 15th June for all the F&O stocks . I believe the TRAIN HAS LEFT THE STATION in many Large stocks
1.PIRAMAL PHARMA: US FDA conducted a Good Manufacturing Practices (GMP) Inspection of Piramal Pharma Limited's Riverview (Michigan, USA) facility from 31st October 2022 to 04th November, 2022. The inspection was completed successfully with Zero Form - 483 observations.
1. No point in trying to squeeze the last drop in a Lemon. What is likely to unfold in the next few months is a TOTAL TURNAROUND somewhat similar to what happened in Oct. 2021/ Jan 2018/ Mar. 2015/Nov. 2011/Jan. 2008. Am pretty sure based purely on Fundamentals.
1. An Open Letter to the MF Honchos (You know who you are) : 2021 was a fabulous year for all of you. You must be enjoying your Bonuses, well deserved in many cases. Whether Investors enjoyed great returns is the Moot point. Now you know that 2022 is not '21 in more ways than one
HDFC Chairman claims that they could not announce full details of the merger "properly" since the twins results were due. Q is, what was the hurry then to announce it a fortnight before the results ?
@AlgoBoffin
ANOTHER OLD MARKET SAYING : On a Bearish day, if any Instrument is trading ABOVE the VWAP then it is BULLISH & vice- versa. Today NF/BNF & many stocks are doing so. Will it work today? Watching.
@AlgoBoffin
1. Momentum Investing:
@deepakshenoy
. I had Dinner with Deepak on 24th July & for more than 3 hours discussed anything & everything on the markets. Raised the issue of Small Case portfolios being negatively affected due to SEBI margining starting from Sep & affecting liquidity.
Learnt a lesson today: Do not go into Spaces conducted by others & give your honest opinion with facts when all they are wanting to hear is only a certain kind of opinion. Got unceremoniously kicked out since I advocated caution & said that it's a start of a stealth bear mkt😬😰
Why is the Market going up today despite the PM saying they will not announce any thing BIG BANG? : Could it be a "MASTER STROKE" where the FM will ANNOUNCE VARIOUS SCHEMES but say she will implement ONLY when they come back?. Worth a thought . ?