What I look in my investment
-QoQ/YoY revenue growth
- High operating margin
- Healthy cash position
- Strong sector macro
- Quality of CEO & leadership team
- Client testimonials
- Competitive edge in technology/business model
I don't look earnings, as gains to be reinvested
I am actually curious on why
@Twitter
didn't flag this post as misleading or with Fact Check # that Tesla is the leading EV manufacturer in the US and globally
@elonmusk
@WholeMarsBlog
it has set precedent in the past where US president posts were flagged.
I meant it when I said the future was going to be made right here in America. Companies like GM and Ford are building more electric vehicles here at home than ever before.
Seeing the trend for last few days, it looks like the REAL interest rates are highest in LONG TIME, so this number should drop faster and who knows can we see even below 1%
If the US can get more production going and companies get in full fledge AI productivity than all hands
J P Morgan has price target for Tesla at 250$ (~75-80% downside from recent prices) at ~250 billion MC while for Rivian at 104$ (10% downside) at MC of ~95 billion$ -> two different views based on agenda instead of valuation
Sharing a sad news from my side - My mom suddenly passed away yesterday after sudden turn of events of last 5 days of what was supposed to be a routine surgery.
Reaching out to my Twitter community for prayers and peace for her soul. π
βMargins in auto business are like 6-8%, itβs been like that for decades,
@Tesla
canβt be valued like a company with 25% margins, itβs preposterous, only sane thing to do is SHORTβ
Tesla margins now 30% plus
$PLTR Q2 2021 earnings
Q2 2021 Highlights
- Total revenue grew 49% year-over-year to $376 million
- US commercial revenue grew 90% year-over-year
- Closed 62 deals of $1 million or more, of which:
- 30 deals are $5 million or more
- 21 deals are $10 million or more
$PLTR is not an easy stock to own so take a hard look if you are an investor. It's the reality that at this time despite good news there is no clear sign, what will break the ceiling of 29-30$.
The numbers are consistently improving both for top and bottom line, I am LONG
$TSLA produced/delivered ~500k vehicles last year and in six months already reached 385k+ vehicles. Two new factories yet to come online later this year/early next year --> Only thing expanding faster than
@Tesla
is the global EV market, plenty of opportunities 4 several players
$PLTR milestones, I expect in 2021
- PLTR YoY revenue for 2021 >50%
- PLTR YoY client revenues >15% for existing client
- PLTR signs 10+ new contracts in existing sectors
- PLTR enters into 5+ new sectors
- PLTR introduce (at least 1) new and/or updated products by YE 2021
That's incredible! π
According to Handelsblatt sources the VW CEO Diess included Elon Musk at VW's executive summit last week
Musk explained what's behind Tesla's high productivity - and dispelled concerns about e-mobility
$PLTR stock is down as they released plans to show new products in a sector growing with higher double digits CAGR and not included in the original TAM filing in S-1
Makes sense
Despite all his quirks, I am an admirer of
@elonmusk
. No leader in my life made me believe in the world and myself so much as him. He pushed frontiers and create value where none existed. I often hear so-called intellectuals telling 100 reasons why something will not work....
The only thing that changed in last 3 days for $PLTR after 28$ in PM is that released earnings that met and improved on almost all key metrics. Many stocks dropped in last 3 days. $PLTR dropped more than many on back of stellar earnings
Single biggest reason for $TSLA criticism by many is that they can't digest the fact that they missed multiple fold rally of
@tesla
, lost money shorting it, humbled many times with its ability to push frontier and forced whole ICE industry to move to EV against their will
$TSLA decided to delay CT, Roadster, Semi and other initiatives to optimise one and only one metric which is most important- total no of cars produced and sold and they are killing it. Singular delivery focus is most important to win and a master strategic move
A message to all $PLTR shareholders, as I humbly reflect on the journey of the last 3 yrs ...
In the fourth quarter of 2022 and January, Palantir's stock price hovered just below $6, with an extended period ranging between $6 and $7. This wasn't a unique situation; many stocks
My instinct is that some big news is around the corner for $PLTR. Someone knows something, the strength is unusual, itβs holding above levels that even failed to be breached during best of numbers and news
Can we test 29$ today?
Despite all the disagreement with
@CathieDWood
on $PLTR
I find manner of
@cnbc
criticism of her pathetic & unprofessional. She delivered results on stocks and companies in 2020 when many alpha investors failed - Egos were bruised and its SHEER jealousy, nothing more
I am not out of $PLTR position, I have increased my risk assessment on the success of the GTM strategy. I have seen a product in action and met the team and have high regard for it.
Given the issues & areas of improvement in GTM highlighted by $PLTR themselves, progress is less
$TSLA. Safety score based insurance premiums are a pivotal moment in history. Itβs start of the disruption of the traditional insurance industry and if you donβt have an individual insurance policy options in next few yrs, you will soon cease to exist
After listening to the logic of Jefferies Analyst on $PLTR downgrade and his performance record on
@TipRanks
, My personal view is that he was asked to create FUD to create an artificial dip before the Q4 2023 and YE earnings, which are expected to be stellar,
#AIP
engagement and
$PLTR was awarded a $48,500,000 contract for a Data-as-a-Service Platform. This effort will provide the government with a term software licenses, cloud hosting, enablement services, support and training for each platform solution
My conviction on $PLTR is simple for this year
Consistency in performance, no debt, AI spending increase in Enterprises, S&P likely inclusion, having tested 14-18 range few times and eventual rate cuts next year,l
We should see 25$+ tested in 2024 and who knows that in
@SamRo
"A couple of Geeks who sketched some SW could destroy Sears Roebuck" - It was said with sheer arrogance and I am sure anchor was trying his best not to be sarcastic.
Just remember guys fianace media today is filled with same guys, who think have power to decide future & stocks
On $PLTR
Until and unless we see clear evidence that palantir can deliver revenue significantly above guidance and estimate, stock will be drag and at mercy of growth stock macro IMO. Problem is itβs not easy to time as the bounce will be huge if they hit the bulls eye
Iβm LONG
Exxon was already using Snowflake before it went to
@PalantirTech
. While $SNOW helped in reaching initial data platform requirements with ease, $PLTR was needed to complex and large O&G workflows
Every SNOW customer willing to handle complex data case is $PLTR potential client
My Q4 2022 $PLTR Earnings reaction
- Stock Shot up on the EPS beat, marking a clear line that market and wallstreet will reward company only on EPS beat and GAPP profitability, so kudos to PLTR team for that
@MilkRoadDaily
Chamath has 1st hand experience in this kind of dealing, having done, a few shady things himself in the SPAC mania and cheating investors who trusted him
Before that, he was regular on CNBC, since then well tough to find now....
No surprise he dodged the bullets
Companies are realizing a hidden superpower with $PLTR now that they can do a lot more than typical digital transformation. They can build new products in no time for customers. They can ger new revenues and uplift in valuation. $PLTR should actively help clients to focus on it
Street guidance for $PLTR is 35% YoY. Let me CLEAR in my expectations that I am expecting 49%YoY and beat. One earning don't change my LT thesis but it raises a flag and increased monitoring from my side. I work in Big Data implementation in EN and seeing growth 1st hand
Dear FinTwit Community,
It has been an insane honor to learn from you all. More importantly, I met so many wonderful souls.
Trying to start a new project/venture moving forward and taking an indefinite break from all social media platforms, barring venture/project-related post
$PLTR, What a roller coaster ride, it has been..
To put in perspective, we ended the year 2023 below the highs reached in June 2023, after the massive rally in May and to date, that's the only one holding the bottom apart from the actual bottom, before it
so IMO, it is
$PLTR will support US Space Force & Air Force by providing its SW to the critical missions of the DAF, Space & Missile Systems Centerβs Cross-Mission Ground & Communications Enterprise & NORAD-NORTHCOM. This is a firm-fixed-price award totaling $32.5 mil.
$PLTR 49% YoY growth in Q1 and Q2 2021 is a strong indication that long-term revenue growth guidance of 4 billion$ by 2024 is sandbagged. Even with that guidance $PLTR should be 2x-4x from here and if they continue the trend, we may even see 6x-8x also. Big data is just starting
$PLTR don't keep any data from customers, it stays always in the client environment, it's clear how data to be touched, who touches it, data doesn't migrate out of enterprise and security is unparalleled --> this is why it is trusted by most of western intelligence services
I started looking for
@SpaceX
in Jan 2020, and got confirmed allocation in May-June 2020, Everyone around me warned me that it's risky and don't invest with
@elonmusk
, I thought the safest investment for retirement then. 15 months forward it's valuation is up ~3x in secondaries
$TWTR stake of
@elonmusk
is not an investment, it's an activist move --> expect changes or more board room battles and Elon will not shy from increasing his stake, he is not a guy who nacks down, this could trigger a whole retail frenzy in the
@twitter
stock
@CNBC
@chamath
@chamath
is right, the root cause is not
@wallstreetbets
but the club culture on wall street where individual and hedge funds can play with retail investors but cry loud if they end up in the soup due to excessive leverage and poor risk management.
$GME $AMC
$PLTR has officially announced its program for early-stage start-ups--> Foundry for Builders, to support growth. Foundry for Builders marks a continued expansion of its business beyond large organizations with complex data environments to younger companies
After Karpβs talk was over, within seconds he walked up to me, made all these fancy people wait in a line to talk to him, and said βThank you, I really appreciate you.β
I told him heβs running the most interesting company on planet earth and itβs been an honor to watch them
$PLTR announced today that it was named as a 2021 Global AWS Partner Network (APN) Public Sector Partner Award winner for its Palantir platform in its work to combat COVID-19
400 million$ quaterly revenue will be key milestone for $PLTR as for last 4 Q, their operating expense is ~400 million$ (give or take) i.e. the increase in revenue over the last 4 Q is achieved with no further increase in operating expense. It is remarkable
Interesting to see todayβs if we see ARK invest effect on $PLTR trading today after Cathieβs gigantic addition yesterday on the back of superlative earnings.
Havenβt seen such a smooth earnings call in long time, it was a series of home runs
Have 2 minutes of silence for people with 190 millions of SHORT shares on $SOFI
With this momentum, almost certain earnings beat and rate cut optimismβs, the chances of a them pulverising in SHORT Squeeze have never been higher
If the world is left to people like James Vincent and publishers like The Verge, we are all set for another dark age.
In their mind, nothing new works and any effort to make life better is futile, and please don't even try to push boundaries
Looking forward to Q3'2021 earnings for $PLTR. If it's 49%YoY or lower, I will be extremely disappointed. Time to see the effect of flywheel and new initiatives introduced earlier this year as well as efforts from expanded sales teams. I will not be satisfied for Q3 below 60% YoY
Very well deserved. After refusal to invite TSLA to the White House EV event, plan to penalise for non-union cars at the name of climate, and complete silence on the historic achievement where 4 ordinary citizens travel and orbited earth - right response from him
The recent interview illustrates that how deep Alex thinks about and care about stock price of $PLTR. He is invested in team and culture of
@PalantirTech
and SBC is a key component of $PLTR employees compensation.
What
@SpaceX
and
@PalantirTech
have done to bring definitive edge to front line soldier in Ukraine is 100x better than rest of the virtue signalling Silicon Valley and Wall Street
One Fact that everyone misses while comparing $SNOW and $PLTR on wall street is the size of deals and ask a basic question Why
- Why with ~6000 customers, $SNOW despite its growth is still behind $PLTR whose customer count is not yet 500 on quarterly revenue
I believe, I am going to get a lot of heat today on my $PLTR summary after call, but I need to be fair in what I think of numbers - In short, GOOD but not GREAT. We all know that technology is cutting edge with no match, its the question of executing sales and BD strategy now
$PLTR and Lockheed Martin are announcing a collaboration focused on delivering modern software to support today's and tomorrow's Navy combat systems by leveraging Lockheed Martin's deep technical experience and Palantir's Apollo platform.
Time to close shop for 2023, to be fair, no skill was needed for this, only some guts to stick with key convictions
2024 will be strict test, despite all the bullish narrative, repeating something like this is an elusive search
My views on $PLTR impact investing (Roviant, Wejo, Lilium, Argos etc.)
- Investments are equity based in exchange of kind services and/or cash
- These are novel upcoming industries/applications
- Yet to see $PLTR valuation model that accounts for equity gains and revenues from it
Analysts still worry about the $TSLA ability to scale never had any issues giving $LCID and $RIVN far higher multiples
Ideally good companies, yet to prove scaling prowess and with no claim to leadership should be given multiples far lower to industry leader
While $PLTR investors keep discussing about the how good or bad the tech is, $PLTR naysayers are scared to the core about how strong the tech is.
I will always side with company that on critical days sided have drawn a meaningful line to defend democracy and itβs institutions
As promised $SNOW and $PLTR earnings are released for the YE 2021 and now I will do the next iteration of Snowflake VS Palantir, which will be dropping early next week
Palantir Announces Date of Second Quarter 2021 Earnings Release and Conference Call today for Q2β21 results on Thursday, August 12, 2021, prior to the open of U.S. markets. $PLTR will host a conference call to discuss its results at 8:00 AM ET.